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. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0247296. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247296

Social factors associated with reversing frailty progression in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

Katsuhiko Takatori 1,2,*,#, Daisuke Matsumoto 1,2,#
Editor: Simone Reppermund3
PMCID: PMC7928521  PMID: 33657160

Abstract

Frailty is considered to be a complex concept based mainly on physical vulnerability, but also vulnerabilities in mental/psychological and social aspects. Frailty can be reversible with appropriate intervention; however, factors that are important in recovering from frailty have not been clarified. The aim of the present study was to identify factors that help an individual reverse frailty progression and characteristics of individuals that have recovered from frailty. Community-dwelling people aged ≥75 years who responded to the Kihon Checklist (KCL) were enrolled in the study. The KCL consists of 25 yes/no questions in 7 areas: daily-life related activities, motor functions, nutritional status, oral functions, homebound, cognitive functions, and depressed mood. The number of social activities, degree of trust in the community, degree of interaction with neighbors, and subjective age were also evaluated. Frailty was assessed based on the number of checked items: 0–3 for robust, 4–7 for pre-frailty, and ≥8 for frailty. A total of 5050 participants were included for statistical analysis. At the time of the baseline survey in 2016, 18.7% (n = 942) of respondents had frailty, and the follow-up survey showed that the recovery rate from frailty within 2 years (median 24 months) was 31.8% (n = 300). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that exercise-based social participation (odds ratio [OR] 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2–3.4; P<0.01) and self-rated health (OR 1.2, CI 1.0–1.5; P = 0.02) were related to reversing frailty progression. Principal component analysis indicated that the main factors constituting the first principal component (contribution rate, 18.3%) included items related to social capital, such as interaction with neighbors, trust in the community, and number of social participation activities. Our results demonstrate that exercise-based social participation and high self-rated health have associations with reversing frailty progression. Individuals that recovered from frailty are characterized by high individual-level social capital components (i.e., trust in community, interaction with neighbors, and social participation).

Introduction

The term frailty has long been used to describe a general condition in which elderly people are more vulnerable to being unable to cope with everyday activities and acute stressors [1, 2]; however, the concept was clarified in Japan after the 2014 Japanese Geriatric Society statement [3]. The concept of frailty in this statement refers to "a state in which vulnerability to stress is increased" and "a state in which the subject is likely to fall into outcomes such as impaired life function, need for nursing care, and death".

Japan is a super-aging society, and it has been estimated that the proportion of late-stage elderly people (aged ≥75 years) who are highly dependent on medical care and at risk of requiring long-term care is likely to increase [4]. Therefore, extending the healthy life expectancy of late-stage elderly people is an urgent issue. Makizako et al. [5] prospectively investigated the relationship between physical frailty and the need for nursing care over a 2-year period. They reported that, even if adjustments were made for the effects of age and gender, the risk of needing nursing care, compared with healthy elderly people, was 2.5 times higher for those with pre-frailty and 4.7 times higher for those with frailty. An analysis of the prevalence of physical frailty based on a combined analysis of 5 regional cohort studies reported that 7.4% of subjects were frail and 48.1% were pre-frail [6]. The incidence of frailty by age was 10.0% for those aged 75–79 years, 20.4% for those aged 80–84 years, and 35.1% for those aged 85 years and over. Naturally, the late-stage elderly population is at a higher risk of developing frailty than those ≤74 years old [6].

Frailty is considered to be a complex concept based mainly on physical vulnerability, but also vulnerabilities in mental/psychological and social aspects [7]. In particular, approaches to social frailty, as well as physical frailty, have attracted attention in recent years, and community activities and participation in preventive intervention have been emphasized [8, 9]. Although there is no standardized method for frailty identification, the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) criteria and the Frailty Index are typical evaluation methods [10, 11]. The CHS criteria represent a diagnostic method based on the phenotype model of Fried et al. [10], and the Frailty Index is a diagnostic method based on the Accumulation of Deficits Models of Mitnitski et al. [11].

In Japan, the Kihon Checklist (KCL) of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) is used for frailty assessment [12]. The KCL is a postal self-administered questionnaire consisting of 25 "yes" or "no" questions in 7 areas, including daily-life related activities, motor functions, nutritional status, oral functions, homebound status, cognitive functions, and depressed mood. The KCL is also included in the frailty management guidelines for the Asia-Pacific region, and its validity with respect to the CHS frailty criteria has been confirmed [13]. Assessment based on the total KCL score has been useful for screening frailty status in older adults and for predicting support/care-need certification in the long-term care insurance system [14, 15].

Interventions for frailty are classified into physical exercise programs, dietary supplements, and visits to medical professionals, but most of the effects manifest as incremental improvements in parameters such as walking speed, grip strength, and physical activity. Few studies have studied recovery from frailty as a primary outcome [1619]. Cognitive training and educational interventions for specific groups are the only measures that have been shown to have moderate efficacy [19]. Furthermore, many of these studies focused only on physical frailty, and few studies carried out evaluations of social frailty [1619]. In addition, while it has been clarified that factors such as age, smoking status, and disease status (no history of diabetes, stroke or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) are related to recovery from frailty, the influence of social factors has not been clarified [20]. Although a previous study conducted in Japan reported that walking for 30 minutes or more per day, meeting friends at least once a month, and going out every day are effective in recovering from frailty, it is not clear whether or not these factors improve baseline conditions [21].

