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. 2021 May 25;96(21):e2627–e2638. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000011849

Figure 3. Marginal Adjusted Risk.

Figure 3

(A) The marginal (average) predicted noncausal effect of generalized tonic-clonic seizures (GTCS) frequency (top left), focal seizure frequency (top right), age at epilepsy onset (bottom left), and current age (bottom right) on the odds of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) on their natural scales is shown. These values are relative to a seizure frequency of 0 and to the sample average age at epilepsy onset and current age (red line = mean, red patch 80% credibility interval, gray patch 95% credibility interval). Note that the y axis is a log scale. (B) The combined noncausal association of age at epilepsy onset and current age on SUDEP risk is shown as a grid of values represented by a color scale. Warmer colors represent increased risk and imply that those with a younger age at epilepsy onset have the highest risk and that this risk increases as current age increases.