Abstract
Background: Outcome following ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is thought to be worse in women than in age-matched men. We assessed whether such differences occur in the UK Pan-London dataset and if age, and particularly menopause, influences upon outcome. Methods: We undertook an observational cohort study of 26,799 STEMI patients (20,633 men, 6,166 women) between 2005-2015 at 8 centres across London, UK. Patient details were recorded at the time of the procedure into local databases using the British Cardiac Intervention Society (BCIS) PCI dataset. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality at a median follow-up of 4.1 years (IQR: 2.2-5.8 years). Results: Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a higher mortality rate in women versus men (15.6% men vs. 25.3% women, P<0.0001). Univariate Cox analysis revealed that female sex was a predictor of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.69 95% CI: 1.59-1.82). However, after multivariate adjustment, this effect of female sex diminished (HR: 1.05 95% CI: 0.90-1.25). In a sub-group analysis, we compared the sexes separated by age into the ≤55 and the >55 year olds. Age-stratified Cox analysis revealed that female sex was a univariate predictor of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.60 95% CI: 1.25-2.05) in the ≤55 group and in the >55 group (HR: 1.38 95% CI: 1.28-1.47). However, after regression adjustment incorporating the propensity score into a proportional hazard model as a covariate, whilst female sex was not a significant predictor of all-cause mortality in the ≤55 group it was a predictor in the >55 group. Moreover, whilst age did not influence outcome in <55 group, this effect in the >55 group was correlated with age. Conclusions: Overall women have a worse all-cause mortality following primary PCI for STEMI compared to men. However, this effect was driven predominantly by women >55 years of age since after adjusting for co-morbidities the risk in younger women did not differ significantly from that in men. These observations support the view that as women advance past the menopausal years their risk of further events following revascularization increases substantially and we suggest that routine assessment of hormonal status may improve clinical decision-making and ultimately outcome for women post-PCI.
Keywords: Primary PCI, sex, myocardial infarction
Introduction
Despite the year-on-year decrease over the past 2 decades, coronary heart disease (CHD) remains the leading cause of mortality worldwide amongst women [1]. Most CHD-related mortality is a consequence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) thought to account for 25-47% of this [2-5]. This is true not only in low middle-income countries but also in those countries considered high income and with universal access to healthcare (i.e. with a per capita of $12,000 or more [4]).
These statistics are surprising considering the well-established fact that women, at least during the pre-menopausal years, enjoy innate protection against cardiovascular diseases and particularly CHD [6]. More surprising is the evidence indicating that outcome for women following a STEMI is worse than for age-matched men; an observation first demonstrated in data collated across 15 different countries in the GUSTO-I study [7] and also supported by large scale meta-analyses [8]. In the latter increased risk of vascular complications, 30-day mortality and co-morbidities were implicated in the outcomes. More recently, a European study conducted across 41 heart attack centres in 12 countries including 8834 patients, 2657 of whom were women, demonstrated increased 30-day mortality post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in younger women. In this study, as age increased this risk progressively decreased and indeed was absent in the over 60s, suggesting that the worse outcome for women post-PCI is driven by differences between the sexes in the younger years. These data, however, conflict with recent evidence from the USA [9,10] demonstrating increased risk for older women compared to men post-PCI in both STEMI and NSTEMI groups.
There has been considerable interest in determining why women might fare worse than men with differences in treatment and presentation having been implicated. Studies in the USA and Europe have shown that women receive revascularisation less, experience greater delays when revascularisation is applied, i.e. longer call-to-balloon, and experience delays in treatment i.e. longer door-to-balloon times [11]. However reassuringly, use of a standardised protocols such as in STEMI eliminates the sex differences in time to treatment and is associated with proportional improvements post-PCI in mortality rates [12]. However, despite this, differences still persist and whether this difference might pertain specifically to younger or older women (i.e. pre or post-menopausal) is not clear.
Since the incidence of STEMI in women is generally low compared to men it is difficult to interpret apparent differences in risk with confidence. The British Cardiac Intervention Society (BCIS) dataset of 26,799 patients merging information from 8 heart attack centres in cosmopolitan London, including 6098 women of varied ethnicity, provides us with an excellent opportunity to robustly assess the influence of sex on outcome post-PCI in a true STEMI UK-based population eliminating differences due to other factors which may confound outcomes.
Methods
The data collected were part of a mandatory national cardiac audit and all patient identifiable fields were removed prior to merging of the datasets and analysis. The authors declare that all supporting data are available within the article. In addition, the data can be provided on request from Dr. Andrew Wragg.
In this study, STEMI was defined as per the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines as patients presenting with persistent chest discomfort and ST-segment elevation in at least two contiguous leads as STEMI [13]. The latest ESC guidelines describe further management of patients presenting with STEMI [13].
This was a retrospective observational cohort study designed to investigate the relationship between sex and outcome after primary PCI in patients with STEMI. We analysed the merged databases of the 8 London Heart Attack Centres that collect data into the BCIS dataset. The BCIS audit is part of a national mandatory audit that all UK PCI centres participate in.
Study database
The UK BCIS audit collects data from all hospitals in the UK that perform PCI, recording information about every procedure performed in a standardized manner [14]. PCI is defined as the use of any coronary device to approach, probe or cross one or more coronary lesion, with the intention of performing a coronary intervention [14]. The database is part of the suite of datasets collected under the auspices of the National Cardiac Audit Programme (NCAP), and is compliant with UK data protection legislation. Data are collected prospectively at each hospital, electronically encrypted and transferred online to a central database. Each patient entry offers details of the patient journey, including the method and timing of admission, inpatient investigations, results, treatment and outcomes. Repeat admissions were removed from the analysis. Patients’ survival data is obtained by linkage of patients’ National Health Service (NHS) numbers to the Office of National Statistics, which records live status and the date of death for all deceased patients.
Population study and design
We examined an observational cohort of consecutive patients with STEMI treated with primary PCI between January 2005 and July 2015 at all 8 tertiary cardiac centres in London, UK. There are no other centres in London that undertake primary PCI. Patient and procedural details were recorded at the time of the procedure and during the admission into each Centre’s local BCIS database. Anonymous datasets with linked mortality data from the Office of National Statistics were merged for analysis from the 8 centres. Patients with cardiogenic shock on presentation were included in the study.