We hypothesize that not only improvement of physical function, but also individual-level social factors such as social networking with neighbors and trust in the community play an important role in improving frailty status. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to clarify physical, psychological, and social factors that contribute to reverse frailty progression.

Methods

Study population

The study population consisted of community-dwelling elderly people ≥75 years old (late-stage elderly) in Ikoma City, Nara Prefecture, Japan. As a baseline survey, a postal survey was conducted by the community-based integrated care division of Ikoma city using the KCL for 12,698 late-stage elderly people in April to May 2016 who were not certified as requiring long-term care. The follow-up survey included 6,517 elderly cohorts who answered the KCL (response rate 75%) in April to May 2018 (median, 24 months). By the time of the follow-up survey, 537 people were newly certified as requiring long-term care insurance service. From the perspective of long-term care prevention, excluding those who needed new long-term care services and 930 participants who did not respond to the KCL or were missing (moving or death), 5050 people were included in the analysis. A flow chart of the participant selection process is shown in Fig 1.

Fig 1. Flow chart of participant selection.

Fig 1

The study protocol was approved by the ethics committee of Kio University (approval number: H28–57). The study was also conducted in accordance with the provisions of the Declaration of Helsinki and the Ethical Guidelines for Epidemiological Studies issued by MHLW, Japan. As per the ethical guidelines, informed consent is not required if it is necessary for public health and uses anonymized data. Personal information was removed from all data by a unique anonymization process performed by the community integrated care section of Ikoma city, which kept researchers blinded to all participant personal data.

Data collection

Data were extracted from the KCL and the long-term care database managed by the community integrated care section of the city of Ikoma.

Assessment of functional decline in daily living and frailty assessment

For the assessment of functional decline in daily living, we used the KCL, which included not only physical activities but also psychological, mental, and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL). The KCL is composed of 25 questions in 7 areas and answers can indicate functional decline (S1 Fig). Assessment of functional decline in each area is determined by the following: ≥3 of 5 motor function items (question number 6 to 10), both nutritional status items (question number 11 and 12), ≥2 of 3 oral function items (question number 13–15), homebound status (question number 16), ≥1 of 3 cognitive function items (question number 18–20), and ≥2 of 5 depressive mood items (question number 21–25). In this study, IADL decline was defined as any of the 5 social activity items that corresponded to any of 3 IADL items (question number 1 to 3). Question number 4 and 17 are used for the overall score of the frailty identification, but these are not used for the judgment of "homebound status" and "decrease in IADL" in the KCL assessment procedure. The frailty assessment criteria are based on the number of checked items in the 25 questions consisting of 7 areas, according to previous research [22]: 0–3 for robust, 4–7 for pre-frailty, and ≥8 for frailty.

Regarding recovery from frailty, the change in the frailty assessment between the baseline survey and the follow-up survey 2 years later was compared, and the number of people who improved from frailty to robust or pre-frailty was determined (not including change from pre-frailty to robust).

Assessment of other variables

In addition to KCL, other assessments included items related to individual-level social capital strength, such as social participation activities, the degree of trust in the community, and the degree of interaction with neighbors.

Community activities include participation in senior citizen clubs, residents’ associations, and elderly salons. Exercise-based activities refer to regular participation in gymnastics classes, ground golf (Japanese style golf suitable for seniors), Japanese croquet, and other activities engaged in by local residents. Hobby activities include non-exercise activities such as handicrafts, gardening, and board games, while volunteer/NPO activities include community cleaning activities and counselling of neighboring residents. On the questionnaire, the presence or absence of the above-mentioned social participation activities and the total number of activity categories were recorded as social participation scores.

The level of trust in the community was evaluated on a scale of 5 from "very important" to "not important" in response to the question "How much do you think trust in your neighborhood is important to everyday life?". The degree of interaction with neighbors was rated on a 4-point scale from "There are people who talk with each other and cooperate in terms of life" to "no interaction with neighbors". Self-rated health was assessed on a 5-point scale according to a previous study [23]. Subjective age was evaluated in the form of "yes" or "no" in response to the question "Do you feel younger than your actual age?” With regard to subjective age, previous studies have shown that being subjectively younger than one’s chronological age (actual age) has a positive effect on various health-related outcomes such as physical function, cognitive functions, depressive symptoms, and life satisfaction of the elderly [2427]. Therefore, in this study, it was included in the evaluation item as a factor that has the potential to prevent frailty progression.

Covariates

Sociodemographic characteristics (age, sex, living alone) and the number of chronic diseases (hypertension, sequelae of stroke, heart disease, diabetes, depression, respiratory disease, arthropathy with pain, and dental disease) were assessed as covariates. The number of chronic diseases in each participant was defined as the disease burden.

