ABSTRACT
Properly stratifying high-risk individuals with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is essential to identify patients in which the potentially therapies can be offered. To this context, we systematically investigated the prognostic value of epigenetic clock with early stage HCC as well as the association with other molecular characteristics.
We computed DNA methylation (DNAm) age of 256 early stage HCC patients and 50 normal samples from TCGA by Horvath clock model. The characteristics of two DNAm age subgroups were differentiated regarding HBV expression, pathway activity, epigenomic, and genomic alteration. Cox regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis were utilized to evaluate the prognostic value of epigenetic acceleration.
DNAm age was significantly associated with chronological age in normal tissue but largely disrupted in tumors (P< .001), and showed significant negative correlation with HBV expression (P< .05). We identified two DNAm age groups (DNAmAge-ACC and DNAmAge-DEC), and the former presented with an immunoactive phenotype (all FDRs<0.05 in enrichment analysis), CpG island hypermethylation (P< .001), and lower mutation burden (P= .018). Every 10-year increase in DNAm age was associated with a 18% decrease in fatality after adjustment for major clinical variables; DNAmAge-ACC had 50% lower mortality risk than DNAmAge-DEC (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.27–0.94, P= .03). RCS revealed the fatality risk significantly decreased as epigenetic age accelerated (P = .04). Conclusions
In summary, we highlighted the prognostic value of epigenetic age acceleration for early stage HCC; better prognosis, relatively lower HBV load, and higher enrichment of immune signatures were tightly associated with epigenetic age accelerated tumors.
KEYWORDS: Hepatocellular carcinoma, Horvath clock, DNA methylation, epigenetic age acceleration, overall survival, hepatitis B virus, immunoactivation
Introduction
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the majority of primary liver cancers. Worldwide, liver cancers are the fourth most common cause of cancer-related death and rank sixth in terms of incident cases. The World Health Organization estimates that more than one million patients will die from liver cancer in 2030, according to the annual projections.1 In United Stages, death rate of liver cancer increased by 43% (from 7.2 to 10.3 deaths per 100,000) between 2000 and 2016,2 and in 2019, approximately 42,030 new cases and 31,780 deaths of HCC were estimated to occur.3 With a 5-year survival of 18%, liver cancer is the second most lethal tumor, after pancreatic cancer.4 Patients suffering underlying liver cancer constitute the majority of hepatocellular carcinomas, and most of them are hepatitis B or C virus (HBV or HCV) infected or alcohol abused. Unfortunately, unless HCC could be diagnosed at an early stage, it will maintain a poor prognosis. It is in this context that providing appropriate screening to high-risk individuals for those patients with early stage HCC is essential to assist identifying patients to whom potentially curative therapies of surgical resection, radiofrequency ablation, and liver transplantation can be offered.5
Age is a strong predictor of risk of HCC and other common but complex disease (e.g., cardiovascular and neuropathic diseases).6 Several DNA methylation-based clocks developed recently have shown promise as biomarkers for biological aging,7,9,10,11-12 especially the Horvath’s clock which has been shown to be tightly and robustly associated with chronological age. Epigenetic age acceleration, which could be measured as an vertical shift between DNAm age and chronological age, was reported to be correlated with the clinical outcomes of many diseases, including tumors.13,14,16-17
A previous study has indicated that the DNAm age of 164 patients diagnosed with liver hepatocellular carcinoma was not associated with patients’ overall survival18; however, the prognostic value of the epigenetic clock in early stage HCC remains unexplored up to date. In this study, we focused on patients diagnosed with HCC at early stages (i.e., stage I and II) and comprehensively excavated the associations of DNAm age with clinical outcomes, tumor clinicopathological features as well as molecular characteristics.
