Abstract
Background:
Several studies have found associations between increases in QT interval length, a marker of cardiac electrical instability, and short-term fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposures. To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the association between specific PM2.5 metal components and QT interval length.
Methods:
We measured heart-rate corrected QT interval (QTc) duration among 630 participants in the Normative Aging Study (NAS) based in Eastern Massachusetts between 2000 and 2011. We utilized time-varying linear mixed-effects regressions with a random intercept for each participant to analyze associations between QTc interval and moving averages (0–7 day moving averages) of 24-h mean concentrations of PM2.5 metal components (vanadium, nickel, copper, zinc and lead) measured at the Harvard Supersite monitoring station. Models were adjusted for daily PM2.5 mass estimated at a 1 km × 1 km grid cell from a previously validated prediction model and other covariates. Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) was utilized to assess the overall joint effect of the PM2.5 metal components.
Results:
We found consistent results with higher lead (Pb) associated with significant higher QTc intervals for both the multi-pollutant and the two pollutant (PM2.5 mass and a PM2.5 component) models across the moving averages. The greatest effect of lead on QTc interval was detected for the 4-day moving average lead exposure. In the multi-pollutant model, each 2.72 ng/m3 increase in daily lead levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with a 7.91 ms (95% CI: 3.63, 12.18) increase in QTc interval. In the two-pollutant models with PM2.5 mass and lead, each 2.72 ng/m3 increase in daily lead levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with an 8.50 ms (95% CI: 4.59, 12.41) increase in QTc interval. We found that 4-day moving average of copper has a negative association with QTc interval when compared to the other PM2.5 metal components. In the multipollutant model, each 1.81 ng/m3 increase in daily copper levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with an −3.89 ms (95% CI: −6.98, −0.79) increase in QTc interval. Copper’s essential function inside the human body could mediate its cardiotoxicity on cardiac conductivity and explain why we found that copper in comparison to the other metals was less harmful for QTc interval.
Conclusions:
Exposure to metals contained in PM2.5 are associated with acute changes in ventricular repolarization as indicated by QT interval characteristics.
Keywords: Air pollution, Fine particulate matter, QT interval, Metals, Ventricular repolarization
1. Introduction
Epidemiological studies have reported a consistent association between exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality (Brook et al., 2010; Pope III et al., 2004b), but fewer studies have explored which particular PM2.5 components are responsible for the cardiotoxicity (Cakmak et al., 2009; Dales et al., 2020; Shutt et al., 2017). In particular, less is known about the relative toxicity of PM2.5 metal components independently of PM2.5 mass (Cakmak et al., 2014; Eum et al., 2011; Peltier and Lippmann, 2010; Zanobetti et al., 2008).
Irregularities in cardiac repolarization significantly contribute to the production of cardiac arrhythmias (Nattel et al., 2007). Increases in PM2.5 have been associated with increases in markers of autonomic function such as lower heart rate variability (Gold et al., 2000), increased heart rates (Peters et al., 1999) and a greater risk of cardiac arrhythmias (Peralta et al., 2020). Electrocardiogram (ECG) measurements of repolarization such as QT interval provide non-invasive indicators for possible cardiac arrhythmias and help identify patients susceptible to sudden cardiac death (Giuliani et al., 2014; Schwartz and Wolf, 1978). Prolonged QT intervals can predispose an individual to experience a life-threatening type of ventricular arrhythmia called torsades de pointes (Al-Khatib et al., 2003). While a QTc interval greater than 500 ms increases the risk for torsades de pointes, there is no predetermined threshold that is safe from proarrhythmic risk (Al-Khatib et al., 2003; Bednar et al., 2001). A previous study conducted in the NAS found a positive association between sub-chronic and long-term PM2.5 exposure and QTc interval, but did not assess how the individual metal components of PM2.5 could impact cardiac repolarization (Mordukhovich et al., 2016).