Statistical analysis

First, for group comparison based on frailty assessment at the baseline survey, χ2-test with residual analysis was used for categorical variables, and one-way analysis of variance (multiple comparison test: LSD test) was used for continuous variables. Next, the distribution of frailty over 2 years was cross-tabulated, and changes in states were analyzed by χ2-test and adjusted residual test. We considered having significantly more participants than expected when the adjusted residual values were higher than 1.96, while having significantly fewer participants than expected when the adjusted residual values were lower than -1.96. Third, in order to extract factors that reverse frailty progression at 2 years after the baseline survey, multiple logistic regression analysis was performed with the presence or absence of recovery from frailty as a dependent variable. Recovery from frailty in this study was defined as a change of state from frailty to pre-frailty or robust. For the independent variables, self-rated health, subjective age (young or old), the presence or absence of each social participation activities (community-based activity, exercise-based activity, hobby activity, volunteer or NPO activity), strength of interaction with neighbors, and strength of trust in neighbors were imputed using the forced entry method. In addition, variables were adjusted by sex, age, living alone or not, and disease burden. Finally, the participants who recovered from frailty in the follow-up survey were extracted as 1 dataset. After that, principal component analysis to clarify the characteristics of the participants who recovered from frailty was performed by inputting all variables except those with binary results (i.e., subjective age, history of fall, and fear of falling). For social participation activities, the total number of participating events was used as a score. Principal components were obtained up to components having Eigenvalues ≥1.0. Analyses were carried out using SPSS software (version 26.0; SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA).

Results

A total of 5050 participants were included for statistical analysis. Table 1 summarizes the demographic characteristics of all participants as well as participant characteristics sub-grouped by frailty states. At baseline, the mean ± SD age of all participants was 79.4 ± 3.8 years (range, 75–99 years), and 50.3% were female. The mean disease burden was 1.4 ± 0.9 (range, 0–6). According to the frailty assessment, 2306 (45.7%) were robust, 1802 (35.7%) had pre-frailty, and 942 (18.7%) had frailty. Comparing the subgroups, the frailty group was older, had a higher proportion of females, and had a higher disease burden than the other groups (each P<0.001). In addition, except for the ratio of living alone, the frailty group had significantly lower life function, motor function, mental/psychological status, and social participation activity than the other groups (each P<0.001).

Table 1. Participant characteristics and frailty classification at baseline.

Items All Robust Pre-frailty Frailty P Between subgroup difference
(n = 5050) (n = 2306) (n = 1802) (n = 942)
Age, y (SD) 79.4 (3.8) 78.6 (3.3) 79.7 (3.2) 80.8 (4.4) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Sex: female, n (%) 2538 (50.3) 1002 (43.5) 978 (54.3) 558(59.2) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Disease burden (SD) 1.4 (0.9) 1.2 (0.9) 1.4 (0.9) 1.7 (1.0) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Living alone, n (%) 765 (19.1) 330 (14.3) 269 (14.9) 166 (17.6) 0.053 n.s
IADL decline, n (%) 210 (4.2) 2 (0.1) 7 (0.4) 201 (21.3) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Motor dysfunction, n (%) 812 (16.1) 17 (0.7) 292 (16.2) 503 (53.4) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Malnutrition, n (%) 103 (2.0) 15 (0.7) 32 (1.8) 56 (5.9) <0.012 Frail>Robust
Oral dysfunction, n (%) 885 (17.5) 50 (2.2) 359 (19.9) 476(50.5) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Homebound, n (%) 274 (5.4) 25 (1.1) 74 (4.1) 175 (18.6) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Cognitive decline, n (%) 1515 (30.0) 300 (13.0) 633 (35.1) 582 (61.8) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Depressive mood, n (%) 1357 (26.9) 44 (1.9) 389 (21.6) 706 (74.9) <0.001 Frail>Robust
History of fall, n (%) 974 (19.3%) 140 (6.1) 360 (20.0) 351 (37.4) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Fear of falling, n (%) 2463 (48.8) 391 (17.3) 948 (52.6) 752 (80.8) <0.001 Frail>Pre-frail>Robust
Self-rated health (SD) 3.5 (1.7) 3.9(1.0) 3.3(0.9) 2.7 (0.9) <0.001 Robust>Pre-frail>Frail
Subjective age (young), n (%) 4001 (87.0) 2041 (94.8) 1424 (87.2) 536(65.8) <0.001 Robust>Pre-frail>Frail
Social participation score (SD) 0.9 (1.0) 1.0 (1.1) 0.8 (0.9) 0.5 (0.7) <0.001 Robust>Pre-frail>Frail
Interaction with neighbors (SD) 3.0 (1.8) 2.0 (0.7) 1.8 (0.7) 1.6 (0.8) <0.001 Robust>Pre-frail>Frail
Trust in neighbors (SD) 4.0 (1.1) 4.1 (1.0) 4.0 (1.2) 3.8 (1.2) <0.001 Robust>Pre-frail>Frail

†Based on Kihon Checklist sub-score of each area. ‡Frailty identification: Out of KCL 25 items, 0–3 for robust, 4–7 for pre-frailty, and >8 for frailty. SD, standard deviation. Categorical variables were analyzed by χ2-test (with residual test), and continuous variables were analyzed by one-way ANOVA (with post-hoc LSD test).

