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Journal of Emergencies, Trauma, and Shock logoLink to Journal of Emergencies, Trauma, and Shock
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. 2020 Dec 7;13(4):319–320. doi: 10.4103/JETS.JETS_60_20

Predictors of Failure of Nonoperative Management in Spleen Trauma

Hakim Zenaidi 1, Imen Ben Ismail 1,, Saber Rebii 1, Ayoub Zoghlami 1
PMCID: PMC8047952  PMID: 33897154

Sir,

The standard treatment of choice for hemodynamically stable patients with blunt splenic trauma is currently, nonoperative management (NOM), thanks to the development in intensive care units and the improvement of computed tomography and angioembolization technique.[1] However, the indications and criteria for successful (NOM) remain controversial. The study is aimed to evaluate the feasibility of conservative treatment and to identify the main predictor factors of NOM to choose the most appropriate therapeutic attitude.

A retrospective multivariate regression analysis was carried out of 100 patients with injury to the spleen between 2013 and 2018. A total of 100 patients were identified (80 men and 20 women) with a median age of 36 ± 15.75 years. In 59 cases, spleen lesions were associated with other intra-abdominal involvement mainly in the liver (57.6%) and kidneys (50.8%). Nine patients were admitted for penetrating splenic trauma, among which three had an attempt of NOM, which was successful in two-thirds of the cases. Ninety-one patients were admitted for blunt splenic trauma with an attempt of NOM in 81.3% of cases and a success rate of 86.5%. Our analytical study [Table 1] found that predictors of NOM failure were age ≥55 years (P = 0.011), SBP at admission <100 mmHg (P = 0.000071), or shock on admission (P = 0.028), a transfusion of three units or more of packed red cells (PRC) (P = 0.0029), as well as associated pancreatic injury (P = 0.00018) or intra-abdominal hollow organ injury (P = 0.01). As a result of the multivariate logistic regression analysis [Table 2], SBP <100 mmHg (odds ratio [OR] = 1.293; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.045–1.601; P = 0.018) and blood transfusion >3 PRC (OR = 2.739; 95% CI = 1.140–6.581; P = 0.024) were determined to be independent predictive factors for the failure of NOM.

Table 1.

Univariate analysis of patient and trauma characteristics

Variable Successful NOM Failed NOM P
Age 34.94±15 47.6±20.6 0.011
Accident mechanism
 Road accidents 59.37 80 0.21
 Assaults 9.37 0 0.31
GCS 6.25 20 0.13
SBP 100 mmHg 3.12 40 0.000071
Pulse rate >100 21.87 50 0.081
Shock 3.12 20. 0.028
Hb <10 7.8 10 0.81
Transfusion >3 CG 6.67 70 0.0029
AAST >III 23.44 30 0.65
Associated lesions
 Liver 34.37 40 0.73
 Pancreas 0 20 0.00018
 Kidney 26.56 50 0.13
 Hollow organ 0 10 0.01
ISS >25 46.87 30 0.32

NOM: Nonoperative management, GCS: Glasgow Coma Scale, SBP: Systolic blood pressure, Hb: Hemoglobin, AAST: American Association for the Surgery of Trauma, ISS: Injury severity score

Table 2.

Results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis

Variables OR 95% Confidence Interval (Lower-Upper) P
Age 1.043 0.065-17.004 0.976
SBP <100 mmHg 1.294 1.046-1.599 0.018
Shock 0.854 0.379-1.898 0.699
Transfusion >3 CG 2.81 1.150-6.589 0.025
Associated lesions
 Pancreas 0.951 0.851-1.064 0.387
 Hollow organ 0.875 0.428-1.803 0.254

OR: Odds ratio, CI: Confidence interval, SBP: Systolic blood pressure

NOM means surgical observation with a serial physical examination, serial computed tomography, or angiographic embolization. The overall success rate reported in the literature ranged from 78% to 98%.[2] In our study, the success rate was 86.5%. Several studies determined a correlation between failed NOM and statistically significantly lower SBP in admission.[3,4] and higher requirement in blood transfusion in the first 24 h.[5] Special attention should be paid to these patients when they are treated with NOM approaches.

Financial support and sponsorship

Nil.

Conflicts of interest

There are no conflicts of interest.

REFERENCES

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