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. 2020 Dec 15;16(12):e1009133. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1009133

Emergence of artemisinin-resistant Plasmodium falciparum with kelch13 C580Y mutations on the island of New Guinea

Olivo Miotto 1,2,3,4,*,#, Makoto Sekihara 5,#, Shin-Ichiro Tachibana 5, Masato Yamauchi 5, Richard D Pearson 1,3, Roberto Amato 3, Sonia Gonçalves 3, Somya Mehra 6, Rintis Noviyanti 7, Jutta Marfurt 8, Sarah Auburn 2,4,8, Ric N Price 2,4,8, Ivo Mueller 6, Mie Ikeda 5, Toshiyuki Mori 5, Makoto Hirai 5, Livingstone Tavul 9, Manuel W Hetzel 10,11, Moses Laman 9, Alyssa E Barry 6,12,13,14, Pascal Ringwald 15, Jun Ohashi 16, Francis Hombhanje 17, Dominic P Kwiatkowski 1,3, Toshihiro Mita 5,*
Editor: Oliver Billker18
PMCID: PMC7771869  PMID: 33320907

Abstract

The rapid and aggressive spread of artemisinin-resistant Plasmodium falciparum carrying the C580Y mutation in the kelch13 gene is a growing threat to malaria elimination in Southeast Asia, but there is no evidence of their spread to other regions. We conducted cross-sectional surveys in 2016 and 2017 at two clinics in Wewak, Papua New Guinea (PNG) where we identified three infections caused by C580Y mutants among 239 genotyped clinical samples. One of these mutants exhibited the highest survival rate (6.8%) among all parasites surveyed in ring-stage survival assays (RSA) for artemisinin. Analyses of kelch13 flanking regions, and comparisons of deep sequencing data from 389 clinical samples from PNG, Indonesian Papua and Western Cambodia, suggested an independent origin of the Wewak C580Y mutation, showing that the mutants possess several distinctive genetic features. Identity by descent (IBD) showed that multiple portions of the mutants’ genomes share a common origin with parasites found in Indonesian Papua, comprising several mutations within genes previously associated with drug resistance, such as mdr1, ferredoxin, atg18 and pnp. These findings suggest that a P. falciparum lineage circulating on the island of New Guinea has gradually acquired a complex ensemble of variants, including kelch13 C580Y, which have affected the parasites’ drug sensitivity. This worrying development reinforces the need for increased surveillance of the evolving parasite populations on the island, to contain the spread of resistance.

Author summary

Artemisinin is the most widely used drug against Plasmodium falciparum malaria. In southeast Asia, parasites have evolved genetic changes making them resistant to artemisinin. The elimination of resistant strains is a global priority, since their global spread could result in massive loss of lives. In Papua New Guinea, we found three patients infected with parasites carrying the most widespread resistant variant in southeast Asia, and they were confirmed to be artemisinin resistant. We established that the mutations were not imported from southeast Asia, and found other drug resistance variants in their genetic background, including some shared with parasites in Indonesia. This indicates that artemisinin resistance has emerged in New Guinea separately from southeast Asia, not by a chance event, but by a gradual process of evolution which may still be ongoing undetected on the island. These resistant strains could undermine malaria local control efforts, and constitute a global threat.

Introduction

The global adoption of artemisinin-based combination treatments (ACTs), consisting of an artemisinin derivative and a partner drug, has played a key role in the worldwide reduction of malaria cases and deaths [1]. In the last decade, however, Plasmodium falciparum parasites with decreased sensitivity to artemisinin have emerged at multiple locations in the Greater Mekong Sub-Region (GMS) [24]. These resistant parasites exhibit a reduced clearing rate during treatment [2,3,5], such that treatment efficacy relies more heavily on the partner drug. As a result, resistance to the partner drug may emerge, as has recently been the case with the partner drug piperaquine, leading to ACT treatment failures [4,6].

In the GMS, slow artemisinin clearance rates have been associated with genetic mutations in two domains of the parasite’s kelch13 gene [7]. Numerous independently arising kelch13 mutations have been found in GMS resistant parasites [3,810], and several of these mutations have been validated in relation with clinical and in vitro artemisinin resistance [11]. Increasingly, the genotyping of kelch13 is being used for the surveillance of artemisinin resistance [3,810]. After an initial period in which many kelch13 resistant alleles circulated concurrently, diversity has declined dramatically in the eastern part of the GMS (comprising Cambodia, northeast Thailand, southern Laos and Vietnam) where the C580Y allele has become the most prevalent, replacing other circulating mutations [12]. This allele is also associated with reduced clearing rate western Thailand [5] where it has emerged independently [13]. The C580Y allele has also been detected in parasites outside the GMS, in Africa [8] and in Guyana, South America [14]; however, in these instances the artemisinin clearance rates were not known.

While the GMS has been at the epicentre of resistance to antimalarials multiple times over the last sixty years, resistance has also repeatedly arisen independently on the island of New Guinea, producing alternative resistant genetic variants [15,16]; This makes New Guinea a likely candidate for the emergence of novel forms of artemisinin resistance, and underlines the importance of monitoring local strains. The island of New Guinea is divided between the countries of Papua New Guinea (also known as “PNG”) to the east, and Indonesia to the west (referred to as “Indonesian Papua” here). PNG has used artemether-lumefantrine as first-line treatment for malaria since late 2011[17], and delayed parasite clearance has not been reported to date [18]. We previously reported the absence of kelch13 mutations in PNG samples obtained in 2002–2003 in Wewak Town, East Sepik [9], consistent with results from a later broader survey [10]; however, studies of genetic variants across the island have only been conducted at a limited number of sites. A report of an Australian citizen infected with a C580Y mutant after returning from PNG raised the prospect that artemisinin resistance may have emerged undetected [19]. To investigate this possibility, we conducted a cross-sectional study in 2016–2017 in Wewak. Here, we analyze clinical and genetic data from 257 cases surveyed in this study, to evaluate the potential emergence of artemisinin resistance. We assessed sensitivity to artemisinin using the ring-stage survival assay (RSA), a sensitive ex-vivo method [20], and used next-generation sequencing data to reconstruct the epidemiology of kelch13 mutants found.

Results

Identification and characterization of kelch13 C580Y mutants

This study enrolling 257 patients with uncomplicated malaria in 2016 and 2017 at two clinics in Wewak Town, East Sepik in PNG (Fig 1). Eighteen patients (7.0%) had taken antimalarial drugs in the previous two weeks, and were excluded from further analysis (Table 1). We were able to genotype the kelch13 gene in 239 parasitized blood samples (S1 Table). The C580Y allele was found in 2017 in three samples (2.3%), labelled PNG-C580Y-1 to PNG-C580Y-3 (S2 Table). The patients carrying the mutant parasites were aged 7, 16 and 25 years, and presented with parasite densities of 0.35, 0.07 and 0.44%, respectively. They lived within 2 km of each other and had no history of foreign travel (S1 Fig).

Fig 1. Geographical location of New Guinea sites.

Fig 1

Sites that contributed samples in both countries that form part of the island of New Guinea (Indonesia to the west and PNG to the east) are shown by coloured circular markers. Map tiles by Stamen Design (stamen.com), under CC-BY 3.0. Data ©OpenStreetMap contributors (openstreetmap.org).

Table 1. Characteristics of enrolled patients.

Characteristics 2016 2017
Patients (n) 123 134
Gender (n)1
Male 53 57
Female 68 76
Age (years)
Median (IQR)2 20 (13, 33.5) 18 (11, 24)
Pretreatment
Artemether 3 (2.5%) 4 (2.8%)
Artemether/Lumefantrine 0 2 (1.3%)
Artemether/Lumefantrine+Primaquine 0 1 (0.7%)
Chloroquine 2 (1.7%) 5 (3.4%)
Primaquine 1 (0.8%) 0
Parasitemia
Geometric mean (Range) 0.11% (0.0007%-9.47%) 0.28% (0.004%-5.35%)
Median (IQR)2 0.14% (0.02%-0.52%) 0.33% (0.1%-0.88%)

1 Unknown in three individuals

2 IQR: Interquartile range

We used RSA [20] to measure artemisinin susceptibility in samples with parasitemia >0.1% (n = 117), including two C580Y mutants. The assays yielded interpretable results for 57 parasites (S3 Table), including PNG-C580Y-1. Undetermined results were mainly due to insufficient parasite growth (n = 52) or low-quality blood smears (n = 8). Survival rate could not be determined for PNG-C580Y-3. Five samples (8.8%) exhibited a survival rate >1% (range: 1.6–6.8%) at 72 hours following dihydroartemisinin exposure, a threshold that correlates with parasite clearance half-life >5 hours in the GMS [20]. The PNG-C580Y-1 mutant produced the highest survival rate (6.8%), comparable to rates measured in Cambodian C580Y parasites [7], suggesting that Wewak C580Y mutants possess levels of ring-stage artemisinin resistance similar to those in the GMS (S2 Fig).