STEMI was defined as per ESC STEMI guidelines criteria [15]. All patients with onset of symptoms of <12 h and at least 1 mm ST-segment elevation in 2 or more contiguous limb leads or at least 2 mm in 2 or more contiguous precordial leads or left bundle branch block or a posterior myocardial infarction were considered for primary PCI. Coronary angiography was performed via the radial or femoral artery. The culprit lesion was identified and crossed with an angioplasty guidewire. Manual thrombus aspiration was performed at the discretion of the operator followed by conventional percutaneous coronary intervention to the culprit vessel.
Patient classification
Initially, patient data was grouped into Men or Women and then a further sub-analysis performed in the following age groups: ≤55 or >55 years. The age cut-off selected for the impact upon outcome was chosen based upon clinical data and recommendations in the UK as well as precedent in other large registry studies (e.g. [16]). The average age for menopause is 51 however the range at which menopause can occur is 45-55 years [17]. To ensure that the post-menopause group represent a cohort of women that are likely to be post-menopausal and have low circulating concentrations of female sex hormones we elected to use 55 as the cut-off category. This age characteristic was used as the defining classification of women into pre and post-menopausal groups for analysis.
Clinical outcomes
Patient clinical and demographic data, procedural characteristics, bleeding complications, procedural complications, all cause in-hospital mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), re-intervention and stroke were recorded during the admission. For the baseline demographics, cardiogenic shock was defined as systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg due to cardiac insufficiency with clinical signs of hypoperfusion (cold extremities, oliguria, altered mental state etc.), not responsive to fluid resuscitation for more than 30 minutes, with a cardiac index below 1.8 l/min/m2 without support or 2.0 to 2.2 l/min/m2 with support. Hypertension and hypercholesterolemia were a pre-hospital diagnosis as was diabetes status. Furthermore, diabetes status included Type I and Type II diabetics. Smoking status included those currently smoking or had smoked in the past. Poor left ventricle (LV) function included anyone with an ejection fraction of <35% during their hospital stay. In hospital Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACE) was defined as death, MI (new pathologic Q waves in the distribution of the treated coronary artery with an increase of creatine kinase-MB to ≥2 times the reference value or significant rise in Troponin biomarkers-which includes a troponin T cut-off of <15 ng/dl), stroke or target vessel revascularisation. Procedural complications recorded included MI, emergency coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), arterial complications, aortic/coronary dissection, side branch occlusion, and arrhythmia. Following discharge, long-term all-cause mortality was obtained by linkage to the Office of National Statistics. Successful primary PCI result was defined as final TIMI (Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction) flow grade 3 and residual stenosis <20% in the infarct-related artery at the end of the procedure.
Socioeconomic status
The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 2015 is the official measure of relative deprivation for small areas (or neighbourhoods) in England. The socio-economic status of each patient was assessed from their residential postal code using the 2015 version of the English IMD score [18].
IMD score
This robust index of deprivation divides England into 32,482 small geographical areas, each of which contains about 1,500 residents, and awards them a score for seven domains (income, employment, health and disability, education and training, housing and services, living environment, and crime) according to information obtained from the 2010 national census. The domains were weighted and then combined to provide a single measure of deprivation for each geographical area. IMD scores have been widely used to study relationships between socio-economic factors and health outcomes, such as equity of access to care [19], disease presentation [20], life expectancy [21], and post-surgical mortality [22].
The English IMD score has several limitations which arise from the methodology involved in its derivation. The score incorporates seven domains into an overall quantification of deprivation, which is assigned based on defined geographical area rather than on an individual subject’s characteristics. Individuals who live in one particular area will obviously experience different levels of deprivation [23]. IMD scores are not a linear measure of deprivation and do not incorporate information on duration of residence. Therefore, we could not assess the contribution of deprivation exposure time to mortality. Nevertheless, the IMD score is the best available means for quantifying deprivation in England [24]. Within this study, patients were analysed by quintile of IMD score (Q1, least deprived; Q5, most deprived).
Ethics
The data was collected as part of a national cardiac audit and all patient identifiable fields were removed prior to analysis. The local ethics committee advised us that formal ethical approval was not required.
Statistical analysis
Clinical characteristics of men versus women (overall between the sexes and within the two age groups: ≤55 or >55 years) were compared using the Pearson Chi Square test for categorical variables and Student t test for continuous variables. Normality of distribution was assessed using the Shapiro-Wilks test. We calculated Kaplan-Meier product limits for cumulative probability of reaching end point and used the log rank test for evidence of a statistically significant difference between the groups. Time was measured from the first admission for a procedure to outcome (all-cause mortality). Cox regression analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for the effect of sex in age-adjusted and fully adjusted models (including sex, ethnicity, cardiogenic shock, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, previous MI/PCI/CABG, history of smoking, renal dysfunction, poor LV function, glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa inhibitor use, procedural success, radial access and multivessel disease), based on covariates (P<0.05) associated with the outcome. The proportional hazards assumption was evaluated by examining log (-log) survival curves and additionally was tested with Schoenfield’s residuals. The proportional hazard assumption was satisfied for all outcomes evaluated.
A propensity score analysis was conducted using a non-parsimonious logistic regression model comparing Men and Women (overall between the sexes and within the two age groups: ≤55 or >55 years). Multiple variables were included in the model, including age, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, previous CABG, previous PCI, previous MI, multivessel disease, chronic renal failure, pre-procedure TIMI flow, procedural success (defined by TIMI 3 flow at the end of the case) and GP IIb/IIIA use. We then undertook a regression adjustment incorporating the propensity score into a proportional hazard model as a covariate. We used SPSS for Mac version 22.0 for all analyses.
For the socioeconomic status analysis, Patients were analysed by quintile of English IMD score [18].
Interaction between age and sex was examined in the multivariable models, first using a linear model for age and then by fitting p-splines to examine the non-linear associations [25]. Models with spline terms were compared to non-linear models using likelihood ratio tests and a final model was fitted including spline by age interaction terms. Spline models were fitted using the survival package in R (version 3.6.0).
Results
The study population consisted of 26,799 patients with a mean age of 62.2 years, (60.20±12.6 men and 68.54±13.4 women) 23.0% of which were women. Of these 43.2% of the patients had hypertension, 38.7% had dyslipidemia, 52.1% were active or ex-smokers, and 16.5% had diabetes. Furthermore, 31.3% of PCI procedures were performed through the radial route and 7.4% of patients had cardiogenic shock in the study. In the whole cohort, there were 20,701 men and 6,098 women. Separation according to presumed menopausal status according to an age of 55 gave 1095 of the 6098 (~18%) women in the <55 years versus 7950 men of 20701 (~38%).
