Abstract
In this paper, we obtain the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes in sub-linear expectation space. It is established for strictly stationary independent random variable sequences with finite second-order moments in the sense of non-additive capacity.
Keywords: the law of the iterated logarithm, linear process, stationary sequences, capacity, sub-linear expectation
MSC: 60F15, 60F05
1. Introduction
As fundamental limit theorems of probability theory, the classical law of the iterated logarithm (LIL for short) plays an important role in the development of probability theory and its applications. The original statement of LIL obtained by Khinchine [1] is for a class of Bernoulli random variables. After that, a lot of literature has performed in-depth and detailed research on LIL, we can refer to Hartman and Wintner [2], Acosta [3], Shao and Su [4], and so on. Motivated by modeling uncertainty in practice, Peng [5] introduced the reasonable framework of the sub-linear expectation of random variables in a general function space. As an alternative to the traditional probability/expectation, capacity/sub-linear expectation has been studied in many fields, such as statistics, mathematical economics, measures of risk, and super-hedging in finance. In recent years, after studying the limit theorem of sub-linear expectation (e.g., see Feng [6], Deng and Wang [7], Tan and Zong [8], and Zhang [9,10], etc.), more and more research results of LIL under this framework have been obtained, the Hartman–Winter LIL were established by Chen and Hu [11] for bounded random variables, the functional central limit and Chung’s LIL were recently obtained by Zhang [12], and the LIL for independent and negatively dependent identically distributed random variables were proven by Zhang [13].
As is well known, the linear processes are especially important in time series analysis and they arise from a wide variety of contexts (cf. Hannan [14]). Applications to economics, engineering, and physical sciences are extremely broad and a vast amount of literature is devoted to the study of linear processes under a variety of circumstances. The limit theory of linear processes has been studied in detail in many papers. Philips and Solo [15] prove the strong law of numbers and the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes, Zhang [16] gives the limit law of the iterated logarithm for linear processes. Recently, Liu and Zhang [17] obtained the central limit theorem and invariance principle for linear processes generated by independent and identically distributed (IID for short) random variables under sub-linear expectation.
A natural question is: can LIL of linear processes be realized under Peng’s framework? The main purpose of this paper is to establish the law of iterated logarithm for linear processes generated by IID random variables in sub-linear expectation space. In the classical case, the LIL of partial sum is established by decomposing the linear process. We will find that this way is also valid for proving LIL for linear process in the sub-linear expectation space, though there are some differences. Intuitively, sub-linear expectation and related non-additive probabilities (Capacities) generated by them plays a decisive role in our proof. In the sequel, c denotes a positive constant, which may take different values whenever it appears in different expressions.
To state the result, we shall first recall the framework of sub-linear expectations. We use the framework and notation of Peng [5,18,19]. Let be a given measurable space. Let be a linear space of real functions defined on , such that if then for each where denotes the linear space of local Lipschitz continuous functions satisfying
for some depending on . contains all where . We also denote as the linear space of bounded Lipschitz continuous functions satisfying
for some .
Definition 1.
A function is said to be a sub-linear expectation if it satisfies for ,
- 1.
Monotonicity: implies ;
- 2.
Constant preserving: ;
- 3.
Sub-additivity: ;
- 4.
Positive homogeneity: .
The triple is called a sub-linear expectation space. Give a sub-linear expectation , let us denote the conjugate expectation of by .
Remark 1.
(i) The sub-linear expectation satisfies translation invariance: . (ii) From the definition, it is easy to show that and with being finite.
Definition 2.
(i) (Identical distribution) Let and be two n-dimensional random vectors defined, respectively, in sub-linear expectation spaces and . They are called identically distributed, denoted by , if
whenever the sub-expectations are finite. A sequence of random variables is said to be identically distributed if for each .
(ii) (Independence) In a sub-linear expectation space , a random vector is said to be independent to another random vector under if for each test function we have
whenever for all x and .
(iii) (IID random variables) A sequence of random variables is said to be independent and identically distributed (IID), if and is independent to for each .
It is obvious that, if is a sequence of independent random variables and , then is also a sequence of independent random variables.
Next, we introduce the capacities corresponding to the sub-linear expectations.
Definition 3
([11]). A set function V: is called a capacity, if
- 1.
;
- 2.
.
It is called to be sub-additive if for all with .
A sub-linear expectation could generate a pair of capacity denoted by
where is the complement set of A. Then
| (1) |
In addition, a pair of the Choquet integrals/expecations denoted by
with V being replaced by and , respectively.
If or is countably sub-additive, then (See Lemma 4.5 (iii) of Zhang [13]).
Definition 4
([20]). (a) A sub-linear expectation is called to be countably sub-additive if it satisfies whenever and ;
(b) A function V: is called to be countably sub-additive if
(c) A capacity V: is called a continuous capacity if it satisfies:
c1. Continuity from below: , if , where ;
c2. Continuity from above: , if , where .
It is obvious that the continuity from above and sub-additivity imply the continuity from below, and the continuity from the below and sub-additivity imply the countable sub- additivity. Therefore, we call a sub-additive capacity to be continuous if it is continuous from above. Set , then is a countably sub-additive capacity in if is countably sub-additive in , and is a pair of continuous capacities in if is continuous in .
2. Main Results
In this section, we shall study the LIL of linear processes under association assumption in the sub-linear expectation space. For any , is a sequence of independent random variables satisfying Definition 2; For a finite index set , is also a sequence of independent random variables satisfying Definition 2.
