Abstract
The aims of this study were 1) to describe the additive risk of performing cardiac surgery in neonates born ≤ 2.0 kg, after accounting for the baseline risks of low birth weight, and 2) to describe the additive risk of being born ≤ 2.0 kg in neonates undergoing cardiac surgery. Risk difference analysis in a retrospective cohort, 2006–2016. Neonates born ≤2.0 kg undergoing congenital heart surgery during initial postnatal admission were included. Data were standardized alternatingly for birth weight and cardiac surgical risk using national population data to estimate the number of deaths expected had they not required cardiac surgery or were they of normal weight. Of 105 neonates ≤2 kg, median birth weight was 1.6 kg (IQR 1.3–1.8 kg). Median gestational age was 33 weeks (IQR 31–35 weeks). Observed operative mortality was 14.3%; 0% for neonates ≤1.0 kg (CI 0–33.6%), 20.6% for neonates >1.0–1.5 kg (CI 8.7–37.9%), and 12.9% for neonates >1.5–2.0 kg (CI 5.7–23.9%). Among neonates ≤2.0 kg not undergoing cardiac surgery, expected mortality was 4.8% (CI 1.6–10.8); cardiac surgery increased the risk of mortality 9.5% (CI 1.7–17.4%). Conversely, the expected risk for normal birth weight neonates undergoing cardiac surgery was 5.7% (CI 2.1–12.0%); low birth weight increased the risk of mortality 8.6% (CI 0.5–16.6%). To continue making advancements in cardiac surgery, we must understand that the rate of mortality observed in normal weight infants is not a realistic target and that, despite advances, the risk attributable to the surgery remains higher among low birth weight patients.
Keywords: Neonates, Surgery, Birthweight, Outcomes, Congenital heart disease
Introduction
Over the last two decades, multiple centers have published their outcomes for congenital heart surgery in low birth-weight infants.[1–5] Initially, investigators focused on all infants born at ≤ 2.5 kg, with center-level mortality reported between 7% and 25%—with variation between studies in operative case-mix complexity, patient comorbidities, and providers. As a general theme, these papers highlighted their impressive results and argued that newer, lower weight thresholds for operability should be considered, as surgeons gather proficiency, technical mastery and experience in performing complex procedures on extremely small infants. Recent data have suggested that the relationship between birth weight and survival following cardiac surgery is non-linear. Hickey and colleagues suggested there might be an inflection point at 2.0 kg, below which they observed marked decline in survival.[6] Increasingly, surgeons have moved towards 2.0 kg as the new definition of “low birth weight” for cardiac surgery. Despite this shift, mortality rates have remained higher for low birth weight infants than for normal weight infants, even after considering the effects of a range of confounding factors.[1–6] This has sparked ongoing debates about “how small is too small” and the merits (or risks) of waiting for low birth-weight infants to grow before operating on their hearts.
Low birth weight is, however, a known risk factor for death even in the absence of congenital heart disease.[7] To our knowledge, no study has considered this as a confounder when assessing operative mortality. Instead, studies have included all postoperative deaths occurring pre-discharge and at <30 days if discharged before 30 days as operative deaths, as is standard in the field for infants >2.5 kg.[8] We hypothesized that ignoring the baseline risk attributable to low birth weight itself overestimates the risk specifically attributable to the cardiac surgical procedure in low birth weight infants, which could obscure critical decisions such as cardiac surgical timing. In this study, we sought to employ epidemiologic modeling to 1) to describe the additive risk of performing cardiac surgery in neonates born ≤ 2.0 kg, after accounting for the baseline risks of low birth weight, and 2) to describe the additive risk of being born ≤ 2.0 kg in neonates undergoing cardiac surgery.
Patients and Methods
Data Source
We conducted a retrospective cohort study at Columbia University Irving Medical Center (CUIMC). Data were obtained via manual chart review, including children operated on between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2016.
Expected mortality estimates were calculated using population-based data over the same time period, derived from The Vermont Oxford Network (VON) Database of Very Low Birth Weight Infants, The VON Expanded Database (https://public.vtoxford.org, Burlington, VT: Vermont Oxford Network. Nightingale Internet Reporting System, accessed on June 10, 2019), and The Society of Thoracic Surgeons-Congenital Heart Surgery (STS-CHS) Database (http://www.sts.org, Chicago, IL: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons. Private communications. August 16, 2019). The VON manages international clinical registries for live born infants in the general population admitted to a participating hospital within the first 28 days of life without having first gone home. The Very Low Birth Weight and Expanded Databases include data on infants >401 grams from 749 neonatal intensive care units in the United States (U.S.). The incidence of congenital heart defects in low birth weight infants requiring either medical or surgical intervention prior to discharge is <1%.[9,10] The STS-CHS Database is the largest congenital heart surgery registry in the world. It includes data on more than 360,000 surgeries conducted at 127 centers in North America. It captures data on approximately 98% of all congenital heart operations in children in the U.S. Children < 2.0 kg comprise approximately 4% of the neonates in this cohort (http://www.sts.org, Chicago, IL: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons. Private communications. August 16, 2019).
