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. 2021 Aug 28;9(11):3944–3968.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.jaip.2021.08.016

The Association of Asthma With COVID-19 Mortality: An Updated Meta-Analysis Based on Adjusted Effect Estimates

Hongjie Hou a, Jie Xu a, Yang Li a, Yadong Wang b, Haiyan Yang a,
PMCID: PMC8401144  PMID: 34464749

Abstract

Background

The association of asthma with the risk for mortality among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients is not clear.

Objective

To investigate the association between asthma and the risk for mortality among COVID-19 patients.

Methods

We performed systematic searches through electronic databases including PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science to identify potential articles reporting adjusted effect estimates on the association of asthma with fatal COVID-19. A random-effects model was conducted to estimate pooled effects. Sensitivity analysis, subgroup analysis, meta-regression, Begg's test and Egger's test were also performed.

Results

Based on 62 studies with 2,457,205 cases reporting adjusted effect estimates, COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality compared with those without it (15 cohort studies: 829,670 patients, pooled hazard ratio [HR] = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-0.95, I2 = 65.9%, P < .001; 34 cohort studies: 1,008,015 patients, pooled odds ratio [OR] = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.82-0.94, I2 = 39.4%, P = .011; and 11 cross-sectional studies: 1,134,738 patients, pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.78-0.97, I2 = 41.1%, P = .075). Subgroup analysis based on types of adjusted factors indicated that COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality among studies adjusting for demographic, clinical, and epidemiologic variables (pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.83-0.92, I2 = 36.3%, P = .013; pooled HR = 0.90, 95% CI, 0.83-0.97, I2 = 69.2%, P < .001), but not among studies adjusting only for demographic variables (pooled OR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.70-1.12, I2 = 40.5%, P = .097; pooled HR = 0.82, 95% CI, 0.64-1.06, I2 = 0%, P = .495). Sensitivity analysis proved that our results were stable and robust. Both Begg's test and Egger's test indicated that potential publication bias did not exist.

Conclusions

Our data based on adjusted effect estimates indicated that asthma was significantly related to a reduced risk for COVID-19 mortality.

Key words: Asthma, COVID-19, Mortality, Meta-analysis, Adjusted effect estimate

Abbreviations used: COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019


What is already known about this topic? The pooled prevalence of asthma in COVID-19 patients has been reported to be similar to that in the general population. However, the association of asthma with the risk for COVID-19 mortality is less evident.

What does this article add to our knowledge? Asthma was significantly related to a reduced risk for COVID-19 mortality.

How does this study impact current management guidelines? Asthma was an independent protective factor for the mortality of COVID-19 patients. Routine interventions and treatment for asthma patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 should be continued.

Introduction

A recent systematic review by Liu et al1 suggested that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with asthma had a lower risk for death compared with those without it, based on crude effects from six studies. Another systematic review by Shi et al,2 based on 12 eligible articles reporting adjusted effects, also indicated that asthma was associated with a significantly reduced risk for COVID-19 mortality. These two studies are interesting. However, these systematic reviews do not explore sources of heterogeneity; also, more recent primary studies with larger sample sizes have been published. Therefore, an updated meta-analysis based on risk factor-adjusted effects was performed to verify the relationship between asthma and COVID-19 mortality, considering that several factors (sex, age, and underlying comorbidities) significantly affected the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients.3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Methods

This meta-analysis was conducted in line with the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.8 Systematic searches were carried out in Web of Science, PubMed and EMBASE to identify potential articles as of June 25, 2021. Search terms used were “2019-nCoV” or “SARS-CoV-2” or “COVID-19” or “coronavirus disease 2019” or “severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2” and “asthma.” Full queries for each bibliographic database are available in Table E1 (in this article's Online Repository at www.jaci-inpractice.org). We included primary studies comparing COVID-19 patients with asthma versus those without asthma regarding mortality, and in which adjusted effect estimates on the association between asthma and COVID-19 mortality were reported. In the case of a study resulting in more than one publication, only the one with more complete data was included. Duplicated publications, reviews, errata, protocols, comments, case reports, and studies with incomplete data were excluded.

Two independent authors (H. Hou and Y. Li) screened articles and abstracted essential information from all included eligible studies. Any disagreement was resolved by discussion. An assessment of study quality using National Institutes of Health Study Quality Assessment tools was performed by two independent reviewers (Y. Wang and H.Yang). For all included articles, study quality was judged as good, fair, or poor (see Table E2 in this article's Online Repository at www.jaci-inpractice.org). Basic information, including the first author, study period, prevalence of asthma, county or region, number of cases, age (means and SDs or medians with interquartile ranges), percentage of males, study design, adjusted risk factors, and adjusted effects, was extracted from each eligible article.

