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. 2021 Jan 29;34:100439. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100439

Table 4.

Model parameters. Nominal values, lower bounds, upper bounds, priors and units for the model parameters. The nominal values are only used for model parameters which are not fitted.

Name Fitted Nominal value Lower bound Upper bound Prior Unit
Parameters of transition rates β0 Yes - 10−5 105 log-uniform day−1
ξ0 Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform day−1
κ Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform/-normal day−1
γ Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform/-normal day−1
ν Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform day−1
δ Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform/-normal day−1
ρ Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform day−1
Δ Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform -
TC No 13 - - - day
k Yes - 0.0038 16.63 log-uniform day−1
Total and initial
number of people		 N No 9×106 - - - #
NE Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
NA Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
NI Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
NR Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
NR′ Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
ND Yes - 10−1 103 log-uniform #
Noise level σT2 Yes - 10−3 103 log-uniform #
σI2 Yes - 10−3 103 log-uniform #
σR2 Yes - 10−3 103 log-uniform #
σD2 Yes - 10−3 103 log-uniform #