ABSTRACT
COVID-19 affects multiple organs. Clinical data from the Mount Sinai Health System show that substantial numbers of COVID-19 patients without prior heart disease develop cardiac dysfunction. How COVID-19 patients develop cardiac disease is not known. We integrated cell biological and physiological analyses of human cardiomyocytes differentiated from human induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs) infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the presence of interleukins (ILs) with clinical findings related to laboratory values in COVID-19 patients to identify plausible mechanisms of cardiac disease in COVID-19 patients. We infected hiPSC-derived cardiomyocytes from healthy human subjects with SARS-CoV-2 in the absence and presence of IL-6 and IL-1β. Infection resulted in increased numbers of multinucleated cells. Interleukin treatment and infection resulted in disorganization of myofibrils, extracellular release of troponin I, and reduced and erratic beating. Infection resulted in decreased expression of mRNA encoding key proteins of the cardiomyocyte contractile apparatus. Although interleukins did not increase the extent of infection, they increased the contractile dysfunction associated with viral infection of cardiomyocytes, resulting in cessation of beating. Clinical data from hospitalized patients from the Mount Sinai Health System show that a significant portion of COVID-19 patients without history of heart disease have elevated troponin and interleukin levels. A substantial subset of these patients showed reduced left ventricular function by echocardiography. Our laboratory observations, combined with the clinical data, indicate that direct effects on cardiomyocytes by interleukins and SARS-CoV-2 infection might underlie heart disease in COVID-19 patients.
IMPORTANCE SARS-CoV-2 infects multiple organs, including the heart. Analyses of hospitalized patients show that a substantial number without prior indication of heart disease or comorbidities show significant injury to heart tissue, assessed by increased levels of troponin in blood. We studied the cell biological and physiological effects of virus infection of healthy human iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes in culture. Virus infection with interleukins disorganizes myofibrils, increases cell size and the numbers of multinucleated cells, and suppresses the expression of proteins of the contractile apparatus. Viral infection of cardiomyocytes in culture triggers release of troponin similar to elevation in levels of COVID-19 patients with heart disease. Viral infection in the presence of interleukins slows down and desynchronizes the beating of cardiomyocytes in culture. The cell-level physiological changes are similar to decreases in left ventricular ejection seen in imaging of patients’ hearts. These observations suggest that direct injury to heart tissue by virus can be one underlying cause of heart disease in COVID-19.
KEYWORDS: COVID-19, IL-10, IL-1β, IL-6, machine learning, NL63, SARS-CoV-2, cardiac disease, cardiomyocytes, computational biology
INTRODUCTION
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections have created a global COVID-19 pandemic that continues unabated in 2021. With over 170 million cases worldwide (1), COVID-19 has affected people in every country. This is in contrast to other coronavirus outbreaks such as SARS (2) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) (3) that were geographically limited. Significant numbers of patients with COVID-19 display multiorgan pathophysiology. There is substantial evidence that a significant proportion of COVID-19 patients develop both cardiac (4–6) and kidney (7, 8) dysfunction. Such multiorgan pathophysiology is perhaps not entirely surprising since the receptor for SARS-CoV-2 is the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) protein (9), which is widely expressed in many tissues, including the heart and kidney (10).
Myocardial injury associated with COVID-19 has been observed in substantial numbers of patients (11). Biomarkers of injury include elevated troponin and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) protein levels in blood (12) and abnormal echocardiography (13, 14). The reasons for the myocardial injury remain unclear, and autopsy results have shown that COVID-19 patients show sparse infection of cardiac tissue and do not show the typical hallmarks of viral myocarditis (15). Myocardial injury can have multiple causes, including formation of microthrombi that have been observed in COVID-19 patients (16) and oxygen insufficiency due to pulmonary disease, which is commonly observed and in our analyses is an important predictor of mortality (17). Another feature observed in the clinical data is that most COVID-19 patients have elevated interleukins (ILs) (18). Interleukins are known to affect cardiomyocyte (CM) function (19). Multiple reports have indicated that human CMs can be infected by SARS-CoV-2 (20–22). In this study, we integrated findings from analyses of fully anonymized clinical data on COVID-19 patients from the Mount Sinai Health System with those from studies on human induced pluripotent stem cell (hiPSC)-derived ventricular cardiomyocytes in culture infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the absence and presence of physiological concentrations of IL-6 and IL-1β. We demonstrate that changes in cardiomyocyte cell biology, including myofibril organization and decreased expression of key proteins of the cardiomyocyte contractile apparatus, and in physiology, such as release of troponin and erratic beating of cardiomyocytes, can account for key features of myocardial injury observed in patients. These observations demonstrate that direct injury by virus to cardiac tissue during COVID-19 can play a role in decreased cardiac function.
RESULTS
COVID-19 patients without prior heart disease show elevated troponin levels.