Assessment of kelch13 mutants’ genetic background

To investigate whether the Wewak C580Y mutants were imported from Southeast Asia, we first tested for the genetic background underpinning kelch13 mutations in the GMS [21]. Of six markers tested, only one (ferredoxin D193Y) was found in Wewak C580Y mutants, compared to four or five in GMS artemisinin-resistant clones (S4 Table). The ferredoxin variant was detected in all three Wewak C580Y mutants, but was only found in one in ten randomly selected Wewak parasites with wild-type kelch13. All 2017 samples were tested for amplifications of plasmepsin2/3 and pfmdr1, which are associated with resistance to the partner drugs piperaquine and mefloquine. All carried a single copy of plasmepsin2/3, and only a single parasite (kelch13 wild-type) had an amplified pfmdr1 (S1 Table).

Genome-level relationship of kelch13 mutants with other populations

To study in greater detail the provenance of the C580Y mutants, we compared whole genome sequencing (WGS) data from 389 high-quality samples with low within-sample diversity, including 73 from the present study, 83 from other PNG locations, 88 from Timika in Indonesian Papua, and 145 from western Cambodia (Table 2 and Fig 1). All three C580Y mutants were included in this analysis, and no other parasite from Indonesia or PNG carried kelch13 mutations.

Table 2. Samples used in whole-genome comparative analyses.

Country Region Location Sample Count
PNG East Sepik Wewak 73
Maprik 39
Madang Madang 20
Milne Bay Alotau 24
Indonesia Papua Timika 88
Cambodia Western Cambodia Pailin 70
Pursat 75
Total 389

To cluster individuals by genetic similarity, we conducted a principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) based on genome-wide pairwise genetic distances. This showed a clear separation between Cambodian and New Guinean parasites, with no samples bridging the gap between these two populations (S3 Fig). We also conducted a PCoA without Cambodian parasites (Fig 2A), in which the first component (PC1) clearly separated Papua Indonesia from PNG, showing that parasite populations at the PNG sites are more similar to each other than they are to Indonesian parasites. However, a number of individuals from both countries, including the Wewak C580Y parasites, occupy an intermediate position along PC1, consistent with admixture between the two populations. Furthermore, we observe two Timika parasites clustering with PNG parasites, suggesting recent importation from PNG into Timika.

Fig 2. Population Structure in the New Guinea.

Fig 2

(A) Plot of the first two components (PC2 vs PC1) of principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) using genetic distances computed from whole-genome sequence data from all samples in New Guinea. We note a marked separation between parasites from Papua Indonesia (green squares) and PNG (circles), with a minority of samples from both regions at an intermediate position, suggesting admixture. (B) Population structure at all sites, estimated by fastSTRUCTURE, based on the hypothesis of K = 6 ancestral populations; each ancestral populations is indicated by a different colour, and each vertical bar represents a single sample, coloured according to the estimated ancestry proportions. The plot suggests no recent common ancestry between New Guinea parasites and those in Cambodia. Furthermore, it shows strong differentiations between parasites in Papua Indonesia and PNG (consistent with PCoA results above), with a minority of samples from both sides (including the Wewak C580Y mutants) exhibiting significant levels of admixture. This analysis also identified a subpopulation of Wewak parasites (gray) which correspond to the cluster of samples in the lower left-hand corner of the PCoA plot.

Further evidence of admixture was provided by population structure analysis performed by fastSTRUCTURE (S4 Fig). This analysis indicated that the underlying population structure was best explained by K = 6 putative ancestral populations (Fig 2B). Applying this model, we observe that New Guinea parasites mostly derive from two major ancestral populations, one in Papua Indonesia and one in PNG, with the exception of a small subpopulation in Wewak (gray bars). However, substantially admixture in several samples in both countries (e.g. about 16% of samples from both PNG and Papua Indonesia shared >10% ancestry with the dominant group of the other region) suggests frequent exchanges between the two populations. The Wewak C580Y mutants were found to be amongst the most admixed in PNG, all three individuals estimated to have inherited 35–36% of their genome from the Indonesian ancestral population. Like all New Guinea samples, Wewak C580Y mutants carry no contribution from GMS ancestral populations, ruling out the hypothesis that they are recent imports from that region.

Origins of the Wewak kelch13 C580Y haplotype

Although the mutants were not recently imported from the GMS, it is still possible that a C580Y mutation from the GMS could have been acquired by New Guinea parasites through recombination, analogous to the crt haplotype of Asian origin that circulates in chloroquine-resistant African P. falciparum [22]. To investigate this possibility, we tested 12 microsatellite loci and six SNPs in regions flanking kelch13 [14,23] in the 2017 parasites from Wewak, and eight other isolates for comparison (S5 Table), producing 64 unique haplotypes in 96 parasites. Upstream from kelch13 (left flank), we found strong similarities between the haplotype sequence of the Wewak C580Y mutants, and those of both Cambodian resistant parasites (e.g. MRA-1236) and PNG wild type haplotypes (e.g. H5 and H13, found in 7 samples). Downstream from kelch13, however, the C580Y mutants bear greater similarity to the sequences of PNG haplotypes (e.g. H46 and H48) than to those in Cambodia. Overall, the H5 and H13 haplotypes from PNG were the most similar to those of the mutants, suggesting an independent local emergence rather than a GMS origin.

Similar results were obtained from flanking haplotypes constructed by concatenating WGS genotypes at SNPs with minor allele frequency ≥ 0.01 in a region of 300kbp centred at kelch13 (S5 Fig). Downstream, the C580Y mutant flanking haplotype is similar to those circulating in Cambodia, but also to those in kelch13 wild-type parasites in New Guinea, particularly in Timika. Upstream, considerably longer matches (~60kbp) are found in Indonesian and PNG samples than in Cambodian ones. Taken together, the above results provide no support for a GMS origin of the PNG kelch13 C580Y haplotype. Since the mutant genomes show low similarity to GMS parasites, it is reasonable to conclude that the mutation most likely emerged independently in New Guinea.

Ancestry reconstruction of the PNG kelch13 C580Y genomes

The level of admixture in the C580Y mutants suggest substantial genetic contribution from the Indonesian population. One possibility is that the Wewak mutants originate from a geographically intermediate location, and are the result of long-term continuous recombination between Indonesian and PNG populations. A different hypothesis is that the mutants have acquired through recombination, and retained, portions of genomes circulating in Indonesian Papua which provide some selective advantage. The first scenario would result in a random distribution of shared alleles, while the second would likely produce a limited number of long shared haplotypes.

To evaluate these hypotheses, we performed a genome-wide estimation of identity by descent (IBD) between each pair of samples. IBD models recombination processes, identifying genome regions that are likely to be identical because of common ancestry. For each of the New Guinea sites, we estimated IBD proportion between local parasites and the Wewak C580Y mutants; and between local parasites and the Wewak parasites carrying kelch13 wild-type (Fig 3). The results indicate that the mutants possess significantly higher IBD with Timika parasites than the Wewak wild-type parasites (medians IBD proportion: 14.4% vs 8.0%, p<10−117 by Mann-Whitney test), and significantly less IBD with parasites from most PNG sites (Wewak medians: 8.9% vs 11%, p<10−48; Madang medians: 9.5% vs 11.3%, p<10−7; Maprik medians: 7.8% vs 10.7%, p<10−37). An IBD network based on genome-wide data shows that parasites from Wewak, Timika and Cambodia form three large haplotype-sharing clusters, while the Wewak mutants constitute a small separate group, confirming their genome composition is distinct from these populations (Fig 4A). Also, an IBD network based on the regions flanking the kelch13 gene shows that the haplotypes accompanying the C580Y mutations are distinct from those circulating elsewhere- including those in Cambodia and Papua Indonesia (Fig 4B).

Fig 3. IBD between parasites from Wewak and those from other New Guinea sites.

Fig 3

This plot shows the distributions of the level of IBD (i.e. the percentage of the genome that is predicted to be in IBD) between parasites samples in Wewak and those sampled at other sites on the island of New Guinea. For each of the five sites, two boxplots show the distribution of pairwise IBD levels for parasites from that site: either against the Wewak C580Y mutants (blue, labelled “C580Y”), or against the Wewak kelch13 wild-type parasites (pink, “WT”). For the Wewak site (first two boxplots) we compare the two groups against Wewak WT samples only; hence, the blue boxplot shows IBD levels between Wewak C580Y mutants and Wewak WT parasites, while the pink boxplot shows IBD levels among Wewak WT parasites only.

Fig 4. IDB-based clustering.