First, we give the definition of strictly stationary sequence under the sub-linear expectation.
Definition 5.
is said to be a sequence of strictly stationary random variables on the , if for any a function , then
Next we give the main results: the law of the iterated logarithm for linear processes in the sub-linear expectation space.
Theorem 1.
Suppose that is a sequence of strictly stationary independent random variables on the with and Further, assume that is countably sub-additive and
Define the linear process by and the partial sum , where is a sequence of real numbers satisfying Then we have
(2) where , , .
Remark 2.
If , Theorem 1 can be regarded as Lemma 3.
Remark 3.
In particular, according to Proposition 4.1 in Zhang [10], for the random variable sequence of IID, if is continuous, then is linear. Then, the LIL of this paper is the known result of classical probability space.
3. Proofs
In order to prove the main results, we need the following Lemmas. The first one was the convergence part of the Borel–Cantelli Lemma.
Lemma 1
([20]). Let be a sequence of events in . Suppose that V is a countably sub-additive capacity. If then
The second Lemma on the exponential inequality is Lemma 2.1 of Zhang [9].
Lemma 2
([9]). Let be an array of independent random variables, such that and . Then for all
(3) where .
The following Lemma is a law of iterated logarithm under sub-linear expectation.
Lemma 3.
Let be a sequence of IID random variables in with . Write , . Suppose that the conditions and in Theorem 1 hold. If is countably sub-additive, then we have
(4)
Proof.
Obviously, (4) can be directly derived from Theorem 3.11 and (4.29) in Zhang [13]. □
Lemma 4.
Let be a sequence of IID random variables on the with and . Further assume that is countably sub-additive and the condition in Theorem 1 hold. Then we have
(5)
Proof.
Note that is countably sub-additive, if , then . Hence, to prove (5), it suffices to prove
(6) By the definition of , we have
(7) where , value to be determined.
Let We define
Noting that
(8) According to the Lemma condition , we know that
(9) Then, by (9), and for large enough, we have
(10) Hence, by (8), we obtain
(11) First, to estimate , by (11), we get
(12) It is important to note that the identical distribution under is defined through continuous functions in and the indicator function of an event is not continuous. We need to modify the indicator function by functions in . So, let be a function satisfying that its derivatives of each order are bounded, if , if , and for all x, where . Then
(13) For in (13), by (1) and (12), we have
(14) Using condition . For some , it is obvious that
(15) Combining (12), (14) and (15), we get
(16) Next, to estimate . Noting that
(17) By the properties of IID random variables, is also a sequence of IID random variables, for every k and , . Taking in (3), then
and
For a sufficiently large x, there is a constant , such that . Choose D large enough to make . And since , using Lemma 2, we have
(18) Combining (11), (16), and (18), we get
For , we have the same convergence as the above. Then, we obtain
(19)
Proof of Theorem 1.
For , define
Obviously, we have
(20)
(21) First note that
and
For any , the Lemma 4.5 in Zhang [13] shows that
Hence by (1), and let be a smooth function satisfying (13), for any
By the Lemma 1 (Borel–Cantelli Lemma), we have
So we get
Thus
Using the proof similar to the above formula, we get
So, we conclude that
(22) Combining with (20), (21), and (22), we have
(23) By the stationariness of and the Lemma 4, we have
then
(24) The countably sub-additive of shows that is countably sub-additive. Then, according to the condition of Lemma 3, satisfies (4). Next, using (4) and (24), let in (23), we get
(25) So, we obtain
The proof of Theorem 1 now completes. □
4. Conclusions
This paper mainly studies the LIL of linear processes under capacity induced by sub-linear expectation, which is based on Zhang [13]. According to the new concepts of distribution and independence under Peng’s framework, we define the strictly stationary sequence under sub-linear expectation, and further redefine the linear processes under sub-linear expectation. We first obtain Lemma 4 by truncating random variables, countably sub-additive of capacity and exponential inequality under sub-linear expectation. Secondly, the tail of the partial sum of linear processes tends to zero in the sense of capacity by using the decomposition of the partial sum of linear processes, Lemma 4, the transformation of Choquet expectation and integral. Finally, the main results of this paper are obtained by using Lemma 3.
The results obtained in this paper enrich the limit theory of capacity (non additive probability) and are also a natural generalization of the LIL under classical additive probability. The key to the main results of this paper is an exponential inequality. If we can establish the corresponding exponential inequalities for negative dependent (ND) sequences, then we can obtain the LIL of linear processes generated by stationary ND sequences under sub-linear expectation. ND sequences are weaker than independent sequences. Therefore, it is an impending problem to study the theoretical properties of ND sequences in sub-linear expectation, which is the subject of future research.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, W.L. and Y.Z.; methodology, W.L.; validation, W.L. and Y.Z.; investigation, W.L.; writing—original draft preparation, W.L.; writing—review and editing, W.L. and Y.Z.; project administration, Y.Z.; funding acquisition, Y.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
The paper was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11771178); the Science and Technology Development Program of Jilin Province (Grant No. 20170101152JC) and Science and Technology Program of Jilin Educational Department during the “13th Five-Year” Plan Period (Grant No. JJKH20200951KJ) and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.
Institutional Review Board Statement
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Informed Consent Statement
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Data Availability Statement
Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Footnotes
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