The chemical components of PM2.5 can be found both inside and on the surface of the particle. While there are both natural and anthropogenic sources for these chemical components, anthropogenic sources consist of auto vehicle emissions, industrial activity, fossil fuel combustion, burning of fuel oil and smoking byproducts (Garg et al., 2000; Lough et al., 2005; Pappas et al., 2014; Peltier and Lippmann, 2010). Past studies have found that the chemical composition of PM2.5 could contribute to daily average mortality. Lippmann et al. (2006) found that vanadium and nickel, associated with burning of fuel oils, increased the daily average mortality in New York City. Furthermore, Zanobetti et al. (2008) found that nickel significantly modified that association between PM2.5 mass and daily cardiovascular hospital admissions in 26 U.S. cities.
Only a few studies have examined how PM2.5 metal components could affect cardiovascular markers (Jacobs et al., 2012; Williams et al., 2012). Jacobs et al. (2012) found that among older individuals taking antihypertensive medication, vanadium, iron and nickel content in PM2.5 was significantly associated with systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure. Another study on a non-smoking longitudinal adult cohort in Detroit, Michigan reported a positive association with PM2.5 metal components and brachial artery diameter and a negative association with PM2.5 metal components, blood pressure and heart rate. Lead is well known to have toxic effects on the cardiovascular system including increase in blood pressure and the risk of left ventricular hypertrophy (Schwartz, 1991), as well as neurotoxic effects (Lanphear et al., 2005), which may extend to the autonomic nervous system. However, the underlying mechanisms of the association between ambient air pollution and cardiovascular morbidity are only partly understood, particularly for mixtures of air pollution components.
We evaluate whether short-term exposures to PM2.5 metal components are associated with associated with heart rate corrected QT interval (QTc) duration, which is a marker of ventricular repolarization, in the Normative Aging Study cohort. We hypothesize that exposure to a mixture of PM2.5 metal components (vanadium, nickel, copper, zinc and lead) elevates QTc interval and that each individual PM2.5 metal component will increase QTc interval, a marker of ventricular repolarization, among the 563 men living in Eastern Massachusetts. To our knowledge, this is the first study to assess the effects of PM2.5 metal components on ventricular repolarization through changes in QTc interval.
2. Methods
2.1. Study population
The participants in this study included 563 elderly men living in Eastern Massachusetts who are part of the Veterans Affairs Normative Aging Cohort with up to four visits during the period 2000–2012. Inclusion criteria for the initial cohort required no previous history of chronic disease and the ability to participate in at least one onsite A.A. Peralta et al. physical examination and questionnaire every 3–5 years. Previous studies have reported the enrollment and inclusion requirements in more detail (Baja et al., 2010; Bell et al., 1972). In brief, physical examinations and interviews provided information on the participants height and weight to calculate their Body Mass Index (BMI), current medication use and fasting blood samples to assess cholesterol levels (Peters et al., 2012). Smoking and drinking status were obtained from physician administered questionnaires. Diabetic status was assigned based on a physician’s diagnosis of type II diabetes or the reported use of diabetic medication during a study visit. Mean atrial pressure (MAP) was calculated from the systolic and diastolic blood pressures (SBP and DBP) measured by the physician during a site visit.
While there were 630 total participants during this time with at least one QTc measurement, only 563 of them had all the necessary covariates for this analysis. The study was missing information on forty participants on ozone. One participant was missing information on cholesterol and another on race. Six were missing information on education and four on smoking status. We also excluded 15 participants with no information on PM2.5 metal exposure. Between November 14, 2000 and December 21, 2011, these 563 participants came in for a total of 985 study visits.
The Institutional Review Boards of participating institutions, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, and the Veteran Administration, approved the study protocol and all participants provided written informed consent.
2.2. ECG measurement and analysis
QTc measurements were obtained from electrocardiogram measurements (ECG). These measurements were obtained at the exam site (VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA) for 5–10 min between 05:30 and 14:00 h with a two-channel (five lead) ECG monitor (Trillium 3000; Forest Medical, Inc., East Syracuse, NY) using a sampling rate of 256 Hz per channel (Park et al., 2005). An earlier study provides more detailed report on how the ECG measurements were processed to attain the corrected QT interval values (Mehta et al., 2014). Briefly, the ECG recordings were processed using the Trillium 3000 software to create a Mathcad (Parametric Technology Corporation, Needham, MA) file that includes the QT interval values. Corrected QT values were calculated using Bazett’s formula by only measuring the start of a normal or supraventricular beat to the end of a T wave with sufficient amplitude (Bednar et al., 2001; Mehta et al., 2014). QTc measurements were expressed in milliseconds (ms).
