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. 2020 Nov 19;15(11):e0242614. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242614

Evaluation of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

Sarah Malek 1,*, Hsin-Yi Weng 2, Shannon A Martinson 3, Mark C Rochat 1, Romain Béraud 4, Christopher B Riley 5
Editor: Chi Zhang6
PMCID: PMC7676649  PMID: 33211763

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to evaluate matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) -2 and MMP-3 in serum, and keratinocyte-derived chemoattractant (KC), interleukin 8 (IL-8) and monocyte chemoattractant 1 (MCP-1) in synovial fluid (SF) as stifle osteoarthritis (OA) biomarkers in dogs. Dogs with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament (CrCL) rupture (OA group) and healthy controls were recruited. Stifles with CrCL deficiency were surgically stabilized. Serum, SF, and synovial biopsy samples were collected from the OA group preoperatively, whereas samples were collected once from control dogs. A blinded veterinary pathologist graded synovial biopsies. Serum and SF analyses were performed using xMAP technology. General linear regression was used for statistical comparisons of serum biomarkers, and mixed linear regression for SF biomarkers and temporal concentration changes. The overall discriminative ability was quantified using area under curve (AUC). Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used to assess correlations between synovial histology grades and the biomarkers. Samples from 62 dogs in the OA group and 50 controls were included. The MMP-2 and MMP-3 concentrations between the OA and control groups were not significantly different, and both with an AUC indicating a poor discriminative ability. All three SF biomarker concentrations were significantly different between the OA group and controls (P <0.05). The MCP-1 was the only biomarker showing an acceptable discriminative performance with an AUC of 0.91 (95% confidence interval: 0.83–0.98). The sum of the inflammatory infiltrate score was significantly correlated with all three SF biomarkers (P <0.01). Summed synovial stroma, and all scores combined were significantly correlated with IL-8 and MCP-1 concentrations (P <0.003), and the summed synoviocyte scores were significantly correlated with MCP-1 concentrations (P <0.001). Correlations between MCP-1 concentrations and synovial histopathologic grading and its discriminative ability suggest its potential as a synovitis biomarker in canine stifle OA associated with CrCL rupture.

Introduction

The most common cause of stifle (knee) osteoarthritis (OA) development in dogs is degenerative (non-traumatic) cranial cruciate ligament rupture (CrCLR) [1, 2]. The resulting morbidity arising from the joint instability and related OA has an estimated annual treatment cost of $1.32 billion in the United States [3]. Dogs that develop OA associated with degenerative CrCLR have reported incidence of bilateral CrCLR that ranges from 18–61.3% [4, 5]. In cases of unilateral degenerative CrCLR, subsequent CrCLR in the contralateral stifle is often reported approximately a year after the initial diagnosis with the reported risk ranging from 22–54% [4, 6]. Despite the focused and extensive research on stifle OA in dogs, none of the therapeutic and management strategies have proven efficacious beyond alleviating symptoms and do not control the progression of OA in this joint [7]. Factors considered to be contributing to the limited success include the complexity of the etiology and pathophysiology of canine OA, and a lack of robustly validated biomarkers of OA suitable as reliable outcome measures in all stages of the disease [8]. Clinical examination and standard digital radiography are unable to detect early canine pre-clinical OA changes or objectively evaluate responses to interventions. Therefore, the assessment of molecular changes in biological fluids (i.e., serum, synovial fluid and urine) as soluble (wet) biomarkers of the disease is an area of interest in OA-related research [9, 10]. Additional challenges in soluble biomarker research are posed by the complexity of the sources of the molecules associated with the disease, and the presence of cross-talk among joints that has made identification of a single representative biomarker for identifying and evaluating OA unrealistic [11, 12]. The process of validating biomarkers in the clinical setting also remains a challenge due to difficulties in case definition and selection and in the recruitment and associated costs of verifying the repeatability and accuracy of candidate biomarkers [13, 14]. The investigated biomarkers of canine stifle OA include pro-inflammatory mediators (e.g., cytokines), degradative enzymes and their inhibitors (e.g., matrix metalloproteinases), and extracellular matrix proteins (e.g., proteoglycans, collagen type II degradation or synthesis products) and their composites [8, 15]. Evaluations of candidate biomarkers for canine stifle OA have been performed using meniscectomy, cranial cruciate ligament transection (CrCLt), and groove models [1619]. However, the naturally-occuring OA secondary to CrCLR model is of particular interest due to its frequent occurrence in the clinical setting, and similarities to human knee OA [10, 20, 21]. A study by Garner et al. (2011) investigated multiple candidate diagnostic OA biomarkers in serum, synovial fluid (SF), and urine based on experimentally-induced (i.e., CrCLt), and clinical cases of stifle OA associated with naturally occurring canine CrCLR [15]. These authors suggested two matrix metalloproteases (MMP-2 and MMP-3) as candidate serum biomarkers, and a panel of three SF biomarkers (keratinocyte-derived chemoattractant (KC), interleukin 8 (IL-8) and monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1)) as diagnostic biomarkers of stifle OA [15]. However, the number of clinical cases in that study was limited (n = 10), and to the authors’ knowledge, no further studies evaluating these panels of serum and SF biomarkers have been published.

The overarching goal of this study was to evaluate MMP-2 and MMP-3 in serum, and KC, IL-8 and MCP-1 in SF as stifle OA biomarkers in dogs. We hypothesized that MMP-2 and MMP-3 in serum and KC, IL-8 and MCP-1 in SF would have discriminative abilities as diagnostic, monitoring and predictive biomarkers of OA with close associations with concurrent macroscopic and microscopic stifle joint pathologies related to naturally-occuring OA associated with CrCLR in dogs. The first objective of this study was to evaluate the discriminative ability of these candidate biomarkers for canine stifle OA associated with naturally occurring CrCLR. The second was to evaluate temporal changes in these serum and SF biomarker concentrations after surgical stabilization of the CrCL deficient stifles. The third objective was to assess these serum and synovial biomarkers in evaluating changes in the contralateral stifles that were stable at the time of initial enrollment of the OA group in the study to evaluate the possibility of predicting the fate of the CrCL in the contralateral stifle. The fourth objective was to assess the biomarker associations between additional joint pathologies, including the presence of meniscal injury, degree of CrCL tear, and histological grade of synovitis in the OA affected stifles.

Materials and methods

In accordance with the Guide to the Care and Use of Experimental Animals of the Canadian Council on Animal Care (#11–062), the Animal Care Committee of the University of Prince Edward Island approved this prospective clinical cohort observational study. Owners of clinical cases and control dogs were required to complete and sign a written consent form prior to enrollment of dogs in the study. Sample size calculation for this study was based on a 95% confidence level and power range 95% for an unmatched case-control study with a single control per two OA cases, resulting in a group size estimate of 27 OA cases with an effect size of 1.287 (for MMP-2 and MMP-3) based on an estimated 80% prevalance of OA. Because there are no true prevalence data for stifle OA in dogs, group sizes were increased based on previous studies [22] to allow for potential sample losses and patient variations (~50 OA and 50 control dogs). An additional 10% allowance was made for the exclusion of samples not found to meet inclusion criteria. This increased sample size was also necessary to allow a meaningful number of the OA group dogs (~45–50) to be included in the recheck groups given the propensity for clinical cases to be lost to follow up.

Animals

Adult, medium to large breed (>15kg bodyweight) client-owned dogs with a clinical diagnosis of naturally occurring CrCLR in one or both stifles were recruited in the OA group. Additional inclusion criteria for the OA group included being free of systemic disease based on complete physical, neurologic and orthopedic examinations, and lack of significant abnormalities on a complete blood count and serum biochemistry profile. Exclusion criteria were additional orthopedic abnormalities (e.g., patella luxation), history of surgery or use of systemic corticosteroids within 4 weeks before recruitment, history of traumatic CrCL tear, or a history of intra-articular corticosteroid injections. Pre-surgical diagnosis of CrCLR was based on observation of clinical lameness in the affected hind limb and the presence of one or more of the following criteria: pain on hyperextension of the stifle, palpable joint effusion, positive cranial drawer test, or positive tibial thrust test [6]. A diagnosis of stifle OA was confirmed based on orthogonal radiographs of the stifle joint and intraoperative observation of CrCLR with gross evidence of OA (e.g., osteophytes, synovitis, joint effusion, cartilage lesions) [23].

The unmatched control group included adult, medium to large breed (>15kg bodyweight) dogs euthanized for reasons unrelated to this project. These dogs were free of orthopedic or systemic abnormalities based on physical and orthopedic examinations immediately prior to euthanasia. Postmortem examination of both stifles was performed to confirm the lack of gross abnormalities in all compartments of both joints. Dogs with concurrent systemic illness, or positive for dirofilariasis, ehrlichiosis, anaplasmosis, or borreliosis based on a commercial ELISA-based test (SNAP® 4D® Test, IDEXX Laboratories, Westbrook, ME.) were excluded.

All OA group dogs with CrCLR underwent either tibial plateau leveling osteotomy or lateral fabellotibial suture techniques on the CrCL deficient joints to stabilize the stifle [24, 25]. For bilaterally affected dogs, single-stage bilateral surgeries or staged procedures were performed based upon surgeon preference or the owner’s financial constraints. In the case of the staged procedures, the second stifle was not operated until after the conclusion of the study; these dogs were not recruited a second time within the study. At the time of surgery during exploration of the joint via arthroscopy or arthrotomy, the CrCL of the operated stifle was evaluated for the presence of a partial or a complete tear of the ligament. The medial and lateral menisci in the operated stifle were also evaluated for the presence or absence of any tear or damage at the time of surgery. In all operated stifles, damaged or diseased components of the CrCL and menisci were debrided with no attempts at reconstruction of the torn ligaments or menisci. The postoperative pain management regimen included; hydromorphone (Hydromorphone hydrochloride, 2mg/ml, Sandoz Canada Inc., Quebec) at 0.05–0.1mg/kg IV or SC every 4–6 hours for 48 hours, meloxicam (Metacam®, 1.5mg/ml, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Burlington, ON) at 0.1mg/kg, orally, every 24 hours for 7–10 days, and tramadol (Tramadol, Chiron, Compounding Pharmacy Inc., Guelph, ON) at 4-8mg/kg, orally, every 8–12 hours for 5–7 days.

Sample collection

Serum samples

At the initial visit (T1), a 4 ml venous blood sample was collected preoperatively and allowed to clot before being centrifuged at 5000 rpm (3400 g) for 5 minutes. The serum was separated and stored in cryovials (Nalgene Cryogenic tubes, VWR International, Batavia, IL, USA) at -80°C for later batch analysis. A subset of the OA dogs were selected for re-evaluation and sampling at 4 (T2), and 12 (T3) weeks after surgery. At each revisit (T2 and T3), physical and orthopedic examinations were performed prior to radiographic imaging of stifles under sedation. Venous blood collection and processing of samples were performed using the same methodology described for the initial visit. Exclusion criteria for this subset of OA dogs included clinical or radiographic evidence of infection at the level of the joint or implant site, catastrophic implant failure, or diagnosis of any other systemic illness. Blood samples from control dogs were obtained once before euthanasia and similarly processed.

