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. 2021 Oct 7;23(10):1313. doi: 10.3390/e23101313

The Law of the Iterated Logarithm for Linear Processes Generated by a Sequence of Stationary Independent Random Variables under the Sub-Linear Expectation

Wei Liu 1, Yong Zhang 1,*
Editor: Udo Von Toussaint1
PMCID: PMC8534869  PMID: 34682037

Abstract

In this paper, we obtain the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes in sub-linear expectation space. It is established for strictly stationary independent random variable sequences with finite second-order moments in the sense of non-additive capacity.

Keywords: the law of the iterated logarithm, linear process, stationary sequences, capacity, sub-linear expectation

MSC: 60F15, 60F05

1. Introduction

As fundamental limit theorems of probability theory, the classical law of the iterated logarithm (LIL for short) plays an important role in the development of probability theory and its applications. The original statement of LIL obtained by Khinchine [1] is for a class of Bernoulli random variables. After that, a lot of literature has performed in-depth and detailed research on LIL, we can refer to Hartman and Wintner [2], Acosta [3], Shao and Su [4], and so on. Motivated by modeling uncertainty in practice, Peng [5] introduced the reasonable framework of the sub-linear expectation of random variables in a general function space. As an alternative to the traditional probability/expectation, capacity/sub-linear expectation has been studied in many fields, such as statistics, mathematical economics, measures of risk, and super-hedging in finance. In recent years, after studying the limit theorem of sub-linear expectation (e.g., see Feng [6], Deng and Wang [7], Tan and Zong [8], and Zhang [9,10], etc.), more and more research results of LIL under this framework have been obtained, the Hartman–Winter LIL were established by Chen and Hu [11] for bounded random variables, the functional central limit and Chung’s LIL were recently obtained by Zhang [12], and the LIL for independent and negatively dependent identically distributed random variables were proven by Zhang [13].

As is well known, the linear processes are especially important in time series analysis and they arise from a wide variety of contexts (cf. Hannan [14]). Applications to economics, engineering, and physical sciences are extremely broad and a vast amount of literature is devoted to the study of linear processes under a variety of circumstances. The limit theory of linear processes has been studied in detail in many papers. Philips and Solo [15] prove the strong law of numbers and the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes, Zhang [16] gives the limit law of the iterated logarithm for linear processes. Recently, Liu and Zhang [17] obtained the central limit theorem and invariance principle for linear processes generated by independent and identically distributed (IID for short) random variables under sub-linear expectation.

A natural question is: can LIL of linear processes be realized under Peng’s framework? The main purpose of this paper is to establish the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes generated by IID random variables in sub-linear expectation space. In the classical case, the LIL of partial sum is established by decomposing the linear process. We will find that this way is also valid for proving LIL for linear process in the sub-linear expectation space, though there are some differences. Intuitively, sub-linear expectation and related non-additive probabilities (Capacities) generated by them plays a decisive role in our proof. In the sequel, c denotes a positive constant, which may take different values whenever it appears in different expressions.

To state the result, we shall first recall the framework of sub-linear expectations. We use the framework and notation of Peng [5,18,19]. Let (Ω,F) be a given measurable space. Let H be a linear space of real functions defined on (Ω,F), such that if X1,X2,...,XnH then φ(X1,X2,...,Xn)H for each φCl,Lip(Rn) where φCl,Lip(Rn) denotes the linear space of local Lipschitz continuous functions φ satisfying

|φ(x)φ(y)|c(1+|x|m+|y|m)|xy|,x,yRn,

for some c>0,mN depending on φ. H contains all IA where AF. We also denote φCb,Lip(Rn) as the linear space of bounded Lipschitz continuous functions φ satisfying

|φ(x)φ(y)|c|xy|,x,yRn,

for some c>0.

Definition 1.

A function E^:H[,+] is said to be a sub-linear expectation if it satisfies for X,YH,

  • 1. 

    Monotonicity: XY implies E^[X]E^[Y];

  • 2. 

    Constant preserving: E^[c]=c,cR;

  • 3. 

    Sub-additivity: E^[X+Y]E^[X]+E^[Y];

  • 4. 

    Positive homogeneity: E^[λX]=λE^[X],λ0.

The triple (Ω,H,E^) is called a sub-linear expectation space. Give a sub-linear expectation E^, let us denote the conjugate expectation E^ of E^ by E^[X]:=E^[X],XH.

Remark 1.

