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. 2021 Dec 16;16(12):e0261300. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261300

Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Minlu Li 1,2,#, Yuan Li 1,#, Qingtong Meng 1,¤, Yinyin Li 1, Xiaomeng Tian 3, Ruixia Liu 1, Jinbo Fang 1,*
Editor: Satya Surbhi4
PMCID: PMC8675680  PMID: 34914810

Abstract

Background

Heart failure (HF) imposes a substantial burden on patients and healthcare systems. Hospital-to-home transitional care, involving time-limited interventions delivered predominantly by nurses, was introduced to lighten this burden. This study aimed to examine the effectiveness and dose-response of nurse-led transitional care interventions (TCIs) on healthcare utilization among patients with HF.

Methods

Health-related databases were systematically searched for articles published from January 2000 to June 2020. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared nurse-led TCIs with usual care for adults hospitalized with HF and reported the following healthcare utilization outcomes: all-cause readmissions, HF-specific readmissions, emergency department visits, or length of hospital stay. Random-effects meta-analysis, meta-regression analysis, and dose-response analysis were performed to estimate the treatment effects and explain the heterogeneity.

Results

Twenty-five RCTs including 8422 patients with HF were included. Nurse-led TCIs for patients with HF resulted in a mean 9% (RR = 0.91; 95% CI = 0.82 to 0.99; p = 0.04; I2 = 46%) and 29% (RR = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.84; p < 0.0001; I2 = 0%) reduction in all-cause and HF-specific readmission risks respectively compared to usual care. The interventions were also effective in shortening the length of hospital stay (MD = -2.37; 95% CI = -3.16 to -1.58; p < 0.0001; I2 = 14%). However, no significant reduction was found for emergency department visits (RR = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.84 to 1.10; p = 0.58; I2 = 0%). The effect of meta-regression coefficients on all-cause and HF-specific readmissions was not statistically significant for any prespecified trial-level characteristic. Dose-response analysis revealed that the HF-specific readmission risk decreased in a dose-dependent manner with the complexity and intensity of nurse-led TCIs.

Conclusions

Nurse-led TCIs were effective in decreasing all-cause and HF-specific readmission risks, as well as in reducing the length of hospital stay; however, the interventions were not effective in reducing the frequency of emergency department visits.

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is a common clinical syndrome that imposes a substantial economic burden on global healthcare systems [1], of which approximately 80% is attributable to the high hospitalization and readmission rates [2]. It is well established that this patient population is extremely vulnerable in the immediate post-discharge period, with a 30-day readmission rate of 25% [3,4]. Approximately 40% of these early readmissions have been found to be preventable and relevant to suboptimal transitional care due to the short of care coordination and continuity for patients in transition between healthcare settings or providers [5,6]. Transitional care interventions (TCIs), defined as a broad range of time-limited actions offered to ensure health care continuity, have been implemented to interrupt the pattern of frequent use of healthcare services [1,5,6]. Although no consensus exists on the type of TCIs provided, classification of the various interventions employed for the transition of care, or length of the transitional care period, these interventions are generally aimed at improving patient outcomes through preplanned, preventive, and supportive care or close patient monitoring [79].

Nurses are well versed in disease management and self-management support, as well as in promoting self-care for people with chronic illness [10]. Classical models of care transitions have been established such as the Transitional Care Model [11], the Care Transitions Intervention Model [12], and the Guided Care Model [13]. All of those rely on nurses—especially those prepared for advanced practice—to assume pivotal roles in transitional care service delivery [14]. Numerous nurse-led TCIs have been thereafter implemented with the expectation of promoting healthy behavior and reducing healthcare utilization.

Previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses have indicated TCIs as an effective intervention strategy for improving health outcomes in patients with HF [8,1518]. However, transitional care is often confused with the broader concept of chronic disease management in the literature, because studies have concentrated on the intervention effects without considering the time-limited nature of TCIs and the vulnerable period of hospital-to-home transition [8,15,16]. In addition, at the time of writing, no systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) exploring the healthcare utilization impact of nurse-led TCIs among patients with HF was available. Hence, we undertook the current systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs comparing nurse-led TCIs with usual care to examine the intervention effects for patients with HF on healthcare utilization outcomes. In particular, we synthesized the most up-to-date evidence with the objective of assessing the effects on all-cause and HF-specific readmissions, emergency department (ED) visits, and length of hospital stay (LOS), and identifying potential trial-level characteristics that affect the overall effectiveness.