Synovial fluid samples

Samples were collected from both stifles irrespective of whether one or both stifles were affected with CrCLR at the T1 time point. On the day of surgery, the dogs in the OA group were placed under general anesthesia, and stifles were clipped free of hair and prepared for aseptic arthrocentesis. Sterile 6 ml syringes with 1.5”, 22-gauge hypodermic needles were used to aseptically aspirate SF from each joint. The SF samples were placed in labeled cryovials and frozen immediately at -80°C for later batch analysis. Surgical stabilization of the CrCL deficient stifle(s) was performed after the SF sample was obtained. At the subsequent visits (T2 and T3), bilateral stifle SF sample collections were performed using aseptic technique and under sedation following radiographs of the joint. Samples obtained from the CrCL deficient stifle with OA were labeled as OA stifle (index stifle), and the samples collected from the opposite stifle that had an intact CrCLR (stable stifle), based on clinical examination, at the time of enrollment and throughout the study were labeled as contralateral. Therefore, a dog that had bilateral CrCL deficient stifles, did not have a contralateral sample. In the control group of dogs, the SF samples from both stifle joints were aseptically collected immediately after euthanasia using the same method and similarly stored. Both SF samples obtained from each control dog were labeled as control samples. A flow diagram in Fig 1 summarises the sampling order from the OA and control group dogs.

Fig 1. Flow diagram of serum (S) and synovial fluid (SF) sampling from control and osteoarthritis (OA) groups.

Fig 1

Samples from the OA group were obtained at three time points and only once from the control group. Samples obtained from stifles in control dogs were labeled as controls while samples from right and left stifles of OA group were labeled as index stifle or contralateral stifle depending on whether the cranial cruciat ligament was intact or not. Only a subset of the dogs in the OA group were recruited for sampling at T2 (4-week post op) and T3 (12-week post op) time points.

Multiplex bead assay

The serum and SF samples frozen at -80°C were shipped overnight on dry ice to the University of Missouri’s Comparative Orthopedic Laboratory and stored at -80°C. At the time of analyses, samples were thawed, and an aliquot from each SF (100μl), and serum (50μl) sample was processed for testing. The SF samples were centrifuged at 14,000 rpm for 10 minutes to pellet debris, and the supernatant removed. The SF was then incubated with hyaluronidase (MPBiomedicals, LLC, Solon, Ohio) at 37°C for 90 minutes to decrease viscosity. After digestion, the SF samples were analyzed using a custom luminex canine cytokine\chemokine bead panel for IL-8, KC, and MCP-1 (Millipore Corp. St. Louis, MO). Serum samples (50μl) were analyzed using custom human luminex performance MMP panel (R&D Systems, Minneapolis, MN) for MMP-2 and MMP-3 shown previously to cross-react with samples of canine origin [26]. Samples were processed according to the manufacturer’s protocol, and protein concentrations in the samples were determined using a Luminex 100/200 system (Qiagen Inc., Valencia, CA) with settings according to the assay manufacturer’s protocol for each assay.

The luminex (xMAP assay) works by mixing the sample with small (5.6 micron) polystyrene microspheres. Each microsphere has a specific fluorescent signature that can be detected and differentiated using the detector (LuminexTM 200TM, Luminex Corporation, Austin Texas). Further, each microsphere type is charged with a monoclonal antibody for a specific protein. Therefore, each set of microspheres is a specific test for the desired protein, and one aliquot of a sample is used for testing multiple proteins by mixing the microspheres for different proteins together with the sample, allowing binding to the microspheres. The amount of protein bound to the beads is proportional to the amount of protein in the sample. Following overnight incubation at 4°C, the beads are washed and then mixed with a biotinylated polyclonal secondary antibody for each protein tested. The samples are then mixed with streptavidin-phycoerythrin, which binds to the biotin secondary antibody and places a fluorescent tag on the bead proportional to the amount of protein bound to the bead. Using a luminex detector each bead is identified based on the fluorescent signature of the bead, and then the level of phycoerythrin fluorescence is measured. A total of 40 beads for each protein species were measured and the median fluorescence intensity for each is used to determine the concentration of each protein for each sample.

Synovial biopsy

In the OA group at the initial visit, the operated CrCLR stifle joints were approached via a standard medial arthrotomy [27] for surgical stabilization. The same surgical approach was used for both stifles of the control group dogs immediately after euthanasia. For each joint, a 1 x 2 cm piece of the synovial membrane was excised from the edge of the medial arthrotomy incision. The sections of the collected synovial tissues were fixed in 10% buffered formalin, embedded in paraffin, sectioned at 5 μm, and stained with hematoxylin and eosin (H&E). All sections were examined to rule out the presence of non-OA related changes (e.g., neoplasia, pyogranulomatous inflammation or evidence of infectious organisms), and then scored using a published synovitis grading system [28] by a blinded board certified veterinary pathologist (SAM). The samples were scored for the following parameters: synoviocyte changes (proliferation and hypertrophy), inflammatory infiltrates (neutrophilic infiltrates, fibrinous exudate, lymphoplasmacytic infiltrates, and lymphoid aggregates/follicles), and changes in the synovial stroma (villous hyperplasia, proliferation of fibroblasts, proliferation of blood vessels, cartilage/bone detritus, and hemosiderosis). For lymphoid follicles, cartilage/bone detritus, and hemosiderosis a score of 0 to 2 was assigned; the other parameters were scored from 0–3 [28]. This grading system was chosen over other grading systems, since other systems have not been validated for clinical use in dogs, and lack details in histological characteristics that were deemed relevant in this study [29].

Statistical analysis

Data distributions are presented in box plots with corresponding median and range reported. Natural logarithmic transformation was applied to the right-skewed measures before hypothesis testing. When evaluating the differences between the control and OA group samples, only the T1 samples from OA group were used. Additional comparisons between control and OA samples at subsequent visits were performed separately. General linear regression was used to compare serum biomarker concentrations between control and OA groups while adjusting for significant covariates. For evaluating individual SF biomarkers between OA affected stifles (index stifle), and contralateral stifles, and control stifles, mixed linear regression was used to account for dependency between the bilateral SF samples. Posthoc pairwise comparisons with Bonferroni adjustments were performed, and statistical significance was set as P < 0.05.

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to investigate the overall discriminative ability of individual biomarkers using area under the ROC curve (AUC). In addition, three logistic regression models were fit to the data to investigate the discriminative performance of combining different biomarkers: 1) MMP-2 and MMP-3, 2) IL-8, KC, and MCP-1, 3) all investigated biomarkers. Predicted probabilities derived from these logistic regression models were then evaluated using the ROC analyses. For the biomarkers (or their combinations) that yielded an AUC ≥ 0.90, the optimal cutoff value based on the Youden’s index was determined, and corresponding sensitivity and specificity were reported.

To evaluate temporal changes in biomarker concentrations, longitudinal data on the biomarker concentrations and contralateral stifles were analyzed. Mixed regression was used to compare biomarker concentrations across the three sampling time points. To evaluate the ability of serum and synovial biomarkers as predictors of the fate of contralateral CrCLR (i.e., time to rupture), Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed in the subject of the OA dogs with unilateral CrCLR. To run Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, each biomarker was dichotomized into high and low groups using the optimal cutoff value determined by ROC analysis or the median concentration. Log-rank tests were then performed to compare the survival curves between high and low groups.

Finally, mixed linear regression and ROC analyses were performed to evaluate synovial histology grades. To assess correlations between synovial histology grades and the serum and SF biomarkers, Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used. To evaluate the ability the histological grading system to predict class labels, the bilateral cases were excluded to avoid repeated measures, and the optimal cut off points for distinguishing between OA and control dogs for sum of inflammatory infiltrate grades, sum of synovial stroma grades, and sum of all scores were determined.

Results

Sixty-two dogs in the OA group and 50 dogs in the control dogs were included in the study. The median (range) for weight in the OA and control groups were 37.7 (18.3–81.0) kg and 24.1 (15–55.5) kg, respectively. The median (range) for age in the OA and control groups were 4.9 (1.3–10.9) years and 2 (0.5–8) years old, respectively. Weight and age were significantly different between the OA and control groups and therefore were adjusted for in all the group comparisons. There were two intact males, two intact females, 25 neutered females and 33 neutered males in the OA group. In the control group, there were two each of neutered males and neutered females, 20 intact females, and 26 intact males. The sex distribution was not different between the groups (P = 0.962, Pearson’s chi-squared test) and was not further considered in analyses. The most common dog breed in the OA group was Labrador Retriever (n = 22) and in control group, mixed breeds (n = 28) (Table 1).

Table 1. Frequency of dog breeds.

OA Group (n = 62) Control Group (n = 50)
Dog Breed Count Dog Breed Count
Labrador Retriever 22 Mixed breed 28
Golden Retriever 7 Pit Bull Terrier 11
Mastiff 5 German Shepherd 4
Boxer 4 Labrador Retriever 3
Mixed Breed 6 Australian Cattle Dog 2
Newfoundland Dog 3 Pointer 1
Rottweiler 3 Rottweiler 1
Bernese Mountain Dog 2
German Shepherd 2
Valley Bulldog 2
Airedale Terrier 1
Chesapeake Bay Retriever 1
Doberman Pinscher 1
Great Dane 1
Leonberger 1
Staffordshire Terrier 1

The breed frequencies are listed separately for osteoarthritis (OA) group and control group dogs.

There were 50 control dog serum samples. For the OA dogs there were 62, 47 and 46 serum samples available from T1, T2, and T3 sampling time points respectively. There were 93 control dog SF samples. For the OA dogs there were 118, 92 and 90 SF samples available from T1, T2, and T3 sampling time points respectively. The median time reported by clients from initial clinical signs of CrCLR to the time of initial presentation (chronicity of disease) was 92 days (1–732) and this information was available for 54 of the 62 dogs in the OA group. There were 39 complete and 31 partial CrCL tears observed in the operated stifles. When the effect of the presence of complete versus partial tear of the CrCL on the biomarker levels was evaluated, the presence of a complete CrCLR resulted in a statistically significant increase in KC concentration in the joint (P = 0.015) but not in other biomarkers. There were 38 medial meniscal tears in the 70 operated stifles. None of the operated stifles had any lateral meniscal tears. When the intraoperative status of the meniscus (intact versus torn) alone or in combination with CrCLR was evaluated, no significant biomarker concentration correlations were identified.

Serum biomarkers

The distributions of MMP-2 and MMP-3 concentrations are presented in S1 Fig. The mean MMP-2 concentration was 2.4 fold higher in the OA group compared to the control after adjusting for the age and weight of dogs; indicating a large but statistically non-significant difference (P = 0.074). The mean MMP-3 concentration, after adjustment for age and weight of dogs, was 5% lower in the OA group compared to the control group; indicating a small but statistically non-significant difference (P = 0.796).

