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The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene logoLink to The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
. 2021 Apr 26;104(6):1978–1990. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1413

Epidemiology of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) in Africa—Underestimated for Decades

Ahmet Irfan Temur 1,2, Jens H Kuhn 3, David B Pecor 4,5, Dmitry A Apanaskevich 6, Maryam Keshtkar-Jahromi 1,*
PMCID: PMC8176481  PMID: 33900999

Abstract.

Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is endemic in Africa, but the epidemiology remains to be defined. Using a broad database search, we reviewed the literature to better define CCHF evidence in Africa. We used a One Health approach to define the impact of CCHF by reviewing case reports, human and animal serology, and records of CCHF virus (CCHFV) isolations (1956–mid-2020). In addition, published and unpublished collection data were used to estimate the geographic distribution of Hyalomma ticks and infection vectors. We implemented a previously proposed classification scheme for organizing countries into five categories by the level of evidence. From January 1, 1956 to July 25, 2020, 494 CCHF cases (115 lethal) were reported in Africa. Since 2000, nine countries (Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, Sudan, and Tunisia) have reported their first CCHF cases. Nineteen countries reported CCHF cases and were assigned level 1 or level 2 based on maturity of their surveillance system. Thirty countries with evidence of CCHFV circulation in the absence of CCHF cases were assigned level 3 or level 4. Twelve countries for which no data were available were assigned level 5. The goal of this review is to inform international organizations, local governments, and healthcare professionals about shortcomings in CCHF surveillance in Africa to assist in a movement toward strengthening policy to improve CCHF surveillance.

INTRODUCTION

Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a severe tick-borne zoonosis caused by Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV; Bunyavirales: Nairoviridae: Orthonairovirus).1 CCHF was first described during an outbreak among Soviet military personnel stationed in Crimea in 1944–1945.24 CCHF is broadly endemic in both Africa and Eurasia, with more than 30 countries having reported cases since the first cases emerged in Crimea.1,57 CCHF epidemiology in Africa is not well described. However, there has been a global increase in the number of reported CCHF cases since 2000, with nine countries in Africa (Table 1) and 11 countries in Asia7 reporting their first confirmed human CCHF cases.

Table 1.

Total confirmed CCHF cases in Africa by country from 1956 to July 2020

Country (current designation) Total confirmed cases Total deaths Year(s) References
Burkina Faso 1 0 1983 80
Central African Republic 1 0 1976 5
Democratic Republic of the Congo 3 1 1956, 2008 43,46
Egypt 4 1 1981, 2012 68,75
Kenya 6 1 2000, 2010, 2020 25,88,89
Mali 40 7 2009–2013, 2017, 2020 9092
Mauritania 50 12 1983, 1988, 2003, 2007, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2019 57,8186,93
Mozambique 8 0 2015 94
Namibia 20 10 1986–2001, 1987, 2002, 2010, 2014, 2017–2019 57,95104
Nigeria 50 0 2010–2014 34
Senegal 8 1 2003, 2004, 2015, 2017, 2020 57,105109
Sierra Leone 1 0 2016 110
South Africa 215 52 1981–2018, 2018, 2019 5862
South Sudan 1 0 2013 111
Sudan 34 16 2008, 2009, 2010, 2013, 2014, 2015–2016, 2018 29,57,6973
Tanzania 1 0 1986 112
Tunisia 5 0 2014 74
Uganda 45 13 1958–1965, 1963–1964, 1967, 1972, 1978, 2013, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 5,43,67,113128
Zimbabwe 1 1 1997 129

CCHF = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever. Total deaths are those among confirmed cases only. Therefore, lethality was not calculated. We were limited to available data, but this approach likely underestimates the true CCHF burden.