Furthermore, previous research has suggested that complex (i.e., combination of multiple intervention components) and high-intensity (i.e., frequent contacts of significant duration) interventions tended to attain better outcomes than those with medium- or low-intensity [15,17]. We thus hypothesized a dose-response relationship between the intensity and complexity of interventions and program efficacy, and utilized the dose-response meta-regression method to examine the hypothesis.

Methods

The protocol of this systematic review was prospectively registered with the PROSPERO database (CRD42020202602). The study was reported in compliance with the PRISMA guidelines [19].

Search strategy

A structured literature search was conducted using the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, and CINAHL databases with no restrictions on language or publication status to identify all relevant articles published from 1 January 2000 to 31 June 2020. The bibliographies of all relevant articles were manually searched for additional eligible publications. A comprehensive search strategy using a combination of MeSH terms and free text words such as “heart failure,” “hospital discharge,” “patient follow-up,” “coordinated care,” “nurse-led,” and “various types of TCIs” was developed with the assistance of an experienced medical librarian. The complete search strategies for all databases can be found in the S1 File.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

RCTs were included if they met the following criteria: a) recruited patients aged 18 years or over with a primary diagnosis of HF who were discharged from hospital to home; b) compared nurse-led TCIs that were initiated during or within 1 week of the index HF hospitalization with usual care; and c) reported at least one of the following healthcare utilization outcomes within a 6-month period from discharge: all-cause readmissions, HF-specific readmissions, ED visits, and hospital LOS. The 6-month timeline for outcome assessment was set out of consideration for the time-limited nature of TCIs and that outcomes far away from the index hospitalization probably reflect the natural history of HF or an unrelated illness [15].

We excluded studies that recruited patients with general cardiac disorders rather than HF specifically and those that focused on medical practices with nurses only assisting in parts of the interventions (i.e., nurses did not play the central role or had autonomous decision-making and authority in the team).

Study selection and risk of bias assessment

First, the lead investigator excluded all duplicate articles. Thereafter, two independent investigators screened the titles and abstracts of the remaining articles for eligibility. Finally, full-text articles that potentially met our inclusion criteria were retrieved and scrutinized. The internal validity (risk of bias) of the included studies was evaluate independently by the same two investigators using the latest version of the Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized trials (RoB 2) [20]. This tool consists of five bias domains addressing bias due to the randomization process, deviations from intended interventions, missing outcome data, measurement of the outcome, and selection of reported results. Trials were categorized as low risk of bias, some concerns, or high risk of bias within each domain and assigned an overall risk of bias judgment. Any disagreements regarding the study selection or risk of bias assessment were resolved by discussion or adjudication by the lead investigator.

Data extraction

Two investigators extracted data independently from each included RCT using a standardized data extraction form, which was similar to that developed in our previous review [7]. Data on the following items were extracted: study identifier, design, and setting; participant characteristics; description of interventions and comparators; assessment tool(s); quantitative outcomes; and items pertaining to the methodological soundness of the studies. Differences in data extraction were resolved by discussion and consensus.

Data synthesis

All statistical analyses were performed using RevMan 5.4 (The Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK) and STATA 15.1 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX, USA). The pooled risk ratio (RR) and mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were reported as the effect size metrics. Statistically significant RRs were translated into numbers-needed-to-treat (NNT) to gauge their clinical relevance. Had cluster trials been included, we would adjust for clustering where the necessary data was provided, or else sensitivity analyses would ensue. The random-effects model was selected a priori because of the anticipated complexity and multicomponent nature of nurse-led TCIs. Meta-analyses were performed on an intention-to-treat basis where appropriate. Heterogeneity between studies was explored by visual inspection of forest plots and evaluation of the I2 statistics. I2 values of 75%, 50%, 25%, and 0% were considered high, moderate, low, and no heterogeneity, respectively [21]. To assess the robustness of the overall effect estimates, we carried out sensitivity analysis by excluding one study at a time during repeated analyses. Furthermore, publication bias was evaluated by visually inspecting funnel plots along with Harbord’s modified tests when ten or more trials were pooled. If publication bias was suspected, the trim-and-fill procedure was conducted to estimate the influence of potentially missing studies on summary effect estimates [22].

In addition, we conducted meta-regression analysis to explore whether any trial-level covariate could explain the between-study heterogeneity, considering certain trial characteristics (such as study region, year of publication, and study quality), participant characteristics (such as age, six, left ventricular ejection fraction, and New York Heart Association functional classification), and intervention characteristics (such as communication method, intervention environment, involvement of caregiver, place of intervention initiated, and intervention length). We also employed dose-response analysis with the one-stage robust error meta-regression (REMR) approach [23] to explore the relationship of complexity and intensity of the interventions (“program dose”) with treatment effects. The complexity hereby referred to the number of intervention components prescribed, and intensity referred to the frequency and duration of care contacts. The validated Heart Failure Disease Management Scoring Instrument (HF-DMSI) developed by Riegel et al. [24] was adapted to quantify the overall “program dose” of nurse-led TCIs provided in different studies. The summary score of the instrument ranges from 5 to 35 (S2 File), where higher scores indicate a more intensive and complex intervention program, that is, more healthcare contacts and intervention components were involved in the program [24].