2.3. Air pollution and meteorology variables
We retrieved daily PM2.5 predictions and ozone predications at 1 km × 1 km grid cells in the continental U.S. using a well-validated model incorporating land use, meteorology, chemical transport models, and satellite remote sensing. Three models were trained using a neural network model, a random forest, and gradient boosting, and then ensemble averaged using a geographically weighted regression (Di et al., 2019). Each patient’s residential address was linked to the nearest center of a 1 km × 1 km grid cell for their exposure estimate. We obtained daily minimum and maximum surface meteorological data for temperature and relative humidity at a spatial resolution of 4 km × 4 km from gridMET for the continental U.S. (Abatzoglou, 2013). The minimum and maximum daily measurement was averaged to create a daily temperature or relative humidity value. Afterwards, each participant’s residential address was linked to the nearest center grid cell for their exposure estimate.
2.4. PM metal components
Daily ambient concentrations of the PM2.5 metal components were collected at the Harvard Supersite in Boston, MA during the study period 2000–2011. The Supersite is located on the roof of the Countway library of the Harvard Medical School, which is approximately one mile from the VA examination site where the ECG measurements took place (VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA). The study focused on five PM2.5 metal components chosen a priori: vanadium, nickel, copper, zinc, and lead based on previous literature (Campen et al., 2001; Eum et al., 2011; Lim et al., 2017; Lippmann et al., 2006; Peltier and Lippmann, 2010; Zanobetti et al., 2008). Daily PM2.5 samples were collected on Teflon filters utilizing Harvard Impactors (Koutrakis et al., 1993) and the PM2.5 elements were evaluated with an Energy Dispersive X-ray Fluorescence Spectrometer (Epsilon 5, PANalytical, Almelo, The Netherlands).
2.5. Statistical analysis
We utilized time-varying linear mixed-effects regressions with a random intercept and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to analyze associations between QTc interval and moving averages (0–7 day moving averages) of 24-h mean concentrations of PM2.5 metal components (vanadium, nickel, copper, zinc and lead) measured at the Harvard Supersite monitoring station. We report the changes in QTc interval in milliseconds and 95% CI in QTc interval for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in zero to seven-day moving average for each individual PM2.5 metal component.
Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) is a Bayesian approach that uses a regression kernel to consider high order nonlinearities (squares, cubes, etc.) and interactions among a mixture of exposures, and evaluate which form best explains the outcome (Bobb et al, 2015, 2018). This method controls for multicollinearity, non-linear and non-additive effects while adjusting for any relevant covariates and potential confounders. The model parameters are treated as random variables which help identify a) the most relevant components in a mixture, b) dose-response curves for those components, and c) the overall effect of that mixture and interactions between each component. The BKMR results were reported with the 95% posterior credible interval (PCI) with the other exposures fixed at their 50th percentile. Prior to data analysis for the BKMR model, all the continuous variables were logged, centered, and standardized. We utilized 50,000 iterations for the Markov Chains and to generate the predictions and burned the first half of the iterations.
Three different models were used to examine the association between PM2.5 metal components and QTc interval. The first model was a multi-pollutant model where all the individual metal components were included, the second model was a two-pollutant model that consisted of each individual PM2.5 metal components and PM2.5 mass and the third model was the BKMR analysis that included all the individual metal components.
All models were adjusted for potential cofounders that were identified through a literature search (Baja et al., 2010; Mordukhovich et al., 2016). These potential confounders were related to both QTc interval and air pollution exposure and visualized with directed acyclic graphs (Shrier and Platt, 2008). The covariates included were daily PM2.5 mass, daily ozone, age (years), race, maximum years of education, BMI (kg/m2), total cholesterol (mg/dL), mean arterial pressure (mmHg), diabetic status, use of beta blocker medication, alcohol intake (2 or more drinks per day or less than 2 drinks per day as reference), smoking status (current, former or never as reference), census tract percent of population age 25 years or older with less than a high school diploma, air temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and seasonality (sine and cosine).
