This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/our-business/policies/article-withdrawal).
The author has requested that Early Human Development retract this article. This article was based on very early data and reports from the World Health Organization and Ferguson et al. from which the article drew imprecise conclusions. We now have a far better, albeit still incomplete, understanding of COVID-19. The anticipated mortality will fortunately be far less than estimated in the paper itself.
Footnotes
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Retraction notice
References
- Ferguson et al, 2020.Ferguson N.M., Laydon D., Nedjati-Gilani G., Imai N., Ainslie K., Baguelin M., Bhatia S., Boonyasiri A., Cucunubá Z., Cuomo-Dannenburg G., Dighe A. Imperial College; March 2020. Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand. [Google Scholar]
- World Health Organisation . 2020. Coronavirus Disease 2019. WHO Report 41. 01 March. [Google Scholar]