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Medical Journal, Armed Forces India logoLink to Medical Journal, Armed Forces India
. 2021 Jul 26;77(Suppl 2):S413–S423. doi: 10.1016/j.mjafi.2021.05.025

Conundrum of re-positive COVID-19 cases: A systematic review of case reports and case series

Arun Kumar Yadav a,, S Ghosh b, Sudhir Dubey c
PMCID: PMC8313065  PMID: 34334911

Abstract

Background

The systematic review was conducted to summarize and synthesize evidence from all available case series and case reports published on re-positive COVID-19 cases.

Methods

The systematic review was registered with Prospero (CRD42020210446). PRISMA guidelines were followed for conducting the systematic review. Inclusion criteria for studies included case reports and case series which have documented cases of positive reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) after a period of clinical improvement or a negative RT-PCR report. Reviews, opinions, and animal studies were excluded. Methodological quality was assessed using the modified Murad scale.

Results

A total of 30 case reports/case series were included in the study, wherein a total of 219 cases were included. In re-positive cases, the age range varied from 10 months to 91 years. The pooled proportion of positive cases after follow-up using random-effects was 12% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 09%–15%). Among the re-positives, a total of 57 cases (26%) had comorbidities. A total of 51 (23.3%) and 17 (7.8%) re-positive cases had been treated with antivirals and corticosteroids, respectively. Only a few studies have confirmed the presence of antibodies after the first episode. Studies that included contact tracing of re-positives did not find any positive cases among close contacts of re-positive cases.

Conclusion

The systemic review found that reinfection is a possibility within 123 days of a negative RT-PCR test in a small number of cases of COVID-19. This has wider ramifications in framing clinical, preventive, and public health policy guidelines.

Keywords: COVID-19, Re-positives, Reinfection, Systematic review

Introduction

Clusters of atypical pneumonia cases were reported from Wuhan city, China, in December 2019 in the Hubei province.1 The agent was identified as severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the disease was named as COVID-19.2 World Health Organization declared it as Public Health Emergency of International Concern on 30 January 20 and subsequently as a pandemic on 11 March 20.3

Although scientific knowledge of the novel SARS-CoV-2 in the context of characteristics, transmission dynamics, pathophysiology, and clinical spectrum of disease manifestations has considerably increased over the past one year, knowledge gaps continue to persist in the natural history of the disease. The immune response to the infection (humoral versus cellular Immunity, the persistence of acquired immunity, and natural immunity to the disease) are still plagued with uncertainty.

Case reports and case series have documented COVID-19 cases with reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)–positive test reports at two different time frames following a symptom free period and/or RT-PCR–negative test. These cases may include re-positives, reactivated, and reinfection cases. It is unknown whether these cases share common characteristics or features that may help identify re-positive cases before discharge. The systematic review of the case reports and case series of the re-positives may help in better understanding of the natural history of the disease. Hence, a systematic review to summarize and synthesize evidence from all the published case series and case reports was conducted.

Materials and methods

The present systematic review was registered with Prospero with registration number CRD42020210446. We followed PRISMA guidelines for conducting the systematic review. A detailed literature search was carried out until 12 November 2020 for studies with reported cases of COVID-19 after a symptom-free interval. The databases that were searched included Medline through Pubmed and Cochrane databases. The key terms used were COVID-19, severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus, relapse, re-activation, re-positive, and re-infection. The detailed search for Pubmed is given in Supplementary Table 1. Hand searches of the references of articles were also carried out. Observational studies, including case reports and case series, which had reported COVID-19 cases positive for RT-PCR on different occasions following a symptom-free interval and/or negative RT-PCR test were considered for the systematic review. Studies published in English language only were considered for the systematic review. Inclusion criteria for studies included case reports and case series that have documented positive RT-PCR cases after a period of clinical improvement or after a negative RT-PCR report. Review, opinions, and animal studies were excluded. Case reports which described clinical presentation or manifestations of COVID-19 cases were also excluded from the studies if they did not specify the positive molecular test after a symptom-free period or negative RT-PCR test.

Case definition

For this systematic review, the words relapse, re-activation, and re-positives were used interchangeably to include anyone who had become RT-PCR positive again after a symptom-free interval or negative RT-PCR test. Reinfection was restricted to only those studies where genomic characterization of the virus at two different time frames following a negative RT-PCR test proved fresh infection. The term “Recurrence” was used for encompassing both reinfection and re-positive/relapse/reactivation.