During the early phase of the pandemic in New York City in spring 2020, substantial numbers of patients were over 55 years old (23). This was also true of patients in the Mount Sinai Health System (see Table S1 in the supplemental material). Hence, we parsed the deidentified clinical data compiled by the Mount Sinai Data Warehouse (MSDW) to identify COVID-19 patients with and without history of heart disease. For this, we used three comorbidities—coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure—listed in the MSDW data for each patient as prior indications of heart disease. We parsed the COVID-19 patients to determine the size of the subset that did not have prior heart disease but did show cardiac dysfunction during COVID-19. We used elevated troponin I levels in blood as a measure of cardiac dysfunction (24). Of these patients, 32.25% (1,020/3,163) show elevated blood troponin levels (Fig. 1A). Since elevated blood troponin levels can occur due to kidney dysfunction, patients were binned with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of <30 mL/min or ≥30 mL/min. A total of 21% (281/1341) of the patients with an eGFR of ≥30 mL/min (patients whose kidney function is not diminished) showed elevated levels of blood troponin (Fig. 1B). Some of these 281 patients had comorbidities that are indicated in Fig. 1B. The overall numbers indicate 44% of patients (901/2562) of COVID-19 patients who have recorded eGFR values in MSDW have diminished kidney function (eGFR, <30) (Fig. 1B). Comorbidities for some of the patients at different levels of troponin are shown in Fig. 1C. Overall, we find a significant number of COVID-19 patients with normal kidney function show elevated blood troponin I levels. In order to further verify that blood troponin I levels represent cardiac dysfunction, we sought to determine, in an unbiased manner, other clinical features associated with elevated troponin I in COVID-19 patients. For this, we used machine learning models to predict the top-ranked features in patients with elevated troponin I levels. We had previously used this approach to predict clinical indicators of probable mortality in COVID-19 patients (17). The flowchart in Fig. 2A shows how we developed and used the machine learning model (57). The XGBoost algorithm model gave good predictive performance, with an AUC (area under the curve) of 0.846 (Fig. 2B). Details of model comparison and performance are shown in Fig. S1 to S3 and Tables S1 and S2 in the supplemental material. We used the XGBoost model to identify the top-ranked features that predict elevated blood troponin. The list is shown in Fig. 2. It can be seen that three of the top five features BNP, systolic blood pressure minimum, and heart rate directly relate to cardiac function. We conclude that release of troponin can be used to evaluate cardiomyocyte injury upon infection with SARS-CoV-2.
Cardiomyocytes from hiPSCs when infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the presence of ILs are damaged and release troponin.
We have developed a library of hiPSCs from a racially/ethnically diverse population of healthy subjects (25). Since the clinical data analyses in Fig. 1 and 2 indicate that COVID-19 patients without prior indication of heart disease can develop cardiac dysfunction, we used hiPSCs from volunteers who had been clinically classified as healthy by three physicians using a variety of criteria, including electrocardiograms (25), to obtain ventricular cardiomyocytes for the cell biological and physiological analyses. Differentiated ventricular cardiomyocytes from multiple hiPSC lines were used in these studies. In all cases, we obtained near-homogeneous cardiomyocyte populations by lactate selection (26). In these hiPSC-derived CMs, we first determined the expression of ACE2, the SARS-CoV-2 receptor, by immunoblotting. We compared the CMs to Vero E6 cells, an African green monkey kidney cell line known to express ACE2 and to support robust replication of SARS-CoV-2 (Fig. 3A). We also had a negative control for ACE2 expression using A549, a cell line known to not express ACE2. We confirmed that 3 different lines of CMs have the predicted 120-kDa band when probed for with an antibody against ACE2 (Fig. 3A). By immunohistochemistry, we confirmed the expression of ACE2 in the CMs, which was predominately cytoplasmic, but in some cells was detected on the cell surface. Membrane expression is highlighted by arrows in Fig. 3B, top panel. We confirmed that the cells are indeed CMs by immunostaining for troponin T, a known marker for myofibrils (27) (Fig. 3B, middle panel). An overlay of the ACE2 and troponin staining is shown in the bottom panel of Fig. 3B. In MSDW, 2,235 patients out of the 4,228 patients with troponin I values also had IL-6 values. Within this group, 84% of COVID-19 patients (1,872/2,235) have elevated IL-6 values of 30 pg/mL (18), as would be expected for patients with an active infection, but it was not uncommon to find patients with IL-6 values that were 103-fold higher than that and has been observed in patients with Andes virus (28) and in COVID-19 patients (29). Numerous interleukins have been shown to be elevated in COVID-19 patients (18, 29). However, since IL-6 values in blood are most commonly available in clinical data sets, we focused on the ILs IL-6 and IL-1β. We chose a concentration of 10 to 30 ng/mL ILs to utilize in our in vitro studies based on published reports of other studies in CM lines and treatment with ILs (30).
We hypothesized that studying SARS-CoV-2 infection of CMs in the presence of ILs would better approximate what myocardial tissue encounters in vivo. Hence, we tested the effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection on CMs in the absence and presence of ILs in the culture medium. Compared to the controls (mock-infected cells in the absence of ILs), the CMs treated with IL-6 and IL-1β appeared larger in diameter, and the myofibrils immunostained with troponin T were disorganized in two different CM lines (Fig. 3C and D, compare top and 2nd-level panels). Infection with SARS-CoV-2 at a multiplicity of infection (MOI) of 0.1 alone also appeared to increase the cell diameter compared to mock-infected controls (3rd-level panels). Infection in the presence of ILs produced the maximal effects, as assessed by the apparent increase in cell size and disorganized myofibrils (Fig. 3C and D, bottom panels). SARS-CoV-2 at an MOI of 0.1 for 48 h can infect CMs, as confirmed by immunostaining for viral nucleocapsid protein (NP) (Fig. 3C and D, red staining in the leftmost two panels). All the infected cells were positive for ACE2 (green stain) and troponin T (cyan stain), and the myofibrils were disorganized, as indicated by the troponin T staining (Fig. 3C and D, lower panels).
