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. 2021 May 29;21:1011. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-10875-w

Estimating the indirect prevalence of female genital mutilation/cutting in Switzerland

S Cottler-Casanova 1,2,3,, J Abdulcadir 1
PMCID: PMC8164278  PMID: 34051758

Abstract

Background

We updated the indirect estimates for women and girls living with Female Genital Mutilation Cutting (FGM/C) in Switzerland, using data from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office of migrant women and girls born in one of the 30 high-prevalence FGM/C countries that are currently living in Switzerland.

Methods

We used Yoder and Van Baelen’s “Extrapolation of FGM/C Countries’ Prevalence Data” method, where we applied DHS and MICS prevalence figures from the 30 countries where FGM/C is practiced, and applied them to the immigrant women and girls living in Switzerland from the same 30 countries.

Results

In 2010, the estimated number of women and girls living with or at risk of FGM/C in Switzerland was 9059, whereas in 2018, we estimated that 21,706 women and girls were living with or at risk of FGM/C.

Conclusion

Over the past decade, there have been significant increases in the number of estimated women and girls living with or at risk of FGM/C in Switzerland due to the increase in the total number of women and girls originally coming form the countries where the practice of FGM/C is traditional.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-10875-w.

Keywords: Female genital mutilation, Female genital cutting, Female genital mutilation/cutting, Indirect estimates, Prevalence, Switzerland

Background

The practice of Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting (FGM/C) has been recorded in more than 31 countries around the world. The prevalence of the traditional practice has been widely documented, with standardized survey methodologies developed and refined over the past decades. The main surveys used to estimate prevalence of FGM/C are the Demographic Health Survey (DHS) developed by ICF International [1] and the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) led by UNICEF [2]. These surveys provide national FGM/C estimates by sampling households that are representative of the national population and asking them a series of questions about FGM/C, such as whether and how the procedure was conducted, at what age, and by type of practitioner.

UNICEF’s most recent estimates report that the number of women and girls that have undergone FGM/C globally have reached 200 million [3]. However, their estimates lack data from countries where the traditional practice is carried out but no data exists (e.g. Saudi Arabia, India, etc.). Additionally, this estimate does not include data from high-income countries where first or following generations of women and girls with FGM/C live [4]. The real prevalence and incidence of FGM/C is unknown in Switzerland and many parts of Europe, as there are no representative surveys similar to DHS or MICS for European countries. Demographers predict that migrants coming from FGM/C-practicing countries towards high income and European countries such as Switzerland will continue to increase [5]. A study published in 2016 analyzing data from the 2011 European census, estimated that, of the 1,353,970 women and girls in Europe aged 10 years and above coming from 1 of the 30 high-prevalence FGM/C countries, an estimated 578,068 women and girls have undergone some type of FGM/C [4]. As of February 2020, there are now 31 FGM/C high-prevalence countries with MICS/DHS estimates, with the addition of the Maldives. The surge of migrants from these countries thus affects the number of women and girls living with FGM/C in Europe. In 2016, estimates in Switzerland showed that around 14,700 women and girls were respectively living with FGM/C or were considered to be theoretically at risk of having undergone or undergoing FGM/C in the future due to their geographical origin only [6]. Since then, estimates have not been updated.

Maria Roth Bernasconi’s parliament initiative to introduce a specific Swiss penal code article against female genital mutilation was the catalyst for the Swiss government’s involvement in the issue of FGM/C [7]. The Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH) has been funding awareness-raising and prevention measures aimed at preventing FGM/C through the national program Migration and Health since 2003. The State Secretariat for Migration, SEM, has been involved in these activities since 2010 as well. In 2015, the National Council decided to support a network to tackle female genital mutilation for the 2016–2019 period. This period has been prolonged until 2021 [8].