Patient characteristics
Women were more likely to be Caucasian, individuals with hypertension and diabetes and present in cardiogenic shock compared to men (Table 1). There were higher rates of men who were smokers or ex-smokers compared to the women and also higher rates of previous MI, previous CABG and previous PCI. There were no differences in left ventricular function (assessed during the index hospitalisation). These differences between the sexes were present irrespective of age in terms of ≤55 or >55 years stratification (Tables 2 and 3). As expected, however, in the individuals >55 year men were more likely to have suffered a previous MI and been treated with PCI or CABG (Table 2).
Table 1.
Baseline characteristics according to biological sex
Characteristic | Men | Women | P Value | Men ≤55 | Women ≤55 | P Value | Men >55 | Women >55 | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(n=20701) | (n=6098) | (n=7950) | (n=1095) | (n=12751) | (n=5003) | ||||
Age (yrs) | 60.20±12.76 | 68.54±13.4 | <0.0001 | 47.40±5.91 | 47.56±6.05 | 0.822 | 68.16±8.93 | 73.32±9.63 | <0.0001 |
Ethnicity (Caucasian) | 9432 (45.6%) | 3167 (51.9%) | <0.0001 | 3296 (41.5%) | 542 (50.3%) | <0.0001 | 6564 (51.5%) | 2693 (53.8%) | <0.0001 |
Previous Ml | 3398 (16.4%) | 864 (14.2%) | <0.0001 | 866 (10.9%) | 103 (10.8%) | 0.188 | 2161 (16.9%) | 619 (12.4%) | <0.0001 |
Previous CABG | 884 (4.3%) | 199 (3.3%) | <0.0001 | 225 (2.8%) | 38 (3.7%) | 0.212 | 874 (6.9%) | 207 (4.1%) | <0.0001 |
Previous PCI | 2580 (12.5%) | 581 (9.5%) | <0.0001 | 739 (9.3%) | 90 (8.4%) | 0.312 | 1767 (13.9%) | 433 (8.7%) | <0.0001 |
Cardiogenic Shock | 1533 (7.4%) | 520 (8.5%) | 0.008 | 436 (5.5%) | 79 (6.9%) | 0.014 | 1135 (8.9%) | 462 (9.2%) | 0.448 |
Hyperchol esterolaemia | 7866 (38.0%) | 2499 (41.0%) | <0.0001 | 2584 (32.5%) | 352 (33.3%) | 0.944 | 5088 (40.0%) | 2018 (40.3%) | 0.65 |
Diabetes mellitus | 3155 (15.2%) | 1161 (19.0%) | <0.0001 | 952 (12.0%) | 228 (21.2%) | <0.0001 | 2221 (17.4%) | 919 (18.4%) | 0.118 |
Hypertension | 8319 (40.2%) | 3067 (50.3%) | <0.0001 | 2432 (30.6%) | 386 (35.3%) | 0.001 | 5912 (46.4%) | 2672 (53.4%) | <0.0001 |
Smoking History | 11443 (55.3%) | 2521 (41.3%) | <0.0001 | 5091 (64.0%) | 631 (57.7%) | <0.0001 | 6391 (50.1%) | 1820 (36.4%) | <0.0001 |
PVD | 418 (2.0%) | 123 (2.0%) | 0.914 | 62 (0.8%) | 14 (1.4%) | 0.107 | 306 (2.4%) | 96 (1.9%) | 0.058 |
CKD (Great >200) | 32 (0.2%) | 12 (0.2%) | 0.477 | 56 (0.7%) | 21 (1.9%) | <0.0001 | 306 (2.4%) | 92 (1.8%) | 0.033 |
Poor Left ventricular function | 899 (0.4%) | 257 (4.1%) | 0.48 | 259 (3.3%) | 37 (3.4%) | 1 | 625 (4.9%) | 202 (4.0%) | 0.027 |
Direct Transfer | 12405 (59.9%) | 3645 (59.8%) | 0.417 | 5166 (65.0%) | 674 (55.6%) | 0.173 | 8414 (66.0%) | 3305 (66.1%) | 0.625 |
Call to Bal loon Time (mins)* | 104 [97-138] | 142 [118-189] | 0.042 | 109 [85-148] | 158 [124-194] | 0.021 | 98 [77-131] | 125 [102-181] | 0.035 |
Door to Balloon Time (mins)* | 49 [26-120] | 57 [30-144] | 0.369 | 53 [24-115] | 62 [39-158] | 0.188 | 46 [31-124] | 53 [28-139] | 0.285 |
MI, myocardial infarction; CABG, coronary artery bypass graft surgery; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; PVD, peripheral vascular disease; Creat, creatinine concentration; Hypertension (systolic BP≥140 mmHg), Hypercholesterolemia (total cholesterol ≥5.0 mmol/L), poor left ventricular function (EF<35%), CKD (eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2)
median (interquartile range).
Table 2.
Cox proportional model of univariate and multivariate analysis of predictors of mortality in the ≤55 group
Variable | Comparator | Univariate | Multivariate* |
---|---|---|---|
Age (per year) | 1.02 (1.002-1.04) | 1.05 (0.98-1.16) | |
Female | Male | 1.60 (1.25-2.05) | 1.72 (0.84-4.10) |
Ethnicity (Asian) | Caucasian | 1.02 (0.81-1.27) | 1.88 (0.93-3.80) |
Cardiogenic Shock | No Cardiogenic Shock | 6.44 (5.03-8.26) | 6.74 (2.15-14.85) |
Diabetes | No diabetes | 2.55 (2.02-3.21) | 1.85 (0.62-4.85) |
Previous MI | No previous MI | 1.41 (1.09-1.83) | 1.41 (0.32-6.58) |
Previous CABG | No Previous CABG | 2.58 (1.67-3.96) | 3.025 (0.58-15.12) |
Previous PCI | No previous PCI | 1.58 (1.20-2.08) | 1.20 (0.38-4.51) |
Hypertension | No hypertension | 1.45 (1.17-1.79) | 2.48 (1.25-4.98) |
Hypercholesterolaemia | No hypercholesterolaemia | 1.22 (0.99-1.51) | 1.43 (0.68-3.02) |
History of smoking | Never smoked | 1.05 (0.82-1.35) | 1.59 (0.81-3.14) |
eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2 | eGFR>60 | 6.18 (3.68-10.37) | 1.39 (0.25-10.25) |
EF<35% | EF>35% | 3.11 (2.14-4.52) | 3.92 (1.38-7.29) |
GP IIb/IIIav inhibitor use | No GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | 0.78 (0.64-0.96) | 0.81 (0.41-2.37) |
Procedural success | Procedural failure | 0.56 (0.40-0.80) | 0.57 (0.32-0.98) |
Access route (femoral) | Radial | 0.57 (0.44-0.75) | 0.82 (0.31-1.97) |
Multi-vessel disease | Single-vessel disease | 1.69 (1.37-2.08) | 3.52 (1.88-4.81) |
Adjusted for age, sex, previous MI, eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2, EF<35%, Hypertension (systolic BP≥140 mmHg), Hypercholesterolemia (total cholesterol ≥5.0 mmol/L) procedural success, multivessel disease, GP IIb/IIA use, multivessel disease and IABP use.