Study Population
We included all neonates with birth weights ≤2.0 kg undergoing congenital heart surgery at CUIMC, January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2016. Patients who underwent isolated closure of the ductus arteriosus were excluded. Neonatal heart surgery was defined in this study as any surgery that took place during the initial postnatal admission. These patients were managed pre- and postoperatively in our dedicated cardiac neonatal intensive care unit. During the study period, it was institutional practice to allow extremely low birth infants to grow prior to surgery, if they were hemodynamically stable and if failure to operate was not impeding care progression. In such patients, it was typically institutional practice to wait until they reached 2.0 to 2.5kg. If patients were hemodynamically unstable secondary to their cardiac disease or if failure to operate were otherwise impeding care, institutional practice was typically to operate, regardless of weight, and to perform complete repairs, rather than palliative repairs, when possible.
Data from the VON Databases were included for all neonates, 2006 through 2016, including a small percentage with cardiac disease that might require intervention within the first year of life. In the National Birth Defects Registry, this is estimated to be, however only ~0.2%.[11]
In primary analyses, data from the STS-CHS Database published reports were included only from 2009 through 2016, as the STS-CHS Database adopted its current definition of operative mortality in 2009; prior to 2009, mortality data were not captured post-discharge. In sensitivity analyses, data were included on all patients, 2006 through 2016, using in-hospital mortality as the primary end-point between 2006 through 2008 and operative mortality between 2009 through 2016. The STS data utilized included a small percentage of low birth weight neonates (~4%).
Data Collection
Local data were collected from electronic medical records on patient demographics, preoperative, operative, and postoperative characteristics.
The VON Database was used to abstract the number of patients and the national average in-hospital mortality rates and confidence intervals by birth weight.
STS-CHS Database published reports were used to abstract the number of neonates undergoing cardiac surgery and the national average operative mortality rates by surgical risk category.
Outcomes
The primary outcome was operative mortality, defined as any death occurring before hospital discharge or within 30 postoperative days in patients discharged prior to 30 days. In sensitivity analyses, in-hospital mortality was also examined.
Statistical Analyses
Expected Mortality Rates
Patient and operative characteristics were described using standard summary statistics. Indirect standardization was used to calculate expected mortality rates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), using the VON (standardized for birth weight) and STS-CHS (standardized for surgical risk category) databases as separate standard populations. The expected mortality rate standardized for birth weight represents the proportion of patients in our cohort that would be expected to die based on their birth weights alone, in the absence of congenital heart surgery. The expected mortality rate standardized for surgical risk category represents the proportion of patients in our cohort that would be expected to die based on the complexity of their congenital heart surgery, were they of appropriate birth weight. Expected mortality rates, RST, were calculated according to the following equation:
where R is the expected mortality for each weight or surgical complexity category, i, and N is the number of patients in our cohort observed in each of the i categories. As an example using fictional data, if the observed mortality rate in one reference population weight category (i.e. VON, 1.5–2.0 kg) is 20%, the number of deaths expected in a sample population of 53 patients would be calculated as 0.2 multiplied by 53, equaling 11 patients. The expected death rate in this category would then be calculated as 11 divided by 53, equaling 21%. The overall expected mortality rate could be calculated as the sum of the expected deaths across all categories divided by the total number of patients. Weight categories were defined by 500 g increments (500–1000 g, 1001–1500 g, and 1501–2000 g). Surgical complexity categories were defined by The Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery (STAT) Mortality Risk Categories, empirically derived measures of operative mortality based on congenital heart surgical procedure type.[12]
Risk Differences
Risk differences were calculated by subtracting expected (RST) from observed mortality rates in our cohort. The risk difference standardized for birth weight represents the extra risk of mortality attributable to congenital heart surgery, given the birth weight distribution in our cohort, for infants born at ≤2.0 kg. The risk difference standardized for STAT category represents the extra risk of mortality attributable to low birth weight, given the surgical complexity in our cohort, when performing congenital heart surgery. Stratified risk differences standardized for birth weight were analyzed by weight category for patients >1.0 kg only, given the small numbers of patients <1 kg and within each surgical complexity category. Confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using the exact binomial method.
Analyses were conducted using Stata (version 14.1; StataCorp, College Station, Texas, USA). The CUIMC Institutional Review Board approved the study with waiver of informed consent.