A data extraction form was developed, and data were extracted by two authors independently. The data items consisted of age and sex of the patients, clinical comorbidities, date of initial positive RT-PCR test, date of negative RT-PCR test based on which the patient was declared as cured, and date of positive RT-PCR test in recovered individuals who reported with new onset of symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 reinfection after a disease-free interval. Data on serology (if performed) and the clinical outcome of patients were also collated. If there was a mismatch in data extraction by the two authors, the same was resolved through discussion with a senior epidemiologist.

Methodological quality was assessed using the existing Murad scale.4 The scale consists of eight items that converge into four domains: selection, ascertainment, causality, and reporting. Two items pertaining to adverse drug events (dose–response effect and challenge and rechallenge phenomenon) were not considered relevant. The data were extracted for remaining six items by two independent authors, and in case of mismatch, consensus was made in consultation with a senior epidemiologist. Narrative synthesis of the results was carried out. Random-effects model was used for the pooling of results. The description of variable was carried out as mean and standard deviation for continuous variables and proportion for categorical variables. 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was calculated. The statistical analysis was carried out using StataCorp. 2019. Stata Statistical Software: Release 16. College Station, TX: StataCorp LLC.

Results

The selection for the study is shown as PRISMA Chart in Fig. 1. A total of 30 case reports/case series with 219 cases were included in the study. The patients' details and characteristics in the case series and case reports are shown in Table 1.5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33 A study carried out in China among children with a median age of age of 5.7 years which studied recurrence in 14 children22 and another Chinese study among 10 elderly subjects which did not mention the age and gender of the participants20 were also included in the study. The pooled mean age of 195 cases was 44.3 ± 19.2 years. A total of 111 (50.68%) of 195 were women. The age range of the recurrence cases varied from 10 months to 91 years of age.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Prisma chart for the inclusion of studies in the systematic review.

Table 1.

Characteristics of studies.