The AUC for MMP-2 and MMP-3 was 0.61 (95% CI 0.50–0.71) and 0.53 (95% CI 0.42–0.64), respectively demonstrating poor overall discriminative abilities. Combining the MMP-2 and MMP-3 did not improve the discriminative performance (Table 2). The serum concentrations of MMP-2 and MMP-3 of control dogs were compared to the two recheck time points (T2 and T3). There were no significant differences for MMP-2 levels between control and OA group recheck time points T2 and T3 (P = 0.058 and P = 0.069 respectively), and for MMP-3 levels at either time points (P = 0.681 and P = 0.951 respectively). When bilateral versus unilateral stifle OA was accounted for within the analyses, the discriminatory performance of both biomarkers did not improve (values not reported). When changes over time for MMP-2 and MMP-3 biomarkers in the OA group were evaluated (S2 Fig), the only statistically significant difference was between the T1 and T2 time points for MMP-2 concentrations (P <0.001). The discriminative ability of serum biomarkers at both T2 and T3 time point measurements remained low (Table 2).

Table 2. Discriminative performance of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3.

Serum Biomarker Comparison AUC 95% CI
T1 vs Control 0.61 0.50–0.71
MMP-2 T2 vs Control 0.69 0.58–0.79
T3 vs Control 0.67 0.56–0.78
T1 vs Control 0.53 0.42–0.64
MMP-3 T2 vs Control 0.54 0.42–0.66
T3 vs Control 0.58 0.46–0.70
MMP-2 and MMP-3 T1 vs Control 0.62 0.53–0.71

The overall performance of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3 at different measurement time points (T1, T2, and T3) and combined on discriminating between dogs with and without osteoarthritis. The discriminative performance is measured using area under the ROC curve (AUC). T1: initial visit, T2: 4-week recheck, T3: 12-week recheck time points.

Synovial fluid biomarkers

Comparison of the concentrations of the SF biomarkers at T1 from the OA group (index and contralateral stifles) and the control dog stifles showed significant differences between the index stifle and control stifles for all three biomarkers (Fig 2). IL-8 and MCP-1 levels were significantly different between the index and contralateral stifles, while KC levels in the contralateral stifle were significantly different from the control but not the index stifle samples (Fig 2). A summary of comparisons between concentrations of the three SF biomarkers among controls, the index OA stifles and contralateral stifles at all three time points are presented in Table 3. Based on these results, there were significant differences between T1 and T2 for SF concentration of all three biomarkers between the index stifle and control samples. There were significant differences between SF concentrations of index and contralateral stifles in the OA group for IL-8 at T1 and T2 and for MCP-1 at all three time points. However, the only differences observed between control versus contralateral stifles was for KC concentrations at all three time points.

Fig 2. Comparison of synovial fluid biomarkers (IL-8, KC and MCP-1) between control and OA group samples.

Fig 2

Comparison of the distribution of IL-8 (A), KC (B), and MCP-1 (C) synovial fluid concentrations (pg/ml) at the initial visit (T1) for stifles with OA (OA), the stable stifles in the OA dogs (contralateral) and control dogs (control). The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fence are outliers. *Statistically significant if P < 0.05, ** or if P < 0.01.

Table 3. Synovial fluid biomarker differences between among groups and over time.

Synovial Biomarker Comparisons T1 (P value) T2 (P value) T3 (P value)
IL-8 OA vs Control 0.001* 0.003* 0.411
OA vs Contralateral 0.010* 0.007* 0.745
Control vs Contralateral 0.405 0.658 1
KC OA vs Control 0.010* <0.001* 0.096
OA vs Contralateral 0.872 0.978 1
Control vs Contralateral 0.001* <0.001* 0.043*
MCP-1 OA vs Control <0.001* <0.001* 0.295
OA vs Contralateral <0.001* <0.001* 0.043*
Control vs Contralateral 1 1 1

Mixed linear regression model adjusted for age and weight followed by post hoc pairwise comparison with Bonferroni correction at each time point.

*Statistical significance (P < 0.05). The comparison is for control dogs (both stifles sampled), OA group with index OA stifle and the contralateral unaffected stifle.

Comparisons of SF biomarker concentrations at different time points in either index or contralateral stifles in the OA group are shown in Fig 3. For the OA stifles, there was a significant decrease in all three biomarker concentrations at T3 compared to T1 and T2. However, there was no significant difference in biomarker concentrations between T1 and T2 despite a trend for elevation in all three biomarkers in the OA stifles. The results showed no significant change over time in the contralateral stifles (Fig 3).

Fig 3. Comparison of temporal changes of concentrations of synovial fluid IL-8, KC and MCP-1 biomarkers for the OA group dogs.

Fig 3

The first row of graphs are for synovial fluid samples from index stifles (OA) and the second row are for synovial fluid samples from the stable stifles of dogs in the OA group (contralateral). The time points evaluated are initial visit (T1), 4-week recheck (T2) and 12-week recheck (T3). The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fence are outliers. * if P < 0.05; ** if P < 0.01.

For the ROC analysis, the SF biomarkers (IL-8, KC and MCP-1) were compared between the right and left stifles in control dogs. As no statistically significant difference was found, the mean concentration of each biomarker for the right and left stifle of each control dog was used in the ROC analysis when comparing control dogs with OA groups (i.e., index and contralateral stifle values). When these SF biomarkers were evaluated for their discriminative abilities, the MCP-1 was the only biomarker that showed an acceptable performance with an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.83–0.98) distinguishing between index stifles and controls (Fig 4). The optimal cutoff value based on the Youden’s index was determined at a MCP-1 concentration >265 pg/ml. This cutoff value resulted in a sensitivity and specificity of 85% (95% CI: 72–94) and 98% (95% CI: 89–100), respectively. The same methodology was used to compare the control biomarker values with the index and contralateral stifle samples from the T2 and T3 visits. The MCP-1 model continued to have a superior discriminative performance among the investigated biomarkers. At T2, the statistically optimal cutoff value was at > 265 pg/ml with a sensitivity and specificity of 91% (95% CI: 77–98) and 98% (95% CI: 89–100) respectively. However, at T3 none of the biomarkers had an AUC > 0.90.

Fig 4. Discriminative performance of synovial fluid IL-8, KC and MCP-1 biomarkers’ ROC model performance at T1 time point for the OA group compared to control.

Fig 4

The forest plot depicts the area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to quantify the overall discriminative performance. Comparisons are between synovial fluid samples from the index (OA) and contralateral stifles from the OA group and control synovial fluid samples. An AUC = 1 indicates a perfect discriminative ability, whereas an AUC = 0.5 indicates no discriminative ability. It desired to have an AUC ≥ 0.9 for a clinically acceptable performance.

Follow up data based on post-surgery follow-up visits and telephone survey was available for 40 dogs for an average of 850 (104–2692) days. Of the 40 dogs, 17 (42.5%) developed a subsequent CrCLR in the contralateral stifle that had been stable at the time of inclusion in the study. The cutoff point selected for each biomarker’s concentrations in the two groups was the median concentration of the biomarker evaluated, except for MCP-1, where the optimal cut-off value of 265 pg/ml (obtained from the predictive model) was utilized. However, none of the biomarker concentrations (SF or serum) were shown to have discriminative predictive ability for time to development of contralateral CrCLR.

Synovial histopathology

Synovial tissue samples from both stifles for histopathological grading were available in all 50 control dogs (n = 100, left and right stifles). There were 62 OA dogs, six with bilateral CrCLR that had surgery and both stifles sampled (n = 12, left and right stifles), and 56 dogs that had unilateral surgery performed. Six of the 56 unilateral dogs did not have adequate tissue available for histopathological grading; the remaining 50 had histopathological grading for their surgical biopsies (n = 50; 26 right and 24 left stifles). Therefore, 62 synovial tissue samples of the OA group were available for grading. There was no statistically significant difference between the synovial histopathology grade between the right and left stifle in the control dogs; therefore the mean histopathology grade of right and left samples from each control dog was used. The comparison of histopathological grades between the OA and control groups using mixed regression model revealed statistically significant differences (P < 0.001) between the sum of synoviocyte scores, sum of inflammatory infiltrate scores, sum of synovial stroma grades, and sum of all scores. The optimal cutoff points for each grade in determining OA versus control were calculated and are presented in Table 4.

Table 4. Optimal cut-off points, based on the Younden’s index, for summed scores in each category of histopathological grading of synovitis between OA and control dogs.

Histopathological Scores Optimal cutoff Sn (95%CI) Sp (95% CI)
Sum of inflammatory infiltrate scores > 2 93% (80–99) 91% (84–96)
Sum of synovial stroma scores > 5 98% (87–100) 94% (87–98)
Sum of all scores > 13 98% (87–100) 97% (92–99)

Sensitivity (Sn) and specificity (Sp) of each cut-off point is reported with the 95% confidence interval (CI).

To evaluate correlations between histopathological grades and the serum and synovial biomarkers, only dogs (n = 91) with both biomarker and histopathological grades available were included in the analysis. In the OA group, only unilateral cases were included (n = 41). The correlations between histology grades and serum biomarkers MMP-2 and MMP-3 were all weak (Spearman’s rho < 0.2). For SF biomarkers, there were multiple significant correlations between the biomarkers and the histopathological grades (Table 5). The sum of inflammatory infiltrate score was significantly correlated with all three SF biomarkers (P < 0.01), while the sum of synovial stroma score and the sum of all scores were significantly correlated with IL-8 and MCP-1 only (P < 0.003), and the sum of synoviocyte score was only significantly correlated with MCP-1 (P < 0.001).

Table 5. Correlation between synovial fluid biomarkers (i.e., IL-8, KC, MCP-1) and histopathological grade of biopsied synovial membrane.

Synovial membrane histological grading Synovial fluid biomarkers
IL-8 KC MCP-1
CC (P value) CC (P value) CC (P value)
Synoviocyte
    •Proliferation 0.32 (0.007) 0.38 (<0.001)
    •Hypertrophy 0.35 (<0.001
Sum of Synoviocyte scores 0.38 (<0.001)
Inflammatory infiltrate
    •PMNs 0.31 (0.02) 0.49 (<0.001)
    •Fibrin 0.32 (0.007) 0.55(<0.001)
    •Lymphoplasmacytic infiltrate 0.35 (0.002) 0.31(0.017) 0.55 (<0.001)
    •Lymphoid aggregates/follicles) 0.36 (0.001)
Sum of Inflammatory infiltrate scores 0.34(0.004) 0.32(0.011) 0.56 (<0.001)
Synovial Stroma
    •Villous hyperplasia 0.45(<0.001)
    •Proliferative fibroblasts/fibrocytes 0.45(<0.001)
    •Proliferative blood vessels 0.33 (0.000) 0.32 (0.011) 0.6(<0.001)
    •Cartilage/bone detritus
    •Hemosidrosis 0.34 (0.003) 0.50 (<0.001)
Sum of Synovial Stroma scores 0.34 (0.003) 0.54 (<0.001)
Sum of all scores 0.35 (0.001) 0.54 (<0.001)

The P value and Spearman’s correlation coefficient (CC) are provided with significance set at P < 0.05.

