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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Dec 29.
Published in final edited form as: J Surg Oncol. 2017 Aug 22;117(2):150–159. doi: 10.1002/jso.24808

Recurrence patterns and associated factors of locoregional failure following neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery for esophageal cancer

Aaron U Blackham 1, Syeda M H Naqvi 2, Michael J Schell 2, William Jin 3, Alexandra Gangi 1, Khaldoun Almhanna 1, Jacques P Fontaine 1, Sarah E Hoffe 3, Jessica Frakes 3, Puja Venkat 3, Jose M Pimiento 1,4
PMCID: PMC7771345  NIHMSID: NIHMS1653800  PMID: 28833197

Abstract

Background:

Despite neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) followed by esophagectomy for locally advanced esophageal cancer, locoregional recurrence (LRR) is common and factors associated with LRR have not been clearly identified.

Methods:

Patients were identified from a single institution, prospectively maintained database (1996-2013). Patterns of recurrence were described and associated factors of LRR were analyzed using competing risks regression models.

Results:

Of the 456 patients treated with nCRT and surgery, 167 patients developed recurrence. Locoregional and distant recurrences were observed in 69 (15.1%) and 140 (30.9%) patients, respectively. Time to recurrence (13.6 vs 10.4 months, P = 0.20) and median overall survival (29.3 vs 19.1 months, P = 0.12) were no different among the 27 patients (6%) who developed a solitary LRR compared to patients who developed distant recurrence. Univariable analysis identified lymphovascular invasion (HR 1.46, P = 0.07), lymph node ratio >0.5 (HR 2.16, P = 0.02), positive margin (HR 1.95, P = 0.05), lack of response to neoadjuvant therapy (HR 1.99, P < 0.01), clinical T stage (HR 2.62, P < 0.01) and final T3/4 stage (HR 2.06, P < 0.01) as factors significantly associated with LRR. Clinical T stage and response to neoadjuvant treatment were independently associated with LRR on multivariable analysis.

Conclusions:

Although aggressive tumor biology plays a significant role in LRR, optimizing neoadjuvant treatments to obtain a complete pathologic response may lead to improved locoregional control.

Keywords: esophagectomy, outcomes, prognosis, risk factors

1 |. INTRODUCTION

Despite the expanded use of neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) in recent years, overall prognosis for esophageal cancer remains poor. In 2015, an estimated 16 980 patients were diagnosed with and 15 590 patients died of esophageal cancer in the United States.1 As these dismal statistics imply, many patients with esophageal cancer present with incurable disease2 and among the patients who do receive curative intent treatment, many suffer from recurrence with limited salvage treatment options.3,4

Recent randomized controlled trials5,6 and a meta-analysis7 have confirmed improved disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer using nCRT followed by surgical resection. Based on these data, nCRT has become the standard of care for these patients. Most notably, the CROSS trial showed a prolonged median OS of 49.4 months with the addition of nCRT compared to 24.0 months with surgery alone (P = 0.003) and complete 5-year follow-up recently confirmed a doubling of the median OS with the use of nCRT.8

Despite radical esophageal resection, the rate of locoregional recurrence (LRR) with surgery alone has been reported up to 42%.912 Multimodality therapy is designed to optimize locoregional control of the disease and, indeed, leads to higher R0 resection rates,5 lower locoregional failure rates,13 and induces a pathologic complete response in up to 47% of patients.5,14,15 Yet, despite nCRT, approximately 20% of patients will develop LRR.9,13,16,17 Salvage treatment options for these patients are limited4,18,19 and the resultant progressive dysphagia can cause significant morbidity leading to malnutrition, refractory pain, and repeated palliative endoscopic dilations and/or stent placements. Unfortunately, the etiology of locoregional failure following nCRT in esophageal cancer patients has not been intently studied. It remains unclear if technical adjustments (such as higher radiation doses, expanded radiation fields, or more extensive lymphadenectomy) could be made to further improve LR control in these patients. The aims of this study are to (1) analyze the patterns of recurrence in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer treated with nCRT and esophagectomy; (2) explore the survival implications of locoregional failure; and (3) identify potentially actionable factors associated with LRR.

