Table 1. Estimation of the number of people infected from Covid-19 by Italian regions. Lower and Upper Bounds are computed through the Bootstrap t-percentile method whereas the mean values is computed as in (6) and (7). The regions belonging to the set ° are in Italics.
Lower bound | Mean | Upper bound | Official cases | Population | Morbidity (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abruzzo | 526 | 600 | 807 | 78 | 1,311,580 | 0.06 |
Basilicata | 48 | 54 | 70 | 8 | 562,869 | 0.01 |
Bolzano | 697 | 730 | 795 | 103 | 531,178 | 0.15 |
Calabria | 182 | 238 | 493 | 32 | 1,947.131 | 0.03 |
Campania | 988 | 1,292 | 2,676 | 174 | 5,801.692 | 0.05 |
Emilia Romagna | 10,980 | 12,299 | 14,897 | 1,758 | 4,459,477 | 0.33 |
Friuli Venezia Giulia | 983 | 1,201 | 2,514 | 148 | 1,215,220 | 0.21 |
Lazio | 1,485 | 1,680 | 2,089 | 172 | 5,879,082 | 0.04 |
Liguria | 1,346 | 1,608 | 1,995 | 243 | 1,550,640 | 0.13 |
Lombardia | 37,744 | 45,020 | 49,723 | 6,896 | 10,060,574 | 0.49 |
Marche | 3,151 | 3,891 | 4,593 | 570 | 1,525,271 | 0.30 |
Molise | 119 | 134 | 167 | 16 | 305,617 | 0.05 |
Piemonte | 3,216 | 3,703 | 4,217 | 554 | 4,356,406 | 0.10 |
Puglia | 490 | 670 | 1292 | 98 | 4,029,053 | 0.03 |
Sardegna | 244 | 278 | 375 | 39 | 1,639,591 | 0.02 |
Sicilia | 776 | 865 | 1,098 | 111 | 4,999,891 | 0.02 |
Toscana | 2,352 | 2,755 | 3,965 | 352 | 3,729,641 | 0.11 |
Trento | 670 | 764 | 1,028 | 102 | 541,098 | 0.19 |
Umbria | 432 | 481 | 611 | 62 | 882,015 | 0.07 |
Valle Aosta | 139 | 183 | 356 | 26 | 125,666 | 0.28 |
Veneto | 8,382 | 9,343 | 12,028 | 1,297 | 4,905,854 | 0.25 |
Totale Italia | 74,950 | 87,789 | 105,789 | 12,839 | 60,359,546 | 0.18 |