We performed two sensitivity analysis. First, we examined if season would alter the association between the PM2.5 metal components and QTc interval with stratification in the multipollutant model. Second, to further explore the issue of multicollinearity, we assessed if the effect estimates reported in the multipollutant model would change if we excluded PM2.5 metal components that were highly correlated with each other (excluded vanadium and zinc).
Data management and all statistical analyses were conducted using R version 3.5.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).
3. Results
The study included 563 VA Normative Aging Study participants who had all the relevant covariates for this analysis. The participants were older males with a mean age (±SD) of 74.1 years ± 6.8 years who were mostly white (96.6%). 81% of the participants lived within 50 kms of the Supersite. Table 1 presents other characteristics of the study patients. Table 2 presents the summary statistics and Spearman’s correlations between the PM2.5 metal components and meteorological measurements for the study period. During this time, the median PM2.5 mass concentration was 8.2 μg/m3 and the highest correlation between PM2.5 metal components was between nickel and vanadium (Spearman correlation coefficient, ρ = 0.84). The PM2.5 metal components were positively correlated with each other while temperature and relative humidity was negatively correlated with some of the PM2.5 metal components (temperature: vanadium, nickel and zinc; relative humidity: copper and lead). The highest negative correlation existed between temperature and nickel (Spearman correlation coefficient, ρ = −0.14).
Table 1.
Baseline characteristics of the 563 study participants in the VA Normative Aging Study during the study period between November 14, 2000 and December 21, 2011.
| Characteristics | Mean (SD) | N (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 74.1 (6.8) | |
| Race | ||
| White | 544 (96.6) | |
| Black | 13 (2.3) | |
| Hispanic (White) | 5 (0.9) | |
| Hispanic (Black) | 1 (0.2) | |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 27.4 (3.9) | |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 175.0 (36.8) | |
| Mean arterial pressure (mmHg) Diabetes | 86.8 (11.1) | |
| Yes | 111 (19.7) | |
| No | 452 (80.3) | |
| Beta blocker medication | ||
| Yes | 221 (39.3) | |
| No | 342 (60.7) | |
| Maximum years of education | 15.0 (3.0) | |
| Alcohol intake | ||
| <2 drinks per day | 461 (81.9) | |
| 2+ drinks per day | 102 (18.1) | |
| Smoking status | ||
| Never smoker | 167 (29.7) | |
| Current smoker | 28 (5.0) | |
| Former smoker | 7776) |
Table 2.
Summary statistics and Spearman’s correlation coefficients of PM2.5 metal components and meteorological measurements in the VA Normative Aging Study between November 14, 2000 and December 21, 2011.
| Summary Statistics | Spearman’s correlation coefficients | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (SD) | Median (IQR) | V | Ni | Cu | Zn | Pb | PM2.5 | O3 | Temp | RH | |
| V (ng/m3) | 3.2 (2.9) | 2.4 (3.4) | 1.00 | 0.84 | 0.25 | 0.55 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.02 | −0.01 | 0.05 |
| Ni (ng/m3) | 2.9 (3.2) | 2.0 (3.1) | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 0.32 | 0.33 | −0.04 | −0.14 | 0.06 | |
| Cu (ng/m3) | 3.7 (2.9) | 3.5 (3.5) | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.10 | −0.13 | ||
| Zn (ng/m3) | 13.5 (13.1) | 10.6 (9.5) | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.33 | −0.06 | −0.05 | 0.03 | |||
| Pb (ng/m3) | 5.7 (3.7) | 5.2 (4.1) | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.03 | 0.01 | −0.01 | ||||
| PM2.5 (μg/m3) | 9.9 (6.4) | 8.2 (6.7) | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.01 | |||||
| Ozone (μg/m3) | 54.0 (23.1) | 52.0 (27.0) | 1.00 | 0.34 | −0.09 | ||||||
| Temp (°C) | 10.5 (10.1) | 11.1 (16.2) | 1.00 | −0.09 | |||||||
| RH (%) | 61.9 (14.8) | 65.0 (19.1) | 1.00 | ||||||||
Abbreviations: SD - standard deviation; IQR-interquartile range; V- vanadium; Ni-nickel; Cu-copper; Zn- zinc; Pb-lead; PM2.5- fine particulate matter mass; O3-ozone; Temp-temperature; RH- relative humidity.