To determine if the observed increases in cell size were statistically meaningful, we randomly measured cellular diameter in CMs without and with infection and treatment with ILs at >50 cells/per condition from two different CM lines using ImageJ and found that interleukins alone significantly increased the cell diameter. Infection alone did not significantly increase the cell diameter compared to that of mock-infected controls, but there was in increase in cell diameter in the presence of ILs (Fig. 4A). We also tested whether interleukins increased the percentage of cells infected by SARS-CoV-2. We stained the cells for viral NP and Hoechst nuclear stain to count total cell numbers and cells that stained for NP protein (Fig. 4B). We used the IN Cell Analyzer to automate the cell count for percentage of cells positive for NP. At both 48 and 72 h postinfection, ILs did not alter the level of infection of CMs by SARS-CoV-2 (Fig. 4C; see the expanded version in Fig. S4A in the supplemental material). From these cells, we collected the medium to determine the production and shedding of virus. We collected supernatants from infected CMs using three different lines (MSN-07-07S, MSN-08-06S, and MSN-31-01S) and performed analysis by 50% tissue culture infective dose (TCID50 [i.e., an assay to quantitate viral infections]) at 48 and 72 h postinfection (Fig. 4C; see the expanded version in Fig. S4B). We observed that all three CM lines were productively infected using an MOI of 0.1.
We observed over several CM lines that infection by SARS-CoV-2 can lead to the formation of multinucleated cells with 3 or more nuclei present in one cell (Fig. 5). Mock-infected cells expressing ACE2 (green) and nuclei (blue) predominantly have a single nucleus, with some noted double nuclei present. IL treatment does not alter the count of nuclei compared to mock infection in these cells. However, infection with SARS-CoV-2 (red) does increase the number of CM cells with 3 nuclei. The number of nuclei increases further when we have infection along with ILs, where we detect CM cells with 5 or 6 nuclei. Multinucleated cells generated during SARS-CoV-2 infection are likely to be the result of syncytium formation due to SARS-CoV-2 S-mediated fusion of plasma membranes of infected cells (31).
We also used another interleukin, IL-10, in combination with SARS-CoV-2 and found there were no significant changes in cell diameter of the same CM lines with IL-10 alone or in combination with SARS-CoV-2 at an MOI of 0.1 (Fig. 6A and B). We also tested a coronavirus strain, HCoV-NL63 (NL63 [NR-470] from BEI Resources), known to infect humans using the ACE2 receptor and found at MOI 0.1 it could not infect 3 different CM lines (Fig. 7C, panels 1 and 2) (32). We confirmed that the NL63 virus was active by infecting LLC-MK2 cells, a cell type that expresses ACE2 and known to be infected by coronaviruses (Figure 7E, panels 1 and 2).
Since the myofibrils are disorganized after infection, we determined the effects of infection on the contractile apparatus CM lines in the absence or presence of IL-6 and IL-1β. For this, we used reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR) to measure levels of cardiac troponin, actin, and myosin light chain (Fig. 8A). Probing for SARS-CoV2, we see significant increases with infection of SARS-CoV-2, which is similar to the results from combination with IL-6 and IL-1β (ILs). In the absence of the virus, we had no detectable levels of SARS-CoV-2 in mock-infected or IL-treated cells alone. We looked at mRNA levels of cardiac contractile proteins. Expression of cardiac troponin T (TNNT2), an important structural component of cardiomyocytes, was strongly downregulated in cells infected with SARS-CoV-2. IL-6 and IL-1β treatment also significantly reduced expression of troponin T (by nearly 50%), and this was greatly enhanced by infection with SARS-CoV-2. We also measured levels of t cardiac actin (ACTC1) and myosin light chain (MYL4) mRNAs. SARS-CoV-2 strongly repressed expression of both ACTC1 and MYL4. ILs alone did significantly reduce levels of MYL4 expression, but in the combination with the virus, there was strong level of repression of both ACTC1 and MYL4.
An important indicator of CM damage is the release of troponin from the cells. Hence, we measured the levels of troponin I in the culture medium of cells without and with infection and in the absence and presence of interleukins. For this, we used a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kit and measured culture medium troponin levels from three different CM cell lines (Fig. 8B). IL treatment did not cause the release of troponin. However, when CMs were infected with SARS-CoV-2 at an MOI of 0.1, there was increased release of troponin into the culture medium, but the effects were not statistically significant. Importantly, under these conditions, infection in the presence of ILs caused a statistically significant near-3-fold increase in levels of troponin I in culture medium (Fig. 8B). These results indicate that infection in the presence of interleukins can substantially damage cardiomyocytes, although interleukins alone or infection in the absence of interleukins can also damage cardiomyocytes. In vivo, this distinction may not be relevant as infection invariably increases interleukin levels in blood.
Effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection on beating of ventricular cardiomyocytes and left ventricular ejection fraction show similar characteristics.
A well-known hallmark for healthy CMs derived from iPSC lines is their ability to beat in a coordinated manner in vitro (33). We recorded the beating of 3 different CM lines under the following conditions: mock infection, infection with SARS-CoV-2 at an MOI of 0.1, treatment with ILs alone, and infection in the presence of ILs 48 h postinfection (Fig. 9A; see related Movie S1 at https://iyengarlab.org). To quantitate the number of beats per minute, we counted how many beats were occurring over 1 min within 5-by-5 grids (25 grids in total) superimposed over the video. Counting was done by researchers who were blind to treatment conditions. In Fig. 9A, we show a representative snapshot of the field of recording with the number of beats per minute. Control cells show coordinated beating over the entire field (Fig. 9A, upper left panel). Infection with SARS-CoV-2 at an MOI of 0.1 causes considerable alteration in coordinated beating such that the beating is decreased in some regions, while it is near normal in several regions (Fig. 9A, right panel). Treatment with interleukins alone causes similar effects, although in all regions we see a decrease in beat frequency (Fig. 9A, lower left panel). Infection in the presence of interleukins results in a marked decrease in beating, with no beats in 9 of the 25 fields (Fig. 9A, bottom right panels). Summary statistics across the multiple cell lines show that both interleukins and infection decrease beating (4.17 and 4.22 beats/min, respectively, versus 9.3 beats/min for the control), with a more pronounced decrease (2.08 beats per min) when infection occurs in the presence of interleukins, which is likely to be the most physiologically relevant scenario (Fig. 9B).