Results
Patient Characteristics
Over the 10-year study period, 118 neonates ≤2.0 kg with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease were admitted to the Infant Cardiac Intensive Care Unit at Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Comfort care was pursued in 6 neonates with Trisomy 13 or 18. Five neonates were discharged after trans-catheter balloon valvuloplasties without surgical intervention. In total, 107 neonates with birth weights ≤2.0 were determined to require cardiac surgery prior to discharge and were included in our analyses. Two neonates died while awaiting surgical intervention. One death occurred as the result of fulminant necrotizing enterocolitis in a 20-day old 1.0 kg infant with pulmonary atresia / intact ventricular septum. The second death occurred as the result of septic shock in a 6-month-old former 29-week gestation infant (birth weight 1.3 kg), with a ventricular septal defect, aortic coarctation, chronic lung disease, and pulmonary hypertension.
In total, 105 neonates with birth weights ≤ 2.0 kg underwent cardiac surgery at our institution, 2006 to 2016. There was a median of 8 surgeries per year (IQR 7–12). Patient characteristics are described in Table 1. In brief, 8.6% of infants (n=9) weighed 0.5–1.0 kg; 32.4% (n=34) weighed 1.0–1.5 kg, and 59.0% (n=62) weighed 1.5–2.0 kg. The median gestational age at birth was 33 weeks (IQR 31–35 weeks; range 25–40). Birth weights were similar across STAT categories. Slightly more than half of infants were prenatally diagnosed (57%; n=60). The median age at surgery was 38 days (IQR 19–68; range 3–159 days) for all infants. Age at surgery was inversely correlated with birth weight; age at surgery was 62 days (IQR 38–80) for infants ≤1.0 kg, 50 days (IQR 31–80) for infants 1.0–1.5 kg, and 33 days (IQR 13–49) for infants 1.5–2.0 kg (R=−0.44, p=<0.01). Median gestational age at surgery was 39 weeks (IQR 36–41; range 30–53). There was no significant difference in gestational age by weight category; median gestational age was 38 weeks (IQR 32–40) for infants ≤1.0 kg, 39 weeks (IQR 36–42) for infants 1.0–1.5 kg, and 39 weeks (IQR 37–41) for infants 1.5–2.0 kg. The median weight at the time of surgery was 2.1 kg (IQR 1.8–2.5 kg; range 0.8–4.3 kg). The lowest birth weight infants had the lowest weights at surgery; 1.7 kg (IQR 1.0–2.1 kg) for infants born at ≤1.0 kg, 2.2 kg (IQR 1.6–2.9 kg) for infants born at 1.0–1.5 kg, and 2.1 kg (IQR 1.9–2.5 kg) for infants born at 1.5–2.0 kg (R=0.10, p=0.32). Table 2 details the operative procedures and the numbers of neonates undergoing corrective versus palliative repairs.
Table 1.
Patient and operative characteristics
| Variable | Median (IQR) (N = 105) |
|---|---|
| Male sex | 55 (52.4) |
| Birth weight | |
| All patients, kg | 1.6 (1.3–1.8) |
| STAT category 1, kg (n=21) | 1.6 (1.3–1.9) |
| STAT category 2, kg (n=25) | 1.5 (1.1–1.7) |
| STAT category 3, kg (n=10) | 1.7 (1.3–1.8) |
| STAT category 4, kg (n=45) | 1.7 (1.5–1.8) |
| STAT category 5, kg (n=4) | 1.4 (1.2–1.6) |
| Gestational age, weeks | 33 (31–35) |
| Small for gestational age, n (%) | 56 (53.3) |
| Prenatal diagnosis, n (%) | 60 (57.1) |
| Genetic syndrome, n (%) | 18 (17.1) |
| Major extra-cardiac malformation, n (%) | 27 (25.7) |
| Weight at surgery, kg | 2.1 (1.8–2.5) |
| Age at surgery, days | 38.0 (19.0–68.0) |
| Corrected gestational age at surgery, weeks | 39.0 (36.4–41.0) |
| Preoperative ventilation, n (%) | 57 (54.3) |
| Cardiopulmonary bypass, n (%) | |
| 1.5–2.0 kg | 52 (81.3) |
Data are number (%) or median (IQR).
IQR interquartile range, STAT Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery Mortality Risk
Table 2.
