Table 1.
ARIMA model parameters for Figure 1A
| Estimate | Standard error | t value | p value | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMA model parameters 1 | Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3726.399 | 145.993 | 25.525 | <0.001 | |
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.609 | 0.446 | 1.364 | 0.206 | |||
| Time period | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.585 | 38.550 | 6.734 | <0.001 | |
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 3144.925 | 305.505 | 10.294 | <0.001 | |
| Interact | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −530.221 | 50.743 | −10.449 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 2 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.494 | 145.369 | 25.628 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.605 | 0.447 | 1.352 | 0.209 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −37.185 | 133.227 | −0.279 | 0.786 | |
| 6 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.901 | 38.473 | 6.755 | <0.001 | |
| 6 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.593 | 29.031 | −9.321 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 3 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.852 | 145.951 | 25.528 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.609 | 0.446 | 1.364 | 0.206 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −567.264 | 151.953 | −3.733 | 0.005 | |
| 12 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.802 | 38.542 | 6.741 | <0.001 | |
| 12 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.729 | 29.187 | −9.276 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 4 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.668 | 145.560 | 25.595 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.606 | 0.447 | 1.356 | 0.208 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −1097.990 | 183.443 | −5.985 | <0.001 | |
| 18 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.844 | 38.496 | 6.750 | <0.001 | |
| 18 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.607 | 29.076 | −9.307 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 5 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3724.868 | 145.799 | 25.548 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.608 | 0.447 | 1.362 | 0.206 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −1629.819 | 222.141 | −7.337 | <0.001 | |
| 24 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 260.098 | 38.526 | 6.751 | <0.001 | |
| 24 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.753 | 29.171 | −9.282 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 6 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3724.800 | 145.744 | 25.557 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.608 | 0.447 | 1.362 | 0.206 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −2160.452 | 264.907 | −8.156 | <0.001 | |
| 30 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 260.093 | 38.520 | 6.752 | <0.001 | |
| 30 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.776 | 29.142 | −9.291 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 7 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.820 | 145.699 | 25.572 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.607 | 0.447 | 1.359 | 0.207 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −2688.893 | 309.975 | −8.675 | <0.001 | |
| 36 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.782 | 38.514 | 6.745 | <0.001 | |
| 36 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.635 | 29.101 | −9.300 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 8 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.288 | 145.465 | 25.609 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.606 | 0.447 | 1.354 | 0.209 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −3220.464 | 356.342 | −9.038 | <0.001 | |
| 42 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.944 | 38.486 | 6.754 | <0.001 | |
| 42 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.626 | 29.045 | −9.317 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 9 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.283 | 145.604 | 25.585 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.607 | 0.447 | 1.357 | 0.208 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −3751.680 | 404.167 | −9.282 | <0.001 | |
| 48 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.969 | 38.501 | 6.752 | <0.001 | |
| 48 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.673 | 29.106 | −9.300 | <0.001 | |
| ARIMA model parameters 10 | ||||||||
| Outcomes | No transformation | Constant | 3725.515 | 146.026 | 25.513 | <0.001 | ||
| AR | Lag 1 | 0.610 | 0.446 | 1.368 | 0.205 | |||
| Phase | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −4282.119 | 453.283 | −9.447 | <0.001 | |
| 54 months preintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | 259.869 | 38.551 | 6.741 | <0.001 | |
| 54 months postintervention | No transformation | Numerator | Lag 0 | −270.905 | 29.197 | −9.279 | <0.001 | |