Quality of evidence

We applied the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) guidelines [25] to assess the strength of evidence for each outcome. GRADEpro GDT software was used to generate a “Summary of findings” table [26]. We determined whether to downgrade the quality level of evidence in compliance with the GRADE’s criteria based on risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision, and publication bias. As such, the certainty of the evidence for each outcome was deemed to be high, moderate, low, or very low.

Results

Search results and characteristics of included studies

The results of the initial literature search and study selection are outlined in the PRISMA flow diagram (Fig 1). Of the 3157 articles identified, full texts of 136 articles were retrieved and evaluated for potential inclusion, of which 25 trials meeting the criteria were ultimately included and analyzed. Particularly, we included 22 individually randomized RCTs and 3 cluster RCTs, involving a total of 8422 participants from 12 countries (Table 1). Except for 3 studies conducted in low- and middle-income countries, all studies were conducted in high-income countries, with almost half of them were in the US [11,2737]. The mean age of the study population ranged from 61.9 [29] to 77.5 years [38], and 39.6%~72.6% [39,40] of the participants were men. Nineteen trials measured the mean or median left ventricular ejection fraction, of which 10 reported a mean value of less than 40%; and 14 trials indicated HF severity based on the New York Heart Association classification.

Fig 1. Flowchart illustrating the search strategy (limit time 2000–2020).

Fig 1

From: Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, The PRISMA Group (2009). Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: The PRISMA Statement. PLOS Med 6(7): e1000097. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed1000097.

Table 1. Summary characteristics of participants and interventions.

Author/Year/Country Trial characteristics Characteristics of participants Characteristics of interventions Adapted HF-DMSI
Region* Risk of bias Age (years) Male (%) LVEF (%) NYHA III-IV (%) Intervention category Communication§ Environment Caregiver Place initiate Duration of intervention
(months)
Aldamiz-Echevarría 2007 Spain HIC Some concern 75.8 39.6 ≥40 NR Home visiting program F-to-F Home-based Yes Community 0.5 20
Angermann 2012 Germany HIC Low 67.7 71 <40 40 Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based Yes Hospital 6 26
Barth 2001 USA HIC High 75.2 47.1 NR NR Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based No Community 2 16
De Souza 2014 Brazil LMIC High 62 62.7 <40 55.9 Home visiting program Combined Combination of settings Yes Community 6 26
Domingues 2011 Brazil LMIC High 63 57.7 <40 NR Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based Yes Community 3 19
Ducharme 2005 Canada HIC Some concern 69 72 <40 90.4 Multidisciplinary care model Combined Combination of settings Yes Community 6 28
Dunagan 2005 USA HIC Some concern 70.5 43.7 <40 80.1 Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based No Community 6 17
Kasper 2002 USA HIC Some concern 61.9 60.5 <40 58.5 Clinic-based intervention Combined Combination of settings No Community 6 26
Kwok 2008 Hong Kong, China HIC Low 78 45 ≥40 NR Home visiting program F-to-F Inpatient and home-based No Hospital 6 21
Laramee 2003 USA HIC Some concern 70.7 54 <40 38 Case management Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 3 29
Linné 2006 Sweden HIC Some concern 70.5 70.4 NR NR Primarily educational intervention N/A N/A (inpatient) No Hospital 0.5 13
McDonald 2002 Ireland HIC High 70.8 66.3 <40 NR Multidisciplinary care model Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 3 27
Naylor 2004 USA HIC Low 76 42.7 <40 NR Case management Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 6 31
Negarandeh 2019 Iran LMIC Some concern NR 60.3 NR NR Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based No Hospital 2 16
Nucifora 2006 Italy HIC High 73 62 ≥40 64 Case management Combined Combination of settings No Hospital 6 25
Ong 2016 USA HIC Low 73.5 53.8 ≥40 61.2 Case management Mechanized and F-to-F Telephone or internet-based No Hospital 6 20
Pugh 2001 USA HIC High 77 NR NR 52.7 Case management Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 6 27
Riegel 2002 USA HIC Some concern 73.9 48.9 ≥40 96.8 Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based Yes Community 6 20
Riegel 2006 USA HIC Some concern 72.1 46.3 ≥40 81.4 Structured telephone support P-to-P Telephone or internet-based Yes Community 6 20
Ritchie 2016 USA HIC Low 63.3 51.4 ≥40 NR Case management Combined Inpatient and telephone-based Yes Hospital 2 24
Schwarz 2008 USA HIC High 78 48 NR 79.4 Telemonitoring Mechanized Telephone or internet-based Yes Community 3 22
Sethares 2004 USA HIC High 76.3 47.1 ≥40 N/A Home visiting program Combined Inpatient and home-based No Hospital 1 19
Stromberg 2003 Sweden HIC Some concern 77.5 61.3 NR 82.1 Clinic-based intervention F-to-F Clinic/outpatient setting Yes Community 1 22
Thompson 2005 UK HIC Some concern 72.5 72.6 <40 74.5 Clinic-based intervention Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 6 27
Van Spall 2019 Canada HIC Some concern 71.7 49.6 NR NR Case management Combined Combination of settings Yes Hospital 3 27