Since the beating of CMs in culture is broadly indicative of myocyte contraction in vivo, we reasoned that alterations in contractility during COVID-19 in patients could result in a decrease in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), a physiological measure routinely used in clinical diagnosis. Hence, we looked for COVID-19 patients without prior cardiac disease who had elevated troponin levels and showed decreased LVEF. Using data from two Mount Sinai Health System hospitals, we identified a cohort of 206 COVID-19 patients without indications of prior heart disease for whom imaging data along with troponin I and IL-6 levels were available. Patient data for peak troponin and IL-6 levels for such patients are shown in Table 1. In Fig. 10A, we show a plot of COVID-19 patients with normal LVEF (black dots) and reduced LVEF (blue squares) in terms of their relationship to blood IL-6 and troponin I levels. We find that nearly 50% (20/41) of the patients with an LVEF of <51 had troponin levels above 1, while for normal LVEF, it is 13.3% (22/165). We also find that 6/41 (14.6%) patients have troponin I levels greater than 20 ng/mL (ln of 3), and none of the normal LVEF patients are above 20. No relationships between IL levels and LVEF status could be readily observed. Representative cardiac images from COVID-19 patients are shown in Fig. 10B to D. These are apical views after administration of an ultrasonic enhancing agent for transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE). A COVID-19 patient with no known cardiac disease and normal LV function is shown (Fig. 10B; see related Movie S2 at https://iyengarlab.org), where no detected abnormalities are found in the diastolic and systolic frames. Clips of the diastolic and systolic frames are shown in Fig. 10B. The end-diastolic volume (EDV) and end-systolic volume (ESV) are 104 and 35 mL, respectively, with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 66%. Two patients with significantly elevated levels of blood troponin and reduced LV function (LVEF, <51%) are shown in clips in Fig. 10C and D. One patient had a mid infero-lateral wall hypokinesis, but preserved LV ejection fraction (Fig. 10C; see related Movie S3 at https://iyengarlab.org/). The regional wall motion abnormality (RWMA) is pointed out in the red oval in Fig. 10C. The EDV and ESV are 102 and 50 mL, respectively, with an LVEF of 51%. The second patient with newly reduced LV function had global LV dysfunction. From the clips in Fig. 10D (see related Movie S4 at https://iyengarlab.org), the findings are consistent with diffuse LV wall hypokinesis and mildly decreased LVEF, and the EDV and ESV are 160 and 90 mL, respectively, with LVEF of 44%. Overall, the relationship between elevated troponin I level and decreased LVEF is highly significant in COVID-19 patients.
TABLE 1.
Parameter | Result for patients COVID-19 positive and with no known history of cardiac diseasea |
Significance by t testb | |
---|---|---|---|
Normal LVEF | Newly reduced LVEF | ||
No. of patient samples | 165 | 41 | |
Peak IL-6, pg/mL | 111.5 (IQR, 49–296) | 146 (IQR, 63.55–355.6) | NS |
Peak troponin, ng/mL | 0.062 (IQR, 0.02–0.375) | 1.27 (IQR, 0.07–14.53) | P < 0.0001 |
Patients are broken into two groups: one with normal left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and the other with newly reduced LVEF (LVEF, <51). The data are presented as the median value with IQR in parentheses.
There was no significant difference (NS) between the two groups for peak IL-6, but there was a very significant difference in troponin (P < 0.0001).
DISCUSSION
As a respiratory virus, the multiorgan pathophysiology of SARS-CoV-2 could not entirely be predicted. Although the primary pathology is in the lung, the effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection on other organs cannot be overlooked. Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome (34) is now well recognized and affects many organs, including the heart, kidney, and nervous system. Although it has been long known that ACE2, the receptor for members of the SARS family, is widely distributed (10, 35), extensive infection of the virus in organs other than the lungs has not been observed. Nevertheless, several groups have shown the sparse presence of virus in heart tissue of COVID-19 patients or detected the mRNA of SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR in endomyocardial biopsy specimens (36–41).
Analyses of the clinical data from the hospitals of the Mount Sinai Health System indicates that significant numbers (>10%) of COVID-19 patients develop cardiac dysfunction during infection. If these ratios hold worldwide, then nearly 16 million individuals would have the potential for cardiac dysfunction that could lead to long-term heart disease. The data from long-term studies of 9/11 responders indicate that this is likely to be the case (42, 43). Hence, understanding the origins of cardiac dysfunction in COVID-19 patients will be important for clinical management and therapeutic strategies to mitigate the development of heart disease when treating patients at centers for post-COVID care, such as the one in the Mount Sinai Health System.
Myocardial damage can occur due to multiple reasons, including decrease in oxygen levels due to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), the formation of microthrombi, as has been observed in COVID-19 patients (15), and direct injury of cardiomyocytes by viral infection and the inflammatory state of the COVID-19 patients. Our in vitro cardiomyocyte studies indicate that direct injury due to infection is likely to be one of the causes of myocardial injury in COVID-19 patients. Two aspects of our in vitro studies are noteworthy: first, measurable cardiomyocyte injury, such as release of troponin into the culture medium and near-complete disruption of coordination and inhibition of beating, is greatest when viral infection occurs in the presence of interleukins, a scenario that is most likely similar to that seen in vivo; second, interleukins do not increase the number of cells infected which remains stable around 35%. Clinical data have suggested that myocardial inflammation might persist for more than 2 months after infection (44), although the general applicability of these findings need to be established. These observations suggest that effects of COVID-19 on cardiac contractility could be long lasting and could result in heart failure (45). A third aspect of our in vitro studies elucidated the hypertrophy of cardiomyocytes by cytokines. Cardiac hypertrophy can occur in response to proinflammatory cytokines, such as IL-6 and IL-1β, and can be required for maintenance of cardiac homeostasis (46). Cardiomyocytes are terminally differentiated and demonstrate plasticity in response to the alterations in their environment—both physiological and pathological ones. Hypertrophy enables cardiomyocytes to enlarge their capillary network to receive adequate nourishment under normal physiological conditions. However, in a pathological setting, this hypertrophy could exceed the capacity of capillaries to adequately supply nutrients (46). Patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 could have cardiac hypertrophy both in response to the lung infection and diminished oxygen supply or due to direct infection of cardiac tissues. Further studies are required to better understand this complex hypertrophy of cardiomyocytes.