CCHFV virus is transmitted to humans via tick bites or through direct contact with infected animals or infected people. In the CCHFV life cycle, ticks (mainly of the species Hyalomma marginatum and Hyalomma rufipes) are both reservoirs and vectors.5,8 Many mammals (including cattle, dromedaries, goats, and sheep), reptiles, and some birds (in particular ostriches) can be infected with the virus and remain asymptomatic while the virus amplifies. As a result, livestock, animal herders, slaughterhouse workers, and healthcare workers in endemic areas are at high risk of acquiring infection.811

Most CCHF cases are mild or asymptomatic. Mild cases may present with nonspecific symptoms or clinical signs, such as headache, myalgia, joint pain, fever, nausea, and vomiting. A small proportion of cases are severe with sudden onset, quickly developing bruising, and severe hemorrhage. Death may occur within days of disease onset.3,1218 CCHF lethality (5–80%) has been associated with different factors, such as access to medical care, age, virus strain, preexisting medical conditions, and route of transmission.1922

Most reports on first autochthonous CCHF cases in individual countries were preceded by epidemiologic surveys or CCHFV isolation from ticks that provided evidence of local CCHFV circulation. For example, in Kenya (then British Kenya), evidence of CCHFV infection may have been described in as early as 1961,23 and serological evidence of human CCHFV infection was first obtained in the early 1980s.24 CCHFV was first isolated from ticks in Kenya in 1975.5 Yet, it was not until 2000 that the first Kenyan human case was encountered.25 In Sudan, serologic evidence of CCHFV in animals was obtained in 198626 and in humans in 1989.27 CCHFV was identified in ticks collected during an outbreak in 1995.28 Yet, it was not until 2008 that the first human case was described.29 In Nigeria, serologic evidence of CCHFV was first obtained in animals in the early 1960s30 and in humans in 1973.31 CCHFV was identified in Nigerian ticks in 1964.32,33 Yet, the first human case was identified in 2010.34

Thus, little is known about CCHF epidemiology in Africa, and published epidemiologic/epizootiologic data are mostly from outbreak investigations and rarely systematic. In a multistage analysis, a cohesive framework was developed to assess substantial pandemic potential for endemic high-consequence infectious disease in Africa, and CCHFV was identified with substantial index case, outbreak, epidemic, and pandemic potential compared with Ebola and Marburg virus disease and Lassa fever.35 A predictive model of CCHF distribution in Africa also pinpointed large areas in Southern, Eastern, Central, and Western Africa as being suitable for CCHFV transmission.36 The absence of additional epidemiological data is the consequence of only a few African countries entertaining active CCHF (V) surveillance systems.37

This article focuses on Africa to recognize highly CCHF-affected countries with an emphasis on regions that may not have been (known to be) CCHFV endemic in the past. We used a One Health approach to integrate vector, animal, human, and virus data to define disease status in each country. This article is in follow-up of our previous publication on Southern and Western Asia7 and is part of a series of publications mapping CCHF in the world.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, GenBank, GIDEON, Google Scholar, Scopus, ProMED, and Web of Science, among other more minor databases, for records indexed from the original descriptions of CCHF in 1944 through July 25, 2020 to identify and review the scientific literature on reported CCHF cases from all countries in Africa as defined by the UN Geoscheme (Eastern Africa: British Indian Ocean Territory; Burundi; Comoros; Djibouti; Eritrea; Ethiopia; French Southern Territories; Kenya; Madagascar; Malawi; Mauritius; Mayotte; Mozambique; Réunion; Rwanda; Seychelles; Somalia; South Sudan; Uganda; United Republic of Tanzania; Zambia; and Zimbabwe; Middle Africa: Angola; Cameroon; Central African Republic; Chad; Democratic Republic of the Congo [COD]; Equatorial Guinea; Gabon; Republic of the Congo; and São Tomé and Príncipe; Northern Africa: Algeria; Egypt; Libya; Morocco; Sudan; Tunisia; and Western Sahara; Southern Africa: Botswana; Eswatini; Lesotho; Namibia; South Africa; Western Africa: Benin; Burkina Faso; Cabo Verde; Côte d’Ivoire; Gambia; Ghana; Guinea; Guinea-Bissau; Liberia; Mali; Mauritania; Niger; Nigeria; Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha; Senegal; Sierra Leone; and Togo).38