We conducted statistical analyses using STATA (version 12.1, StataCorp LP, College Station, Tex) and R (version 3.6.3, The R Foundation,Vienna, Austria). The pooled effect (pooled odds ratio [OR] and/or hazard ratio [HR]) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated by a random-effects model. Moreover, we presented separate results for the pooled OR and pooled HR. Heterogeneity across studies was assessed by Higgins I 2 statistic and chi squared–based Q test. Publication bias was investigated by Begg's test and Egger's test. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the stability of our results by omitting each eligible study one at a time. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses were performed to investigate potential sources of heterogeneity (such as age, sex, region, data collection period (number of months since the first COVID-19 case), hospitalization status, and the types of adjusted factors). Two-tailed P less than .05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

A total of 62 studies9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70 with 2,457,205 patients were included. Basic characteristics of the included studies are presented in Table I . A flowchart of the study search and selection is shown in Figure 1 . Sample sizes across the included studies ranged from 132 to 654,858. There were 30 studies conducted in North America (21 in the United States, eight in Mexico, and one in Canada), 15 in Europe (eight in the United Kingdom, two in Spain, and one each in Ireland, Italy, France, Belgium, and Sweden), 11 in Asia (six in Korea and one each in China, Turkey, Iran, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia), and six in other regions (three in Brazil, one in Nigeria, one in Libya, and one from an international center). There were 39 retrospective cohort studies, 11 cross-sectional studies, nine prospective cohort studies, two case-control studies, and one case series.

Table I.

