Abstract
Background
Population data on tobacco use and its determinants require continuous monitoring and careful inter-country comparison. We aimed to provide the most up-to-date estimates on tobacco smoking from a large cross-sectional survey, conducted in selected European countries.
Methods
Within the TackSHS Project, a face-to-face survey on smoking was conducted in 2017–2018 in 12 countries: Bulgaria, England, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Portugal, Romania, and Spain, representing around 80% of the 432 million European Union (EU) adult population. In each country, a representative sample of around 1,000 subjects aged 15 years and older was interviewed, for a total of 11,902 participants.
Results
Overall, 25.9% of participants were current smokers (31.0% of men and 21.2% of women, P < 0.001), while 16.5% were former smokers. Smoking prevalence ranged from 18.9% in Italy to 37.0% in Bulgaria. It decreased with increasing age (compared to <45, multivariable odds ratio [OR] for ≥65 year, 0.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27–0.36), level of education (OR for low vs high, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.17–1.48) and self-rated household economic level (OR for low vs high, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.74–2.42). The same patterns were found in both sexes.
Conclusions
These smoking prevalence estimates represent the most up-to-date evidence in Europe. From them, it can be derived that there are more than 112 million current smokers in the EU-28. Lower socio-economic status is a major determinant of smoking habit in both sexes.
Key words: tobacco, cigarette smoking, smoking prevalence, cross-sectional study, survey, Europe, TackSHS
INTRODUCTION
In 2008, the World Health Organization (WHO) introduced the MPOWER policy package, a series of technical measures and resources to assist country-level implementation of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC), developed in response to the globalization of the tobacco epidemic. The first of these technical measures involves the monitoring of prevention policies and tobacco use.1
Several national surveillance systems are available to monitor smoking prevalence and trends in most countries.2 However, data from country-specific populations are poorly comparable, since they are not collected using a standardized study design—including sampling methods, mode of interviewing and questionnaires—which represents a prerequisite for valid comparisons of smoking prevalence and smoking patterns across different countries.3,4
To the best of our knowledge, the only standardized and representative investigations that systematically monitor smoking prevalence among adults in more than one European country, are the WHO Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS)5,6; the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE)7; and the European Commission (EC) Special Eurobarometers.8–10 GATS covers three European Union (EU) member states (MS; ie, Greece, Poland, and Romania)5,6; SHARE is a longitudinal study, conducted in five waves between 2004 and 2013, collecting information on smoking habit among individuals aged 50 years and older from 20 European countries7; Eurobarometer is a representative survey conducted in all the 28 EU MS on approximately 1,000 face-to-face interviews per country, based on selected thematic studies. The most recent Eurobarometer surveys focusing on tobacco smoking indicated that the overall smoking prevalence in the EU had slightly decreased from 29% in 2009 to 26% in 2014, and remained stable until 2017.8,9,11 Among the other tobacco control projects, the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation Project (the ITC Project) includes longitudinal studies in 10 European countries. However, all these studies, which include samples not representative of the general population or smokers only, cannot provide smoking prevalence estimates.12 The above-mentioned European surveillance systems are important and useful tools; however, they are not always able to investigate in-depth key tobacco control measures and smoking determinants. Consequently, a few specific studies, mainly supported by the EC, have been conducted to analyse this issue.3,13–15 These include, the Pricing Policies and Control of Tobacco in Europe (PPACTE) survey, conducted in 2010 to investigate the effectiveness of pricing policies on tobacco control in Europe3,16,17; and the present survey, conducted within the TackSHS Project (http://tackshs.eu),18 aimed to improve understanding of exposure to second-hand tobacco smoke (SHS) and e-cigarette aerosol in Europe.
In this paper we aimed to describe the TackSHS survey, a multi-country survey conducted in 2017–2018 in 12 EU MS, providing the main results on smoking prevalence and its correlates in Europe.
METHODS
The TackSHS survey18 has been conducted in 12 strategically selected EU countries (Bulgaria, England, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Portugal, Romania, and Spain), representing geographical, legislative and cultural variations across the EU.
This cross-sectional study was coordinated by Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS (Mario Negri Institute; Milan, Italy). The fieldwork was conducted by DOXA, the Italian branch of the Worldwide Independent Network/Gallup International Association, and its European partners.
