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The Journal of Clinical Hypertension logoLink to The Journal of Clinical Hypertension
. 2015 Dec 22;18(8):772–777. doi: 10.1111/jch.12758

The Role of Plasma Triglyceride/High‐Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio to Predict New Cardiovascular Events in Essential Hypertensive Patients

Osman Turak 1,, Barış Afşar 2, Fırat Ozcan 1, Fatih Öksüz 1, Mehmet Ali Mendi 1, Çagrı Yayla 1, Adrian Covic 3, Nathan Bertelsen 4, Mehmet Kanbay 4
PMCID: PMC8031528  PMID: 26694089

Abstract

Triglyceride (TG) to high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL‐C) ratio (TG/HDL‐C) has been suggested as a simple method to identify unfavorable cardiovascular outcomes in the general population. The effect of the TG/HDL‐C ratio on essential hypertensive patients is unclear. About 900 consecutive essential hypertensive patients (mean age 52.9±12.6 years, 54.2% male) who visited our outpatient hypertension clinic were analyzed. Participants were divided into quartiles based on baseline TG/HDL‐C ratio and medical records were obtained periodically for the occurrence of fatal events and composite major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) including transient ischemic attack, stroke, aortic dissection, acute coronary syndrome, and death. Participants were followed for a median of 40 months (interquartile range, 35–44 months). Overall, a higher quartile of TG/HDL‐C ratio at baseline was significantly linked with higher incidence of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events. Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, plasma TG/HDL‐C ratio was independently associated with increased risk of fatal events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13–1.37; P≤.001] and MACEs (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06–1.21; P≤.001). Increased plasma TG/HDL‐C ratio was associated with more fatal events and MACEs in essential hypertensive patients.


Despite advancements in technology, diagnosis, and treatment, cardiovascular diseases including essential hypertension remain the leading causes of death worldwide.1 Traditional risk factors such as increased age, diabetes, and obesity are well‐known risk factors for adverse outcomes. However, recent evidence suggests that nontraditional risk factors such as inflammation, oxidative stress, insulin resistance, and endothelial dysfunction also play a major role in adverse outcomes associated with cardiovascular disorders.2 For better risk stratification regarding cardiovascular outcomes, a simple, accurate, reproducible, and easily measurable marker is needed. Recently, a new parameter known as triglyceride (TG) to high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL‐C) ratio (TG/HDL‐C) has been suggested as a simple way to identify apparently healthy individuals who are insulin resistant and at increased cardiometabolic risk.3, 4, 5, 6, 7 In addition, the joint occurrence of high TG and low HDL‐C in association with elevated apolipoprotein B and small dense low‐density lipoprotein (LDL) particles is strongly predictive of coronary heart disease (CHD).8 Gaziano and colleagues9 were the first to report in a case control study that this ratio strongly predicts risk of myocardial infarction. Others have linked a high TG/HDL‐C ratio to coronary atherosclerosis,10, 11 impaired heart rate recovery after exercise,12 CHD incidence,13 and CHD and cardiovascular and all‐cause death.11 However, despite all these data, the prognostic role of TG/HDL‐C ratio is limited. As a result, before using TG/HDL‐C ratio as a prognostic marker, more data are clearly needed to support this hypothesis. For this reason we conducted the current study with the aim of investigating whether TG/HDL‐C ratio has a prognostic impact with regard to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in essential hypertensive patients as acknowledged in the literature.

Materials and Methods

Study Population

In this follow‐up study, we included a total of 900 consecutive essential hypertensive patients who visited our outpatient hypertension clinic between February 2008 and December 2011. Hypertension was defined as a systolic BP (SBP) of >140 mm Hg and/or a diastolic BP (DBP) of >90 mm Hg (mean of three measurements, at least two visits). Patients with secondary hypertension, chronic liver disease, obvious active illness (eg, malignancy or acute infection) at baseline, history of cerebrovascular events, CHD, significant cardiac arrhythmias, obstructive sleep apnea, or familial hyperlipidemias were excluded from the cohort. The study complied with the Declaration of Helsinki, the study protocol was approved by the Turkey Yuksek Ihtisas Education and Research Hospital ethics committee, and informed consent was obtained from all participants.

Patients’ Blood Tests and Clinical Data Collection

All blood samples were obtained from patients in the morning after 12 hours of fasting for measurement plasma glucose and lipids. Plasma triglyceride and high‐density lipoprotein levels were measured using a semiautomated enzymatic method with a Beckman Coulter AU analyzer (AU 680; Beckman Coulter, Brea, CA). Diabetes mellitus was defined according to international guidelines. Smokers were defined as current smokers. Body mass index was calculated as weight (kg)/height (m2). Estimated GFR (eGFR) were calculated according to the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation.