More recent and regular estimates on women and girls affected by FGM/C need to be carried out in Switzerland to guide policies. One of the biggest challenges to getting up-to-date estimates is to determine a reliable number of migrant women and girls by country of origin, which usually requires access to census data of the country—limiting estimates to ten-year periods for many European countries. Switzerland is in a unique position because since 2010, the Swiss census is carried out annually, providing a modern statistical database for researchers, policy makers, etc. to observe various data points on a continuous basis [9].

The aim of this study is to update the indirect prevalence estimates for women and girls living with FGM/C in Switzerland, using data from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office of migrant women and girls, born in one of the 30 high-prevalence FGM/C countries that are currently living in Switzerland, i.e. first-generation migrants. Such an update is the first step of a wider research project conducted in Switzerland in 2018 entitled “Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting with a focus on prevalence, risk factors and Swiss health care professionals’ capacities”.

Methods

We used a similar methodology to Yoder and Van Baelen [4, 10], applying FGM/C DHS and MICS prevalence figures (for girls and women age 15–49) from high-prevalence countries to the number of migrant women and girls living in Switzerland.

We applied the total country prevalence estimates of women aged 15–49 to all migrant women and girls living in Switzerland from the same countries. We also conducted a separate analysis for girls aged 0–14, where we applied the prevalence estimates of girls 0–14 to all migrant girls 0–14 living in Switzerland from the same countries. Where no prevalence estimates for girls 0–14 were available, we applied the prevalence estimates for girls 15–19.

We used the most recent MICS or DHS estimates available for each year (Table 1) and multiplied them to the number of immigrant women and girls from each FGM/C high-prevalence country from 2010 to 2018 based on the Swiss Federal Statistical Office (FSO)‘s Interactive Database. USAID’s Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and UNICEF’s Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) are large-scale population-based surveys that produce estimates of socioeconomic and health indicators in low- and middle-income countries [1, 2]. The DHS and MICS surveys have played an important role in the reporting of FGM/C prevalence data in low- and middle- income countries over the past 30 years. Table 1 shows the prevalence estimates from women and girls aged 15–49 that are available for 30 countries where FGM/C is practiced that we used in our study.

Table 1.

FGM/C Country Prevalence Estimates

Country Prevalence Estimate (Women ages 15–49), Source, Year of Publication
Benin (.129 DHS 2006) (.073 DHS 2011–2012) (.092 MICS 2014)
Burkina Faso (.758 DHS 2010)
Cameroon (.014 DHS 2004)
Central African Republic (.242 MICS 2010)
Chad (.442 MICS 2010) (.384 DHS 2014–2015)
Djibouti (.931 MICS 2006)
Egypt (.911 DHS 2008) (.923 DHS 2014) (.872 DHS 2015)
Eritrea (.83 PHS 2010)
Ethiopia (.743 DHS 2005) (.652 DHS 2016)
Gambia (.763 MICS 2010) (.749 DHS 2013) (.757 MICS 2018)
Ghana (.038 MICS 2006) (.038 MICS 2011)
Guinea (.956 DHS 2005) (.969 DHS/MICS 2012) (.968 MICS 2016) (.945 DHS 2018)
Guinea-Bissau (.498 MICS 2010) (.449 MICS 2014)
Iraq (.081 MICS 2011) (.074 MICS 2018)
Ivory Coast (.364 MICS 2006) (.382 DHS 2011–2012) (.367 MICS 2016)
Kenya (.271 DHS 2008–2009) (.21 DHS 2014)
Liberia (.582 DHS 2007) (.498 DHS 2013)
Mali (.885 MICS 2010) (.914 DHS 2013) (.827 MICS 2015) (.886 DHS 2018)
Mauritania (.722 MICS 2007) (.694 MICS 2011) (.666 MICS 2015)
Niger (.022 DHS/MICS 2006) (.02 DHS/MICS 2012)
Nigeria (.296 DHS 2008) (.27 MICS 2011) (.248 DHS 2013) (.184 MICS 2016–2017) (.195 DHS 2018)
Senegal (.257 DHS/MICS 2010–2011) (.247 DHS 2014) (.242 DHS 2015) (.227 DHS 2016) (.24 DHS 2017)
Sierra Leone (.88 MICS 2010) (.896 DHS 2013) (.861 MICS 2017)
Somalia (.979 MICS 2006)
Sudan & South Sudan (.876 SHHS 2010) (.866 MICS 2014)
Tanzania (.146 DHS 2010) (.1 DHS 2015–2016)
Togo (.039 MICS 2010) (.047 DHS 2013–2014)
Uganda (.006 DHS 2006) (.014 DHS 2011) (.03 DHS 2016)
Yemen (.215 FHS 2003) (.185 DHS 2013)