Sample selection
In each country, we considered a sample of around 1,000 individuals aged 15 years and older (participants’ age was ≥16 in England, ≥18 in Ireland, 15–64 in Greece, and 15–74 years in Latvia), representative of the general population in terms of age, sex, habitat (ie, geographic area and/or size of municipality) and, in some countries, socio-economic characteristics. The survey included a total of 11,902 subjects. The whole population domain represented 79.2% of the whole EU population aged 15 years or over (432 million inhabitants).
Sampling methods varied across countries: in Bulgaria, Greece, Italy, Latvia and Romania, a multi-stage sampling was used and respondents were randomly chosen to be representative of the population in terms of sex, age, and geographic area (in Italy, representativeness by socio-economic characteristics was also ensured); in Germany, Ireland, Poland, Portugal, and Spain, stratified random sampling was used, combining also quotas on sex and age and social class in Ireland; in England, United Kingdom, cluster sampling with quotas on age, sex, socio-economic status (SES), region, urban/rural dwelling was used to ensure national representativeness; in France, quotas on age, sex, region, and city size were used for the selection of survey participants.
Questionnaire
A first draft of the survey questionnaire was developed in English language by the researchers from Mario Negri Institute, based on previous tobacco use and secondhand smoke exposure questionnaires.3,19–21 A specific commission with six experts among project partners was created to review the questionnaire and to produce a second version. The final version of the English questionnaire was then developed through the collaboration with all the partners of the TackSHS consortium (eMaterial 1). The questionnaire was translated into Italian language by Mario Negri Institute’s researchers, and into Bulgarian, French, German, Greek, Latvian, Russian, Polish, Portuguese, Romanian, and Spanish by DOXA partners. The translated versions of the questionnaire were revised and validated by bilingual (ie, local language and English language) tobacco control experts.
The questionnaire contains four sections: socio-economic and demographic characteristics; cigarette smoking habit and e-cigarette use; exposure to secondhand smoke (SHS) and e-cigarette aerosol, plus cigarette smoking and e-cigarette use, in different indoor and outdoor places; and attitudes and perceptions on smoke-free regulations and awareness of SHS harmful effects.
Fieldwork
Ad hoc trained interviewers conducted a face-to-face, computer-assisted personal interviewing (CAPI) survey in all the 12 European countries. A test fieldwork was conducted by DOXA in Italy in November 2016 among 1,059 participants. The fieldwork in the other 11 countries was conducted between June 2017 (in Romania) and October 2018 (in Latvia). Table 1 provides information on survey characteristics for each country, including fieldwork period, sample size, age range and sampling methods.
Table 1. Information about survey methods and sample characteristics in 12 European countries. TackSHS Project, 2017–2018.
| Country | Fieldwork dates | Sample sizea |
Age range (years) |
Survey mode |
Sampling method | Representativeness |
| Bulgaria | Oct 2017 | 1,050 | ≥15 | CAPI | Multi-stage stratified random sampling with quota support |
Age, sex, habitat |
| England | Jan–Feb 2018 | 1,013 | ≥16 | CAPI | Cluster sampling with quota support | Age, sex, habitat, SES |
| France | Nov–Dec 2017 | 1,018 | ≥15 | CAPI | Quota method | Age, sex, habitat |
| Germany | Jun 2018 | 1,031 | ≥15 | CAPI | Stratified random sampling | Age, sex, habitat |
| Greece | Jun–Jul 2018 | 1,000 | 15–64 | CAPI | Multi-stage random sampling | Age, sex, habitat |
| Ireland | Nov 2017 | 941 | ≥18 | CAPI | Stratified random sampling with quota support |
Age, sex, habitat, SES |
| Italy | Nov 2016 | 1,059 | ≥15 | CAPI | Multi-stage random sampling | Age, sex, habitat, SES |
| Latvia | Oct 2018 | 1,022 | 15–74 | CAPI | Multi-stage random sampling | Age, sex, habitat |
| Poland | Sep 2018 | 724 | ≥16 | CAPI | Multi-stage stratified random sampling with cluster support |
Age, sex, habitat |
| Portugal | Nov–Dec 2017 | 1,000 | ≥15 | CAPI | Stratified sampling | Age, sex, habitat |
| Romania | Jun–Jul 2017 | 1,018 | ≥15 | CAPI | Multi-stage stratified random sampling with quota support |
Age, sex, habitat, SES |
| Spain | Oct 2017 | 1,026 | ≥15 | CAPI | Stratified random sampling | Age, sex, habitat |
| Total | Jun 2017–Oct 2018b | 11,902 | ≥15 | CAPI | — | |
CAPI, computer assisted personal interview; SES, socio-economic status.
aRaw sample size.
bThis period does not include the time of the survey conducted in Italy (ie, Nov–Dec 2016) since Italy was the pilot country. The participants from Italy are included in all the analyses.