Discussion

Based on the findings in this study, our hypothesis was partially rejected as the concentrations of the two serum biomarkers (i.e. MMP-2 and MMP-3) were unable to discriminate between the OA and control dogs (i.e., AUC = 0.5 for both biomarkers). MMP-2 (i.e., gelatinase A, 72KDa type IV collagenase) is produced from various tissues in the synovial joint, and is involved in the extracellular matrix degradation process in both articular cartilage and subchondral bone [30]. In human OA, serum MMP-2 levels have been shown to be elevated compared to controls [31], which correlates with the observed trend in the current study although it was not statistically significant. Stifle SF levels of MMP-2 and MMP-3 have been previously evaluated in clinical models of CrCLR in dogs and were significantly elevated in affected compared to control joints [32, 33]. An in vitro model has shown that intact CrCL explants can produce significantly higher MMP-2 and MMP-3 proteins, and this ability is reduced as more CrCL is damaged and as the process becomes more chronic [26]. However, the serum MMP-2 and MMP-3 levels reported by Garner et al. (2011) were significantly higher in normal dogs and dogs that had undergone stifle stabilization due to CrCLR (8 and 12 weeks after surgery) when compared to presurgical dogs with CrCLR [15]. However, their results were not corrected for body weight or age of the dogs [15]. In the current study, MMP-3 levels were initially higher in the OA group, but once adjustments for the age and weight of the dogs were made, the MMP-3 levels were 5% lower in the OA group but the difference was not statistically significant. The observed trend in MMP-3 levels in the OA group in this study is in agreement with the Garner et al. (2011) findings [15], and emphasizes the importance of accounting for variables such as age and weight of patients. Serum MMP-3 (stromelysin-1) is a key enzyme associated with cartilage degradation [34] and is elevated in human serum, plasma and tissue samples in acute destructive OA with acute pain of the hip joint [35]. The MMP-3 in the SF samples of dogs with rheumatoid arthritis is elevated [36] but gene expression of MMP-3 was not different in a canine CrCLR model compared to normal dogs [37]. This may be an indication that MMP-3 may warrant further investigation as a biomarker in differentiating rheumatoid arthritis and other forms of arthritis. These discrepancies between previous reports and the current study regarding serum MMP-2 and MMP-3 as OA biomarkers may be due to our larger sample size and variations in the severity of disease in our study population. The larger control group in our study may also have provided a wider natural variation in measured serum levels of these biomarkers.

Keratinocyte-derived chemoattractant (KC), also known as CXCL1 (C-X-C motif ligand 1), is a neutrophil chemoattractant in the same CXC chemokine subfamily as IL-8 with similarities to growth regulated oncogene-alpha (GRO∞) in humans [38]. It is known to be upregulated in chondrocytes of humans with OA and rheumatoid arthritis [39]. In dogs, KC as a stifle OA biomarker is less sensitive than MCP-1 and IL-8 due to the presence of overlap between normal and OA dogs [15]. In the current study, KC concentrations discriminated between control and OA joints as well as the contralateral joint. However, we were unable to demonstrate a difference between the KC levels of the OA and the contralateral stifle joints in the OA group. This KC elevation in the SF of stifles with OA associated with CrCLR in dogs was observed in the Garner et al. (2011) cohort. However, in that study, pre-surgery samples from the contralateral stifles had not been obtained [15]. The KC elevations in the contralateral stifles in this study may have been due to the presence of pre-existing synovitis in the contralateral stifle joint of dogs with unilateral degenerative CrCLR [40].

MCP-1 (i.e., CCL2) is of the C (γ) chemokine family and is considered a potent attractant of monocytes to sites of inflammation [41]. It has been widely investigated as a potential target for the treatment of diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, atherosclerosis, and insulin-resistant diabetes [41]. IL-8 (a.k.a., CXCL-8, neutrophil activating peptide-1, NAP) has been implicated as a contributor to the pathophysiology of OA by promoting chondrocyte hypertrophy and apoptosis that ultimately results in cartilage degradation in the joint [42]. The SF IL-8 and MCP-1 concentrations in this study were significantly different between CrCLR stifle samples and the control, and between the CrCLR and the contralateral stifles. However, no significant differences in these biomarkers were noted between the control and contralateral samples. Increased synovial expression of IL-8 and MCP-1 as pro-inflammatory mediators has been documented in an experimental rabbit model of OA [43] and clinical rheumatoid arthritis in people [44]. IL-8 has also been associated with Borreliosis-associated arthritis [45]. Serum MCP-1 elevations in dogs have been previously associated with critical illness that is distinguishable from normal and postsurgical healthy patients [46] as well as in dogs with primary immune mediated hemolytic anemia [47]. When predictive ability of the SF and serum biomarkers in discriminating between control and OA group dogs were evaluated, MCP-1 in stifle SF was the only biomarker for which a cut off value (> 265 pg/ml considered OA) was calculated that predicted the class labels (OA versus control) with high sensitivity and specificity (> 90%). However, the predictive ability of MCP-1 was good only when comparing control dogs with OA dogs at T1 and T2 time points. This may have been due to moderation of the inflammatory response related to MCP-1 at the 12-week recheck time point.

When evaluating temporal changes in the biomarkers, MMP-2 was the only serum biomarker that showed a statistically significant difference between the T1 and T2 time points in OA dogs. All three SF biomarker levels in the OA stifles demonstrated a statistically significant decline between the initial visit and the 12-week recheck levels as well as between the 4-week and 12-week recheck levels. This finding may be an indication of reduced inflammatory response after surgical stabilization of the CrCL deficient stifles and the rest and more restricted activity imposed on these animals. Long-term studies of surgically stabilized stifles are warranted to evaluate the long-term changes in these biomarkers after the patient returns to normal daily activities and as the OA progresses in the joint. The lack of detectable differences between the initial visit and the 4-week recheck time point for all three SF biomarkers may have been due to the superimposed inflammation from the surgical intervention despite the postoperatively stable status of these joints. The incidence of subsequent CrCLR of the contralateral stifle in dogs that present with unilateral CrCLR is as high as 54%, and the presence of more severe radiographic signs of OA (i.e., effusion and osteophytosis) increases the risk and reduces the time until subsequent CrCL tear [48]. The contralateral stifles in OA dogs in this study did not show significant changes in any of the SF biomarkers over the 12-week follow up period, and we were unable to predict the fate of the contralateral stifles based on the available follow-up data.

It has been postulated that presence of a complete CrCL tear results in more significant instability in the stifle and thereby may predispose the joint to a more significant degree of OA [49]. The main detectable change in this study was a statistically significant increase in the KC levels in the SF of dogs with a complete CrCL tear compared to stifles with partially torn CrCL. The observed increase in KC levels with complete CrCLR joints may be due to the higher degree of inflammatory response due to the extent of ligamentous damage. Concerns regarding exacerbation of OA secondary to meniscal damage have been expressed, and more severe OA is believed to result from the change in joint contact mechanics when the meniscus is lost [50]. In a canine meniscectomy model of OA, select SF cartilage biomarkers showed detectable alteration in these levels over time [19]. However, the current naturally occurring CrCLR dog model did not show any detectable differences in either serum or SF biomarkers between dogs with and without meniscal damage.

The histopathological grading system selected for this study showed a strong correlation between the sum of inflammatory infiltrate score and all three SF biomarkers, but not the serum biomarkers. However, MCP-1 was the only SF biomarker that had a strong correlation with all categories of this histological grading system. This histological grading system was proposed initially for use in rabbit synovial histological grading [28], and has not been validated for use in dogs. However, we selected this system to evaluate its ability to correlate with the biomarkers we evaluated because the subcategories proposed in other grading systems tended to be too broad to allow detailed categorization of the histological features [29, 40, 51]. Further, none of the other proposed grading systems have been validated for histological grading of canine synovitis. The proposed cut off values reported in this study, as well as the correlations amongst histological categories and the SF biomarkers, warrants further investigation and validation of the proposed use of this grading system in the histological grading of canine synovitis.

This study has several limitations due to the clinical nature of the OA model used. These limitations include the heterogenous population of dogs with variations in chronicity and severity of OA that may have resulted in lack of detection of significant differences between groups particularly in the serum biomarkers. It would be ideal if the chronicity of the CrCLR could further be stratified in future studies to evaluate potential differences in biomarkers over time. However, due to the variability of client-based reported chronicity of the CrCLR in the OA group and limitation of sample size this was not possible in the present study. All OA group dogs received a non-steroidal anti-inflamatory drug (NSAID) in the first 7–10 days after surgical intervention which may have impacted the results of follow up serum and SF biomarker measurements in this study. A previous study that has evaluated the effect of NSAID use on collagenase and general MMP activity in cartilage, and synovium did not show a significant difference compared to controls despite 8 weeks of use in a tCrCL model [52] In vitro studies have shown a dose-dependent suppressive effect by NSAIDs on MMPs in human synovial fibroblasts and bovine chondrocyte models [53, 54] as well as in clinical trials of human knee OA [55]. However, the impact of the suppressive effect of the short term meloxicam used in this study on the serum and SF biomarker measurements at T2 and T3 are unknown. Since all dogs in the OA groups were treated with the same protocol, the observed trends are expected to be similar within the OA group’s temporal changes. The follow-up time in the study was relatively short (12 weeks) compared to the chronic, and insidious nature of OA progression, and was dictated by the limitations of utilizing client-owned animals for the purpose of the study. The synovial fluid samples were frozen after collection and were not spun until the time of analysis that may have affected relese of cytokines from the cells that may have affected the measured biomarkers. However, this methodology was based on the previous study that had evaluated these biomarkers in a similar fashion and considering all samples in the current study were subjected to the same treatment, the overall effect of the freeze-thaw cycle on the level of cell lysis is expected to be consistent across all samples. The evaluated SF and serum biomarkers were compared between the control and OA associated with CrCLR, therefore the discriminatory ability of these markers in distinguishing between other forms of arthritis (e.g., septic, immune-mediated) cannot be determined based on the current study.

Conclusions

Serum MMP-2 and MMP-3 concentrations did not discriminate between dogs with stifle OA secondary to naturally occurring CrCLR and controls, and cannot be recommended as clinically reliable serum biomarkers of stifle OA in this naturally occurring form. Of the investigated SF biomarkers, MCP-1 was the only biomarker with acceptable performance in discriminating between the OA group and controls. The significant decreases in IL-8, KC, and MCP-1 in the index stifles from the preoperative period to the 12-week recheck time point indicate an effect of surgical stabilization of a CrCL deficit knee, possibly in moderating the inflammatory response. Differences in the contralateral knee of dogs with unilateral CrCLR were detectable with elevations in KC levels in the joint when compared to controls and differences in IL-8 and MCP-1 levels compared to index stifle samples. These SF biomarker differences confirm the presence of a low-level existence of inflammation in the stable contralateral stifles of dogs with unilateral CrCLR. However, none of these SF biomarkers are suitable as predictors of future CrCLR in these initially stable stifles. MCP-1 was the only biomarker that consistently correlated with all categories of histopathologic grading, suggesting utility as a potential biomarker of synovial inflammation of canine stifle OA associated with CrCLR.

Supporting information

S1 Fig. Distribution of MMP-2 and MMP-3 serum concentrations between groups.

Distribution of MMP-2 (A) and MMP-3 (B) serum concentration for control and osteoarthritis (OA) groups (pg/ml). The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fences are outliers.

(TIF)

S2 Fig. Distribution of MMP-2 and MMP-3 serum concentrations over time in osteoarthritis (OA) group.