Fig 2 shows the changes in frailty states after 2 years. The recovery rate from frailty at 2 years was 31.8% (n = 300), which accounted for 5.9% of all participants. As indicated by χ2-test with residual analysis, the change in frailty state was mostly maintained regardless of the frailty classification at baseline, and the change to deterioration or improvement was small (Table 2). Results of multiple logistic regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, living alone, and disease burden showed that exercise-based social participation (odds ratio [OR] 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2–3.4; P<0.01) and good self-rated health (OR 1.2, CI 1.0–1.5; P = 0.02) were related to reversing frailty progression (Table 3). In an additional analysis using the same adjustment variables, when the independent variable was input with or without both factors (good self-rated health and exercise-based social participation), those who had both factors were more likely, than those who did not, to recover from frailty (OR 1.9, 95%CI 1.5–2.6; P<0.01).

Fig 2. Changes in frailty states after 2 years.

Fig 2

Table 2. Cross tabulation of frailty states after 2 years.

Follow-up frailty assessment Total
Robust Pre-frailty Frailty
Baseline frailty assessment Robust Observed 1816 382 108 2306
Adjusted residual 38.8 -18.2 -27.0
Pre-frailty Observed 602 851 349 1802
Adjusted residual -16.5 20.9 -3.1
Frailty Observed 55 245 642 942
Adjusted residual -29.4 -2.4 38.3
Total 2473 1478 1099 5050
Chi-square test
Value df P
Pearson chi-square 2439.091a 4 0.000
Likelihood ratio 2405.336 4 0.000
Linear-by-linear association 2029.236 1 0.000
Number of valid cases 5050

df, degrees of freedom

Table 3. Factors associated with reversing frailty progression (n = 942).

Items P OR 95%CI
Self-rated health 0.02 1.24 1.04–1.49
Subjective age (young) 0.23 1.25 0.87–1.79
Social participation activity
 • Community-based activity 0.55 1.15 0.73–1.79
 • Exercise-based activity 0.00 2.02 1.19–3.42
 • Hobby activities (cultural) 0.83 0.95 0.61–1.48
 • Volunteer/NPO activity 0.14 1.77 0.81–3.87
Interaction with neighbors 0.24 1.14 0.92–1.42
  Trust in neighbors 0.89 1.01 0.88–1.17

Adjusted for sex, age, living alone or not, disease burden. † Independent variables were input from the results of baseline data. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

Table 4 shows demographic characteristics, results of the KCL assessment, and other items of those who recovered from frailty. Despite some participants showing reversal of frailty progression, the proportion of those with cognitive decline and fear of falling was higher when compared with the baseline data.

Table 4. Participants who recovered from frailty (n = 300).

Items Mean (SD) or number (%)
Age, y 79.9 (4.0)
Sex: female, n (%) 163 (54.3)
Disease burden (SD) 1.6 (1.0)
IADL decline, n (%) 57 (19)
Motor dysfunction, n (%) 58 (19.8)
Malnutrition, n (%) 7 (2.3)
Oral dysfunction 71 (23.7)
Homebound, n (%) 23 (7.7)
Cognitive decline, n (%) 131 (43.7)
Depressive mood, n (%) 85 (28.3)
History of fall, n (%) 49 (16.3)
Fear of falling, n (%) 193 (64.3)
Self-rated health (SD) 3.2 (0.9)
Subjective age (young), n (%) 264 (88.0)
Social participation score (SD) 0.7 (0.9)
Interaction with neighbors (SD) 1.7 (0.7)
Trust in neighbors (SD) 3.9 (0.9)

Results in each area of the Kihon checklist were based on the follow-up survey data. SD, standard deviation.

Principal component analysis, performed to clarify the factor structure of participants who recovered from frailty, revealed the 4 principal components, and the cumulative contribution rate was 54.1% (Table 5). The KCL sub-score was inverted and input for the analysis so that the smaller the functional decline, the higher the score. The main variables that constitute the first principal component of the commonalities of the observed information were interaction with neighbors, trust in neighbors, social participation score, and IADL (contribution rate 18.3%). From these variables, the construct of the first principal component was interpreted as "the strength of individual-level social capital for living active community life."

Table 5. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) results to elucidate characteristics of participants who recovered from frailty.

PCA factor
Variable 1 2 3 4
Interaction with neighbors 0.689 0.322 -0.192 0.066
Trust in neighbors 0.669 0.186 0.168 0.253
Social participation activity 0.666 -0.071 -0.082 0.333
IADL 0.503 -0.41 -0.056 -0.421
Depressive mood 0.002 0.689 -0.305 0.086
Nutritional state 0.003 0.103 0.631 0.272
Homebound 0.275 -0.435 0.445 0.073
Oral function -0.263 0.289 0.427 0.325
Motor function -0.057 -0.37 -0.357 0.578
Cognitive function 0.258 0.308 0.276 -0.496
% variance explained 18.35 13.02 11.5 11.29

Values are calculated from the results of follow-up surveys.