Main characteristics of studies included in this meta-analysis

First author Study period Country Prevalence of asthma, n (%) Patients, n Population Male (%) Age, y Study design Adjusted-effect (95% confidence interval) Confounders
Shah9 March 2 to May 6, 2020 United States 68 (13.0) 522 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 41.8 63 (50-72) Case-control study OR: 0.74 (0.33-1.64) Age, BMI, sex, race, all baseline comorbidities
Arshad10 March 10 to May 2, 2020 United States 251 (9.9) 2541 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 51.1 63.7 ± 16.5 Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.916 (0.632-1.327) Hydroxychloroquine alone, azithromycin alone, hydroxychloroquine plus azithromycin, age, sex, race, BMI, lung comorbidity, immunodeficiency comorbidity, cardiovascular comorbidity, CKD, COPD, HTN, cancer comorbidity, DM, percent O2 saturation <95, admitted to ICU, ventilator, given steroid, given tocilizumab
Mato11 February 17 to April 30, 2020 International center 12 (6.1) 198 All patients diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 63 63 (35-92) Retrospective cohort study HR: 2.5 (1.1-5.8) Age, CIRS score, DM, chronic renal disease
Poblador-Plou12 March 4 to May 17, 2020 Spain NR 4412 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 41.2 67.7 ± 20.7 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.45 (0.18-1.11)
OR: 0.68 (0.40-1.17)
Age
van Gerwen13 March 1 to May 13, 2020 United States 430 (11.6) 3703 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 55.3 56.8 ± 18.2 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.89 (0.64-1.25) Age group, sex, race, BMI, smoking status, comorbidities (HTN, CAD, AF, CHF, PVD, CVA/TIA, dementia, DM, hypothyroidism, CKD, malignancy, COPD, and prior VTE)
Hernandez-Galdamez14 Up to June 27, 2020 Mexico 5854 (2.77) 211,003 Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases 54.71 45.7 ± 16.3 Cross-sectional study OR: 0.82 (0.74-0.90) Age, sex, CKD, immunosuppression, DM, COPD, HTN, CVD, obesity and smoking
Hernandez-Vasquez15 Up to May 18, 2020 Mexico 1590 (3.1) 51,053 Patients with confirmed COVID-19 57.6 46.6 ± 15.8 Cross-sectional study OR: 1.02 (0.84-1.23) Age, gender, smoking
Almazeedi16 February 24 to April 20, 2020 Kuwait 43 (3.9) 1096 All patients with confirmed COVID-19 81 41 (25-75) Retrospective cohort study OR: 4.92 (1.03-23.44) Age, obesity, DM, HTN, chronic renal disease, smoker, qSOFA score, elevated procalcitonin, and elevated CRP
Perez-Guzman17 February 25 to May 1, 2020 United Kingdom 56 (9.1) 614 Patients admitted for COVID-19 62.21 69 ± 25 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.42 (0.19-0.91) Age
Tartof18 February 13 to May 23, 2020 United States 1273 (18.4) 6916 Members diagnosed with COVID-19 44.98 49.1 ± 16.6 Retrospective cohort study Risk ratio: 0.81 (0.54-1.21) BMI, age, sex, race and ethnicity, smoking, metastatic tumor/cancer, MI, other immune condition, organ transplant, CHF, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic pulmonary disease, renal disease, HTN, DM status, and time
Parra-Bracamonte19 January 13 to June 13, 2020 Mexico 4028 (2.8) 142,690 All cases positive for COVID-19 56 45 (34.0-57.0) Cross-sectional study OR: 0.949 (0.832-1.082) Age, sex, smoking habits, hospitalization, and comorbidity traits
Fox20 March 1 to April 24, 2020 United States 27 (7.6) 355 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 49 66.21 ± 14.21 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.714 (0.076-6.670) Age, BMI, sex, ethnicity, COPD, heart failure, HTN, CAD, AF, and CKD
Yehia21 February 19 to June 25, 2020 United States 628 (5.6) 11,210 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 49.8 61 (46-74) Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.91 (0.74-1.12) Race, age, sex, insurance, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Elixhauser Comorbidity Index scores, neighborhood deprivation index scores, cancer, CKD, COPD, CHF, CAD, DM, and obesity
Emami22 February 20 to March 1, 2020 Iran 25 (2.0) 1239 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 55.9 51.48 ± 19.54 Retrospective cohort study HR: 1.04 (0.53-2.02) Age, DM, CVD, chronic liver disease, CKD, cancer, human immunodeficiency virus, smoking, and immunodeficiency disease
Trabulus23 March 15 to June 1, 2020 Turkey 20 (6.0) 336 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 57.1 55.0 ± 16.0 Retrospective cohort study OR: 3.087 (0.382-24.965) Age
Santos24 February 20 to June 2, 2020 Brazil 488 (5.7) 80,102 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 57.3 NR Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.71 (0.61-0.81) ICU, DM, neurological, kidney disease, cardiopathy, race, and pneumopathy
Ioannou25 February 28 to June 22, 2020 United States 745 (7.4) 10,131 Patients with confirmed COVID-19 91 63.6 ± 16.2 Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.80 (0.60-1.05) All sociodemographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, and symptoms
HR: 0.85 (0.65-0.11) Age
Gutierrez26 Through September 16, 2020 Mexico 17,026 (2.6) 654,858 Adult (age ≥20 y) patients with confirmed COVID-19 52.21 46.1 (45.8-46.3) Cross-sectional study OR: 0.90 (0.84-0.96)
OR: 0.96 (0.75-1.24)
OR: 1.07 (0.86-1.34)
OR: 0.44 (0.29-0.68)
Sex, age, indigenous speaker, obese, smoking, COPD, chronic renal disease, CVD, ministry of health, social security, private health provider, and quintiles of share poverty
Clift27 January 24 to April 30, 2020 United Kingdom 825,422 (13.57) 10,776 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 55.33 69.6 ± 17.9 Prospective cohort study HR: 0.84 (0.73-0.97)
HR: 1.03 (0.91-1.17)
Age, BMI, Townsend score (linear), ethnic group, domicile (residential care, homeless, neither), and range of conditions and treatments
Kim28 March 1 to May 12, 2020 United States 903 (8.3) 10,861 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 59.6 65 (54-77) Prospective cohort study OR: 0.81 (0.67-0.98) Age, sex, race and ethnicity, presence of comorbidities, smoking status, hospital type, and BMI groups
Tang29 March 1 to June 16, 2020 United States 54 (7.2) 752 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 39.9 72.1 ± 11.9 Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.64 (0.30-1.40) Age, sex, race, and facility
Ken-Dror30 March to April, 2020 United Kingdom 42 (12.8) 429 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 56.4 70 ± 18 Prospective cohort study OR: 3.22 (1.16-8.92) Age, CRP, respiratory rate, diastolic blood pressure, dementia, Akaike information criterion, area under the curve, and sensitivity/specificity
Choi31 NR Korea 96 (2.3) 4057 Hospitalized patients with mild to critical COVID-19 nationwide 42.5 NR Prospective cohort study HR: 2.20 (1.02-4.76) Age, sex, obesity, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, DM, HTN, heart failure, chronic heart disease, COPD, CKD, cancer, chronic liver disease, rheumatic or autoimmune disease, and dementia
