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. 2021 Feb 18;16(2):e0247153. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247153

Effect of combined acetylsalicylic acid and statins treatment on intracranial aneurysm rupture

Mikel Terceño 1,2, Sebastian Remollo 2, Yolanda Silva 1,*, Saima Bashir 1, Mariano Werner 2, Víctor A Vera-Monge 1, Joaquín Serena 1, Carlos Castaño 1
Editor: Massimiliano Toscano3
PMCID: PMC7891751  PMID: 33600491

Abstract

Background

Acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) and statins have been identified as potentially reducing the risk of intracranial aneurysms (IA) rupture. We aim to determine the effect of this drugs on the risk of rupture of IA.

Patients and methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study from a prospective database of patients with IA treated in our institution between January 2013 and December 2018. Demographics, previous oral treatments, presence of multiple aneurysms, size of aneurysm, lobulation, location and morphology of the aneurysms were recorded. Patients were dichotomized as ruptured and unruptured IA.

Results

A total of 408 IA were treated, of which 283 (68.6%) were in women. The median age was 53, 194 (47.5%) were ruptured IA. 38 patients (9.3%) were receiving ASA and 84 (20.6%) were receiving statins at the moment of the IA diagnosis. In the multivariable regression analysis, ASA plus statin use and multiple aneurysms were independently associated with unruptured IA (OR 5.01, 95% CI, 1.37–18.33, P = 0.015 and OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.68–4.27, P<0.001, respectively). Whereas, lobulated wall aneurysm and PComA/AComA location were inversely and independently associated with unruptured IA condition (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.21–0.55, P<0.001 and OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.23–0.60, P<0.001, respectively). However, ASA and statins in monotherapy were not independently associated with unruptured IA condition.

Conclusions

In our study population ASA plus statins treatment is independently associated with unruptured IA. Larger and prospective studies are required to explore this potential protective effect against IA rupture.

Background

Approximately 3% of the population have an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (IA). Factors such as posterior location, lobulated morphology, inflammation of the aneurysm wall, large dome aneurysm size, previous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and smoking have been identified as risk factors for the prediction of IA rupture [13].

In the last few years, the study of the effect of statins and especially of acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) on the risk of IA rupture have shown promising results in preventing aneurysm rupture and growth. The pleiotropic effect consisting in an endothelium protection by increasing nitric oxide (NO) and by inhibiting cytokines and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs), and the mobilization of endothelial progenitor cells (EPC) have been associated to statins, resulting in an inhibited endothelial injury and media thinning of the aneurysm. On the other hand, some studies have suggested that unselective inhibition of cyclooxygenase 2 (COX-2) and prostaglandin E2 synthase-1 with ASA can result in a reduction of wall inflammation that leads to a drop in IA rupture rates. These mechanisms associated with ASA and statins, have been hypothesized as the potential causes to explain the reduction of IA rupture and growth in some studies [410].

Currently, there are some ongoing clinical trials trying to confirm these effects and their implication on humans, by studying the potential benefit of statins and ASA in unruptured IA, as single therapy [11,12].

In this study we aim to compare the effect of both treatments and explore the impact of a combined treatment (ASA plus statins) on IA rupture.

Patients and methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study from a prospective database of patients with IA treated in our institution between January 2013 and December 2018.

From 428 consecutive patients with 473 IA admitted, a total of 368 patients with 408 IA were treated and included in the analysis. This retrospective consecutively recorded study was approved by the local research ethics committee (Comitè d’Ètica de la Investigació amb Medicaments at Germans Trias i Pujol University Hospital, Badalona, Spain) in October 2018.

All patients or legal representatives signed the corresponding informed consent.

The inclusion criteria were patients >18 years old, with IA treated endovascularly in our institution, known drugs treatment at diagnosis and follow-up completed at 12 months.

Demographic, clinical characteristics and previous medical treatments were collected. Variables related to the aneurysm, such as dome diameter, dome/neck ratio, artery location, presence of lobulations and coexistence of multiple aneurysms, were evaluated by cerebral angiography.

Patients included in the analysis as ASA or statins users, were taking these drugs daily at least one year before IA diagnosis. In patients with ruptured aneurysms, medication history was obtained through a patient interview when possible or based on family interviews and previous medical reports.

We dichotomized patients in two groups: ruptured and unruptured aneurysms.

A ruptured aneurysm was considered if subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) on CT study was present and it was classified in four different groups by using the Fisher scale.

Follow-up and mortality for all cases were recorded at 12 months.

The goal of our study was to determine the role of combining ASA plus statins as potentially protective factor of IA rupture and their comparison with any monotherapy.