Distribution of serum concentrations of MMP-2 (A) and MMP-3 (B) over three time points for the OA group dogs. T1: initial visit, T2: 4-week recheck, T3: 12 week recheck. The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fences are outliers. ** Statistically significant different concentrations (P < 0.01).

(TIF)

S1 Data

(XLSX)

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Dr. Trina Bailey for contributing OA group samples, Dr. Aaron Stoker and Dr. Jimmy Cook for facilitating the multiplex bead assay analysis of the study samples at the University of Missouri’s Comparative Orthopedic Laboratory.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The funding for this study was secured through Canadian Institutes of Health Research Grant-Regional partnership fund - Innovation PEI (No: 97027) (CBR) (https://cihr-irsc.gc.ca/e/193.html); Companion Animal Trust Fund – University of Prince Edward Island (SM, RB) (https://www.upei.ca/avc/companion-animals/companion-animal-trust-fund); and the Cohn Family Chair for Small Animals- Oklahoma State University (SM) (https://news.okstate.edu/magazines/state-magazine/articles/2018/spring/cohn-family-chair-for-small-animals.html). These funders paid for material costs for the study. Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd. provided the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory pain medication meloxicam (Metacam®) (SM). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Chi Zhang

3 Jun 2020

PONE-D-20-13103

Evaluation of validity of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Malek,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

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Chi Zhang

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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2. In your Methods section, please provide additional details regarding the control dogs used in your study and ensure you have described the source and consent from the owners of the animals.

For more information regarding PLOS' policy on materials sharing and reporting, see https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/materials-and-software-sharing#loc-sharing-materials.

3. Thank you for stating the following in the Financial Disclosure section:

"The funding for this study was secured through Canadian Institutes of Health Research Grant-Regional partnership fund - Innovation PEI (No: 97027) (CBR) (https://cihr-irsc.gc.ca/e/193.html), Companion Animal Trust Fund – University of Prince Edward Island (SM, RB) (https://www.upei.ca/avc/companion-animals/companion-animal-trust-fund), Cohn Family Chair for Small Animals- Oklahoma State University (SM) (https://news.okstate.edu/magazines/state-magazine/articles/2018/spring/cohn-family-chair-for-small-animals.html): direct and indirect costs and Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd. financial incentive for client-owned dog recruitment by providing the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory pain medication meloxicam (Metacam®) (SM). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript."

We note that you received funding from a commercial source: Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd.

a. Please provide an amended Competing Interests Statement that explicitly states this commercial funder, along with any other relevant declarations relating to employment, consultancy, patents, products in development, marketed products, etc.

Within this Competing Interests Statement, please confirm that this does not alter your adherence to all PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials by including the following statement: "This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.” (as detailed online in our guide for authors http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests).  If there are restrictions on sharing of data and/or materials, please state these. Please note that we cannot proceed with consideration of your article until this information has been declared.

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4. We noted in your submission details that a portion of your manuscript may have been presented or published elsewhere.

"The results of this study regarding these biomarkers being evaluated as diagnostic and monitoring candidates for OA has been accepted as a poster at the 2020 OARSI’s  (osteoarthritis research society international) annual symposium) and will be published in abstract form in the osteoarthritis and cartilage journal in the near future. The findings of correlation of the histopathological data and the biomarkers have been accepted as a podium presentation at the 2020 annual ECVS (European College of Veterinary Surgeons) meeting and will be published as an abstract in the Veterinary Surgery Journal in the near future. Both these meetings have been cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic; therefore, the dat will only be published in abstract form in the aforementioned journals. However, this manuscript encompasses additional and expanded information from what were submitted to the ECVS and OARSI meeting."

Please clarify whether this conference proceeding / publication was peer-reviewed and formally published. If this work was previously peer-reviewed and published, in the cover letter please provide the reason that this work does not constitute dual publication and should be included in the current manuscript.

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: The manuscript is very well written and for most part the data is also presented very well. It contains a substantial volume of work and some of the data presented are potentially important and may be useful in diagnosis and monitoring osteoarthritis in dogs. The background to the study, hypothesis and the study objectives are clearly stated however there are some minor issues that the authors need to address as detailed below.

Specific comments

1. There is a tendency to explain and discuss everything including non-significant findings! This makes it difficult to read and appreciate the main findings of the study. The authors could have written a more focused manuscript by concentrating on the important and significant data from the study. The authors should consider removing Figures 1 and 2 as these data are not significant and are given in Table 2. The description of the non-significant MMP-2 and MMP-3 results should be condensed as much as possible.

2. Figure 5 is an excellent summary of the main results and allows one to see at a glance the important and potentially useful findings of the entire study. Please provide a full description of this forest plot in the figure legend for readers who may not be familiar with this type of data presentation.

3. For Figures 3 and 4, an adequate description of the box plot is required. E.g. 95% CI, mean or median etc.

4. I enjoyed reading the discussion which is well written and balanced citing many appropriate references. However, it would be useful to add a short paragraph at the end of the discussion on the limitation and strength of the study.

Reviewer #2: The authors are quite clear in their abstract, introduction and methods that they set out to evaluate the validity of 5 markers (2 in serum [MMP2 and MMP3], 3 in synovial fluid (SF) [MCP-1, IL8, KC) as biomarkers, using a naturally occurring ACL deficiency in dogs who are having their ACL reconstructed as an OA group, representing a naturally occurring model of post-traumatic OA, and a control OA free group. Slightly ambitiously they appear to want to test the diagnostic ability, evaluate responsiveness to treatment and sensitivity to change in contralateral stifle joints and associations with other pathology. Despite this being an area of high clinical and scientific interest, there would appear to be some significant flaws which in my view affect the ability to draw clear conclusions. It’s also not really clear what clinical questions any of these 3 scenarios tested would usefully address in a situation where an animal was already known to be ACL deficient and was having reconstructive surgery.

MAJOR

Overall approach: Evaluation of biomarkers and assessment of validity are very specific FDA terms (l= https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4430113/) with connotations in terms of approach. For example, for a diagnostic biomarker, this would need to be tested across several different disease groups to assess ‘specificity’ not just against a control group. This paper does not unfortunately get anywhere near achieving these aims. For example in terms of being a diagnostic marker for OA, all are likely to be upregulated in inflammatory arthritis or septic arthritis too, so it is not clear how they could be discriminatory if these groups were not examined. Similarly seeing the levels of these markers in OA which was not ACL deficient, to understand how specific they were to this post-traumatic OA phenotype, if that was the hypothesis here, would have been helpful. The hypothesis also included assessing predictive biomarkers but I see no real assessment of the role of these markers in prognosis.

Choice of makers: These 5 markers were picked from a paper by Garner et al, but it is not clear how relevant they are to these particular questions, or why these particular markers were selected when this original paper used just 10 animals. This perhaps just needed a little more justification.

Animals: I am unclear as to whether this is an acute injury situation (some have recently ruptured ACL) or a chronic ACL injury model or an established OA model. With the time from injury ranging from 1-732 days, this timing presumably could massively affect the injury vs OA response and hence the biomarker response, but it’s not clear if this was accounted for. Presumably the degree of OA must have varied hugely in these animals, and I wondered if we would be shown the biomarkers in comparison to this time from injury. There is just a comment that there were no significant differences. It is made clear this is not an animal model: as it is naturally occurring with a wide variety of breeds in both the OA group and control group with some neutered whilst others not brings yet more heterogeneity (detectable or not). It’s not clear why the control animals were being euthanased, and the role of use of meloxicam post operatively probably confounds looking at response to biomarkers (Bohringer-Ingelheim funded post op meloxicam I note in the financial disclosure)– was this a substudy in a clinical trial? This should have been made completely clear in methods.

Study design: The animals are sampled at 3 times – T1 initial, T2 4 weeks post op (ACL reconstruction), and T3, 12 weeks post op. The SF markers were found to drop over these times. However, the comparisons do not feel pre-defined, with multiple comparisons (albeit accounted for by Bonferroni) including comparison of contralateral and control joints. It is not clear how this could be used at an individual level to evaluate diagnosis or responsiveness to treatment, and in fact no clinical outcomes such as pain are measured in the study which seems an omission if one wants to look at responsiveness to treatment at an individual level. This is a shame because having longitudinal and contralateral SF sampling is a very significant resource. The study design, sampling and nomenclature is somewhat complex and could really have benefitted from a summary flow diagram.

Biomarker analysis: The synovial fluid was not spun at collection. This meant that any cells present (which are there) will lyse on freezing, causing artefact by release of cytokines including MCP-1 which could interfere with results. The biomarkers are analysed on a Luminex platform. Despite synovial fluid being well known to be a challenging fluid, no data is given as to the ‘validity’ of these assays on this matrix, or any performance characteristics of the assays, e.g. intra assay cv, interassay c.v. The synovial fluid was enzyme digested but this author would still need to be convinced that there was not lots of background in an assay like this.

Statistical analysis. This seems at odds to the initial questions. AUC is used, even to test serum makers which are statistically no different from controls. Later, contralateral limbs are included if they have OA and contralateral control limbs which causes issues with biological replicates in samples, which I am not convinced are fully accounted. Later in the histological analyses, Spearman’s correlation is used to look at an integer histological score and its relationship to the biomarkers which seems an odd approach. At one point, mean biomarker levels between the 2 limbs are calculated. This all seems fairly arbitrary and not clearly planned out. There is no discussion of whether the biomarkers are normally distributed and whether regression was the best approach. Some analyses are adjusted for covariates, but it is unclear what these are, whether they were predefined. They seem to include age and weight. Did they include the time from injury/instability (which would seem relevant) or breed of dog? Meniscal tear is mentioned for the first time at 311, with no detail on how this was recorded or accounted for. Imposing a cut off on MCP-1 seems like an afterthought and it’s not clear how much of this approach was pre-defined at the outset. The power calculation is not clear in terms of which question it was based on answering or whether this took in to account the plan to adjust for covariates (which I doubt given the very low estimated numbers needed).

Results. MMP3 is not significantly different. 5% reduction in levels is not an accurate way of describing this.

Discussion. There seems to be a lack of knowledge/citation of the human biomarker efforts in OA (Kraus et al, ARD 2017) and in PTOA relevant to this study (e.g. Struglics et al, A&R 2015). A knowledge of this literature might have informed some of the questions and approaches I suspect.

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Reviewer #1: Yes: Mohammed Sharif

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2020 Nov 19;15(11):e0242614. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242614.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


17 Jul 2020

PONE-D-20-13103

Evaluation of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as potential biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Zhang and our reviewers,

We would like to thank you all for your constructive feedback and recommendations. We have strived to answer all the questions and address all concerns raised and in some areas adjusted the manuscript content accordingly. The first section addresses comments from Dr. Zhang followed by our responses to each of our reviewers. Additional comments for Dr. Zhang are included in the cover letter for this revised manuscript. We hope that this version meets your expectations and that you find our responses to your questions and comments appropriate.

Response to Academic Editor

1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=ba62/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_title_authors_affiliations.pdf

Authors’ response: Please let us know if we have missed any formatting requirements and we can readily address them. We apologize if we have missed more. The website indicates using Vancouver for output style for references, however, the endnote reference manage already has the formatting for Plos which actually matches your published work style. So, we used the plos output style from Endnote but we are happy to change that.