Nyabera32 February 1 to April 30, 2020 United States 18 (6.2) 290 Older adult inpatients (≥65 y) with laboratory-confirmed COVID- 19 infection 51.7 77.6 ± 8.3 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.66 (0.24-1.83) BMI, age, CAD, COPD, DM, end-stage renal disease, and HTN
Lee33 January 20 to May 27, 2020 Korea 686 (9.4) 7272 Adult COVID-19 patients 40.3 NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.06 (0.71-1.59) Age, sex, and CCI
Murillo-Zamora34 March 4 to August 15, 2020 Mexico NR 66,123 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 60.7 NR Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.92 (0.85-0.99) Sex, age, clinically diagnosed pneumonia at hospital admission, tobacco use, obesity, COPD, type 2 DM arterial HTN, immunosuppression, and CKD
Ling35 January 27 to August 7, 2020 United Kingdom 52 (11.7) 444 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 55.1 74 (63-83) Cross-sectional study OR: 0.31 (0.13-0.71) Age, sex, obesity, ethnicity, and presence of DM (types 1 and 2 combined)
Izurieta36 April 1 to May 8, 2020 United States 962,666 (3.8) 27,961 All elderly patients (ages ≥65 y) with confirmed COVID-19 48.8 75 (70-85) Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.93 (0.85-1.03) Sex, age, area deprivation index national rank, circulation rate, population density, vaccination, presence of medical conditions, frailty conditions, immune compromised status, and race
Lundon37 March 28 to April 26, 2020 United States 403 (4.5) 8928 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 46.2 58.0 ± 18.8 Cross-sectional study OR: 0.68 (0.51-0.91) Age, sex, race and ethnicity, New York City borough, English as preferred language, smoking status, COPD, HTN, obesity, DM, CKD, human immunodeficiency virus, and cancer
Schwartz38 January 21 to September 30, 2020 Canada 2655 (4.7) 56,606 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 48.4 NR Cross-sectional study OR: 0.85 (0.66-1.09) Sex (male vs female), age (<30 y, 30-44 y, 60-4 y, or ≥75 y, compared with 45-59 y), comorbidities (COPD, renal disease, cardiac disease, DM, immune compromised or cancer, obesity, or other comorbidities, compared with no comorbidities), working or residing in long-term care home (yes vs no), and symptoms (fever and/or cough, other symptoms, or missing symptoms compared with asymptomatic)
Martos-Benítez39 January 1 to May 13, 2020 Mexico NR 38,324 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 58.3 46.9 ± 15.7 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.86 (0.64-1.16) Age, sex, smoking habit, time from symptoms onset to medical contact, COPD, high blood pressure, CVD, DM, obesity, CKD, and other comorbidities
Oh40 January 1 to June 4, 2020 Korea NR 7780 Adult (age ≥20 y) patients with confirmed COVID-19 NR NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.03 (0.76-1.41) COPD, interstitial lung disease, lung cancer, lung disease d/t external agent, obstructive sleep apnea, tuberculosis of lung, age, income level, sex, residence, underlying disability, CCI, HTN, DM, peripheral vascular disease, renal disease, rheumatic disease, dementia, peptic ulcer paraplegia, hemiplegia or paraplegia, moderate or severe liver disease, mild liver disease, cerebrovascular disease, CHF, MI, malignancy, metastatic solid tumor, and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome/human immunodeficiency virus
Park41 February 15 to April 24, 2020 Korea NR 2269 Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 35.9 55.5 ± 20.2 Retrospective cohort study OR: 2.13 (0.74-6.13) Age, male, respiratory rate, fever, altered consciousness, hemoptysis, sore throat, malaise, COPD, CKD, malignancy, chronic neurological disorder, and preexisting cardiovascular risk factor/CVD
Ahlstrom42 March 6 to May 27, 2020 Sweden 261 (2.6) 1981 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 74 61 (52-69) Case-control study HR: 1.52 (1.04-2.22) Simplified acute physiology score 3, age, sex, ischemic heart disease, nonischemic heart disease, HTN, type 1 DM, type 2 DM, stroke, chronic renal disease, COPD, immunosuppressed, and cancer
Lopez Zuniga43 February 4 to April 30, 2020 Spain NR 318 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 58.5 64.9 ± 14.1 Prospective cohort study HR: 2.235 (0.554-9.02) Age, sex, HTN, COPD, immunosuppression, chronic heart disease, AF, obesity, tumor, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, needed high oxygen volume, DM, qSOFA, hydroxychloroquine azithromycin, lopinavir/ritonavir, interferon, corticosteroids, tocilizumab, vitamin D supplementation, and anticoagulation therapy
Mollalo44 January 22 to November 22,2020 United States NR NR All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 NR NR Cross-sectional study OR: 4.584 (2.583-8.137)
OR: 0.818 (0.461-1.452)
NR
Lohia45 March 10 to June 30, 2020 United States 134 (7.2) 1871 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 51.6 64.1 ± 16 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.98 (0.61-1.58) Age, sex, race, BMI, and comorbidities including HTN, CAD, DM, CKD, ESRD on dialysis, CHF, any cancer, any liver disease, hyperlipidemia, and history of stroke
Cedano46 March 3 to April 22, 2020 United States 7 (5) 132 All adult patients admitted to ICU with severe COVID-19 infection 59 63 (53-71) Retrospective cohort study OR: 2.13 (0.10-45.4) Age, male sex, arterial HTN, DM, COPD, CAD, systolic heart failure, diastolic heart failure, CKD, end-stage kidney disease, BMI, and mechanical ventilation
Girardin47 March 2 to May 24, 2020 United States 493 (11.7) 4446 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 58.1 62 ± 18 Case series HR: 0.83 (0.67-1.04) Age, ethnic minority, male sex, low income, smoking, obesity, COPD, sleep apnea, HTN, DM, peripheral artery disease, CAD, autoimmune disease, and cancer
Cao48 March to September 2020 United States 72 (21.0) 343 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 56 60.7 ± 15.9 Prospective cohort study OR: 0.72 (0.31-1.57) Age, race (Black or not Black), sex, COPD, and obesity
Ho49 March 7 to June 7, 2020 United States 468 (4.4) 10,523 All adult patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 54.2 58.4 ± 18.8 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.64 (0.53-0.77) Age, sex, BMI, race, COVID-19 disease severity, CCI, COPD, CRP (>150), interleukin-6 (>80), ferritin (>2000), D-dimer (>2.0 μg/L), use of anticoagulation, use of corticosteroids, and smoking (current and former)
Guan50 December 2019 to May 6th, 2020 China 830 (2.1) 39,420 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 49.9 55.7 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.84 (0.48-1.48) Presence of any other systemic comorbidities, female sex, and age
