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PLOS ONE logoLink to PLOS ONE
. 2021 Jun 30;16(6):e0253736. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253736

Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A pooled analysis of nine East African countries

Koku Sisay Tamirat 1,*, Getayeneh Antehunegn Tesema 1, Zemenu Tadesse Tessema 1
Editor: Frank T Spradley2
PMCID: PMC8244896  PMID: 34191843

Abstract

Background

In low-income nations, high-risk fertility behavior is a prevalent public health concern that can be ascribed to unmet family planning needs, child marriage, and a weak health system. As a result, this study aimed to determine the factors that influence high-risk fertility behavior and its impact on child stunting and anemia.

Method

This study relied on secondary data sources from recent demography and health surveys of nine east African countries. Relevant data were extracted from Kids Record (KR) files and appended for the final analysis; 31,873 mother-child pairs were included in the final analysis. The mixed-effect logistic regression model (fixed and random effects) was used to describe the determinants of high-risk fertility behavior (HRFB) and its correlation with child stunting and anemia.

Result

According to the pooled study about 57.6% (95% CI: 57.7 to 58.2) of women had at least one high-risk fertility behavior, with major disparities found across countries and women’s residences. Women who lived in rural areas, had healthcare access challenges, had a history of abortion, lived in better socio-economic conditions, and had antenatal care follow-up were more likely to engage in high-risk fertility practices. Consequently, Young maternal age at first birth (<18), narrow birth intervals, and high birth orders were HRFBs associated with an increased occurrences of child stunting and anemia.

Conclusion

This study revealed that the magnitude of high-risk fertility behavior was higher in east Africa region. The finding of this study underscores that interventions focused on health education and behavioral change of women, and improvement of maternal healthcare access would be helpful to avert risky fertility behaviors. In brief, encouraging contraceptive utilization and creating awareness about birth spacing among reproductive-age women would be more helpful. Meanwhile, frequent nutritional screening and early intervention of children born from women who had high-risk fertility characteristics are mandatory to reduce the burden of chronic malnutrition.

Introduction

Rapid population growth has been observed in developing countries including Sub-Saharan African countries, with an estimated population of 1.2 billion by 2025 [1]. The total fertility rate is declining globally, but it is decreasing more slowly in SSA, with a total fertility rate of 4.69 children per woman in 2018, down from 5.37 in 2008. Despite declining natural resources, a lack of infrastructures such as housing, schools, and health facilities, and increased unemployment, most African countries lack a demography and population policy to control or monitor fertility rates [2].

Women’s high-risk fertility habits, which are defined by narrow birth intervals, high birth order, and younger maternal age at birth, have been linked to negative health outcomes for both the mother and the child [35]. Due to increased family planning use, expansion of women’s education, and economic trends, pooled decomposition analysis revealed that high-risk fertility behavior was decreased over decades. High-risk fertility behavior (HRFB) is linked to an increased risk of infant mortality, chronic malnutrition, and adverse birth outcomes such as stillbirth, prematurity, and low birth weight, according to research findings [611]. The nations of the East African region share many of the same socio-demographic and cultural characteristics. Maternal and child mortality remains high in this area, owing to risky fertility behaviors, the cultural taboo against contraception use, and insufficient health infrastructures. HRFBs are also common in the area due to child marriage, rape, and harmful sexual behaviors in elementary school [1215].

Furthermore, nutritional problems among children under the age of five are common, as evidenced by the magnitude of stunting (36.7%) and anemia (60%) [16, 17]. Maternal HRFBs was one of the major contributors to infant malnutrition. For example, children who were born from women with high-risk fertility behavior had 40 percent and 43 percent more likely to suffer from stunting and anemia, respectively [16, 17]. As a result, a better understanding of the factors linked to risky fertility behavior and its consequences for child malnutrition may aid in the development of interventions. HRFB is more prevalent in low-income countries due to widespread poverty, a lack of basic health services, and early child marriage. Whilst interventions are challenging due to a lack of information about the magnitude and determinants of high-risk fertility behavior in the East Africa region.

Thus, this study aimed to discover factors that influence high-risk fertility behaviors and associations with child stunting and anemia. As maternal and child health is at the top of the region’s agenda, the findings of this study may help to incorporate efforts at the Intergovernmental Authority for Development (IGAD) and African Union level.

Method

Data sources

This study was based on the secondary data from nine East African Demography and Health the most recent Survey (Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, Zimbabwe, and Madagascar) with the analysis period ranged from July 1–30, 2020. The appended datasets of countries were used to estimate the magnitude of high-risk fertility behavior and its effects among reproductive-age women. We included women in this study who had given birth in the five years before the survey and had a child under the age of five.

We used Kids Record (KR) files, which contain information about women and children, for this specific research. In terms of data extraction, we took women who were married and had completed data for the main variables, as well as children’s anthropometric measurements. The data includes socioeconomic, reproductive health, and infant traits such as height for age and hemoglobin level. After data cleaning, the final sample size was 31,873 mothers-children pair who were included in the final analysis. To select study participants in each enumeration region, the DHS used a two-stage stratified sampling technique. We combined data from nine DHS surveys conducted in East African countries, yielding a weighted sample of 31,873 women and children. The strategy is described in detail in the DHS methodology section [16].

Variables of the study

Outcome variables

Maternal health outcome. For this study, maternal high-risk fertility behavior was the primary outcome variable which is defined based on several criteria’s as follow;

  • High-risk fertility behavior is the outcome of interest for women who gave birth, defined as women age at birth less than 18 or above 34 years or birth interval less than 24 months or high birth order were criteria used to define [16].

  • Single high-risk fertility behavior: when a woman reported to had one high-risk fertility behavior the is either younger age less than 18 years, or older age above 34 years, or birth interval less than 24 months, or high-birth order (four and above) [3, 1719].