Fig 4

These isoRelate network plots show IBD relationships between all samples analyzed for different genomic regions. Wewak C580Y mutants are shown by a magenta circle, pointed to by an arrow; note that only two mutants were included in this analysis, due to high degree of genotype missingness in the third mutant. (A) Whole-genome IBD shows that, although most parasites cluster strongly by geography, the C580Y mutants form a separate group, probably reflecting their admixed structure. (B) IBD in chromosome 13 regions flanking the kelch13 gene shows that Wewak parasites do not cluster in a single group, and the C580Y mutants form a group on their own; no New Guinea parasites cluster with the Cambodian group, confirming that kelch13 haplotypes on the island have independent origin. (C) IBD in chromosome 10 regions flanking the atg18 gene shows that C580Y mutants cluster with the Timika samples, as is also the case in the chromosome 5 regions flanking the pnp gene (D). In B-D, flanking regions are 75 kbp regions on either flank.

The observation that Wewak C580Y mutants share a higher proportion of IBD with Timika than with local wild-type parasites might appear to contradict the finding that the proportion of PNG ancestry in these mutants is greater than that of Indonesia, as was determined by fastSTRUCTURE. However, these results could be reconciled if most of the mutants’ genomes was produced by long-term mixing of PNG parasites, resulting in a random distribution of alleles common in PNG, and is interspersed with a smaller proportion of segments recently acquired from Indonesian populations, which are identified as IBD. To test this hypothesis, we selected SNPs that are highly differentiated between the Wewak and Timika populations (FST ≥ 0.3), and labelled them according to which of the two populations has the allele present in the C580Y mutants as its dominant allele. Of the 467 selected SNPs, 57.6% (n = 269) carried the Wewak allele, consistent with a predominantly PNG-like genetic background. When mapped across the genome, the majority of Timika-like alleles are not randomly distributed, but clustered in regions of IBD between the C580Y mutants and the Timika populations (Fig 5). For example, 63% of variants where the mutants carry the Timika-like allele are in regions where there is IBD with ≥ 10% of the Timika population (30% of all variants); outside of these regions, 77% of SNPs exhibit Wewak-like alleles.

Fig 5. Structure of genetic admixture in Wewak C580Y mutants.

Fig 5

Fourteen plots are shown, one per chromosome in the P. falciparum nuclear genome; the x-axis of each plot represents nucleotide positions along the chromosome. At the top of each plot, two rows of diamond markers indicate the position of SNPs that are highly differentiated between the Wewak and Timika populations (FST ≥ 0.3); the marker colour indicates whether the allele present in the Wewak C580Y mutants matches the most common one in Timika (green diamonds) or Wewak (red diamonds). The line charts below the markers show the proportion of sample pairs in the Timika (green lines) and Wewak (red) population that are IDB with the Wewak C580Y parasites at each chromosome position.

Although some stretches of the C580Y genomes share IBD with both Timika and Wewak parasites, possibly indicating earlier gene flow between these populations, at several loci the IBD haplotypes are only observed in Indonesian parasites- notably in chromosomes 3, 5, 10 and 13. The sizes of these haplotypes (generally > 100 kbp) suggests recent acquisition from a donor population- putatively, one closely related to those in Indonesian Papua. The high level of IDB in these regions indicates that a large proportion of Timika parasites possess the same long haplotype, which is characteristic of genomic regions under evolutionary selection. [24]

We applied IBD analysis to other Wewak parasites, also collected in 2017, which lacked kelch13 mutations but had high proportions of Indonesian ancestry (as determined by fastSTRUCTURE). We found that the two samples with the highest Indonesian ancestry proportions (42% and 40%) show a near-identical pattern of high-IBD regions to that of the C580Y mutants; a third parasite with a lower degree of Indonesian ancestry (29%) also harboured several corresponding high-IBD regions (S6 Fig). It therefore appears that parasites carrying very similar sets of acquired genomic regions, both with and without the C580Y mutation, circulated simultaneously in Wewak.

Genetic variants association with kelch13 C580Y

Because of the length of the shared IBD segments, it is not possible to pinpoint exactly what variants may have driven their acquisition. However, it is possible to narrow down the list of potential candidates, based on the expectation that the driving mutations would cause amino acid changes, and would be common in Indonesian Papua and rare in PNG. Therefore, we extracted those nonsynonymous variants that are highly differentiated SNPs between the Wewak and Timika populations (FST ≥ 0.3), and at which the C580Y mutants carry the Timika-like allele (n = 144, 0.6% of all nonsynonymous variants), ordering them by decreasing FST (S6 Table). The resulting list of variants may be used as a shortlist for further functional investigations; it may be of particular interest that several of the most differentiated variants, particularly those in regions of high IBD with Timika parasites, have been previously implicated in drug response, or are located in genes associated with drug resistance.

The most differentiated SNP was ferredoxin (PF3D7_1318100) D193Y on chromosome 13, previously identified as a component of the genetic background associated with artemisinin resistance in the GMS [21]. In the large IBD region on chromosome 10 we found three noteworthy hits: the T38I mutation in the autophagy-related protein 18 gene (atg18, PF3D7_1012900), associated with artemisinin response and widespread in the GMS; and two SNPs (N280S and N659S) in the NLI interacting factor-like phosphatase (nif4, PF3D7_1012700), implicated in conjunction with atg18 [25] and identified as associated with artemisinin response [21]. On chromosome 5, another extensive IBD region contains mutations Y184F and N1042D in the mdr1 gene (PF3D7_0523000), which has been implicated in resistance to multiple antimalarials [26,27], including artemisinin; the Y184F variant is common in the GMS, where it has been under selection [28]. Also on chromosome 5, we found the Q225H mutations in the purine nucleoside phosphorylase gene (pnp, PF3D7_0513300), which circulates in the GMS and associated with drug resistance [29]. Some highly differentiated variants are located in genes associated in drug resistance, although the mutations themselves were not directly implicated. We found K753Q in the amino acid transporter PF3D7_0515500, previously implicated in artemether response [30]; G248R in gene PF3D7_1450800, associated to artemisinin resistance in a large-scale study [21]; two amino acid changes in an ABC transporter (PF3D7_0319700) shown experimentally to be a drug target [31]; and the G233R mutation in plasmepsin III (pmIII/hap, PF3D7_1408100) which is involved in resistance to piperaquine [32]. IBD networks restricted to flanking regions of specific drug resistance genes such as atg18 and pnp confirmed that Wewak mutants clearly cluster with the Timika population (Fig 4C and 4D).

Discussion

Over several decades, the spread of drug resistance from the GMS has rendered multiple drugs ineffective in Africa, at the cost of hundreds of thousands of lives. Therefore, the current rise of artemisinin resistance in southeast Asia is an urgent concern, since fast-acting artemisinin combination therapies are the preferred frontline treatments in nearly all endemic countries. The GMS is not the only region with the conditions for the development of drug resistance: resistance to multiple drugs, such as chloroquine [33] and sulfadoxine [16] emerged independently in New Guinea, making the island a likely source of new resistant strains.

In this study, we identified three infections from parasites carrying the kelch13 C580Y mutation, the most widespread artemisinin resistant allele. C580Y has rapidly overtaken other kelch13 variants, becoming dominant in large parts of the GMS [12], and was confirmed by a transfection study to confer resistance in vitro [34]. The discovery of three C580Y mutants in Wewak, almost identical at genomic level, raised multiple important questions. First, are these parasites actually resistant to artemisinin? Second, were these mutants imported into PNG as a result of the recent aggressive spread of C580Y in the GMS, or are they parasites native to New Guinea that have acquired the mutation either through independent emergence, or through recombination with Asian mutants? Third, do these mutants represent a confined local phenomenon, or are they representatives of a spreading population across the island, perhaps across national borders? Fourth, if the C580Y mutations were not imported, did they result from an isolated “chance event”, or from a gradual evolutionary process that selected a genetic background to boost fitness? The results presented here provide convincing evidence to answer all these questions.

Although clinical parasite clearance rates were not measured in this study, in vitro tests of one of the Wewak mutants showed it to be resistant to artemisinin in their ring stage, consistent with C580Y mutants elsewhere. Since no failures occurred in patients infected with these parasites after artemether-lumefantrine treatment, there is no reason to suspect that this ACT is no longer efficacious, and the clinical significance of the C580Y allele in New Guinea will be clarified by in vivo efficacy studies. However, parasite populations stand to benefit from decreased sensitivity even without treatment failures: slower clearance increases drug exposure, boosting the parasites’ chances to develop further resistance. Recent research in the GMS showed that continued drug exposure leads to accumulation of mutations that confer higher levels of resistance, facilitating the spread of multidrug resistant lineages [12].

We found no evidence that the Wewak C580Y mutations have been imported from the GMS. At whole-genome level, the mutants appear more similar to New Guinean parasites than to Cambodian ones, and analyses of flanking haplotypes and IBD showed no evidence of acquisition from imported parasites. Overall, there is a strong case for an independent emergence of the C580Y mutation on the island of New Guinea, although our data is insufficient to pinpoint a precise geographic origin.