Legend: MI = myocardial infarction, PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention, GP IIb/IIIa = glycoprotein II/IIa inhibitor, CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting, eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate, NA = Not applicable.
Table 3.
Cox proportional model of univariate and multivariate analysis of predictors of mortality in the >55 group
Variable | Comparator | Univariate | Multivariate* |
---|---|---|---|
Age (per year) | 1.08 (1.07-1.08) | 1.07 (1.06-1.08) | |
Female | Male | 1.38 (1.28-1.47) | 1.20 (1.09-1.41) |
Ethnicity (Asian) | Caucasian | 1.14 (1.05-1.23) | 1.14 (0.95-1.35) |
Cardiogenic Shock | No Cardiogenic Shock | 4.03 (3.70-4.42) | 3.87 (2.69-4.17) |
Diabetes | No diabetes | 1.37 (1.26-1.48) | 1.41 (1.20-1.58) |
Previous MI | No previous MI | 1.45 (1.34-1.57) | 1.25 (0.85-1.53) |
Previous CABG | No Previous CABG | 1.48 (1.32-1.67) | 1.19 (0.73-1.69) |
Previous PCI | No previous PCI | 1.27 (1.16-1.40) | 0.85 (0.67-1.38) |
Hypertension | No hypertension | 1.22 (1.14-1.31) | 0.97 (0.84-1.13) |
Hypercholesterolaemia | No hypercholesterolaemia | 1.05 (0.98-1.12) | 1.08 (0.69-1.26) |
History of smoking | Never smoked | 1.13 (1.05-1.22) | 1.49 (1.25-1.63) |
eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2 | eGFR>60 | 3.55 (3.06-4.13) | 2.65 (1.88-3.91) |
EF<35% | EF>35% | 1.86 (1.63-2.13) | 1.93 (1.67-2.84) |
GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | No GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | 0.72 (0.67-0.77) | 0.62 (0.49-0.86) |
Procedural success | Procedural failure | 0.53 (0.48-0.59) | 0.72 (0.56-0.95) |
Access route (femoral) | Radial | 0.79 (0.72-0.86) | 0.84 (0.72-1.34) |
Multi-vessel disease | Single-vessel disease | 1.53 (1.43-1.64) | 1.48 (1.20-1.77) |
Adjusted for age, sex, previous MI, eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2, EF<35%, Hypertension (systolic BP≥140 mmHg), Hypercholesterolemia (total cholesterol ≥5.0 mmol/L), procedural success, multivessel disease, GP IIb/IIA use, multivessel disease and IABP use.
Legend: MI = myocardial infarction, PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention, GP IIb/IIIa = glycoprotein II/IIa inhibitor, CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting, eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate, NA = Not applicable.
Response, procedural characteristics and outcomes
There was a higher average call-to-balloon time in women compared to men, in both age groups i.e. ≤55 or >55 years, but no statistically significant differences in door-to-balloon times. There were lower rates of radial access, multi-vessel disease, multi-vessel intervention and GPIIb/IIIa use in the women compared to the men (Table 4) and again this was evident irrespective of the age group (Table 4). In addition, overall there were lower rates of left main coronary artery, left anterior descending artery, left circumflex coronary artery and saphenous vein graft intervention in the women compared to the men. However, there were higher rates of right coronary artery disease and intervention in the women compared to men. Segregation of the data according to age demonstrates that these differences are driven primarily by the >55 years group with no differences between those ≤55 years. Finally, procedural success was greater in men than women, although the difference was small (i.e. 0.5%) and an effect evident in both age categories with no differences in mean stent lengths/widths.
Table 4.
Procedural characteristics according to biological sex
Procedural Characteristic | Men | Women | P Value | Men ≤55 | Women ≤55 | P Value | Men >55 | Women >55 | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(n=20701) | (n=6098) | (n=7950) | (n=1095) | (n=12751) | (n=5003) | ||||
Access for PCI | |||||||||
Radial | 5829 (28.2%) | 1446 (23.7%) | <0.0001 | 2791 (35.1%) | 346 (31.6%) | 0.024 | 4085 (32.0%) | 1380 (27.6%) | <0.0001 |
No. of diseased vessels | |||||||||
Multi-vessel | 7351 (35.5%) | 2005 (32.9%) | <0.0001 | 2139 (26.9%) | 225 (20.5%) | <0.0001 | 4948 (38.8%) | 1678 (33.5%) | <0.0001 |
Mean Vessels | 1.24±0.67 | 1.20±0.60 | <0.0001 | 1.13±0.41 | 1.09±0.34 | <0.0001 | 1.16±0.46 | 1.13±0.42 | <0.0001 |
Target vessel | |||||||||
Right coronary artery | 7816 (37.8%) | 2728 (44.7%) | <0.0001 | 2898 (36.5%) | 407 (37.2%) | 0.662 | 4808 (37.7%) | 2297 (45.9%) | <0.0001 |
Left main coronary artery | 563 (2.7%) | 144 (2.4%) | 0.104 | 246 (3.1%) | 34 (3.1%) | 1 | 680 (5.3%) | 196 (3.9%) | <0.0001 |
Left anterior descending | 9796 (47.3%) | 2681 (44.0%) | <0.0001 | 3944 (49.6%) | 542 (49.5%) | 0.948 | 5793 (45.4%) | 2041 (40.8%) | <0.0001 |
Left circumflex coronary | 3678 (17.8%) | 953 (15.6%) | <0.0001 | 1262 (15.9%) | 158 (14.4%) | 0.231 | 2210 (17.3%) | 746 (14.9%) | <0.0001 |
Saphenous vein graft | 445 (2.1%) | 71 (1.2%) | <0.0001 | 59 (0.7%) | 3 (0.3%) | 0.08 | 307 (2.4%) | 52 (1.0%) | <0.0001 |
Multi-vessel intervention | 2855 (13.8%) | 726 (11.9%) | <0.0001 | 895 (11.3%) | 87 (7.9%) | 0.001 | 1749 (13.7%) | 571 (11.4%) | <0.0001 |
Vessel diameter | 4.06±17.50 | 3.93±9.74 | 0.78 | 4.12±10.68 | 4.16±12.87 | 0.218 | 4.07±20.61 | 3.88±9.27 | 0.954 |
Vessel length | 22.09±10.03 | 21.68±10.23 | 0.151 | 22.00±9.27 | 21.62±9.39 | 0.272 | 22.39±10.67 | 21.97±10.55 | 0.683 |
TIMI Pre-angiography | |||||||||
TIMI 3 | 2594 (12.5%) | 780 (12.8%) | 0.722 | 843 (10.6%) | 113 (10.3%) | 0.636 | 1265 (9.9%) | 501 (10.0%) | 0.757 |
TIMI 0 | 10120 (48.9%) | 2988 (49.0%) | 0.716 | 4332 (54.5%) | 618 (56.4%) | 0.683 | 5687 (44.6%) | 2599 (51.9%) | 0.408 |
DES | 8851 (42.8%) | 2502 (41.0%) | 0.011 | 3892 (49.0%) | 535 (48.9%) | 0.291 | 5810 (45.6%) | 2226 (44.5%) | 0.387 |
GP llb/llla inhibitor | 11224 (54.2%) | 2879 (47.2%) | <0.0001 | 4578 (57.6%) | 565 (51.6%) | <0.0001 | 6517 (51.1%) | 2256 (45.1%) | <0.0001 |
Procedural Success | 15007 (72.5%) | 4388 (72.0%) | 0.034 | 6000 (75.5%) | 819 (74.8%) | 0.057 | 9176 (72.0%) | 3546 (70.9%) | 0.999 |
TIMI, thrombolysis in myocardial infarct; DES, Drug-eluting stent; GP: Glycoprotein.