We used the Swiss Federal Statistical Office’s (FSO) publicly available interactive database STAT-TAB to obtain the number of female permanent and non-permanent residents living in Switzerland from 2010 to 2018 from high FGM/C prevalence countries [11].

We included women and girls of all ages, who have a residence permit labeled “Swiss”, Residence permit (permit B), a settlement permit (permit C), a residence permit with gainful employment (permit Ci), a status of provisionally admitted person (permit F), or of asylum seeker (permit N), or who were diplomats, international civil servants with diplomatic immunity and international civil servants without diplomatic immunity. The citizenship countries that we included were the ones for which FGM/C estimates were available and is known to be practiced: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Ivory Coast, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan and South Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, Iraq, Yemen (Table 2) [3]. Table 2 shows the number of migrant women and girls of all ages living in Switzerland from high FGM/C prevalence countries between 2010-2018. This differs slightly from the UNICEF Switzerland estimates from 2012, as Zambia has since been excluded, and Iraq has been included [12].

Table  2.

Migrant Women and Girls in Switzerland 2010–2018

Country Swiss 2010 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2011 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2012 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2013 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2014 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2015 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2016 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2017 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2018 Migrants Living in Switzerland [WOMEN & GIRLS]
Benin 116 124 147 156 145 150 146 143 127
Burkina Faso 168 180 181 180 187 189 189 199 192
Cameroon 2694 2724 2721 2728 2724 2741 2760 2737 2705
Central African Republic 28 27 31 24 25 24 29 33 33
Chad 59 57 62 73 71 70 68 64 64
Djibouti 11 13 14 14 15 18 19 16 16
Egypt 668 736 761 813 826 827 834 865 864
Eritrea 3558 5017 7321 8388 10,300 12,859 14,339 15,600 16,543
Ethiopia 1495 1535 1668 1772 1847 1946 2050 2076 2095
Gambia 64 68 86 98 106 123 121 130 141
Ghana 693 688 701 707 715 708 714 715 723
Guinea 215 229 260 269 287 299 319 335 362
Guinea-Bissau 19 34 45 49 47 54 53 54 61
Iraq 2768 2821 2794 2809 2901 3490 3719 3725 3804
Ivory Coast 885 921 958 976 984 978 971 1006 1008
Kenya 867 907 922 934 972 999 1023 1028 1072
Liberia 64 66 69 69 63 62 60 59 56
Mali 106 103 115 117 121 104 108 108 115
Mauritania 30 35 35 31 31 28 27 33 32
Niger 41 39 40 42 44 48 42 41 49
Nigeria 695 795 880 857 889 900 909 967 987
Senegal 498 522 547 567 591 632 656 675 672
Sierra Leone 79 71 75 68 64 76 71 74 72
Somalia 2266 2396 2648 2705 2819 3031 3243 3275 3290
Sudanb 256 274 289 286 312 324 373 373 409
Tanzania 163 165 162 170 174 177 184 183 188
Togo 568 599 628 649 680 697 699 688 687
Uganda 222 214 219 222 214 204 210 235 253
Yemen 210 225 239 250 271 277 266 270 278
Total 19,506 21,585 24,618 26,023 28,425 32,035 34,202 35,707 36,898

Table 3 shows the number of migrant girls aged 0–14 living in Switzerland from 2010 to 2018 from high FGM/C prevalence countries. We used the STAT-TAB database to obtain the information.