  • Multiple high-risk fertility behavior: when a woman had a combination of at least two above-mentioned behaviors [3, 1719]. Unavoidable high-risk fertility behavior is defined as women whose age was between 18 and 34 years and first birth order [16, 17].

  • Unavoidable HRFB: when first-order births between ages of 18 and 34 years in women not amenable to the interventions.

  • Not in any high-risk category: when women don’t have any risk fertility behavior

Children health outcomes. another objective of this study was to see the association between maternal risky fertility behaviors and chronic malnutrition and anemia in children.

  • Height-for-age is a measure of linear growth retardation and cumulative growth deficits. Children whose height-for-age Z-score is below minus two standard deviations (-2 SD) from the median of the reference population are considered short for their age (stunted), or chronically undernourished.

  • Children who are below minus three standard deviations (-3 SD) are considered severely stunted.

  • Anemia is a disease condition marked by low levels of hemoglobin, often below 10g/dl after correction for altitude [17].

  • Mildly anemia: when the level of levels of hemoglobin between 10.0 and 10.9 g/dl [17].

  • Moderately anemia: when the level of levels of hemoglobin between 7.0 and 9.9 g/dl [17].

  • Severe anemia: when the level levels of hemoglobin less than 7g/dl [17].

Independent variables

Socio-demographic and maternal health services like age group, sex of household headed, women’s educational status, husband’s educational status, maternal occupation status, marital status, media exposure, wealth status, sex of the child, birth order, antenatal care visits, sources of family planning, postnatal care visit, place of delivery, birth attendants, and healthcare access problems were independent variables.

Data management and analysis

After extracting the variables based on literature, data from the nine East African countries were combined. To restore the representativeness of the survey and take sampling design into account when calculating standard errors and reliable estimates, the data were weighted using sampling weight, main sampling unit, and strata before any statistical analysis. STATA version 14 was used to perform cross-tabulations and summary statistics.

Using a forest plot, the overall magnitude of high-risk fertility behavior, stunting, and anemia was estimated with the 95 percent Confidence Interval (CI). The DHS data had a hierarchical structure for the determinant factors, which contradicts the classical logistic regression model’s independence of observations and equal variance assumptions. As a result, children are nested within a cluster, and we anticipate that children in the same cluster will be more similar than children across the country. This means that advanced models should be used to account for the variability between clusters. As a result, a mixed effect logistic regression model was fitted (with both fixed and random effects). Standard logistic regression and Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) were used because the outcome variable was binary (presence or absence of high-risk fertility behavior in women, stunting, and anemia in children). Since the models were nested, the Intra-class Correlation Coefficient (ICC), Likelihood Ratio (LR) test, Median Odds Ratio (MOR), and deviance (-2LLR) values were used to compare and assess model fitness. It was decided to use the model with the lowest deviance. As a result, the mixed-effect logistic regression model fits the data the best. In the multivariable mixed-effect logistic regression model, variables with a p-value of less than 0.2 in the bivariable analysis were considered. The multivariable model used Adjusted Odds Ratios (AOR) with a 95 percent Confidence Interval (CI) and p-value 0.05 to declare major factors high-risk fertility behavior. A multivariable Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) model was also fitted to see the relationship between HRFB and infant stunting and anemia. The HRFB had a major impact on stunting and anemia, as measured by the AOR with 95 percent confidence intervals and variables with a p-value less than 0.05.

Ethical clearance and consent to participate

Measure DHS provided ethical clearance after filling out a request for data access form. The data used in this study is aggregated secondary data that is publicly accessible and does not contain any personal identifying information that can be related to study participants. The data was kept confidential in an anonymous manner.

Result

Socio-demographic characteristics

A total of 31,873 study participants were drawn from nine East African countries, with Ethiopia, Tanzania, Madagascar, Burundi, Malawi, and Zimbabwe accounting for 21.8%, 15.6%, 12 percent, 11.3%, 10.9%, and 10.3%, respectively. The median age of respondents was 29 years, with an IQR of 25 to 35, and half of them aged between 25 and 35 years. The majority (80.5%) of women came from rural areas, nearly one-third (32.2%) had no formal schooling, and 45.4 percent lived in poverty (Table 1).

Table 1. Socio-demographic characteristics of reproductive age women in east Africa region.

Characteristics Frequency Percentage
Country
Burundi 3,631 11.4
Ethiopia 6,935 21.8
Malawi 3,492 11
Mozambique 2,254 7.1
Rwanda 1,701 5.3
Tanzania 4,976 15.6
Uganda 1,760 5.5
Zimbabwe 3,313 10.4
Madagascar 3,811 12
Age of respondents
15–19 1,168 3.7
20–24 6,413 20.1
25–29 8,782 27.6
30–34 7,341 23
35–39 5,044 15.8
40–44 2,393 7.5
45–49 732 2.3
Residence
Urban 6,899 19.3
Rural 28,785 80.7
Women level of education
No formal education 10259 32.2
Primary school 14893 46.7
Secondary school 5930 18.6
Diploma and higher 791 2.5
Husband education
No formal education 8034 25.2
Primary school 15239 47.8
Secondary school 6977 21.9
Diploma and higher 1623 5.1
Wealth index
Poor 14465 45.4
Middle 5887 18.5
Rich 11521 36.1
Household head
Male 26892 84.4
Female 4981 15.6
Media exposure
Yes 19653 60.3
No 12653 39.7
Health insurance coverage
Yes 2309 7.6
No 27863 92.4
Women working condition
Yes 22055 69.2
No 9818 30.8
Husband working condition
Yes 30073 94.4
No 1800 5.6

Reproductive history of women

The majority of the participants (88.4%) were multiparous, almost two-thirds (65.6%) gave birth in the health facilities, and about 4.5 percent gave birth by cesarean section. The majority (62.2%) had ANC follow-up, 21.2% of women had also postnatal follow-up, 40.3% of women had family planning details from the media, and 35.4% had discontinued family planning in the five years preceding the survey. More than two-thirds (68.2%) of women had trouble accessing healthcare due to a lack of resources, distance, permission, or companionship (Table 2).

