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PLOS ONE logoLink to PLOS ONE
. 2022 Feb 10;17(2):e0263814. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263814

Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?

Yao-Jen Chang 1,2, Li-Ju Chen 3,4, Yun-Jau Chang 5,6,*
Editor: Chun Chieh Yeh7
PMCID: PMC8830628  PMID: 35143582

Abstract

Background

This study aimed to assess the severity of appendicitis during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, as patients with appendicitis may procrastinate seeking medical attention during the pandemic.

Methods

Information on patients with appendicitis who were treated at the Taipei City Hospital during the COVID-19 pandemic (January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020) was retrieved. Patients who were diagnosed with appendicitis and treated at the same hospital from January 1, 2019 to July 1, 2019 were designated as the control group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess changes in the severity of appendicitis (at a 2-week interval) between the two groups.

Results

We identified 307 (study group: 149; control group: 158) consecutive patients with appendicitis. The mean age was 46.2 +– 19.8 years. Between the two groups, there were no significant differences in age, sex, comorbidity, surgery type (laparoscopic or open appendectomy) or surgery time. The number of patients in the study group decreased between January 29, 2020 and April 21, 2020, which paralleled the period of spikes in the confirmed COVID-19 cases and restricted daily activities. The percentage of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (excluding mild appendicitis or normal appendix) in the study group increased between February 26 and March 10, as well as between April 8 and April 21. In the multivariate regression analysis, the odds of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis increased in three bi-weeks for the study group but not in the control group.

Conclusion

The severity of acute appendicitis might increase during the COVID-19 pandemic, because patients with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain) may hesitate to seek help.

Introduction

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a new type of pneumonia, originated in China at the end of 2019, which then rampaged throughout the world, claiming lives and causing economic losses [1]. The World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 epidemic as a pandemic on March 11, 2020 [2,3]. Although there was no effective regimen initially, quarantine, stay-at-home orders and city lockdown were primary countermeasures that various countries adopted to prevent disease dissemination, health system overload, and fatality [4]. Surgery during the pandemic is stressful, as patients and healthcare professionals could be exposed to COVID-19.

Among the situations requiring emergency surgery, surgery for acute appendicitis is one of the most common. Frequent causes of surgery for acute inflammation of the appendix are fecoliths, lymphoid hyperplasia or tumors [5,6]. The number of patients with uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis is unlikely to decrease due to the COVID-19 outbreak. When encountered, appendicitis is frequently managed either by laparoscopic or open appendectomy or occasionally by drainage due to severe adhesions or complications. A decreasing number of patients with appendicitis and an increasing in the incidence of complicated appendicitis have been observed during the COVID-19 outbreak in several countries [4,79], while some have not observed any distinct increase in the diagnosis of perforated appendicitis during the pandemic [10]. In addition, there is no information in a relatively contained area (such as Taiwan) regarding the change in the incidence and severity of appendicitis during the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the incidence and severity of appendicitis in patients undergoing surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic and compare it with its counterparts from a year ago.

Materials and methods

Study population

We retrospectively collected data from patients (study group) who underwent surgery for appendicitis at Taipei City Hospital between January 1, 2020 and June 30, 2020. Patients who underwent surgery for appendicitis at the same hospital between January 1, 2019 and July 1, 2019 (2020 was a leap year) were selected as the control group. Although acute appendicitis can occur throughout the year, some studies have shown that it has a seasonal pattern and is more common during the summer [11]. Hence, the conceptual framework was based on the assumption that the temporal trend of appendicitis during a year was similar. Since the influence of the value of money between two consecutive years could be overlooked (current interest rate < 1% per year), medical expenditure could be compared without considering the net present value. For presenting data, the time frame was divided into 13 bi-week segments starting from January 1, 2020 (study group) or January 1, 2019 (control group). For example, the fifth and tenth bi-week segments represent the intervals from February 26 to March 10 and May 6 to May 19, respectively.

