(
A) For each environment-strain combination, we plot the number of genes having a certain number of fixed nonsynonymous mutations (y axis) spread amongst a certain number of unique populations (x axis). Each possible outcome is colored by its excess probability, as compared to a simulated null expectation in which mutations are distributed among populations using a multinomial distribution that takes into account how many nonsynonymous mutations fix in each population. Each plot is annotated with
Δm, the difference between the total number of ‘missed opportunities’ as defined by
Good et al., 2017 and the average total number of missed opportunities from simulated datasets, along with the probability of finding less than or equal to our total missed opportunities in one of the simulated datasets. The negative values for
Δm indicate that we are seeing less missed opportunities than we would expect by chance, indicating overdispersion most likely caused by a ‘coupon collecting’ effect. (
B) The same as A, but also including nonsynonymous mutations that are detected but do not fix.