Each variable was calculated by inverting the value so that the smaller the functional decline, the higher the score.

Discussion

Although the concept of frailty is based on reversibility, many previous studies have focused on risk factors and protective factors for frailty [28]. Many studies have identified risk factors for frailty, including age, sex (female), cognitive ability (executive function, etc.), and socioeconomic factors (financial stress, etc.) [28]. Conversely, the rate of recovery from frailty has not been investigated sufficiently, and the manifestation of frailty has been limited to physical frailty [2931]. The reversibility of frailty applies not only to physical frailty but also to mental and psychological frailty including mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and social frailty. Most factors that contribute to physical frailty can be improved by appropriate intervention, and social frailty is also comprised of factors that can be changed through behavioral change, except for factors such as living alone.

Regarding the importance of focusing on social frailty, Tanaka et al. [32] compared people with and without social frailty in a 5-year cohort study that excluded those who were physically frail at baseline, homebound, living alone, or lacking family support. The incidence of and mortality rate from disability was shown to be about 3 times higher in those with versus without social frailty in a baseline survey. In addition, Tsutsumimoto et al. [33] reported that the proportion of people with social frailty increased among those aged 75 years and over, and social frailty was independently associated with decreased physical function (grip strength, walking speed) and cognitive function (memory, calculation, attention). Accordingly, several measurement methods have been developed for the evaluation method of social frailty, and, in addition to the above-mentioned factors, the relationship with QOL and IADL independence has been reported [34, 35]. Therefore, the assessment of frailty should be a comprehensive assessment that includes mental and psychological aspects, social aspects, and cognitive function, and should be applied especially to late-stage elderly people with a high risk of requiring long-term care. Many previous studies have developed various assessment tools for frailty, but the KCL is a comprehensive assessment that includes the above mentioned aspects. Frailty judgment by KCL has also shown predictive validity for the future need of nursing care [14]. In Japan, all municipalities have announced that they will begin implementing frailty medical checkups for people ≥75 years old beginning in 2020 [36].

The results of this study showed that the recovery rate from frailty was 31.8%. Our definition of reversing frailty progression included the change from frailty to pre-frailty and, when the focus was on the 2-stage changes from frailty to robust, which is considered to be the true recovery rate, the rate was only 5.8%. Gill and colleagues surveyed longitudinally the transition from frailty in 754 community-dwelling people aged ≥70 years every 18 months for 4.5 years and reported that the probability of transition from frailty to robust was 0%-0.9% [31]. Although the participants’ age and observation periods were different, the transition rates in our study were superior to their results. On the other hand, the results of a survey of 420 women aged 70–79 years from the Women’s Health and Aging Studies (WHAS) II showed that the rate of transition from frailty to non-frailty was noticeably higher (17%) during the first 18 months compared with the rate in a previous study [29]. However, their study is difficult to compare with our findings because their study participants consisted of females only, the participants had a different age range, the study focused only on physical frailty, and the sample size was smaller than that in our study. As described above, the recovery rate from frailty varies among studies, but the common point between previous research and our findings is that a 2-stage improvement from frailty to robust is very rare.

Focusing on the improvement from pre-frailty to robust, the improvement rate in this study was 33.4%, which was more than 6 times the rate of transition from frailty to robust. Gill and colleagues reported a 16.9%-35.0% improvement from pre-frailty to robust over an 18-month observation period [30]. In their report, the improvement rate fluctuated depending on the observation period, but in terms reversibility, their data suggest the importance of early detection of pre-frailty and intervention, as did the results of our study.

In many cases, frailty research focuses on risk factors, as physical frailty often develops in a short period of time without going through a pre-frailty stage [29, 30]. For this reason, little attention has been paid to factors that assist in reversing frailty progression. In a cross-sectional study conducted in Japan, walking more than 30 minutes a day, meeting friends more than once a month, and going out every day were cited as factors for reversing frailty progression [21]. The results of our study indicate that high self-rated health and participation in exercise-based social activity (i.e., gymnastics classes, Japanese croquet, etc.) are independent factors that influence reversing frailty progression. These results suggest that the interaction between the practice of habitual exercise and the improvement of subjective health is important for reversing frailty progression. In general, since late-stage elderly people have some chronic disease, the magnitude of the disease burden was included in the logistic model, but no independent effect was observed on recovery from frailty. The reason for this is thought to be that those with diseases that affect their daily lives shifted to long-term care insurance services during the follow-up period.

Principal component analysis using a data subset from those who recovered from frailty showed that interaction with neighbors, trust in neighbors, social participation activities, and IADL scores were the main factors that constituted the first principal component. Given the commonality of each factor, we named the construct of the first principal component "the strength of individual-level social capital for living active community life." Based on the results of the logistic regression analysis and the principal component analysis, elderly people who reversed frailty progression have strong relations with the neighborhood, which may have improved their physical functions and psychological aspects. In recent years, there has been growing interest in social frailty for frailty classification, and it has been reported that social frailty assessment based on items such as living alone and not talking to someone every day predicts the need for nursing care [8, 33]. The results of our study indicate that the premise of physical and psychological improvement in older adults is the need to connect with their neighborhoods in everyday life.