S no Study Age and sex Country Sympt-omatic Comor-bidity Clinical severity First COVID 19 (PCR) Test Done Serological test done after first episode RT PCR negative after first episode Symptomatic again after period of weeks Date of Second COVID 19 Test done Outcome
1 Batisse et al.6
1 19, F France Yes 7 Cormo-bidity:
4 No co-morbitiy
Mild D2 RT-PCRa Available for 9 patients 5 were positive, one slightly positive and three negatives NM Yes D29, RT- PCRa 3 Dead and 8 Alive
2 32, F Yes Mild D18 NM Yes D36,55
3 33, F Yes Mild D3 NM Yes D28
4 43, M Yes Mild D1 NM Yes D38
5 85, M Yes Mild D16 NM Yes D46
6 54, M Yes Mild D38,44 NM Yes D45
7 91, F Yes Mild D3 NM Yes D26
8 55, M Yes Mild D6 NM Yes D31
9 72, M Yes Mild D7 NM Yes D23, 32, 36
10 73, M Yes Mild D6 NM Yes D35
11 84, F Yes Mild D11 NM Yes D50
2 Lafai et al.7
1 84, F France Yes Yes Severe 26 March PCR Yes∗∗ No Yes 26 days RT PCRa Death
2 90, F Yes Yes Severe 05 April PCR No No Yes 15 days Death
3 84, F Yes Yes Severe 15 April PCRa (neg) Yes∗∗ Yes Yes 11 days Death
3 Enrico et al.8 69, F Italy Yes Yes Mild 24 March RT-PCR Yes IgG Positive Yes (two) Yes 32 days RT PCR Alive
4 Ye et al.9
1 30, M China Yes No Mild NM NM NM Yes NM 4–17 days after negative test RT PCRa Alive
2 42, M Yes No Mild NM NM NM Yes NM Alive
3 32, F Yes No Mild NM NM NM Yes NM Alive
4 27, F No No Mild NM NM NM Yes NM Alive
5 31, F Yes No Mild NM NM NM Yes NM Alive
5 Ravioli et al.10
1 81, F Switzerland Yes Yes Moderate 09 March RT-PCRa NM Yes Yes 21 RT-PCRa Died
2 77, F Yes Yes 23 March NM Yes Yes 14 Alive
6 Loconsole et al.11 48, M Italy Yes No Severe 17 March RT-PCR Yes Yes Yes 30 RT PCR Alive
7 Jiang et al.12
1 35 F China Yes No Mild 30 January RT-PCRa No Yes Yes 9 days RT-PCRa Re-hosp
2 56 F Yes Yes Mild 30 January No Yes No 14 days Alive
3 F Yes No Mild 03 February No Yes Yes 8 days Alive
4 F Yes No Mild 03 February No Yes No 7 days Alive
5 F Yes Yes Mild 05 February No Yes No 9 days Alive
6 F Yes No Mild 06 February No Yes No 5 days Alive
8 Chang et al.13
1 14M China No No Mild-6
Moderate - 1
01 February RT-PCRa No Yes No 7 4RS
2 RT-PCRa
1RT-PCRa and 1 Rs
Alive
2 13M No No 01 February No Yes No 11 Alive
3 0.8F Yes No 05 February No Yes No 9 Alive
4 35M Yes No 02 February No Yes No 9 Alive
5 35M No No 31 January No Yes No 8 Alive
6 33M No No 27 January No Yes No 5 Alive
7 26M Yes No 26 January No yes No 11 Alive
9 Yoo et al.14 8M Korea Yes No Mild 03 March RT-PCR No Yes Yes 14 RT-PCR Alive
10 Liu et al.15 35 M China yes No Mild 30 January RT-PCR Yes Yes Yes 15 RT-PCR Alive
11 Yuan et al.16
1 38M China 19- Yes
1 - No
6 people had comorbidities Mild to moderate NM for all RT-PCRa 14 were tested and all of them have antibodies Yes No for all 13- retested at 07 days
7 retested 14 days
14 nasopharyngeal and 7 anal swabs Alive (all)
2 53M
3 40F
4 61F
5 64F
6 53F
7 33F
8 1F
9 34F
10 43M
11 34F
12 38M
13 50F
14 50F
15 5F
16 55F
17 72F
18 54M
19 8M
20 12M
12 Lan et al.17
1 30-36, 2 M China 3-Yes
1- No
NM Mild to moderate NM RT-PCRa NM Yes No 5–13 days after discharge RT-PCRa Alive
2 NM NM NM Yes No Alive
3 NM NM Nm Yes No Alive
4 NM NM NM Yes No Alive
13 Cao et al.18
1 54F China Yes No Severe NM RT-PCRa NM Yes No 12 RT-PCRa Alive
2 72F Yes No Moderate NM NM Yes No 14 Alive
3 60F Yes No Moderate NM NM Yes No 09 Alive
4 65F Yes Yes Moderate NM NM Yes No 12 Alive
5 58M Yes No Moderate NM NM Yes No 16 Alive
6 64M Yes No Severe NM NM Yes No 29 Alive
7 36F Yes No Moderate NM NM Yes No 06 Alive
8 26M No No Moderate NM NM Yes No 06 Alive
14 Deng et al.19 Age - 54.8 years, F- 36 China NM 24 (39.3%) Severe-3 (4.9%) NM RT-PCRa Not done Yes 38-No 0 (7–13) 36-RT-PCR
17- AS; 8- sputum
Alive (All)
15 Peng et al.20
1 67M China Yes NM Mild 24 January PCR NM Yes No 4 RT-PCR Alive
2 - M Yes NM Mild 24 January PCR NM Yes No 6 RT-PCR Alive
3 - F Yes NM Mild 27 January PCR NM Yes No 3 RT-PCR Alive
4 - M Yes NM Mild 28 January PCR NM Yes No 7 RT-PCR Alive
5 38F Yes NM Mild 24 January PCR NM Yes No 6 AS Alive
6 29M Yes NM Mild 29 January PCR NM Yes No 6 AS Alive
7 21F Yes NM Mild 31 January PCR NM Yes No 5 RT-PCR Alive
16 Wu et al.21
1 >70 China NM Yes NM 01 February NM NM NM Yes 3 RT-PCR Alive
2 >70 NM Yes NM 02 February’ NM NM NM Yes 5 RT-PCR/AS Alive
3 NM NM NM NM 02February NM NM NM No 6 AS Alive
4 NM NM NM NM 23 January NM NM NM No 25 RT-PCR Alive
5 NM NM NM NM 27 January NM NM NM No 16 RT-PCR Alive
6 NM NM NM NM 30 January NM NM NM No 9 RT-PCR Alive
7 NM NM NM NM 29 January NM NM NM No 22 AS Alive
8 NM NM NM NM 28 January NM NM NM No 23 AS Alive
9 NM NM NM NM 07 February NM NM NM No 11 AS Alive
10 NM NM NM NM 07 February NM NM NM No 07 AS Alive
17 Zhou et al.22 40M China Yes Yes Severe 23 January RT-PCR Yes Yes Yes 5 days after discharge RT-PCR Alive
18 Zhao et al23
(7/14) 5.7 (Median)
(2.9–7.3)Range
F-4
China 5 Yes
2 No
No Co-morbidity Mild (All) NM (All) RT-PCRa NM (All) Yes(all) 6-No
1- Yes
14 days from discharge (7–17) RT-PCRa Alive (All)
19 Li et al.24 50M China Yes Yes Mild D13 RT-PCR Yes on D 40. IgM and IgG positive Yes No 14 RT-PCR Alive
20 Chen et al.25
1 29M China Yes NM Mild 01 February RT-PCRa NM Yes No 3 RT-PCRa Alive
2 49F Yes NM Mild 02 February NM Yes No 3 Alive
3 12F No NM Mild 05 February NM Yes No 3 Alive
4 38M Yes NM mild 30 January NM Yes No 3 Alive
21 Hu et al26 (11) median age 27, range 4–58 years
F-4
China Yes (All) 3-Co-morbidities Mild-1
Moderate- 9
Severe-1
NM(All) RT-PCRa NM(All) Yes (All) No (All) 14 (9–17) RT-PCRa Alive (All)
22 Jianghong An et al.27 Median age
20 (5–64) 7-F
(Mild)
38 (2–60) 15-F
China Yes 1/11
1/27
Mild −11
Moderate 27
Patient were discharged, January 23 to February 25 (14 days) RT PCR, Anal swab Yes no difference between the two groups Yes (All) No (All) Weekly after discharge RT PCRa Alive (All)
23 Chen et al.28 46 F China Yes No Mild 24 January RT-PCR No Yes No 03 days after last negative test RT-PCR Alive
24 Duggan et al.29 82 M USA Yes Yes Severe Early April RT-PCR No Yes No 10 days post discharge RT-PCR Alive
25 Ye-min et al.30 49 M China Yes NM Mild 22 January RT-PCR NM Yes No 3 days after discharge Sputum positive PCR -ve Alive
26 To et al.31 33M Hong kong Yes No Co-morbidity Mild 29 March RT- PCR NM Yes No 123 days after discharge RT-PCR Alive
27 Tillet et al.32 25M USA Yes No Mild 18 April RT- PCR Yes Yes Yes 10 days after last negative test RT-PCR Alive
28 Elslande et al.33 51F Belgium Yes Asthma Moderate March 20 RT-PCR Yes (second time) No Yes 10 weeks after home quarantine RT-PCR Alive
29 Prado-Vivar B et al.34 46M Eucadorian Yes NM Mild May 12 RT-PCR Yes Yes Yes 6 weeks after being negative RT-PCR Alive
30 Gupta et al.35 25M India Yes No No 05 May RT-PCRa NM
NM
Yes No 100 days after tested negative RT-PCR Alive
28F No 17 May Yes No 101 days RT-PCR Alive