Independent variables

Patient characteristics included age (years), sex (male/female), comorbidity and the status of the National Health Insurance (NHI). Comorbidity refers to the Deyo version of the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), which is a composite score derived by assigning different weights to patients whenever they had a prior diagnosis of 17 diseases, including acute coronary syndrome, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular accident, dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, connective tissue disease, non-complicated diabetes mellitus, complicated diabetes mellitus, mild liver disease, moderate or severe liver disease, renal failure, peptic ulcer disease, cancer, metastatic solid tumor, and human immunodeficiency virus infection [12]. The treatment characteristics included the surgery type (conventional open appendectomy, laparoscopic appendectomy, and drainage only), operating time (minutes), anesthesia procedure (epidural/subdural and general), and abdominal wound type (clean, clean-contaminated, and dirty/contaminated). The operating time was calculated from the time of the abdominal wound opening until wound closure. Hospitalization characteristics included the complete hospital stay, hospital stay after surgery, and medical expenditure. As the NHI in Taiwan is a single-payer system provided by the government, the coverage rate usually exceeds 95% in recent decades. Whether the status of NHI influenced the severity of appendicitis is unclear. Therefore, we used this information as an independent variable.

Dependent variable

The severity of appendicitis could be classified as normal, mild, uncomplicated (moderate), or complicated (severe) appendicitis [13]. Mild appendicitis referred to a hyperemic appendix. Uncomplicated appendicitis referred to marked suppurative appendicitis with or without impending rupture, and appendicitis with local peritonitis. Complicated appendicitis referred to appendicitis with generalized peritonitis, ruptured appendicitis, abscess (tumor formation), sepsis, or septic shock. The dependent variable was a binary indicator of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (0 –normal, mild; 1 –uncomplicated, complicated). The Institutional Review Board of the Taipei City Hospital approved this study and waived the requirement for informed consent (no: TCHIRB-11003017-E).

Statistical analysis

Patient age, operating time, and hospitalization characteristics (including hospital stay and medical expenditure) are reported as means and standard deviations. Patient characteristics (excluding age), treatment (excluding surgery time), and disease variables are reported as numbers and percentages. The chi-square test was used to compare the categorical variables between the study group (during the COVID-19 pandemic) and the control group (1 year prior to the COVID-19 pandemic). The numerical variables (medical expenditure and hospital stay) were compared using Student’s t-test. Percentage differences of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis between the study and control groups were calculated using the following formula:

(%=numberofuncomplicatedandcomplicatedappendicitiscasesnumberofnormal,mild,uncomplicatedandcomplicatedappendicitiscases;percentagedifference=%ofthestudygroup%ofthecontrolgroup).

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess the possibility of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal and mild appendicitis) at different periods. Odds ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported. No adjustment was made for multiple comparisons when the sample size relative to the number of parameters was small. SPSS (version 21.0; SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) was used for all data management and inferential statistical analyses. All P-values were two-sided, and the significance level was set at P < 0.05.

Results

In Taiwan, from January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020, 447 patients had a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and 7 patients died of this disease. Worldwide, during the same period, 20,273,001 patients had a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and 505,295 patients died due to this disease (Fig 1) [14]. The daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan and the world surged after March 20, 2020 and March 25, 2020, respectively. However, this increase lasted only for 1 month in Taiwan. From January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020 and from January 1, 2019 to July 1, 2019, 307 patients underwent surgery for acute appendicitis (study group: 149 patients; control group: 158 patients). Compared with the control group (70/158, 44.3%), the number of surgeries for appendicitis was relatively low between January 29 and April 21 (49/149, 32.9%) in the study group (Fig 2). The first incision of the abdominal wound was performed between 9:00 PM and 6:00 AM in only 9.4% (29/307) of these patients. Patient characteristics are summarized in Table 1. The age ranged from 6–91 years (mean, 46.2 years). Males comprised 52.1% of all the patients. Most comorbidity indices were 0. Age, sex, and comorbidities were similar between the two periods. Almost all patients (98.0%) received healthcare covered by the NHI, a single-payer system in Taiwan. Preoperative abdominal computed tomography (CT) scans were performed in 91.9% (137/149) and 90.5% (143/158) of the patients belonging to the study and control groups, respectively (P = 0.656). Surgical treatment included laparoscopic appendectomy (60.6%, 186/307), conventional appendectomy (38.8%, 119/307) and drainage only (0.7%, 2/307). The percentage of laparoscopic appendectomy was similar in the study (90/149, 60.4%) and control (96/158, 60.8%) groups. Both patients who underwent only drainage belonged to the study group. Surgery was performed under general anesthesia in approximately 80% of the patients. The mean expenditure was 76,517 New Taiwan (NT) dollars (range 25,876–329,085 NT dollars). The median hospital stay in the study group was 3 (range 1–16) days and in the control group 3 (range 1–28) days (P = 0.818).