Variables and definitions
Demographic characteristics included age (categorized as <25, 25–44, 45–64, ≥65 years) and sex (men and women). Level of education was categorized as country-specific tertiles of schooling years. Self-assessment of household family economic status relative to the country-specific population was classified into three levels (higher than average, average, and lower than average). Never smokers were defined as participants who had never smoked or had smoked less than 100 cigarettes in their lifetime. Smokers were defined as participants who reported smoking at least 100 cigarettes (including roll-your-own cigarettes) during their lifetime. Current smokers were smokers who reported smoking at the time they participated in this survey, while ex-smokers were smokers who stopped smoking by the time they participated in this survey.3,21 Smokers also provided information on age of starting smoking and the number of cigarettes smoked per day. For each country, we calculated the male-to-female smoking prevalence ratio as the current smoking prevalence in men divided by that in women. The 12 countries were classified into Northern (England, Ireland, and Latvia), Western (France and Germany), Southern (Italy, Greece, Portugal, and Spain), and Eastern (Bulgaria, Poland, and Romania), following United Nation M49 standard,22 and halved by their gross domestic product (GDP) per capita23 into <25.000 € (Latvia, Romania, Poland, Portugal, Greece, and Bulgaria) and ≥25.000 € (England, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, and Spain).
Ethical issues
We obtained study approval from a local Ethics Committee in each of the 12 countries (eTable 1). Details on the survey characteristics were provided to all participants by suitably qualified professionals through a structured information sheet, and all the participants provided their consents by ticking the electronic field in the CAPI questionnaire. The study protocol has been registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (ID: NCT02928536).
The procedures for recruitment of subjects, data collection, storage, and protection (based on anonymous identification code) are in accordance with the current country-specific legislation. This was ratified and signed by DOXA and each of its European partners.
Statistical analysis
Statistical weights were used to generate representative estimates of the general population of each country (individual weight). To calculate results for the entire sample, we applied “country weights”, which combined individual weights with an additional weighting factor, with each country contributing in proportion to its population aged 15 years or over, obtained by Eurostat.24
We considered descriptive statistics including relative frequency (%) and its corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for categorical variables, and mean and standard deviation (SD) for continuous variables.
ORs and their corresponding 95% CIs were estimated using multilevel logistic random-effects models, to take into account the heterogeneity between the 12 European countries. The study country effects were considered as random intercepts, and sex, age, and level of education as adjusting variables. Country weights were used in all logistic regression models. Analyses were performed with SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute; Cary, NC, USA).
RESULTS
Among 11,902 participants, 57.6% (95% CI, 56.8–58.5%) described themselves as never smokers (49.5% in men and 65.1% in women), 16.5% (95% CI, 15.8–17.2%) as ex-smokers (19.5% in men and 13.7% in women) and 25.9% (95% CI, 25.1–26.7%) as current smokers (31.0% in men and 21.2% in women; Table 2). The smoking prevalence was below 20% in Italy (18.9%), Ireland (19.6%), and England (19.8%), and over 35% in Bulgaria (37.0%) and Portugal (36.8%). Smoking prevalence in men ranged from 20.3% in England to 42.0% in Portugal, and in women from 15.3% in Germany to 34.4% in Bulgaria. Average smoking intensity was 14.7 cigarettes per day (SD, 8.8), ranging from 12.4 (SD, 7.5) in Italy to 17.1 (SD, 15.8) in Greece.