Taken together, our clinical and cell-level observations suggest that cell communication between cardiomyocytes and other cell biological mechanisms can underlie the effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection in myocardial tissue. Such potential mechanisms merit detailed studies under conditions that consider genomic determinants that could control the pathophysiological responses both acute and long term.
In conclusion by integrating analyses of clinical data and observations from cell-level experiments in culture, using qualitative matches between biomarkers like troponin and physiological functions like beating, we show that direct infection of cardiomyocytes can be one mechanism of myocardial injury during COVID-19.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study approval.
This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai (study 20-0156, Myocardial injury in COVID-19) and complies with all institutional and federal requirements regarding research using data from human subjects.
Clinical data and study population.
This retrospective analysis was conducted using deidentified electronic medical record (EMR) data from patients diagnosed as COVID-19 positive within the Mount Sinai Hospital System between 9 March and 15 July 2020. The Mount Sinai Health System is a network of 8 hospital campuses and over 400 ambulatory practices spanning the New York metropolitan area (17). COVID-19 diagnosis was based on positive-PCR-based clinical laboratory testing for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Patient’s data at Mount Sinai Health System were collected by Mount Sinai Data Warehouse team, and deidentified data were released for research purposes.
All collected data and events occurring during the time that medical attention was provided to the patient during the visit were defined as encounter data. For patients with more than one documented encounter in the data set, such as those with a readmission or transfer from another affiliated facility, only the first encounter data were included for analysis. Patient characteristics were collected from the EMR. Basic demographics included age, sex, race, ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), and smoking status (current smoker, former smoker, never smoker, or passive smoker). The patient’s vitals at admission (temperature maximum, systolic blood pressure minimum, oxygen saturation minimum, heart rate, etc.), their maximum/minimum values recorded during their stay, and comorbidities present on admission (e.g., cancer, hypertension, heart failure, cardiac arrhythmias, cerebral infarction, chronic kidney disease, acute kidney injury, HIV/AIDS, liver disease, diabetes, etc.) were also collected from the EMR. Lab data of patients were collected several times during the encounter, and the maximum value recorded was collected for all lab features, except a few for which minimum values were recorded (albumin, eGFR, hemoglobin, percentage of neutrophils, hematocrit, platelet count, and ferritin) based on severity.
Under an agreement with the institutional review board (IRB), which is a precursor to and separate from our study, the Mount Sinai Data Warehouse released deidentified clinical data of all patients with COVID-19 who had or were undergoing treatment in the Mount Sinai Health System. Since deidentified data were used, patient consent was not sought. We did univariate significance analyses of the differences in continuous features between patients without cardiac disease and patients with cardiac disease using Student's t test and of categorical features using the χ2 test in all the resultant data sets.
Raw data from 9 March to 15 July were acquired from the Mount Sinai Data Warehouse (MSDW) and underwent the preprocessing steps described below.
Cardiac imaging data.
Cardiac point-of-care ultrasounds/echocardiograms were performed by certified emergency room physicians and critical care physicians on patients when deemed necessary by the attending physician. Formal echocardiograms were done on those for whom further information was necessary. The patients were identified retrospectively, and subsequent data collection occurred to obtain baseline characteristics, prior medical history, including cardiovascular disease history, hospital outcomes of mortality and intubation, anthropometric measurements, and laboratory values.
Analyses of MSDW data. (i) Data preprocessing.
We applied the basic preprocessing steps listed below to the raw clinical data in the development set.
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1.
Only records for patients with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test were retained, and the rest were eliminated.
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2.
Only the first record of encounter data among all those with the same patient ID was retained, and the rest were eliminated.
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3.
Vital sign minimum and maximum values (e.g., systolic blood pressure minimum and systolic blood pressure maximum) were retained during the course of the encounter.
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4.
Lab data maximum values were retained during the encounter, except for a few features for which minimum values were calculated (albumin, eGFR, hemoglobin, percentage of neutrophils, hematocrit, platelet count, and ferritin).
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5.
Merged data (encounter data, vital signs data, and lab data) were included on the patient ID.
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6.
Features with missing values in more than 60% of the patient records (seven in this case) were dropped to prevent their adverse effects on data analyses.
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7.
Any of the categorical features (e.g., sex and race) that had exactly the same value for over 99% of the patients (i.e., were effectively constant) were removed, since they were unlikely to be predictive. The values of the remaining categorical features were converted into numerical form (1, 2, 3…) based on the order of the discrete values appearing in the data. Undefined or unclear entries for these features were recorded as missing values.
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8.
The continuous features (e.g., age and O2 saturation minimum) were normalized by converting them into respective Z-scores by applying the formula (X − μ)/σ, where X, μ, and σ are the value, mean, and standard deviation of a given feature, respectively.