Statistical analysis

The baseline characteristics of the patients included in the study were compared using the Student t test or the Mann–Whitney U test for continuous variables and the χ2 test for categorical variables. Univariate analysis was performed to study variables associated with IA rupture. Continuous variables were reported as mean±SD or median (inter- quartile range), as appropriate. Categorical variables were reported as proportions.

Logistic regression was used to assess the association of risk factors with the IA rupture. Variables with P values less than 0.10 were entered in the multivariate logistic models with a forward stepwise procedure. Data were analysed with SPSS version 21 software and all tests were performed with a 5% significance level.

Results

368 patients with 408 IA were included in the study. The median age was 53 years, and 68.6% were female. 214 of the IAs (52.5%) were unruptured at the moment of diagnosis. The most frequent ASA dose was 100 mg per day (94.7%) and Simvastatin was the statin most frequently used (52.4%). Demographics and vascular risk factors were similar in both groups with no statistically significant differences (Table 1).

Table 1. Univariate analysis according to aneurysm state at diagnosis.

Characteristics Ruptured IA n = 194 Unruptured IA n = 214 P value
Age, years 54 [46–66] 53 [46–66] 0.549
Sex, female 128 (66%) 152 (71%) 0.287
HBP 81 (41.8%) 96 (44.9%) 0.549
Alcoholism 13 (6.7%) 16 (7.5%) 0.761
Smoking 77 (39.7%) 98 (45.8%) 0.119
Diabetes Mellitus 10 (5.2%) 13 (6.1%) 0.830
Dyslipidemia 56 (28.9%) 65 (30.4%) 0.746
Ischemic cardiopathy 6 (3.1%) 15 (7%) 0.057
Statins treatment 28 (14.4%) 56 (26.2%) 0.005
ASA treatment 11 (5.7%) 27 (12.6%) 0.017
ASA plus statin treatment 6 (3.1%) 26 (12.1%) 0.001
Multiple IAs 69 (35.8%) 121 (56.8%) <0.001
Dome diameter, mm 6.7±3.51 7.1±5.91 <0.001
Dome-neck ratio 1.8 [1.4–2.3] 1.5 [1.1–2.0] 0.215
Saccular morphology 188 (96.9%) 186 (87.7%) 0.001
Lobulated wall aneurysm 142 (73.2%) 101 (47.2%) <0.001
PComA/AComA location 103 (53.1%) 50 (23.4%) <0.001
Posterior circulation location 22 (11.3%) 24 (11.2%) 0.472
Mortality at 12 months 38 (19.6%) 0 (0%) <0.001

Continuous variables are expressed as mean ± SD or median [quartiles] as appropriate or n (%).

Abbreviations: HBP, high blood pressure; IAs, intracranial aneurysms; ASA, acetyl-salicylic acid; PComA, posterior communicating artery; AComA, anterior communicating artery.

Patients from the unruptured IA group more frequently had multiple IAs (56.8% vs. 35.8%, P<0.001) at baseline angiography. In addition, these patients were more frequently taking statins (26.2% vs 14.4%, P = 0.005) and ASA (12.6% vs 5.7%, P = 0.017). The combination of taking ASA plus statins at diagnosis was significantly higher in these patients (12.1% vs 3.1%, P = 0.001).

The differences between treatment at baseline and aneurysm rupture are represented in Fig 1.

Fig 1. Percentages of IA rupture according to treatment at aneurysm diagnosis.

Fig 1

The group of patients with unruptured IA had lower aneurismal dome diameters (7.1 mm vs 6.7 mm, P<0.001) and these aneurysms less frequently had a saccular morphology (87.7% vs 96.9%, P = 0.001) and lower presence of lobulated walls (47.2% vs 73.2%, P<0.001).

A total of 32 (7.8%) patients were taking the combined treatment (ASA plus statins) at the moment of diagnosis. This treatment was more frequent in the group of unruptured IA (12.1% vs 3.1%, P = 0.001). No deaths were registered at 12 months follow-up in the group of unruptured IA, compared to a mortality of 19.6% in the ruptured IA group (p<0.001).

After adjusting for multiple variables in the regression model, combined treatment was identified as an independent predictor of unruptured IA (adjusted odds ratio, 5.01, 95% CI, 1.37–18.33, P = 0.015), together with the presence of multiple IAs (adjusted odds ratio, 2.72, 95% CI, 1.68–4.27, P<0.001), whereas the use of ASA or statins in monotherapy were not independent predictors of unruptured IA (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22, 95% CI, 0.42–3.53, P = 0.715 and adjusted odds ratio, 1.65, 95% CI, 0.83–3.31, P = 0.155, respectively) (Table 2).

Table 2. Multivariate regression model for unruptured intracranial aneurysm at diagnosis.