Table 2. Reproductive characteristics of child bearing women in East Africa region.
Characteristics Frequency Percentage
Parity
Primiparous 3699 11.6
Multiparous 28174 88.4
Age at first birth
Less than 18 1553 14.9
18–34 years 25314 79.4
Above 34 5006 15.7
Place of delivery
Home 10877 34.1
Health facility 20996 65.9
History of abortion
Yes 4336 13.6
No 27537 86.4
Current contraceptive use
Yes 18434 57.8
No 13439 42.2
The average size at birth
Small 5505 17.3
Average 15962 50.1
Large 10403 32.6
Delivered Cesarean section
Yes 1432 4.5
No 30391 95.5
A faced healthcare access problem
Yes 21748 68.2
No 10125 31.8
ANC follow up
Yes 19825 62.2
No 12048 37.8
Postnatal follow-up
Yes 6743 21.2
No 25130 78.8
Sex of child
Male 15980 50.1
Female 15893 49.9
Discontinued contraceptive methods
Yes 11,283 35.4
No 20,590 64.6
Know the source of family planning
Yes 14,184 55.5
No 17,689 44.5
Had information about family planning
Yes 12,853 40.3
No 19,020 59.7

High-risk fertility behavior

The pooled analysis of this study indicated that 57.6% (95 percent CI: 57.7 to 58.2) of women had at least one high-risk fertility behavior, while 21.6 percent had multiple risk factors. The most common single high-risk fertility activity was higher birth order (45%), older age at birth (over 34 years) (15.7%), and birth period shorter than 24 months (15.6%). A combination of older women’s age and higher birth order (age over 34 and birth order above 3) and a birth period less than 24 months and birth order above 3 accounted for 14.5 percent and 8.7% of women, respectively. Within the country, there was also variance, ranging from 66.59% in Uganda to 41% in Zimbabwe (Fig 1). Significant variations were also found between women from rural and urban areas, with risk differences of 17.68% and 7.21% for single and multiple high-risk fertility behaviors in the East Africa region, respectively (Fig 2) and (Table 3).

Fig 1. Forest plot of proportion of high-risk fertility behavior among reproductive-age women in East Africa countries.

Fig 1

Fig 2. Forest plot of risk differences of high-risk fertility behavior among between rural and urban reproductive-age women in East Africa countries.

Fig 2

Table 3. High-risk fertility behavior of reproductive age women in east Africa region.

Characteristics Frequency Percentage
Any high-risk behavior
Yes 18346 57.6
No 13527 42.4
Single high-risk fertility behavior
Age less than 18 years 1553 4.9
Age above 34 years 5006 15.7
Birth order above 3 14351 45
The birth interval of less than 24 months 4963 15.6
Multiple high-risk fertility behavior
Age less than 18 years and birth interval less than 24 months 121 0.4
Age above 34 years and birth interval less than 24 months 662 2.1
Age above 34 years and birth order above 3 4619 14.5
Birth interval less than 24 months and birth order above 3 2768 8.7
Age above 34 years and birth interval less than 24 months, and birth order above 3 643 2
Unavoidable risk category
First birth order and age of mother between 18 and 34 years 4630 14.5
No high-risk fertility behavior 10,928 34.3

Factors associated with high-risk fertility behavior

In the multivariable mixed-effect logistic regression model, mother and husband education levels, residence, country, wealth status, sex of household, place of delivery, delivered by CS, abortion, healthcare access problems, currently contraceptive utilization were variables correlated with high-risk fertility behaviors at a p-value of 0.05. In contrast to uneducated mothers, the chances of high-risk pregnancy activity were reduced by 41% (AOR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.56 to 0.64), 68 percent (AOR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.36), and 76% (AOR = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.29) for women who completed primary, secondary, and certificate and higher-level schooling. For those husbands who attended primary, secondary, diploma, and above level of education, the odds of high-risk fertility behaviors were reduced by 11% (AOR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83 to 0.95), 29% (AOR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.65 to 0.78), and 25% (AOR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.65 to 0.87) compared to low level of education, respectively.

Female-headed households had an 11% lower risk of high-risk fertility activity than male-headed households (AOR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83 to 0.95). Furthermore, rural mothers had a 1.26-fold higher probability of fertility activity than city mothers (AOR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.36). Similarly, the chances of high-risk fertility activity were 1.10 times higher in wealthy women than in poor women (AOR = 1.10, 95%CI: 1.03 to 1.18). In addition, women with healthcare access challenges had a 10% higher risk of high-risk fertility activity than mothers who did not have such a history (AOR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.20). Women who had terminated pregnancies had a 16 percent increased risk of high-risk fertility activity relative to those who had no such history (AOR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.25). The chances of high-risk fertility activity were 1.51 times higher for mothers who gave birth at home (AOR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.41 to1.61) than for mothers who gave birth in a hospital (AOR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.41 to1.61). Furthermore, women who had antenatal care follow-up with their recent baby had a 16% higher risk of delivering a healthy baby than those who did not (AOR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.23). In contrast, mothers who were aware of the sources of family planning had an 11% lower risk of high-risk fertility activity than those who were not aware of the sources of family planning (AOR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.79 0.97). Women who gave birth by cesarean section had a 30% lower risk of high-risk fertility activity than women who gave birth vaginally (AOR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.79). Similarly, women who were currently using contraception were reduced by 10% compared to those who were not currently using contraception (AOR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.85 to 0.95). (Table 4).