* Region: HIC, High-Income Country; LMIC, Low and Lower Middle-Income Country.

LVEF, Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction.

NYHA, New York Heart Association functional classification.

§ Communication: P-to-P, Person-to-Person by telephone; F-to-F, Face to Face contact individually or in a group; Mechanized, Mechanized via Internet or telephone; Combined, Combination of different communications.

The adapted HF-DMSI score was used to evaluate the overall program dose (the complexity and intensity) of the interventions.

The characteristics of the included studies are summarized in Table 1 (for further details, see S3 File). Multiple intervention categories were used in the included RCTs to develop transitional care strategies, of which structured telephone support [27,28,33,34,4143] and case management [11,3032,35,44,45] were the most widely used, and all intervention contents emphasized nurse-led close monitoring, education, counseling, and extended follow-up to ensure hospital-to-home healthcare continuity. Although there were some overlaps across studies in terms of interventions programs, active interventions varied considering the intervention categories, recipient points, intervention contents, delivery personnel, communication methods, duration, complexity and intervention environments (S3 File). The length of interventions ranged from 0.5 [39,46] to 6 months [11,28,29,3134,40,41,44,4749]. The overall “program dose” varied from 13 [46] to 31 [11] across different studies. In addition, most studies only briefly described usual care, which generally consisted of basic discharge education and routine follow-up with the primary care physician or cardiologist, as required.

Risk of bias

The risk of bias of included trials was assessed using the RoB 2. Regarding the overall risk of bias, all RCTs, except five, had high risk of bias or had some concerns. We constructed “traffic-light” plots (Figs 25) using the online robvis tool to visualize the risk of bias assessments and judgment distribution within each domain for the included RCTs [20]. The main weakness of the included RCTs was related to random progress and allocation concealment. It was impossible to blind participants and interventionists owing to the nature of the interventions.

Fig 2. Forest plot showing the effect of nurse-led TCIs on all-cause readmissions and risk of bias assessment for each study.

Fig 2

Fig 5. Forest plot showing the effect of nurse-led TCIs on the length of hospital stay and risk of bias assessment for each study.

Fig 5

Effects of nurse-led TCIs in patients with HF

All-cause readmissions

Nineteen studies reported the outcome of all-cause readmissions (Fig 2). The combined data showed a significant reduction in readmission risk among patients who received nurse-led TCIs compared with that among those who only received usual care (RR = 0.91; 95% CI = 0.82 to 0.99; p = 0.04). Heterogeneity across studies was moderate (I2 = 46%). The NNT was 27, meaning 27 patients had to receive interventions to prevent one patient from hospital readmission. Sensitivity analysis findings were similar to the main findings upon exclusion of each of the included studies from the analysis (S4 File); hence, the findings of this meta-analysis were robust.

HF-specific readmissions

Data from 10 RCTs were pooled to assess the effect of nurse-led TCIs on HF-specific readmissions (Fig 3). The meta-analysis revealed that nurse-led TCIs resulted in a 29% reduction in the HF-specific readmission risks (RR = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.84; p < 0.0001), with no evidence of between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 0%). The NNT to prevent one patient from hospital readmission was estimated to be 15. The results were robust with no substantial changes in sensitivity analyses (S4 File).

Fig 3. Forest plot showing the effect of nurse-led TCIs on HF-specific readmissions and risk of bias assessment for each study.

Fig 3

Emergency department visits

Five RCTs reported ED visit data (Fig 4). The pooled analysis failed to detect statistically significant differences between nurse-led TCIs and usual care (RR = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.84 to 1.10; p = 0.58), with no heterogeneity across the studies (I2 = 0%). Sensitivity analysis by excluding each study at a time yielded similar non-significant results for ED visits (S4 File).