Variable Adjusted OR 95% CI P value
Ischemic cardiopathy 1.21 0.31–4.70 0.781
ASA treatment 1.22 0.42–3.53 0.715
Statins treatment 1.65 0.83–3.31 0.155
ASA plus statin treatment 5.01 1.37–18.33 0.015
Multiple IAs 2.72 1.68–4.27 <0.001
Dome diameter 0.97 0.92–1.03 0.339
Saccular morphology 0.42 0.14–1.24 0.115
Lobulated wall aneurysm 0.34 0.21–0.55 <0.001
PComA/AComA location 0.37 0.23–0.60 <0.001

*Adjusted by confounding factors, with a P < 0.10 in the univariate analysis.

Abbreviations: ASA, acetyl-salicylic acid; IAs, intracranial aneurysms PComA, posterior communicating artery; AComA, anterior communicating artery.

Discussion

In this study we show that the combined treatment has a higher protective effect against rupture over any single therapy in patients with IA. ASA and statins have been reported as potential therapies in preventing aneurysm rupture and growth. However, this is the first study that evaluate both treatments as a combined therapy, based on the synergist effect of ASA and statins on the aneurysm endothelium.

Inflammation of the aneurysm wall has been identified with aneurysm growth and rupture. This process is started by the action of several mediators and leads to a degradation of the extracellular matrix by matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and the destruction of smooth muscle cells (SMC), leading to wall thinning and, consequently, a risk of aneurysm rupture. Macrophage infiltration into the aneurysm wall is considered to be a key factor in IA formation and growth [1319].

Evidence of ASA

The antiplatelet and anti-inflammatory mechanisms of ASA are widely known. ASA blocks the action of Cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), which converts arachidonic acid from prostaglandins, resulting in Ca2+ influx into the endothelial cell in the aneurysm wall. Thus, COX-2, has been considered in some studies as a potential target to decrease the inflammatory phenomena that takes place in the aneurysm [19,20].

ASA inhibits the migration of macrophages into the aneurysm wall and has been shown to suppress MMP-2 and MMP-9 expression [2124].

The clinical benefit of ASA in preventing risk of unruptured IA has been studied since 2011 when the ISUIA (International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms) investigators determined that patients who used ASA at least three times weekly had significantly lower rates of SAH compared to patients who never used ASA [7].

Zanaty et al., studied a population with 229 unruptured IAs, finding that aneurysm growth was observed in 10.5% of them during follow-up. ASA use was identified as the only variable independently associated with non-aneurysm growth [10].

In line with these results, Gross et al., in a study of 747 consecutive patients with unruptured and ruptured IA, found a statistically significant association between ASA use and unruptured IA, with no differences in outcome at one year [25]. Hostettler et al. obtained similar results, finding an inverse association between ASA use and rupture status [8].

The largest case-control was published by Can et al. in 2018. They studied 4,708 patients with 6,411 ruptured and unruptured IA. In the multivariable analysis, ASA use was associated with lower rates of SAH. On the other hand, ASA use was identified as a significant factor associated to rebleeding, however, its impact on mortality was not described [9].

The preventive effect of the ASA effect on IA risk rupture has been studied in prospective animal models [14,26,27].

Despite these promising results, there is no consistent data nor international guidelines to recommend ASA use to patients with a diagnosis of unruptured IA, as once the IA is ruptured, patients with SAH and undergoing ASA could have poorer outcomes [27], although, this association has not been confirmed by some other studies [28].

Evidence of statins

The effect of statins on unruptured IA has also been studied although these investigations have mainly focused on the potential benefit in preventing cerebral vasospasm secondary to IA rupture [2931].

The pleiotropic effect of statins is found to protect the endothelium by increasing nitric oxide (NO) and by inhibiting proinflammatory cytokines, MMPs and isoform Nitric Oxid Synthase (iNOS) in macrophages and smooth muscle cells (SMC) [32,33].

In animal models, some histological changes have been obtained, such as an increase in the media thickness and a decrease in the size of aneurysms and in the formation of new ones [3437].

Can et al. also published their investigations with statins. From the same registry of 6,411 IA, lipid-lowering agent use was significantly inversely associated with rupture status, together with female sex, tobacco use and alcohol use, among others [4].

Conversely, Marbacher et al, conducted a case-control study with 1,200 patients. However, no protecting effect was observed regards IA formation in the group of statin users [38].

Finally, Bekelis et al. completed a study of 28,131 patients with unruptured IA. They concluded that statins use was not associated with a difference in SAH risk although mortality in this group was lower [39].

Due to these previous evidence, we aimed to investigate the effect of the combined treatment (ASA plus statins) in patients with IAs and explore the potential benefit of the combined treatment as a protecting factor against aneurysm rupture.