Our review included articles published in any language. We also collected information from conference presentations (if indexed in the listed electronic databases) and unpublished data/reports through personal communications. We accessed available online government reports (the National Institute for Communicable Diseases [NICD] in South Africa) and communicated with government officials (Ministries of Health in South Africa, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Kenya, and Mozambique) for confirmation of unpublished data. In addition, we accessed and reviewed published animal and human serology data, CCHFV detection or isolation data from ticks or vertebrates, and information regarding CCHFV surveillance systems. We also reviewed the U.S. National Tick Collection database39 for data that indicated the presence of CCHFV vectors in any geographic area of interest. We limited our search and consideration to H. marginatum and H. rufipes ticks because of their undisputed capacity to transmit CCHFV transstadially, transovarially, and to animals.40,41 We used Boolean combinations of search terms, including “Hyalomma,” “CCHFV,” “CCHF,” “CHF,” “Crimean,” “Crimean-Congo,” “Congo-Crimean,” “Congo virus”; “Crimean hemorrhagic fever”; “nairovirus,” and “orthonairovirus” and the names of each of the countries (or their predecessor names).

One Health country-level classification scheme.

We used a classification scheme developed by our team and previously published in an article that focused on epidemiology of CCHF in Southern and Western Asia.7 This classification system integrated vector, animal, and human data to identify CCHFV circulation in an area of interest. Countries were classified as follows: level 1 CCHF cases reported annually through established surveillance; level 2 CCHF cases reported intermittently in absence of robust surveillance; level 3 no CCHF cases reported and no robust surveillance established, but available data point toward the possibility of undetected/unreported CCHF cases (animal/human serology, CCHFV detected in Hyalomma ticks); level 4 no CCHF cases reported and no robust surveillance or epidemiologic/epizootiologic studies, but Hyalomma ticks are present; and level 5 no available data.7

RESULTS

From January 1, 1956 to July 25, 2020, 19 African countries reported a total of at least 494 human CCHF cases (115 lethal), with the first case being described in COD. The regional distribution of the countries was as follows: six were in Eastern Africa, two in Middle Africa, three in Northern Africa, two in Southern Africa, and six in Western Africa (Tables 25). Most cases were reported from Mali, Mauritania, Namibia, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, and Uganda. Most countries reported cases randomly or through outbreak investigations, but South Africa and Uganda used established surveillance systems. All countries were organized into five categories by the level of evidence (Figure 1). Since 2000, nine countries (Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, Sudan, and Tunisia) have reported their first cases (Table 5), most of which were identified via random detection in people with acute febrile disease or through outbreak investigations.

Table 2.

Current evidence for CCHFV circulation in Eastern Africa

Country (current designation) CCHF cases reported Human serology Animal serology Hyalomma ticks CCHFV detected in ticks Level of evidence
British Indian Ocean Territory No No No No No 5
Burundi No No No No No 5
Comoros No No No No No 5
Djibouti No No 1992130 Yes131 2010132 3
Eritrea No No No Yes39 No 4
Ethiopia No No No Yes133 1975134 3
French Southern Territories No No No No No 5
Kenya 2000, 2010, 202025,88,89 1980, 1983, 1987, 2010, 2009–2012, 202024,88,89,135137 1961, 1972, 1974, 19865,26,44,138 Yes39 1975,20085,139 2
Madagascar No 1989, 2008140,141 No No142 1985143 3
Malawi No No No Yes131,144 No 4
Mauritius No No No No No 5
Mayotte No No No No No 5
Mozambique 201594 No No Yes39,145 No 2
Réunion No No No No No 5
Rwanda No No No Yes131 No 4
Seychelles No No No No No 5
Somalia No No 1993, 1994, 1996146148 Yes39 1994, 1996, 2009147149 3
South Sudan 2013111 No No Yes150 No 2
Uganda 1958–1965,1963–1964,1967,1972,1978,2013,2015,2017,2018,2019,20205,43,67,113128 1984, 2006151,152 1970, 1972138,153 Yes154 1970, 1978, 1981, 20155,67,155,156 1
United Republic of Tanzania 1986112 No 19745 Yes39,157 No 2
Zambia No No No Yes39 No 4
Zimbabwe 1997129 1980158 1964–1985, 1973–1978112,159 Yes39 No 2

CCHF = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever; CCHFV = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus. Years are listed if there is evidence of anti-CCHFV antibodies in humans or animals, CCHFV vector endemicity, or CCHFV antigen or genome detection.