Fig 4. Forest plot showing the effect of nurse-led TCIs on emergency department visits and risk of bias assessment for each study.

Fig 4

Length of hospital stay

Five RCTs reported the effects of nurse-led TCIs on the LOS for subsequent hospitalizations (Fig 5). The combined evidence showed that nurse-led TCIs led to a significant reduction in the LOS (MD = -2.37; 95% CI = -3.16 to -1.58; p < 0.0001) and the heterogeneity across studies was low (I2 = 14%). Sensitivity analysis did not substantially change the summary estimates (S4 File).

Meta-regression and dose-response meta-analysis

Univariate meta-regression analyses assessing whether the treatment effects on all-cause and HF-specific readmissions were modified by trial characteristics, participant characteristics, as well as intervention characteristics revealed that all the prespecified parameters had little to no effect on the outcomes assessed (S5 File). Therefore, these trial-level covariates did not explain the between-study heterogeneity. The dose-response meta-analysis showed an inverse linear association between the scores of the adapted HF-DMSI and HF readmissions (p linearity < 0.001; Fig 6B). The overall RR trend was 0.987 (95% CI = 0.981 to 0.993). A 1.3% decrease in HF readmission risk correlated with one score increment in the “program dose” prescribed. No significant evidence of a linear dose-response relationship between “program dose” and all-cause readmissions (p linearity = 0.227; Fig 6A) as well as nonlinear relationships for this outcome were found (p nonlinearity = 0.905).

Fig 6.

Fig 6

Dose-response relationship of the adapted HF-DMSI score with (a) all-cause readmissions and (b) HF-specific readmissions.

Publication bias

The shape of the funnel plots (S6 File) did not show any evidence of asymmetry; therefore, few small-study effects across included RCTs for both all-cause and HF-specific readmissions were noted. This was further supported by non-significant p-values of Harbord’s tests (all-cause readmissions: p = 0.08 and HF-specific readmissions: p = 0.06), suggesting that publication bias was unlikely to affect the results. No evidence of missing studies was found using the trim-and-fill method, which was indicated by unchanged results. Publication bias was not examined for ED visits and the LOS because limited number of studies (<10) were included in each analysis.

Quality of evidence

The overall quality of evidence ranged from low to moderate based on the GRADE framework (S7 File). The certainty of the evidence for all-cause readmission was low because it was downgraded by two level due to the high risk of bias and inconsistency. For HF-specific readmissions, the certainty of evidence was moderate because it was downgraded by two levels due to very serious risk of bias and upgraded by one level due to the presence of a clear dose-response gradient. The certainty of evidence for both ED visits and the LOS was low because of the high risk of bias and imprecision.

Discussion

In this review, we considered the time-limited nature of transitional care led by nurses and focused on the vulnerable period of hospital-to-home transition. As far as we know, this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the impact of nurse-led TCIs on healthcare utilization outcomes in patients with HF, using meta-regression and dose-response analyses. Pooled evidence from relevant RCTs suggested a mean 9% and 29% risk reduction for all-cause (low level of certainty) and HF-specific readmissions (moderate level of certainty), respectively, among patients with HF who received nurse-led TCIs compared with that among those who only received usual care. In addition, although nurse-led TCIs have been proven to be effective in shortening the hospital LOS (low level of certainty), they have not been found to be significantly effective in decreasing ED visits (low level of certainty).

The positive results in our study are in line with the results of a previous systematic review of studies of patients with HF discharged from hospital to home receiving transitional care services [17]. However, unlike prior review studies that generally concluded insufficient data to examine the effectiveness of TCIs on ED visits [16,17], our study provided robust and consistent evidence that led to the conclusion that nurse-led TCIs do not contribute to the reduction of ED visits in patients with HF. One possible explanation for the difference in the findings was that some components of nurse-led TCIs assist in detecting early symptomatic deterioration and help patients who require immediate attention promptly and successfully seek emergency medical advice [50]. Moreover, concerns exist regarding financial penalties set forth by the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program for higher-than-average readmission rates that would incentivize hospitals to “game” the system by shifting inpatient-type care to EDs [51]. Nurse-led TCIs that do not improve ED visit rates can pressurize policymakers, making them cautious regarding the program funding emergency treatment or primary care [45].