In Japan, by 2025, when baby boomers will be ≥75 years old, a structure called the “Community-based Integrated Care System” will be established that comprehensively ensures the provision of health care, nursing care, prevention, housing, and livelihood support [37]. In preventing the need for long-term care, the promotion of "self-help and mutual help" among the elderly is emphasized. Therefore, it is important to increase the number of small-scale exercise classes sponsored by residents within walking distance of local elderly people in each small district, and to create a system in which healthy early-stage elderly people support late-stage elderly people. Furthermore, it is indispensable to involve professionals in various fields such as exercise, nutrition, and long-term care to regularly check changes in physical condition and provide appropriate educational guidance.

The present study has some limitations. First, since this was an observational study, it is not clear which factors affected behavioral changes. Second, the participants who returned the KCL were a group with good health awareness and good cognitive function. Finally, in the principal component analysis, the cumulative contribution ratio was small, and there are many factors that cannot be explained by the assessment items in this study.

In the future, we will continue the follow-up survey and analyze the rate of recovery from frailty based on social capital intensity among small regions, and the relationship with the presence and type of social support (instrumental support, emotional support).

Conclusions

Participation in exercise-based social activities is independently associated with reversing frailty progression, and people who recovered from frailty are characterized by high social capital components, such as trust in the community and interaction with their neighbors. Thus, to increase the reversibility from frailty, residents may be advised to engage in initiatives in their district to increase their opportunities to participate in exercise-based social activity for the elderly and to enhance mutual help by interacting with each other.

Supporting information

S1 Fig. English version of the Kihon checklist.

(TIF)

Acknowledgments

We thank the community integrated care section of Ikoma city for their cooperation with participant recruitment and data provision.

Data Availability

Data underlying the study can be found here: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12793817.v1.

Funding Statement

The authors received no specific funding for this work.

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Decision Letter 0

Simone Reppermund

13 Oct 2020

PONE-D-20-26897

Factors that assist escape from frailty in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Takatori,

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Reviewer #1: Partly

Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Factors that assist escape from frailty in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people:

An observational study

Takatori et al. describe an observational cohort study over a 2-year period examining healthy lifestyle habits and participant characteristics that are associated with reversing frailty progression in Ikoma city, Japan. The authors should be commended for coordinating data collection on a large number of participants on a topic area that is becoming increasingly important – finding methods of preventing or reversing frailty progression. Unfortunately, the authors do not present a sound understanding of frailty in their introduction nor a sound literature review on frailty intervention to date, no hypotheses were presented and the methodology description in its current state would make repeating this study very difficult. The manuscript writing could also use revaluation as it was fraught with word usage that I would not recommend throughout, such as “escape from frailty” and "senile decay". Unclear if the STROBE checklist was used in the creation of this manuscript.

Introduction

- the presented definition of frailty is not one that is commonly used in the field and seminal pieces of work on frailty (such as those by Fried and Rockwood) are not used in the definition discussion. What is described is far from what would be considered the current characterization of frailty and the line of reasoning presented to explain their description is hard to follow.

- "escape from frailty" is not terminology I would use. Instead, you are discussing reversing frailty progression. This becomes much easier to comprehend and more intuitively also describes a transition from frailty to pre-frailty.

- subjective age was presented in the introduction but not described until much later. A better descriptor of what the authors were actually discussing is a 'younger subjective age' or similar that would better represent what is being discussed.

- As a less used measure of frailty, providing more data on KCL correlation to more widely accepted methods would be recommended.

- “senile decay”??? (line 89) – better description of why reversing or slowing frailty progression is important

- There have been a number of intervention studies that could have been discussed in the background literature including best recommendations thus far. Only one was mentioned – this was not an extensive literature review by any means.

- Clearer description needed of “factors that assist” in reversing frailty and distinguishing those from “characteristics" of those who see frailty reversibility.

- No hypothesis is presented.

Methods

- How was the study population found?

- Flow chart of participant progression was unclear. “Certified”? – how was ‘certification’ determined. Flow chart talks about insurance? Why would participants be dropped if they now required LTCI through the follow up period? I thought this was the authors' definition of frailty, albeit one that I disagree with.

- Frailty 'escapers' is not well described. Instead what is being described is reversing frailty progression.

- Examining those who did not have their frailty progress would also have been interesting.

Results

- Describe sex but use term “women” – women refers to gender, female refers to sex

- Is ‘escape from frailty’ just those who went from frail to robust or also those who went from pre-frail to robust? This seems to only be described in the discussion.

- I would recommend presenting change in frailty status differently graphically and statistically. With a checklist with many variables like the KCL, this data could have been presented in a continuous fashion as opposed to categorical changes which result in a loss of information.

Discussion

- Definition of 'escape from frailty' only provided in the discussion?

- Authors start on good discussion of relative reversibility of frail vs pre-frail states but don’t follow through on description of why this might be or references to seminal works.

- Authors should consider if ‘social frailty’ is really a distinct construct from frailty if these factors are included in their frailty assessment. Is this not just a subdomain of frailty then? Are external factors like these social ones discussed actually measures of frailty, or are they associated factors that could precipitate frailty development?