(i) The sub-linear expectation E^[·] satisfies translation invariance: E^[X+c]=E^[X]+c,cR. (ii) From the definition, it is easy to show that E^[X]E^[X] and E^[XY]E^[X]E^[Y],X,YH with E^[Y] being finite.

Definition 2.

(i) (Identical distribution) Let X1 and X2 be two n-dimensional random vectors defined, respectively, in sub-linear expectation spaces (Ω1,H1,E^1) and (Ω2,H2,E^2). They are called identically distributed, denoted by X1=dX2, if

E^1[φ(X1)]=E^2[φ(X2)],φCl,Lip(Rn),

whenever the sub-expectations are finite. A sequence of random variables {Xn,n1} is said to be identically distributed if Xi=dX1 for each i1.

(ii) (Independence) In a sub-linear expectation space (Ω,H,E^), a random vector Y=(Y1,...,Yn)(YiH) is said to be independent to another random vector X=(X1,...,Xm)(XiH) under E^ if for each test function φCl,Lip(Rm×Rn) we have

E^[φ(X,Y)]=E^[E^[φ(x,Y)]|x=X],

whenever φ¯(x):=E^[|φ(x,Y)|]< for all x and E^[|φ¯(x)|]<.

(iii) (IID random variables) A sequence of random variables {Xn,n1} is said to be independent and identically distributed (IID), if Xi=dX1 and Xi+1 is independent to (X1,...,Xi) for each i1.

It is obvious that, if {Xn,n1} is a sequence of independent random variables and f1(x),f2(x),...Cl,Lip(R), then {fn(Xn),n1} is also a sequence of independent random variables.

Next, we introduce the capacities corresponding to the sub-linear expectations.

Definition 3

([11]). A set function V: F[0,1] is called a capacity, if

  • 1. 

    V()=0,V(Ω)=1;

  • 2. 

    V(A)V(B),AB,A,BF.

It is called to be sub-additive if V(AB)V(A)+V(B) for all A,BF with ABF.

A sub-linear expectation E^ could generate a pair (V,V) of capacity denoted by

V(A):=inf{E^[ξ]:IAξ,ξH},V(A)=1V(Ac),AF,

where Ac is the complement set of A. Then

V(A):=E^[IA],V(A):=E^[IA],ifIAH,
E^[f]V(A)E^[g],E^[f]V(A)E^[g],iffIAg,f,gH. (1)

In addition, a pair (CV,CV) of the Choquet integrals/expecations denoted by

CV[X]=0V(Xt)dt+0[V(Xt)1]dt,

with V being replaced by V and V, respectively.

If limcE^[(|X|c)+]=0 or E^ is countably sub-additive, then E^[|X|]CV(|X|) (See Lemma 4.5 (iii) of Zhang [13]).

Definition 4

([20]). (a) A sub-linear expectation E^:H[,+] is called to be countably sub-additive if it satisfies E^[X]n=1E^[Xn], whenever XΣn=1Xn,X,XnH and X0,Xn0,n=1,2,...;

(b) A function V: F[0,1] is called to be countably sub-additive if Vn=1Ann=1V(An),AnF;

(c) A capacity V: F[0,1] is called a continuous capacity if it satisfies:

c1. Continuity from below: V(An)V(A), if AnA, where An,AF;

c2. Continuity from above: V(An)V(A), if AnA, where An,AF.

It is obvious that the continuity from above and sub-additivity imply the continuity from below, and the continuity from the below and sub-additivity imply the countable sub- additivity. Therefore, we call a sub-additive capacity to be continuous if it is continuous from above. Set H={A:IAH}, then V is a countably sub-additive capacity in H if E^ is countably sub-additive in H, and (V,V) is a pair of continuous capacities in H if E^ is continuous in H.

2. Main Results

In this section, we shall study the LIL of linear processes under association assumption in the sub-linear expectation space. For any I(k,+), {Xj,jI} is a sequence of independent random variables satisfying Definition 2; For a finite index set I(,k), {Xj,jI} is also a sequence of independent random variables satisfying Definition 2.

First, we give the definition of strictly stationary sequence under the sub-linear expectation.

Definition 5.

{εn,nN} is said to be a sequence of strictly stationary random variables on the (Ω,H,E^), if for any a function ϕnCl,Lip(Rn):RnR, then

E^[ϕn(ε1,ε2,...,εn)]=E^[ϕn(ε1+k,ε2+k,...,εn+k)],n1,kN.

Next we give the main results: the law of the iterated logarithm for linear processes in the sub-linear expectation space.

Theorem 1.