Table 5.

Since 2000, nine countries have reported their first autochthonous CCHF cases in Africa

Year Country
200025 Kenya
2003107 Senegal
200829 Sudan
200990 Mali
201034 Nigeria
2013111 South Sudan
201474 Tunisia
201594 Mozambique
2016110 Sierra Leone

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Evidence of CCHF in Africa using a One Health approach. The following level classification is applied: level 1, CCHF cases reported annually through established surveillance; level 2, CCHF cases reported intermittently in absence of robust surveillance; level 3, no CCHF cases reported and no robust surveillance established, but available data point toward the possibility of undetected/unreported CCHF cases (animal/human serology, CCHFV detected in Hyalomma ticks); level 4, no CCHF cases reported and no robust surveillance or epidemiologic/epizootiologic studies, but Hyalomma ticks present; and level 5, no available data. Classification at the country level was performed for policy implications. Country boundaries do not necessarily reflect the geographic area at risk and are not necessarily endorsed by the authors. The map was created using ArcGIS Release 10.61. Source: Database of Global Administrative Areas. This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.

Table 3.

Current evidence for CCHFV circulation in Middle, Northern, and Southern Africa

Country (current designation) CCHF cases reported Human serology Animal serology Hyalomma ticks CCHFV detected in ticks Level of evidence
Middle Africa
 Angola No No No Yes160 No 4
 Cameroon No 1985, 2005–2012161,162 2013163 Yes39 2015163 3
 Central African Republic 19765 1966–1979, 1979, 1979–1982, 1984 1980–1985, 19934952,164,165 1979–1982, 1983, 1988, 199250,51,53,54 Yes39 1972–1979, 1973, 19755,55,56 2
 Chad No No No Yes39,166 No 4
 Democratic Republic of the Congo 1956, 200843,46 No 2013163,167 Yes168,169 No 2
 Equatorial Guinea No 1985161 No No No 3
 Gabon No No 2005, 2008, 2009170 No No 3
 Republic of the Congo No 1985161 No No No 3
 São Tomé and Príncipe No No No No No 5
Northern Africa
 Algeria No No No Yes39,171 2009172 3
 Egypt 1981, 201268,75 1976173 1976, 1986, 2004, 200926,7678,173 Yes39 2009149 2
 Libya No No No Yes39 No 4
 Morocco No No No Yes39 2011174 3
 Sudan 2008, 2009, 2010, 2013, 2014, 2015–2016, 201829,57,6973 1989, 1998, 2012, 2015–201627,69,175,176 1986–1987, 1994, 2013, 2014, 201526,177180 Yes39 1995, 2009, 201728,149,181 2
 Tunisia 201474 201474 No Yes39 No 2
 Western Sahara No No No No No 5
Southern Africa
 Botswana No No No Yes39,64 No 4
 Eswatini No No No Yes65 No 4
 Lesotho No No No Yes66 No 4
 Namibia 1986–2001, 1987 2002, 2010, 2014, 2017–201957,95104 1984182 No Yes183 No 2
 South Africa 1981–2018, 2018, 20195862 1981, 1983, 1984–1988, 2016184188 1964–1985, 1981, 1983, 1984, 1984–1988, 1993, 200210,112,159,184,186,187,189194 Yes39 1981104,184 1

CCHF = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever; CCHFV = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus. Years are listed if there is evidence of anti-CCHFV antibodies in humans or animals, CCHFV vector endemicity, or CCHFV antigen or genome detection.