At genome-wide level, the Wewak C580Y mutants are substantially different from the most other PNG samples. Their genetic background is mostly “PNG-like”, in that it carries alleles commonly found in Wewak, in relatively short IDB fragments suggesting long-term interbreeding. However, a substantial proportion of C580Y mutants’ genome consists of long haplotypes shared with many Timika parasites, suggesting these segments were acquired from a common source population strongly connected to the Papua Indonesia parasites. Furthermore, the length and frequency of the shared haplotypes suggests that they contain regions under selection in that source population.[24] This may be consistent with a recent report that a distinct parasite subpopulation has emerged in Timika and rapidly risen in frequency to 100% of infections in 2016–2017, potentially indicating a selective sweep, [35] even though the frontline ACT is still reported to be efficacious.[36]

Although the available data does not allow precise identification of the genetic variants that drove the segments’ acquisition, we catalogued alleles located in the IBD fragments that were shared with the Indonesian Papua parasites and absent from other PNG samples. In this shortlist of potential drivers, we found several variants previously associated with drug resistance (and artemisinin resistance in particular), and therefore prime candidates for further analyses. In one of these shared segments we found the ferredoxin D193Y mutation, identical to the artemisinin resistance-linked variant circulating in the GMS [21] and otherwise absent from PNG. The drug resistant allele mdr1 Y184F, known to be under selection in the GMS [28], is also present in a large IBD segment, with another less common mdr1 mutation, N1042D. mdr1 is a transporter contributing to the efflux of toxic substances from the parasite’s food vacuole, and its polymorphisms have been associated with resistance to multiple drugs. Another IBD segment on chromosome 10 harbours the atg18 T38I variant, associated with decreased sensitivities to dihydroartemisinin and artemether (the artemisinin derivative used in PNG) in the China-Myanmar border area [25], and two non-synonymous changes in the nearby nif4 gene; other mutations in nif4 were previously associated with artemisinin sensitivity in two independent genome-wide association studies in Southeast Asia [21,25]. We also observed a mutation in a nucleoside phosphorylase (pnp Q225H), recently shown to affect response to quinine and mefloquine [29], two drugs related to lumefantrine, the partner drug used in PNG.

Taken together, the above results frame the Wewak C580Y mutants in a complex evolutionary context. This kelch13 mutation has emerged independently in New Guinea, and was found not on an ordinary Wewak genetic background, but on one that has acquired a patchwork of sizeable genomic segments from another population. These acquisitions have introduced genomic regions that were likely to be under selection in Papua Indonesia, and contain alleles new to PNG, which have been associated to drug resistance in other parts of the world. This strongly suggests that these mutants are the product of a process driven by recombination events and selection under artemisinin drug pressure, and that the kelch13 C580Y mutation is a component of a complex constellation of genetic changes, rather than a standalone mutation. The presence of parasites carrying a similar compendium of acquired genomic segments, but no kelch13 C580Y mutation, supports the hypothesis that the latter is a very recent acquisition on a circulating genetic background.

There is evidence that an analogous evolutionary process has taken place in the GMS, [21] where kelch13 mutations emerged in parasites that had acquired a complex set of genetic changes. Several of these changes were present before ACT treatment failures occurred, and it is possible that a similar process is ongoing in New Guinea. It is likely that these additional mutations play a compensatory role: although the C580Y mutation alone can confer an RSA phenotype shift, [34] it is also likely to introduce a fitness cost deriving from reduced growth at ring stage, [37] which could prevent mutant parasites from thriving in the field. Further studies will be needed to establish whether there is a common pattern to these mutations, which could be used to detect the emergence of resistant strains from genomic surveillance data before kelch13 mutations become established and clinical failures start to occur. The findings presented are of great concern for public health, both locally and globally. They provide evidence of artemisinin-resistant parasites within New Guinea that have acquired a complex genetic background providing a survival advantage under artemisinin drug pressure, which may have intensified recently due to decreasing P. falciparum transmission as a result of control interventions [38].

Such a complex genetic makeup is likely to have occurred through a gradual process, rather than in a single chance event, and it is therefore reasonable to suppose that the individuals sampled in Wewak are part of a larger evolving population. Given that no evidence of kelch13 mutants have been found by other studies on the island, it is likely that this population has emerged recently. Genetic data from the island of New Guinea is currently insufficient to demarcate the extent of the spread of this population, which may be present on either side of the Indonesia-PNG border, or both. These parasites are a potential danger to the efficacy of ACTs in New Guinea and could constitute a threat if they are not contained. Public health authorities in PNG and collaborating research institutions are currently ramping up genetic monitoring of malaria parasites at sentinel sites, and we hope this will provide much needed detailed data to map artemisinin resistant parasites and help develop containment strategies.

Materials and methods

Ethics statement

Ethical approvals were obtained from the Medical Research Ethical Committee of Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan (No. 13–016) and the Medical Research Advisory Committee of PNG National Department of Health (No. 14.22, 16.41). Patients were enrolled after obtaining written informed consent from the patients or guardians.

Clinical blood sample collection

This study was performed as part of an ex-vivo antimalarial drugs susceptibility study, conducted in January–February 2016 and in January–February 2017 at two clinics (Town and Wirui Urban) located in Wewak, East Sepik, PNG (S1 Text) [39]. All patients >1 year old showing malaria symptoms (axillary temperature ≥37.5C°, fever during previous 24 h, headache, abdominal pain, nausea and/or diarrhea) were screened by Rapid Diagnosis Test (RDT) (CareStart Malaria HRP2/pLDH COMBO Test kit, Access Bio, USA). When a P. falciparum-positive result was obtained, patients were enrolled after obtaining written informed consent from the patients or guardians.

Blood samples were obtained by finger prick (<2 years, 100–500 μL) or peripheral venipuncture (≥2 years, 1 mL), collected into EDTA-containing tubes and immediately transferred to the Wewak General Hospital laboratories. To estimate parasitemia, thick and thin blood smears were prepared and stained with 2% Giemsa for 30 min. For molecular analysis, blood samples were transferred onto chromatography filter paper (ET31CHR; Whatman Limited, Kent, UK), dried and stored at -20°C in individual plastic bags.

This study enrolled 257 patients: 129 at Wirui Urban clinic and 128 at Town clinic (Table 1). Most patient characteristics were similar at the two clinics, except for the frequency of pre-treated patients, significantly higher at Town clinic (11.7% vs 2.3%, P = 0.0032, Fisher exact test). Eighteen patients reported ingesting antimalarials in the previous two weeks and were excluded from further analysis; artemether (n = 7) and chloroquine (n = 7) were the most used forms of self-medication. No severe case was enrolled.

Genotyping and whole-genome sequencing

Genomic DNA was extracted from a quarter of blood spot (25 μL) using the QIAamp DNA blood Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Hilden, Germany) with a modified procedure [40]. The kelch13 gene propeller domain sequence was determined by capillary sequencing of PCR products, as previously described [41]. Extracted DNA underwent selective whole genome amplification [42] prior to whole-genome sequencing, to enrich parasite DNA. Sequence data were generated with Illumina short-read technology and deposited at the European Nucleotide Archives (S7 Table). Read counts at 1,043,334 biallelic SNPs were called with the MalariaGEN Plasmodium falciparum Community Project V6.0 analysis pipeline [43,44]. Genotypes were called only with a coverage of five or more reads, and alleles were disregarded if supported by fewer than 2 reads, or 5% of reads when coverage was >50. To minimize errors and biases, we excluded samples with insufficient coverage at more than 25% of the SNPs (with the exception of one Wewak C580Y mutant sample), and removed all SNPs that either were invariant after those samples were removed, or had insufficient coverage in more than 25% of the remaining samples, leaving 35,664 SNPs used in our analysis.

For comparisons, we used samples included in the MalariaGEN P. falciparum Community Project 6.2 release (https://www.malariagen.net/projects/p-falciparum-community-project) sampled from Madang (contributed by IM), Maprik and Alotau (contributed by AB) in PNG; Indonesia samples from Timika (contributed by RN); and Cambodian samples from Pailin and Pursat provinces, contributed to the Pf3K reference dataset (https://www.malariagen.net/projects/Pf3k) by the Tracking Artemisinin Resistance Collaboration (TRAC) [3].

To minimize errors in haplotype reconstruction due to mixed infections, we filtered samples by their FWS index. By removing samples with FWS<0.95, we obtained a final set of 389 essentially monoclonal samples. To estimate FWS, allele frequencies in each population, and the differentiation measure FST, we applied previously published methods [21,44].

Ex-vivo ring-stage survival assay (RSA)

Ex-vivo RSA was performed as previously described [20,41] on samples with ≥0.1% parasitemia. Parasitemia were adjusted to 1% by adding uninfected type O erythrocytes. Parasite culture mixture (100 μL per well) was dispensed with 700 nmol/L dihydroartemisinin (Tokyo Chemical Industry Co. Ltd., Tokyo, Japan). After 6 h exposure, pellets were washed to remove the drug, and incubated for 66 h. 0.1% dimethyl sulfoxide was used as control. Densities of viable parasites were determined by two investigators (MS and TM) by counting 10,000 erythrocytes, and survival rates calculated as ratios of parasites in exposed and non-exposed cultures [20]. Laboratory adapted artemisinin-susceptible (3D7) and resistant clones (MRA-1236 and MRA-1240, contributed by Didier Ménard of Institut Pasteur du Cambodge), were provided by MR4 through BEI Resources (NIAID, NIH), and used as comparators for ex-vivo RSA [20].