Table 2. Country-specific prevalence of never, ex- and current smokers, and smoking intensity in the European population aged ≥15 years. TackSHS Project, 2017–2018.
| Country | Prevalence (%) | Number of cigarettes per day,a mean (SD) | |||||||
| Never smokers | Ex-smokers | Current smokers | |||||||
| Total | Men | Women | M/F ratio | Total | Men | Women | |||
| Bulgaria | 46.4 | 16.6 | 37.0 | 39.8 | 34.4 | 1.16 | 14.9 (7.9) | 17.1 (8.2) | 12.5 (6.8) |
| England | 59.9 | 20.2 | 19.8 | 20.3 | 19.5 | 1.04 | 15.5 (9.4) | 15.0 (9.4) | 15.8 (9.4) |
| France | 48.8 | 20.1 | 31.0 | 36.7 | 25.9 | 1.42 | 13.6 (8.7) | 15.4 (9.0) | 11.3 (7.7) |
| Germany | 63.4 | 12.9 | 23.7 | 32.4 | 15.3 | 2.12 | 15.9 (7.0) | 17.1 (7.0) | 13.4 (6.4) |
| Greece | 40.8 | 25.4 | 33.8 | 35.0 | 32.6 | 1.07 | 17.1 (15.8) | 21.1 (18.9) | 12.9 (10.1) |
| Ireland | 65.4 | 15.0 | 19.6 | 22.1 | 17.2 | 1.28 | NA | ||
| Italy | 69.8 | 11.3 | 18.9 | 22.6 | 15.5 | 1.46 | 12.4 (7.5) | 12.9 (7.9) | 11.7 (7.1) |
| Latvia | 55.7 | 16.3 | 28.1 | 41.3 | 16.0 | 2.58 | 12.9 (7.0) | 13.9 (6.8) | 10.6 (7.0) |
| Poland | 62.9 | 13.5 | 23.6 | 28.7 | 19.4 | 1.48 | 16.4 (11.2) | 18.7 (12.7) | 13.6 (8.5) |
| Portugal | 48.5 | 14.7 | 36.8 | 42.0 | 32.1 | 1.31 | 14.1 (9.4) | 16.2 (10.9) | 11.7 (6.4) |
| Romania | 47.4 | 18.7 | 34.0 | 38.7 | 29.5 | 1.31 | 16.2 (10.0) | 18.4 (10.4) | 13.3 (8.9) |
| Spain | 47.8 | 20.4 | 31.8 | 37.3 | 26.6 | 1.40 | 14.0 (8.0) | 14.5 (8.7) | 13.3 (7.0) |
| Totalb | 57.6 | 16.5 | 25.9 | 31.0 | 21.2 | 1.46 | 14.7 (8.8) | 16.0 (9.4) | 13.0 (7.7) |
M/F, male to female; SD, standard deviation.
aSmoking intensity, including both manufactured and roll-your-own cigarettes among current smokers (men and women combined). Questions on cigarette smoking intensity was not asked in Ireland. In the other 11 countries, 2,938 out of 3,050 current smokers provided information on the number of cigarettes smoked per day.
bCountry weights were applied, which combined individual weights with an additional weighting factor, with each country contributing in proportion to its population aged 15 years or over, obtained by Eurostat.24
Among current smokers, 76.1% started smoking before age 18 years and 96.3% before 25 years. Mean age at starting regular smoking was 17.4 (SD, 4.5) overall, 17.1 (SD, 4.1) in males, and 17.8 (SD, 4.8) years in female smokers, and varied between 15.2 (SD, 4.2) in England and 19.1 years (SD, 4.2) in Romania (data not shown in tables).
Table 3 provides the ORs for current versus non-smokers according to selected individual-level and country-specific characteristics. Smoking prevalence was higher in men than in women (OR 1.67; 95% CI, 1.53–1.82). Compared with subjects aged <45 years, ORs were 0.97 (95% CI, 0.89–1.07) for 45–64 years, and 0.31 (95% CI, 0.27–0.36) for ≥65 years. Compared with high level of education, the ORs were 1.39 (95% CI, 1.25–1.55) for medium and 1.32 (95% CI, 1.17–1.48) for low level of education (P for trend <0.001). Compared to those with a high household economic status, the ORs were 1.33 (95% CI, 1.15–1.54) and 2.05 (95% CI, 1.74–2.42) for those with an average and low economic status, respectively. The patterns observed for all the individual-level characteristics were consistent in men and women. Compared with Northern Europe, the ORs of smoking were 1.58 (95% CI, 0.98–2.56) in Western, 1.52 (95% CI, 0.93–2.49) in Southern and 1.57 (95% CI, 0.92–2.70) in Eastern European countries. Compared to Northern Europe, the OR in men was higher in Western Europe (OR 2.17; 95% CI, 1.35–3.48), Southern Europe (OR 1.77; 95% CI, 1.09–2.87) and Eastern Europe (OR 1.87; 95% CI, 1.10–3.18). Smoking prevalence showed no significant difference between countries with lower and higher GDP per capita, the ORs for less wealthy countries being 1.22 (95% CI, 0.82–1.81).