Results
DNAm age of cancerous tissue showed weak correlation with chronological age
A total of 374 tumor samples retrieved from TCGA was first collected, including 171 stage I tumors, 86 stage II tumors, 85 stage III tumors, and 5 stage IV tumors. Among which, we selected 257 samples confirmed as early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma for the purpose of this study, and a total of 50 normal hepatic samples was retrieved as control (Figure 1(a)). One sample without record of chronological age was removed from analysis. Among normal samples, chronological age is highly correlated with DNAm age (ρ = 0.86); however, there is only a weak correlation between tumor tissue-based DNAm age and chronological age (ρ = 0.28), and alike, in early-stage hepatic tissues (ρ = 0.30), which indicated the pattern of DNA methylation observed in normal hepatic tissues collapsed in tumor tissues (both, P< .001; Figure 1(b)). We then dichotomized the patients diagnosed with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma as either epigenetic age accelerated (DNAmAge-ACC) or decelerated group (DNAmAge-DEC) according to the individual vertical shift between DNAm age and chronological age with a cutoff of 0 which means DNAm age was equal to chronological age.
Association between DNAm age, epigenetic age acceleration, and HBV expression
Similar to a previous literature,19 we calculated a comprehensive variable by principle component analysis (PCA) based on four detected HBV oncoproteins to present the general virus expression. The first and second principle components were used since they covered almost all the variations (95.1%; Figure 2(a)). For 75 patients who expressed at least one of the four HBV oncoproteins, we found significant negative correlation between either DNAm age or epigenetic age acceleration and (ρ = −0.24, P = .02 for DNAm age; ρ = −0.22, P = .03 for epigenetic age acceleration; Figure 2(b,c)), but no association could be observed between and chronological age (not shown).
Cooccurrence of epigenetic age acceleration and immunoactivation as well as hypermethylation
For the sake of excavating molecular differences in terms of DNAm age status, we conducted differential expression analysis and identified 117 and 201 significantly upregulated genes (fold change > 1.5, FDR < 0.05) for DNAm-ACC and DNAm-DEC groups, respectively (Figure 3(a), Table S1) and we found that immune-related and terms were specifically enriched in DNAm-ACC groups (Table S2). For instance, upregulated genes in DNAm-ACC group were enriched for activation of innate immune response (FDR = 0.003), response to interferon-gamma (FDR = 0.001) and T cell differentiation (FDR < 0.001). Gene set enrichment analysis further detailed that patients with epigenetic age acceleration presented a universal immunoactive phenotype by upregulated lymphocytes pathways (i.e., T cells, B cells and natural killer cells; all, FDR < 0.01; Figure 3(b), Table S3), immune response (all, FDR < 0.05; Figure 2(c), Table S4), and other functions related to immunoactivation (i.e., tumor necrosis factor (TNF) signaling, defense response to virus; both, FDR = 0.01; Figure 3(d); Table S4); whereas DNAmAge-DEC group was enriched with bone morphogenic protein (BMP) signaling pathway, serine/threonine kinase signaling pathway and Wingless-type (Wnt) signaling pathway (all, P < .05, FDR < 0.25; Figure 3(e), Table S4). Differential methylation analysis identified 16,219 DMPs located in CpG island (P< .05, FDR < 0.05; Table S5), among which 16,128 (99%) probes gained methylation in DNAmAge-ACC group while only 91 (1%) were identified for patients with decelerated age. Under a more stringent criteria, we selected 89 hypermethylated probes for DNAmAge-ACC group and no hypomethylated probes could be identified (Figure 3(f)). As expected, the epigenetic age acceleration was significantly associated with DNA methylation level in CpG island (ρ = 0.49, P< .001; Figure 3(g)).
Mutation landscape of two groups regarding epigenetic age acceleration status
To further investigate the association between epigenetic age acceleration and genetic alterations, we calculate tumor mutation burden for each sample and found DNAm-ACC group presented significantly lower mutation burden (P= .018; Figure 4(a)). We then filtered genes with a nonsynonymous mutation frequency ≥ 10, and identified two differentially mutated genes regarding epigenetic age acceleration status (Figure 4(b), Table S6). To be specific, DNAm-ACC group was enriched with DCHS1 mutation whereas mutation of CACNA1B was enriched in DNAm-DEC group (both, P< .01, FDR < 0.1). CACNA1B is a member of Voltage-gated calcium channels (VGCC) family; calcium ion channels also have confirmed roles in cellular functions, including mitogenesis, proliferation, differentiation, apoptosis, and metastasis, and are promising to be targeted for novel cancer therapy.20 Under a stringent threshold of q < 0.05, MutSigCV detected four common genes (4/8, 50%; P > .05, Representation factor: 1.8; Figure 4(c), Table S7–8) that significantly mutated in either DNAmAge-ACC and DNAmAge-DEC groups, but also revealed that mutations of RB1 and KEAP1 were significantly enriched in DNAmAge-ACC group whereas mutations of ARID1A and BAP1 were frequently mutated in DNAmAge-DEC group. However, under a loose threshold of P < .05, only 22 SMGs were shared (22/450, 5%; P < .001, Representation factor: 0.2; Figure 4(d), Table S7–8), suggesting a dramatic alteration in genome as epigenetic age accelerated.
