Background
Incidence of and deaths caused by pancreatic cancer have increased over recent years despite improvements in mortality rate in other cancer types. Pancreatic cancer is a predominantly asymptomatic cancer, very difficult to detect, with diagnosis late in the disease. It is among the most lethal cancers.
Purpose
To describe the demographics among those who were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, evaluate incidence, mortality, overall survival, and percent survival after 1, 2, and 5 years for patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer.
Methods
Data from the National Cancer Database for 2010–2016 was used for this study. We identified 384,753 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. In this study population, patients with missing mortality (dead, alive) were excluded from the study sample. Descriptive statistics and Cox regression were used to analyze the data.
Results
Overall, the study cohort was 49% female, 79% non-Hispanic White (NHW), 12% non-Hispanic Black (NHB), 5% Hispanic, and 3% defined as “Other” race (Asians and Pacific Islanders). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that female (hazard ratio: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.94–0.96) vs male sex, Hispanic (0.96, 0.95–0.97), NHB (0.94, 0.93–0.95), and Other (0.88, 0.87–0.89) vs NHW race/ethnicity, lower-medium (0.96, 0.95–0.97), medium (0.94, 0.93–0.95), and high (0.88, 0.87–0.89) vs low patient income category, residence in metro (0.99, 0.98–1.00) vs urban areas, living in the U.S. Eastern (0.96, 0.95–0.96) and Western (0.99, 0.98–1.00) vs Central region, and having government (0.90, 0.88–0.92) or private (0.84, 0.82–0.59) vs no insurance all had lower hazards for mortality. Similarly, patients who received treatment such as surgery (0.29, 0.29–0.30), radiation (0.85, 0.84–0.86), chemotherapy (0.69, 0.69–0.70), immunotherapy (0.76, 0.72–0.81), or hormonal therapy (0.50, 0.47–0.54) had lower hazards for mortality, as did patients with higher Charlson-Dayo score (1 vs 0: 1.13, 1.12–1.14; 2 vs 0: 1.27, 1.25–1.29; ≥3 vs 0: 1.48, 1.14–1.52). Also, 1-year increment in age increased risk of dying by 1%–2% (1.01, 1.01–1.02).
Conclusion
Female, Hispanic, Asian and Pacific Islander, and younger patients had better survival. Patients with insurance (government or private) and patients who underwent treatment had higher survival probability. Nationally, 5-year survival has improved from 6% in 2004 to 13% in 2014.