Distribution of cardiac surgeries in neonates <2.0 kg (N=105)
| Procedure | n | % |
|---|---|---|
| Single Ventricle Repairs | ||
| Shunt | 9 | 8.6 |
| Pulmonary Artery Band | 5 | 4.8 |
| Norwood | 2 | 1.9 |
| Biventricular Repairs | ||
| TOF Repair, for TOF with Pulmonary Stenosis or Membranous Pulmonary Atresia | 22 | 21.0 |
| Complete Repair | 12 | |
| Palliative Shunt | 10 | |
| Coarctation Repair | 11 | 10.5 |
| VSD Repair | 20 | 19.0 |
| VSD | 14 | |
| VSD with Arch Reconstruction | 5 | |
| VSD with Vascular Ring Repair | 1 | |
| Arterial switch | 8 | 7.6 |
| Arterial switch without VSD | 4 | |
| Arterial switch with VSD Repair | 4 | |
| Complete Atrioventricular Canal Repair | 5 | 4.8 |
| Truncus Arteriosus Repair | 4 | 3.8 |
| Complete Repair | 3 | |
| Palliative Shunt | 1 | |
| Aortopulmonary Window Repair | 3 | 2.9 |
| Pacemaker Placement | 3 | 2.9 |
| TAPVC Repair | 3 | 2.9 |
| Repair of Hypoplastic/Interrupted Aortic Arch without VSD | 3 | 2.9 |
| DORV Repair | 2 | 1.9 |
| Tumor Resection | 2 | 1.9 |
| ALCAPA Repair | 1 | 1.0 |
| Repair of Supravalvar Aortic Stenosis | 1 | 1.0 |
| Unifocalization, TOF with multiple aortopulmonary collaterals | 1 | 1.0 |
TOF Tetraolgy of Fallot, VSD Ventricular Septal Defect, TAPVC Total Anomalous Pulmonary Venous Connection, DORV Double Outlet Right Ventricle, ALCAPA Anomalous Left Coronary Artery from the Pulmonary Artery.
Operative Mortality
Observed overall operative mortality for infants born at ≤2.0 kg was 14.3% (n = 15 of 105); 0.0% (n = 0) for infants ≤1.0 kg (CI 0–33.6%), 20.6% (n = 7) for infants 1.0–1.5 kg (CI 8.7–37.9%), and 12.9% (n = 8) for infants 1.5–2.0 kg (CI 5.7–23.9%). Table 3 describes the number of deaths observed and death rates that would have been expected, standardized for VON birth weights and STAT procedural risk category.
Table 3:
Observed and expected death rates from the Vermont Oxford Network (VON), Society of Thoracic Surgeons-Congenital Heart Surgery (STS-CHS), and Columbia University Irving Medical Center (CUIMC)
| Observed Cases in the VON, by Weight | Observed Cardiac Surgical Cases at CUIMC, ≤2.0 kg | Expected Death Rate among Low Weight Patients (95% CI)b | Added Risk of Cardiac Surgery (95% CI)c | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weight | Number of Cases | Deaths Observed | Weight-Specific Death Rate | Number of Cases | Deaths Observed | Death Rate Observed (95% CI) | ||
| ≤1.0 kg | 94,542 | 26,416 | 27.9% | 9 | 0 | 0.0% (0.0 to 33.6) | 33.3% (7.5 to 70.1) | NId |
| 1.0–1.5 kg | 116,637 | 4,977 | 4.3% | 34 | 7 | 20.1% (8.7 to 37.9) | 2.9% (0.1 to 15.3) | 17.6% (2.9 to 32.4) |
| 1.5–2.0 kg | 199,015 | 3,971 | 2.0% | 62 | 8 | 12.9% (5.7 to 23.9) | 1.6% (0.0 to 8.7) | 11.3% (2.4 to 20.2) |
| Standardized Total | -- | -- | -- | 105 | 15 | 14.3% (8.2 to 22.5) | 4.8% (1.6 to 10.8) | 9.5% (1.7 to 17.4) |
| Observed Cases in the STS-CHS, by Case Complexity | Observed Cardiac Surgical Cases at CUIMC, ≤2.0 kg | Expected Death Rate among Cardiac Surgical Patients (95% CI)b | Added Risk of Low Weight (95% CI)c | |||||
| STAT category | Number of Cases | Deaths Observed | STAT-Specific Death Rate | Number of Cases | Deaths Observed | Death Rate Observed (95% CI) | ||
| 1 | 1,425 | 70 | 4.9% | 21 | 1 | 4.8% (0.1 to 23.8) | 4.8% (0.1 to 23.8) | 0.0% (−12.9 to 12.9) |
| 2 | 5,177 | 214 | 4.1% | 25 | 4 | 16.0% (4.5 to 36.1) | 4.0% (0.1 to 20.4) | 12.0% (−4.3 to 28.3) |
| 3 | 4,715 | 185 | 3.9% | 10 | 2 | 20.0% (2.5 to 55.6) | NId | NId |
| 4 | 15,364 | 1,451 | 9.4% | 45 | 7 | 15.6% (6.5 to 29.5) | 8.8% (2.5 to 21.2) | 6.7% (−6.8 to 20.1) |
| 5 | 7,780 | 847 | 10.9% | 4 | 1 | 25.0% (0.6 to 80.6) | NId | NId |
| Standardized Total | -- | -- | -- | 105 | 15 | 14.3% (8.2 to 22.5) | 5.7% (2.1 to 12.0) | 8.6% (0.5 to 16.6) |
VON Vermont Oxford Network, CUIMC NICU Columbia University Irving Medical Center Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, LBW low birth weight, CI confidence interval, STS-CHS Society of Thoracic Surgeons-Congenital Heart Surgery database, STAT Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery Mortality Risk.
Expected number of deaths is calculated based on the weight and STAT specific death rates from VON and STS-CHS, respectively.