The potential benefit of the combined treatment, hypothetically, could be due to the different mechanisms in protecting the endothelium: the pleiotropic effect by statins and inhibiting COX-2 by ASA, among others [21,24,32,33].

In our series, the group of patients with unruptured IA at diagnosis presented higher rates of statin and ASA in monotherapy than the ruptured IA group, with no significant differences in vascular risk factors or demographics. In addition, the combined therapy was also higher in the unruptured IA group (12.1% vs 3.1%, P = 0.001). Ischemic cardiopathy was more frequently in the unruptured IA group and, although no statistically significant differences were observed, it could explain a higher consumption of ASA and statins in this group.

Classical variables related to aneurysm, such as the presence of lobulation on the aneurysm wall and the PComA/AComA locations were identified as predictive risk factors for IA rupture, in accordance with previous literature [13]. However, smoking and HBP were not associated with IA rupture, in contrast to some previous studies, although, for some investigators, HBP could be associated with IA formation but not with IA rupture [13]. Moreover, a recent study identify uncontrolled hypertension but not controlled hypertension, as an independent predictor of aneurysm growth [40].

Also, in our series dome size was not associated with IA rupture, actually, dome diameter was smaller in the ruptured IA group (6.7 vs 7.1 mm, P<0.001), maybe reflecting a higher importance of other anatomical variables like aneurysm/parent artery ratio and flow angle, that have been described recently and associated with IA rupture [41,42].

The presence of multiple aneurysms was significantly more frequent in the unruptured IA group. Patients with multiple aneurysms had significantly less PComA/AComA aneurysm locations (30.5% vs 43.5%, p = 0.005), and these patients were less frequent ASA users at the moment of the diagnosis (7.4% vs 11.1%, p = 0.13), so we consider that these two variables could influence in the association observed between multiple aneurysm and unruptured IA condition.

When comparing those variables statistically associated with unruptured IA, in the logistic regression model, the combined treatment remains superior to ASA and statins treatments alone revealing a potential synergistic benefit of the two treatments.

An important concern before recommending a combined treatment, is the potential risk of greater neurological and radiological deterioration in patients undergoing ASA, due to the potential impact on haemostasis. This effect has been studied previously with inconclusive results. Tai et al. published a series of 160 patients with ruptured IA, observing that previous SAH, alcohol use and ASA use were independently associated with higher Hunt and Hess scores. On the other hand, smoking, inflow angle <90 degrees but not ASA use, were independently associated with higher Fisher grades [28]. Bruder et al. studied the effect of ASA in 1,422 patients treated for aneurismal SAH. ASA use patients had aneurismal rebleeding more often but with no differences in clinical outcomes [43].

Limitations and strengths

The small sample size in the group of combined treatment and the fact that this is a single-center and cross-sectional study, are the main limitations of our study. Patients included in the study were all of them treated endovascularly, so our conclusions should be carefully interpreted in in case of patients who are not good candidates for endovascular treatment.

The main strengths are that this is the first study to explore the potential benefit of a combined treatment and compares the protective effect of ASA and statins, also this is a high detailed registry with 12 months follow-up in all patients. If our results are replicated, the combination of ASA plus statins could be beneficial in patients with unruptured IA, becoming a new first-line strategy in preventing IA rupture.

Conclusions

In our study population ASA plus statins treatment is independently associated with unruptured IA at diagnosis, and this combination is superior to any monotherapy.

Larger prospective studies and controlled clinical trials are necessary to demonstrate the potential benefit of the combined treatment, as well as if some particular statin and dose, could be significantly superior in preventing IA rupture.

Supporting information

S1 File

(XLSX)

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank all the patients and their relatives for their participation in the project.

Data Availability

All rellevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information file.

Funding Statement

The authors received no specific funding for this work.

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  • 41.Duan Z, Li Y, Guan S, et al. Morphological parameters and anatomical locations associated with rupture status of small intracranial aneurysms. Sci Rep. 2018. April 24;8(1):6440 10.1038/s41598-018-24732-1 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 42.Weir B, Disney L and Karrison T. Sizes of ruptured and unruptured aneurysms in relation to their sites and the ages of patients. J Neurosurg. 2002. January;96(1):64–70. 10.3171/jns.2002.96.1.0064 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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Decision Letter 0

Massimiliano Toscano

13 Jan 2021

PONE-D-20-30637

EFFECT OF COMBINED STATINS AND ACETYL SALICYLICACID TREATMENT ON INTRACRANIAL ANEURYSM RUPTURE

PLOS ONE

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Massimiliano Toscano

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PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments:

The main theme is interesting as the paper introduces a novel point of view in the scenery of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Anyway, there are several major concerns, so that substantial reviews are needed. In the discussion section, findings were not really discussed according to the literature. Moreover, the introduction and methods are rather inaccurate.