2 |. METHODS

Patients were identified from a single institution IRB-approved database of patients undergoing esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. Data were retrospectively collected until 2006, after which data have been prospectively maintained. Patient demographics, clinical outcomes, perioperative variables, multimodality treatment regimens, and recurrence data were retrospectively analyzed. All patients who underwent nCRT followed by esophagectomy for curative intent were included. Patients who underwent palliative surgery, presented with synchronous hepatic or peritoneal metastases, or died within 90 days of surgery were excluded from the analysis.

Once the diagnosis of esophageal cancer was made, the patients’ clinical stage was established by computed tomography (CT) scans, endoscopic ultrasound (EUS), and positron emission tomography (PET) scans according to American Joint Committee on Cancer staging criteria.20 nCRT was recommended to patients with clinical ≥T2 or N1 disease. The preferred neoadjuvant regimen at our institution includes cisplatin (Days 1 and 29) and continuous 5-fluorouracil infusion (Monday through Friday) concurrent with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) or 3D conformal radiation therapy (3DCRT) to a total dose ranging from 45 to 56 Gy over 25 to 28 fractions, as previously reported.14,21 Some patients were treated by referring centers and alternatively received weekly carboplatin and paclitaxel concurrent radiation using doses of 41.4 to 50 Gy over 23 to 25 fractions.5 The radiation fields were designed to encompass the gross tumor delineated by imaging or fiducial markers and an appropriate elective volume to encompass sites of potential microscopic disease. North American esophageal cancer consensus contouring guidelines were recently published22 and were not available for the time period of this study, thus there was inter-practitioner heterogeneity in contouring design amongst the radiation oncologists treating these cancers.

Patients were restaged with PET/CT scans approximately 6 weeks after completion of nCRT. Patients who did not have evidence of metastatic disease and were medically fit were offered surgical resection. Esophagectomy was generally performed 6 to 10 weeks following completion of nCRT. In general, patients were not treated with adjuvant therapy. PET response was noted when post-nCRT imaging revealed decreased or resolved PET avidity at the primary tumor site compared to pre-nCRT imaging. Complete pathologic response to nCRT was defined as no residual tumor cells seen at the tumor site or regional lymph nodes on pathologic evaluation. Patients who had residual microscopic cancer but were downstaged (improved T stage, N stage, or tumor size) from their pre-nCRT clinical stage were classified as having had a partial response. No response was noted when the pathologic stage was the same or more advanced than the pre-nCRT clinical stage.

When surveillance was performed at our institution, patients were followed every 3-6 months with a history and physical exam, basic metabolic panel, and complete blood count for 3 years, then every 6 months for 2 additional years. CT or PET scans of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis were performed annually for 5 years. During the initial years of the study period, a routine esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) was performed 6-12 months after surgery; however, in our current practice, and for most of the study period, an EGD was only performed in patients with a history of Barrett’s esophagus or who developed symptoms. When recurrent esophageal cancer was suspected by EGD, imaging or symptoms, a biopsy for confirmation was obtained prior to further treatment. The type of recurrence was classified as follows: local recurrence when it involved the esophageal lumen, most often at the anastomotic site; regional recurrence when it involved adjacent mediastinal or celiac lymph nodes; LLR when having local and/or regional disease; or distant recurrence (DR) when it involved distant organs including non-regional lymph nodes. Many patients developed metastases at multiple sites. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was calculated from the date of surgery to the date of recurrence. OS was calculated from the date of surgery to death or date of last follow-up. Time to recurrence and survival time after recurrence were calculated using the date when recurrence was determined by imaging or biopsy.

Descriptive statistics compared patients with any DR to those with only LRR using χ2 test for categorical predictor variables and Wilcoxon rank sum test for continuous predictor variables. For small sample sizes, Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison purposes. To estimate recurrence free survival, competing risk analysis was done. For RFS main event of interest was any DR and competing event were only LRR or Death. Cumulative incidence was estimated and a plot was generated using “cmprsk” R package. Multivariable competing risks regression models (sub distribution hazard models) were developed to determine the correlation of clinically important covariates to the RFS. Backward selection methods with SLS = 0.25 was used to choose covariates for the final model. To compare the post event survival for any DR and solitary LRR, Kaplan-Meier curve and estimates, with the log rank test, were used. SAS v9.4 was used to perform this analysis.