Bloom51 January 17 to August 17, 2020 United Kingdom 7859 (10.4) 75,463 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 55.4 NR Prospective cohort study HR: 1.17 (0.73-1.86)
HR: 0.99 (0.61-1.58)
HR: 0.94 (0.62-1.43)
HR: 1.02 (0.67-1.54)
HR: 1.96 (1.25-3.08)
HR: 0.97 (0.89-1.05)
HR: 0.86 (0.80-0.92)
HR: 1.13 (1.01-1.28)
HR: 0.97 (0.89-1.06)
Age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation, obesity, smoking, chronic cardiac disease, CKD, and malignancy
Osibogun52 February 27 to July 6, 2020 Nigeria 45 (2.1) 2184 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 65.8 43 (33-55) Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.52 (0.41-5.57) Age and sex
de Souza53 February 26 to August 10, 2020 Brazil 4566 (7.15) 44,128 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 54.2 NR Retrospective cohort study HR: 0.79 (0.73-0.85) Male sex, age, fever, cough, dyspnea, respiratory distress, blood oxygen saturation <95%, diarrhea, other symptom, cardiac disease, liver disease, immunodepression, DM, neuropathy, pneumopathy, kidney disease, other comorbidity, flu vaccine, ICU admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, and noninvasive ventilation
Mulhem54 March 13 to April 29, 2020 United States 429 (13.3) 3219 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 49 65.2 (52.6-77.2) Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.14 (0.84-1.55) Gender, age, race, current smoking and comorbidities
Topless55 March 16 to August 24, 2020 United Kingdom 40,898 (8.6) 2118 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 NR NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.11 (0.80-1.53) Current age, sex, ethnicity, Townsend deprivation index, BMI, and smoking status
Bennett56 March 2 to September 14, 2020 Ireland 467 (2.4) 19,789 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 43.6 NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.82 (0.50-1.35) Age (linear, quadratic, and cubic), chronic heart disease, chronic neurological disease, chronic respiratory disease, and CKD
Chronic liver disease, immunodeficiency, DM, BMI ≥40, cancer, other comorbidity, unknown comorbidity, community health office, residential care facility, and route of transmission
OR: 0.82 (0.53-1.26) Age
Lieberman-Cribbin57 February 29 to April 24, 2020 United States 272 (4.4) 6250 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 NR NR Cross-sectional study OR: 0.94 (0.66-1.34) Age, sex, and race
Calmes58 March 18 to April 17, 2020 Belgium 57 (9.6) 596 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 49.3 58.8 ± 18.9 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.74 (0.24-2.3) Age, sex, cardiopathy, immunosuppressive disease, and COPD
OR: 0.59 (0.20-1.8) Age and sex
Choi59 Up to May 15, 2020 Korea 218 (2.9) 7590 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 40.8 NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.317 (0.708–2.451) Age, sex, and underlying diseases
Kim60 February to May 2020 Korea 70 (3.2) 2200 All hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 35.7 56.7 ± 19.0 Cross-sectional study OR: 1.762 (0.813-3.822) Age and sex
OR: 1.656 (0.624-4.395) Age, sex, BMI, smoking history, underlying comorbidity (COPD, DM, HTN, heart failure, other heart disease, CKD, chronic liver disease, cancer, autoimmune disease, dementia, and other psychological disorder), and medication (antiretroviral, hydroxychloroquine, systemic steroid, and azithromycin)
Alwafi61 March 15 to August 15, 2020 Saudi Arabia 28 (4.0) 706 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 68.5 48.0 ± 15.6 Cross-sectional study OR: 0.80 (0.07-8.82) Age, sex, and comorbidities
Vera-Zertuche62 February 24 to April 26, 2020 Mexico 542 (3.5) 15,529 All individuals with laboratory-confirmed infection by SARS-CoV-2 57.8 46.6 ± 15.5 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.63 (0.24-1.70) Sex, age, and time from symptom onset to care, social lag index, aging index, afro-descendant/100 inhabitants, indigenous language-speaking/100 inhabitants, affiliation to health services/100 inhabitants, members per household, hospitals/10,000 inhabitants, and hospital beds/10,000 inhabitants
Elhadi63 May 29 to December 30, 2020 Libya 51 (11) 465 All adult COVID-19 patients admitted to ICUs 51.6 69 (56.5-75) Prospective cohort study HR: 0.66 (0.40–1.10) Age, BMI, comorbidities, laboratory findings during admission, qSOFA score, type of intubation during admission, developed sepsis/septic shock at during ICU admission, inotropes/vasopressor, antibiotic, and major complications or events
Cummins64 February 1 to June 30, 2020 United Kingdom 244 (13.7) 1781 All adult (age ≥16 y) patients with laboratory-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 55.2 NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.03 (0.70-1.50) Age, sex, ethnicity, top 30% most deprived areas, obese, smoker (current), AF, cancer, chronic heart disease, CKD, COPD, dementia, depression, type 1 DM, type 2 DM, epilepsy, heart failure, HTN, learning disability, severe mental illness, peripheral arterial disease, and stroke
Castro65 By 14 December 2020 Brazil 14,567 (2.8) 522,167 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 56.0 61 (47-73) Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.81 (0.77-0.86) Age, sex, ethno-racial self-classification, region, ICU, obesity, DM, chronic liver disease, chronic neurological disease, chronic lung disease, immunodeficiency, and CKD
HR: 0.88 (0.84-0.92)
Beltramo66 March 1 to April 30, 2020 France 3273 (3.7) 89,530 All hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 53.1 65 ± 20 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.82 (0.71-0.94) Lung cancer, COPD, pulmonary sarcoidosis, ILD, emphysema, sleep apnea, chronic respiratory failure, and pulmonary HTN
Robles-Pérez67 March to December 2020 Mexico 2403 (3.2) 75,595 All Social Security workers with confirmed COVID-19 42.4 NR Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.96 (0.51-1.79) Age, sex, and presence of comorbidities
De Rosa68 February 27 to June 15, 2020 Italy 23 (1.5) 1538 Hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 58 74 (61-83) Retrospective cohort study OR: 1.45 (0.44-4.78) Age, sex, smoking, DM, HTN, CVD, COPD, immunodepression, P/F, lymphocytopenia, LDH, eGFR, D-dimer, and CRP
Marciniak69 January 17, 2020 to February 15, 2021 United Kingdom NR 73,832 Hospitalized adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 NR NR Prospective cohort study OR: 0.90 (0.85-0.96) Age, sex, and comorbidities
Kelly70 March 2 to October 31, 2020 United States 1487 (5.4) 27,640 All veterans with confirmed COVID-19 88.6 57.2 ± 16.6 Retrospective cohort study OR: 0.88 (0.65-1.19) Age, sex, race, ethnicity, marital status, clinical factors, health care facility, and month of COVID-19 diagnosis

AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CAD, coronary artery disease; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; CHF, congestive heart failure; CIRS, cumulative illness rating scale score; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease comorbidity; CRP, C-reactive protein; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HR, hazard ratio; HTN, hypertension; ICU, intensive care unit; IQR, interquartile range; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; MI, myocardial infarction; NR, not reported; OR, odds ratio; P/F, arterial oxygen tension/inspired oxygen fraction; qSOFA, quick sequential organ failure assessment.

Values of age are presented as means ± SDs or medians (IQRs).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Flowchart of study search and selection.

Overall results based on adjusted effect estimates demonstrated that COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality compared with those without it (15 cohort studies: 829,670 patients, pooled HR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.82-0.95, I 2 = 65.9%, P < .001; 34 cohort studies: 1,008,015 patients, pooled OR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.82-0.94, I 2 = 39.4%, P = .011; 11 cross-sectional studies: 1,134,738 patients, pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.78-0.97, I 2 = 41.1%, P = .075) (Figure 2 ). The results of subgroup analysis based on hospitalization status showed that asthma was associated with a significantly reduced risk for mortality in COVID-19 patients when we restricted the analysis to studies that included only hospitalized patients (20 studies: 751,644 patients, pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.79-0.95, I 2 = 44.0%, P = .019; 11 studies: 811,941 patients, pooled HR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.81-0.94, I 2 = 68.7%, P < .001) (Figure 3 ). The significant association was observed in studies reporting ORs but not in those reporting HRs in subgroups that included all laboratory-confirmed patients (36 studies: 1,391,631 patients, pooled OR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.82-0.94, I 2 = 31.5%, P = .064; six studies: 24,156 patients, pooled HR = 1.10, 95% CI, 0.80-1.50, I 2 = 66.2%, P = .011) (Figure 3). The inconsistency of results may be a result of the difference in the number of studies in each subgroup; subgroups with fewer studies tended to conclude more often that asthma was not associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients. Subgroup analysis based on types of adjusted factors indicated that COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality among studies adjusting for demographic, clinical, and epidemiologic variables (39 studies: 2,078,426 patients, pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.83-0.92, I 2 = 36.3%, P = .013; 16 studies: 835,345 patients, pooled HR = 0.90, 95% CI, 0.83-0.97, I 2 = 69.2%, P < .001) (Figure 4 ), but not among studies adjusting only for demographic variables (nine studies: 97,434 patients, pooled OR = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.70-1.12, I 2 = 40.5%, P = .097; two studies: 10,883 patients, pooled HR = 0.82, 95% CI, 0.64-1.06, I 2 = 0%, P = .495) (Figure 4). Further subgroup analysis by region revealed that COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality compared with patients without asthma among North American patients (24 studies: 1,355,172 patients, pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI, 0.82-0.92, I 2 = 15.8%, P = .243; six studies: 95,203 patients, pooled HR = 0.90, 95% CI, 0.84-0.96, I 2 = 0%, P = .808 (Figure 5 ) and South American patients (3 studies: 646,397 patients, pooled HR = 0.80, 95% CI, 0.72-0.90, I 2 = 83.1%, P = .003) (Figure 5), but not among Asian patients (9 studies: 68,669 patients, pooled OR = 1.13, 95% CI, 0.92-1.38, I 2 = 1.0%, P = .426; 2 studies: 5296 patients, pooled HR = 1.47, 95% CI, 0.71-3.07, I 2 = 51.7%, P = .150) (Figure 5) or European patients (11 studies: 195,083 patients, pooled OR = 0.86, 95% CI, 0.73-1.01, I 2 = 56.0%, P = .012; 4 studies: 88,538 patients, pooled HR = 1.07, 95% CI, 0.89-1.29, I 2 = 52.1%, P = .099) (Figure 5). Age (OR: tau2 = 0.010, t = –0.62, P = .542; HR: tau2 = 0.008, t = –0.63, P = .540) (Figure 6 , A and B), sex (OR: tau2 = 0.007, t = –0.14, P = .889; HR: tau2 = 0.016, t = 0.33, P = .743) (Figure 6, C and D), and data collection periods (OR: tau2 = 0.007, t = –0.28, P = .777; HR: tau2 = 0.017, t = –0.82, P = .428) (Figure 6, E and F) could not explain potential sources of heterogeneity by meta-regression. We did not observe potential publication bias in Begg's test (OR: P = .394; HR: P = .343) (Figure 7 , A and B) or Egger's test (OR: P = .142, HR: P = .265) (Figure 7, C and D). Sensitivity analysis proved that our results were stable.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Forest plots indicating that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality compared with those without it. Arrow indicates that the 95% confidence interval (CI) for effect size in the study was equal to or greater than the x-axis value. Sizes of the shaded area reflect the study-specific statistical weights. (A) Pooled odds ratio (OR). (B) Pooled hazard ratio (HR). ∗Combined effects based on subgroups.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Subgroup analysis by hospitalization status: (A) pooled odds ratio (OR) and (B) pooled hazard ratio (HR). ∗Combined effects based on subgroups. CI, confidence interval.

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Subgroup analysis by type of adjusted factors: (A) pooled odds ratio (OR) and (B) pooled hazard ratio (HR). ∗Combined effects based on subgroups. CI, confidence interval.

Figure 5.

Figure 5

Subgroup analysis based on region: (A) pooled odds ratio (OR) and (B) pooled hazard ratio (HR). ∗Combined effects based on subgroups. CI, confidence interval.

Figure 6.