Please reply accurately to the questions raised and, most of all, review the whole paper as well as the limitation section taking into account the reviewers’ comments (e.g. no follow-up period, no untreated patients, the small size of patients population and so on).

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Reviewer #1: Partly

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

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**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This paper from Terçeno et al. aimed to investigate the predictive role of the treatment with aspirin and statins in reducing the risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms (IA).

This is a cohort study, retrospectively analysed, of 368 patients with 408 IA treated for 5 years, of which 52.5% unruptured at the time of diagnosis. Patients with unruptured IA more frequently had multiple aneurysms, more frequently taking ASA and statins. 9.3% of patients were receiving ASA and 20.3% were receiving statins at the time of diagnosis. In multivariable analysis, the association therapy of ASA and statins were independently associated with unruptured IA (OR 5.01, 95% CI 1.37-18.33). Other characteristics of the IA were correlated with unruptured IA (lobulated wall aneurysm, PComA/AComA location and multiple aneurysms) and were founded to be independently associated with unruptured IA. Mortality was around 20% at one-year follow-up in ruptured IA. Authors concluded for a potential protective role of the association of statins and ASA treatment in IA rupture.

Although the work is interesting and substantially in line with recent literature findings, the paper is inaccurate in some parts and should be implemented in its formal presentation.

Abstract- In conclusions section, authors stated that association treatment of statins plus ASA is more frequent in unruptured IA but this datum is not presented in the results section of the same abstract. It might be better to state that statins plus ASA association is independently associated with unruptured IA.

Main text

Background section should be more developed.

Methods.

• How authors defined mortality? Did they consider mortality for all causes? Or related to SAH?

• In the statistical analysis section, authors declared that risk factors were associated with IA rupture and Fisher 4 in ruptured IA, but the results of the association between IA rupture and Fisher 4 were not presented in text nor tables in the results section.

• Authors stated that a backward and forward stepwise procedure was used for multivariable logistic regression. Which approach was finally used in table 2?

Results.

• Authors stated that mortality is 19.6% in the ruptured IA at 12 months in the text and at 3 months in table 1. This discrepancy should be solved.

• Mean ASA dose should be reported.

Table 2. Statins treatment showed a significant different distribution in ruptured and unruptured IA (14.4 vs 26.2%, p=0.005) in univariate analysis (table 1). Why statins treatment alone was not inserted as independent variable in multivariable regression models?

Discussion section should be more fluent and less structured to be more enjoyable for readers.

Disappointingly, findings were not really discussed according to literature. Here, some examples:

• Why ASA alone did not result protective in this population, as expected from literature data? Is it in relation with sample size? Is it related to selection bias? Why patients were taking ASA at the time of diagnosis? All these aspects should be discussed. Moreover, ASA dose should be reported and discussed since an inverse dose-response relationship with SAH risk has been reported (Reference 9).

• The same should be done for statins alone, on which far less evidence is available.

• Another interesting point is that dome diameter of unruptured IA was significantly larger than ruptured IA, which is not expected. Moreover, the balanced distribution of high blood pressure between the two groups is not expected since well-controlled blood pressure are associated with a low risk of unruptured IA growth (Weng GC. Aspirin and Growth of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm: Results of a Prospective Cohort Study. Stroke. 2020 Oct;51(10):3045-3054. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.120.029967. Epub 2020 Sep 3).

• Another main limitation that should be added is the cross- sectional nature of the study.

Reviewer #2: The authors presents a single institution study of cerebral aneurysms and report that a combination of ASA and a statin is associated with a lower incidence of aneurysm rupture. Given the general interest in ASA and statins for preventative care of cerebral aneurysms, this manuscript is worthy of publication if the following comments are addressed.

1) A major limitation to this study is that the patient population is limited to patients who underwent treatment of their aneurysms. This data can therefore not be generalized to all cerebral aneurysm patients. Please discuss this in the "limitations and strengths" section.

2) Please expand your final Conclusion to provide a brief summary of your data (ie, that the combination of ASA and a statin was more frequently seen in unruptured aneurysms).

3) Multiple aneurysms has been associated with a higher risk of aneurysm rupture, and yet you saw the opposite in your data. Do you have any thoughts on this?

4) Including Figure 1 places an emphasis on mortality data, although you found no statistically significant differences in mortality based on ASA and statin use. I would suggest either removing this figure and reporting this data in a table or text or adding error bars to the graph to make it more clear that there are no statistical differences.