AS, anal swab; F, female; M, male; NM, not mentioned; RT-PCR, reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (naso-pharyngeal swab).

a

Same for all.

Molecular test for COVID-19 among discharged patients had been performed on sputum (lower respiratory tract), nasopharyngeal and anal swab. The details are shown in Table 1.

The majority of the cases (197, 89.9%) had mild to moderate clinical presentation. The clinical severity at initial presentation was not specified for 10 cases. Only 12 cases (5.5%; 95% CI: 2.8%–9.4%) had severe disease manifestation at initial presentation. A total of 64 (29.2%) reported cases were symptomatic during the second episode with the majority of them having less severe disease manifestation compared with the first episode. One hundred fifty (68.5%) cases were asymptomatic, and the status of five was unknown.

A total of 57 cases (26%) among the re-positives cases had comorbidities. A total of 51 and 17 re-positive cases had received antivirals and corticosteroids, respectively. Time interval between discharge/preceding a RT-PCR–negative report and a positive molecular test report ranged from 03 days to 123 days.

Eight studies have mentioned the proportion of cases that became re-positives after a negative RT-PCR test during follow-up period. The summary of proportions and their pooled ratio is given in Fig. 2. The pooled proportion using random-effects was 12% (95% CI: 09%–15%). All studies had a follow-up period in the range of 4–17 days except one which had a follow-up period of 14–46 days.26

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Pooled proportions of re-positives from studies.

Only a few studies confirmed the presence of antibodies after the first episode of clinical illness (Table 1). Even after the development of antibodies, studies had reported re-positivity (Table 1). A few studies had conducted contact tracing of re-positives. The studies did not find any positive cases among high risk contact with re-positives (Table 1). Mortality was reported in seven re-positive cases. The age range of these cases ranges from 73 to 91 years. All of them had multiple comorbidities.

Only a few studies had looked into the genetic analysis of the SARS-COV-2 to confirm reinfection.30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 These studies had found reinfection to occur even after a period of 123 days after the last RT-PCR negative test.