Table 3.

Migrant Girls in Switzerland 2010–2018

Country Swiss 2010 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2011 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2012 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2013 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2014 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2015 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2016 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2017 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2018 Migrants Living in Switzerland [GIRLS 0–14]
Benin 29 32 41 46 36 41 40 41 31
Burkina Faso 27 24 27 20 23 21 24 26 28
Cameroon 409 407 410 413 407 419 425 406 392
Central African Republic 3 3 4 0 0 0 3 4 4
Chad 15 16 20 22 26 29 27 25 24
Djibouti 3 4 5 5 6 7 5 2 2
Egypt 166 178 184 212 216 213 202 207 194
Eritrea 1084 1556 2214 2685 3235 3923 4632 5355 5970
Ethiopia 367 360 412 417 418 435 465 496 497
Gambia 10 12 20 26 27 34 31 33 39
Ghana 150 144 150 156 154 150 142 138 133
Guinea 48 49 63 62 64 80 87 89 102
Guinea-Bissau 4 7 11 11 11 12 13 13 16
Iraq 934 918 885 895 930 1152 1233 1211 1253
Ivory Coast 120 135 147 160 159 158 157 167 163
Kenya 94 115 118 117 139 134 143 136 141
Liberia 15 16 19 18 15 15 12 12 13
Mali 22 20 23 22 20 15 20 19 16
Mauritania 5 10 9 6 5 3 4 8 6
Niger 8 10 10 11 12 13 10 9 11
Nigeria 172 210 225 227 228 242 240 251 260
Senegal 75 78 85 97 107 116 121 123 119
Sierra Leone 18 19 20 19 19 22 20 21 17
Somalia 754 817 925 973 1005 1038 1092 1151 1172
Sudanb 77 87 92 83 89 84 100 93 103
Tanzania 22 23 22 23 21 22 27 26 30
Togo 158 175 187 187 201 205 198 185 180
Uganda 36 28 31 34 31 24 25 31 41
Yemen 75 77 77 84 89 85 70 67 65
Total 4900 5530 6436 7031 7693 8692 9568 10,345 11,022

Results

Table 4 describes the estimated total number of women and girls in Switzerland that are living with FGM/C. Indonesia was excluded because there are no DHS and MICS prevalence estimates for the country. In 2010, there were 914 women and girls from Indonesia living in Switzerland, and in 2018, there were 1229.

Table  4.