Table 4. Factors associated with high-risk fertility behavior among women gave birth in east Africa region.

Characteristics Odds ratio Characteristics Crude 95%CI Adjusted 95%CI
Crude 95%CI Adjusted 95%CI Current contraceptive utilization
Country Yes 0.62(0.59 0.65) 0.90(0.85 0.95)*
Burundi 2.14(1.94 2.36) 0.93(0.83 1.06) No 1 1
Ethiopia 2.32(2.13 2.53) 0.73(0.65 0.83)* Sex of household
Malawi 1.40(1.27 1.55) 0.87(0.78 0.97)* Male 1 1
Mozambique 2.23(2.0 2.49) 1.06(0.92 1.21) Female 0.77(0.72 0.82) 0.89(0.83 0.95)*
Rwanda 1.35(1.20 1.52) 0.77(0.67 0.88)* Faced healthcare access problem
Tanzania 2.20(2.01 2.41) 1.09(0.98 1.22) Yes 1.56(1.48 1.63) 1.14(1.08 1.20)*
Uganda 2.85(2.52 3.23) 1.68(1.46 1.93)* No 1 1
Madagascar 2.42(2.19 2.67) 1.06(0.94 1.19) Delivered by CS
Zimbabwe 1 1 Yes 0.42(0.38 0.48) 0.70(0.63 0.79)*
Women level of education No 1 1
No formal education 1 1 Residence
Primary 0.54(0.51 0.57) 0.59(0.56 0.64)* Urban 1 1
Secondary 0.23(0.22 0.25) 0.32(0.29 0.36)* Rural 2.20(2.07 2.33) 1.26(1.17 1.36)*
Higher 0.13(0.11 0.16) 0.24(0.19 0.29)* Media exposure
Husband level of education Yes 0.65(0.62 0.68) 0.97(0.92 1.03)
No formal education 1 1 No 1 1
Primary 0.68(0.64 0.72) 0.89(0.83 0.95)* Postnatal care follow up
Secondary 0.34(0.32 0.36) 0.71(0.65 0.78)* Yes 0.71(0.67 0.75) 0.98(0.92 1.05)
Higher 0.24(0.22 0.27) 0.75(0.65 0.87)* No 1 1
Wealth status ANC follow up
Poor 1 1 Yes 0.84(0.81 0.88) 1.16(1.10 1.23)*
Middle 0.86(0.80 0.91) 1.03(0.96 1.10) No 1 1
Rich 0.54(0.51 0.57) 1.10(1.03 1.18)* Know sources of family planning
Ever terminated pregnancy Yes 0.71(0.68 0.74) 0.89(0.79 0.97)*
Yes 1.14(1.07 1.22) 1.16(1.08 1.25)* No 1 1
No 1 1
Place of delivery
Home 2.04(1.94 2.14) 1.51(1.41 1.61)*
Health facility 1 1

Association between maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and stunting and anemia in children

To investigate the relationship between high-risk fertility activity and infant stunting and anemia, a mixed effect generalized linear mixed model (GLLM) was fitted. Thus, mothers under the age of 18 and over the age of 34, birth order greater than three, birth interval, and interactions of higher birth order and age greater than 34 years are associated with anemia stunting. Stunting was 1.55 (AOR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.39 to 1.73), 1.33 (AOR = 1.33, 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.46) and 1.25 (AOR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.32) times more likely in children born to mothers under the age of 18 at the time of birth, birth period less than 24 months, and birth order above three. Similarly, Similarly, an interactions of mother age over 34 and birth order greater than 3 was related to a 1.35 higher risk of infant stunting than those that did not have these characteristics (AOR = 1.35, 95 percent CI: 1.06 to 1.73). On other hand a mother’s age at birth for 34 years is associated with a 25% lower risk of child stunting (AOR = 0.75, 95 percent CI: 0.60 to 0.95), compared to other age groups.

When the mother was less than 18 years old at the time of birth, the birth span was less than 24 months, and the birth order was greater than 3, the odds of infant anemia were 1.19 (AOR = 1.19, 95 percent CI: 1.07 to 1.33), 1.12 (AOR = 1.12, 95 percent CI: 1.01 to 1.23), and 1.26 times higher than their counterparts. Women over 34 years old had a 28 percent lower risk of infant anemia than women of other ages (AOR = 0.72, 95 percent CI: 0.58 to 0.90) (Table 5).

Table 5. Effect of high-risk fertility behavior on child chronic malnutrition and Anemia.
High-risk fertility behaviors Stunting Crude OR Adjusted OR Anemia Crude OR Adjusted OR
Yes No Yes No
Age less than 18 years
Yes 711 842 1.35(1.21 1.50) 1.55(1.39 1.73)* 877 676 1.08(0.98 1.20) 1.19(1.07 1.33)*
No 18633 11687 1 1 16391 13929 1 1
Age above 34 years
Yes 2022 2984 1.07(1.01 1.14) 0.75(0.60 0.95)* 2660 2346 0.95(0.90 1.20) 0.72(0.58 0.90)*
No 10376 16491 1 1 14608 12259 1 1
Birth interval less than 24 months
Yes 2160 2803 1.26(1.18 1.34) 1.33(1.21 1.46)* 8161 2103 1.15(1.08 1.23) 1.12(1.01 1.23)*
No 10238 16672 1 1 9107 12502 1 1
Birth order 4 and above
Yes 5950 8401 1.21(1.16 1.27) 1.25(1.18 1.32)* 2860 6190 1.21(1.16 1.26) 1.26(1.19 1.34)*
No 6448 11074 1 1 14408 8415 1 1
Age >34 years and Birth order >3
Yes 1907 2712 1.12(1.05 1.19) 1.35(1.06 1.73)* 2493 2126 0.99(0.93 1.06) 1.19(0.95 1.50)
No 10491 16763 1 1 14775 12479 1 1
Age < 18 years & birth interval <24 months
Yes 58 63 1.44(1.00 2.07) 0.81(0.55 1.20) 72 49 1.24(0.86 1.80) 1.03(0.69 1.52)
No 12340 19412 1 1 17196 14556 1 1
Age >34 years & birth interval <24 months
Yes 278 384 1.15(0.98 1.35) 1.43(0.55 3.73) 363 299 1.02(0.87 1.19) 1.03(0.40 2.65)
No 19091 12120 1 1 16905 14306 1 1
Birth interval <24 months and birth order >3
Yes 1233 1535 1.30(1.20 1.41) 0.92 (0.80 1.05) 1658 1110 1.26(1.16 1.37) 1.03(0.90 1.18)
No 11165 17940 1 1 15610 13495 1 1
Age above 34, birth order >3, and birth interval <24 months
Yes 270 373 1.15(0.98 1.35) 0.59(0.22 1.59) 354 289 1.03(0.87 1.20) 0.86(0.33 2.26)
No 12128 19102 1 1 16914 14316 1 1