Fig. 1 shows the results from the multi-pollutant linear mixed-effects regression model with all the PM2.5 metal components included in the same model adjusted for PM2.5 mass (Multi-pollutant), the two-pollutant models including each PM2.5 metal component and PM2.5 mass (Two-pollutant) and BKMR which included all five PM2.5 metal components. All models consistently showed that lead had the highest statistically significant effect on QTc interval across 2–7 day moving averages.
Fig. 1.

Changes in milliseconds and 95% CI in QTc interval for an IQR increase in zero to seven day moving average of each PM2.5 metal component. The results are presented in a multi-pollutant model where all the metal components are included in the same model, the two-pollutant model which includes each individual PM2.5 metal component and PM2.5 mass and the BKMR model. The results for BKMR are reported with the 95% posterior credible interval (PCI) with the other exposures fixed at their 50th percentile. All models are adjusted for PM2.5 mass, daily ozone, age (years), race, maximum years of education, BMI (kg/m2), total cholesterol (mg/dL), mean arterial pressure (mmHg), diabetic status, use of beta blocker medication, alcohol intake (2 or more drinks per day or less than 2 drinks per day as reference), smoking status (current, former or never as reference), census tract percent of population age 25 years or older with less than a high school diploma, air temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and seasonality (sine and cosine).
The greatest effect of lead on QTc interval was detected for the 4-day moving average lead exposure across all models. In the multi-pollutant model, each 2.7 ng/m3 increase in daily lead levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with an 7.91 ms (95% CI: 3.63, 12.18) increase in QTc interval. In the two-pollutant models with lead and PM2.5 mass, each 2.7 ng/m3 increase in daily lead levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with a 8.50 ms (95% CI: 4.59, 12.41) increase in QTc interval. In the BKMR model, each geometric IQR increase in daily lead levels for a 4-day moving average was associated with a 13.73 ms (95% CI: 5.69, 21.77) increase in QTc interval. The results were similar across all models with Pb providing the most consistent findings.
The multi-pollutant model and the BKMR model both suggest that 4-day moving average of copper has statistically significant negative association with QTc interval when compared to the other PM2.5 metal components.
Fig. 2 shows the estimated joint effect of the PM2.5 metal mixture on QTc interval length when all the predictors are fixed to different percentiles, as compared with when they are all fixed to the 50th percentile, supporting a strong and linear positive association of the whole mixture with increasing QTc interval length across all the moving averages.
Fig. 2.

Overall joint effect of the PM2.5 metal mixture for 0–7 day moving averages with QTc interval length estimated by Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR). This figure compares the estimated change in QTc interval length when all predictors are at a certain quantile with the value when all of them are at their 50th percentile. BKMR models were adjusted for PM2.5 mass, daily ozone, age (years), race, maximum years of education, BMI (kg/m2), total cholesterol (mg/dL), mean arterial pressure (mmHg), diabetic status, use of beta blocker medication, alcohol intake (2 or more drinks per day or less than 2 drinks per day as reference), smoking status (current, former or never as reference), census tract percent of population age 25 years or older with less than a high school diploma, air temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and seasonality (sine and cosine).
For the sensitivity analysis, we found that season could alter the association between PM2.5 metal components and QTc interval (Fig. 3). In the fall, we found that lead continues to consistently have a statistically significant association with QTc interval across the 2–7 day moving averages and reports the largest PM2.5 lead association with QTc interval on the 7-day moving average (15.45 ms, 95% CI: 6.70, 24.21). Furthermore, nickel also showed a statistically significant association with QTc interval in the fall and reported the largest effect size for any PM2.5 metal component on the 6-day moving average (18.40 ms, 95% CI: 5.00, 31.80).