Expected death rate is the standardized rate based on the weight and STAT specific death rates from VON and STS-CHS, respectively.
Risk difference between the observed and expected death rates.
NI, denotes values for which the estimates within the subpopulations are not interpretable given the small sample size.
Among all infants ≤2.0 kg not undergoing cardiac surgery, the standardized expected mortality rate was 4.8% (CI 1.6–10.8%). Cardiac surgery for these low birth weight neonates was estimated to increase the risk of mortality 9.5% (CI 1.7–17.4%) (Figure 1a). The additional risk of cardiac surgery was similar across weight categories. The differences in risk met statistical significance among infants 1.0–1.5 kg and 1.5–2.0 kg (Figure 1b), though not among the 9 infants ≤1.0 kg.
Fig. 1a.

Observed and expected risk of mortality among neonates ≤2.0 kg undergoing cardiac surgery at Columbia University Irving Medical Center; b Risk of mortality attributable to cardiac surgery among neonates ≤2.0 kg. This represents the difference between the observed mortality in neonates <2.0 kg undergoing surgery and the mortality that would have been expected given their birth weight alone if they had not undergone surgery. The expected mortality is the rate expected in the Columbia cohort based on the weight-specific death rates observed in low birth weight neonates in the Vermont Oxford Network (not cardiac specific neonates).
Overall, the expected risk of mortality for neonates of normal birth weight undergoing congenital heart surgery was 5.7% (CI 2.1–12.0). Low birth weight, for these neonates was estimated to increase the risk of mortality 8.6% (CI 0.5–16.6). Sensitivity analyses focused on in-hospital (instead of operative) mortality had minimal effect on our results.
Discussion
In this retrospective analysis of low birth weight neonates undergoing congenital heart surgery, we isolated the risk associated with performing congenital heart surgery in infants born at ≤2.0 kg, after accounting for the baseline risks attributable to birth weight, and the risk of being born at ≤2.0 kg, among infants undergoing cardiac surgeries. We found that performing congenital heart surgery in infants born at ≤2.0 kg at our institution was associated with approximately a 10% average increase in operative mortality, when compared to similar-weight infants not requiring congenital heart surgery. We found this to be roughly double (5 percentage points higher than) the mortality that would have been expected following congenital heart surgery, were these patients of average birth weight. Approximately half of the total risk of mortality (8.6 percentage points) in this low weight surgical cohort could be explained by the infants’ birth weight alone and may be independent of their surgery.
Low weight infants are at a higher risk of mortality, even in the absence of heart disease.[13–17] These infants have high rates of respiratory failure, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, predisposition to intestinal ischemia and necrotizing enterocolitis, limited tubular and medullary renal function, and immature immune systems.[18] The Vermont Oxford Network has documented consistent decline in mortality for low birth weight infants over the last several decades.[13–17] In the current era, on average, infants born in the United States weighing 1.5–2.0 kg have a >98% chance of survival—>90% for born weighing 0.5–1.5 kg—but that still represents absolute risks of 2% and 10% respectively. The Vermont Oxford Network has also further shown significant and persistent variation in center-level outcomes for low weight infants. Nationally, there remains a two-percentage point absolute difference in mortality for neonates 0.5 to 1.5 kg across neonatal intensive care units (20% relative risk difference).[13] These effects appear to be even more profound for infants at the lower end of the weight and gestational age spectrum.[16,19]
In 1976, the March of Dimes called for a tiered system for neonatal intensive care units, to address variation in outcomes. In 2004, the American Academy of Pediatrics Committee on Fetus and Newborn issued a policy statement establishing a system based on the capabilities available at each center.[20] In the years since, data have repeatedly confirmed that infrastructure and personnel in neonatal intensive care units explains variation in outcomes and that adherence to this capacity-based, tiered system improves neonatal outcomes at a national level.[21,22]
A similar debate has taken place in congenital heart community over the last several decades, accelerated in recent years by a series of lay-press articles.[23–25] Many have called for regionalization of care by center-level volumes.[26–32] Others have maintained that volumes explain only a small fraction of center-level variation in cardiac surgical outcomes and have pointed to some smaller cardiac centers that have exceptionally good outcomes and some larger centers with poorer outcomes.[33,34]
As some of the observed risk can be attributed to being of low birth weight, this aspect of care should be considered when evaluating between-center variation in outcomes. Our data raise the possibility that some of the observed variation in cardiac surgical outcomes for low weight infants may be the result of centers’ capacity to care for low birth weight children at large, rather than the surgeons’ technical capacity to perform the operation on physically small hearts or the intensivists’ familiarity with managing particular cardiac conditions. Our data are in-line with previous studies on gestational age, which have pointed to a parallel relationship between gestational age and mortality among neonates with congenital heart defects and the neonatal population at large.[35,36] As cardiologists and surgeons consider the wisdom of offering surgical repair on increasingly smaller children at their local institutions, this ought to be considered.