In-hospital outcomes
Unadjusted in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACE) rates were higher in women overall compared to the men (7.5% vs. 5.7%, P<0.0001), and mainly due to death (5.0% vs. 3.3, P<0.0001) and Q wave MI (0.5% vs. 0.2%, P<0.0001). In addition, there were higher rates of bleeding complications in the women compared to the men (1.0% vs. 0.4%, P<0.0001, Table 5). As with the baseline characteristics and procedures these differences in mortality and bleeding rates were driven by increased rates in the >55 group with no evidence of worse outcomes for the ≤55 years (Table 5; Figure 1).
Table 5.
In-hospital outcomes and complications post PCI according to biological sex and < or >55 years of age
In Hospital | Men | Women | P Value | Men ≤55 | Women ≤55 | P Value | Men >55 | Women >55 | P Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(n=20701) | (n=6098) | (n=7950) | (n=1095) | (n=12751) | (n=5003) | ||||
MACE | 1172 (5.7%) | 461 (7.6%) | <0.0001 | 318 (4.0%) | 39 (3.6%) | 0.509 | 982 (7.7%) | 450 (9.0%) | 0.004 |
Death | 675 (3.3%) | 306 (5.0%) | <0.0001 | 122 (1.5%) | 19 (0.9%) | 0.604 | 620 (4.9%) | 305 (6.1%) | 0.001 |
Q wave MI | 41 (0.2%) | 32 (0.5%) | <0.0001 | 17 (0.2%) | 2 (0.2%) | 1 | 23 (0.2%) | 25 (0.5%) | <0.0001 |
Re-intervention | 174 (0.8%) | 49 (0.8%) | 0.745 | 54 (0.7%) | 9 (0.8%) | 0.563 | 109 (0.8%) | 41 (0.8%) | 0.851 |
CVA | 32 (0.2%) | 15 (0.2%) | 0.164 | 7 (0.1%) | 3 (0.2%) | 0.112 | 27 (0.2%) | 12 (0.2%) | 0.723 |
Emergency CABG | 32 (0.2%) | 13 (0.2%) | 0.375 | 13 (0.1%) | 2 (0.2%) | 0.703 | 16 (0.1%) | 11 (0.2%) | 0.196 |
Arterial Complications | 74 (0.4%) | 54 (0.9%) | <0.0001 | 22 (0.3%) | 5 (0.5%) | 0.368 | 40 (0.3%) | 38 (0.8%) | <0.0001 |
Bleeding Complications | 83 (0.4%) | 58 (1.0%) | <0.0001 | 28 (0.4%) | 10 (0.9%) | 0.475 | 46 (0.4%) | 57 (1.1%) | <0.0001 |
Legend: MI = myocardial infarction, PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention, MACE = major adverse cardiac events, CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting.
Figure 1.
Survival rates in patients over the study period: Kaplan Meier curves showing cumulative probability of all-cause mortality after PCI according to group at 5 years, (A) landmark analysis up to 30 days in the whole cohort, (B) from 30 days to 5 years in the whole cohort, (C) landmark analysis up to 30 days in the less than 55 age group, (D) from 30 days to 5 years in the less than 55 age group, (E) landmark analysis up to 30 days in the greater than 55 age group, (F) from 30 days to 5 years in the greater than 55 age group.
Long term outcomes
Patients were followed-up for a median of 4.1 years (IQR range: 2.2-5.8 years). Kaplan-Meier analysis over a five-year period demonstrates a higher mortality rate in the women compared to the men (25.3% in the women vs. 15.6% in the men, P<0.0001) (Figure 2A). In both the ≤55 group (5.0% men vs. 6.8% women, P=0.002) (Figure 2B) and the >55 years group (21.6% men group vs. 28.4% for women, P<0.0001) (Figure 2C) the rate in women was greater than in the men, however the adjusted difference was statistically significant only in the >55 years group.
Figure 2.
Kaplan Meier curves showing cumulative probability of all-cause mortality after PCI according to men versus women (A), men versus women ≤55 (B) and men versus women >55 (C).
Predictors of all-cause mortality
Univariate Cox analysis revealed that female sex was a significant predictor of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.69 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.59-1.82) (Table 6) but this association was lost after multivariate adjustment. Separation according to age indicated that whilst there was no statistically significant effect of sex on mortality rates in the ≤55 years, female sex did predict a worse outcome in the >55 years group (Tables 2 and 3).
Table 6.
