Table 3.

Posterior mean, median, standard deviation (SD) and 95% credible interval for the model parameters.

Parameter	Mean	Median	95% credible interval	SD
${\gamma }^{-1}$	1.373	1.369	(1.264, 1.489)	0.056
${\theta }^{-1}$	2.108	2.103	(1.912, 2.306)	0.100
${\delta }_1^{-1}$	4.176	4.175	(3.817, 4.458)	0.169
${\delta }_2^{\ast -1}$	1.324	1.322	(1.240, 1.403)	0.041
${\omega }^{-1}\left(1\right)$	6.698	7.050	(2.984, 9.797)	1.874
${\omega }^{-1}\left(2\right)$	10.963	10.665	(7.180, 16.267)	2.265
${\omega }^{-1}\left(3\right)$	10.194	10.100	(8.320, 12.482)	1.112
${\omega }^{-1}\left(4\right)$	6.213	6.216	(5.355, 7.053)	0.458
${\omega }^{-1}\left(5\right)$	2.968	2.958	(2.704, 3.266)	0.140
${\omega }^{-1}\left(6\right)$	3.642	3.630	(3.264, 4.107)	0.213
${\omega }^{-1}\left(7\right)$	2.923	2.925	(2.695, 3.174)	0.121
${\omega }^{-1}\left(8\right)$	2.657	2.672	(2.322, 2.927)	0.159
${\omega }^{-1}\left(9\right)$	2.995	2.986	(2.773, 3.242)	0.129
${\omega }^{-1}\left(10\right)$	3.331	3.286	(2.974, 3.968)	0.252
${\rho }^{-1}$	3.481	3.481	(3.304, 3.642)	0.090
${\sigma }_{asym}^{-1}$	6.284	6.267	(5.959, 6.555)	0.155
$R_0$	2.900	2.899	(2.885, 2.918)	0.009