The same preprocessing steps were applied to the test set. In the steps where the preprocessed values of the features were dependent on those determined from the development set (e.g., numerical values of categorical features in step 7 and mean and standard deviation in step 8), the same values determined from the development set were applied to the test set. This was necessary to ensure that a predictor trained on the development set is applicable to the test set. It also had the desirable effect of the steps not being dependent on the relatively smaller sizes of the test set, which may make it difficult to estimate parameters like mean and standard deviation in step 8 reliably.
The resulting development and test set were used for the machine learning analyses described in the following sections.
(ii) Development and evaluation of predictive machine learning models.
For predictor construction, we further randomly split the development set into training and holdout subsets of sizes 75% (n = 2,536) and 25% (n = 846), respectively. The analysis steps used in this process, specifically missing value imputation and feature selection (described below), were used to learn candidate predictors from the training set, which were in turn evaluated on the corresponding holdout set. The logistic regression (LR), as implemented with its default parameters in Python’s scikit-learn library, and the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm (47), as implemented with its default parameters in Python’s XGBoost package, were used to develop these candidate predictors. This process was repeated a hundred times. The performance of the candidate predictors was quantified as the average value of their evaluation measure in each round. The overall predictor development process was followed as shown in Fig. 2A.
All predictor development and validation were conducted using the following parameters: area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC score) (48), area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC), precision maximum (P_max), recall maximum (R_max), F_max (i.e., the f1 score, which is the harmonic mean of precision and recall), and accuracy as the evaluation metric.
(iii) Missing value imputation.
Several features in our data set had missing values (Table S2). To maximize feature inclusion in the predictive modeling process, we evaluated the impact of imputing and including missing values among features (48). Specifically, we considered an increasing number of features with increasing levels of missing values (≤0%, 5%, 10% … 60%) in the training subset of the development set. Then, we replaced the missing values for each feature in the development set with its mean or mode in the training subset, depending on whether the feature was continuous or discrete, respectively. Finally, we trained and evaluated candidate predictors using the two algorithms listed above on the training and holdout subsets of the development set, respectively. Using the results, we estimated the level of missing values that would be the most beneficial to be included and imputed.
(iv) Feature selection.
In predictive modeling with clinical data, several features may be irrelevant to the target problem, and several may be redundant with other features, making accurate prediction challenging (49). To address this challenge and to develop a predictor more parsimonious than one based on all features, we utilized established feature selection methods (49). Specifically, we adopted the same training-holdout setup and classification algorithms described in the previous subsection and assessed how well features were selected automatically by using the Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) algorithm (50). This algorithm ranks the full set of features and then evaluates the performance of a classifier trained using one of our two candidate algorithms on the k top-ranked features, where values of k are prespecified. Based on the evaluation results, RFE infers the value of k and as many features that are likely to perform the best with the given algorithm. The candidate values of k we tested within RFE were 1, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, and 86. For both the classification algorithm and RFE-inferred value of k, we selected the final set of features as the top-k highest-frequency features selected by RFE for that algorithm across the 100 runs of the training-holdout setup.
(v) Final predictor development and validation.
Once we had determined the acceptable level (% of patients) of missing values and the features satisfying this requirement, we imputed the corresponding missing values in the test set using mean or median values in the development set. Next, we trained and evaluated the final COVID-19 mortality predictor on the imputed development and validation sets, respectively. The predictor was trained using the both classification algorithms (XGBoost and logistic regression) on the top 15 selected features and the associated classification algorithm determined as described in the section “Previous selection.” The purpose of evaluating both of these predictors was to assess how their performances generalized to an independent patient population.
(vi) Software.
The following Python version and packages were used in model building: Python 3.6.7, Pandas 0.24.2, NumPy 1.16.4, Scikit-learn 0.21.2, Scipy 1.3.1, Matplotlib 3.1.0, seaborn 0.9.0, xgboost 0.80, and MATLAB 9.5.0.944444 (R2018b).
Biosafety.
All experiments involving SARS-CoV-2 were conducted under biosafety level 3 (BSL3) containment in accordance with the biosafety protocols developed by the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. All experiments involving NL63 coronavirus were conducted under BSL2 containment in accordance with the biosafety protocols developed by the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai.
Cells and viruses.
The SARS-CoV-2 USA-WA1/2020 strain, isolated from an oropharyngeal swab from a patient with a respiratory illness who developed clinical disease (COVID-19) in January 2020 in Washington, USA, was obtained from BEI Resources (NR-52281). The virus was propagated in Cercopithecus aethiops kidney epithelial cells (Vero E6 cells; ATCC, CRL-1586). Viral stocks were grown in Vero E6 cells as previously described and were validated by genome sequencing (51). We obtained the NL63 strain (NR-470) from BEI Resources. NL63 was isolated in 2003 from nasopharyngeal aspirate of human infant with acute respiratory disease in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. We amplified the virus in Macaca mulatta kidney epithelial cells (LLC-MK2; ATCC CCL-7.1) with Dulbecco’s modified Eagle’s medium (DMEM) supplemented with 2 mM l-glutamine, 1 mM sodium pyruvate, and 2% FBS. Both LLC-MK2 and Vero E6 cells were maintained in DMEM (Corning) supplemented with 10% FBS (Peak Serum) and penicillin-streptomycin (Corning) at 37°C and 5% CO2. All cell lines used in this study were regularly screened for mycoplasma contamination using the Universal Mycoplasma Detection kit (ATCC, 30-1012K).
Healthy human subject iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes.
The induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) lines used in this study were obtained from a library of 40 lines from healthy human subjects (25). Five iPSCs (MSN02-04S, MSN07-07S, MSN08-06S, MSN31-01S, and MSN39-04S) were maintained in StemFlex medium (Gibco) on hES-qualified Matrigel (Corning)-coated 6-well cell culture plates at 37°C with 5% CO2. hiPSCs were passaged every 3 days and supplemented with Rock Inhibitor Y-27632 (SelleckChem) for 24 h after each passaging. For cardiomyocyte differentiation (52), hiPSCs were treated with 10 μM GSK3 inhibitor CHIR99021 (SelleckChem) in RPMI 1640 (Gibco) supplemented with B27 without insulin (Gibco) for 24 h. After an additional 48 h, medium was changed and then supplemented with 5 μM IWR1 (Sigma) for 48 h. From day 7 on, cells were cultured in RPMI 1640 medium supplemented with B27 with insulin (Gibco), and medium was changed every 3 days. Beating was generally observed around days 8 to 10. Between days 15 and 23, iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes were washed with Dulbecco’s phosphate-buffered saline (DPBS; Gibco) and cultured in RPMI 1640 without glucose and supplemented with 4 mM sodium lactate (Sigma) and 25 mM HEPES (Gibco) for metabolic switch purification (53). Lactate medium was refreshed every 4 days. After day 30, iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes were replated into assay plates for use in experiments. Typically, the cells were maintained for another 15 to 30 days before being subjected to treatment. Culture medium was changed every 3 days.
We also purchased from the Coriell Institute for Medical Research human iPSC-derived CMs labeled “Actin2 EGFR D60 atrial and ventricular.”
Infection of human cardiomyocytes was carried out at an MOI of 0.1 unless indicated otherwise. All experiments involving live virus were carried out under BSL3 containment. After the experiments, the virus was inactivated and cells fixed before the plates were removed from BSL3 containment for staining and further analyses.
All live cell beating recordings were made on an EVOS M5000 (Thermo) in the BSL3 containment facility. The cell lines used for these physiological experiments had been in culture for 45 to 60 days. Movies were made for 1-min recordings for 3 to 4 different fields per condition. These movies had a 5- by-5 grid (25 boxes) juxtaposed over the video image. We counted blind the number of beating cells per box for all conditions.
Immunohistochemistry.
All microscopy was performed on a Zeiss LSM 880 confocal microscope with either a 20× or 63× oil lens. All cells were plated on 12- or 24-well glass-plated Mat-Tek dishes. For immunohistochemistry, all cells were permeabilized with 0.2% Triton-X and then blocked with either goat or donkey normal serum (Jackson ImmunoLabs). We used the following antibodies: anti-double-stranded RNA (anti-dsRNA) antibody (clone rJ2 at 1:1,000; Sigma), cardiac troponin T monoclonal antibody (MAb) (13-11 at 1:1,000; Invitrogen), and anti-ACE2 (AF933 at 1:50; R&D Systems). Rabbit anti-SARS-CoV nucleoprotein was used at a 1:5,000 dilution (generated by the Garcia-Sastre’s lab), and monoclonal anti-SARS-CoV nucleoprotein was used at a 1:1,000 dilution (MAb 1C7, a gift from Thomas Moran). All secondary antibodies were Alexa Fluor conjugated and purchased from Invitrogen. Cells were mounted with ProLong Gold with DAPI (4′,6-diamidino-2-phenylindole; Invitrogen) or with ProLong Gold (Invitrogen) and Hoechst stain (Sigma).
Cell diameters were measured using laser scanning microscopy (LSM) acquired images that were imported into ImageJ. We used ImageJ analysis by taking maximum-intensity projection of our images from the Zeiss LSM 880 and saving them as LSM files, to save the metadata for pixel-to-micrometer conversion. We had two individuals of the lab measure blind the cell diameter, as determined by troponin T staining, from the widest point for each cell. We had them count a minimum of 50 cells from 3 different CM lines per condition and averaged their measurements.
RNA extraction, cDNA synthesis, and RT-qPCR.
Total RNAs from three human iPSC-derived CM cell lines were extracted with TRIzol (Invitrogen) using the chloroform-isopropranol extraction method according to the manufacturer’s instructions. RNA yield was determined using Qubit RNA BR assay kit (Life Technologies) and Qubit 3.0 fluorometer (Life Technologies). Total RNA (1 μg) was converted to cDNA using high-capacity cDNA reverse transcription kits (Applied Biosystems) and a Nexus GX2 master cycler. Quantitative PCR (qPCR) was performed using SYBR green (Quantabio) with custom primers (Fisher Scientific), and detection was achieved using the Applied Biosystems 7500 RT-PCR system. Levels of expression of target genes were normalized to the housekeeping gene coding for GADPH (glyceraldehyde-phosphate dehydrogenase). Fold expression was calculated using the mean for the threshold cycle number (CT) method from triplicate reactions per sample condition.
The primer sequences were as follows: for COVID-19, forward, 5′-GACCCCAAAATCAGCGAAAT-3′, and reverse, 5′-TCTGGTTACTGCCAGTTGAATCTG-3′; for GADPH, forward, 5′-GTGAAGGTCGGAGTCAACGG-3′, and reverse, 5′-TGACAAGCTTCCCGTTCTCA-3′; for cardiac troponin T, forward, 5′-TGATGACATCCACCGGAAGC-3′, and reverse, 5′-CTGCTTCTGGATGTAACCCCC-3′; for myosin light chain 4, forward, 5′-CCACGTCTCTCGGTTTCTTC-3′, and reverse, 5′-TAGGCTCAGGCTTCTTGGGA-3′; and for cardiac actin, forward, 5′-GTGCCAAGATGTGTGACGAC-3′, and reverse, 5′-TACCCACCATAACTCCCTGGT-3′.
Troponin I ELISA.