The quality of studies was assessed by using the modified Murad et al scale as shown in Fig. 3. In most of the studies, selection methods of COVID-19 cases were not clear; in addition, there were no precautions taken for ruling out false positives or rule out an alternate pathogen, which could produce similar signs and symptoms.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Quality of study as assessed using the modified Murad scale. ∗NM- Not Mentioned.

Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported 141 cases positive by RT-PCR after they recovered from COVID-19.34 However, the probable reason given was relapse or inconsistent tests. The details were not available on the site.

Discussion

The systematic review was carried out for all case reports and case series to identify common characteristics and evidence available for re-positive cases. Although during review of available literature, we found evidence of re-positives after symptom free and negative RT-PCR test, yet it is difficult to ascertain whether it was due to continuous shedding of the virus, relapse, or reinfection by the virus. Only six studies that have carried out the genetic analysis of the COVID-19 virus in re-positives found genomic diversity, thus establishing reinfection.

Recurrence has been observed across all ages, from 10 months to 91 years of age. Mortality after reinfection is seen in the older age group with multiple comorbidities which is consistent with primary infection. Innate and acquired immunity of the individual may also influence recurrences.35 Hence, immune-senescence of the old age and immunosuppressant drugs may affect recurrence. However, the majority (92.2%) of the COVID-19 re-positive cases had not been given corticosteroids for management during the primary episode of illness. Many re-positive cases were also given antivirals. However, in absence of control group, it is difficult to draw any inference for association of corticosteroids or antivirals. Second, the denominator in case reports or case series is difficult to ascertain, hence rate can also be not calculated. The effect of other immunomodulators and antiviral drugs on recurrence may be studied in a well-designed study with control group.

Pooled proportion of studies that have specified the proportion of COVID-19 re-positives was carried out. Approximately 12% of discharged COVID-19 cases after the first episode of infection were detected positive during subsequent molecular testing. The reasons may be related to Intermittent shedding of virus, the persistence of the virus, testing technique including sampling, or host characteristics. There was no evidence of secondary cases arising from these re-positives. Study carried out on nine patients of COVID-19 cases noted prolonged viral shedding in sputum.36 However, there is a little residual risk of infectivity with viral load less than 100,000 viral RNA copies per ml of sputum.36 This viral shedding in sputum needs to be further explored for infectivity of virus during recurrences as infectiousness of recurrence cases would have major implication on public health policy.

A notable area of scientific interest is the role of seroconversion among re-positives. Although animal studies suggest that antibody formation is protective against reinfection, yet in present systematic review we found that re-positives can occur even after seroconversion.37 The relation between seroconversion and re-positives further need to be explored.

Different anatomical sampling sites may also have some effect on viral detection. In many cases, even if the sample from the nasopharyngeal is negative, the samples from sputum (lower respiratory tract) and anal swab have been positive. There is evidence that the virus may be shed longer from the extrapharyngeal sites. There are reports that virus shedding from asymptomatic patients may continue from extrapulmonary sites in various bodily fluids (saliva, tears, faeces, throat, or nasal discharge) for a longer duration of time.38,39 Its role in reinfection is still not known.

Antibody-dependent enhancement is a known phenomenon in viral disease and responsible for increased severity of subsequent infections.40 However, in this systematic review, we found that clinical manifestations in majority of re-positive cases were milder than the initial infection. This may be because most of the cases were not true reinfections but persistence of the same infection or due to intermittent virus shedding. Even in the six studies with documented genomic analysis, clinical manifestations in the reinfection cases were mild to moderate. A model for reinfection has concluded that the rate of reinfection in the recovered population would decline to zero over time as the virus is cleared clinically from the system of the recovered cases.41

Risk of bias

Although there are no set guidelines for estimating the risk of bias in case reports and case series, the authors feel that initial RT-PCR positive, subsequent RT-PCR negative, serological testing, and RT-PCR positive after symptom-free period are essential for drawing conclusion about relapse or reinfection. Few case reports did not mention a negative RT-PCR test after the first COVID-19 infection.5,9

One of the limitations of our study is that the literature search has been restricted to only English language and to Medline and Cochrane database. Hence, we may have missed articles published in Chinese and other non-English languages.

Since these patients of recurrence may represent a special subset of COVID-19 cases, the findings may not be generalizable to all COVID-19 cases. More research is needed to delineate the factors responsible for recurrence in recovered cases. As the pandemic progresses, more conclusive evidence in this context would be gathered. Nevertheless, there is a strong case for proper documentation of all the cases to further refute or confirm the findings.

Disclosure of competing interest

The authors have none to declare.

Footnotes

Appendix A

Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mjafi.2021.05.025.

Appendix A. Supplementary data

The following is the supplementary data to this article:

Multimedia component 1
mmc1.docx (14.6KB, docx)

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