Table 4.

Current evidence for CCHFV circulation in Western Africa

Country (current designation) CCHF cases reported Human serology Animal serology Hyalomma ticks Virus detected in ticks Level of evidence
Benin No 1981–1983195 No Yes39,196 No 3
Burkina Faso 198380 198380,197 No Yes198,199 No 2
Cabo Verde No No No Yes200 No 4
Côte d'Ivoire No No No Yes201,202 No 4
Gambia No No No Yes203 No 4
Ghana No 201119 2009170 Yes39,204 201119 3
Guinea No No No Yes205,206 1978–1991207 3
Guinea-Bissau No No No No No 5
Liberia No 1981208 No No No 3
Mali 2009–2013, 2017, 20209092 1991, 2009–201390,209 2005–2014, 2013163,210 Yes211,212 2011213 2
Mauritania 1983, 1988, 2003, 2007, 2012, 2017, 2018, 201957,8186,93 1983, 1984, 1985, 1988, 200385,86,197,214218 1983, 1984, 1988, 2003, 201385,86,163,197,214,215 Yes215 1983, 1984,200385,197,214,215 2
Niger No No 1984–1988219,220 Yes221,222 No 3
Nigeria 2010–201434 1973, 1988, 2011, 2010–201431,34,223,224 1964–1968, 1976, 1983, 1984–1988, 201532,219,225227 Yes32,228 1964, 1964–1968, 1966, 19765,32,227,229 2
Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha No No No No No 5
Senegal 2003, 2004, 2015, 2017, 202057,105109 1986, 1989, 1987–1995230233 1969, 1972, 1983, 1986, 1987–1995, 1989–1992, 1991, 20145,197,230,232,234238 Yes239,240 1963–1974, 1969–1991, 1969, 1970–1974, 1983, 1985, 1987, 1990, 1989–1992, 1991–1992, 19925,41,197,230,232,235237,241244 2
Sierra Leone 2016110 2007–2014245 No Yes239 No 2
Togo No No No Yes246 No 4

CCHF = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever; CCHFV = Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus. Years are listed if there is peer-reviewed evidence of anti-CCHFV antibodies in humans or animals, CCHFV vector endemicity, or CCHFV antigen or genome detection.

DISCUSSION

CCHFV is considered a significant threat to human health in endemic areas, including Africa. The World Health Organization (WHO) included CCHF in its blueprint of priority diseases, which lists emerging diseases that are understudied.42 CCHF was first described in 1956 in Africa,4345 although evidence of this disease in Africa has not been clearly described. Recently, the number of CCHF cases has increased on the continent, with some countries reporting their first cases. We collected available evidence of CCHF epidemiology and classified each country based on the level of evidence. One caveat is that we were not able to establish a category for studies reporting negative data on CCHFV animal or human serology and virus isolation in ticks because of the extremely low number of such publications/reports and their limited scopes.

There are significant variability or gaps in surveillance activities and capabilities between countries. The knowledge gap resulting from the likely lack of active zoonosis surveillance, including CCHF, in resource-limited African countries can impair their awareness of, preparedness for, decision-making during, and countering emerging zoonotic infections that may cause large disease outbreaks on the continent.37

Most countries in Middle Africa do not have the diagnostic capability to detect CCHF cases, although there is a significant level of evidence that CCHFV is actively circulating. Lack of diagnostic capability is likely the major factor contributing to underestimation of CCHF endemicity in Africa compared with other endemic regions, such as the Mediterranean Basin. For example, COD is the second largest country in Africa and reported Africa’s first CCHF case in 1956,4345 but no subsequent cases were identified until 2008.46 Animal serology yielded positive results in 2013.47 CCHFV likely has been circulating in COD for years. COD has been mired in conflict for decades and has the largest number of internally displaced people in Africa. As another example, the Central African Republic reported only one human CCHF case in 1976,48 whereas positive human and animal serology4954 and virus isolation from ticks5,55,56 strongly support virus circulation in the area. Civil wars in the region, especially in COD and Central African Republic, have weakened the local healthcare infrastructures. Both countries would benefit from assistance by international organizations, cross-governmental support, and multi-institutional collaborations to build diagnostic capabilities by establishing, developing, or strengthening human and ecologic CCHF surveillance networks and systems.