Applied Indirect Estimates for Women and Girls (Age 15+) 2010–2018

Country Swiss 2010 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2011 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2012 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2013 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2014 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2015 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2016 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2017 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS] Swiss 2018 Applied Indirect Estimate [WOMEN & GIRLS]
Benin 14.964 9.052 10.731 11.388 13.340 13.800 13.432 13.156 11.684
Burkina Faso 127.344 136.440 137.198 136.440 141.746 143.262 143.262 150.842 145.536
Cameroon 37.716 38.136 38.094 38.192 38.136 38.374 38.640 38.318 37.870
Central African Republic 6.776 6.534 7.502 5.808 6.050 5.808 7.018 7.986 7.986
Chad 26.078 25.194 27.404 32.266 27.264 26.880 26.112 24.576 24.576
Djibouti 10.241 12.103 13.034 13.034 13.965 16.758 17.689 14.896 14.896
Egypt 608.548 670.496 693.271 740.643 762.398 721.144 727.248 754.280 753.408
Eritrea 2953.140 4164.110 6076.430 6962.040 8549.000 10,672.970 11,901.370 12,948.000 13,730.690
Ethiopia 1110.785 1140.505 1239.324 1316.596 1372.321 1445.878 1336.600 1353.552 1365.940
Gambia 48.832 51.884 65.618 73.402 79.394 92.127 90.629 97.370 106.737
Ghana 26.334 26.144 26.638 26.866 27.170 26.904 27.132 27.170 27.474
Guinea 205.540 218.924 251.940 260.661 278.103 289.731 308.792 324.280 342.090
Guinea-Bissau 9.462 16.932 22.410 24.402 21.103 24.246 23.797 24.246 27.389
Iraq 224.210 228.501 226.314 227.529 234.981 282.690 301.239 301.725 281.496
Ivory Coast 322.140 351.822 365.956 372.832 375.888 373.596 356.357 369.202 369.936
Kenya 234.957 245.797 249.862 253.114 204.120 209.790 214.830 215.880 225.120
Liberia 37.248 38.412 40.158 34.362 31.374 30.876 29.880 29.382 27.888
Mali 93.810 91.155 101.775 106.938 110.594 86.008 89.316 89.316 101.890
Mauritania 21.660 24.290 24.290 21.514 21.514 18.648 17.982 21.978 8.986
Niger 0.902 0.858 0.800 0.840 0.880 0.960 0.840 0.820 0.980
Nigeria 205.720 214.650 237.600 212.536 220.472 223.200 167.256 177.928 192.465
Senegal 127.986 134.154 140.579 145.719 145.977 152.944 148.912 162.000 161.280
Sierra Leone 69.520 62.480 66.000 60.928 57.344 68.096 63.616 63.714 61.992
Somalia 2218.414 2345.684 2592.392 2648.195 2759.801 2967.349 3174.897 3206.225 3220.910
Sudanb 224.256 240.024 253.164 250.536 270.192 280.584 323.018 323.018 354.194
Tanzania 23.798 24.090 23.652 24.820 25.404 17.700 18.400 18.300 18.800
Togo 22.152 23.361 24.492 30.503 31.960 32.759 32.853 32.336 32.289
Uganda 1.332 2.996 3.066 3.108 2.996 2.856 0.630 0.705 0.759
Yemen 45.150 48.375 51.385 46.250 50.135 51.245 49.210 49.950 51.430
Total 9059.01 10,593.10 13,011.079 14,081.462 15,873.622 18,317.183 19,650.957 20,841.151 21,706.691

The evolution of migratory flows throughout the past years has had an effect on the total number of female migrants from these high-prevalence FGM/C countries (Table 2). Between 2010 and 2018, the total number of female migrants has increased, particularly from Eritrea (5-fold increase), with smaller increases from Ethiopia, Egypt, Gambia, Iraq, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, Somalia, and Sudan & South Sudan. The number of women from Chad, Sierra Leone and Liberia has slightly declined, while others have stayed stable. Thus, the number of girls and women affected by FGM/C has changed as well.

Over the past decade, there have been significant increases in the number of estimated women and girls living with FGM/C in Switzerland. Our estimates show that in 2010, of the 19,506 women and girls living in Switzerland coming from 1 of the 30 countries where FGM/C is traditional, an estimated 9059 were subjected to the harmful practice. In 2018, of the 36,898 women and girls living in Switzerland coming from 1 of the 30 high prevalence FGM/C countries, an estimated 21,706 have been subjected to the harmful practice.

More than 16,000 of the 36,898 migrant women from the FGM/C high prevalence countries in 2018 come from Eritrea. The indirect estimation of Eritrean women living in Switzerland, where FGM/C estimated prevalence is among the highest in the world, is 13,730. The second highest migrant group of this population comes from Somalia, where the FGM/C estimated prevalence is almost 98%. Out of 3290 women and girls living in Switzerland from Somalia, the applied indirect estimate is 3220 women.

Some countries have made improvements to their prevalence rates over the past years, for example Ethiopia, whose prevalence was .742 in 2010 and has decreased to .650 in 2016, which has an impact on the number of women and girls originating from these countries estimated to be living with FGM/C in Switzerland. In 2010, out of 1495 women and girls from Ethiopia, 1110 were estimated to be living with FGM/C. Fast forward to 2018, 1365 women and girls are estimated to be living with FGM/C out of 2095 total migrant women from Ethiopia.