Determinations of kelch13 flanking haplotypes

Using microsatellites and selected SNPs

We genotyped kelch13 flanking microsatellite loci and single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) located at -33.9 kb, -8.1 kb, -5.02 kb, -1.91 kb, 4.1 kb, 9.33 kb, 15.82 kb, and 43.85 kb from the kelch13 gene (negative and positive values denote upstream and downstream distance from kelch13, respectively) by direct sequence as previously described [14,23]. We also genotyped four KEL1/PLA1 marker SNPs located at -137.5 kb, -14.06 kb, 6.97 kb, and 24.91 kb [13]. At positions -137.5 kb and 24.91 kb, SNPs were determined by direct sequencing of PCR products. At position 6.97 kb, SNP-specific amplification was performed with HiDi DNA polymerase (myPOLS Biotec, Konstanz, Germany). At position -14.06 kb, SNP was detected by combination of Derived Cleaved Amplified Polymorphic Sequences (dCAPS) assay and PstI digestion. Primers used for these analyses are shown in S8 Table.

Using whole-genome sequencing data

We constructed flanking haplotypes by concatenating WGS genotypes at SNPs with minor allele frequency (MAF) ≥ 0.01 in a region of 300kbp centred at kelch13.

Comparison and ranking of kelch13 flanking haplotypes

To assess flanking haplotypes, we assigned to each sample a score based on the extent of haplotype sequence identity with the consensus haplotype of the Wewak kelch13 mutants. Foreach flank, we started from the position nearest to the kelch13 gene, and moving away from kelch13, counted the number of consecutive SNPs (ignoring missing/heterozygous positions) that carried an allele identical to that of C580Y mutants, until a mismatch was found. The final score for the sample was obtained by adding the two flank scores.

Genotyping of background mutations associated with artemisinin resistance

Genotyping of background alleles associated with artemisinin resistance (D193Y in fd, T484I in mdr2, V127M in arps10, I356T in crt, V1157L in nif4 and C1484F in pibp) [21] were performed by multiplex PCR and probe qPCR as previously described [45]. Copy number variants of plasmepsin2/3 and mdr1 genes were determined using published procedures [46]. Four artemisinin-resistant clones (MRA-1236, MRA-1238, MRA-1240 and MRA-1241) and three Cambodian isolates [16] were used as comparators.

Analysis of ancestry and relatedness

Analyses of population structure were performed using freely available tools and custom software programs written in Java and R. Identity by descent (IBD) analysis was performed on the genotypes obtained from whole-genome sequencing using hmmIBD [47] with default parameters. Further estimates of IBD, producing IBD networks, were generated by isoRelate [48]. We constructed an NxN pairwise genetic distance matrix (N is the number of samples). estimating genome-wide genetic distance using a previously published procedure [8]. In addition, we constructed an NxN pairwise IBD distance matrix, estimating the pairwise IBD distance as dIBD = 1 –pIBD, where pIBD is the fraction of the genome predicted to be identical by descent. PCoA analyses were performed using the R stats package (https://www.r-project.org/), while neighbour-joining trees were produced by the ape package [49]. Admixture analyses were performed using the fastSTRUCTURE software in Bioconda [50,51]. We ran fastSTRUCTURE with K = 2 to 9 putative ancestral populations, and ran chooseK to determine the value of K that best explains the population structure (K = 6).

Supporting information

S1 Fig. Approximate locations of residence of patients infected with kelch13 C580Y mutant parasites.

This map of Wewak town shows the place of abode of the three patients whose parasites carried the kelch13 C580Y allele (red markers), the distance between these locations (blue lines), and the location of the two clinics where the study was carried out (green markers)

(TIF)

S2 Fig. RSA survival rates of Wewak parasites.

The plot compares the RSA survival rate (see Methods) of one of the Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutants (left, red marker) against those for wild-type parasites from the same area (right, black markers). RSA survival rates could not be determined for the remaining two Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutants. Artemisinin-susceptible laboratory clone 3D7 showed no parasite at 700 nmol/L. MRA-1236 and MRA-1240 (artemisinin-resistant laboratory clones) showed survival rates 14.3% and 27.0%, respectively.

(TIF)

S3 Fig. Principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) based on genome-wide pairwise genetic distances.

This figure shows a plot of the first two components, for all analyzed samples. The first component (PC1), which explains most of the dataset variance, separates samples from Cambodia from those in New Guinea. The second component (PC2) separates parasites from Papua Indonesia from those found in PNG. We note that there is some overlap between these two groups, and the Wewak C580Y parasites (yellow) appear at an intermediate point between PNG and Indonesian parasites.

(TIF)

S4 Fig. Population structure in the analyzed sample set.

The plots show admixture levels estimated by the fastSTRUCTURE software, based on the hypothesis of K ancestral populations (K = 2 to 9, shown on the left-hand side of the plot). Each population is represented by a different colour (K arbitrary colours for each plot); each sample is shown as a vertical bar, coloured according to the proportion of ancestry from each population. Samples are grouped by sampling location, as shown by labels at the bottom; Wewak C580Y mutants are shown as a separate group. From an analysis of the underlying data, the fastSTRUCTURE chooseK tool reported that K = 6 is that number of populations that best explains the population structure.

(TIF)

S5 Fig. Comparison of haplotypes in a ±150 kbp region on chromosome 13, flanking the kelch13 gene.

Each row represents the haplotype of a sample, the top row showing the consensus haplotype for the C580Y samples in Wewak. Each column represents a variant position; the position of the kelch13 C580Y mutations (1725259) is indicated by a box outline. Cells colours show the allele call at each position in the sample. Deep colour hues indicate a matching haplotype portion (i.e. consecutive positions within the flanking haplotypes that match the consensus haplotype), while lighter colours indicate positions after a haplotype mismatch. Blue cells symbolize the reference allele, orange the alternative allele, and gray denote a mixed allele call or insufficient coverage. Samples are grouped by country of provenance: Cambodia (panel A), Papua New Guinea (B), Indonesia (C), and sorted by decreasing matching score (the sum of length of the matching haplotype portions in the two flanks). The column on the left shows the sample identifier, while the columns on the right show the matching score and the kelch13 allele carried by the sample.

(TIF)

S6 Fig. Correspondence between IBD regions in Wewak C580Y mutant and those in Wewak kelch13 wild-type parasites with high proportion of Timika ancestry.

These plots show, across all nuclear chromosomes, the proportion of IBD pairs between Timika and the Wewak C580Y mutants (red, top), and three Wewak samples that showed a high proportion of common ancestry with Timika: one with 42% Timika ancestry (blue), one with 40% (magenta) and one with 29% (green). The top panel shows vertical green bars marking highly differentiated positions where the C580Y mutant carry a Timika-like allele. Green diamond markers show the location of some notable drug resistance-related alleles identified in our analysis. Vertical dotted lines act as visual guides to show correspondences.

(TIF)

S1 Table. Genotypes at loci of resistance for ACT component drugs.

The counts of samples carrying wild-type and mutant alleles at three drug resistance-associated loci are shown by collection season (2016 and 2017).

(XLSX)

S2 Table. Characteristics of the three Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutant parasites.

The table shows date of collection, patient characteristics, clinical symptoms, in vitro results and genotypes at drug resistance-associated loci for the three Wewak samples carrying the kelch13 C580Y mutation.

(XLSX)

S3 Table. Ring-stage survival assay results.

The counts of samples which produces in vitro RSA results, and of those that exhibited higher survival rates, are shown by collection season (2016 and 2017).

(XLSX)

S4 Table. Amino acid alleles at loci in the artemisinin resistance genetic background.

The table includes positions previously associated with kelch13 mutations in the GMS (see main text). Samples prefixed with “MRA” originated from the GMS, while those prefixed “PNG” were sampled in Wewak. Coloured background denoted alleles different from the reference (wild type). Light blue background reflects a mutant allele different from that previously reported in the GMS.

(XLSX)

S5 Table. Haplotypes in the kelch13 flanking region on chromosome 13, based on genotyping 18 microsatellites and SNPs.

The locations of marker sites are described in terms of their distance from the kelch13 gene (negative and positive values denote upstream and downstream distances respectively). Colour backgrounds denote an uninterrupted sequence of alleles identical to one of the Wewak C580Y haplotypes, in either direction as one traverses from the kelch13 gene. Reference isolates prefixed with “CAM” and “MRA” originated from the GMS. The Wewak wild type haplotypes are sorted by the total length of the identical genotype sequences.