Discussion

This study intended to determine the pooled estimates of high-risk fertility behavior in East Africa countries. Thus, the pooled analysis revealed that 57.7% and 21.6% of women who gave birth had at least one and multiple high-risk fertility behavior. Of which, higher birth order, age above 34 at birth, and birth interval less than 24 months were the common single high-risk fertility behaviors. Moreover, significant variations were also observed among countries ranged from 41% in Zimbabwe to 66% in Uganda. Likewise, a significant difference was also observed between rural and urban mothers in terms of high-risk fertility behavior which accounted for 17% of risk differences (RD). The possible explanations for the observed variation might be child marriage practices, a high magnitude of unmet need for family planning, and bad cultural myths and beliefs to use family planning among women. In addition, most of the countries in Africa had no demography and population policy despite rapid population growth. In addition, these findings suggest that more interventions which focus on maternal health services like provision of family planning and counseling on reduction of risky fertility behaviors are very important.

Furthermore, there were also substantial risk variations in high-risk fertility activity between rural and urban areas. This may be explained by a lack of access to healthcare and family planning, suggesting that rural areas are the best place to participate to minimize maternal mortality, meet sustainable development goals, and achieve universal health coverage. This result was in line with results from Nepalese and Indian studies [2022]. Women and husbands with some degree of schooling had lower risky-fertility behavior than women with no formal education, according to this report. This result was in line with the findings of other studies [20, 21, 23]. Women’s awareness about the benefits of birth spacing and reproductive health attributes expanded as their educational levels rose. The effects of school reproductive clubs and the inclusion of fertility biology in the educational curriculum may also explain this. In contrast to male-headed households, female-headed households have a lower risk of high-risk fertility activity. This may be because women are responsible for both earning a living and caring for their children

Rich women, on the other hand, are more likely than poor women to participate in high-risk fertility activity. This may be because wealthier women (households) could want more children, which could contribute to risky fertility activity. This result was in line with previous research. Significant regional differences in high-risk fertility behavior were also discovered in this research. Women from Uganda had 1.68 times more likely to had high-risk fertility behavior than women from Zimbabwe, while women from Rwanda, Malawi, and Ethiopia had 23%, 13%, and 27% lower chances of high-risk fertility behavior than Zimbabwe, respectively. Regarding the place of delivery, women who gave birth at home had a greater high-risk fertility behavior than women who gave birth at a health facility [6, 7, 24, 25]. This result was in line with those of previous Ethiopian studies [26]. Immediate post-partum family planning programs, such as ICUD, were often available via health facilities. Integration and strengthening of family planning services with obstetrics services like IUCD insertion immediately after delivery.

Similarly, women who had ever terminated a pregnancy (abortion history) were more likely to engage in high-risk fertility activity than those who had not. This result was in line with previous results in Sub-Saharan Africa [9, 27]. Abortion was commonly associated with unwanted pregnancies with shorter birth periods and pregnancies at a young age, and it represented a lack of contraception use, which affected high-risk fertility. Women who had trouble accessing health services were often more likely to participate in high-risk fertility behaviors. This finding was consistent with previous research [28]. This may be because women who had trouble accessing health services used less family planning and received less ANC and postnatal care, resulting in shorter birth periods, births at an older age, and high birth orders. In addition, this study showed that mothers who received ANC during pregnancy had an increased risk of high-risk fertility activities relative to those who did not. This result contradicted previous research. This may be because women with shorter birth periods and conceptions at a later age are frequently high-risk and need regular monitoring and follow-up.

Another result of this study was that cesarean section delivery is associated with lower risky fertility activity as compared to vaginal delivery. This may be because frequent Cesarean section deliveries reduced the number of pregnancies due to the possibility of negative effects of repeated CS [29]. Similarly, during data collection, women who understood the origins of modern contraception and existing users were associated with lower risk fertility activity. This result was consistent with previous research [3, 5]. A strong understanding of contraceptive strategies and their use decreased unintended pregnancy and improved birth intervals.