Table 3. OR for current smokers vs non-smokers (never and ex-smokers combined) and corresponding 95% CI in the European population aged ≥15 years, overall and by sex, according to selected individual-level and country-specific characteristics.a TackSHS Project, 2017–2018.
| Characteristics | Nb | Current smoking | |||||
| Total | Men | Women | |||||
| % | OR (95% CI)c | % | OR (95% CI)c | % | OR (95% CI)c | ||
| Individual level characteristics | |||||||
| Sex | |||||||
| Women | 6,270 | 21.2 | 1d | ||||
| Men | 5,632 | 31.0 | 1.67 (1.53–1.82) | ||||
| Age group, years | |||||||
| <25 | 1,446 | 24.5 | 1d | 29.4 | 1d | 19.1 | 1d |
| 25–44 | 4,079 | 31.1 | 36.6 | 26.0 | |||
| 45–64 | 4,330 | 28.9 | 0.97 (0.89–1.07) | 33.3 | 0.93 (0.82–1.05) | 24.9 | 1.03 (0.90–1.17) |
| ≥65 | 2,047 | 11.8 | 0.31 (0.27–0.36) | 16.8 | 0.36 (0.29–0.43) | 7.8 | 0.26 (0.21–0.33) |
| P for trend | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||
| Level of educatione | |||||||
| High | 3,241 | 24.4 | 1d | 27.4 | 1d | 21.5 | 1d |
| Medium | 4,172 | 29.4 | 1.39 (1.25–1.55) | 36.0 | 1.56 (1.35–1.82) | 23.2 | 1.23 (1.05–1.45) |
| Low | 4,486 | 23.6 | 1.32 (1.17–1.48) | 28.7 | 1.38 (1.18–1.61) | 19.2 | 1.25 (1.06–1.48) |
| P for trend | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.012 | ||||
| Household economic statusf | |||||||
| Higher than average | 1,588 | 20.9 | 1d | 23.3 | 1d | 18.4 | 1d |
| Average | 6,264 | 25.9 | 1.33 (1.15–1.54) | 29.6 | 1.38 (1.13–1.69) | 22.4 | 1.29 (1.05–1.60) |
| Lower than average | 2,905 | 31.5 | 2.05 (1.74–2.42) | 38.8 | 2.27 (1.80–2.85) | 26.0 | 1.90 (1.50–2.41) |
| P for trend | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||
| Country-specific characteristics | |||||||
| Geographic area | |||||||
| Northern Europe | 2,976 | 20.1 | 1d | 21.1 | 1d | 19.2 | 1d |
| Western Europe | 2,049 | 26.9 | 1.58 (0.98–2.56) | 34.3 | 2.17 (1.35–3.48) | 20.0 | 1.13 (0.66–1.94) |
| Southern Europe | 4,085 | 26.2 | 1.52 (0.93–2.49) | 30.5 | 1.77 (1.09–2.87) | 22.2 | 1.35 (0.78–2.34) |
| Eastern Europe | 2,792 | 28.2 | 1.57 (0.92–2.70) | 33.1 | 1.87 (1.10–3.18) | 24.0 | 1.37 (0.75–2.50) |
| GDP per capita | |||||||
| >25.000 € | 6,088 | 24.7 | 1d | 30.0 | 1d | 19.9 | 1d |
| ≤25.000 € | 5,814 | 29.9 | 1.22 (0.82–1.81) | 34.6 | 1.16 (0.73–1.85) | 25.8 | 1.30 (0.87–1.95) |
CI, confidence interval; GDP, gross domestic product; OR, odds ratio.
aCountry weights were applied, which combined individual weights with an additional weighting factor, with each country contributing in proportion to its population aged 15 years or over, obtained by Eurostat.24
bRaw sample size.
cORs and their corresponding 95% CIs were estimated using multilevel logistic random-effects models, to take into account the heterogeneity between the 12 European countries. The study country effects were considered as random intercepts, and sex, age and level of education as adjusting variables. Estimates in bold are statistically significant at 0.05 level.
dReference category.
eLevel of education was categorized as country-specific tertiles of schooling years. The sum does not add to the total because of a few missing values.
fSelf-assessment of household (family) economic status relative to the country-specific population. This variable is missing for all German subjects, 79 Latvian and, 35 Romanian subjects.