Reviewer #3: The authors present a well-written manuscript on the effects of statins and ASA treatment on the rupture of intracranial aneurysms. This is a retrospective review that looks at risk factors and treatment with either statin, ASA or a combination in two groups of aneurysms- ruptured and unruptured. Based on rupture status alone, the authors observe a protective effect of combination treatment. This is a modestly sized study that is retrospective in nature. Additionally there is no follow-up period for patients. I think looking at the data in terms of predictors (ie treatment with statin and/or ASA) does provide some valuable information, and provides some of the seed data needed to perform an RCT of these two medications for treatment. However, I think we still don't truly know from this study if the medications are protective because there is no way of know how long any of the patients harbored an aneurysm, and there is no data available to perform survival analysis with a Cox model. Nonetheless, I think this manuscript serves as an excellent review of the potential effects of ASA and statin on the biology of intracranial aneurysms, and the data helps provide more impetus to move towards an RCT. I would ask that the authors include some of my comments in the limitations section, and flesh out the limitations of the study further in the discussion. I think the conclusions are appropriate for the study design and data.

**********

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Reviewer #3: Yes: Joshua W Osbun

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PLoS One. 2021 Feb 18;16(2):e0247153. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247153.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


30 Jan 2021

PONE-D-20-30637

EFFECT OF COMBINED ACETYLSALICYLIC ACID AND STATINS TREATMENT ON INTRACRANIAL ANEURYSM RUPTURE.

Editor Comments:

Q. The main theme is interesting as the paper introduces a novel point of view in the scenery of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Anyway, there are several major concerns, so that substantial reviews are needed. In the discussion section, findings were not really discussed according to the literature. Moreover, the introduction and methods are rather inaccurate.

Please reply accurately to the questions raised and, most of all, review the whole paper as well as the limitation section taking into account the reviewers’ comments (e.g. no follow-up period, no untreated patients, the small size of patients population and so on).

A. In this revised manuscript version, we have modified the Methods section, but also the Introduction and the Discussion sections, in order to better respond the comments and to clarify the information. Thanks.

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

Reviewer #1: This paper from Terçeno et al. aimed to investigate the predictive role of the treatment with aspirin and statins in reducing the risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms (IA).

This is a cohort study, retrospectively analysed, of 368 patients with 408 IA treated for 5 years, of which 52.5% unruptured at the time of diagnosis. Patients with unruptured IA more frequently had multiple aneurysms, more frequently taking ASA and statins. 9.3% of patients were receiving ASA and 20.3% were receiving statins at the time of diagnosis. In multivariable analysis, the association therapy of ASA and statins were independently associated with unruptured IA (OR 5.01, 95% CI 1.37-18.33). Other characteristics of the IA were correlated with unruptured IA (lobulated wall aneurysm, PComA/AComA location and multiple aneurysms) and were founded to be independently associated with unruptured IA. Mortality was around 20% at one-year follow-up in ruptured IA. Authors concluded for a potential protective role of the association of statins and ASA treatment in IA rupture.

Although the work is interesting and substantially in line with recent literature findings, the paper is inaccurate in some parts and should be implemented in its formal presentation.

Q. Abstract- In conclusions section, authors stated that association treatment of statins plus ASA is more frequent in unruptured IA but this datum is not presented in the results section of the same abstract. It might be better to state that statins plus ASA association is independently associated with unruptured IA.

A. We have modified the conclusions section and introduce this idea in the abstract. Thanks.

Main text

Q. Background section should be more developed.

A.In this new version of the manuscript, we have included some new information in the Background section, following your recommendations.

Methods.

Q. How authors defined mortality? Did they consider mortality for all causes? Or related to SAH?

A.Mortality was predefined for all causes, although, in our study population, 100% (38) of patients died during the follow-up were related to the SAH.

Q. In the statistical analysis section, authors declared that risk factors were associated with IA rupture and Fisher 4 in ruptured IA, but the results of the association between IA rupture and Fisher 4 were not presented in text nor tables in the results section.

A.This sentence has been removed in this new version. In a previous version of the study, we found interesting to study the variables associated with the presence of Fisher 4, but finally, we decided to remove it from this paper, because our conclusions and interpretations could be ambiguous. We decided to focus on statins and ASA and write a different paper related to Fisher 4 and the potential variables associated to that. We are sorry for this confusing issue.

Q. Authors stated that a backward and forward stepwise procedure was used for multivariable logistic regression. Which approach was finally used in table 2?

A.We used the forward stepwise procedure. This data has been modified in the Statistical analysis section. Thanks.

Results.

Q. Authors stated that mortality is 19.6% in the ruptured IA at 12 months in the text and at 3 months in table 1. This discrepancy should be solved.

A.This data has been amended in this revised version of the manuscript. Thanks.

Q. Mean ASA dose should be reported.

A. The most frequent ASA dose was 100mg per day (94.7%) and Simvastatin was the statin most frequently used (52.4%). This data has been added in the revised manuscript version.