Suppose that {εj,jZ} is a sequence of strictly stationary independent random variables on the (Ω,H,E^) with E^[ε1]=E^[ε1]=0 and σ¯2=E^[ε12],σ_2=E^[ε12]. Further, assume that E^ is countably sub-additive and

  • (A1)

    E^ε12(log|ε1|)1+δ<,forsomeδ>0;

  • (A2)

    limcE^[(ε12c)+]=0;

  • (A3)

    CVε12loglog|ε1|<.

Define the linear process by Xt=j=αjεtj,t1 and the partial sum Tn=t=1nXt, where {αj,jZ} is a sequence of real numbers satisfying A=|j=αj|0, j=|αj|<. Then we have

Vlim supn|Tn|anAσ¯=1, (2)

where an=2nloglogn, logn=ln(ne), loglogn=lnln(nee),n1.

Remark 2.

If α0=1,αj=0,j0, Theorem 1 can be regarded as Lemma 3.

Remark 3.

In particular, according to Proposition 4.1 in Zhang [10], for the random variable sequence of IID, if V is continuous, then E^ is linear. Then, the LIL of this paper is the known result of classical probability space.

3. Proofs

In order to prove the main results, we need the following Lemmas. The first one was the convergence part of the Borel–Cantelli Lemma.

Lemma 1

([20]). Let {An,n1} be a sequence of events in F. Suppose that V is a countably sub-additive capacity. If n=1V(An)< then

V(Ani.o.)=0,where{Ani.o.}=n=1i=nAi.

The second Lemma on the exponential inequality is Lemma 2.1 of Zhang [9].

Lemma 2

([9]). Let {Zn,k:k=1,...,kn} be an array of independent random variables, such that E^[Zn,k]0 and E^[Zn,k2]<,k=1,...,kn. Then for all x,y>0

Vmaxmknk=1mZn,kxVmaxkknZn,ky+expxyxyBnxy+1ln1+xyBn, (3)

where Bn=k=1knE^[Zn,k2].

The following Lemma is a law of iterated logarithm under sub-linear expectation.

Lemma 3.

Let {εn,n1} be a sequence of IID random variables in (Ω,H,E^) with E^^[ε1]=E^[ε1]=0. Write E^[ε12]=σ¯2,E[ε12]=σ_2, Sn=k=1nεk. Suppose that the conditions (A2) and (A3) in Theorem 1 hold. If V is countably sub-additive, then we have

Vlim supn|Sn|anσ¯=1. (4)

Proof. 

Obviously, (4) can be directly derived from Theorem 3.11 and (4.29) in Zhang [13]. □

Lemma 4.

Let {εn,nZ} be a sequence of IID random variables on the (Ω,H,E^) with E^[ε1]=E^[ε1]=0 and σ¯2=E^[ε12],σ_2=E^[ε12]. Further assume that E^ is countably sub-additive and the condition (A1) in Theorem 1 hold. Then we have

E^supn(2nloglogn)1/2|k=1nεk|<. (5)

Proof. 

Note that E^ is countably sub-additive, if CV[|ε|]<, then E^[|ε|]CV[|ε|]<. Hence, to prove (5), it suffices to prove

CVsupn(2nloglogn)1/2|k=1nεk|<. (6)

By the definition of CV, we have

CVsupn(2nloglogn)1/2|k=1nεk|=0Vsupn|k=1nεk|(2nloglogn)1/2>xdx=0DVsupn|k=1nεk|(2nloglogn)1/2>xdx+DVsupn|k=1nεk|(2nloglogn)1/2>xdx=D+l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1|k=1nεk|(2nloglogn)1/2>xdx=D+l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1|k=1nεk|>x(2·2lloglog2l)1/2dx, (7)

where D>1, value to be determined.

Let bk=(k/loglogk)1/2,k1. We define

ε˜k=(xbk)(εkxbk).

Noting that

k=1nεkk=1nε˜k+k=1n(εkε˜k)k=1n(ε˜kE^[ε˜k])+k=1nE^[ε˜k]+k=1n(εkε˜k). (8)

According to the Lemma condition E^[ε1]=E^[ε1]=0, we know that

k=1nE^[ε˜k]k=1n(E^[εk]E^[ε˜k])k=1nE^|εkε˜k|k=1nE^[|εk|I{|εk|>xbk}]k=1nE^[εk2]xbkck=1n1xbkc·1x(nloglogn)1/2. (9)

Then, by (9), and for x>D large enough, we have

max2l1n<2lk=1nE^[ε˜k]c·1x(2l+1loglog2l+1)1/2x4(2·2lloglog2l)1/2. (10)