Unfortunately, our data cannot answer questions regarding optimal surgical timing, types of surgery with lower risk, or the impact of other factors such as genetic or extra-cardiac anomalies for low weight infants. We do not have data on the morbidities these children experienced while awaiting surgery nor on the reasons for surgical delays. and our power to perform such calculations is limited. That having been said, our data do not suggest that children operated on at lower weights had increased additive risks related to cardiac surgery, as the majority of the difference in observed mortality between infants greater or less than 1.5 kg would be appropriately attributable to differences in expected mortality by birth-weight alone, rather than to differences in children’s responses to cardiac surgery. Future investigations on surgical timing ought to include consideration of the additive effects of being born small.
Due to the low number of infants in the group <1.0 kg, we were unfortunately unable to provide reliable evidence for the risk difference in infants born at the lowest weight. Intuitively, we would expect the <1.0kg cohort to have the highest mortality risk among the three weight groups; we know from the VON database nationally this group has a baseline 30% risk of mortality before surgery. None of our nine children <1.0 kg died. These patients were managed pre- and postoperatively in our dedicated cardiac neonatal intensive care unit. Our study is further limited by the fact that the VON data do include some children with cardiac defects and the STS-CHS data do include some infants ≤2.0 kg. In both instances, these represent small fractions of cases in the reference databases and we do not believe this to be large enough to meaningfully increase the calculated mortality rates. Additionally, any potential bias due to the inclusion of these infants would likely lead to an underestimation of the risk difference rather than overestimation.
The VON database also reports in-hospital—rather than in-hospital or 30 day—mortality. There may be some infants in the VON ≤2.0 kg and discharged before 30 days who died at home, and there may be infants in VON who died early and would not have reached surgery if they had been cardiac surgery patients. That having been said, sensitivity analyses using in-hospital—rather than operative—mortality yielded the exact same results, as all deaths in our cohort occurred in hospital and no children born at <2.0 kg were discharged alive at <30 days.
Conclusion
As surgeons advance the limits of complex cardiac surgeries in low weight neonates, and as we evaluate them for doing so, it is helpful to understand that a) the rate of mortality observed in the general neonatal cardiac surgical population is not a realistic target and b) the risk attributable to the surgery remains higher among low birth weight patients. As surgeons advance the limits of complex cardiac surgeries in low weight neonates, and as we evaluate them for doing so, it is helpful to understand that a) the rate of mortality observed in the general neonatal cardiac surgical population is not a realistic target for <2.0kg infants and b) the risk attributable to the surgery remains higher among low birth weight patients.
Acknowledgements:
The Vermont Oxford Network and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons played no role in the design, conduct, analysis, interpretations, or reporting. The views, conclusions, and opinions expressed here are solely those of the authors and do not represent those of the Vermont Oxford Network or the Society of Thoracic Surgeons.
Funding: Dr. Anderson and Dr. Crook receive salary support from the National Institutes of Health / National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (K23 HL133454).
Footnotes
Publisher's Disclaimer: This Author Accepted Manuscript is a PDF file of an unedited peer-reviewed manuscript that has been accepted for publication but has not been copyedited or corrected. The official version of record that is published in the journal is kept up to date and so may therefore differ from this version.
Conflicts of interest: The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Ethics approval: This study received Institutional Review Board approval (AAAR9989, approved 08/09/2018)
Consent to participate: NA
Consent for publication: NA
Availability of data and material: NA
Code availability: NA
References
- 1.Ades AM, Dominguez TE, Nicolson SC, Gaynor JW, Spray TL, Wernovsky G, Tabbutt S (2010) Morbidity and mortality after surgery for congenital cardiac disease in the infant born with low weight. Cardiology in the young 20: 8–17 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Best KE, Tennant PWG, Rankin J (2017) Survival, by Birth Weight and Gestational Age, in Individuals With Congenital Heart Disease: A Population-Based Study. J Am Heart Assoc 6: [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Bove T, Francois K, De Groote K, Suys B, De Wolf D, Verhaaren H, Matthys D, Moerman A, Poelaert J, Vanhaesebroeck P, Van Nooten G (2004) Outcome analysis of major cardiac operations in low weight neonates. The Annals of thoracic surgery 78: 181–187 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Curzon CL, Milford-Beland S, Li JS, O’Brien SM, Jacobs JP, Jacobs ML, Welke KF, Lodge