Table 5 describes the estimated total number of girls ages 0–14 in Switzerland that are at risk of or have undergone FGM/C. This number is based on the indirect prevalence calculation, using data from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office of migrant girls born in one of the 30 high-prevalence FGM/C countries that are currently living in Switzerland (Tables 3 and 4), and multiplied by each country’s most recent DHS and MICS prevalence estimates for ages 0–14. Where estimates for this age group were not available, estimates for the 15–19 age group were used. In 2018, of the 11,022 girls living in Switzerland coming from 1 of the 30 high prevalence FGM/C countries, 3512 are estimated to be at risk or have been subjected to the harmful practice. Migrant girls from countries such as Eritrea, Gambia, Guinea, Senegal and Somalia all saw increases in the number of girls aged 0–14 that are estimated to be living with or at risk of FGM/C in Switzerland between 2010 and 2018. Over the past 10 years, some countries saw a decrease in the number of girls aged 0–14 that are estimated to be living with FGM/C in Switzerland, such as Egypt, Ethiopia, Kenya, Liberia, and Yemen,

Table 5.

Applied Indirect Estimates for Girls at risk or having undergone FGM/C (Ages 0–14) 2010–2018

Country Swiss 2010 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2011 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2012 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2013 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2014 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2015 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2016 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2017 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14] Swiss 2018 Applied Indirect Estimate [GIRLS 0–14]
Benin 0.06 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.062
Burkina Faso 3.59 3.19 3.59 2.66 3.06 2.79 3.19 3.46 3.724
Cameroon 2.86 2.85 2.87 2.89 2.85 2.93 2.98 2.84 2.744
Central African Republic 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.032
Chad 1.83 1.95 2.44 2.68 2.57 2.87 2.67 2.48 2.376
Djibouti 1.46 1.94 2.43 2.43 2.91 3.40 2.43 0.97 0.97
Egypt 40.01d 42.90d 44.34d 51.09d 46.22d 30.03 28.48 29.19 27.354
Eritrea 478.04 686.20 976.37 1184.09 1426.64 1730.04 2042.71 2361.56 2632.77
Ethiopia 138.36 135.72 155.32 157.21 157.59 164.00 73.01 77.87 78.029
Gambia 4.24 5.09 8.48 19.84a 20.60a 25.94a 23.65a 25.18a 19.734
Ghana 2.10a 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.532
Guinea 27.26 27.83 28.67 28.21 29.12 36.40 39.41 40.32 39.882
Guinea-Bissau 1.55 2.71 4.26 4.26 3.26 3.55 3.85 3.85 4.736
Iraq 192.40b 189.11 182.31 184.37 191.58 237.31 254.00 249.47 6.265
Ivory Coast 11.40 14.18 15.44 16.80 16.70 16.59 17.11 18.20 17.767
Kenya 13.72a 16.79a 17.23a 17.08a 3.89 3.75 4.00 3.81 3.948
Liberia 5.37a 5.73a 6.80a 5.60 4.67 4.67 3.73 3.73 4.043
Mali 16.41 14.92 17.16 15.22 13.84 11.46 15.28 14.52 11.632
Mauritania 3.29 5.48 4.93 3.29 2.74 1.60 2.13 4.26 3.192
Niger 0.07a 0.09a 0.14a 0.15a 0.17a 0.18a 0.14a 0.13a 0.154a
Nigeria 51.43 40.32 43.20 38.36 38.53 40.90 60.72 63.50 49.92
Senegal 9.68c 10.06c 10.97 12.51 13.80 16.94 16.46 17.22 16.66
Sierra Leone 1.80 1.90 2.00 14.12a 14.12a 16.35a 14.86a 1.76 1.428
Somalia 346.84 375.82 425.50 447.58 462.30 477.48 502.32 529.46 539.12
Sudanb 28.49 32.19 34.04 30.71 28.04 26.46 31.50 29.30 32.445
Tanzania 0.75 0.78 0.75 0.78 0.71 1.03 1.27 1.22 1.41
Togo 0.63 0.70 0.75 0.56 0.60 0.62 0.59 0.56 0.54
Uganda 0.18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.041
Yemen 16.13 16.555 16.56 13.78a 14.60a 13.94a 11.48a 10.99a 10.66a
Total 1399.97 1635.72 2007.32 2257.07 2501.81 2871.93 3158.67 3496.51 3512.17