Association between DNAm age and overall survival
We then investigate whether epigenetic age acceleration was associated with patients’ clinical outcomes, and found that DNAmAge-ACC had significantly more favorable prognosis when taking OS as an outcome (P = .03; Figure 5(a)). Seperated survival rate could also be observed when using quartile DNAm age (OS: P= .04; Figure 5(b)). We found that every 10-year increase in DNAm age was associated with a 18% decrease in fatality in the Cox model adjusted for chronological age and tumor clinical stage (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.70–0.96, P= .01; Table 1). Compared with the first quartile, the forth quartile (HR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.11–0.72, P= .007) demonstrated a longer survival. Additionally, DNAmAge-ACC group had 50% lower risk of fatality comparing to DNAmAge-DEC group when considering other covariables (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.27–0.94, P= .03). To further reveal the relationship between continuous epigenetic age acceleration and OS. RCS model with 3 knots was harnessed and it revealed that, as 0 was chosen as reference (i.e., DNAm age = chronological age), the risk of fatality significantly decreased as epigenetic age accelerated under adjustment for major clinical variables (P = .04; Figure 5(c)).
Table 1.
DNAm age | Totala | Overall survival |
|
---|---|---|---|
HR (95% CI)b |
HR (95% CI)c |
||
Continuous | |||
(per 10 year) | 232 | 0.83* (0.72–0.97) |
0.82* (0.70–0.96) |
Categorical (quartile)d |
|||
First | 56 | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
Second | 59 | 0.64 (0.32–1.25) |
0.65 (0.33–1.28) |
Third | 59 | 0.63 (0.32–1.24) |
0.62 (0.30–1.29) |
Forth | 58 | 0.29** (0.12–0.72) |
0.28** (0.11–0.72) |
Categorical (binary) | |||
Decelerated | 140 | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
Accelerated | 92 | 0.52* (0.28–0.95) |
0.50* (0.27–0.94) |
aPatients with follow-up time less than 2 months were removed (n = 14)
bNo adjustment and P value was presented with * <0.05, ** <0.01
cAdjusted for chronological age (binary) and clinical stage (binary), and P value was presented with * <0.05, ** <0.01
dPatients were divided into quartiles according to epigenetic age acceleration. First quartile: −58.0 to −18.0; second quartile: −18.0 to −5.7; third quartile: −5.7 to 7.3; fourth quartile: 7.3 to 46.9
Demographic characteristics
The distributions of patient BMI (categorized by WTO criteria), race, ethnicity, tumor grade, clinical stage, tumor status, and risk factors were not different DNAmAge-ACC and DNAmAge-DEC groups. However, male patients were enriched in DNAmAge-ACC group and DNAmAge-DEC group has much more older patients (P = .01 for gender and P < .001 for age; Table 2).
Table 2.