Figure 6

Meta-regression for age to evaluate association between asthma and mortality of COVID-19 patients: (A) pooled odds ratio [OR]; (B) pooled hazard ratio (HR) and sex; (C) pooled OR; (D) pooled HR and data collection period; (E) pooled OR; and (F) pooled HR. CI, confidence interval.

Figure 7.

Figure 7

Publication bias was evaluated by Begg's test: (A) pooled odds ratio (OR); (B) pooled hazard ratio (HR) and Egger's test; (C) pooled OR; (D) pooled HR.

Discussion

This meta-analysis on the basis of adjusted effects estimates found that COVID-19 patients with asthma had a significantly reduced risk for mortality compared with those without asthma, which suggests that asthma might be an independent protective factor for developing fatal outcomes among COVID-19 patients. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses showed that none of these factors (such as age, sex, region, hospitalization status, data collection period, and the types of adjusted factors) could explain the potential sources of heterogeneity. Although the detailed mechanisms underlying the association between asthma and the reduced risk for COVID-19 mortality are unclear, several possibilities exist: (1) COVID-19 patients with asthma may receive more medical care in clinical practice; (2) the use of inhaled corticosteroids, allergen immunotherapy, and biological agents might be beneficial through suppressing viral replication and alleviating inflammation71; and (3) type 2 immune response in patients with asthma might counteract the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection-induced inflammatory process.72 Further studies should focus on underlying mechanisms of preexisting asthma reducing the risk for fatal COVID-19. The association between having asthma and lower COVID-19 mortality may also have resulted from study bias, including selection bias (eg, a lack of representativeness), information bias (asthma underreporting or overreporting), and confounding bias (eg, asthma may have been relatively underrepresented among patients with other comorbidities that predispose more often to COVID-19 mortality, such as diabetes, obesity, or smoking, because asthma is common among younger patients).

A strength of this study was the large number of included studies (62 eligible articles) with 2,457,205 cases reporting adjusted effect estimates, which consider the influences of confounding factors such as age, sex, and underlying diseases on the association between asthma and mortality among COVID-19 patients. However, several limitations should be acknowledged. First, most included studies were from North America, and one should be cautious when extrapolating the findings to other regions. Second, most of the eligible studies were designed retrospectively. Thus, further well-designed prospective studies with large sample sizes are warranted to verify the findings. Third, the pooled effects were estimated based on risk factor-adjusted effects, but the adjusted risk factors were not fully consistent across the included studies. We performed subgroup analysis according to the types of adjusted factors, which yielded inconsistent results. These results may have been because the number of studies adjusting only for demographic variables was significantly smaller than the number of studies adjusting for demographic, clinical, and epidemiologic variables, which warrants further studies based on more primary studies and larger sample sizes. Fourth, we did not investigate the effects of medication on the association between asthma and COVID-19 mortality, which should be addressed in the future when sufficient data are available. Fifth, there was heterogeneity across studies, which was why we performed meta-regression and further subgroup analyses but did not identify potential sources of heterogeneity. In addition, excluding articles that were not written in English might be a source of publication bias. However, publication bias was not detected by Begg's test or Egger's test. Our data indicate that asthma is related to a significantly reduced risk for COVID-19 mortality. Thus, routine interventions and treatment for asthma patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 should be continued. We hope the updated data will contribute to more accurate elaboration and substantiation of findings from the study of Liu et al.1

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Ying Wang, Li Shi, Wenwei Xiao, Xuan Liang, Jian Wu, and Peihua Zhang (all from the Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University) for their kind help in searching articles and collecting data, and valuable suggestions for data analysis. H. Yang and Y. Wang designed the study. H. Hou and Y. Li performed literature search. H. Hou and H. Yang performed data extraction. H. Hou and J. Xu performed statistical analyses. H. Yang, H. Hou, and Y. Wang wrote and reviewed the manuscript. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript.

Footnotes

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China Grant No. 81973105, Key Scientific Research Project of Henan Institution of Higher Education Grant No. 21A330008, and Joint Construction Project of Henan Medical Science and Technology Research Plan Grant No. LHGJ20190679. The funders have no role in the data collection, data analysis, preparation of manuscript, and decision in submission.

Conflicts of interest: The authors declare that they have no relevant conflicts of interest.

Online Repository.

Table E1.

Search strategies

Database Search strategies
PubMed (“coronavirus disease 2019” OR “COVID-19” OR “SARS-CoV-2” OR “2019-nCoV” OR “novel coronavirus”) AND (“mortality” OR “fatality” OR “death” OR “non-survivor” OR “deceased”) AND (“asthma”)
EMBASE (‘coronavirus disease 2019’ OR ‘covid-19’ OR ‘sars-cov-2’ OR ‘2019-ncov’ OR ‘novel coronavirus’) AND (‘asthma’) AND (‘mortality’ OR ‘fatality’ OR ‘death’ OR ‘non-survivor’ OR ‘deceased’)
Web of Science TS = ((“coronavirus disease 2019” OR “covid-19” OR “sars-cov-2” OR “2019-ncov” OR “novel coronavirus”) AND (“asthma”) AND (“mortality” OR “fatality” OR “death” OR “non-survivor” OR “deceased”))

Table E2.