Follow‐Up and Endpoints

Patients’ medical records were obtained periodically for the occurrence of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular outcomes. All patients were followed up for time‐to‐event analysis until MACE occurrence, including transient ischemic attack, stroke, aortic dissection, acute coronary syndrome, or death. MACEs were recorded by reviewing outpatient clinic visits in the medical records and telephone contact if such information was not available. We also checked deaths from the national death report system regularly.

Statistical Analysis

Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software version 19.0 (SPSS Inc; IBM, Armonk, NY). The Kolmogorov‐Smirnov method was used to test the distribution of data. Analysis of variance test was used to compare groups’ data displaying normal distribution and Kruskal‐Wallis test was applied to the data without normal distribution. For correlation analysis, Spearman's correlation coefficient rho was used. Categorical variables were compared with the chi‐square test. Data were summarized as mean±standard deviation, median and interquartile range, or proportions. The effects of different variables on fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular endpoints were calculated in univariate Cox regression analysis for each. The variables for which the unadjusted P value was <.10 in univariate analysis were identified as potential risk markers and included in the multivariable Cox regression model. The survival analysis for TG/HDL quartiles was performed by Kaplan‐Meier method and statistical assessment was performed using log‐rank test. A P value <.05 was considered to be statistically significant for all analyses.

Results

A total 900 consecutive essential hypertensive patients (mean age 52.9±12.6 years, 54.2% male) who visited our outpatient hypertension clinic were included in our study. Demographic characteristics including age, sex, body mass index, presence of diabetes, use of antihypertensive medication, follow‐up time, and laboratory parameters are given in Table 1.

Table 1.

Baseline Characteristics of Patients According to Quartiles of Triglyceride/HDL Ratio

Variables Triglyceride/HDL Ratio Quartiles P for Trend
Q1 (n=225) Q2 (n=224) Q3 (n=227) Q4 (n=224)
Age, y 58.0±12.6 57.7±12.6 58.5±13.6 57.4±11.7 .813
Male, No. (%) 95 (42) 128 (57) 126 (56) 139 (62) <.001
Current smoker, No. (%) 44 (20) 53 (24) 51 (23) 53 (24) .692
Diabetes mellitus, No. (%) 28 (12) 30 (13) 47 (21) 47 (21) .017
Body mass index, kg/m2 27.1±1.5 26.9±1.6 27.0±1.5 26.8±1.5 .122
Fasting glucose, mg/dL 98 (90–110) 97 (89–111) 100 (91–121) 102 (93–118) .001
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 102 (84–131) 100 (83–119) 97 (77–118) 94 (75–114) .011
Hemoglobin, g/L 14.2±1.4 14.3±1.4 14.5±1.4 14.7±1.4 .002
WBC count, ×109/L 7 (6.1–8) 6.7 (6–8) 7.1 (6–8.4) 7.6 (6.6–9) <.001
HDL, mg/dL 58.9±11.5 46.4±7.6 41.0±8.3 35.7±7.5 <.001
LDL, mg/dL 126.7±26.3 125.8±30.2 124.9±26.1 125.6±31.5 .944
Triglycerides, mg/dL 100.0±31.1 123.9±19.7 155.0±34.1 246.9±45.6 <.001
Office SBP, mm Hg 155 (146–174) 160 (149–172) 160 (150–175) 159 (149–173) .303
Office DBP, mm Hg 99 (91–113) 101 (91–115) 101 (91–115) 98 (90–114) .747
Use of antihypertensive drugs, No. (%) 102 (45) 79 (35) 86 (38) 99 (44) .952
Use of antihyperlipidemic drugs, No. (%)
Statins 83 (37) 84 (38) 96 (42) 103 (46) .029
Fibrats 2 (1) 12 (5) 27 (12) 56 (25) <.001
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 85 (38) 96 (43) 121 (53) 148 (66) <.001
Follow up time, mo 38.5±7.1 38.9±7.5 38.5±7.5 38.2±7.4 .782

Abbreviations: DBP, diastolic blood pressure; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HDL, high‐density lipoprotein; LDL, low‐density lipoprotein; SBP, systolic blood pressure; WBC, white blood cell.