We used univariate meta-regression analysis to identify effect modifiers that could potentially influence the size of the intervention effects; however, the prespecified trial characteristics, participant characteristics, as well as intervention characteristics included in our meta-regression analysis failed to modify the overall intervention effects of all-cause and HF-specific readmissions. Moreover, the association between the overall “program dose” of the nurse-led TCIs prescribed for patients with HF and risk of HF-specific readmissions appeared to follow an inverse, linear dose-response pattern, with a risk reduction of 1.3% per score increment of the intervention complexity and intensity as assessed by the adapted HF-DMSI. The result indicated that more complex and intensive nurse-led transitional care programs may lead to greater benefits in reducing HF-specific readmissions. This suggest that the complexity and intensity of intervention is likely to be an important driver of patient outcomes. This is a novel finding with important implications for improving the effectiveness of future nurse-led transitional care programs designed for patients with HF, especially when transitional care services are advocated as the standard of care for post-discharge management [52].

Limitations and strengths

This study has a few limitations which should be mentioned. First, the bulk of the included studies were conducted in high-income countries, with almost half of them conducted in the US, and consequently, the data are insufficient to determine the extent to which these nurse-led TCIs can be applicable in low- and middle-income countries with different healthcare systems and cultures. Second, the overall risk-of-bias of the included studies was mainly judged as “high risk of bias” or “some concerns,” hence, the findings should be interpreted cautiously. Third, significant amount of inconsistency in the description of usual care and interventions existed, which undoubtedly added to clinical heterogeneity and deterred from precisely capturing the overall program dose. Last, no subgroup analysis was performed on different types of nurse-led TCIs because the number of intervention types was relatively large and the number of studies for some types was too small for a reliable analysis. However, despite the aforementioned limitations, our study has provided new insights into the current state of evidence based on the most up-to-date literature without language restrictions. We tested the robustness of the synthesized results using sensitivity analysis and attempted to examine the potential sources of heterogeneity with meta-regression models considering the trial-level characteristics. In addition, the one-stage REMR method was first used in our study to model the dose-response relationship between the intensity and complexity of nurse-led TCIs and intervention effects.

Conclusions

This systematic review focused on nurse-led TCIs that fill in the care gap from hospital to home for people with HF. Nurse-led TCIs had positive actions on all-cause readmissions, HF-specific readmissions, and LOS. However, these interventions did not result in significant reduction in ED visits. The positive treatment effect for HF-specific readmissions was related to the intervention intensity and complexity in a dose-response pattern. We did not identify any characteristics or contexts to explain between-study heterogeneity or that favor intervention success. There is a need for future research to address the characteristics of the optimal nurse-led TCIs and the most beneficial patient population.

Supporting information

S1 Checklist. PRISMA 2009 checklist.

(DOCX)

S1 File. Search strategy.

(PDF)

S2 File. The adapted HF Disease Management Scoring Instrument (HF-DMSI).

(DOCX)

S3 File. Summary characteristics of participants and interventions in the included studies.

(DOCX)

S4 File. Sensitivity analysis.

(DOCX)

S5 File. Univariate meta-regression analysis of all-cause and HF-specific readmissions.

(DOCX)

S6 File

Funnel plots for the effect of nurse-led TCIs on (a) all-cause readmissions and (b) HF-specific readmissions.

(DOCX)

S7 File. Summary of findings.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

We would like to acknowledge Ping Xu for assistance in building search strategies and Chang Xu for providing Stata codes and statistical instructions.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

This work was supported by the Key Project of Science and Technology of Sichuan Province, China (Grant No. 2020YFS0150) and the West China Nursing Discipline Development Special Fund, Sichuan University (Grant No. HXHL19024). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Satya Surbhi

25 May 2021

PONE-D-21-01523

Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Fang,

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Reviewer #1: This manuscript is well written and comprehensive.

Only a few suggestions.

It would help to add a little more information regarding the "program dose" within the manuscript.

The studies in this review span 20 years. Any thoughts regarding change in these programs over time?

Reviewer #2: Thank you for the opportunity to review this manuscript. The topic is of continued importance, given the morbidity and cost of heart failure care, and updates prior analyses by focusing more specifically on the role of nursing in care transition interventions for hospitalized heart failure patients.

I have several recommendations that would strengthen the manuscript.

1. Please clarify the outcomes measured. I think these are all 6 month outcomes (lines 96-98) but it would be helpful to clarify this is truly the case.

2. The HF-DMSI is adapted into a COM/ty score. It is not clear what the adaptation is, including a supplemental attachment that scores the adapted HF-DMSI for the studies, presumably using some but not all of the HF-DMSI scores would be helpful for reviewers.

3. Figure 1: PRISMA: given the high number of excluded studies by title or abstract review, it might be helpful to know how many were excluded due to either category. If this was recorded, this is ok to not include.