Hence, by (8), we obtain

l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1k=1nεk>x(2·2lloglog2l)1/2dxl=0DVmax2ln<2l+1k=1n(ε˜kE^[ε˜k])>x4(2·2l+1loglog2l)1/2dx+l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1k=1n(εkε˜k)>x2(2·2l+1loglog2l)1/2dx:=I1+I2. (11)

First, to estimate I2, by (11), we get

I2cl=0DE^max2ln<2l+1k=1n(εkε˜k)x(2lloglog2l)1/2dxcl=0Dk=12l+1E^|εk|I{|εk|>xbk}x(2lloglog2l)1/2dx. (12)

It is important to note that the identical distribution under E^ is defined through continuous functions in Cl,Lip and the indicator function of an event is not continuous. We need to modify the indicator function by functions in Cl,Lip. So, let gϵ be a function satisfying that its derivatives of each order are bounded, gϵ(x)=1 if x1, gϵ(x)=0 if x1ϵ, and 0gϵ(x)1 for all x, where 0<ϵ<1. Then

gϵ(·)Cl,Lip(R),I{x1}gϵ(x)I{x>1ϵ}. (13)

For ϵ=12 in (13), by (1) and (12), we have

I2cl=0Dk=12l+1E^|εk|g(εkxbk)x(2lloglog2l)1/2dx=cl=0Dk=12l+1E^|ε1|g(ε1xbk)x(2lloglog2l)1/2dxcl=0Dk=12l+1E^|ε1|I{|ε1|>12xbk}x(2lloglog2l)1/2dx (14)

Using condition (A1). For some δ>0, it is obvious that

k=12l+1E^|ε1|I{|ε1|>12xbk}k=12l+1E^ε12(log|ε1|)1+δ1|ε1|(log|ε1|)1+δI{|ε1|>12xbk}E^ε12(log|ε1|)1+δk=12l+1112xbk·1(log12xbk)1+δck=12l+1loglogkk·1(logk)1+δ·1xc2l+1loglog2l(log2l+1)1+δ·1x. (15)

Combining (12), (14) and (15), we get

I2cl=0D1x2lloglog2l·2lloglog2l(log2l)1+δ·1xdxl=0cD1x2dx·1(log2l)1+δl=0c1(llog2)1+δ<. (16)

Next, to estimate I1. Noting that

I1l=0DVmaxln<2l+1k=1n(ε˜kE^[ε˜k])>x4c1(2l+1loglog2l+1)1/2dx. (17)

By the properties of IID random variables, {ε˜kE^[ε˜k]} is also a sequence of IID random variables, E^[ε˜kE^[ε˜k]]=0,|ε˜kE^[ε˜k]|2xbk2xb2l+1 for every k and E^[ε˜kE^[ε˜k]]24E^[ε˜k2]=4E^[ε12x2bk2]=4σ¯2<, Bn2l+1·4σ¯2. Taking y=2xb2l+1 in (3), then

x4c1(2l+1loglog2l+1)1/2y=c14loglog2l+1=Aloglog2l+1,(whereA:=c14),

and

x4c1(2l+1loglog2l+1)1/2·yBn=x24c1·14σ¯2=c1x216σ¯2=Bx2,(whereB:=c116σ¯2).

For a sufficiently large x, there is a constant c2<1, such that log(1+Bx2)c2logx2. Choose D large enough to make (Dc21)A>1. And since Dloglog2l+1=O((log2l+1)D), using Lemma 2, we have

I1l=0DexpAlog(log2l+1)1log(1+Bx2)dxl=0(log2l+1)ADexpAc2loglog2l+1logxdxcl=0(log2l+1)AD1xAc2loglog2l+1dxcl=0(log2l+1)A1(Dloglog2l+1)Ac2cl=0(log2l+1)A1(log2l+1)DAc2cl=01(log2l+1)(Dc21)A<. (18)

Combining (11), (16), and (18), we get

l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1k=1nεk>x(2·2lloglog2l)1/2dx<.

For (k=1nεk), we have the same convergence as the above. Then, we obtain

l=0DVmax2ln<2l+1|k=1nεk|>x(2·2lloglog2l)1/2dx<. (19)

From (7) and (19), (6) holds. So Lemma is proved.  □

Proof of Theorem 1. 