Authors’ action: We found some errors in Table legends that were corrected and we spelled out the name USA in affiliations.

2. In your Methods section, please provide additional details regarding the control dogs used in your study and ensure you have described the source and consent from the owners of the animals.

For more information regarding PLOS' policy on materials sharing and reporting, see https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/materials-and-software-sharing#loc-sharing-materials.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comment. Obtaining approval from the control dogs’ population was not clear in the manuscript. These dogs were being euthanized at a shelter (as they are at many) for non-health related issues (e.g., behavioral issues, not being adoptable) and the shelter management was making the decision for euthanasia for the dogs and the euthanasia was conducted by the shelter staff. Dogs that were headed for euthanasia were screened for eligibility for inclusion in this study and permission by the shelter management was granted for all dogs that were included in this study. There were no financial or other incentive for the shelter management to allow the investigators to utilize these dogs.

Authors’ action: We included that information in the statement in line 90 to confirm that consent was obtained for both population and with the owners’ understanding of all research related interventions the dogs were subjected to. We also added more detail in our ethics statement for the control dogs that would have been redundant for the body of the manuscript.

3. Thank you for stating the following in the Financial Disclosure section:

"The funding for this study was secured through Canadian Institutes of Health Research Grant-Regional partnership fund - Innovation PEI (No: 97027) (CBR) (https://cihr-irsc.gc.ca/e/193.html), Companion Animal Trust Fund – University of Prince Edward Island (SM, RB) (https://www.upei.ca/avc/companion-animals/companion-animal-trust-fund), Cohn Family Chair for Small Animals- Oklahoma State University (SM) (https://news.okstate.edu/magazines/state-magazine/articles/2018/spring/cohn-family-chair-for-small-animals.html): direct and indirect costs and Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd. financial incentive for client-owned dog recruitment by providing the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory pain medication meloxicam (Metacam®) (SM). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript."

We note that you received funding from a commercial source: Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd.

a. Please provide an amended Competing Interests Statement that explicitly states this commercial funder, along with any other relevant declarations relating to employment, consultancy, patents, products in development, marketed products, etc.

Within this Competing Interests Statement, please confirm that this does not alter your adherence to all PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials by including the following statement: "This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.” (as detailed online in our guide for authors http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests). If there are restrictions on sharing of data and/or materials, please state these. Please note that we cannot proceed with consideration of your article until this information has been declared.

Authors’ response: The authors did not have any associations with the Boehringer-Ingelheim Ltd. regarding employment, consultancy, patents, products in development, marketed products, etc. As a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory pain medication, this drug is routinely prescribed to dogs after surgical intervention. The gift of the drugs was a donation of good will by the company in support of research at the authors’ facility (Atlantic Veterinary College).

Authors’ action: We have addressed this as requested in our amended competing interests’ statement included as requested in the cover letter.

b. Please include your amended Competing Interests Statement within your cover letter. We will change the online submission form on your behalf.

Authors’ action: Done.

4. We noted in your submission details that a portion of your manuscript may have been presented or published elsewhere.

"The results of this study regarding these biomarkers being evaluated as diagnostic and monitoring candidates for OA has been accepted as a poster at the 2020 OARSI’s (osteoarthritis research society international) annual symposium) and will be published in abstract form in the osteoarthritis and cartilage journal in the near future. The findings of correlation of the histopathological data and the biomarkers have been accepted as a podium presentation at the 2020 annual ECVS (European College of Veterinary Surgeons) meeting and will be published as an abstract in the Veterinary Surgery Journal in the near future. Both these meetings have been cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic; therefore, the data will only be published in abstract form in the aforementioned journals. However, this manuscript encompasses additional and expanded information from what were submitted to the ECVS and OARSI meeting."

Please clarify whether this conference proceeding / publication was peer-reviewed and formally published. If this work was previously peer-reviewed and published, in the cover letter please provide the reason that this work does not constitute dual publication and should be included in the current manuscript.

Authors’ response: The only published part of this work is the biomarker portion of the data that is produced in abstract form only in Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Journal (DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2020.02.500). As previously mentioned neither the OARSI or ECVS meetings happened due to the COVID-19 pandemic, therefore no part of this work has been presented at any other venue. We also, retracted our second abstract prior to publication in Veterinary Surgery Journal in abstract form (this was the submission to the ECVS meeting). The abstract submitted to ECVS that had all the histopathological data and its correlations with the biomarker data, therefore, we do not believe this constitute dual publication for the current manuscript.

Authors’ action: We have reflected this clarification in our cover letter as well.

Response to reviewers’ comments:

Reviewer #1: The manuscript is very well written and for most part the data is also presented very well. It contains a substantial volume of work and some of the data presented are potentially important and may be useful in diagnosis and monitoring osteoarthritis in dogs. The background to the study, hypothesis and the study objectives are clearly stated however, there are some minor issues that the authors need to address as detailed below.

Specific comments

1. There is a tendency to explain and discuss everything including non-significant findings! This makes it difficult to read and appreciate the main findings of the study. The authors could have written a more focused manuscript by concentrating on the important and significant data from the study. The authors should consider removing Figures 1 and 2 as these data are not significant and are given in Table 2. The description of the non-significant MMP-2 and MMP-3 results should be condensed as much as possible.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments and your support of this manuscript. We agree that this work has a significant volume of information and can be cumbersome to read through, but we also felt that not reporting all findings on the key biomarkers that were under investigation will leave unanswered questions in the readers’ minds. The reason behind presenting Figure’s 1 and 2 (now renamed as S1 Fig and S2 Fig) was to give a visual aid for the readers regarding distribution of the biomarker concentrations between OA and control groups. The Figure 2 (now S2 Fig) does have a single significant point (T1 vs T2 for MMP2). The Table 2 is presented separately to demonstrate the details of the discriminative abilities rather than the comparisons of group means. We consider comparison of means (reported as difference in means, Lines 313-318) separately from the diagnostic discriminative abilities (reported based on AUC) (Lines 319-322). There are cases where group differences based on comparison of means may not be statistically significant but may provide valuable discriminative abilities. We also reported the magnitude of effect (i.e., difference in means and AUC to quantify clinical importance rather than simply reporting the P values.

Authors’ action: We moved Figures 1 and 2 to supplementary section (now S1 Fig and S2 Fig).

2. Figure 5 is an excellent summary of the main results and allows one to see at a glance the important and potentially useful findings of the entire study. Please provide a full description of this forest plot in the figure legend for readers who may not be familiar with this type of data presentation.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments. The Figure 5 is now Figure 4 in the manuscript (Lines 412-420).

Authors’ action: Done.

3. For Figures 3 and 4, an adequate description of the box plot is required. E.g. 95% CI, mean or median etc.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments.

Authors’ action: Done. The figures 3 and 4 are now figures 2 and 3 respectively.

4. I enjoyed reading the discussion which is well written and balanced citing many appropriate references. However, it would be useful to add a short paragraph at the end of the discussion on the limitation and strength of the study.

Authors’ response: We completely agree with your feedback. We wanted this paragraph to be short, however, our second reviewer also provided us with very good points that needed to be clarified in this limitations section. Therefore, it is not as short as we would have hoped.

Authors’ action: Limitation paragraph added in discussion (Lines 593-623)

Reviewer #2: The authors are quite clear in their abstract, introduction and methods that they set out to evaluate the validity of 5 markers (2 in serum [MMP2 and MMP3], 3 in synovial fluid (SF) [MCP-1, IL8, KC) as biomarkers, using a naturally occurring ACL deficiency in dogs who are having their ACL reconstructed as an OA group, representing a naturally occurring model of post-traumatic OA, and a control OA free group. Slightly ambitiously they appear to want to test the diagnostic ability, evaluate responsiveness to treatment and sensitivity to change in contralateral stifle joints and associations with other pathology. Despite this being an area of high clinical and scientific interest, there would appear to be some significant flaws which in my view affect the ability to draw clear conclusions. It’s also not really clear what clinical questions any of these 3 scenarios tested would usefully address in a situation where an animal was already known to be ACL deficient and was having reconstructive surgery.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your detailed evaluation of this work. We would like to clarify that in the cohort of dogs with (CrCLR=ACL) deficiency in this study, the etiology of the rupture is not trauma as is seen in the human counterpart (PTOA), but a degenerative process. In dogs this results in loss of ACL’s structural integrity that is preceded by synovitis in the joint, resulting in partial or complete tear of the ligament during daily activities that do not necessarily fall under “traumatic” category. The etiology of this degenerative process remains elusive but has not been able to be attributed to any known immune mediated or infectious processes over the years. That is why dogs with history of traumatic ACL tear were not included in this study. This was not clear in our methodology and introduction for non-veterinarian readers who would not be as familiar with the process. The pathophysiology of this degenerative ACL disease in dogs affects many dogs bilaterally with around 50% of dogs experiencing a subsequent tear in the contralateral limb within a year of being diagnosed with a unilateral ACL tear. Therefore, our evaluation of the contralateral knee at different timelines was in pursuit of seeing whether we could detect any correlations between the fate of this initially stable knee and the biomarkers that would help us predict the ultimate outcome. We were also looking to detect early stages of the disease in the contralateral knee that may provide us with an opportunity for future treatments and preventative interventions. Due to the degenerative nature of the disease, attempts at reconstructing the native ACL in dogs with this particular pathology have not shown consistent good outcomes with the reconstructed ligament losing structural integrity due to the synovitis within the joint. Therefore in dogs, the majority of treatment options are aimed at mechanical stabilization of the joint by creating periarticular fibrosis using extracapsular femorotibial sutures or osteotomy techniques (e.g., TPLO) to adjust the tibial plateau slope (which is much steeper compared to humans in normal dogs) to provide dynamic stability of the joint in absence of the native ACL. Therefore regarding the contralateral stifles that were stable at the time of diagnosing CrCL in one knee, we were interested in mainly diagnostic ability of the synovial fluid biomarkers in detecting early OA changes compared to control group and sensitivity in changes over time but not responsiveness to treatment (since no treatment for the contralateral stifle was done). So in summary our hope for assessing the contralateral knees were:

1- To see if these SF biomarkers show sensitivity in detecting these clinically stable knees that maybe already abnormal at a molecular level. This was with the idea that we may be able to use these markers for future studies in response to treatment or preventative interventions as a screening test to stop this degenerative process from resulting in CrCLR in these contralateral knees.

2- We also wanted to see if we could predict based on these markers as to which contralateral knee would end up with CrCLR down the road after the initial diagnosis of unilateral CrCLR.

Authors’ action: We added more detail in the introduction to clarify the significance of the naturally occurring CrCLR in dogs to point out the bilateral nature of the disease with subsequent tear rate being quite high in the initially stable contralateral knee (Lines 29-36). We expanded our 3rd objective to clarify our goals with the contralateral knee (Lines 81-82). We also added our exclusion of traumatic ACL tear dogs in methodology (Lines 110-111). In lines 135-137 in methods, we also emphasized that damaged portions were removed and no attempt at reconstructing the ligaments or menisci were made.