Among countries in Southern Africa, South Africa reported 215 CCHF cases (1981–2019), the highest number of cases on the continent.5762 The annual number of cases is available through the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) in Sandringham, Johannesburg. South Africa has a well-established surveillance system, implementing national guidelines for recognition and management of viral hemorrhagic fevers such as CCHF, and NICD’s Special Pathogen Unit is capable of diagnosing these diseases.63 However, some countries that have a border with South Africa (i.e., Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, and Mozambique) have not reported any cases despite the prevalence of Hyalomma ticks,39,6466 supporting the notion that CCHFV may be circulating but has not been detected due to limited diagnostic capabilities. These countries would benefit from testing of Hyalomma ticks for CCHFV and seroprevalence studies in humans and animals.

In Eastern Africa, Uganda reported 44 cases (Table 2). There is an appreciable gap in CCHF case detection from 1978 to 2013, which could have been due to lower CCHFV activity during this period. The increased detection of cases since 2013 could have been due to any biological vector or human risk factors but is more likely due to maturity of Uganda’s surveillance system and improved diagnostic capabilities. Since 2010, to rapidly identify infectious disease outbreaks, including Ebola and Marburg virus diseases, the Uganda Virus Research Institute (UVRI) has cultivated relationships with multiple international partners and established a surveillance system in collaboration with the Ugandan Ministry of Health.67 Most newly diagnosed CCHF cases in Uganda have been confirmed through this surveillance system. Kenya, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe have each reported at least one case of CCHF; if they had the same diagnostic capabilities as Uganda, it is likely that more cases would have been detected.

Among Northern African countries, Egypt, Sudan, and Tunisia have reported CCHF cases. Egypt was the first country in the region to experience CCHF in 1981.68 Sudan detected its first case in 200829 and has been reporting cases annually since.29,59,6973 Tunisia’s first case dates to 2014.74 Although Egypt only recognized CCHF in 1981 and 2012,68,75 positive animal serology and CCHFV detection in ticks have been reported intermittently, supporting the notion that CCHFV is circulating in the region.26,7678 Although Sudan has reported 34 CCHF cases since 2008, most of these cases have been diagnosed in the setting of outbreak investigations. Libya, which borders Egypt, Sudan, and Tunisia, has not reported any CCHF cases. Among Northern African countries, Egypt has a unique infrastructure and a long-standing history of partnership with the U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit Three (NAMRU-3) as long as it was situated in Cairo Egypt. NAMRU-3 worked closely with Egypt’s Ministry of Health and Population, the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH), the WHO, the U.S. Agency for International Development, and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).79 NAMRU-3 was recently relocated to Italy, but a similar entity with a similar infrastructure associated with international collaboration in partnership with local governments could be developed to (re)establish a CCHF diagnostic surveillance system in the region.

In Western Africa, Burkina Faso and Mauritania reported their first CCHF cases in 1983.80 Burkina Faso has not reported any cases since then, whereas Mauritania has been reporting cases intermittently through outbreak investigations.59,8186 Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone have each reported at least one case since 2003. Although not bordering other countries that have reported CCHF cases, Nigeria has reported the highest number of cases (50) in Western Africa since 2014.34 Niger, located between Nigeria and Mali, may therefore be affected by numerous undiagnosed CCHF cases.

Diagnosis of new CCHF cases in eight African countries (Table 1; mainly in Eastern Northern and Western Africa) since 2000 is most likely primarily due to improvement in diagnostic capabilities rather than ecological changes related to vector and human behavior. These countries still lack established surveillance systems and would benefit significantly from collaboration with within and outside their regions to diagnose additional cases and better estimate the epidemiology of CCHF on the continent.