Patients with the highest TG/HDL‐C were mostly male and diabetic and had higher fasting blood glucose and lower eGFR. TG/HDL‐C ratio was correlated both with eGFR (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient: −0.118; P<.001) and diabetes (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, 0.099; P=.003).

Table 2 shows fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events according to TG/HDL‐C during follow‐up. As seen in Table 2, total mortality and MACEs are highest in the highest TG/HDL‐C quartile. Table 3 shows that age, smoking, diabetes, eGFR, and TG/HDL‐C were independent predictors of mortality. Table 4 shows that age, smoking, diabetes, eGFR, and TG/HDL‐C were independent predictors of fatal and nonfatal events. Lastly, the mortality and MACE curves according to TG/HDL‐C quartiles are shown in the Figure.

Table 2.

Fatal and Nonfatal Cardiovascular Events During Follow‐Up

Variables Triglyceride/HDL Ratio Quartiles (%) P Value
Q1 (n=225) Q2 (n=224) Q3 (n=227) Q4 (n=224)
Nonfatal cardiovascular events
Transient ischemic attack 3 (1) 2 (1) 2 (1) 2 (1) 1.00
Stroke 3 (1) 5 (2) 6 (3) 4 (2) .670
Acute coronary syndrome 6 (3) 9 (4) 14 (6) 19 (9) .003
Aortic dissection 1 4 (2) 0 2 (1) .865
Mortality 3 (1) 9 (4) 13 (6) 21 (9) <.001
Total major cardiovascular events 15 (7) 24 (11) 30 (13) 39 (17) <.001

Abbreviation: HDL, high‐density lipoprotein. Bold values indicate significance.

Table 3.

Predictors of Mortality in Univariable and Multivariable Cox Regression Analyses

Variables Univariable Multivariable
HR (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI) P Value
Age, y 1.08 (1.05–1.10) <.001 1.07 (1.04–1.10) <.001
Male sex 1.06 (0.59–1.90) .832
Smoking 1.14 (1.03–1.26) .023 1.21 (0.61–2.42) .584
Diabetes mellitus 6.14 (3.44–10.96) <.001 3.33 (1.67–6.65) <.001
Use of antihyperlipidemic drug 1.54 (1.24–1.87) .001 0.61 (0.24–1.49) .283
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 0.97 (0.96–0.98) <.001 0.98 (0.97–0.99) .033
Hemoglobin, g/L 0.88 (0.72–1.07) .198
WBC count, ×109/L 1.08 (0.93–1.26) .289
LDL level 1.01 (1.00–1.02) .043 1.01 (0.99–1.02) .091
TG/HDL ratio 1.23 (1.13–1.34) <.001 1.25 (1.13–1.37) <.001

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HDL; high‐density lipoprotein; HR, hazard ratio; LDL, low‐density lipoprotein; TG; triglyceride; WBC, white blood cell. Bold values indicate significance.

Table 4.

Predictors of Fatal and Nonfatal Events in Univariable and Multivariable Cox Regression Analyses

Variables Univariable Multivariable
HR (95% CI) P Value HR (95% CI) P Value
Age, y 1.06 (1.05–1.08) <.001 1.05 (1.03–1.07) <.001
Male sex 1.03 (0.54–1.14) .207
Smoking 1.55 (1.03–2.35) .036 1.66 (1.09–2.53) .019
Diabetes mellitus 4.18 (2.85–6.13) <.001 2.80 (1.72–4.48) <.001
Use of antihyperlipidemic drugs 1.62 (1.24–2.03) <.001 1.08 (0.65–1.79) .762
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 0.97 (0.96–0.98) <.001 0.99 (0.98–0.99) .004
Hemoglobin, g/L 0.98 (0.91–1.08) .574
WBC count, ×109/L 1.10 (0.99–1.21) .068
LDL level 1.01 (1.00–1.01) .025 1.00 (1.00–1.01) .040
TG/HDL ratio 1.15 (1.08–1.22) <.001 1.13 (1.06–1.21) <.001

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HDL; high‐density lipoprotein; HR, hazard ratio; LDL, low‐density lipoprotein; TG; triglyceride; WBC, white blood cell. Bold values indicate significance.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Kaplan‐Meier survival curves of fatal and composite major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with essential hypertension stratified by quartiles of triglyceride/high‐density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol ratio.

Discussion

In the current study, we investigated the prognostic impact of TG/HDL‐C with respect to mortality and MACEs prospectively. As a result, we showed that high TG/HDL‐C ratio was independently associated with both mortality and MACEs.

