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[Preprint]. 2021 Mar 8:2021.03.07.21253072. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2021.03.07.21253072

Persistence of symptoms up to 10 months following acute COVID-19 illness

Roy H Perlis, Jon Green, Mauricio Santillana, David Lazer, Katherine Ognyanova, Matthew Simonson, Matthew A Baum, Alexi Quintana, Hanyu Chwe, James Druckman, John Della Volpe, Jennifer Lin
PMCID: PMC7987055  PMID: 33758896

Abstract

Importance

COVID-19 symptoms are increasingly recognized to persist among a subset of individual following acute infection, but features associated with this persistence are not well-understood.

Objective

We aimed to identify individual features that predicted persistence of symptoms over at least 2 months at the time of survey completion.

Design: Non-probability internet survey. Participants were asked to identify features of acute illness as well as persistence of symptoms at time of study completion. We used logistic regression models to examine association between sociodemographic and clinical features and persistence of symptoms at or beyond 2 months.

Setting

Ten waves of a fifty-state survey between June 13, 2020 and January 13, 2021.

Participants

6,211 individuals who reported symptomatic COVID-19 illness confirmed by positive test or clinician diagnosis.

Exposure

symptomatic COVID-19 illness

Results

Among 6,211 survey respondents reporting COVID-19 illness, with a mean age of 37.8 (SD 12.2) years and 45.1% female, 73.9% white, 10.0% Black, 9.9% Hispanic, and 3.1% Asian, a total of 4946 (79.6%) had recovered within less than 2 months, while 491 (7.9%) experienced symptoms for 2 months or more. Of the full cohort, 3.4% were symptomatic for 4 months or more and 2.2% for 6 months or more. In univariate analyses, individuals with persistent symptoms on average reported greater initial severity. In logistic regression models, older age was associated with greater risk of persistence (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.19 for each decade beyond 40); otherwise, no significant associations with persistence were identified for gender, race/ethnicity, or income. Presence of headache was significantly associated with greater likelihood of persistence (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.11-1.86), while fever was associated with diminished likelihood of persistence (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53-0.83).

Conclusion and Relevance

A subset of individuals experience persistent symptoms from 2 to more than 10 months after acute COVID-19 illness, particularly those who recall headache and absence of fever. In light of this prevalence, strategies for predicting and managing such sequelae are needed.

Trial Registration

NA

Key Points

Question

Which individuals are at greatest risk for post-acute sequelae of COVID-19?

Findings

In this non-probability internet survey, among 6,211 individuals with symptomatic COVID-19 illness, 7.9% experienced persistence of symptoms lasting 2 months or longer. Older age, but not other sociodemographic features, was associated with risk for persistence, as was headache.

Meaning

Identifying individuals at greater risk for symptomatic persistence may facilitate development of targeted interventions.

Full Text Availability

The license terms selected by the author(s) for this preprint version do not permit archiving in PMC. The full text is available from the preprint server.


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