AJ, Peterson ED, Jaggers J (2008) Cardiac surgery in infants with low birth weight is associated with increased mortality: analysis of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Database. The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery 135: 546–551 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Kalfa D, Krishnamurthy G, Duchon J, Najjar M, Levasseur S, Chai P, Chen J, Quaegebeur J, Bacha E (2014) Outcomes of cardiac surgery in patients weighing <2.5 kg: affect of patient-dependent and -independent variables. The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery 148: 2499–2506 e2491 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Hickey EJ, Nosikova Y, Zhang H, Caldarone CA, Benson L, Redington A, Van Arsdell GS (2012) Very low-birth-weight infants with congenital cardiac lesions: is there merit in delaying intervention to permit growth and maturation? The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery 143: 126–136, 136 e121 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Guillen U, DeMauro S, Ma L, Zupancic J, Wang E, Gafni A, Kirpalani H (2011) Survival rates in extremely low birthweight infants depend on the denominator: avoiding potential for bias by specifying denominators. Am J Obstet Gynecol 205: 329 e321–327 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Jacobs JP, Jacobs ML, Maruszewski B, Lacour-Gayet FG, Tchervenkov CI, Tobota Z, Stellin G, Kurosawa H, Murakami A, Gaynor JW, Pasquali SK, Clarke DR, Austin EH 3rd, Mavroudis C (2012) Initial application in the EACTS and STS Congenital Heart Surgery Databases of an empirically derived methodology of complexity adjustment to evaluate surgical case mix and results. European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery 42: 775–779; discussion 779–780 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Archer JM, Yeager SB, Kenny MJ, Soll RF, Horbar JD (2011) Distribution of and mortality from serious congenital heart disease in very low birth weight infants. Pediatrics 127: 293–299 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Adams-Chapman I, Hansen NI, Shankaran S, Bell EF, Boghossian NS, Murray JC, Laptook AR, Walsh MC, Carlo WA, Sanchez PJ, Van Meurs KP, Das A, Hale EC, Newman NS, Ball MB, Higgins RD, Stoll BJ, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child H, Human Development Neonatal Research N (2013) Ten-year review of major birth defects in VLBW infants. Pediatrics 132: 49–61 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Mai CT, Riehle-Colarusso T, O’Halloran A, Cragan JD, Olney RS, Lin A, Feldkamp M, Botto LD, Rickard R, Anderka M, Ethen M, Stanton C, Ehrhardt J, Canfield M, National Birth Defects Prevention N (2012) Selected birth defects data from population-based birth defects surveillance programs in the United States, 2005–2009: Featuring critical congenital heart defects targeted for pulse oximetry screening. Birth Defects Res A Clin Mol Teratol 94: 970–983 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.O’Brien SM, Clarke DR, Jacobs JP, Jacobs ML, Lacour-Gayet FG, Pizarro C, Welke KF, Maruszewski B, Tobota Z, Miller WJ, Hamilton L, Peterson ED, Mavroudis C, Edwards FH (2009) An empirically based tool for analyzing mortality associated with congenital heart surgery. Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 138: 1139–1153 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Horbar JD, Edwards EM, Greenberg LT, Morrow KA, Soll RF, Buus-Frank ME, Buzas JS (2017) Variation in Performance of Neonatal Intensive Care Units in the United States. JAMA pediatrics 171: e164396. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Horbar JD, Carpenter JH, Badger GJ, Kenny MJ, Soll RF, Morrow KA, Buzas JS (2012) Mortality and neonatal morbidity among infants 501 to 1500 grams from 2000 to 2009. Pediatrics 129: 1019–1026 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Horbar JD, Badger GJ, Carpenter JH, Fanaroff AA, Kilpatrick S, LaCorte M, Phibbs R, Soll RF, Members of the Vermont Oxford N (2002) Trends in mortality and morbidity for very low birth weight infants, 1991–1999. Pediatrics 110: 143–151 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Stoll BJ, Hansen NI, Bell EF, Shankaran S, Laptook AR, Walsh MC, Hale EC, Newman NS, Schibler K, Carlo WA, Kennedy KA, Poindexter BB, Finer NN, Ehrenkranz RA, Duara S, Sanchez PJ, O’Shea TM, Goldberg RN, Van Meurs KP, Faix RG, Phelps DL, Frantz ID 3rd, Watterberg KL, Saha S, Das A, Higgins RD, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child H, Human Development Neonatal Research N (2010) Neonatal outcomes of extremely preterm infants from the NICHD Neonatal Research Network. Pediatrics 126: 443–456 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Stoll BJ, Hansen NI, Bell EF, Walsh MC, Carlo WA, Shankaran S, Laptook AR, Sanchez PJ, Van Meurs KP, Wyckoff M, Das A, Hale EC, Ball MB, Newman NS, Schibler K, Poindexter BB, Kennedy KA, Cotten CM, Watterberg KL, D’Angio CT, DeMauro SB, Truog WE, Devaskar U, Higgins RD, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child H, Human Development Neonatal Research N (2015) Trends in Care Practices, Morbidity, and Mortality of Extremely Preterm Neonates, 1993–2012. JAMA : the journal of the American Medical Association 314: 1039–1051 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Krishnamurthy