Q. Table 2. Statins treatment showed a significant different distribution in ruptured and unruptured IA (14.4 vs 26.2%, p=0.005) in univariate analysis (table 1). Why statins treatment alone was not inserted as independent variable in multivariable regression models?

A.We tried to compare combined treatment (ASA plus statins) with ASA alone, in order to evaluate the effect of the synergist treatment. However, we performed the analysis including the statins, but this variable was not included in the final Table 2. In this revised manuscript, we have included statins in this Table 2. Thanks.

Discussion section should be more fluent and less structured to be more enjoyable for readers.

Disappointingly, findings were not really discussed according to literature. Here, some examples:

Q. Why ASA alone did not result protective in this population, as expected from literature data? Is it in relation with sample size? Is it related to selection bias? Why patients were taking ASA at the time of diagnosis? All these aspects should be discussed. Moreover, ASA dose should be reported and discussed since an inverse dose-response relationship with SAH risk has been reported (Reference 9).

A.In the univariate analysis, ASA was associated with unruptured IA state as previous studies, however, due to the high effect of the combined treatment (ASA plus statin) not evaluate so far, ASA as a single therapy, was not independently associated with IA rupture. We hypothesized that combined treatment is superior to any single therapy in preventing IA rupture, as a synergist effect. We have highlight this idea in the revised manuscript version.

Regarding the ASA dose, we include in this revised version that 36 of 38 patients were taking 100mg/day at the moment of the diagnosis, just 2 of the 38 were taking high high dose (300mg/day), so this asymmetrical distribution did not allow us to analyze this issue. According to Can et al (Reference 9) high ASA dose (325mg/day) could lead to an increasement in IA rupture, but with a high risk of rerupture. We take it into account this issue for our future investigations in this line and determine if we find differences in first IA rupture according to ASA dose. Thanks for this valuable comment.

The most frequents reason for taking ASA at the moment of the diagnosis was the presence of ischemic cardiopathy in 21 cases.

In this revised manuscript, we have discussed our findings and compare our results with previous studies. We have also modified the structure of the discussion.

Q. The same should be done for statins alone, on which far less evidence is available.

A.We have included statin in the multivariable analysis. Thanks.

Regarding the statins dose, we reported in our study population up to 8 differences doses and 5 different statins (Atorvastatin, Simvastatin, Pravastatin, Rosuvastatin and Fluvastatin). Unfortunately, the number of patients included do not allow us to perform an analyze by subgroups. Certainly, we detect a mild benefit of Atorvastatin in IA rupture compare to the others (23.3% vs 37.7%, p=0.135) but we cannot make a strong conclusion due to the small sample in this subgroup.

Our primary goal was to evaluate the effect of a combined treatment (ASA plus statins). In the future, with more patients included in our database, we probably could evaluate if any specific statin or dose is associated with a smaller incidence of IA rupture.

Q. Another interesting point is that dome diameter of unruptured IA was significantly larger than ruptured IA, which is not expected. Moreover, the balanced distribution of high blood pressure between the two groups is not expected since well-controlled blood pressure are associated with a low risk of unruptured IA growth (Weng GC. Aspirin and Growth of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm: Results of a Prospective Cohort Study. Stroke. 2020 Oct;51(10):3045-3054. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.120.029967. Epub 2020 Sep 3).

A. The importance of dome diameter and the risk of IA rupture is of our interest since some years. The study of new variables in predicting IA rupture such as ASA, statins, lobulated wall, aneurysm location, dome/parent artery ratio, angle inflow… have demonstrated to be superior in predicting IA rupture compare to dome diameter. In our experience, we see a lot of “small” aneurysms rupture but in dangerous locations like PCom and ACom, compare to those “big” aneurysm located at cavernous and paraophthalmic segments, that usually are detected due to III nerve palsy, or secondary to headaches, but without SAH condition. (Weir et al. J Neurosurg 96:64–70, 2002)

We think (and some other investigators have published similar data: Weir et al., Duan et al.) that location is probable more important than dome size, in order to better establish a risk rupture. Duan et al (Sci Rep 8, 6440 (2018)) reported no differences between dome size and IA rupture (4.21 vs 4.28, p=0.191), however size ratio (SR) and aneurysm inflow angle (FA) were identified as independent variables of IA rupture (OR: 3.586, 95% CI (1.518–8.474) and OR: 2.241, 95% CI (1.065–4.715))

In our series, HBP was not associated with IA rupture, in contrast to some previous studies, although, for some investigators, HBP could be associated with IA formation but not with IA rupture (Chalouhi et al. Stroke. 2013 Dec;44:3613-22.). Duan el at, neither identify HBP as an independent predictor of IA rupture (OR:1.505, 95% CI (0.849–2.668)). Weng et al, reported that uncontrolled hypertension is associated with IA growth, but antihypertensive consumption was not associated with IA growth, so we can conclude that uncontrolled hypertension, but not hypertension, is associated with IA growth (and probably rupture). Unfortunately, we did not collect the variable “uncontrolled hypertension” for this analysis. Interesting topic for our future investigations.