MAJOR

Overall approach: Evaluation of biomarkers and assessment of validity are very specific FDA terms (l= https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4430113/) with connotations in terms of approach. For example, for a diagnostic biomarker, this would need to be tested across several different disease groups to assess ‘specificity’ not just against a control group. This paper does not unfortunately get anywhere near achieving these aims. For example in terms of being a diagnostic marker for OA, all are likely to be upregulated in inflammatory arthritis or septic arthritis too, so it is not clear how they could be discriminatory if these groups were not examined. Similarly seeing the levels of these markers in OA which was not ACL deficient, to understand how specific they were to this post-traumatic OA phenotype, if that was the hypothesis here, would have been helpful. The hypothesis also included assessing predictive biomarkers but I see no real assessment of the role of these markers in prognosis.

Authors’ response: The clarification regarding this model not being post-traumatic but degenerative ACL tear has been addressed in our response to your preceding comment. We aimed to evaluate the sensitivity of these biomarkers in detecting the differences between the two groups. You are absolutely right that we did not look at specificity of these biomarkers for OA and drew correlations based on the fact that these dogs were systemically cleared of any other arthritic or systemic inflammatory disease prior to inclusion in the study.

The evaluation of predictive biomarker role was investigated with regards to the fate of the contralateral stifles that were stable at the time of enrolment in the study was described in the methodology section (Lines 267-273). However, we did not find any correlations in the biomarkers (Lines 422-430). We did not believe that performing the same evaluation for the serum biomarkers would be useful considering we already had a unilateral ACL tear in one knee in those dogs and that serum biomarkers would be heavily affected by contributions from all joints but we did it anyways since we had the data and both are reported in the same paragraph in the results.

Authors’ action: We removed the term “validity” from the manuscript’s title as well as the abstract and introduction and replaced them with evaluation and evaluate respectively. We also added a comment in our limitations to outline the fact that further specificity of these biomarkers for this model of OA needs to be evaluated against other causes of arthritis (Lines 639-642). We also added serum and SF in line 429 of results to show lack predictive value for these biomarkers for the contralateral CrCLR.

Choice of makers: These 5 markers were picked from a paper by Garner et al, but it is not clear how relevant they are to these particular questions, or why these particular markers were selected when this original paper used just 10 animals. This perhaps just needed a little more justification.

Authors’ response: The main reason for this inclusion was that the Garner paper evaluated 18 biomarkers in serum synovial fluid and urine simultaneously and the majority of these markers had been previously evaluated in other studies with conflicting results and this study was able to show these 5 markers (2 in serum and 3 in synovial fluid) to be good candidates in both tCrCL model as well as the degenerative ACL model. The latter was the model we used in this study and the goal was to see if their results could be extrapolated to a larger and different population of dogs with the same pathology. The justification for inclusion of these markers are in the introduction (Lines 60-69).

Authors’ action: None.

Animals: I am unclear as to whether this is an acute injury situation (some have recently ruptured ACL) or a chronic ACL injury model or an established OA model. With the time from injury ranging from 1-732 days, this timing presumably could massively affect the injury vs OA response and hence the biomarker response, but it’s not clear if this was accounted for. Presumably the degree of OA must have varied hugely in these animals, and I wondered if we would be shown the biomarkers in comparison to this time from injury. There is just a comment that there were no significant differences. It is made clear this is not an animal model: as it is naturally occurring with a wide variety of breeds in both the OA group and control group with some neutered whilst others not brings yet more heterogeneity (detectable or not).

Authors’ response: On the veterinary side, we are so used to the fact that there is an obvious distinction between traumatic ACL tear and the degenerative (naturally-occurring) ACL tear that we had not clarified that in our methodology section adequately. Due to the degenerative nature of this disease and the variability of the speed with which the clinical instability of the stifle occurs, we were not able to control for chronicity of the rupture in our recruitment strategy. However, we did evaluate the impact of chronicity on our results by arbitrarily selecting less than 30 days being acute and more than 30 days being chronic for when the owners first reported clinical signs of pain and lameness. However, you are correct that this only roughly singles out the ACL tear timeline and not necessarily development of OA. We therefore agree that it creates more confusion plus we didn’t find any significant difference by this categorization based on symptoms. The breeds of dogs included in this study are all previously reported to be prone to developing ACL tears and with lack balance in the number of breeds and presence of mixed breed dogs, evaluating effect of breed was not possible. We also discussed inclusion of sex initially as a covariate but due to the skewedness of the data and the fact that in dogs effect of sex hormones on OA has had reportedly mixed findings, we elected to not use it in our analysis. This latter had been stated in lines 290-291.

Authors’ action: We have added history of traumatic CrCL tear (Line 110-111) as part of the exclusion criteria to clarify this. We also added a comment in our limitations to point out that it would be ideal if we could have a clear idea when these tears initiated to be able to see if stratification of these cases based on chronicity would show any differences that we were unable to detect in this study (Lines 594-600). We also removed evaluation of chronicity from our objectives and our methods and reported results.

It’s not clear why the control animals were being euthanized, and the role of use of meloxicam post operatively probably confounds looking at response to biomarkers (Bohringer-Ingelheim funded post op meloxicam I note in the financial disclosure)– was this a substudy in a clinical trial? This should have been made completely clear in methods.

Authors’ response: The dogs were being culled in a shelter setting based on the shelter management’s decision for various causes (not being adoptable, mostly behavioral issues). Therefore, the decision to euthanize had nothing to do with the current study but we were given permission to sample these dogs that were singled out for euthanasia. We have clarified this in our ethics statement, but did not find it necessary to expand on it beyond the comment of “euthanized for reasons unrelated to this project” in Line 119 in the body of the manuscript.

We completely agree with your statement that meloxicam introduced a bias in the study. However, from an animal ethical standpoint (including institutional Animal Ethics Committee approval) we could not withhold the standard of care during the postoperative period for these patients which requires use of a form of NSAID. We do believe that this was mainly affecting the T2 and T3 timelines and not the initial visit measurements. However, we agree that this has to be clearly pointed out. We also added a section in our financial disclosure. The donation of the meloxicam was a goodwill act on the company’s behalf that not only provided the owners with an incentive but also allowed us to have a homogenous pain management regiment postoperatively. From the company’s marketing standpoint, this was helpful for owner of the dogs to be able to use this drug over other NSAIDs in the veterinary market. However, the Boehringer company did not have any involvement in the study design, execution, data analysis, or data reporting.

Authors’ action: We have clarified the recruitment and fate of control dogs in our ethics statement. We have added comments regarding potential impact of use of meloxicam on the results of this study (Lines 600-611)

Study design: The animals are sampled at 3 times – T1 initial, T2 4 weeks post op (ACL reconstruction), and T3, 12 weeks post op. The SF markers were found to drop over these times. However, the comparisons do not feel pre-defined, with multiple comparisons (albeit accounted for by Bonferroni) including comparison of contralateral and control joints. It is not clear how this could be used at an individual level to evaluate diagnosis or responsiveness to treatment, and in fact no clinical outcomes such as pain are measured in the study which seems an omission if one wants to look at responsiveness to treatment at an individual level. This is a shame because having longitudinal and contralateral SF sampling is a very significant resource.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments. We were mainly interested in the ability of surgical stabilization of the knee (we did not reconstruct the ACL in any of these dogs as this is not a common or generally successful treatment option in dogs with degenerative ACL tear) in reducing these inflammatory biomarkers in the joint. We agree that it would have been great to correlate these findings with patient findings but there are no reliable direct and objective outcome measures of orthopedic pain in veterinary medicine, and the most commonly used measure of clinical pain are some of the client questionnaires that tend to have significant bias and placebo effect associated with their results. We had assessed overall pain in these patients using the CBPI (canine brief pain inventory) questionnaire that is the most commonly used measure of pain (care giver assessment) but had not included the results in the study due to the fact that studies have shown that the results of the CBPI do not correlate with functional improvements as measured by more reliable outcome measures such as force plate gait analysis. All of these patients improved in their ambulatory status following surgery and the instability in their operated stifles resolved and achieved mechanical stability in the operated knees. However, due to the subjectivity of the pain assessment in clinical patients, further correlation of the biomarker data with the CBPI questionnaire results were not pursued. The limitation of this study for outcome measure assessment was our inability to conduct any force plate gait analysis in an attempt to correlate biomarker changes over time with the force plate data. The additional complexity in this trial was also the bilateral nature of the disease in many of the included patients. Therefore, our focus was on pure measurements of the biomarkers and evaluating temporal changes in both CrCLR stifles and the contralateral stable stifles over time.

Authors’ action: None.

The study design, sampling and nomenclature is somewhat complex and could really have benefitted from a summary flow diagram.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments. We worked on making all references to the OA (index) stifle and contralateral (stable) stifles more clear. It was not possible to show the index versus contralateral on the flow chart since some of these dogs were bilaterally and some unilaterally affected with CrCLR

Authors’ action: The nomenclature has been defined in methodology section particularly regarding the CrCLR and contralateral samples in Lines 169-177. We had also clarified the T1-T3 time points in lines 146-150. We hope that the diagram in Figure 1 that was added helps further clarify this.

Biomarker analysis: The synovial fluid was not spun at collection. This meant that any cells present (which are there) will lyse on freezing, causing artefact by release of cytokines including MCP-1 which could interfere with results.

Authors’ response: We did not perform spinning of the synovial fluid samples for two reasons. Firstly, we used the remainder of the fluid for a different study that required the unchanged sample. Secondly, the Garner et al. study also did not perform spinning of the samples at the time of collection. However, all samples were treated the same, and therefore cells that could have released these biomarkers due to freezing, were potentially actively producing them for release from the cell to the synovial fluid. Therefore, it is likely that the contribution of the lysed cells to the concentration of the cytokine in the synovial fluid is likely proportional to the cells contribution of the cytokine concentration prior to freezing.

Authors’ action: We have added a comment in the limitation section of our discussion to discuss this point (lines 615-621).

The biomarkers are analysed on a Luminex platform. Despite synovial fluid being well known to be a challenging fluid, no data is given as to the ‘validity’ of these assays on this matrix, or any performance characteristics of the assays, e.g. intra assay cv, interassay c.v. The synovial fluid was enzyme digested but this author would still need to be convinced that there was not lots of background in an assay like this.

Authors’ response: The Luminex platform used in this study has been previously tested specifically on synovial fluid samples and have been shown to be reliable (https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C26&q=Luminex+Assay+on+synovial+fluid&btnG=). An example of this for intra-assay precision is in the following publication in Osteoarthritic and Cartilage journal: https://www.oarsijournal.com/action/showPdf?pii=S1063-4584%2813%2900209-4 . We did not have any concerns regarding interassy performance since our comparisons were within the same assay in this study.

Authors’ action: None.

Statistical analysis. This seems at odds to the initial questions. AUC is used, even to test serum makers which are statistically no different from controls. Later, contralateral limbs are included if they have OA and contralateral control limbs which causes issues with biological replicates in samples, which I am not convinced are fully accounted.

Authors’ response: We used comparison of groups’ means and AUC to address different research questions. Comparison of means was to answer whether central locations of two populations were different, whereas AUC was to quantify diagnostic discriminative performance of the biomarkers. Thus, we reported both sets of results regardless of statistical significance. In addition, we also reported the magnitude of effect (i.e., difference in means and AUC) to quantify clinical importance rather than simply reporting the p values, which are affected by both effect size and sample size.