DISCUSSION
Approximately one out of four adults is a current smoker in Europe, including one out of three men and one out of five women. Smoking prevalence showed large differences across European countries, being highest in Eastern Europe (28%) and lowest in Northern Europe (20%).
In both men and women, smoking prevalence is highest among young adults aged 25–44 years. Almost all current smokers in Europe started smoking before aged 25 years. Therefore, this study confirms that teenagers and young adults are the most vulnerable group to start smoking3 and thus are the most important target population for tobacco control interventions aimed to decrease nicotine addiction initiation.
Smoking prevalence among women, exceeding 15% in all the 12 countries, is in an advanced stage of the tobacco epidemic.3,25 However, notable differences were observed in the male-to-female smoking prevalence ratio, ranging from 1.04 in England to 2.58 in Latvia. This suggests that some countries (likely those with a higher male-to-female smoking prevalence ratio) are in an earlier phase compared with others.3,25
Multilevel logistic analyses indicate that the level of education was inversely related to smoking prevalence in both men and women. Analysing other individual level and country specific indicators of SES, we also found that smoking prevalence was systematically higher in the sub-population with low SES. This finding was independent of sex, age, and education, as reported in a few other investigations.26 Our results are in broad agreement with current evidence,27,28 and underline the need for specific measures specifically focused on low socio-economic groups to reduce health inequalities from tobacco.
In general, our findings are consistent with those reported in the Global Health Observatory data repository of the WHO29 and those found in the 2017 Eurobarometer survey.8 The latter study shows a smoking prevalence for the EU of 26% overall, 30% in men, and 20% in women, thus very similar to our estimates. In Italy, the smoking prevalence found in TackSHS survey (19% overall, 23% in men, and 16% in women) appears slightly lower than that found in the 2016 national survey conducted on around 3,000 subjects (ie, 22% overall, 27% in men, and 17% in women).30 Some major discrepancies with current evidence from the scientific literature were noted particularly in Portugal, where we found a smoking prevalence greater than 30% for both men and women. Our estimates are in fact substantially higher than those reported before 2015 for daily smoking (lower than 20%).2,31,32 The different definition of current smoking and the different sampling methodology used are not sufficient to explain the substantial gap found in smoking prevalence. Moreover, the distribution of our Portuguese sample by sex and age group is very similar to the official distribution provided by Eurostat.24 Other adult smoking prevalence estimates for Portugal, including those from the 2010 PPACTE study (32% overall, 36% in men, and 29% in women),3 or the 2015 WHO estimates (32% in men and 14% in women),29 or the 2017 Eurobarometer survey (26% overall)8 are more similar—but still substantially lower—than our estimates.
Overall, the smoking prevalence remained almost the same (from 27.2% to 26.4%) in the 11 countries that were included in both the TackSHS and PPACTE (2010) surveys, using similar methodologies and definitions. For France, Portugal, Romania, and Spain, we observed increases in smoking prevalence over the last decade but a decrease from 36% to 20% in Ireland.
The trends in smoking prevalence found in our data match those from the Eurobarometer surveys: the comparison between the 20178 and 200911 surveys indicated a decrease in smoking prevalence for all countries except for France and Portugal. Smoking prevalence estimates in Europe remain substantially higher as compared to those from other high-income countries, such as the United States, Canada, and Australia, where less than 15% of adults are current smokers.2,33
The limitations of the present study include some differences of sampling in the study countries. Notwithstanding, all samples selected were representative of their population in terms of age, sex, and geographic area and/or size of municipality. The age range of the participants was slightly different in some countries. In particular, in Greece the sample was limited to subjects aged 15–64 years, thus likely providing an over-estimation of the adult smoking prevalence. However, even assuming that the smoking prevalence in the elderly (representing in Greece 25% of the adult population24) was 50% that in younger adults—as observed in the other 11 countries—we would estimate a smoking prevalence around 30%, still similar to the provided estimate.