(XLSX)

S6 Table. Highly differentiated SNPs where Wewak C580Y mutants and Papua Indonesia parasites carry the same allele.

Each row shows a non-synonymous SNP that is highly differentiated between the Wewak (PNG) and Timika (Indonesia) populations (FST ≥ 0.3) at which the Wewak C580Y mutants carry the allele that is most prevalent in Timika. The columns show: the chromosome number and nucleotide position of the SNP; the name and ID of the gene containing the SNP (genes associated with drug resistance are shown on a coloured background); the mutation name, showing amino acid change and position; the frequency of the mutant allele, in Wewak and in Timika (background colour intensity is proportional to the value); the FST between the two populations; the proportion of sample pairs that are in IBD with Wewak C580 samples at that position, in Wewak and Timika (background colour intensity is proportional to the value); and the Pubmed PMID reference of literature that implicates the gene in drug resistance, if applicable.

(XLSX)

S7 Table. European Nucleotide Archive (ENA) identifiers for samples used in the present study.

For each sample in PNG and the GMS, we detail: the MalariaGEN sample identifier; the location and country where the sample was collected; the identifier of the sample at ENA (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/ena) where the sequencing reads for the sample have been deposited; and the label used in this paper for Wewak samples that carry the C580Y mutation in kelch13.

(XLSX)

S8 Table. Primers used for determination of kelch13-flanking SNPs.

Sequences and role are shown for primers used to genotype four SNPs in kelch13 flanking regions.

(XLSX)

S1 Text. Description of sampling location.

A description of the climatic, entomological and epidemiological characteristics of the Wewak location, with a description of recent malaria control interventions.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

We thank all patients who contributed samples, and their guardians; Steven Tiwara, Alpha Ao, Charlie Amai, Alphonse Coll, Douglas Tambi, Gethrude Kitipa, Julianne Gumbat, Raphael Kariwa, and Shoki Yatsushiro for their kind cooperation in the field; Takahiro Tsukahara for technical advice; the Laboratory of Molecular and Biochemical Research, Research Support Center, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, for technical assistance; the staff of the PNG Institute of Medical Research and Abby Harrison for their contributions to sample collection. Genome sequencing was performed by the Wellcome Sanger Institute (WSI), and sequencing data was processed by the MalariaGEN Resource Centre; this study used data from the MalariaGEN Pf3k Project and Plasmodium falciparum Community Project. We thank the staff of the WSI Sample Logistics, Sequencing, and Informatics facilities for their contribution; Mihir Kekre and Katie Love for their support in the sample processing pipeline; Victoria Cornelius and Kim Johnson for coordinating the MalariaGEN Resource Centre; the TRAC investigators who provided the Cambodian isolates used in this work, including Elizabeth Ashley, Rick M Fairhurst, Chanaki Amaratunga, Arjen Dondorp and Nicholas J White. PR is a staff member of the World Health Organization; PR alone is responsible for views expressed in this publication and they do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy or views of the World Health Organization.

Data Availability

Sequence data are deposited in the European Nucleotide Archive (ENA, https://www.ebi.ac.uk/ena), and publicly available. Identifiers are provided in S7 Table.

Funding Statement

This study was supported by: - Grants-in-aid for scientific research from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science and Foundation of Strategic Research Projects in Private Universities (TM; https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/; 26460515, 26305015, 17H04074, 18KK0231) - The Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology of Japan (TM; https://www.mext.go.jp/en/; S0991013) - Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (TM; https://www.amed.go.jp/en/; JP15km0908001) - The Global Health Innovative Technology Fund (TM; https://www.ghitfund.org/; G2015-210) - The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (MWH, AEB; https://www.theglobalfund.org/en/) - The National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (AEB; https://www.nhmrc.gov.au/; GNT1027108, APP 1131932) - The Australian Centre for Research Excellence on Malaria Elimination (SA; https://www.acreme.org.au/; APP 1134989) - The Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade through the Tropical Disease Research Regional Collaboration Initiative (AEB; https://indopacifichealthsecurity.dfat.gov.au/TDRRCI) - The Victorian State Government Operational Infrastructure Support (AEB; https://www2.health.vic.gov.au/about/clinical-trials-and-research/operational-infrastructure-support) - The Wellcome Trust (DPK; https://wellcome.ac.uk/; 206194, 090770/Z/09/Z) - The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OM, DPK; https://www.gatesfoundation.org/; OPP11188166) - The Medical Research Council of the UK (DPK; https://mrc.ukri.org/; G0600718) The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Kirk W Deitsch, Oliver Billker

12 Aug 2020

Dear Dr. Miotto,

Thank you very much for submitting your manuscript "Emergence of artemisinin-resistance Plasmodium falciparum with kelch13 C580Y mutations on the island of New Guinea" for consideration at PLOS Pathogens. As with all papers reviewed by the journal, your manuscript was reviewed by members of the editorial board and by several independent reviewers. The reviewers appreciated the attention to an important topic. Based on the reviews, we are likely to accept this manuscript for publication, providing that you modify the manuscript according to the review recommendations.

We would ask you to please provide the clarifications requested by reviewer 1 and also to consider carefully the comments by reviewer 2, who wonders how your data fit with our growing knowledge of artemisinin resistance mechanisms, with any clinical and in vitro phenotypes observed in PNG and the particular drug combinations used in the area. We agree that a more explicit discussion of these aspects, as well as of the concrete implications of your findings for surveillance, would greatly add to the value of your paper and increase its interest to a broader audience. 

Please prepare and submit your revised manuscript within 30 days. If you anticipate any delay, please let us know the expected resubmission date by replying to this email. 

When you are ready to resubmit, please upload the following:

[1] A letter containing a detailed list of your responses to all review comments, and a description of the changes you have made in the manuscript. 

Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out

[2] Two versions of the revised manuscript: one with either highlights or tracked changes denoting where the text has been changed; the other a clean version (uploaded as the manuscript file).

Important additional instructions are given below your reviewer comments.

Thank you again for your submission to our journal. We hope that our editorial process has been constructive so far, and we welcome your feedback at any time. Please don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or comments.

Sincerely,

Oliver Billker

Associate Editor

PLOS Pathogens

Kirk Deitsch

Section Editor

PLOS Pathogens

Kasturi Haldar

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0001-5065-158X

Michael Malim

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0002-7699-2064

***********************

Reviewer Comments (if any, and for reference):

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Part I - Summary

Please use this section to discuss strengths/weaknesses of study, novelty/significance, general execution and scholarship.

Reviewer #1: I enjoyed this manuscript. It presents good evidence for an independent origin of artemisin resistance in PNG, showing it is an independent haplotype.

Reviewer #2: This is important and exciting work from arguably the world leaders in evolutionary genomics and molecular epidemiology of malaria parasites and drug resistance. The work is impressive both in terms of the study/data/analysis and in terms of the thoughtful presentation. However, while what the authors DO describe is compelling, there are important things they are not describing and putting in broader context. They stop short of using their study to address important unresolved questions about Art-R. Stopping short of clarity would be a missed opportunity to make the most of this work to provide a template that can serve to guide the field in the important and challenging area of artemisinin drug resistance (Art-R) evolution, particularly as relates to surveillance and to have a coherent scheme for decisions and policymaking. To this end, what does this work indicate for researchers on the front lines who are monitoring for emerging Art-R? The authors are having it both ways. What is/are the signature that matters? Is K13 (kelch) all we need to know? Or is that the final step to Art-R and what matters is a source of ‘background’ with specific features? And what about the phenotype limitations of this study? Without the single C580Y parasite for which they have RSA data (indeed, it is their most resistant RSA of all successfully measured), the message of this paper would be largely muted. And they give nearly no consideration to the 5 RSA resistant parasites that carry a kelch wild type (WT). Is the phenotype uninteresting in this case? Are these 2/3 of the way to resistant (but still lacking the kelch mutation). There is an opportunity for this paper to be both excellent (with minor revisions) and pivotal (with some deeper consideration of its own limitations and what would be needed to get definitive and crucial answers).

**********

Part II – Major Issues: Key Experiments Required for Acceptance

Please use this section to detail the key new experiments or modifications of existing experiments that should be absolutely required to validate study conclusions.

Generally, there should be no more than 3 such required experiments or major modifications for a "Major Revision" recommendation. If more than 3 experiments are necessary to validate the study conclusions, then you are encouraged to recommend "Reject".

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

Part III – Minor Issues: Editorial and Data Presentation Modifications

Please use this section for editorial suggestions as well as relatively minor modifications of existing data that would enhance clarity.

Reviewer #1: Some part of the narrative seems a bit like story telling. The high Fst SNPS that were introgressed being associated with resistance. What is the Fst distribution between Indonesia and PNG? What is the extent of the evidence that the high Fst SNPs are likely to have been selected in Indonesia, could they be introgressed from elsewhere? Are there other possible sources of introgression.

