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. 2021 Feb 23;10:e63537. doi: 10.7554/eLife.63537

Figure 2. SARS-CoV-2 transmission model fit.

(A) Simulated and actual frequency histograms of individual R0 values, (Endo et al., 2020) (B) Simulated and actual cumulative distribution of individual R0 values. (C) Simulated and actual frequency histograms of individual serial intervals, (Du et al., 2020) (D) Simulated and actual cumulative distribution of individual serial intervals. (E) Frequency distribution of simulated generation times.

Figure 2.

Figure 2—figure supplement 1. Mathematical model recapitulation of relationship between SARS-CoV-2 viral load and viral culture.

Figure 2—figure supplement 1.

In a clinical study, probability of positive viral culture was projected against SARS-CoV-2 RNA (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.08.20125310v1). When we divided these PCR values by 25 (light blue line), we identified high similarity between the clinical data and our projected infectiousness dose response curve (red line).