- What do we do with this information? Authors do not provide recommendations for how to incorporate findings into any kind of practice.

- Conclusions have to be more strongly discussed as being factors associated with reversing frailty as this assessment is not an intervention.

Reviewer #2: Major comments:

The authors collect disease burden in the present study, which appear to not be a part of their frailty measure. How might an individual’s disease burden affect their “escape” from frailty?

Here the authors only assess “escape from frailty” However it would be useful to determine if there is worsening frailty among the group, and which factors might lead to that.

It would be interesting to determine the cumulative effect of factors examined here on escape from and transition to frailty (and those who stay stable). For example, do the number of factors an individual has have a greater odds of transitioning to a better state?

Minor comments:

Please include in the abstract the follow up time period (median preferable)

Please include in the abstract more detail about the Kihon checklist (i.e., how many items, range scores, what indicates frailty)

Title is misleading regarding “factors” that assist escape from frailty. It appears that the authors focus on specific factors which are predominantly social factors – this needs to be made clear

I think it would be useful to re review the manuscript for English language grammar/spelling/comprehension.

Please provide additional information on how participants were selected for receiving a survey. Was this a randomized process? Convenience sampling?

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes: Dustin Scott Kehler

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Decision Letter 1

Simone Reppermund

7 Jan 2021

PONE-D-20-26897R1

Social factors that reverse frailty progression in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Takatori,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Feb 21 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Simone Reppermund, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: Takatori et al. describe an observational cohort study over a 2-year period examining healthy lifestyle habits and participant characteristics that are associated with reversing frailty progression in Ikoma city, Japan. Thank you to the authors for addressing the suggested revisions in their manuscript. The authors addressed the suggested revisions, but the manuscript still requires work to improve clarity. The manuscript also requires thorough review of the English throughout for grammar and clarity.

-The title is much more descriptive of the article now but the way it is currently written implies a causative finding despite the identification of it being an observational study. Please edit the title so that it implies associations as the findings.

-It would be beneficial to review the English throughout the publication for grammar and clarity.

Abstract

-Line 29: Are those in nursing care not frail? The authors’ current first sentence would imply this, but this is not true. Based on the description from the Japanese Geriatric Society, frailty status can be associated with adverse outcomes like resorting to nursing care, but the description of frailty as being a state of health vulnerability as described late in the introduction is much more appropriate for use in the opening of the abstract than what is currently written.

-Line 42: It would be easier for the reader to interpret participant prevalence here by listing the recovery rate as a percentage of those who actually had frailty. Those who did not have frailty at baseline could not possible have reversed their frailty status.

-Line 49: Results presented should not be discussed as causative finding. This was an observational study. These should be identified as associations.

Introduction

-Again, the statement from the Japanese Geriatric Society is not being interpreted correctly in lines 60 and 61. They say it is vulnerability that leads to adverse outcomes such as need for nursing care. It would be incorrect to then imply that those receiving nursing care are not frail. That is just one of the adverse outcomes associated with frailty due to the health vulnerability it is characterized by.

-Line 64: Please provide a citation to support this change in demographic trend.

-Line 71: The end of this sentence should say “…were pre-frail.”

-Line 76: This is an interesting citation to select. There are a number of more recent consensus statements regarding frailty.

-Line 79: I do not think it is apt to say that one would diagnose frailty. Frailty is not a disease and not a commonly identified outcome in clinical practice, thus it would be more appropriate to say ”…for frailty identification.”

-Line 82-83: Accumulation of Deficits Models

-Line 85: “Frailty assessment” instead of “judgement”

-Lines 94-97: It is unclear what the authors are trying to state and the English here could use a thorough review.

-Line 93-94: The English in these two sentences needs to be reviewed. It is difficult to understand what this sentence is trying to present. Additionally, no citations are provided to support the statement made.

-Line 98-99: Citation required for this statement.

-Line 100-101: Please provide citations associated with the statements made here.

-Line 101-102: What reports have identified these factors? What factors were identified? Please provide citations here as well.

-Line 108: “…in improving frailty status”

-Lines 108-111: This sentence needs to be rewritten for clarity.

Methods

-Line 142; …frailty assessment

Results

-Fig 2: The English use here could use some review. “stayed robust”, “stayed pre-frail”, “remained frail”

Discussion

-Line 284: No citations provided to support this statement.

-Line 287: No citations provided to support this statement.

-Line 295: “No-frailty people”?

-Line 312-317: A lot of this text was already included in the results section. Please make this more succinct and focused on discussion aspects.

-Line 337-338: Unclear what this sentence is stating.

-Line 342: Please provide citations to support this statement.

Conclusions

-Again, these findings are stated quite strongly for an observational study. It should be clear that these findings are associations.

Reviewer #2: The authors have adequately addressed the reviewer comments. I appreciate the additional analyses that were performed.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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Attachment

Submitted filename: Factors that assist escape from frailty (Takatori et al) - Nov 2020.docx

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0247296. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247296.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


2 Feb 2021

Authors' Response to Reviewers

For Reviewer #1

Thank you for your valuable comments and your appreciation of the content of our manuscript. We have replied to your comments point-by-point below.