3 |. RESULTS

3.1 |. Demographics and patterns of recurrence

Out of 827 esophageal cancer patients from October 1996 to June 2013, 521 patients (63%) were treated with nCRT followed by esophagectomy. Based on the exclusion criteria outlined above, 65 patients were excluded (Figure 1). A summary of the demographics and clinicopathologic characteristics of the 456 patients who were included in our analysis is shown in Table 1. The nCRT regimens most often used were 5-fluorouracil/cisplatin (74%) or carboplatin/paclitaxel (14%) and the median dose of radiation was 50.4 Gy (range 16.2, 66.6 Gy). Planned doses of neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiation were completed in 85% and 93% of patients, respectively. The median number of lymph nodes harvested was 10 (range 0-39). When the prognostic value of lymph node harvest became evident 8-10 years ago,23,24 our institution began to focus more intently on surgical harvest and, in particular, pathologic retrieval. As such, we found a significant difference in the median lymph node harvest before and after 2008 (7 vs 15, P < 0.001). A positive proximal, distal or radial margin was found in 19 patients. Our overall R0 resection rate was 96%. A complete pathologic response was observed in 181 patients (40%).

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

A flow chart describing the inclusion criteria and clinical outcomes of 827 patients treated with esophagectomy leading to our main study population of 167 patients with known disease recurrence following neadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy

TABLE 1.

Demographic and clinicopathologic characteristics of 456 patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy

Patient variable Total LRR DR No known recurrence P-value
N 456 27 140 289
Age (mean ± SD) 63 ± 11 64 ± 11 63 ± 11 63 ± 11 0.73
Gender
 Male 381 (84) 21 (78) 119 (85) 241 (83) 0.39
 Female 75 (16) 6 (22) 21 (15) 48 (17)
Histology
 Adenocarcinoma 389 (87) 23 (85) 124 (89) 242 (86) 0.70
 Squamous cell carcinoma 55 (12) 4 (15) 13 (9) 38 (13)
 Adenosquamous carcinoma 4 (1) 0 (0) 3 (2) 2 (1)
Anatomic location
 Upper third (20-25 cm) 6 (1) 0 (0) 1 (1) 5 (2) 0.75
 Middle third (26-30 cm) 26 (6) 1 (4) 7 (5) 18 (6)
 Lower third (31-40 cm) 265 (58) 18 (67) 74 (53) 173 (60)
 GE junction 157 (35) 8 (29) 57 (41) 92 (32)
Clinical T stage (EUS)
 uT1 20 (5) 2 (9) 3 (2) 15 (6) 0.27
 uT2 45 (11) 2 (9) 6 (5) 37 (15)
 uT3 289 (72) 14 (61) 95 (77) 180 (70)
 uT4 48 (12) 5 (21) 19 (16) 24 (9)
Clinical N stage (EUS)
 uN0 101 (25) 7 (30) 26 (21) 68 (27) 0.51
 uN1 297 (75) 16 (70) 97 (79) 184 (73)
Location of neoadjuvant radiation
 Moffitt 160 (36) 8 (30) 53 (39) 99 (35) 0.41
 Referring institution 289 (64) 19 (70) 84 (61) 186 (65)
Radiation technique
 2D 4 (2) 1 (10) 1 (2) 2 (1) 0.10
 3D 65 (32) 1 (10) 20 (36) 44 (32)
 IMRT 135 (66) 8 (80) 34 (62) 93 (67)
Radiation dose
 <50.4 Gy 111 (30) 7 (35) 35 (31) 68 (28) 0.80
 50.4Gy 172 (46) 9 (45) 57 (50) 103 (43)
 >50.4 Gy 92 (24) 4 (20) 22 (19) 66 (28)
PET response
 Yes 124 (78) 7 (78) 31 (69) 86 (83) 0.71
 No 34 (22) 2 (22) 14 (31) 18 (17)
Type of operation
 Ivor-Lewis 284 (63) 16 (62) 86 (61) 182 (63) 0.61
 Laparoscopic Ivor-Lewis 93 (20) 7 (27) 24 (17) 62 (21)
 Transhiatal 29 (6) 0 (0) 9 (7) 20 (7)
 Laparoscopic transhiatal 40 (9) 3 (12) 18 (13) 19 (7)
 Three-field 9 (2) 0 (0) 3 (2) 6 (2)
Grade
 Well/moderate differentiation 163 (40) 10 (40) 49 (40) 104 (40) 0.85
 Poor differentiation 119 (29) 7 (28) 47 (38) 65 (25)
 No tumor present 129 (31) 8 (32) 29 (22) 92 (35)
Lymphvascular invasion
 Yes 79 (20) 7 (29) 33 (26) 40 (16) 0.83
 No 316 (80) 17 (71) 95 (74) 204 (74)
Perineural invasion
 Yes 67 (17) 5 (22) 26 (20) 36 (15) 1.0
 No 327 (83) 18 (78) 104 (80) 205 (85)
Positive margin
 Yes 19 (4) 3 (11) 9 (6) 7 (2) 0.09
 No 435 (96) 23 (89) 131 (94) 281 (98)
Final tumor stage
 T0/Tis 195 (43) 9 (33) 45 (32) 141 (49) 0.81
 T1 62 (14) 5 (19) 16 (11) 41 (14)
 T2 80 (18) 6 (22) 29 (21) 45 (16)
 T3 111 (24) 6 (22) 47 (34) 58 (20)
 T4 7 (1) 1 (4) 3 (2) 3 (1)
Final nodal stage
 N0 311 (69) 16 (59) 74 (53) 221 (77) 0.86
 N1 118 (26) 10 (37) 54 (39) 54 (19)
 N2 18 (4) 1 (4) 7 (5) 10 (3)
 N3/4 6 (1) 0 (0) 4 (3) 2 (1)
Lymph node ratio
 ≤0.2 366 (81) 19 (70) 101 (72) 246 (88) 0.58
 0.2 to 0.5 38 (8) 4 (15) 15 (11) 19 (7)
 ≥0.5 38 (8) 2 (7.5) 20 (14) 16 (5)
Pathologic response
 Complete 181 (40) 8 (29) 39 (28) 134 (49) 0.87
 Partial 172 (37) 11 (41) 62 (44) 99 (36)
 No response 72 (16) 4 (15) 28 (20) 40 (15)
Any complication
 Yes 272 (60) 22 (82) 77 (55) 173 (60) 0.02
 No 181 (40) 5 (18) 63 (45) 113 (40)
Anastomotic leak
 Yes 22 (5) 3 (11) 4 (3) 15 (5) 0.09
 No 425 (95) 24 (89) 134 (97) 267 (95)
Adjuvant chemotherapy
 Yes 64 (16) 2 (8) 30 (23) 32 (12) 0.17
 No 347 (84) 22 (92) 99 (77) 226 (88)

Patients were stratified by pattern of disease recurrence: LRR includes patients with isolated locoregional recurrence and DR includes any patient with a distant recurrence.

Median follow-up in surviving patients was 50.1 months. At the time of last follow-up, 169 patients (37%) were still alive, 16 of who were alive with known recurrent disease (Figure 1). In contrast, 192 patients (42%) had died of disease and 95 patients (21%) had died of other or unknown causes. Details relating to known recurrence were available in 167 patients. The patterns and specific sites of recurrence are summarized in Figure 2. Among all patients who received nCRT, local recurrence, regional recurrence and DR occurred in 19 (4%), 56 (12%), and 140 (31%) patients, respectively. The most common sites of DR were lung, liver and bone, followed by non-regional lymph nodes, brain and peritoneum. Metastases at more than one site were common and occurred in 68 patients. Solitary LRR occurred in 27 patients (6%) while the remaining 42 patients with LRR also developed DR. As shown in Table 1, the only significant clinicopathologic feature differing between the LRR and DR groups was the rate of post-operative complications, which was more frequent in the solitary LRR group. The rate of anastomotic leak was also higher in the solitary LRR group (11%) compared to any patient who developed DR (3%) but the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.09). Also noteworthy, patients who had a complete pathologic response to nCRT (n = 181) had fewer locoregional failures (n = 19, 11%) compared to patients with partial or no response (50 out of 244, 20%, P < 0.001).