Cox proportional model of univariate and multivariate analysis of predictors of mortality in overall cohort of men versus women
Variable | Comparator | Univariate | Multivariate* |
---|---|---|---|
Age (per year) | 1.07 (1.07-1.08) | 1.07 (1.06-1.08) | |
Women | Men | 1.69 (1.59-1.82) | 1.05 (0.90-1.25) |
Ethnicity (Asian) | Caucasian | 1.27 (1.17-1.37) | 1.05 (0.89-1.25) |
Cardiogenic Shock | No Cardiogenic Shock | 4.38 (4.02-4.77) | 3.51 (2.87-4.29) |
Diabetes | No diabetesc | 1.57 (1.45-1.69) | 1.43 (1.20-1.71) |
Previous MI | No previous MI | 1.58 (1.47-1.70) | 1.13 (0.92-1.39) |
Previous CABG | No Previous CABG | 1.87 (1.67-2.09) | 1.17 (0.89-1.54) |
Previous PCI | No previous PCI | 1.39 (1.27-2.51) | 1.03 (0.80-1.32) |
Hypertension | No hypertension | 1.49 (1.40-1.60) | 1.01 (0.86-1.18) |
Hypercholesterolaemia | No hypercholesterolaemia | 1.15 (1.07-1.23) | 1.001 (0.86-1.18) |
History of smoking | Never smoked | 1.31 (1.22-1.40) | 1.30 (1.12-1.51) |
eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2 | eGFR>60 | 4.37 (3.79-5.05) | 2.37 (1.67-3.36) |
EF<35% | EF>35% | 2.11 (1.85-2.39) | 1.84 (1.50-2.24) |
GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | No GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | 0.67 (0.63-0.72) | 0.78 (0.68-0.91) |
Procedural success | Procedural failure | 0.49 (0.44-0.54) | 0.77 (0.62-0.96) |
Access route (femoral) | Radial | 0.74 (0.68-0.81) | 0.95 (0.81-1.11) |
Multi-vessel disease | Single-vessel disease | 1.75 (1.64-1.86) | 1.40 (1.21-1.62) |
Adjusted for age, sex, previous MI, eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2, EF<35%, Hypertension (systolic BP≥140 mmHg), Hypercholesterolemia (total cholesterol ≥5.0 mmol/L), procedural success, multivessel disease, GP IIb/IIA use, multivessel disease and IABP use.
Legend: MI = myocardial infarction, PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention, GP IIb/IIIa = glycoprotein II/IIa inhibitor, CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting, eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate, NA = Not applicable.
After regression adjustment incorporating the propensity score (variables mentioned above) into a proportional hazard model as a covariate, female sex was still not a predictor of all-cause mortality in the overall cohort (HR: 0.98 95% CI: 0.84-1.14), whilst after separation of the sexes according to the age cut-offs sex remained a significant predictor in the >55 year group. After adjustment for covariates there was no statistically significant age by sex interaction (P=0.21) (Table 7) indicating that the sex differences evident between the two groupings were not driven by age.
Table 7.
The effect of age on the sex association by including an age*sex interaction with age centred at the median (62) after adjustment for covariates. After adjustment for covariates there is no significant age by sex interaction (P=0.21)
t | Hazard Ratio | Standard Error | Z | P> [z] | [95% Confidence Interval] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ethnicity | 1.06 | 0.95 | 0.68 | 0.500 | 0.89 | 1.27 |
Cardiogenic Shock | 3.06 | 0.32 | 10.57 | 0.000 | 2.49 | 3.77 |
Diabetes | 1.39 | 0.12 | 3.63 | 0.000 | 1.16 | 1.65 |
Previous CABG | 1.24 | 0.17 | 1.54 | 0.123 | 0.94 | 1.63 |
Previous PCI | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.68 | 0.494 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
Hypertension | 1.01 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.872 | 0.87 | 1.18 |
Hypercholestrolaemia | 1.01 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.886 | 0.87 | 1.18 |
History of Smoking | 1.30 | 0.10 | 3.42 | 0.001 | 1.12 | 1.51 |
EGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2 | 2.45 | 0.43 | 5.10 | 0.000 | 1.74 | 3.46 |
EF<35% | 2.19 | 0.27 | 6.43 | 0.000 | 1.73 | 2.78 |
GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor use | 0.78 | 0.06 | -3.07 | 0.002 | 0.66 | 0.91 |
Procedural success | 0.74 | 0.08 | -2.80 | 0.005 | 0.59 | 0.91 |
Access route (radial) | 0.90 | 0.08 | -1.26 | 0.207 | 0.76 | 1.06 |
Multivessel disease | 1.30 | 0.10 | 3.39 | 0.001 | 1.12 | 1.51 |
Female | 1.16 | 0.13 | 1.28 | 0.200 | 0.92 | 1.46 |
Age 62 | 1.07 | 0.004 | 17.36 | 0.000 | 1.06 | 1.08 |
Sex x Age 62 | 0.99 | 0.01 | -1.24 | 0.214 | 0.98 | 1.01 |
eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2, Hypertension (systolic BP≥140 mmHg), Hypercholesterolemia (total cholesterol ≥5.0 mmol/L).
Spline plot
Figure 3 demonstrates the spline plot of the association between age and log hazard for all-cause mortality. This indicates that there is a non-linear effect (P=0.009) with risk accelerating at older ages. There is significant interaction in the non-linear term between sexes (P=0.011). The plot of the curves reveals that whilst risk is higher in younger women, that risk in men and women becomes similar with respect to the influence of age above 50 years. Whilst women start at higher risk age does not impact upon risk until 55 years of age, whereas the increase with age in men is steeper and more consistent than that seen in the women over life time.
Figure 3.
Spline plot for a non-linearly related risk factor. Association between age and log hazard (of overall all-cause mortality). The cut-points used are the age at procedure (40, 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90). The shaded regions show 95% CIs.
Comparison of ethnicity and socioeconomic status on long-term outcome
Assessment of the impact of ethnicity demonstrated that the differences between men and women were equally present in both the Caucasians (13.2% men vs. 6.8% for women, P<0.0001) (Figure S1A) and Asians (16.7% men vs. 26.4% for women, P<0.0001) (Figure S1B).
Categorisation by quintiles 1 to 5 of socioeconomic status was this further stratified by above and below 55 even if you combine quintiles 1-4 demonstrated that whilst there were higher mortality rates in the women compared to the men in quintiles 1 to 4, there was no difference between the two groups in quintile 5 (i.e. the most affluent) (16.4% men vs. 27.5% for women, P=0.192, Figure S2). This data was not further split by age due to the low numbers within each quintile.