Fig. 3.

Change in QTc interval length and 95% CI for an IQR increase in 0–7 day moving average of each PM2.5 metal component in the multi-pollutant model stratified by season. Model was adjusted for PM2.5 mass, daily ozone, age (years), race, maximum years of education, BMI (kg/m2), total cholesterol (mg/dL), mean arterial pressure (mmHg), diabetic status, use of beta blocker medication, alcohol intake (2 or more drinks per day or less than 2 drinks per day as reference), smoking status (current, former or never as reference), census tract percent of population age 25 years or older with less than a high school diploma, air temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and seasonality (sine and cosine).
In the summer, we found a statistically significant negative association between QTc interval and copper for 0, 2–7 day moving averages and a statistically significant positive association between QTc interval and vanadium for the 0, 4–6day moving averages. We did not find any statistically significant associations between any PM2.5 metal component and QTc interval for the winter or spring seasons.
In our second sensitivity analysis, we removed zinc and vanadium to assess if the results were due to multicollinearity with copper and nickel and the results remained consistent (Fig. 4).
Fig. 4.

Changes in milliseconds and 95% CI in QTc interval for an IQR increase in zero to seven day moving average of each PM2.5 metal component. The results are presented in a multi-pollutant model where all the metal components are included in the same model except for the indicated PM2.5 metalcomponent. The models were adjusted for PM2.5 mass, daily ozone, age (years), race, maximum years of education, BMI (kg/m2), total cholesterol (mg/dL), mean arterial pressure (mmHg), diabetic status, use of beta blocker medication, alcohol intake (2 or more drinks per day or less than 2 drinks per day as reference), smoking status (current, former or never as reference), census tract percent of population age 25 years or older with less than a high school diploma, air temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and seasonality (sine and cosine).
4. Discussion
To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the short-term effects of particle metal components on QT interval length. In the Normative Aging Study, an Eastern Massachusetts longitudinal cohort, we found that higher exposure to individual PM2.5 metal components even after controlling for PM2.5 mass was associated with QTc interval length, a marker for ventricular repolarization. Specifically, we found that lead was significantly associated with higher QTc interval length across most periods ranging from 2to 7-day moving averages and that copper was associated with a lower QTc interval length. Since these analyses controlled for PM2.5 mass and ozone, this finding indicates that per unit mass, Cu has a smaller effect on increasing QTc, not that it actually reduced QTc. Hence, in comparison to the other four PM2.5 metal components, Cu is relatively less harmful for QT interval.
Our results further suggest that season, in particular the fall and summer, increases respectively the cardiovascular toxicity of nickel and vanadium. On the other hand, we found no significant associations with QT interval and zinc an indicator of traffic-related emissions. Zinc originates from zinc dithiophosphate which is an anti-wear and anti-oxidant produced by tire and brake wear and tailpipe emissions of motor oil (Apeagyei et al., 2011; Blok, 2005; Lough et al., 2005).
4.1. Lead
Lead exposure arises from inhalation of lead particles and ingestion of polluted water and food sources (Rosin, 2009). While the two major sources of lead were phased out (1978, lead-based paint) (Tong, 1990) or banned (1986, gasoline) (Mielke and Reagan, 1998) in the United States, the resuspension of old lead particles from gas and exterior paint continue to release lead into the environment. Lead not only accumulates on the top layer of soil but will remain for generations due to its half-life of approximately 700 years (Semlali et al., 2004). Current motor vehicle sources of lead include brake wear (Apeagyei et al., 2011), motor vehicle wheel weights (Root, 2015), vaporization from hot brake surfaces (Apeagyei et al., 2011; Grigoratos and Martini, 2015) and motor oil combustion (Davis et al., 2001). Lead’s bioavailability and presence in dust particles will have continued implications for public health.