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2

A summary of the patterns of disease recurrence (local, regional, and distant) and specific anatomic sites of recurrence in 167 out of 456 patients with esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy

3.2 |. Timing of disease recurrence

The probability of recurrence over time in patients with solitary LRR or any DR is shown Table 2 and Figure 3. Ninety percent of all recurrences occurred within 36 months of surgery, 73% occurred within 18 months. The median time to recurrence in all patients with known recurrence was 10.6 months (range 1.2-101 months) and did not differ based on pattern of recurrence (LRR, 13.6 vs DR, 10.4 months; P = 0.27). The longest disease free interval to LRR and DR was 72.0 and 101 months, respectively. Treatment for recurrent disease was most often received at referring institutions, thus the specific therapies given were unknown in some patients. Among the patients with available follow-up data, only 13 patients underwent curative intent surgical resection for recurrent disease. Chemotherapy and additional radiation were given to 68 and 28 patients, respectively.

TABLE 2.

The probability of solitary locoregional recurrence (LRR) or distant recurrence (DR) at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant multimodality therapy

LRR, N = 27 DR, N = 140
Probability of recurrence
 1-year 3% 18%
 3-year 6% 27%
 5-year 6% 31%
 10-year 7% 32%
Median time to death after recurrence (months) 8.4 6.1

FIGURE 3.

FIGURE 3

Competing risks curves for survival in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy stratified pattern of recurrence

Patients who died after solitary LRR survived a median of 8.4 months compared to 6.1 months for patients who died after any DR (P = 0.15). Median OS in patients with solitary LRR was not statistically different compared to patients with any DR (29.3 vs 19.1 months, P = 0.12).

3.3 |. Associated factors of locoregional recurrence

Factors associated with LRR on univariable analysis are shown in Table 3 and include: the presence of lymphovascular invasion, high lymph node ratio, positive margin, clinical and final T stage, and response to neoadjuvant treatment. Interestingly, many treatment-related factors were found not to be associated with locoregional failure including type of surgery (Ivor-Lewis vs transhiatal), lymph node harvest, radiation dose, the use of IMRT and the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. On multivariable analysis, only clinical T stage and response to neoadjuvant therapy were independently associated with LRR.

TABLE 3.

Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors associated with locoregional recurrence in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy

Variable Univariate Multivariate
Hazard ratio (95%CI) P-value Hazard ratio (95%CI) P-value
Lymphovascular invasion 1.46 (0.97, 2.21) 0.07
Perineural invasion 1.27 (0.82, 1.96) 0.29
Lymph node ratio (reference ≤0.2)
 0.2 to 0.5 1.69 (0.97, 2.96) 0.06
 >0.5 2.16 (1.32, 3.54) 0.02
Final T stage (reference T0)
 T1/2 1.50 (0.99, 2.28) 0.06
 T3/4 2.06 (1.36, 3.11) <0.01
 Positive margin 1.95 (1.00,3.80) 0.05 1.52 (0.75, 3.01) 0.25
Treatment response (reference complete response)
 Partial response 1.80 (1.20, 2.70) <0.01 1.69 (1.10, 2.59) 0.02
 No response 1.99 (1.21, 3.27) <0.01 2.00 (1.19, 3.33) <0.01
Clinical uT stage (reference uT1/2)
 uT3/4 2.62 (1.33, 5.16) <0.01 2.43 (1.24, 4.78) <0.01

4 |. DISCUSSION

In the well-matched, randomized controlled CROSS trial,5 the addition of nCRT to surgical resection for locally advanced esophageal cancer was associated with an improved R0 resection rate (92% vs 69%, P < 0.001), a lower rate of metastatic lymph nodes found on final pathology (31% vs 75%, P < 0.001) and a complete pathologic response rate of 29%. This improved locoregional control seen with trimodality therapy led to a significantly longer median DFS and a doubling of the median OS (49.4 vs 24.0 months, P = 0.003). Despite the favorable locoregional efficacy of nCRT, 14.1% of patients experienced locoregional failures (compared to 33.5% of patients treated with surgery alone)13 which closely resembles the incidence of LRR (15%) in our series.

