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. 2021 Oct 6:kwab244. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwab244

Choice of Outcome in COVID-19 Studies and Implications for Policy: Mortality and Fatality

Daniel Westreich 1,, Jessie K Edwards 1, Peter W G Tennant 2, Eleanor J Murray 3, Maarten van Smeden 4
PMCID: PMC8513401  PMID: 34613347

Abstract

In this brief communication, we discuss the confusion of mortality with fatality in the interpretation of evidence in the COVID-19 pandemic, and how this confusion affects the translation of science into policy and practice. We discuss how this confusion has influenced COVID-19 policy in France, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, and discuss the implications for decision-making about COVID-19 vaccine distribution. We also discuss how this confusion is an example of a more general statistical fallacy we term the "Missing Link Fallacy.”

Keywords: Mortality, fatality, COVID-19, methods, policy, Missing Link Fallacy

Supplementary Material

Web_Material_kwab244

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Supplementary Materials

Web_Material_kwab244

Articles from American Journal of Epidemiology are provided here courtesy of Oxford University Press

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