4. Meta-regression results: the trends suggest things that I think are likely true, that these programs are better for those with HFrEF (HF with reduced ejection fraction, and that there is a publication issue that readmission reductions are likely driven by earlier findings (vs. later when EHRs and better information sharing have occurred). It also looks like there are trends related to proportion of males although not sure about the trend related to place of initiation (hospital vs. home). I would recommend reporting on these trends in the text.

5: dose response: I am not sure that I would have inferred a relationship from figure 6b, but I am glad that the figure is included and not just reporting relative risks and p values.

4. References: should be cleaned up. My spot check found that citation 26 "Inc MUaEP" on line 440 is probably truncated due to the reference management software. Citation 31 is actually published in JAMA: Internal Medicine.

**********

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PLoS One. 2021 Dec 16;16(12):e0261300. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261300.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


1 Jul 2021

Dear editor and reviewers,

Thank you for your letter dated 25 May 2021.

On behalf of my colleagues, I am herewith submitting the revised manuscript entitled “Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.” (PONE-D-21-01523) for consideration of publication in PLOS ONE. We would like to thank the editor and reviewers’ work devoted to our manuscript and we are very grateful for their valuable suggestions. We have considered the comments carefully and have made revisions (highlighted in red in the revised manuscript) which we hope meet with approval.

Journal Requirements:

1. “Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE’s style requirements, including those for file naming.”

Response: Reviewed and revised as suggested.

2. “Please note that PLOS ONE uses a single-blind peer review procedure. We would therefore be grateful if you could include in the information that has been redacted for peer review in the manuscript.”

Response: Thank you for your reminding. Included as suggested.

3. “Please provide a justification for restricting your searches to studies published in the year 2000 or later.”

Response: Thank you for your rigorous comment. A nurse-led model of care called Omada program was set up around 2000 to improve the management of heart failure. Thereafter, an increasing number of nurse-led disease management interventions for patients with heart failure has been implemented. In addition, classical models of nurse-led care transitions have been established one after another since the year of 2000 with the expectation to promote healthy behavior and reduce healthcare utilization. It was the time point that people started to realize the potential role of nurses in chronic disease management for heart failure. We thus determined to restrict the searches to studies published in the year 2000 or later.

4. “Please remove any funding-related text from the manuscript and let us know how you would like to update your Funding Statement.”

Response: Thank you for bringing this to our attention. We have removed the funding-related text from the manuscript as suggested. And we would like to update our Funding Statement in the cover letter as follows: “This work was supported by the Key Project of Science and Technology of Sichuan Province, China (Grant No. 2020YFS0150) and the West China Nursing Discipline Development Special Fund, Sichuan University (Grant No. HXHL19024). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.”

Comments to the Author:

Reviewer #1:

1. “It would help to add a little more information regarding the ‘program dose’ within the manuscript.”

Response: We gratefully thanks for the precious time the Reviewer #1 spent in making the positive and constructive suggestions. According to your suggestion, we have added more details about the “project dose” in lines 159-162 and 330-332 in the revised manuscript. The evaluating criterion of the “program dose” was based on the updated HF-DMSI, which was showed in S2 File.

2. “The studies in this review span 20 years. Any thoughts regarding change in these programs over time?”

Response: We strongly agree with your valuable comment and thank you very much. We have also considered the change in these programs over time, so the year of publication across studies was included as an effect modifier in our meta-regression analysis. As a result, univariate meta-regression analyses indicated that the treatment effect sizes were not modified by our prespecified parameters, including the year of the study (S5 File).

Reviewer #2:

1. “Please clarify the outcomes measured. I think these are all 6-month outcomes (lines 96-98) but it would be helpful to clarify this is truly the case.”

Response: We gratefully thanks for the precious time the Reviewer #2 spent in making these constructive remarks. We have revised the sentence and provided the rationale for the 6-month timeline for outcome assessment. Please see lines 97-101.

2. “The HF-DMSI is adapted into a COM/ty score. It is not clear what the adaptation is, including a supplemental attachment that scores the adapted HF-DMSI for the studies, presumably using some but not all of the HF-DMSI scores would be helpful for reviewers.”

Response: Thanks for your careful reading and providing us with some keen scientific insight. The supplemental attachment of the adapted HF-DMSI has been added as suggested. Please see S2 File. We have also added more descriptions about the instrument in lines 159-162 in the revised manuscript.

3. “Figure 1: PRISMA: given the high number of excluded studies by title or abstract review, it might be helpful to know how many were excluded due to either category. If this was recorded, this is ok to not include.”