I think the ambiguity about evolutionary scenario is somewhat inevitable since really it hinges on the demographic history in Indonesia and elsewhere which is not the topic of the present manuscript. It should be made as clear as possible which part of this argument is well supported by data and which is more indirect inference. Most important, what is the evidence that this association with resistance, which is interesting if true whatever the demographic explanation is really statistically surprising?

Looking at figure Table S5, it seems the evidence that its an independent haplotype seems to come only from the right hand flank of the gene? Am I correct in this? If so is it mentioned and discussed in the text? Could it possibly be a recombinant?

This manuscript suggests that resistance evolves by multiple steps but an analysis of patterns over time in multiple locations would be really necessary to get a firm handle on this. As far as possible, it would be nice if this discussion could be walled off as more speculative. Are there specific predictions about the specific patterns associated with resistance loci that the authors would like to make that could be investigated in a global way?

Reviewer #2: Broadly, there are unaddressed items that will leave an uninitiated reader confused. For example:

The growing body of literature implies that a mutation in K13, specifically the most successful C580Y mutation, is the Art-R determining mutation. Recent work by Birnbaum et al reinforced this with their compelling (and surprising) functional basis for Art-R. The emerging story would thus indicate that Art-R evolution is simple, sweep signatures should be generally hard, clinical phenotypes unambiguous and that K13 mutations is the only relevant surveillance. This manuscript nicely illustrates that it is more nuanced, but stops short of taking on any of these points directly. Because widespread Art-R would be a devastating blow to malaria control, researchers around the world are groping for how best to identify emerging resistance and rapidly respond with smart adjustments to local policies.

Why is there no treatment failure or evidence of delayed clearance on the island? Is this a feature of the local malaria? The specific activities in the clinics? The phenotypes per se? e.g. Are these ex vivo RSA data reliable? Is RSA a reliable surrogate for clearance times? And are both underpinning drug failure? Are there unique aspects to malaria, clinical access, reporting that could influence this interpretation (e.g. of hidden emerging resistance)?

Are the findings of Birnbaum et al relevant to understanding/interpreting these data? Not relevant at all? Why?

Timiki is crucial for reconstructing the current epidemiological situation in Wewak C580Y mutants. The authors give very little information about what is special about these parasites, e.g. the drug (combination) of choice in that region, duration (and sequence), intensity of selection, clinical situation, the possible source of introduction of this background.

The authors describe these genome segments as “recently acquired and possibly under selection”; explain this further (particularly the inference and role of selection, before and after introgression). I appreciate the authors hesitate to speak beyond their data, but there is room for more clarity about why this matters.

Besides C580Y, it seems there are no other K13 mutations to mention?

It would be useful to more directly compare the findings here with a similar recent report from Guyana; what do these works say about expectations with respect to Art-R appearing in Africa? What information will be needed in future studies to get definitive actionable results. What is the recommendation based on this study for ongoing surveillance, in PNG and around the world?

Other intriguing statements need clarification: “gradually acquired a complex ensemble of variants” (in what order? Can C580Y exist absent the background? Is the RSA phenotype shift caused by only C580Y?). Is this what the authors mean by “not a chance event”? i.e. that there is no C580Y by itself? But otherwise, it seems there is no specific mutation diagnostic of Art-R, but perhaps there is a signature emerging of some sort?

How can this method (e.g. IBD, key background components, K13 haplotypes) be systematically considered going forward, across different geographies by different groups? If groups are content to sequence kelch, will that provide the necessary real time information to adjust to newly arriving/emerging Art-R. The authors say (Art-R) “went undetected on the island”. What is predicted? What is advised? The last sentence in the abstract implies this information will be useful to “to contain the spread”; explain a bit more how this would work.

These sentences from the Discussion are a good attempt, but are cryptic, with several opportunities to speak more specifically (comments interspersed). “We propose that one or more New Guinean lineages have accumulated a complex genetic background through recombination events and selection under artemisinin drug pressure (necessarily art pressure? Do particular partner drugs play a crucial role? All are CQR? Is that (or other selection histories) relevant?), and that the kelch13 C580Y mutation is a component of a complex constellation of genetic changes, rather than a standalone mutation generated by a chance event (what sort of component? essential, necessary? Must come last? due to fitness limitations? Is there a pre- or low-level resistance?).”… “it appears that several of these changes were present before ACT treatment failures occurred (my understanding is there is no report of treatment failure in PNG, is this referring to GMS? Does this scenario align with recent Guyana findings?), suggesting they provided improved fitness of the parasite population without major effects on clinical outcomes (are you confident that clinics were well-tuned to identify this?). In scenarios (do we have examples of this with other drugs/pathogens?) where drug resistance requires a gradual build‐up of genetic changes, clinical efficacy monitoring is only likely to detect resistance at an advanced stage of the evolutionary process (major implications here about phenotypes…be clear what is needed), when failures begin to occur. In the future, it is possible that novel analyses of evolutionary patterns, using genomic surveillance data, could allow earlier detection of drug resistance, and interventions ahead of clinical failure (yes, this is the one that could move the field forward if the authors will speak more clearly…what would this have to look like?).

Specific comments

Some additional details needed:

1. In figure 2B the fastStructure analysis shows a small subset of parasites from Wewak have as much or more Timiki ancestry as the C580Y parasites. Do any of the parasite in this subset also have the predominantly Timiki alleles at the same alleles that are identified in large sections from the C580Y parasites that are IBD with Timiki parasites? For example, in Figure 4C (the IBD plot for the region surrounding atg18) it appears that for some Wewak parasites, in addition to the C580Y parasite, that cluster with the Timiki parasites; however, this does not seem to be the case for flanking the pnp gene.

2. Do the authors think these variants have been under selection in Timiki? They give little information about ‘why Timiki’ as the source of background, e.g. in terms of drug selection history, current ACT, any clinical information.

3. Define clinical outcomes in both PNG and Indonesia Papua…has there been treatment failure? Clearance rates were not measured, true? So the authors can’t speak to the impact of these mutations on clearance rate specifically.

4. It needs to be addressed more directly (as it is highly relevant to surveillance)… if it is true that there is no treatment failure, including for the kelch mutants, there is not a strong ground based on these studies alone to focus entirely on the (assume) the role of kelch, and e.g. to discount the other RSA resistant kelch WT parasites, yet there is no mention of these parasites (or specific consideration of their Timiki IBD; are these one step toward resistant? Awaiting only a C580Y mutation?

5. In Table S3 they have survival rate greater than 0% but the RSA cutoff is 1% and they state that in line 121, why are these not consistent? Do the RSA resistant kelch WT share any specific mutations they list in figure S6 between the C580Ys? There might be value to highlighting these in the PCoA in Fig2. Are there candidate parasites that ‘bridge the gap’ between the clusters from the two populations? Do the samples H5, H13, H46 and H48 parasites (lines 172-174) share sequence similarities?

Minor comments:

Lines 165-176, 177-183, 201-206 show that the haplotype didn’t come from Cambodia; does this rule out other SEA sources?

Line 215, might be better to say “chosen” rather than “selected”.

Line 201-204/figure 4. They have 3 Wewak C580Ymutants but only show 2 points in their clusters. Enlarge the circles and squares to make clear what is grayed out for the figure key to be more clear.

For Fig 5 and lines 207-227 indicate Timika segments are selected by fitness advantage or drug pressure. How do the authors envision their Fig 5 will look in the future? Will those section of chromosome that show high IBD with Timika parasite be whittled down even further, if those mutations work better with C580Y to make drug resistant parasites? How would that graph look with those WT parasites?

For TableS6 Mutation Frequency, ID needs to be Timika.

Line 278 – showed that one Wewak mutant, not “mutants”, are resistant to art.

Can efficacy studies detecting delayed PC1/2 demonstrate advanced resistance? A point they could make that would help this approach is whether there is enough new cases happening in PNG to make efficacy studies happen. If there isn’t, the only way to really monitor resistance is to do in vitro RSA and sequencing?

These low transmission areas seem susceptible to Art-R generation. It would be useful to consider whether this information will be relevant for Art-R in Africa.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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Decision Letter 1

Kirk W Deitsch, Oliver Billker

5 Nov 2020

Dear Dr. Miotto,

We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Emergence of artemisinin-resistance Plasmodium falciparum with kelch13 C580Y mutations on the island of New Guinea' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Pathogens.

Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests.

Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.

IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.

Should you, your institution's press office or the journal office choose to press release your paper, you will automatically be opted out of early publication. We ask that you notify us now if you or your institution is planning to press release the article. All press must be co-ordinated with PLOS.

Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Pathogens.

Best regards,

Oliver Billker

Associate Editor

PLOS Pathogens

Kirk Deitsch

Section Editor

PLOS Pathogens

Kasturi Haldar

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0001-5065-158X

Michael Malim

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0002-7699-2064

***********************************************************

Reviewer Comments (if any, and for reference):

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Part I - Summary

Please use this section to discuss strengths/weaknesses of study, novelty/significance, general execution and scholarship.