For m,n,tN, define

Ym,n=1ant=1nj=mmαjεtj,α˜m=0,α˜j=i=j+1mαi,j=0,1,···,m1,α˜˜m=0,α˜˜j=i=mj1αi,j=m+1,m+2,···,0,εt˜=j=0mα˜jεtj,ε˜˜t=j=m0α˜˜jεtj.

Obviously, we have

Ym,n=j=mmαj1ant=1nεt+1an(ε˜0ε˜n+ε˜˜n+1ε˜˜1), (20)
1ant=1nXt=Ym,n+1ant=1n|j|>mαjεtj. (21)

First note that

ε˜0an=(2nloglogn)1/2j=0mi=j+1mαiεj0a.s.V,n,

and

ε˜˜1an=(2nloglogn)1/2j=m0i=mj1αiε1j0a.s.V,n.

For any δ>0, the Lemma 4.5 in Zhang [13] shows that

n=1V(|ε1|>δan)<CV|ε1|2loglog|ε1|<.

Hence by (1), (A3) and let gϵ(·) be a smooth function satisfying (13), for any δ>0

n=1V(|εnj|/an>δ)n=1E^g12|εnj|anδ=n=1E^g12|ε1|anδ(sinceεnj=dε1)n=1V(|ε1|>12δan)cCV|ε1|2loglog|ε1|<.

By the Lemma 1 (Borel–Cantelli Lemma), we have

V(lim supn|εnj|an>δ)=0,δ>0.

So we get

V(lim supn|εnj|anδ)=1,δ>0.

Thus

ε˜nan=(2nloglogn)1/2j=0mi=j+1mαiεnj0a.s.V,n.

Using the proof similar to the above formula, we get

ε˜˜n+1an=(2nloglogn)1/2j=m0i=mj1αiεn+1j0a.s.V,n.

So, we conclude that

1an(ε˜0ε˜n+ε˜˜n+1ε˜˜1)0a.s.V,n. (22)

Combining with (20), (21), and (22), we have

lim supn|Tn|an=lim supn|Ym,n+|j|>mαj1ant=1nεtj|lim supn|j=mmαj|1an|t=1nεt|+lim supn|j|>m|αj|1an|t=1nεtj|lim supn|j=mmαj|1an|t=1nεt|+|j|>m|αj|supn1an|t=1nεtj|. (23)

By the stationariness of {εk} and the Lemma 4, we have

E^supn(2nloglogn)1/2|t=1nεtj|=E^supn(2nloglogn)1/2|t=1nεt|<,

then

supn(2nloglogn)1/2t=1nεtj<. (24)

The countably sub-additive of E^ shows that V is countably sub-additive. Then, according to the condition of Lemma 3, {εi} satisfies (4). Next, using (4) and (24), let m in (23), we get

lim supn|Tn|an|j=αj|σ¯a.s.V. (25)

So, we obtain

Vlim supn|Tn|anAσ¯=1.

The proof of Theorem 1 now completes.  □

4. Conclusions

This paper mainly studies the LIL of linear processes under capacity induced by sub-linear expectation, which is based on Zhang [13]. According to the new concepts of distribution and independence under Peng’s framework, we define the strictly stationary sequence under sub-linear expectation, and further redefine the linear processes under sub-linear expectation. We first obtain Lemma 4 by truncating random variables, countably sub-additive of capacity and exponential inequality under sub-linear expectation. Secondly, the tail of the partial sum of linear processes tends to zero in the sense of capacity by using the decomposition of the partial sum of linear processes, Lemma 4, the transformation of Choquet expectation and integral. Finally, the main results of this paper are obtained by using Lemma 3.

The results obtained in this paper enrich the limit theory of capacity (non additive probability) and are also a natural generalization of the LIL under classical additive probability. The key to the main results of this paper is an exponential inequality. If we can establish the corresponding exponential inequalities for negative dependent (ND) sequences, then we can obtain the LIL of linear processes generated by stationary ND sequences under sub-linear expectation. ND sequences are weaker than independent sequences. Therefore, it is an impending problem to study the theoretical properties of ND sequences in sub-linear expectation, which is the subject of future research.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, W.L. and Y.Z.; methodology, W.L.; validation, W.L. and Y.Z.; investigation, W.L.; writing—original draft preparation, W.L.; writing—review and editing, W.L. and Y.Z.; project administration, Y.Z.; funding acquisition, Y.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The paper was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11771178); the Science and Technology Development Program of Jilin Province (Grant No. 20170101152JC) and Science and Technology Program of Jilin Educational Department during the “13th Five-Year” Plan Period (Grant No. JJKH20200951KJ) and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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