Characteristicsa | Total (%) | Epigenetic age |
Pb | |
---|---|---|---|---|
DNAmAge-ACC (N = 100) |
DNAmAge-DEC (N = 156) |
|||
Age (Years) | ||||
Continuousc | 256 (100) | 58 (47–64) | 64.5 (55–72) | <0.001 |
Category (Median) | ||||
≤61 | 130 (51) | 66 (66) | 64 (41) | <0.001 |
>61 | 126 (49) | 34 (34) | 92 (59) | |
BMI (WHO) | 0.42 | |||
<18.5 | 13 (5) | 8 (8) | 5 (3) | |
18.5–25 | 107 (42) | 40 (40) | 67 (43) | |
25–30 | 65 (25) | 25 (25) | 40 (26) | |
>30 | 50 (20) | 19 (19) | 31 (20) | |
Gender | 0.01 | |||
Female | 77 (30) | 21 (21) | 56 (36) | |
Male | 179 (70) | 79 (79) | 100 (64) | |
Race | 0.09 | |||
White | 122 (48) | 42 (42) | 80 (51) | |
Asian | 113 (44) | 45 (45) | 68 (44) | |
Others | 12 (5) | 8 (8) | 4 (3) | |
Ethnicity | 1.00 | |||
Hispanic or Latino | 10 (4) | 4 (4) | 6 (4) | |
Not Hispanic or Latino | 234 (91) | 90 (90) | 144 (92) | |
Stage | 0.13 | |||
I | 171 (67) | 61 (61) | 110 (71) | |
II | 85 (33) | 39 (39) | 46 (29) | |
Grade | 0.51 | |||
Well/Moderately differentiated | 158 (62) | 65 (65) | 93 (60) | |
Poorly differentiated | 96 (38) | 35 (35) | 61 (39) | |
Tumor status | 0.89 | |||
With Tumor | 82 (32) | 33 (33) | 49 (31) | |
Tumor Free | 160 (63) | 62 (62) | 98 (63) | |
Risk factors | 0.12 | |||
Alcohol | 30 (12) | 10 (10) | 20 (13) | |
HBV | 69 (27) | 24 (24) | 45 (29) | |
HCV | 41 (16) | 22 (22) | 19 (12) | |
Other | 19 (7) | 6 (6) | 13 (8) | |
NHPRFd | 48 (19) | 13 (13) | 35 (22) |
aSum of frequency may not equal to the total sample size due to missing values
bFisher’s exact test for categorical data and Mann-Whitney test for continuous data
cContinuous values are represented with median (IQR)
dNo history of primary risk factors
Discussion
The increase in deaths due to hepatocellular carcinoma is a growing concern.2 The clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma has improved in the past decade, particularly for patients at advanced stages; however, identification of new biomarkers to stratify patients diagnosed with HCC at early-stage will help personalize clinical management and surveillance, and further reduce this burden of mortality.1 Accumulating evidence suggest epigenetic age acceleration as a novel biomarker for cancer risk15,17,21; thus, in this study, we systematically examined the association of epigenetic age acceleration with the prognostic value as well as other molecular features for early stage HCC.
The current study suggested that epigenetic deceleration, or a younger biological age, may induce poorer prognosis for early stage HCC, which contradicted previous findings that younger DNAm age in normal tissues was associated with health improving.22,23,24-25 To normal tissues, these findings could be rational since accelerated DNAm age stands for that the individual is at an older biological age than chronological age, and such acceleration is often induced by unhealthy lifestyles, susceptible heredity, detrimental environmental factors to name but a few; however, this situation may not be suitable for tumor tissues. It is worth noting that carcinogenesis is an evolutionary process that involves somatic mutations, subclonal evolution, and formation of cancer stem cells that highly participate in process of proliferation and propagation.26,27 It is similar to normal cells that the DNAm age of tumor cells increases as cells propagate, which indicates that cancer cells with a lower DNAm age may be more likely to proliferate and develop into dreadful malignancies.8 Moreover, significantly higher burden of mutation existed in DNAm-Age-DEC group, which was consistence with the fact that lower DNAm age in cancer cells was converged to higher rates of genetic alterations.8 It was reported that increased DNAm age may play dual character and its effect may vary in cancers; that is to say, aging cells may be prevented from proliferation and cancerization, but chromosomal changes are likely to trigger other mutations that might lead to cancer progression and poorer outcomes.28 Consistently, when adjusting major clinical factors and taking OS as the clinical outcome, the association between DNAm age and prognosis of early stage HCC was significant. More specifically, patients diagnosed with early stage HCC would have favorable prognosis if epigenetic age was accelerated.