Assessment of risk for bias in each study with National Institutes of Health Study Quality Assessment tools in prognosis meta-analysis

First author 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Score
Cohort and cross-sectional studies
 Arshad SE1 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Mato ARE2 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Poblador-Plou BE3 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 van Gerwen ME4 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Hernandez-Galdamez DRE5 Yes Yes No Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Hernandez-Vasquez AE6 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Almazeedi SE7 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Perez-Guzman PNE8 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Tartof SYE9 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Parra-Bracamonte GME10 Yes Yes NR Yes No NR NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Fox TE11 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Yehia BRE12 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Emami AE13 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Trabulus S E14 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Santos MME15 Yes Yes NR Yes No NR Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Ioannou GNE16 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Gutierrez JPE17 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Clift AKE18 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Kim TSE19 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Tang OE20 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Ken-Dror GE21 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Choi HGE22 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NR No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Nyabera AE23 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NR No NR NR NR NR Yes Yes i
 Lee SCE24 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes NR Yes Yes ii
 Murillo-Zamora EE25 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Ling SFE26 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Izurieta HSE27 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Lundon DJE28 Yes Yes Yes Yes No NR NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Schwartz KLE29 Yes Yes NR Yes No NR NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Martos-Benítez FDE30 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Oh TKE31 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Park BEE32 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Lopez Zuniga MAE33 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Mollalo AE34 Yes Yes Yes Yes No NR NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Lohia PE35 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Cedano JE36 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Cao LE37 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NR No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Ho KSE38 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Guan WJE39 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Bloom CIE40 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes NR Yes Yes ii
 Osibogun AE41 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No No NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 de Souza FSHE42 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Mulhem EE43 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Topless RKE44 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Bennett KEE45 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Lieberman-Cribbin WE46 Yes Yes NR Yes Yes NR NA No No NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Calmes DE47 Yes Yes NR Yes No NR NR No Yes No Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Choi YJE48 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NR Yes Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Kim SE49 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes NA No Yes NR Yes NR NA Yes i
 Alwafi HE50 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Vera-Zertuche JME51 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Elhadi ME52 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Cummins LE53 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes NR No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Castro MCE54 Yes Yes Yes NR No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Beltramo GE55 Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Robles-Pérez EE56 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR NR NR Yes Yes i
 De Rosa FGE57 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
 Marciniak SJE58 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes NR No Yes NR Yes NR NR Yes i
 Kelly JDE59 Yes Yes NR Yes No Yes Yes No Yes NR Yes NR Yes Yes i
Case-control studies
 Shah PE60 Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes No No No Yes NR Yes i
Ahlstrom BE61 Yes Yes NR Yes Yes Yes NR NR Yes Yes NR Yes i
Case series studies
 Girardin JLE62 Yes Yes NR NR Yes NR NR Yes Yes i

NA, not applicable; NR, not reported.

For cohort and cross-sectional studies, quality was rated as 0 for poor (0-4 of 14 questions), i for fair (5-10 of 14 questions), or ii for good (11-14 of 14 questions): (1) Was the research question or objective in this paper clearly stated? (2) Was the study population clearly specified and defined? (3) Was the participation rate of eligible persons at least 50%? (4) Were all of the subjects selected or recruited from the same or similar populations (including the same time period)? Were inclusion and exclusion criteria for being in the study prespecified and applied uniformly to all participants? (5) Was a sample size justification, power description, or variance and effect estimates provided? (6) For the analyses in this paper, were the exposure(s) of interest measured before the outcome(s) being measured? (7) Was the time frame sufficient so that one could reasonably expect to see an association between exposure and outcome if it existed? (8) For exposures that can vary in amount or level, did the study examine different levels of the exposure as related to the outcome (eg, categories of exposure, or exposure measured as continuous variable)? (9) Were the exposure measures (independent variables) clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? (10) Was the exposure(s) assessed more than once over time? (11) Were the outcome measures (dependent variables) clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? (12) Were the outcome assessors blinded to the exposure status of participants? (13) Was loss to follow-up after baseline 20% or less? (14) Were key potential confounding variables measured and adjusted statistically for their impact on the relationship between exposure(s) and outcome(s)? For case-control studies, quality was rated as 0 for poor (0-3 of 12 questions), i for fair (4-8 of 12 questions), or ii for good (9-12 of 12 questions): (1) Was the research question or objective in this paper clearly stated and appropriate? (2) Was the study population clearly specified and defined? (3) Did the authors include a sample size justification? (4) Were controls selected or recruited from the same or similar population that gave rise to the cases (including the same time frame)? (5) Were the definitions, inclusion and exclusion criteria, algorithms, or processes used to identify or select cases and controls valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? (6) Were the cases clearly defined and differentiated from controls? (7) If less than 100% of eligible cases and/or controls were selected for the study, were the cases and/or controls randomly selected from those eligible? (8) Was there use of concurrent controls? (9). Were the investigators able to confirm that the exposure or risk occurred before the development of the condition or event that defined a participant as a case? (10) Were the measures of exposure or risk clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently (including the same time period) across all study participants? (11) Were the assessors of exposure or risk blinded to the case or control status of participants? (12) Were key potential confounding variables measured and adjusted statistically in the analyses? If matching was used, did the investigators account for matching during study analysis? For case series studies, quality was rated as 0 for poor (0-2 of nine questions), i for fair (3-6 of nine questions), or ii for good (7-9 of nine questions): (1) Was the study question or objective clearly stated? (2) Was the study population clearly and fully described, including a case definition? (3) Were the cases consecutive? (4) Were the subjects comparable? (5) Was the intervention clearly described? (6). Were the outcome measures clearly defined, valid, reliable, and implemented consistently across all study participants? (7) Was the length of follow-up adequate? (8) Were the statistical methods well-described? (9) Were the results well-described?

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