One of the most important findings highlighted in our analysis, and which is demonstrated by others as well,13,25 is that while 15% of patients developed LRR, most locoregional failures occurred in the setting of synchronous DR. In fact, relatively few patients in our series (6%) developed solitary LRR. OS in patients with combined LRR and DR was most similar to patients who develop DR without LRR suggesting that, as expected, survival in these patients is most dependent on distant organ involvement. At the same time, survival from the time of recurrence was not significantly different in patients with solitary LRR (8.4 months) compared to patients with any distant failure (6.1 months).

The observation that outcomes in patients with isolated LRR are no better than patients with DR was unexpected but could be explained by the significant morbidity of locoregional failure. These patients develop progressive dysphagia leading to weight loss, malnutrition, and declining performance status which can rapidly and significantly compromise the patient’s ability to receive further treatment. Furthermore, as our results imply, aggressive tumor biology is a significant contributing factor to LRR which may also explain the rapid deterioration and lack of effective treatments seen in patients with isolated locoregional disease.

Our analysis also offers important implications in terms of surveillance. First, isolated local failure is a rare event occurring in only 4% of our patients and between 2% and 3% in other series,4,13 providing further evidence that routine surveillance endoscopy is not necessary as outlined in the most recent NCCN guidelines.26 Second, almost 75% of patients who developed recurrence did so within 18 months and 90% of patients recurred within the first 3 years. This pattern of early disease recurrence has been demonstrated by others as well.4,27 However, the longest DFI in our cohort was 101 months before the patient developed lung metastases. These observations would suggest the importance of more frequent imaging surveillance during the first 3 years and the need to follow the patient well beyond 5 years. On the other hand, patient outcomes are dismal following recurrence from esophageal cancer because salvage resection for isolated disease is rarely possible and systemic strategies are largely ineffective.4,18,19 Therefore, until more effective salvage treatments are available, identifying recurrent disease earlier may not have a significant impact on long-term outcomes.

Despite these discouraging findings, efforts should continue to find ways to reduce the rate of LRR in patients treated with nCRT and surgery. Few authors have sought to identify clinicopathologic features associated with LRR. A small study28 reported no locoregional recurrences in 40 patients treated with nCRT and en bloc esophagectomy compared to 17% in 18 patients treated with nCRT and transhiatal esophagectomy, suggesting that more radical resection could reduce the rate of LRR. This finding was not confirmed in our study; however, only 2% of our patients were treated with a three-field or en bloc esophagectomy. In another study, Shaikh et al29 found that fewer lymph nodes assessed correlated to a higher rate of regional failure and reported that locoregional RFS was longer in patients who had >13 lymph nodes evaluated compared to patients with ≤13 nodes. In contrast, lymph node harvest was not found to be associated with LRR in our patients. As noted, lymph node harvest was higher in our patients treated after 2008. We believe this is primarily the results of more focused pathologic evaluation rather than a difference in surgical technique and, as such, would not be expected to independently influence LRR. However, we did find lower lymph node ratios were associated with fewer LRRs on univariable analysis and, in general, higher lymph node harvests will yield lower lymph node ratios. Taken together, these observations suggest that an appropriate lymphadenectomy could be essential, not only for accurate staging, but also in optimizing locoregional control.

We expected to find that positive margins would correlate to higher rates of LRR. A positive margin on final pathology was overall uncommon in our series (4%). Although, among the 69 patients who developed LRR, 8 (12%) had a positive proximal or radial margin and 4 patients out of 19 with LR (21%) had a positive margin. Despite these observations, a positive margin was not an independent risk factor for LRR on multivariable analysis. It is our standard practice to perform a wide lymphadenectomy to clear the radial margin and to obtain frozen sections of the proximal esophageal margin. If the frozen sections are positive for invasive disease or high grade dysplasia, an additional margin is obtained prior to performing the esophageal anastomosis. Despite these efforts, frozen sections can be falsely negative and, in rare cases, the tumor extent is submucosal and may not allow for proximal or radial clearance. Further analysis is required to evaluate the clinical significance of a positive margin in terms of LRR.