This research, on the other hand, discovered a correlation between high-risk fertility activity and childhood chronic stunting and anemia. Thus, in the East African region, the prevalence of stunting and anemia was 38.9 percent and 54.2 percent, respectively, among those who gave birth in the five years preceding the study. In this report, the prevalence of chronic malnutrition (stunting) was lower than in India (45.1 percent) and Nepal (39.7 percent) [30]. This finding, however, was higher than that of Bangladesh (36%) and three disadvantaged east African countries (36.7%) [19, 31]. Furthermore, the incidence of infant anemia was lower than a study finding of 43.7 percent of Bangladeshis. This finding reflects that maternal fertility behaviors are also contributors to nutritional problems among children. Socio-cultural disparities, such as cultural taboos against some food products in Southeast Asia, maybe one reason. Another point to remember is the correlation between high-risk fertility and chronic malnutrition in children. As a result, women under the age of 18 at the time of birth were related to a higher risk of stunting and anemia. This result was in line with previous research. Birth age is often linked to social and health disadvantages and inequality. In comparison to other age classes, women over 34 years old at the time of birth have a lower risk of stunting and anemia.

Furthermore, children with a birth order greater than 3 and a birth interval of less than 24 months have a higher risk of stunting and anemia. This result was in line with previous research. This may be attributed to a short birth period and a high birth order, which is related to intrauterine growth retardation in infants, maternal anemia, and maternal stress, both of which contribute to prematurity. Similarly, women with multiple high-risk fertility behaviors, such as age over 34 and high birth order of three or more, had a higher occurrence of high-risk fertility activity than those who did not. This finding was consistent with previous research. In general, this study found that high-risk fertility activity is widespread among East African reproductive-age women. Material high-risk fertility activity is linked to chronic malnutrition and anemia in children. This indicates that growing contraceptive use by women of childbearing age would help both the mother and the child’s health.

For evidence-based approaches, this research has implications for reproductive-age women, healthcare planners, and policymakers. Furthermore, the results of this study revealed that amenable variables such as home delivery, educational status, wealth status, and contraceptive usage could be the target area for resolving the issues. In addition, factors such as schooling, residency, and family planning source have been described as strategies for reducing maternal and child mortality. However, there are some drawbacks to this research. First, the study’s cross-sectional nature influenced the cause-effect relationship; second, health system characteristics were not assessed; and finally, the data in this study had recall bias issues, such as the number of months between births.

Conclusion

This study revealed that the magnitude of high-risk fertility behavior was higher in the region. The finding of this study underscores that interventions focused on health education and behavioral change of women, and improvement of maternal healthcare access would be helpful to avert risky fertility behaviors. In brief, encouraging contraceptive utilization and creating awareness about birth spacing among reproductive-age women would be more helpful. Meanwhile, frequent nutritional screening and early intervention of children born from women who had high-risk fertility characteristics are mandatory to reduce the burden of chronic malnutrition.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the Ethiopian Central Statistics Agency for providing us with all the relevant secondary data used in this study. Finally, we would like to thank all who directly or indirectly supported us.

Abbreviations

ANC

Antenatal Care

AOR

Adjusted Odds Ratio

CI

Confidence Interval

CS

Cesarean Section

DHS

Demographic and Health Survey

EA

Enumeration Area

E

East

DHS

Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey

ICC

Intra Class Correlation

IUD

Intrauterine Device

KR

Kids Record

LLR

Likelihood Ratio

MOR

Median Odds Ratio

N

North

PCV

Proportion of Cluster Variance

SE

Standard Error

SGD

Sustainable Development Goal

SSA

Sub-Saharan Africa

Data Availability

The data used for this study is publicly available from measure DHS website accessible after filling measure DHS data request form. The data are third-party data and not collected by the authors. The authors had no special access privileges when accessing the data. The data can be accessed through the website: https://dhsprogram.com/data/dataset_admin/index.cfm.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

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Decision Letter 0

Frank T Spradley

22 Feb 2021

PONE-D-20-27151

Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behavior and its effects on stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: Pooled analysis of nine East African countries

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Tamirat,

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1. Define abbreviations at first mention (e.g HRFB).

2. In the abstract, what do you mean by "Women and husband education"? please define the direction. Are you saying poor/low women and husband education?

3. The abstract's conclusion is not properly written and hard to follow. Please do not repeat the study result in the conclusion section.

4. The following statement in the methods section is confusing: "Whereas to see the relationship of risky behaviors with child chronic malnutrition and anemia, child hemoglobin level, and height for age measurements as dependent variables."

Which are/is the dependent variable(s)? High risk fertility behaviour? or chronic malnutrition? or anemia? or child hemoglobin level?

How were they defined? How were they expressed in the analysis? What is the diference between chronic malnutrition and height for age measurements in your study? I thought height for age measurements are used to measure chronic malnutrition.

5. Which are the exploratory variables? How were they defined? How were they expressed in the analysis?

6. How was statistical bias avoided?

In general, the sub-section: "Variables of the study" in the methods section should be extensively revised.

I would strongly recommend extensive grammar and punctuation editing.

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PLoS One. 2021 Jun 30;16(6):e0253736. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253736.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


9 Apr 2021

Point by point response

Manuscript title: Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A Pooled Analysis of nine East African countries

Manuscript ID: PONE-D-20-27151

Journal – PLOS ONE

Dear editor/reviewer

Dear all,

We would like to thank you for this constructive, building, and improvable comments on this manuscript that would improve the substance and content of the paper. We considered each comment and clarification questions of editors and reviewers on the document thoroughly. Our point-by-point responses for each comment and issues are described in detail on the following pages. Further, the details of changes were shown by track changes in the supplementary document attached.

Koku Sisay Tamirat

On behalf of all authors

Editor comments

When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements.

1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf andhttps://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=ba62/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_title_authors_affiliations.pdf

• Author response: Thanks editors for your constructive comments, based on your comments we made all corrections according to Submission guidelines.

2. Please include in your Methods section the date ranges of the DHS database analysed in the current study.

• Author response: Thanks editor for your comments for the purpose of this study we used secondary data sources from measure Demography and Health Survey (DHS) website with after fill the request form. The date of analysis for this study was from July 1-30, 2020. Mentioned in the method section, page 4, Line 88-89.