Human troponin I ELISAs were performed using a commercially available kit (Thermo Fisher catalog no. EHTNNI3). We measured the amount of troponin released into the culture medium of the different CM lines tested. We treated the CM lines with SARS-CoV-2 in the presence or absence of IL-6 and/or IL-1β for 48 h. Typically 100 μL of cell culture medium was used for the assay. We followed the manufacturer’s protocols without any modification and quantified the amount of troponin based on the standard curve provided.
Measurement of virus levels by TCID50 assay.
TCID50 assays were performed as described previously (54) In brief, Vero E6 cells were infected with serial 10-fold dilutions of the supernatants harvested from cells treated with IL-6 and/or IL-1β. On day 4 postinfection, cytopathic effect (CPE) was assessed by crystal violet staining, and TCID50 was calculated by the method of Reed and Muench (54).
Reproducibility and statistics.
All experiments were carried out in at least 3 replicates, and the findings were reproduced in 3 to 4 separate experiments. All averages are from at least 3 separate experiments. Except for the CM cell beating experiments, we used three different cell lines in triplicate and imaged several different areas of each well for beating. This was done for two separate experiments for all 3 CM cell lines. Averages are from the two different experiments.
We used two-tailed analysis of variance (ANOVA) with Bonferroni corrections for multiple comparisons or t test analysis.
Cardiac imaging.
Echocardiographic imaging was done as part of the clinical care of COVID-19 patients as determined by their physicians. The studies were performed using portable ultrasound machines: CX50 (Philips Medical Systems, Bothell, WA) and Vivid S70 (General Electric Medical Systems, Milwaukee, WI) (55, 56). Contrast-enhanced echocardiograms were performed using contrast-specific, low-mechanical-index settings after administration of ultrasonic enhancing agents: either Definity (perflutren lipid microsphere; Lantheus Medical Imaging) or Optison (perflutren protein type-A microspheres; GE Healthcare). Echocardiograms for COVID19-positive patients were performed in compliance with the following specific measures. Some studies were performed with transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) using the EPIQ echocardiography system (Philips North America, MA, USA). TTE studies were performed using a focused examination protocol according to American Society of Echocardiography recommendations for use of echocardiography in patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection.
Data availability.
All data are available in the main text or in the supplemental material.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This project was supported in part by NIH LINCS Center grant U54 HG008098 and by an Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Pilot Grant for COVID-19 research to R.I. This research was also partly funded partly funded by CRIP (Center for Research on Influenza Pathogenesis), an NIAID-funded Center of Excellence for Influenza Research and Surveillance (CEIRS, contract no. HHSN272201400008C), and CRIPT (Center for Research on Influenza Pathogenesis and Transmission), an NIAID-funded Center of Excellence for Influenza Research and Response (CEIRR, contract no. 75N93021C00014), by NCI SeroNet grant U54CA260560, and by the generous support of the JPB Foundation, the Open Philanthropy Project through research grant 2020-215611 (5384). A.T.C. received funding from the American Heart Association (AHA) 18CDA34080090.
Both the SARS-CoV-2 and NL63 viruses were obtained through BEI Resources, NIAID, NIH: SARS-CoV-2 USA-WA1/2020, SARS-CoV-2 NR-52281, and human coronavirus NL63 (NR-470).
The A.G.-S. laboratory has received research support from Pfizer, Senhwa Biosciences, Kenall Manufacturing, Avimex, Johnson & Johnson, Dynavax, 7Hills Pharma, Pharmamar, ImmunityBio, Accurius, Nanocomposix, and Merck.
Adolfo García-Sastre has consulting agreements for the following companies involving cash and/or stock: Vivaldi Biosciences, Contrafect, 7Hills Pharma, Avimex, Vaxalto, Pagoda, Accurius, Esperovax, Farmak, and Pfizer. Ravi Iyengar has a consulting agreement with Tectonic Therapeutics.
M.M.S., A.T.C., L.M., A.S.Y., A.G.-S., and R.I. developed the conceptual ideas and experiments for this paper. M.M.S. contributed to all experiments and analysis and took the lead in coordinating the study. A.T.C. prepared all hiPSC-derived cardiomyocytes with the assistance of J.H. and S.P., conducted the troponin I ELISA, and contributed to immunostaining, IN Cell analysis, and cardiomyocyte beating. A.T.C. and S.P. extracted RNA and performed RT-PCR. A.S.Y. analyzed all MSDW patient data and executed machine learning analysis. L.M., T.K., K.M.W., and A.C. performed all infections with SARS-CoV-2 under BSL3 containment. L.M., A.C., and R.A.A. performed all infections with NL63 under BSL2 containment. NL63 was kindly provided by R.A.A. L.M. and T.K. determined TCID50 and collected the supernatants for troponin detection under BSL3 containment. L.M. and K.G.B. recorded live cell beating of the cardiomyocytes under BSL3 containment. S.N. and P.K. extracted the data and curated the Mount Sinai Data Warehouse (MSDW) anonymized clinical data set. P.M. organized the movies and helped with video analysis of the beating of cardiomyocytes. N.D. and C.S. developed and characterized the iPSC lines used in the studies. R.E.T. and B.H. assisted with cardiomyocyte experiments and did blind counting of beating of cardiomyocytes. A.D.S. and I.T. conducted IN Cell analysis for quantification of infected cardiomyocytes. R.I.-K., K.S., N.K., G.G., E.A., M.A.M., L.C., S.L., and J.N. obtained, organized, and analyzed the cardiac imaging data. M.M.S., A.S.Y., J.G., and R.I. wrote the paper, and all authors reviewed the manuscript and provided comments.
Footnotes
Supplemental material is available online only.
Contributor Information
Mustafa M. Siddiq, Email: mustafa.siddiq@mssm.edu.
Ravi Iyengar, Email: ravi.iyengar@mssm.edu.
Tom Gallagher, Loyola University Chicago.
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Data Availability Statement
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