Reviewer #2: The authors have done an impressive job addressing all of my concerns and providing detailed explanations for items that they argued effectively could not be supported by the data. I appreciate the detail and care of the rebuttal and am confident this revised manuscript will be an important advance (and new standard) for the field of malaria parasite drug resistance genetics.

**********

Part II – Major Issues: Key Experiments Required for Acceptance

Please use this section to detail the key new experiments or modifications of existing experiments that should be absolutely required to validate study conclusions.

Generally, there should be no more than 3 such required experiments or major modifications for a "Major Revision" recommendation. If more than 3 experiments are necessary to validate the study conclusions, then you are encouraged to recommend "Reject".

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

Part III – Minor Issues: Editorial and Data Presentation Modifications

Please use this section for editorial suggestions as well as relatively minor modifications of existing data that would enhance clarity.

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #2: No

Acceptance letter

Kirk W Deitsch, Oliver Billker

4 Dec 2020

Dear Dr. Miotto,

We are delighted to inform you that your manuscript, "Emergence of artemisinin-resistance Plasmodium falciparum with kelch13 C580Y mutations on the island of New Guinea," has been formally accepted for publication in PLOS Pathogens.

We have now passed your article onto the PLOS Production Department who will complete the rest of the pre-publication process. All authors will receive a confirmation email upon publication.

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Soon after your final files are uploaded, the early version of your manuscript, if you opted to have an early version of your article, will be published online. The date of the early version will be your article's publication date. The final article will be published to the same URL, and all versions of the paper will be accessible to readers.

Thank you again for supporting open-access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Pathogens.

Best regards,

Kasturi Haldar

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0001-5065-158X

Michael Malim

Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Pathogens

orcid.org/0000-0002-7699-2064

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. Approximate locations of residence of patients infected with kelch13 C580Y mutant parasites.

    This map of Wewak town shows the place of abode of the three patients whose parasites carried the kelch13 C580Y allele (red markers), the distance between these locations (blue lines), and the location of the two clinics where the study was carried out (green markers)

    (TIF)

    S2 Fig. RSA survival rates of Wewak parasites.

    The plot compares the RSA survival rate (see Methods) of one of the Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutants (left, red marker) against those for wild-type parasites from the same area (right, black markers). RSA survival rates could not be determined for the remaining two Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutants. Artemisinin-susceptible laboratory clone 3D7 showed no parasite at 700 nmol/L. MRA-1236 and MRA-1240 (artemisinin-resistant laboratory clones) showed survival rates 14.3% and 27.0%, respectively.

    (TIF)

    S3 Fig. Principal coordinates analysis (PCoA) based on genome-wide pairwise genetic distances.

    This figure shows a plot of the first two components, for all analyzed samples. The first component (PC1), which explains most of the dataset variance, separates samples from Cambodia from those in New Guinea. The second component (PC2) separates parasites from Papua Indonesia from those found in PNG. We note that there is some overlap between these two groups, and the Wewak C580Y parasites (yellow) appear at an intermediate point between PNG and Indonesian parasites.

    (TIF)

    S4 Fig. Population structure in the analyzed sample set.

    The plots show admixture levels estimated by the fastSTRUCTURE software, based on the hypothesis of K ancestral populations (K = 2 to 9, shown on the left-hand side of the plot). Each population is represented by a different colour (K arbitrary colours for each plot); each sample is shown as a vertical bar, coloured according to the proportion of ancestry from each population. Samples are grouped by sampling location, as shown by labels at the bottom; Wewak C580Y mutants are shown as a separate group. From an analysis of the underlying data, the fastSTRUCTURE chooseK tool reported that K = 6 is that number of populations that best explains the population structure.

    (TIF)

    S5 Fig. Comparison of haplotypes in a ±150 kbp region on chromosome 13, flanking the kelch13 gene.

    Each row represents the haplotype of a sample, the top row showing the consensus haplotype for the C580Y samples in Wewak. Each column represents a variant position; the position of the kelch13 C580Y mutations (1725259) is indicated by a box outline. Cells colours show the allele call at each position in the sample. Deep colour hues indicate a matching haplotype portion (i.e. consecutive positions within the flanking haplotypes that match the consensus haplotype), while lighter colours indicate positions after a haplotype mismatch. Blue cells symbolize the reference allele, orange the alternative allele, and gray denote a mixed allele call or insufficient coverage. Samples are grouped by country of provenance: Cambodia (panel A), Papua New Guinea (B), Indonesia (C), and sorted by decreasing matching score (the sum of length of the matching haplotype portions in the two flanks). The column on the left shows the sample identifier, while the columns on the right show the matching score and the kelch13 allele carried by the sample.

    (TIF)

    S6 Fig. Correspondence between IBD regions in Wewak C580Y mutant and those in Wewak kelch13 wild-type parasites with high proportion of Timika ancestry.

    These plots show, across all nuclear chromosomes, the proportion of IBD pairs between Timika and the Wewak C580Y mutants (red, top), and three Wewak samples that showed a high proportion of common ancestry with Timika: one with 42% Timika ancestry (blue), one with 40% (magenta) and one with 29% (green). The top panel shows vertical green bars marking highly differentiated positions where the C580Y mutant carry a Timika-like allele. Green diamond markers show the location of some notable drug resistance-related alleles identified in our analysis. Vertical dotted lines act as visual guides to show correspondences.

    (TIF)

    S1 Table. Genotypes at loci of resistance for ACT component drugs.

    The counts of samples carrying wild-type and mutant alleles at three drug resistance-associated loci are shown by collection season (2016 and 2017).

    (XLSX)

    S2 Table. Characteristics of the three Wewak kelch13 C580Y mutant parasites.

    The table shows date of collection, patient characteristics, clinical symptoms, in vitro results and genotypes at drug resistance-associated loci for the three Wewak samples carrying the kelch13 C580Y mutation.

    (XLSX)

    S3 Table. Ring-stage survival assay results.

    The counts of samples which produces in vitro RSA results, and of those that exhibited higher survival rates, are shown by collection season (2016 and 2017).

    (XLSX)

    S4 Table. Amino acid alleles at loci in the artemisinin resistance genetic background.

    The table includes positions previously associated with kelch13 mutations in the GMS (see main text). Samples prefixed with “MRA” originated from the GMS, while those prefixed “PNG” were sampled in Wewak. Coloured background denoted alleles different from the reference (wild type). Light blue background reflects a mutant allele different from that previously reported in the GMS.

    (XLSX)

    S5 Table. Haplotypes in the kelch13 flanking region on chromosome 13, based on genotyping 18 microsatellites and SNPs.

    The locations of marker sites are described in terms of their distance from the kelch13 gene (negative and positive values denote upstream and downstream distances respectively). Colour backgrounds denote an uninterrupted sequence of alleles identical to one of the Wewak C580Y haplotypes, in either direction as one traverses from the kelch13 gene. Reference isolates prefixed with “CAM” and “MRA” originated from the GMS. The Wewak wild type haplotypes are sorted by the total length of the identical genotype sequences.

    (XLSX)

    S6 Table. Highly differentiated SNPs where Wewak C580Y mutants and Papua Indonesia parasites carry the same allele.

    Each row shows a non-synonymous SNP that is highly differentiated between the Wewak (PNG) and Timika (Indonesia) populations (FST ≥ 0.3) at which the Wewak C580Y mutants carry the allele that is most prevalent in Timika. The columns show: the chromosome number and nucleotide position of the SNP; the name and ID of the gene containing the SNP (genes associated with drug resistance are shown on a coloured background); the mutation name, showing amino acid change and position; the frequency of the mutant allele, in Wewak and in Timika (background colour intensity is proportional to the value); the FST between the two populations; the proportion of sample pairs that are in IBD with Wewak C580 samples at that position, in Wewak and Timika (background colour intensity is proportional to the value); and the Pubmed PMID reference of literature that implicates the gene in drug resistance, if applicable.

    (XLSX)

    S7 Table. European Nucleotide Archive (ENA) identifiers for samples used in the present study.

    For each sample in PNG and the GMS, we detail: the MalariaGEN sample identifier; the location and country where the sample was collected; the identifier of the sample at ENA (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/ena) where the sequencing reads for the sample have been deposited; and the label used in this paper for Wewak samples that carry the C580Y mutation in kelch13.

    (XLSX)

    S8 Table. Primers used for determination of kelch13-flanking SNPs.

    Sequences and role are shown for primers used to genotype four SNPs in kelch13 flanking regions.

    (XLSX)

    S1 Text. Description of sampling location.

    A description of the climatic, entomological and epidemiological characteristics of the Wewak location, with a description of recent malaria control interventions.

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: ResponseToReferees.pdf

    Data Availability Statement

    Sequence data are deposited in the European Nucleotide Archive (ENA, https://www.ebi.ac.uk/ena), and publicly available. Identifiers are provided in S7 Table.


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