aEstimates for ages 15–19 were used when estimates for 0–14 were unavailable

bIn Iraq, estimates for 2011 were used when estimates for 2010 were unavailable

cEstimates for Senegal for 2010–2011 are for girls ages 0–10, not 0–15

d Estimates for Egypt from 2010 to 2014 include ages 0–19

The applied indirect estimates for 2018 show a significant decrease for the number of migrant girls with FGM/C from Iraq. New prevalence estimates reported that .005% of girls in Iraq are reported to be at risk or have undergone any form of FGM/C. Out of 1253 girls from Iraq, only 6 girls are estimated to be at risk or have undergone FGM/C. All tables and estimations are available in Additional file 1.

Discussion

The increase in overall migration from the 30 high-prevalence FGM/C countries should not be overlooked. This increased migrant population leads to an increased estimated FGM/C indirect prevalence [11]. Take for example, the large number of Eritreans present in Switzerland. In 2017, 18,088 people sought asylum in Switzerland [13]. The main country of origin of asylum seekers was Eritrea, with 3375 applications, accounting for over 10% of all applications [13]. Eritreans have been fleeing compulsory military service and dictatorship in their country [14]. However, these asylum applications have continued to fall the past couple of years both in Europe and Switzerland [13]. In 2017, asylum applications were down 33% from 2016—one of the main reasons being that Eritrean arrivals had significantly fallen and that had a direct impact on the number of asylum applications.

Indirect estimation is a systematic and affordable method for estimating the number of women with FGM/C in high-income countries [1517]. Leye et al. outline that these estimations allow policy makers to look for trends as well as evaluate the impact of prevention programs based on reliable approximations [18]. However, it has methodological limitations and may not reflect the actual FGM/C prevalence among migrants in Switzerland or any community.

There are several demographic characteristics that can influence a woman or girl’s likelihood of having undergone FGM/C that are not taken into account when making indirect estimates. The migrant population in Switzerland may or may not be representative of the population in their country of origin due to socio-economic status, regional origin, religion or ethnicity and therefore may not accurately emulate the prevalence of FGM/C in their home country [19]. For example, we cannot accurately rely on indirect measures for migrants from countries where FGM/C prevalence differs greatly according to ethnicity, without taking into account the migrant’s ethnicity, which is often not included in demographic or census data [20, 21].

Indirect estimates do not account for factors that may influence migrant’s change of behavior, attitudes and beliefs towards FGM/C such as laws prohibiting the practice of FGM/C as well as social pressure not to carry out the traditional practice. However, laws do not always explain the diminishing trend of  FGM/C, as similar trends are observed in countries with and without legislation forbidding the practice [22]. The longer migrants stay in Switzerland, the more acculturation is likely to occur, which could lead either to the abandonment of the practice, or to the preservation of the tradition [23].

Prevalence estimations do not account for the many women and girls that are unaware if they underwent the cutting or of the type of FGM/C they may be living with because there is no physical examination of the genitalia, and therefore the estimations of the prevalence in their country of origin may be underreported [24]. Because of that, surveying samples of migrants might inform future estimates and inform interventions, but would also have limitations.

The real prevalence and incidence of FGM/C and the number of minors at risk remain unknown in many countries, including Switzerland. Our estimates look at major age groupings of girls 0–14 and women over 15. We did not take into account age-adjusted groupings by 5-year groups. Additionally, prevalence estimates that would look at both the Swiss region and canton would allow us to implement more targeted interventions. To obtain more accurate indirect estimates, more detailed information on migrant’s ethnicity as well as their region of origin would need to be recorded upon entry into Switzerland, as FGM/C prevalence often varies significantly in certain ethnic groups and regions.