Thanks for this new reference, we have included both reference and discussion in the revised manuscript.

Q. Another main limitation that should be added is the cross- sectional nature of the study.

A.We have included it in the Limitation section.

Reviewer #2: The authors presents a single institution study of cerebral aneurysms and report that a combination of ASA and a statin is associated with a lower incidence of aneurysm rupture. Given the general interest in ASA and statins for preventative care of cerebral aneurysms, this manuscript is worthy of publication if the following comments are addressed.

1) A major limitation to this study is that the patient population is limited to patients who underwent treatment of their aneurysms. This data can therefore not be generalized to all cerebral aneurysm patients. Please discuss this in the "limitations and strengths" section.

A.Certainly, all the patients included in the study were treated endovascularly, so maybe some patients with IA who are not candidates for embolization, are not good represented in this study. We have included this issue in the revised manuscript.

2) Please expand your final Conclusion to provide a brief summary of your data (ie, that the combination of ASA and a statin was more frequently seen in unruptured aneurysms).

A.Thank you. We have modified the Conclusions section and we have included this part of our results.

3) Multiple aneurysms has been associated with a higher risk of aneurysm rupture, and yet you saw the opposite in your data. Do you have any thoughts on this?

A.This is an interesting topic that surely could lead to future papers. In our study population patients with multiple aneurysms were less frequent ASA users at the moment of the diagnosis (7.4% vs 11.1%, p=0.13) and with less AComA and PComA aneurysm location (30.5% vs 43.5%, p=0.005), so we consider that these two variables could influence in the results. We have included this observation in the Discussion section. Thanks.

4) Including Figure 1 places an emphasis on mortality data, although you found no statistically significant differences in mortality based on ASA and statin use. I would suggest either removing this figure and reporting this data in a table or text or adding error bars to the graph to make it more clear that there are no statistical differences.

A.Thanks for this recommendation. Following your instructions, we have removed this Figure and we have performed a new one in which we have included the rupture aneurysm rate differences according to the type of treatment at baseline. We find this Figure more illustrative and understandable than the previous one. Now is the new Figure 1 in the manuscript.

Reviewer #3: The authors present a well-written manuscript on the effects of statins and ASA treatment on the rupture of intracranial aneurysms. This is a retrospective review that looks at risk factors and treatment with either statin, ASA or a combination in two groups of aneurysms- ruptured and unruptured. Based on rupture status alone, the authors observe a protective effect of combination treatment. This is a modestly sized study that is retrospective in nature. Additionally there is no follow-up period for patients. I think looking at the data in terms of predictors (ie treatment with statin and/or ASA) does provide some valuable information, and provides some of the seed data needed to perform an RCT of these two medications for treatment. However, I think we still don't truly know from this study if the medications are protective because there is no way of know how long any of the patients harbored an aneurysm, and there is no data available to perform survival analysis with a Cox model. Nonetheless, I think this manuscript serves as an excellent review of the potential effects of ASA and statin on the biology of intracranial aneurysms, and the data helps provide more impetus to move towards an RCT. I would ask that the authors include some of my comments in the limitations section, and flesh out the limitations of the study further in the discussion. I think the conclusions are appropriate for the study design and data.

A.We appreciate so much your comments. Actually, we performed a follow-up of all patients at 6 and 12 months with at least 1 follow-up angiography in all survivors.

We completely agree, RCT are mandatory in this stage to better evaluate the role of these treatments in aneurysm rupture status. We have included your comments in the Limitations section in the revised manuscript and we have also modified the Discussion section.

Thanks for your comments and inputs.

Our team is grateful about reviewers and editor comments, we think that the quality of the manuscript has improved and this new version is more understandable. Thanks so much.

Decision Letter 1

Massimiliano Toscano

3 Feb 2021

EFFECT OF COMBINED ACETYLSALICYLIC ACID AND STATINS TREATMENT ON INTRACRANIAL ANEURYSM RUPTURE

PONE-D-20-30637R1

Dear Dr. Silva,

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Acceptance letter

Massimiliano Toscano

8 Feb 2021

PONE-D-20-30637R1

Effect Of Combined Acetylsalicylic Acid And Statins Treatment On Intracranial Aneurysm Rupture.

Dear Dr. Silva:

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on behalf of

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