The current (2017) WHO map outlining CCHF endemicity in Africa87 is based on reports of cases, human serology, and presence of CCHFV tick vectors. However, most countries in Africa do not have CCHF diagnostic capability, likely leading to underestimation of cases. Our One Health approach to country classification more comprehensively integrates additional factors, such as animal serology and inclusion of more granular data on vector presence. This approach revealed evidence of CCHFV circulation in Northern and Middle African regions that were not considered high risk in a previous CCHFV distribution modeling effort.36 Based on our examination of CCHFV epidemiology in Africa, we recommend the following:

  • 1.

    Egypt, South Africa, and Uganda, that is, countries with diagnostic capabilities, should provide rapid diagnostic support during CCHF outbreaks. Furthermore, we propose that these countries collaborate to establish a network and act as regional diagnostic centers to define a realistic epidemiology of CCHF for the entire continent. To be most effective, this collaboration effort should include active CCHF surveillance, testing of Hyalomma ticks for CCHFV, animal and human serology testing, improved healthcare infrastructure, community education about CCHFV transmission, and providing personal protective equipment (PPE).

  • 2.

    Burkina Faso, Central African Republic, COD, Kenya, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe, which have rarely reported cases despite serological and tick surveillance data being in support of virus circulation (level 2), would benefit most from establishing active CCHF surveillance systems.

  • 3.

    Hyalomma ticks are present in most African countries, but information about CCHFV circulation is limited. Countries assigned level 4 (Angola, Benin, Botswana, Cabo Verde, Chad, Côte d’lvoire, Eritrea, Gambia, Lesotho, Libya, Malawi, Rwanda, Swaziland, Togo, and Zambia) will benefit from testing of Hyalomma ticks for CCHFV and from animal/human seroprevalence studies in collaboration.

  • 4.

    Countries with limited evidence of Hyalomma tick presence, assigned level 5 (Burundi, Comoros, Guinea Bissau, Mauritius, Mayotte, Réunion, São Tomé and Príncipe, Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha, Seychelles, and Western Sahara), would benefit from tick surveillance studies.

  • 5.

    Most African countries also lack healthcare infrastructures to support outbreak investigations, early case detection, patient isolation, and patient medical care. Multi-institutional collaboration should focus on raising awareness about routes of CCHFV transmission and providing PPE to prevent community and nosocomial outbreaks.

Our study has important limitations. First, we were dependent on publications and reports indexed in public databases or referenced in works indexed in databases. Consequently, we may have missed important datasets that were never officially published or circulate only within governments or institutions as internal reports. Second, we had to assume that all studies within a category (virus isolation, human serology, and animal serology) were of the same quality and hence could be treated equally. However, studies considerably differ in approach and rigor, and hence a positive result reported in one work could have been considered a negative result using a different method or vice versa. Third, artificially created geographic borders of course do not affect virus ecology and transmission, but biotopes and ecological niches may differ considerably in adjacent areas. Thus, two countries may have been counted as CCHFV endemic despite one of them having a homogenous CCHFV distribution throughout, whereas the second country may only have a single CCHFV hotspot. We erred on the side of caution by assuming that countries adjacent to CCHF-endemic countries may also have circulating CCHFV, but, of course, this does not have to be the case. Ecologic niche modeling might be a solution for addressing both issues, but is outside the scope of this manuscript. Finally, our study does not address climate change over time, nor the increasing human activity and human-induced changes of biotopes, both of which could be associated with CCHFV vector and host migrations and therefore changes in CCHF prevalence over time. We call on international public health organizations (the WHO and the World Organization for Animal Health) to create or expand partnerships with local governments to provide support for human, tick, and animal CCHFV surveillance in Africa and to ultimately increase knowledge about CCHFV ecology and CCHF epidemiology.

Acknowledgment:

We thank Anya Crane (NIH/NIAID/DCR/Integrated Research Facility at Fort Detrick, Frederick, MD) for critically editing the manuscript.

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