TG/HDL ratio is a simple and reproducible parameter that can easily be calculated during daily practice, and this study adds to recent evidence suggesting that this parameter has important prognostic value. TG/HDL ratio is closely associated with insulin resistance.2, 14 Apart from this, TG/HDL ratio has been shown to be a powerful predictor of total mortality, incident CHD, and cardiovascular death independent of important prognostic variables including age, race, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and severity of coronary artery disease.8, 11, 12, 13 This prognostic impact of TG/HDL has also been valid in patients with diabetes.15, 16, 17 Despite these data, information on the role of TG/HDL in hypertensive patients is scarce. A study by Onat and colleagues18 demonstrated that atherogenic index of plasma as determined by “log10 triglyceride/high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol” predicted diabetes and high blood pressure after adjustments for covariates. In a recent investigation, Salazar and colleagues19 investigated the prognostic impact of TG/HDL ratio with regard to cardiovascular disease in hypertensive patients. The study included 947 patients divided into normotensive (n=574) and hypertensive (n=373) groups.19 In this study, the authors demonstrated two novel issues. First, they showed that prevalence of a “high” TG/HDL‐C ratio was greater in those with hypertension (38% vs 24%, P=.001) as compared with the normotensive group. Second, CVD risk factors at baseline were significantly worse in the high TG/HDL‐C group as compared with those in the low TG/HDL‐C group irrespective of BP status. Third, crude incidence of combined CVD events increased across all four risk groups: 1.9 in the normotensive–low TG/HDL‐C ratio group, 6.0 in the normotensive–high TG/HDL‐C ratio group, 15.6 in the hypertensive–low TG/HDL‐C ratio group, and 19.9 in the hypertensive–high TG/HDL‐C ratio group (P for trend <.001). The authors suggested that TG/HDL‐C can identify hypertensive patients who develop CVD to a significant degree.19

As complimentary findings, we extend this present study that clearly demonstrates the prognostic impact of TG/HDL in essential hypertension. Why TG/HDL is associated with adverse outcomes? Currently we don't know the answer, but speculations can be made.

The major explanation is insulin resistance. Indeed, various studies have shown that the TG/HDL ratio might be a useful surrogate estimate of insulin action.19, 20 This relationship has been validated in several chronic metabolic disorders such as diabetes mellitus and hypertension.16, 18, 21 Insulin resistance significantly contributes to accelerated atherosclerosis and development of CVD as a cardiovascular risk factor.22, 23 Thus, TG/HDL and adverse outcomes may be explained in the context of insulin resistance. Unfortunately, we did not measure insulin resistance in the current study.

A second explanation may be oxidative stress. In contrast to larger LDL particles, small and dense LDL particles are more prone to oxidative damage. These particles are avidly taken by arterial tissue and thus cause oxidative damage.24, 25, 26 The elevated TG/HDL‐C ratio reflects the presence of remnant lipoproteins and low dense lipoprotein levels and increased atherogenic potential.2, 4, 27, 28 Inflammation and body composition analysis may be other explanations. Karelis and colleagues29 studied the relevance of elevated TG/HDL‐C ratio in postmenopausal women. Apart from insulin sensitivity and insulin resistance they found that this ratio is closely correlated with C‐reactive protein levels and visceral fat. Both inflammation30 and high levels of visceral fat have been associated with metabolic disturbances including insulin resistance, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.31, 32 In addition, TGL/HDL ratio positively correlates with adiposity, and the magnitude of weight loss is proportional with the decrease of TGL/HDL ratio.33, 34 All these mechanisms may link the relationship between high TG/HDL‐C ratios with worse outcomes.

Study Limitations

This study may have several potential limitations. First, although the TG/HDL‐C ratio is a well‐established correlate of insulin sensitivity, we did not measure insulin sensitivity or insulin resistance in these patients. Second, we did not measure visceral fat or inflammatory status. However, all patients with chronic conditions were excluded from the study. Third, these results are from a single center and the applicability of our findings to other geographical areas is limited. Lastly, the follow‐up time was relatively short and more extended periods will be of value. In addition, TGL/HDL ratio positively correlates with adiposity, and the magnitude of weight loss is proportional with the decrease of TGL/HDL ratio.

Conclusions

We have demonstrated that high TG/HDL‐C ratio was associated with MACEs and total mortality in essential hypertensive patients. Further studies are needed to identify underlying mechanisms.

Acknowledgments and disclosures

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript. No financial support was provided.

J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich). 2016;18:772–777. DOI: 10.1111/jch.12758. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

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