This time, we asked a proofreader to review the English expression and grammar in general, and revised it to improve the clarity of the content.

Title

- The title is much more descriptive of the article now but the way it is currently written implies a causative finding despite the identification of it being an observational study. Please edit the title so that it implies associations as the findings.

� We changed the wording that suggests a causal relationship and revised the title.

Abstract

- Line 29: Are those in nursing care not frail?

- The authors’ current first sentence would imply this, but this is not true. Based on the description from the Japanese Geriatric Society, frailty status can be associated with adverse outcomes like resorting to nursing care, but the description of frailty as being a state of health vulnerability as described late in the introduction is much more appropriate for use in the opening of the abstract than what is currently written.

� We have modified the wording about the definition of frailty at the beginning.

- Line 42: It would be easier for the reader to interpret participant prevalence here by listing the recovery rate as a percentage of those who actually had frailty.

- Those who did not have frailty at baseline could not possible have reversed their frailty status.

� We have re-calculated the recovery rate of the number of participants that have been classified as frailty at baseline as the denominator.

- Line 49: Results presented should not be discussed as causative finding. This was an observational study. These should be identified as associations.

� We have changed the wording about causality (Line 51).

Introduction

- Again, the statement from the Japanese Geriatric Society is not being interpreted correctly in lines 60 and 61.

- They say it is vulnerability that leads to adverse outcomes such as need for nursing care. It would be incorrect to then imply that those receiving nursing care are not frail.

- That is just one of the adverse outcomes associated with frailty due to the health vulnerability it is characterized by.

� In addition to modifying the abstract, we have removed the misleading part of the definition of frailty.

- Line 64: Please provide a citation to support this change in demographic trend.

� We have added one new citation (Ref No.5).

- Line 71: The end of this sentence should say “…were pre-frail.”

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 72).

- Line 76: This is an interesting citation to select. There are a number of more recent consensus statements regarding frailty.

� We have changed to a newer citation (Ref No.7).

- Line 79: I do not think it is apt to say that one would diagnose frailty. Frailty is not a disease and not a commonly identified outcome in clinical practice, thus it would be more appropriate to say ”…for frailty identification.”

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 80).

- Line 82-83: Accumulation of Deficits Models

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 84).

- Line 85: “Frailty assessment” instead of “judgement”

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 86).

- Lines 94-97: It is unclear what the authors are trying to state and the English here could use a thorough review.

- Line 93-94: The English in these two sentences needs to be reviewed. It is difficult to understand what this sentence is trying to present. Additionally, no citations are provided to support the statement made.

� We decided to delete this part because we thought that this part was not important in describing the background of our research.

- Line 98-99: Citation required for this statement.

- Line 100-101: Please provide citations associated with the statements made here.

� We have added one new citation (Ref No.19).

- Line 101-102: What reports have identified these factors? What factors were identified? Please provide citations here as well.

� We have added a new citation and added factors that have been identified as improving factors from frailty (Ref No.20, Line 100-102).

- Line 108: “…in improving frailty status”

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 110).

- Lines 108-111: This sentence needs to be rewritten for clarity.

� We deleted some sentences and modified the wording (Line 110-112).

Methods

- Line 142; …frailty assessment

� We modified it according to the comment (Line 142).

Results

- Fig 2: The English use here could use some review. “stayed robust”, “stayed pre-frail”, “remained frail”

� We modified it according to the comment (Fig 2).

Discussions

- Line 284: No citations provided to support this statement.

- Line 287: No citations provided to support this statement.

� We have added a new systematic review as a citation and modified the subsequent text to match the citation (Line 273-275).

- Line 295: “No-frailty people”?

� We have corrected the term you pointed out (Line 284).

- Line 312-317: A lot of this text was already included in the results section. Please make this more succinct and focused on discussion aspects.

� We have removed the repetitive expressions and modified them to be more concise (Line 319-322).

- Line 337-338: Unclear what this sentence is stating.

� With the re-calculation of the recovery rate from frailty, we revised the discussion regarding the change from pre-frail to robust (Line 322-325).

- Line 342: Please provide citations to support this statement.

� We decided that this part was not important for the discussion and deleted it.

Conclusions

- Again, these findings are stated quite strongly for an observational study. It should be clear that these findings are associations.

� We have made general corrections to the content of this section (Line 376-380).

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to reviewer R2.docx

Decision Letter 2

Simone Reppermund

5 Feb 2021

Social factors associated with reversing frailty progression in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

PONE-D-20-26897R2

Dear Dr. Takatori,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Simone Reppermund, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Simone Reppermund

9 Feb 2021

PONE-D-20-26897R2

Social factors associated with reversing frailty progression in community-dwelling late-stage elderly people: An observational study

Dear Dr. Takatori:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Simone Reppermund

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. English version of the Kihon checklist.

    (TIF)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Factors that assist escape from frailty (Takatori et al) - Nov 2020.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to reviewer R2.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    Data underlying the study can be found here: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12793817.v1.


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