Discussion
This analysis of the ethnically and socioeconomically diverse large Pan-London dataset has demonstrated that women, in London, have a worse outcome post-PCI in a true STEMI cohort (~50% more in-hospital and ~40% more death in 4 year follow-up) compared to men, irrespective of race. This observation is in keeping with other cohorts [26-30]. However, in our sub-group analysis where patients were divided into before and after the average menopausal age we found that, following adjustment for co-variables, only women in the >55 age group had a significantly greater likelihood of poorer outcome. No significant difference in rates were found between women and men <55 years of age; and importantly in the whole cohort when accounting for co-variables the influence of sex was lost. In contrast to men, increasing age did not influence risk in younger women, however at the approximate time of menopause, age did influence outcome for women. We suggest that these results, in a true STEMI cohort, intimate that whilst female sex itself predisposes to a worse outcome than men that this phenomenon is worse in older women where the benefits of female sex hormones no longer apply.
Once age-matched the evidence, to date, suggests that women suffering a STEMI not only have a worse prognosis with in-hospital mortality rates overall being higher [31,32], but also have a greater risk of events following optimal therapy post-PCI [9]. Most importantly, and perhaps more worryingly, in sizeable cohorts the evidence suggests that this is particularly true for younger patients and less relevant for older women [8,33-35]. A number of reasons have been cited as possible causes for this including: risk factors [36] and differences in clinical presentation resulting in delays in treatment [37]. Although mortality after primary PCI is decreasing, the 30-day mortality in women is still high (i.e. 13.7% in 1995 compared to 4.4% in 2010 in the US); our data with 5% in-hospital mortality in women and 3.3% in men and higher cardiogenic shock concurs with this, although it is substantially less than in recent European cohorts (7.1%) [35]. However, where our data differ is that this difference is driven by women in the post-menopausal years, whilst this cannot be said for younger women.
It is unlikely that the above increased mortality in women >55 years compared to men is due to differences in the care pathway. Women in the Pan-London cohort, as in many other cohorts, are more likely to breach the recommended time of reperfusion (call-to-balloon times) compared to men [34], whether they were younger or older women. In addition, there were no statistically significant differences in the door-to-balloon times within either age group between the sexes. The “Variation in Recovery: Role of Gender on Outcomes of Young AMI Patients2” (VIRGO) study found sex differences in 1,238 young patients (<55 years of age) presenting with STEMI, who were eligible for reperfusion therapy between 2008-2012 in the USA [34], observations replicated in another large US database of 632,930 patients who were less than 60 years of age presenting with STEMI between 2004 and 2011 [38]. However, in these studies it was shown that women were much less likely to undergo coronary angiography, and hence receive revascularisation therapy, compared to men, and that those women who underwent revascularisation suffered from significant delays in both door-to-needle time for fibrinolytic therapy and door-to-balloon time for treatment with PCI [34]. Factors are not the case in the Pan-London Cohort.
There are many possible explanations for the longer call-to-balloon times. These include bias in the response to emergency calls, the possibility that women underestimate their symptoms and denial, but also that there are acknowledged differences in presentation between the sexes. Atypical symptoms are more common in women experiencing MI [39,40], and although retrosternal chest pain is found in approximately 70% of patients of both sexes, women have higher rates of other symptoms such as shortness of breath, nausea, back pain or palpitations which can lead to a delay in the diagnosis of MI. Additionally, for women <55 years at least, their sex appears to be an independent predictor of not diagnosing an AMI or unstable angina [41]. Improved awareness of the underestimation of symptoms by both caller [42] and those receiving the call may offer opportunities to improve this. Investigating the underlying cause for the differences in call-to-balloon times between the two sexes is an important finding that warrants further investigation.
Risk factor profile in women
It has been suggested that women have more co-morbidities as well as risk factors compared to their male counterparts, despite CHD appearing 5-10 years later than men. After the age of 50, women have higher cholesterol and triglyceride levels and therefore higher risk of CAD [43-46]. Women are also more likely to suffer from hypertension and diabetes [33,47-50], and some evidence suggests that women with diabetes have a higher event rate post-PCI [51]. Indeed, there was a higher incidence of diabetes in women in the >55 group but not the <55, and diabetes remains an independent predictor of outcome post-PCI in the older group with multivariate analysis. Importantly, our analysis shows no significant interaction between age and sex supporting the view that sex and not age in older women underlies the negative influence over outcome.
Although the rates of smoking are lower in women compared to men, in London, in both age groups the trends of smoking rates are alarmingly high (~41 versus 55% respectively), and smoking remained a predictor of risk with multivariate analysis for both sexes. In the FAST-MI study, whilst 40% of the cohort were smokers in 1995 by 2010 the percentage had risen to more than 70% [52]; similar rates to those identified in the VIRGO [34] study. Furthermore, there is evidence indicating that the harmful effects of tobacco are greater in women; smoking associated with a 1.57 increase in risk of MI in women compared to men, a risk that was even higher in women <55 years [53]. Stratification of the Pan-London cohort by age demonstrated herein, that whilst smoking did not influence outcome in younger men or women that the negative effect of smoking upon outcome post-PCI was driven by the >55 s group. This link between smoking and age confirms recent observations in a single Centre South Yorkshire (UK) study [54].
Socioeconomic status and outcome
Two of the domains contributing to the English IMD score are ‘income’ and ‘education, skills and training’ deprivation. These variables have a potentially important influence on behaviour related to outcome in patients with vascular disease. Change leading to risk factor modification, uptake of cardiac rehabilitation, and compliance with medications are likely to be affected by these variables which may affect cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality [55-57]. However, within our study, we found that women had a worse outcome post-PCI compared to men regardless of socioeconomic status. It was only in Quintile 5, the least deprived in our society, where there was no difference between the sexes, although the numbers of individuals in this category were very small and so substantially underpowered for statistical analysis. Our observations are in keeping with a recent large systematic review and meta-analysis investigating more generally whether sex differences exist in the association of socioeconomic status and cardiovascular disease. In a study of over 22 million adults (35% women), with 1,078,459 events identified (701,617 had CHD), lower socioeconomic status was associated with increased risk of CHD in women and men. In this study women with the lowest level of education had a 24% higher excess risk of CHD compared with men (age-adjusted ratio of the RR [RRR], 1.24 [1.09-1.41]) [58]. Whether this observation also holds true for those experiencing a second event was not assessed. In agreement with our observations others have shown that older women in lower socioeconomic status have worse outcomes compared to men [59]. However, with regards to ethnicity, previous studies demonstrate no differences in MACE or mortality in women, or in South Asian patients following primary PCI despite adjustment in univariable or multivariable analyses [60,61].