We note that you have indicated that data from this study are available upon request. PLOS only allows data to be available upon request if there are legal or ethical restrictions on sharing data publicly. For information on unacceptable data access restrictions, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-unacceptable-data-access-restrictions.

• Author response: Thanks reviewer for your constructive comments which are highly important to improve the quality of manuscript quality.

In your revised cover letter, please address the following prompts:

a) If there are ethical or legal restrictions on sharing a de-identified data set, please explain them in detail (e.g., data contain potentially identifying or sensitive patient information) and who has imposed them (e.g., an ethics committee). Please also provide contact information for a data access committee, ethics committee, or other institutional body to which data requests may be sent.

• Author response: Thank you editor for your constructive comments. This study is further analysis of publicly available secondary data sources from measure DHS. Ethical clearance was obtained after filling an online data acquisition form of measure DHS. The request form available at www.measuredhs.com.

b) If there are no restrictions, please upload the minimal anonymized data set necessary to replicate your study findings as either Supporting Information files or to a stable, public repository and provide us with the relevant URLs, DOIs, or accession numbers. Please see http://www.bmj.com/content/340/bmj.c181.long for guidelines on how to de-identify and prepare clinical data for publication. For a list of acceptable repositories, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-recommended-repositories.

• Author response: Corrected in the main document of the manuscript. Mentioned in the declaration section of the manuscript, page 17, line 357-358.

We will update your Data Availability statement on your behalf to reflect the information you provide.

We note you have included a table to which you do not refer in the text of your manuscript. Please ensure that you refer to Table 3 in your text; if accepted, production will need this reference to link the reader to the Table.

• Author response: Corrected in the main document. Thank you editors for your insightful comments. it is already mentioned in the main document, page 9, line 188-189.

Reviewer 1: Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Partly

• Author response: The conclusion section corrected based on the results and objectives of the study.

Reviewer comments: Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: No

• Author response: The language proofread by all authors and other language exerts. Language errors edited and corrected in the main document of the manuscript.

Reviewer comments: Define abbreviations at first mention (e.g HRFB).

• Author response: Corrected in the main document of the manuscript HRFB stands to High-risk fertility behavior among reproductive age women. The detail mentioned in the introduction section and variables of the study section. Mentioned in the Page 3, line 63-64 and page 5, 103-113.

2. In the abstract, what do you mean by "Women and husband education"? please define the direction. Are you saying poor/low women and husband education?

• Author response: Corrected as “In contrast to uneducated mothers, the chances of high-risk pregnancy activity were reduced by 41 % (AOR=0.59, 95 % CI: 0.56 to 0.64), 68 percent (AOR=0.32, 95 % CI: 0.29 to 0.36), and 76 % (AOR= 0.24, 95 % CI: 0.19 to 0.29) for women who completed primary, secondary, and certificate and higher level schooling. Those husband who attended primary, secondary, diploma and above level of education, the odds of high-risk fertility behaviors were reduced by 11 % (AOR=0.89, 95 % CI: 0.83 to 0.95), 29 % (AOR=0.71, 95 % CI: 0.65 to 0.78), and 25 % (AOR: 0.75, 95 % CI: 0.65 to 0.87) compared to low level of education, respectively. Corrected in the main document of the manuscript, page 9-10, Line 195-202.

Reviewer’s comments: The abstract's conclusion is not properly written and hard to follow. Please do not repeat the study result in the conclusion section.

• Author response: Thank you reviewer for your constructive comments. The abstract section revised and rephrased. Written as “Background: Low contraceptive utilization, child marriage, and a poor health system contributed to a high-risk fertility behavior in the East African region. As a result, this study aimed to establish determinants of high-risk fertility activity and their effect on child stunting and anemia. Method: This study relied on secondary data sources from recent demography and health surveys of nine east African countries. Relevant data were extracted from Kids Record (KR) files and appended for the final analysis; 31,873 mother-child pairs were included in the final analysis. The mixed-effect logistic regression model (fixed and random effects) was used to describe the determinants of high-risk fertility behavior (HRFB) and its correlation with child stunting and anemia. Result: According to the pooled study, 57.6% (95 % CI: 57.7 to 58.2) of women had at least one high-risk fertility behavior, with major a disparities found across countries and women's residences. High-risk fertility behaviors were more common among women of rural dwellers, faced healthcare access problems, history of abortion, better economic conditions, and had antenatal care follow-up. Consequently, younger women at first birth, narrow birth intervals, and high birth orders were HRFBs associated with an increased occurrence of child stunting and anemia. Conclusion: This study revealed that the magnitude of high-risk fertility behavior was higher in the region. The finding of this study underscores that interventions focused on health education and behavioral change of women, and improvement of maternal healthcare access would be helpful to avert risky fertility behaviors. In brief, encouraging contraceptive utilization and creating awareness about birth spacing among reproductive-age women would be more helpful. Meanwhile, frequent nutritional screening and early intervention of children born from women who had high risk fertility characteristics are mandatory to reduce the burden of chronic malnutrition.

4. The following statement in the methods section is confusing: "Whereas to see the relationship of risky behaviors with child chronic malnutrition and anemia, child hemoglobin level, and height for age measurements as dependent variables."

Which are/is the dependent variable(s)? High risk fertility behaviour? or chronic malnutrition? or anemia? or child hemoglobin level?

How were they defined? How were they expressed in the analysis? What is the diference between chronic malnutrition and height for age measurements in your study? I thought height for age measurements are used to measure chronic malnutrition.

• Author response: For this study there were more than one dependent variables. Thus, High-risk fertility behavior among reproductive women were the outcome variables for women. Mentioned as “High-risk fertility behavior is the outcome of interest for women who gave birth, defined as women age at birth less than 18 or above 34 years or birth interval less than 24 months or high birth order were criteria used to define the outcome of the interest.”