Response: Thank you so much for your suggestion. We regret that we did not record the how many articles were excluded due to either titles and abstracts. But we believe that the review on the basis of title and abstract was conducted in strict accordance with the follow the inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria.

4. “Meta-regression results: the trends suggest things that I think are likely true, that these programs are better for those with HFrEF (HF with reduced ejection fraction), and that there is a publication issue that readmission reductions are likely driven by earlier findings (vs. later when EHRs and better information sharing have occurred). It also looks like there are trends related to proportion of males although not sure about the trend related to place of initiation (hospital vs. home). I would recommend reporting on these trends in the text.”

Response: Thank you for the comment and we fully understand your concerns over “trend towards statistical significance”. While we appreciate the feedback, we respectfully disagree. The paper entitled “Trap of trends to statistical significance: likelihood of near significant P value becoming more significant with extra data (BMJ 2014;348:g2215)” presents a quantitative analysis to show that describing near significant p values as “trends towards significance” (or similar) is not just inappropriate but actively misleading (undermining the principle of accurate reporting), as such p values would be quite likely to become less significant if extra data were collected. Please kindly refer to the article published in BMJ with the following link: https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/348/bmj.g2215.full.pdf.

5. “Dose response: I am not sure that I would have inferred a relationship from figure 6b, but I am glad that the figure is included and not just reporting relative risks and p values.”

Response: Thanks for expressing your concern regarding the figure 6b. We used the one-stage robust error meta-regression (REMR) approach within STATA to conduct the dose-response analysis and generate the corresponding figure. Following the dose-response meta-analysis, we found a statistically significant linear association between the score of the adapted HF-DMSI and HF readmissions (p linearity < 0.001). The overall trend RR was 0.987 (95% CI = 0.981 to 0.993). According to the results, we inferred an inverse, linear relationship between the scores of the adapted HF-DMSI and HF-specific readmissions. Specifically, a 1.3% decrease in HF readmission risk correlated with one score increment in the “program dose” prescribed.

6. “References: should be cleaned up. My spot check found that citation 26 "Inc MUaEP" on line 440 is probably truncated due to the reference management software. Citation 31 is actually published in JAMA: Internal Medicine.”

Response: We are very sorry for the mistakes in the References and the inconvenience caused during your reading. We have revised all references carefully and tried to avoid citation inaccuracy. Thank you for your reminding.

The reviewers’ comments helped clarify and improve our paper. We appreciate for Editor/Reviewers' warm work earnestly.

Thank you again for your constructive comments and suggestions!

Submitted by the Authors.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 1

Satya Surbhi

5 Oct 2021

PONE-D-21-01523R1Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trialsPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Fang,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

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Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #2: Yes

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3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #2: Yes

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4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #2: Yes

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5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #2: I appreciate the changes made by the authors in response to reviewer comments. With regards to the adapated HF-DMSI, Table 1 should not use in its last column header "COM/Ty" and instead use "Adapted HF-DMSI" to be consistent with the text of the manuscript. I would recommend changing the Table 1 footnote by taking out the first two words "COM/Ty: the" and capitalize "adapted" so that the footnote helps a reader understand how the HF-DMSI was adapted (and can look for more information in the text and supplement).

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Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2021 Dec 16;16(12):e0261300. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261300.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


15 Oct 2021

We appreciate the time the Reviewer #2 spent in making the constructive suggestions. We have revised the last column header and the footnote in the table 1 in the revised manuscript as suggested.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 2

Satya Surbhi

1 Dec 2021

Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

PONE-D-21-01523R2

Dear Dr. Fang,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Satya Surbhi, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #2: Thank you for the changes, Table 1 now rrads appropriately with the change to the last column and the footnote.

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #2: No

Acceptance letter

Satya Surbhi

6 Dec 2021

PONE-D-21-01523R2

Effects of nurse-led transitional care interventions for patients with heart failure on healthcare utilization: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Dear Dr. Fang:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Satya Surbhi

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Checklist. PRISMA 2009 checklist.

    (DOCX)

    S1 File. Search strategy.

    (PDF)

    S2 File. The adapted HF Disease Management Scoring Instrument (HF-DMSI).

    (DOCX)

    S3 File. Summary characteristics of participants and interventions in the included studies.

    (DOCX)

    S4 File. Sensitivity analysis.

    (DOCX)

    S5 File. Univariate meta-regression analysis of all-cause and HF-specific readmissions.

    (DOCX)

    S6 File

    Funnel plots for the effect of nurse-led TCIs on (a) all-cause readmissions and (b) HF-specific readmissions.

    (DOCX)

    S7 File. Summary of findings.

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.


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