Previous epidemiological studies on lead exposure mainly considered the cardiovascular effects of hypertension and blood pressure (Den Hond et al., 2002; Gambelunghe et al., 2016; Glenn et al., 2006; Lustberg and Silbergeld, 2002). Navas-Acien et al. (2007) conducted a systematic review and concluded that a causal relationship between lead exposure and hypertension, but did not have sufficient evidence to deduce a causal relationship between lead exposure and other clinical cardiovascular outcomes (Navas-Acien et al., 2007). In a study of the effects of bone and blood lead exposure on QTc interval length in the NAS, low-level cumulative exposure to bone lead was associated with a prolonged QTc interval, while no association was found with blood lead (Eum et al., 2011). Specifically, individuals in the lowest tertile of tibia lead compared to the highest tertile had a 7.95 ms (95% CI: 1.42, 14.45) increase in QTc interval and no association was found for blood lead levels. While we cannot directly compare our results with these studies, they support our hypothesis that PM2.5 lead can adversely impact cardiac conductivity through prolonged QT intervals.
4.2. Nickel and vanadium
Sources of nickel and vanadium include the burning of oil residual in office buildings and heavy fuel oil in marine engines (Corbin et al., 2018; Masri et al., 2015). In our study, V and Ni were highly correlated (ρ = 0.84) most likely due to their joint production through oil combustion. Studies conducted in New York City found that during the fall and winter months higher nickel concentrations could be found due to residual fuel oil used for space heating (Peltier and Lippmann, 2010) and that nickel could modify the association between PM2.5 mass and daily cardiovascular hospital admissions (Zanobetti et al., 2008). Consistent with these findings we found a positive association between PM2.5 nickel and vanadium levels and QTc interval. Animal models have found adverse cardiovascular associations with PM2.5 associated vanadium and nickel concentrations (Campen et al., 2001; Lippmann et al., 2006).
4.3. Copper
Sources of copper include brake wear and lining as well as copper additives in motor oil combustion (Cheung et al., 2010; Kaiser, 2003). Copper is an essential metal involved in the function of several enzymes and required for myocardial contractility (Medeiros, 2017). Several studies have reported that copper deficiency impacts atherosclerosis and increases the risk of coronary heart disease (Klevay, 1983; Medeiros, 2017). Furthermore, both epidemiological (Freisinger et al., 2004; Kinsman et al., 1990; Mielcarz et al., 2001) and animal (Allen and Klevay, 1978;[ISP] . Li et al., 2005a,b; Medeiros, 2017) studies have reported associations between copper deficiency and blood pressure changes, hyperlipidemia, and abnormal electrocardiograms. A study in elderly individuals in South Korea found that blood pressure and heart rate variability measures were associated with lead and strontium, but did not find a statistically significant association with nickel, vanadium, zinc, or copper (Lim et al., 2017). Although the association between copper and heart rate variability measures (Standard Deviation of Normal-to-Normal Intervals (SDNN), Root Mean Square of the Successive Differences (RMSSD), low frequency and high frequency) was not statistically significant, their analysis suggests a possible negative association with copper. However, copper is normally obtained by ingestion, not inhalation. On the other hand, inhaled copper and vanadium increased fibrinogen levels, and induced pulmonary vasoconstriction and phosphorylation of ERK1/2 and p38 in vivo (Huang et al., 2003; . Li et al., 2005a,b). Copper’s essential function inside the human body could mediate its cardiotoxicity on cardiac conductivity and explain why we found that copper in comparison to the other metals was less harmful for QTc interval.
4.4. Clinical perspective
From a clinical perspective, the QTc interval provides a noninvasive assessment tool for ventricular repolarization. Prolonged QT intervals can predispose an individual to experience a life-threatening type of ventricular arrhythmia called torsades de pointes (Al-Khatib et al., 2003). It is important to note that there is no predetermined threshold safe from proarrhythmic risk (Al-Khatib et al., 2003; Bednar et al., 2001). In controlled clinical trials, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) requires that pharmacologic medication not alter a patient’s QTc interval by more than 5 ms and warns that drugs that alter QTc between 5 and 20 ms have been associated with proarrhythmic risk (U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2005). Many of the effect estimates reported in this study are greater than 5 ms and have the potential to increase the risk of arrhythmias.