• Secondary outcomes of the study : Chronic malnutrition like Stunting and Anemia were also outcome variables for children to see any association between chronic malnutrition and High-risk fertility behavior among reproductive age women. Please note that for decision of HFRB and nutritional assessment used was for the recent child and birth. The details about the variables of the study mentioned in the method sections of the study. Page 5-6, Line 101-132.

Which are the exploratory variables? How were they defined? How were they expressed in the analysis?

• Author response: Corrected in the main document of the manuscript. Mentioned page 5-6, Line 101-132.

Reviewer comments: How was statistical bias avoided? In general, the sub-section: "Variables of the study" in the methods section should be extensively revised. I would strongly recommend extensive grammar and punctuation editing.

• Author response: Some of the strategies used to reduce bias in this study was using standardized definitions for classification of outcomes like HRFB, nutritional status like Anemia, stunting. Regarding the variables of the study we describe in detail in the method section of the manuscript. In addition we tried to address the language error through proof read by all authors.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Point by point response.docx

Decision Letter 1

Frank T Spradley

28 May 2021

PONE-D-20-27151R1

Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A Pooled Analysis of nine East African countries

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Tamirat,

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Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

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Reviewer #1: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Well-done on your revised manuscript. Your submission has greatly improved. However, there are still some grammar errors that makes some portions hard to understand. Here are some but I would recommend you further proofread your manuscript before final submission.

Revise your grammar:

Line 28, .......child marriage, and a poor health system contributes to high-risk fertility behaviour in the East African region.

Line 39, ......were common among women who live in rural areas, are unable to access healthcare, have history of abortion, have better economic conditions and had antenatal care follow-up.

I would recommend you use 'Young maternal age at first birth (<18)" rather than "younger women at first birth".

Line 115 - 116, what do you mean by ".....to see the relationship between risky behaviors with the child chronic malnutrition and anemia defined as follow," - this is hard to understand. Please revise the grammar.

What is the difference between "Unavoidable risk category" and "No high-risk fertility behavior"?.

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Reviewer #1: No

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PLoS One. 2021 Jun 30;16(6):e0253736. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253736.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


4 Jun 2021

Point by point response

Manuscript title: Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A Pooled Analysis of nine East African countries

Manuscript ID: PONE-D-20-27151R1

Journal – PLOS ONE

Dear editor/reviewer

Dear all,

We would like to thank you for this constructive, building, and improvable comments on this manuscript that would improve the substance and content of the paper. We considered each comment and clarification questions of editors and reviewers on the document thoroughly. Our point-by-point responses for each comment and issues are described in detail on the following pages. Further, the details of changes were shown by track changes in the supplementary document attached.

Koku Sisay Tamirat

On behalf of all authors

Revise your grammar:

Line 28, .......child marriage, and a poor health system contributes to high-risk fertility behavior in the East African region.

Author response: Thanks reviewer for your constructive comments based on your suggestion grammatical errors corrected in the main document. Mentioned in Page 2, Line 28

Line 39, ……….were common among women who live in rural areas, are unable to access healthcare, have history of abortion, have better economic conditions and had antenatal care follow-up.

Author response: Thanks for your constructive comments it is already corrected in the main document abstract section. Page 2

I would recommend you use 'Young maternal age at first birth (<18)" rather than "younger women at first birth".

Author response: Thanks for your constructive comments it is already corrected in the main document abstract section. Page 2

Line 115 - 116, what do you mean by ".....to see the relationship between risky behaviors with the child chronic malnutrition and anemia defined as follow," - this is hard to understand. Please revise the grammar.

Author response: uthor response: Thanks for your constructive comments it is already corrected in the main document as “Children health outcomes: another objective of this study was to see the association between maternal risky fertility behaviors and chronic malnutrition and anemia in children”.

What is the difference between "Unavoidable risk category" and "No high-risk fertility behavior"?.

Author response: Maternal health outcome: For this study, maternal high-risk fertility behavior was the primary outcome variable which is defined based on several criteria’s as follow;

• High-risk fertility behavior is the outcome of interest for women who gave birth, defined as women age at birth less than 18 or above 34 years or birth interval less than 24 months or high birth order were criteria used to define [16].

• Single high-risk fertility behavior: when a woman reported to had one high-risk fertility behavior the is either younger age less than 18 years, or older age above 34 years, or birth interval less than 24 months, or high-birth order (four and above) [3, 17-19].

• Multiple high-risk fertility behavior: when a woman had a combination of at least two above-mentioned behaviors [3, 17-19]. Unavoidable high-risk fertility behavior is defined as women whose age was between 18 and 34 years and first birth order[16, 17].

• Unavoidable HRFB: when first-order births between ages of 18 and

34 years in women not amenable to the interventions.

• Not in any high-risk category: when women don’t have any risk fertility behavior

Attachment

Submitted filename: Point by point respons_Plos one.docx

Decision Letter 2

Frank T Spradley

14 Jun 2021

Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A Pooled Analysis of nine East African countries

PONE-D-20-27151R2

Dear Dr. Tamirat,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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Kind regards,

Frank T. Spradley

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Acceptance letter

Frank T Spradley

16 Jun 2021

PONE-D-20-27151R2

Determinants of maternal high-risk fertility behaviors and its correlation with child stunting and anemia in the East Africa region: A Pooled Analysis of nine East African countries

Dear Dr. Tamirat:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Frank T. Spradley

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Point by point response.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Point by point respons_Plos one.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    The data used for this study is publicly available from measure DHS website accessible after filling measure DHS data request form. The data are third-party data and not collected by the authors. The authors had no special access privileges when accessing the data. The data can be accessed through the website: https://dhsprogram.com/data/dataset_admin/index.cfm.


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