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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2026 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: For Ecol Manage. 2026 Jun;610:123674. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2026.123674

Fig. 2. Seasonal modifiers of air temperature and precipitation derived from the ÖKS15 scenarios.

Fig. 2

For the baseline climate extension, we utilize historic weather data from 2001 to 2020 to create a 20-year loop of daily weather records extending until the year 2100. For temperature, a seasonal offset is applied; daily precipitation is adjusted by being multiplied by a seasonal precipitation factor. In the ÖKS15 scenarios, it is posited that winter temperatures and winter precipitation are more significantly impacted by climate change than summer conditions. In the more extreme RCP8.5 scenario, it is projected that temperatures will increase by approximately 4° C by the end of the century, with a less pronounced rise in summer months (about 3° C). Additionally, for the RCP8.5 scenario, winter months are expected to see an increase in precipitation of around 20%, while only a 5% increase is anticipated for summer months.