Up till now, HBV is accepted to be a major risk factor of HCC development and its viral load is being increasingly recognized as a prognostic factor in HCC.29 Such virus can cause host epigenetic changes and genetic alterations by inducing DNA hypomethylation and regulating the expression fo cellular oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes.30,31 Recent meta-analysis manifested that antiviral treatment reduces liver-related mortality after curative therapy of HCC.32 Consistent with these reports, we found significant increase of HBV expression when epigenetic age decelerated in early stage HCC, and alike, we found DNAmAge-DEC group presented with a dramatic hypomethylation pattern in CpG islands as well as a significantly higer somatic mutation burden.
In addition, we also found DNAmAge-ACC group presented an immunoactive phenotype, characterized by significant enrichment for immune signatures, such as lymphocyte, inflammatory and immune response. DNAmAge-ACC inhibited more enriched TNF signaling, which is concordant with previous research that TNF can facilitate immune-mediated virological control by mediating innate immune mechanisms in HBV clearance.33,34 Therefore, we reasoned that on the one hand, the HBV-triggered CpG island hypomethylation may partially cause epigenetic age deceleration; on the other hand, a stronger inflammatory/immune response may help control HBV load and lead to a better prognosis for DNAmAge-ACC group. Furthermore, the enrichment analysis indicated that receptors serine/threonine kinase (e.g., BMP) and Wnt pathway may play roles in DNAmAge-DEC group. It has been reported that the BMP signaling pathway enables to modulate Wnt signaling in gastrointestinal tumor, and activation of Wnt–β-catenin signaling will promote the development and/or progression of different diseases, including liver cancer.35,36
The present study has limitations. First, this investigation has a drawback of retrospective design, and it is also limited to one center (TCGA) that provided tumor samples. Second, this study only included adjacent-normal samples and due to the lack of truly normal controls, we can hardly confirm whether there is a difference between normal and adjacent-normal tissue. Larger prospective studies are required for providing more evidence.
To sum up, our findings present new evidence into prognostic value of epigenetic age acceleration in early stage HCC, and put insight for future research into the mechanisms of age-associated DNAm patterns and potential therapeutic targets in early stage HCC treatment.
Patients and methods
Study population
Molecular data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas Project (TCGA) patients diagnosed with liver hepatocellular carcinoma. Methylation data assessed by TCGA using Infinium 450 K arrays were downloaded from Xena Public Data Hubs (https://xena.ucsc.edu/public-hubs), including 377 tumor samples and 50 normal samples. Transcriptome HTSeq-counts data of the TCGA-LIHC project were downloaded from the GDC data portal using R package “TCGAbiolinks,” including 371 primary tumor samples and 50 normal samples. The raw, paired-end reads in FASTQ were also obtained for virus detection. Somatic mutation data and patients’ survival information were downloaded from TCGA PanCanAtlas and were filtered for LIHC tumor type. Clinicopathological information of available patients were retrieved from cBioPortal (http://www.cbioportal.org/datasets). Among all patients with full survival and chronological age information, 256 patients diagnosed with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (i.e., pathological stage I and II) were selected for this study.
DNA methylation age and epigenetic age acceleration
We first filtered, imputed and then normalized methylation β matrix through BMIQ method by R package “ChAMP.”37 We then using R package “wateRmelon” to construct a Horvath’s clock model and calculate the DNA methylation age from normalized methylation β values.38 We extracted chronological age from DNAm age individually to quantify epigenetic age acceleration (i.e., vertical shift). Tests for differentially methylated probes (DMP) were conducted by “ChAMP” with default parameters and we reasoned a probe gained methylation if the difference of mean β value between two groups is statistically significant (false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.05) and greater than 0. Moreover, if the average methylation level was greater than a threshold of 0.3 in one group but less than 0.2 in another group with FDR < 0.05, hypermethylated probes would be considered, and vice versa for hypomethylated probes. We transformed β value to M value by Beta2M() function for its stronger signals when presenting a methylation heatmap.39
Data preprocessing for transcriptome HTSeq-counts
Ensembl ID for genes (protein-coding mRNAs) was annotated in GENCODE27 to generate Gene Symbol names. We calculated the number of fragments per kilobase of nonoverlapped exon per million fragments mapped (FPKM) first and subsequently transferred FPKM into transcripts per kilobase million (TPM) values. To reduce noise, we kept only mRNAs with TPM equal to or above 1 in at least 10% of the samples for downstream analysis.