G (2019) Cardiopulmonary Bypass in Premature and Low Birth Weight Neonates - Implications for Postoperative Care From a Neonatologist/Intensivist Perspective. Seminars in thoracic and cardiovascular surgery Pediatric cardiac surgery annual 22: 2–9 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Rysavy MA, Li L, Bell EF, Das A, Hintz SR, Stoll BJ, Vohr BR, Carlo WA, Shankaran S, Walsh MC, Tyson JE, Cotten CM, Smith PB, Murray JC, Colaizy TT, Brumbaugh JE, Higgins RD, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child H, Human Development Neonatal Research N (2015) Between-hospital variation in treatment and outcomes in extremely preterm infants. The New England journal of medicine 372: 1801–1811 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Newborn AAoPCoFa (2004) Levels of Neonatal Care. Policy Statement: Organizational principles to guide and define the child health care system and/or improve the health of all children. Pediatrics 114: 1341–1347 [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Phibbs CS, Baker LC, Caughey AB, Danielsen B, Schmitt SK, Phibbs RH (2007) Level and volume of neonatal intensive care and mortality in very-low-birth-weight infants. The New England journal of medicine 356: 2165–2175 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.Lasswell SM, Barfield WD, Rochat RW, Blackmon L (2010) Perinatal regionalization for very low-birth-weight and very preterm infants: a meta-analysis. JAMA : the journal of the American Medical Association 304: 992–1000 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Gabler E (2019) Doctors Were Alarmed: ‘Would I Have My Children Have Surgery Here?’. New York Times; New York, NY, [Google Scholar]
- 24.McGrory K, Bedi N (2018) Johns Hopkins promised to elevate All Children’s Heart Institute. Then patients started to die at an alarming rate. Tampa Bay Times; Tampa Bay, FL, [Google Scholar]
- 25.Cohen E JB (2015) Secret deaths: CNN finds high surgical death rate for children at a Florida hospital. CNN. [Google Scholar]
- 26.Sakai-Bizmark R, Mena LA, Kumamaru H, Kawachi I, Marr EH, Webber EJ, Seo HH, Friedlander SIM, Chang RR (2019) Impact of pediatric cardiac surgery regionalization on health care utilization and mortality. Health Serv Res 54: 890–901 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Burki S, Fraser CD Jr. (2016) Larger Centers May Produce Better Outcomes: Is Regionalization in Congenital Heart Surgery a Superior Model? Seminars in thoracic and cardiovascular surgery Pediatric cardiac surgery annual 19: 10–13 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Jenkins KJ, Newburger JW, Lock JE, Davis RB, Coffman GA, Iezzoni LI (1995) In-hospital mortality for surgical repair of congenital heart defects: preliminary observations of variation by hospital caseload. Pediatrics 95: 323–330 [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29.Welke KF, O’Brien SM, Peterson ED, Ungerleider RM, Jacobs ML, Jacobs JP (2009) The complex relationship between pediatric cardiac surgical case volumes and mortality rates in a national clinical database. The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery 137: 1133–1140 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 30.Chang RK, Klitzner TS (2002) Can regionalization decrease the number of deaths for children who undergo cardiac surgery? A theoretical analysis. Pediatrics 109: 173–181 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.Hannan EL, Racz M, Kavey RE, Quaegebeur JM, Williams R (1998) Pediatric cardiac surgery: the effect of hospital and surgeon volume on in-hospital mortality. Pediatrics 101: 963–969 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32.Pasquali SK, Li JS, Burstein DS, Sheng S, O’Brien SM, Jacobs ML, Jaquiss RD, Peterson ED, Gaynor JW, Jacobs JP (2012) Association of center volume with mortality and complications in pediatric heart surgery. Pediatrics 129: e370–376 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 33.Welke KF, Diggs BS, Karamlou T, Ungerleider RM (2008) The relationship between hospital surgical case volumes and mortality rates in pediatric cardiac surgery: a national sample, 1988–2005. The Annals of thoracic surgery 86: 889–896; discussion 889–896 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 34.Vinocur JM, Menk JS, Connett J, Moller JH, Kochilas LK (2013) Surgical volume and center effects on early mortality after pediatric cardiac surgery: 25-year North American experience from a multi-institutional registry. Pediatric cardiology 34: 1226–1236 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 35.Costello JM, Pasquali SK, Jacobs JP, He X, Hill KD, Cooper DS, Backer CL, Jacobs ML (2014) Gestational age at birth and outcomes after neonatal cardiac surgery: an analysis of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database. Circulation 129: 2511–2517 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 36.Tita AT, Landon MB, Spong CY, Lai Y, Leveno KJ, Varner MW, Moawad AH, Caritis SN, Meis PJ, Wapner RJ, Sorokin Y, Miodovnik M, Carpenter M, Peaceman AM, O’Sullivan MJ, Sibai BM, Langer O, Thorp JM, Ramin SM, Mercer BM, Eunice Kennedy Shriver NM-FMUN (2009) Timing of elective repeat cesarean delivery at term and neonatal outcomes. The New England journal of medicine 360: 111–120 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