Despite the various limitations to using indirect measures, we can nevertheless show that there has been a significant increase in the number of women and girls living with or at risk of FGM/C in Switzerland since the previous estimates were conducted. Although we must improve our future estimates, our data show that we must also improve the Swiss capacity for FGM/C monitoring, prevention, treatment and training on this population across diverse settings (medical, social, school, asylum, police).

Conclusion

Our indirect estimates can only partially inform future policy and public health programs. We believe that indirect estimates should be conducted alongside direct estimates. Direct measures may provide more accurate estimates that could guide policy- and clinical decision-making. Surveying samples of migrants to estimate FGM/C prevalence also has limitations, as they might not know whether they experienced FGM/C or be unaware of the type. However, the implementation of questions about history and type of FGM/C could be integrated into routine health examinations for women and girls coming from countries at risk upon entry into Switzerland, as long as the necessary training is provided. We recommend healthcare professionals and medical coders to use our proposed list of codes from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) to document and code FGM/C, its associated procedures, and complications, as well as girls “at risk” [25]. Because the ICD is already used by countries around the world, our proposed methods would be feasible in many countries with the proper training on how to diagnose, classify and document FGM/C correctly. ICD is an existing tool that allows for standardized international comparisons [25]. Additionally, we hypothesize that accurate documentation and coding of FGM/C by care-givers will provide more reliable data than those obtained through self-reporting. Furthermore, hospital data represents an opportunity to study access and quality of care for patients who underwent FGM/C, providing guidance for health interventions.

These estimates are meant to be compared with direct data obtained from Swiss University Hospitals in the next steps of a wider research project conducted in Switzerland in 2018 entitled “Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting with a focus on prevalence, risk factors and Swiss health care professionals’ capacities. As a follow-up to these estimates, we conducted a study to assess the coded diagnoses of FGM/C in the five Swiss University Hospitals (paper under review).

Supplementary Information

12889_2021_10875_MOESM1_ESM.xlsx (55.4KB, xlsx)

Additional file 1. This is the full excel file of all FGM/C indirect estimates from 2010 to 2018 for women and girls living in Switzerland.

Acknowledgements

Nasteha Salah for her feedback and comments on the manuscript.

Abbreviations

DHS

Demographic and Health Survey

FGM/C

Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting

MICS

Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey

Authors’ contributions

SCC- Conceptualization, Data collection, Data Analyses, Interpretation, Discussion of Findings, Review of Literature. JA-Conceptualization, Interpretation, Discussion of Findings, Review of Literature. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Funding

Funding was provided by the Swiss Federal Office of Public Health, the Swiss Network Against Female Circumcision and Caritas Switzerland. The funding bodies had no role in the study design, data collection, analysis and interpretation of data.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets generated and/or analysed during the current study are available in the Swiss Statistical Office’ interactive database, STAT-TAB available at: https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/en/home/services/recherche/stat-tab-online-data-search.html

The DHS and MICS data used in this paper are publicly available on the respective websites (www.dhsprogram.com; www.mics.unicef.org/surveys).

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

No ethics approval and consent to participate was required to access the relevant data.

Consent for publication

Not Applicable. Data was fully anonymized.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

References

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

12889_2021_10875_MOESM1_ESM.xlsx (55.4KB, xlsx)

Additional file 1. This is the full excel file of all FGM/C indirect estimates from 2010 to 2018 for women and girls living in Switzerland.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets generated and/or analysed during the current study are available in the Swiss Statistical Office’ interactive database, STAT-TAB available at: https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/en/home/services/recherche/stat-tab-online-data-search.html

The DHS and MICS data used in this paper are publicly available on the respective websites (www.dhsprogram.com; www.mics.unicef.org/surveys).

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.


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