Differences in the treatment pathway and pathophysiology
Differences in the atherosclerotic process between the sexes have been observed. This fact is in part reflected by the observation that non-obstructive coronary disease is more common in women compared to men [62-64]. Studies have also found differences in the composition of atheromatous plaques according to sex and age [65]. These studies show greater calcium, plaque volume and fibroatheromas with age but that in women <65 these indices are more marked compared to men, with a loss of these apparent differences in the over 65 s. In agreement with these findings, is the Optical Coherence Tomography Assessment of Gender Diversity in Primary Angioplasty (OCTAVIA) study, where both men and women (with a mean age of 67.8±10.4 years and thus post-menopausal) presenting with a STEMI, had plaque rupture that was associated with the usual risk factors [66]. In addition, in a sub-study of the PROSPECT trial those women with thin cap fibroatheroma (TCFA) had greater plaque vulnerability with a predilection for rupture compared to men [65,67], suggesting fundamental differences in the pathophysiology of plaque formation between the sexes. In addition, evidence suggests more plaque erosions and more vulnerable plaque in post-menopausal women versus pre-menopausal women [68]. Whether these differences underlie the differences evident post-PCI in the >55 cohort in the present study is unknown.
Much evidence supports the view that female sex hormones, particularly oestrogen, are protective [69,70]. Our analysis whilst possibly supporting this view, does not provide definitive proof due to the absence of any measurements of menopausal status, hormonal levels or hormone therapy use. However, our data inevitably raises the question of whether restoring sex hormone levels with replacement therapy in post-menopausal women could procure benefits both from a clinical as well as a health economic point of view. In the UK the negative backlash from the outcome of the Women’s Health Initiative study [71] is still being felt despite efforts by NICE and the NHS supporting the use of hormone replacement therapy for the treatment of menopausal symptoms. The routine assessment of hormonal levels in patients and the collection of this data could help to provide valuable information that would add to the discussion assessing the potential of therapeutics based upon oestrogen for secondary prevention post-PCI and enable analysis comparing the outcomes of women on hormone replacement therapy with men.
Further analysis using spline terms suggested that there is a non-linear effect, with risk accelerating at older ages. Furthermore, the data revealed that although the risk is higher in younger women, that this risk does not increase with age up until approximately 51 years [72]. This profile is very different to that in men where the risk in men increases in a linear fashion with age. These results suggest that at least prior to the menopausal years women are protected from the negative effects of ageing. The causes of this difference are uncertain but likely relate to the positive effects of female sex hormones against the effects of those lifestyle stimuli (e.g. unhealthy diet, lack of exercise, exposure to environmental pollutants) thought to precipitate damage to the coronary endothelium through triggering of the synthesis of for example excessive reactive oxygen species and pro-hypertrophic mediators [73,74].
Strengths and limitations of this study
A key strength of this study is that it includes patients from 8 different centres in a large metropolitan city with a diverse ethnic and social make up. Perhaps the key limitation of our study design is that it is observational, and as such the results may be biased if the two groups are different in ways other than their sex. Although we adjusted for certain characteristics using extensive multivariable models, residual confounding due to selection and adherence biases may still be present.
The study also includes patients with cardiogenic shock, previous bypass surgery, and other co-morbidities and is thus representative of the broad range of patients encountered in day-to-day clinical practice. Whilst inclusion of such patients may result in bias, the baseline characteristics were similar and any differences were adjusted for in the multivariate analyses. To further account for confounding variables and bias, propensity analyses was performed. Mortality tracking in England is particularly robust and based on official UK Office of National Statistics data and hence our mortality end point is reliable.
Whilst the multivariate analyses highlight the quality of the data this study has all the limitations of a registry and all the potential bias and unmeasured confounding associated with non-randomised studies.
The absence of any quantifiable measures of menopause and hormonal status limit our ability to identify the role of sex hormones in any effects seen. This point is of particular importance since our results suggest a difference in outcome for those women who should have reduced levels of sex hormones precipitated by the menopause. Introduction of measurements of hormonal status in patients presenting with STEMI, as a standard of care, would allow assessment of the potential link between endogenous sex hormone levels and outcome. But perhaps more importantly this information could support clinical decision-making and advice to patients post-PCI regarding the additional risks that may come with reduction of female sex hormones precipitated by the menopause.
An important limitation that should also be considered is that this database provides incomplete data on procedure medications, discharge medications as well as data regarding optimal medical therapy. This information would have been of value in assessing further risk for future cardiac events and thus we cannot rule out the possibility that differences here may also have impacted upon outcome.
It is also important to note that the rates of emergency CABG and CVA in our cohort are lower than other studies investigating sex differences in patients post-PCI with STEMI [75,76] and possibly due to London being far more metropolitan compared to other cities and other Western Populations. We feel that this aspect of this cohort adds greater interest since it describes a group of broader diversity in ethnicity and social status reflecting modern large urbanised and cosmopolitan cities. However, there have been studies demonstrating similar rates of CABG and CVA to ours from large metropolitan cities [77].
Finally, despite the size of the overall cohort of just over 20,000, only 6098 were women with only 1095 aged under 55 and only 78 events overall in this age group. Thus, it is possible that our observations in this group relate to a type II error caused by insufficient power. We suggest that further studies assessing sex differences in larger cohorts will be important to corroborate our observations.
Conclusion
Although there are a number of differences between women and men in terms of risk factors, symptomology as well as treatment care pathway in STEMI, there must be other factors resulting in the poor outcome seen in women post-PCI. We take this view since our analysis found worse prognosis in women >55 years even after adjusting for confounding variables. This suggests that characteristics of pre-menopausal women may protect against worse outcome following PCI. An attractive mechanism for this protection relates to beneficial effects of the female sex hormones, particularly oestrogen. We suggest that hormone levels measured as a standard of care and assessment of use of hormone replacement therapy becomes standard practice for all patients presenting with AMI. Without this information to inform large database collections, or large multi-centre trials assessing why the risk in women increases substantially post-menopause, women will continue to be inadequately-served by modern health systems.
Our data do not concur with the large studies assessing similar outcomes in the USA, suggesting that regional differences apply. Interestingly, race or socioeconomic status is not the driver of the regional differences indicating that the cosmopolitan nature of London may have undescribed benefits. Our evidence indicates that continued vigilance in equity of treatment is required but that better targeted approaches in secondary prevention, as well as for primary prevention post STEMI and PCI, are needed for women. Identification of what these targeted approaches might be remain uncertain but can only be developed following a better understanding of the pathophysiology underlying these inequalities.
Disclosure of conflict of interest
None.
Supporting Information
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