The strengths of our survey include the representativeness of the adult population of the 12 selected European countries, the use of the same questionnaire in the 12 countries sampled, developed by a group of experts on tobacco control, the standardized use of a single definition of current smokers, and the use of face-to-face interviews.
Our data indicate that there are 112 million current smokers in the EU, including 65 million men and 47 million women. We confirm that the large majority of smokers started smoking when they were adolescents, and that lower SES is a major determinant of smoking habit in Europe. Tobacco control measures to decrease smoking initiation and to promote smoking cessation should, therefore, be targeted at young people and the sub-group with lower SES, respectively. Increasing tobacco prices, through the adoption of additional excise taxes, has been shown to be more effective among younger generations and in economically deprived populations.28,34 Therefore, price increase is still likely to be a particularly effective tobacco control strategy, particularly in those European countries where tobacco price is still relatively low and resources for tobacco control are scarce.35
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
IDIBELL group thanks CERCA Programme/Generalitat de Catalunya for institutional support.
Funding: This project has received funding from the European Union Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 681040. The Tobacco Control Unit (ICO) is partially supported by the Ministry of Universities and Research, Government of Catalonia (2017SGR139). EFernandez was partially supported by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Government of Spain (INT16/00211 and INT17/00103), co-funded by the European Regional Development Fund (FEDER). ALugo was supported by an AIRC fellowship for Italy. The work of SGallus was partially funded by the Italian League Against Cancer (LILT, Milan).
Disclaimer: This paper reflects only the authors’ views and the European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information it contains.
Authors’ contributions: SGallus and EFernandez had the original study idea; EFernandez, GGorini, ALopez-Nicolas contributed to the finalization of the survey questionnaire; PColombo provided data from the survey; XLiu and ALugo carried out the statistical analysis; SGallus drafted the article in collaboration with XLiu and ALugo; all other authors made substantial contributions to conception, design and interpretation of data; all the authors approved the final version of the manuscript.
Conflicts of interest: None declared.
The TackSHS Project Investigators:
Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO); Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBELL), Spain: Esteve Fernández, Yolanda Castellano, Marcela Fu, Montse Ballbè, Beladenta Amalia, Olena Tigova
Public Health Agency of Barcelona (ASPB), Spain: Maria José López, Xavier Continente, Teresa Arechavala, Elisabet Henderson
Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS (IRFMN), Italy: Silvano Gallus, Alessandra Lugo, Xiaoqiu Liu, Cristina Bosetti, Enrico Davoli, Elisa Borroni;
Istituto DOXA, Worldwide Independent Network/Gallup International Association, Italy: Paolo Colombo
University of Stirling (UNISTIR), the UK: Sean Semple, Rachel O’Donnell, Ruaraidh Dobson
TobaccoFree Research Institute Ireland (TFRI), Ireland: Luke Clancy, Sheila Keogan, Hannah Byrne
Hellenic Cancer Society - George D. Behrakis Research Lab (HCS), Greece: Panagiotis Behrakis, Anna Tzortzi, Constantine Vardavas, Vergina Konstantina Vyzikidou, Gerasimos Bakelas, George Mattiampa
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori (INT), Italy: Roberto Boffi, Ario Ruprecht, Cinzia De Marco, Alessandro Borgini, Chiara Veronese, Martina Bertoldi, Andrea Tittarelli
Istituto per lo Studio, la Prevenzione, e la Rete Oncologica (ISPRO), Italy: Giuseppe Gorini, Giulia Carreras, Barbara Cortini, Simona Verdi, Alessio Lachi, Elisabetta Chellini
Polytechnic University of Cartagena (UPCT), Spain: Ángel López Nicolás, Marta Trapero-Bertran, Daniel Celdrán Guerrero
European Network on Smoking and Tobacco Prevention (ENSP), Belgium: Cornel Radu-Loghin, Dominick Nguyen, Polina Starchenko
Hospital Universitario La Princesa (IISP), Spain: Joan B Soriano, Julio Ancochea, Tamara Alonso, María Teresa Pastor, Marta Erro, Ana Roca, Patricia Pérez, Elena García Castillo
APPENDIX A. SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
The following is the supplementary data related to this article:
eMaterial 1. Survey questionnaire
eTable 1. Approvals of study protocol from Ethics Committees in 12 European countries. TackSHS Project 2017–2018.
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