Sir
The recent wave of corona virus is spreading like a ‘tsunami’ in India. As on April 23, 2021, the COVID-19 cases have crossed the 15.9 million, with 1,85,000 deaths. The 2nd wave is evolving at a phenomenal speed as compared to the 1st wave. There could be several factors responsible for the increased number of cases in the second wave. It is observed that the mutant virus has more effective transmission capability and its incubation period is also lesser. There has been a widespread disregard to the ‘Covid Appropriate Behaviours or CAB’ by the public and the quality of masks used are highly variable. N-95 masks are not much favored masks in India, due to their higher costs and the majority public are using either the indigenous masks made of clothes or are repeatedly using the same and worn out masks. The sharp rise can also be attributed to the higher testing; but, the doubts have been raised about the quality of testing as several cases of positive Covid-19 symptoms are reported as negative on the RT-PCR test.
There are several obvious differences in the first and the second wave (Table 1 ). In the 2nd wave the paediatric and younger individuals are getting infected, in addition to older ones [1]. The symptoms of COVID 2nd wave are also variable, especially gastrointestinal [2].
Table 1.
FIRST WAVE | SECOND WAVE | |
---|---|---|
Causative organism | SARS-Cov-2 virus | Several mutants of SARS-Cov-2 virus |
Knowledge about the disease | Less | More |
Symptomatology | More related to respiratory system | Newer symptoms like Gastrointestinal etc. adding |
Presentation | More severe | Lesser intense |
Shortness of breaths | Less cases with breathlessness | More cases with breathlessness |
Age profile of the patients | More older population | More younger population |
Comorbidities | Patients with comorbidities affected more |
Less |
Drug availability | Acute shortage and black marketing | Available in the hospitals and pharmacies |
Health care workers | •Lesser trained people •Fear of acquiring infection •Not vaccinated |
•More trained increased •Lesser fear to acquire infection •Mostly vaccinated |
Bed capacity | Limited | Enhanced |
Ventilator beds | Less than 25000 | Increased to more than 50000 |
Laboratory testing | Only one laboratory in January 2020 | More laboratories in Private and Government center |
PPE | Scarcity | Plenty one million PPE produced |
Vaccine | Not available | Three approved vaccines available |
Treatment affordability | •Increased test price •Increased treatment cost and PPE |
•Markedly reduced test price •Reduced treatment cost and PPE |
Oxygen requirement to the patient | Less | More |
Requirement of mechanical ventilation | Less | More |
Disease Spread | Slower | Much faster |
Plasma Therapy | Limited | Much more |
Death rate | Higher | Lower |
Positivity rate | Lower | Much higher |
Indian perspective
It has been stated that several factors could have led to rise in reproduction number (R0) in India. If the number of COVID-19 cases rises on day to day basis with the current phenomenal speed; there will be the exhaustion of resources and manpower. There is an acute shortage of hospital beds, oxygen supply, medicines, and ventilators across the country for COVID-19 patients. Although there is no significant percentage increase in the death rate in the second wave, but due to alarmingly high number of infections, the total death numbers are disappointingly high [3]. Therefore, there is an urgent need for temporary but timely establishment of the hospitals that can save thousands of lives. Since, there no end to this clamity visible in the near future, the population has to learn to live with it in the most careful and safe manner and follow the CAB strictly. It is obvious that the prevention is better than cure for this disease and all the possible measures such as engagement and participation of public in controlling the disease, strict implementation of COVID Appropriate Behaviors (i.e, social distancing, use of face masks, and hand sanitation), mini lockdowns, night curfews, micro containments, etc must be implemented and observed by the Public.
Author's statements
Contributors: KPI, VKJ and RV involved in writing the original draft of manuscript, literature search, planning, conduct and editing. VKJ involved in Conceptualization, literature search, review and editing. All authors approved the final draft.
Funding statement
The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Patient consent for publication
Not required.
Declaration of competing interest
None declared.
Acknowledgements
None.
References
- 1.Hippich M., Sifft P., Zapardiel-Gonzalo J., Böhmer M.M., Lampasona V., Bonifacio E., Ziegler A.G. A public health antibody screening indicates a marked increase of SARS-CoV-2 exposure rate in children during the second wave. Med (N Y) 2021 Apr 3 doi: 10.1016/j.medj.2021.03.019. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Jalali S.F., Ghassemzadeh M., Mouodi S., Javanian M., Akbari Kani M., Ghadimi R., Bijani A. Epidemiologic comparison of the first and second waves of coronavirus disease in Babol, North of Iran. Caspian J Intern Med. 2020 Fall;11(Suppl 1):544–550. doi: 10.22088/cjim.11.0.544. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.India's second wave of Covid-19 'less severe', no change in death rate: ICMR DG https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/indias-second-wave-of-covid-19-less-severe-no-change-in-death-rate-icmr-dg-101618821805826.html