Authors’ action: clarified the results in comparison of means more in the results (Lines 314-319).

Later in the histological analyses, Spearman’s correlation is used to look at an integer histological score and its relationship to the biomarkers which seems an odd approach.

Authors’ response: The Spearman’s correlation is used as histopathological grading is measured at an ordinal scale.

Authors’ action: None.

At one point, mean biomarker levels between the 2 limbs are calculated. This all seems fairly arbitrary and not clearly planned out. There is no discussion of whether the biomarkers are normally distributed and whether regression was the best approach.

Authors’ response: The serum comparisons do not involve any OA and contralateral comparisons as the sample is from the shared systemic circulation. However, for the synovial fluid samples that came directly from each stifle, the comparisons were relevant. We compared the two synovial samples of each control dog (right and left) and since we did not find any clinically important and statistically significant difference, we used the mean of each dog’s right and left biomarker measurements to perform the ROC analysis. This was in an attempt to avoid duplicate samples from each control dog but rather having a single value for each SF biomarker for each control dog without completely omitting one sample (lines 396-400).

The S1 Figure & S2 Figure in supplementary and Fig 2 and 3 in the manuscript show the data distributions for all biomarkers based on boxplots. As indicated in these figures, some distributions are right-skewed and thus log transformation was applied. The regression methods used to analyze the data are robust to normality assumption. In addition, these variables were measured at an interval scale and the sample size were relatively sufficient, therefore, central theorem could be applied. In summary, the selected regression models are optimal methods to account for covariates (i.e., in the analyses of serum biomarkers) and/or dependency of observations (i.e., in the analyses of repeated measures and synovia fluid biomarkers) in this study.

Some analyses are adjusted for covariates, but it is unclear what these are, whether they were predefined. They seem to include age and weight. Did they include the time from injury/instability (which would seem relevant) or breed of dog? Meniscal tear is mentioned for the first time at 311, with no detail on how this was recorded or accounted for.

Authors’ response: We defined using adjustments for significant covariates in line 252 but did not name age or weight specifically, since we looked at all possible factors that could be significant and of those that were or where possible to use, age and weight were the influential ones. We reported age and weight in results in lines 286-288 as having impact and being used to adjust for during comparisons. Evaluation of meniscal tear in operated stifles had been defined in lines 132-135. The result section reports the number of torn menisci and degree of tear in the ACL in lines 304-311. The chronicity of the ACL tear was evaluated (time from injury) and in lines 301-306) we report that due to lack of difference between the acute and chronic dogs based on our categorization and as we responded to your similar comment earlier, we removed this from our analysis because it is only a relatively decent measure for chronicity of ACL tear rather than OA. We did not include breed due to the accuracy of classification and limited number in some of the breeds and large number of mixed breed dogs.

Author’s action: added via arthrotomy and arthroscopy in methodology in line 132 and added at the time of surgery in line 135 for meniscal evaluation.

Imposing a cut off on MCP-1 seems like an afterthought and it’s not clear how much of this approach was pre-defined at the outset.

Authors’ response: The cut-off value was not an afterthought but mainly based on the fact that MCP-1 was the only biomarker that yielded an AUC of ≥0.90, therefore a cut-off value was statistically determined based on the Youden’s index. This analytical approach had been pre-defined in lines 262-265.

The power calculation is not clear in terms of which question it was based on answering or whether this took in to account the plan to adjust for covariates (which I doubt given the very low estimated numbers needed).

Authors’ response: The power analysis question was based on MMP2 and MMP3 differences between OA and control group and we did not take into account adjustments for covariates in our power analysis. Historically, age and weight effect on OA changes in dogs have shown contradictory results in previous published research. Therefore, unlike in people, they are not well-established standard covariates that are accounted for in canine research. Although we agree that they should be in the future considering some of our results as we used them in our analysis but had not accounted for them in our initial power analysis.

Authors’ action: We added MMP-2 and MMP-3 to clarify the power calculation (line 94).

Results. MMP3 is not significantly different. 5% reduction in levels is not an accurate way of describing this.

Authors’ response: By 5% we are describing the magnitude of the difference in group means. We stated these differences to quantify clinical importance, as p value does not directly measure clinical importance. A 5% reduction in the mean MMP-3 concentration in the OA group compared to control groups indicates a small difference, whereas a 2.4 fold higher mean of MMP-2 concentration in the OA group indicates a much larger difference, despite that both were not statistically significant.

Authors’ action: We reworded our presentation of these results to help avoid any misinterpretation of the information (Lines 315-319).

Discussion. There seems to be a lack of knowledge/citation of the human biomarker efforts in OA (Kraus et al, ARD 2017) and in PTOA relevant to this study (e.g. Struglics et al, A&R 2015). A knowledge of this literature might have informed some of the questions and approaches I suspect.

Authors’ response: Thank you for your comments. We are familiar with the extensive work on the human side with biomarkers of OA, particularly based on the PTOA, however, the focus of this study was to evaluate the biomarkers in relation to other canine biomarker work and to draw references to the human literature only where we lacked canine data or found contradictory results that were more in line with some of the human literature. The references you have cited in your comments are by far superior to the canine study here due to the larger sample size, inclusion of some well-established human biomarkers, and the extent of follow up. However, we believe adding more citation of the human studies in an attempt to fully review and compare the body of work on these biomarkers in the current manuscript would have resulted in an even lengthier manuscript. We are aware of the work performed by these teams including some of the work of the Struglics group with even longer follow up times using the PTOA model (e.g., Newman et al. 10.1016/j.joca.2016.09.008). We have therefore, included this limitation of lack of long-term follow up in our limitations (Lines 612-615). The radiographic grading of OA in humans have various validated diagnostic biomarkers (e.g., joint space narrowing) as well as self-reported pain assessments that are valuable outcome measures. However, on the clinical canine case side there are no validated radiographic measurements of OA that correlate with severity of OA, which leaves room for more research on the veterinary side. We attempted to use one of the more commonly used previously reported radiographic grading system (Innes et al. 2004; 10.1111/j.1740-8261.2004.04024.x ). However, the grades were too broad preventing us from being able to perform meaningful statistical analysis. Therefore, we did not include that in our study but rather used the radiographs to confirm presence of OA, and lack of other radiographic abnormalities in the joints.

Authors’ action: Included lack of long-term follow up in our limitations (Lines 612-615).

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Reviewer #1: Yes: Mohammed Sharif

Reviewer #2: No

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Submitted filename: PlosOne R1 Response to Reviewers-Final.docx

Decision Letter 1

Chi Zhang

29 Sep 2020

PONE-D-20-13103R1

Evaluation of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Malek,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

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We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

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Chi Zhang

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #3: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #4: (No Response)

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Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

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3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

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Reviewer #3: No

Reviewer #4: Yes

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Reviewer #3: The authors have thoroughly considered the many comments from the reviewers, and in my opinion made appropriate adjustments and corrections. The nature of the study makes it exploratory - all overstatements have been reformulated. Also excess figure/tables have been moved to supplementary, giving the manuscript a better flow

Reviewer #4: I believe that the authors have addressed the limitations previously highlighted by reviewers. I have noted that the authors took into account the recommendations to be more cautious in describing the markers they are highlighting as having a discriminatory value rather than using diagnostic, particularly in the discussion. I therefore would like to recommend that they use this terminology consistently when describing their objectives and throughout the paper.

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Reviewer #4: No

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PLoS One. 2020 Nov 19;15(11):e0242614. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242614.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


27 Oct 2020

Dear Dr. Zhang and our reviewers,

We would like to thank you all for your constructive feedback and recommendations. We hope that this version meets your expectations and that you find our responses to your comments appropriate.

Response to Academic Editor

We did not see any specific comments from you regarding the manuscript’s content itself. However, we are looking into seeing if the protocols.io applies to us and will be getting our protocol added there. We have included the tracked and untracked version of the manuscript along with all the supplementary files and figures. Our financial disclosure and ethics statement has not changed. It appears that our reviewers did not have significant concerns during this review; therefore, our response to their comments is limited to the only point raised in section “6. Review comments to the author”. We also followed the recommended PACE software to check the figure requirements, and Figure 1 was the only file that was adjusted by the system. We uploaded the updated version in the new submission. We also added the data spreadsheet in a compressed format as a supplementary file to fulfill the data availability requirement of the journal.

Response to reviewers’ comments:

We have revised the check box to allow data availability in response to reviewer 3’s answer.

Reviewer #3: The authors have thoroughly considered the many comments from the reviewers, and in my opinion made appropriate adjustments and corrections. The nature of the study makes it exploratory - all overstatements have been reformulated. Also excess figure/tables have been moved to supplementary, giving the manuscript a better flow.

Authors’ response: We very much appreciate your feedback and are happy that our efforts have met your expectations.

Authors’ action: None.

Reviewer #4: I believe that the authors have addressed the limitations previously highlighted by reviewers. I have noted that the authors took into account the recommendations to be more cautious in describing the markers they are highlighting as having a discriminatory value rather than using diagnostic, particularly in the discussion. I therefore would like to recommend that they use this terminology consistently when describing their objectives and throughout the paper.

Authors’ response: Thank you very much for your positive feedback. We agree that the diagnostic phrase can be misleading, as we did not evaluate these biomarkers in differentiating this form of OA from other arthritic conditions. We appreciate you noticing this issue throughout the paper.

Authors’ action: We have removed the term “diagnostic” when referring to the current biomarkers’ performance and ability and have simply used the term discriminative performance/ability throughout the paper. We have highlighted areas where the term “diagnostic” was removed. We chose the term discriminative over discriminatory to be more particular in the use of the word as an adjective.

Attachment

Submitted filename: PlosOne R2 Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 2

Chi Zhang

6 Nov 2020

Evaluation of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

PONE-D-20-13103R2

Dear Dr. Malek,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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Kind regards,

Chi Zhang

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Acceptance letter

Chi Zhang

10 Nov 2020

PONE-D-20-13103R2

Evaluation of serum MMP-2 and MMP-3, synovial fluid IL-8, MCP-1, and KC concentrations as biomarkers of stifle osteoarthritis associated with naturally occurring cranial cruciate ligament rupture in dogs

Dear Dr. Malek:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Chi Zhang

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. Distribution of MMP-2 and MMP-3 serum concentrations between groups.

    Distribution of MMP-2 (A) and MMP-3 (B) serum concentration for control and osteoarthritis (OA) groups (pg/ml). The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fences are outliers.

    (TIF)

    S2 Fig. Distribution of MMP-2 and MMP-3 serum concentrations over time in osteoarthritis (OA) group.

    Distribution of serum concentrations of MMP-2 (A) and MMP-3 (B) over three time points for the OA group dogs. T1: initial visit, T2: 4-week recheck, T3: 12 week recheck. The horizontal line inside each box is the median and the upper and lower edges of box present the inter-quartile range (IQR). The whiskers are either 1.5 × IQR or the range, whichever is smaller. Dots outside the fences are outliers. ** Statistically significant different concentrations (P < 0.01).

    (TIF)

    S1 Data

    (XLSX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: PlosOne R1 Response to Reviewers-Final.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: PlosOne R2 Response to Reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.


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