To reduce the risk that the PM2.5 metal components can have on arrythmias, physicians could increase patient awareness especially among the elderly. It is important for physicians to determine their patient’s home environment. For patients that live near or at polluted areas, then suggesting a air purifier for their home or office could reduce their overall exposure levels. For patients that cannot avoid living near highly polluted areas, then physicians could take this into account when considering treatment options. A more aggressive treatment could be necessary if a patient resides in a highly polluted area since that would increase their risk for arrhythmias.
Numerous biological mechanisms have been proposed to explain how acute exposure to air pollution can induce cardiovascular morbidity including elevated levels of reactive oxygen species (Knaapen et al., 2002), endothelial injury and systemic inflammation (Pope III et al., 2016) and altered autonomic activation (Devlin et al., 2003; Park et al., 2005; Pope 3rd et al., 2004a). Several studies have reported associations between fine particle mass and cardiovascular outcomes representing these biological mechanisms, but none specifically address how PM2.5 metal components could contribute to myocardial vulnerability (ventricular arrhythmias and repolarization dynamics).
4.5. Strengths and limitations
One limitation of our study is that the concentrations of the PM2.5 metal components were assigned from the use of a single monitoring site. The PM2.5 metal exposures capture temporal resolution but are not spatially resolved. The reported correlations between the PM2.5 metal components may not hold for all residential locations. It is a source of measurement error in our study and a limitation since we currently do not have a spatial model for PM2.5 metal constituents. This potential for non-differential measurement error in our exposure assessment has been previously described (Dai et al., 2016). It is unlikely that any measurement error in the PM2.5 metal components concentrations is associated with the participant’s ECG readings because the exposure was measured independently from the QTc interval measurements. This non-differential misclassification underestimates the observed associations and bias the results towards the null (Sarnat et al., 2005).
Our study minimized outcome misclassification because the ECG recordings were processed using a specific software (Trillium 3000) instead of relying on manually readings of beat labels and QT intervals. The automated processing reduced the potential of outcome differential measurement errors and inter-technician variability.
Including multiple correlated exposures in the same statistical model can lead to the issue of multicollinearity. A major strength of this study is the use of different statistical approaches to deal with the collinearity issues. In the multipollutant model, the variance (the uncertainty of the estimate) can be large due to collinearity. We were able to show the robustness of the association between lead and copper with QTc interval length with both BKMR and our sensitivity analysis. Use of BKMR, a novel flexible statistical method, allowed us to present the joint effect of the PM2.5 metal mixtures and address multicollinearity and potential non-linear or non-additive effects.
By including each individual PM2.5 metal component and controlling for PM2.5 mass, we gain insight into the differential toxicity of these PM2.5 metal components. If PM2.5 mass was not included, then the reported effect sizes could be capturing the effect of other components. Thus, including PM2.5 along with the individual metal components allows us to capture the differential toxicity of the constituents while controlling for the average effect of PM2.5 (Mostofsky et al., 2012). We conclude that lead on average has the most adverse impact on QTc interval length and that copper compared to the other four PM2.5 metal components is less toxic towards ventricular repolarization.
Our inclusion of various potential confounders and use of both individual and census tract variables to control for socioeconomic status reduces the potential for residual confounding. Since the study population consists mainly of older white males, the results should be interpreted with caution if applying to others such as younger individuals, females, or other racial groups. Future studies could explore the effect of PM2.5 metal components on QTc interval for these other populations.
5. Conclusions
Exposure to PM2.5 metal components can alter an individual’s QTc interval length, a risk factor for arrythmias. In particular, acute exposure to lead increases QTc interval. On the other hand, copper is relatively less harmful towards QTc interval when compared to the other four PM2.5 metal constituents. Nickle and vanadium have a positive significant association with QTc interval during the fall and summer, respectively. By identifying increased toxicity to certain metals, we can advise individuals to avoid the sources of these cardiotoxic metals or identify potential interventions to reduce their proarrhythmic risk.
Funding
USEPA Grant RD 83479801 & RD 83587201; NIH grant T32ES007069 & T32HL098048.
Footnotes
Declaration of competing interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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