Another significant finding in our analysis is the lower LRR rate among patients who achieved a pathologic complete response compared to non-complete responders (11% vs 20%, P < 0.001). Other reports17,30 have also shown lower recurrence rates and improved survival in patients who achieve a complete pathologic response following nCRT and surgery. Meguid et al30 reported a median OS of 79 months in patients who achieved a complete pathologic response compared to 31 months and 19 months in partial and non-responders, respectively (P < 0.001) and found fewer overall recurrences in complete responders (22% vs 36% and 35%, P = 0.055). However, the rate of LRR was no different between these three groups (27%, 21%, and 22%, P = 0.829). The difference in LRR rates among complete responders in Meguid’s study (27%) compared to our cohort (11%) may be explained, in part, by the higher doses of radiation used in our patients, leading to a higher incidence of complete pathologic responses (31% vs 40%). While radiation dose, modality of radiation, and chemotherapy regimen were not associated with LRR in our series, such adjustments in neoadjuvant regimens to increase the incidence of complete pathologic responses may have an indirect, beneficial effect on the rate of locoregional failure.

The specific role of radiation in the incidence of LRR has received attention in several recent reports. Van Daele et al31 reported a higher rate of regional recurrence in 109 patients treated with 36 Gy compared to 38 patients treated with 41-50 Gy (28% vs 3%, P < 0.001). In our series, only nine patients received a radiation dose of <40 Gy and our median radiation dose was 50.4 Gy which could explain why we did not see a difference in LRR rates based on radiation dose. From the CROSS trial data, Oppendijk et al13 analyzed the relationship between LRR and radiation treatment fields and found that LRR developed at similar rates both in (5.2%) and outside (6.1%) the treated radiation fields. Likewise, Dorth et al25 analyzed LRR by comparing the specific location of recurrence on imaging with the radiation treatment fields and determined that 95% of nodal failures (including para-aortic) occurred outside or near the primary radiation fields. Yet, similar to our findings, most patients developed DR at the same time which led them to conclude that targeting additional nodal basins with nCRT would offer limited clinical benefit.

Many factors which could be optimized by oncology providers to potentially reduce the incidence of locoregional failures (radiation regimen, chemotherapy agent, type of surgery, and the use of adjuvant therapy) were not associated with LRR in our analysis. At the same time, factors which were associated with LRR in our analysis suggest that aggressive tumor biology (high lymph node ratios, the presence of lymphovascular invasion, poor treatment response, and advanced pathologic stage) plays a significant role in the incidence of LRR. Koshy et al also highlighted the role of tumor biology in these patients by reporting that longer tumor length, macroscopic residual disease, and adenocarcinoma histology correlated with worse LR control. These observations, taken together with the low incidence of solitary locoregional failure, suggest that further improvements in long-term patient survival will require new treatment strategies specifically targeting systemic control.

Our study is limited by its retrospective nature and its relatively long study period of 17 years. Admittedly, variation in practice habits evolve over time and standard treatment regimens were much different at the beginning compared to the end of the study period. However, it is precisely the relative heterogeneity in our series which permitted the identification of factors associated with locoregional failure. Additional studies evaluating LRR following current treatment protocols could provide additional understanding to recurrence patterns and associated risk factors. Another significant limitation is complete follow-up was not available in all patients. As a tertiary referral center, many of our patients returned to their local oncologist for surveillance. While great effort is made to monitor these patients’ progress, some were ultimately lost to follow-up or specific details regarding recurrence or subsequent treatments were not available.

5 |. CONCLUSION

In conclusion, despite aggressive multimodality neoadjuvant treatment and surgical resection in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, the most common site of relapse was regional lymph nodes. Although many factors associated with LRR suggest that locoregional failure is a function of aggressive tumor biology, administering more effective nCRT regimens to increase rates of complete pathologic responses may allow for more optimized locoregional control. However, given the high rate of multifocal LRR and DR, further improvements in locoregional control are not likely to alter the natural history of patients with recurrent esophageal cancer. Novel locoregional approaches and/or new systemic regimens are needed to further reduce recurrence rates and provide suitable salvage options.

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