Virus detection from RNA-Seq
VirusSeq40 algorithm was harnessed to computationally subtract human sequences and generate a set of nonhuman sequences (e.g., viruses) in RNA-Seq. We aligned the RNA-Seq libraries to both human and HBV genomes to quantify the host and viral gene expression. Four oncoproteins of HBV, i.e., HBVgp3_X, HBVgp2_S, HBVgp2_pre-S1/S2, and HBVgp4_c were identified and presented as FPKM values. To comprehensively quantify the expression level of HBV, we established a new variable to explain the original expression level of four oncoproteins that was calculated by principal component analysis (PCA) according the literature.19 The new PCA-based variable was derived from the first and second principal components that represented 79.4% and 15.7% of the variation in the original data, respectively. The coefficients (normalized loading) of four oncoproteins to the first and second principal components are shown in Table 3. Mathematically, let represent log2(FPKM + 1) value of specific oncoprotein in sample and denote the corresponding coefficient of HPV16 oncoprotein () for principal component (). The can be calculated as follows:
Table 3.
Principle components | HBV oncoproteins |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
HBVgp3_X | HBVgp2_S | HBVgp2_pre-S1/S2 | HBVgp4_c | |
Component 1 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.20 | 0.17 |
Component 2 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.39 |
Molecular characterization of two DNA methylation age groups
We utilized R package “DESeq2” to perform differential expression analysis with the standard comparison mode with false positive rate (FDR) adjustment for multiple testing.41 We performed gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) to characterize specific group according to the mRNA expression profiling through the R package “clusterProfiler.”42,43 Mutation landscape was analyzed by R package “maftools” with removal of 100 FLAGS genes first.44,45 Tumor mutation burden was calculated by “maftools” per sample by considering high or moderate variant consequences, including Frame_Shift_Del, Frame_Shift_Ins, Splice_Site, Translation_Start_Site, Nonsense_Mutation, Nonstop_Mutation, In_Frame_Del, In_Frame_Ins, and Missense_Mutation. Significantly mutated genes (SMGs) across the current identified groups were inferred by the MutSigCV_v1.41 algorithm with default parameters.46
Statistical analysis
All statistical tests were executed by R/3.5.2 using a Fisher’s exact test for categorical data, a two-sample Wilcoxon test (Mann-Whitney test) for continuous data and a log-rank test for Kaplan–Meier curve. Correlation between two continuous variables was measured by Pearson’s correlation coefficient. Fisher’s -to- transformation was used to calculate a value of that was applied to assess the significance of the difference between two correlation coefficients. Representation factor and the associated probability were calculated to infer the statistical significance of the overlap between two groups of genes where a representation factor > 1 indicates more overlap than expected of two independent groups, a representation factor < 1 indicates less overlap than expected. We utilized the R package “survival” to perform survival analysis. Cox regression adjusted for confounding clinical variables was introduced to calculate hazard ratio (HR) for epigenetic age status regarding overall survival (OS). Based on R packages “Hmisc” and “smoothHR,” we used the restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis in the multivariate Cox regression to explore the association between continuous epigenetic age acceleration and patient’s clinical outcomes with knots set at equally spaced.47 Optimal number of knot for RCS analysis was first determined by minimizing the model’s Akaike information criterion. To enhance the robustness of survival-related analyses, we excluded 24 patients whose OS time was less than two months. For all statistical analyses, a P value <.05 was considered statistically significant.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
The results published here are based upon data generated by TCGA and managed by the NCI and NHGRI; we are thus grateful to TCGA. Information regarding TCGA can be found at http://cancergenome.nih.gov.
Funding Statement
This study was supported by Standardized Treatment of Acute Lower Extremity Deep Venous Thrombosis [MS32017006].
Declaration of interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Supplementary material
Supplemental data for this article can be accessed on the publisher’s website.
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