Fig 1.

Fig 1

A: Daily incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) globally (dotted line, left scale) and in Taiwan (solid line, right scale). Note the surge in Taiwan began on March 20, 2020, and ended on April 7, 2020 with another short surge on April 20, 2020, while the surge globally began on March 25, 2020, and has still not reached a peak. B: Cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 globally (dotted line, left scale) and in Taiwan (solid line, right scale). Cumulative deaths in Taiwan plateaued after May 12, 2020, while cumulative deaths were still increasing globally [15]. 1-Jan-20 indicates January 1, 2020.

Fig 2. Temporal trend of the number of surgeries for acute appendicitis in a serial bi-weekly manner (study group: January 1, 2020–June 30, 2020; control group: January 1, 2019–July 1, 2019; leap year: 2020).

Fig 2

The line of the study group depressed from the third bi-week (January 29–February 11) to eighth bi-week (April 8–April 21). Dates are shown for the study group; for the control group, add 1 day to each date after February 28.

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of patients, treatments, hospitalization for patients undergoing appendectomy.

Group
All patients Study group Control group
2020/1/1-2020/6/30 2019/1/1-2019/7/1
N = 307 N = 149 N = 158
Variables n (%), mean +–SD n (%), mean +–SD n (%), mean +–SD P
Patient characteristics
Age (years) (range 6–91) 46.2 +– 19.8 45.9 +– 20.0 46.4 +– 19.7 0.808
Sex 0.592
Female 147 (47.9) 69 (46.3) 78 (49.4)
Male 160 (52.1) 80 (53.7) 80 (50.6)
Comorbidity 0.617
0 269 (87.6) 132 (88.6) 137 (86.7)
> = 1 38 (12.4) 17 (11.4) 21 (13.3)
NHI coverage 0.369
No 6 (2.0) 4 (2.7) 2 (1.3)
Yes 301 (98.0) 145 (97.3) 156 (98.7)
Treatment characteristics
Abdominal CT 0.656
No 27 (8.8) 12 (8.1) 15 (9.5)
Yes 280 (91.2) 137 (91.9) 143 (90.5)
Fecolith 0.144
No 218 (71.0) 100 (67.1) 118 (74.7)
Yes 89 (29.0) 49 (32.9) 40 (25.3)
Severity of appendicitis 0.213
Mild/normal 101/11 (36.5) 42/5 (31.5) 59/6 (41.1)
Uncomplicated 146 (47.6) 77 (51.7) 69 (43.7)
Complicated 49 (16.0) 25 (16.8) 24 (15.2)
Surgery type 0.343
Laparoscopic appendectomy 186 (60.6) 90 (60.4) 96 (60.8)
Open appendectomy 119 (38.8) 57 (38.3) 62 (39.2)
Drainage only 2 (0.7) 2 (1.3) 0 (0.0)
Anesthesia 0.196
General 244 (79.5) 123 (82.6) 121 (76.6)
Epidural/subdural 63 (20.5) 26 (17.4) 37 (23.4)
Wound type 0.333
Dirty or contaminated 77 (25.1) 40 (26.8) 37 (23.4)
Clean contaminated 114 (37.1) 59 (39.6) 55 (34.8)
Clean 116 (37.8) 50 (33.6) 66 (41.8)
Operation time (minutes) (range 20–168) 67 +– 27 68 +– 29 66 +– 25 0.590
Hospitalization characteristics
Hospital stay (days) (range 1–28) 5.0 +– 3.2 5.0 +– 2.9 4.9 +– 3.5 0.992
Hospital stay (days, after surgery only) (range 1–28) 4.4 +– 3.1 4.4 +– 2.9 4.5 +– 3.4 0.818
median, IQR 3, 3–5 3, 2–5 3, 3–5
Medical expenditure (NT dollars) (range 25876–329085) 76517 +– 38842 77608 +– 36767 75487 +– 40792 0.633
median, IQR 65698, 51212–92114 67060, 52175–91425 63066, 50980–92397

N, n: Number; SD: Standard deviation; comorbidity index codified according to Charlson Comorbidity Index (Deyo version); NHI: National Health Insurance (Taiwan); CT: Computed tomography; NT dollars: New Taiwan dollars; 1 US dollar = 30 NT dollars); IQR: Interquartile range.

Mild appendicitis (including normal appendix), uncomplicated appendicitis and complicated appendicitis were found in 36.5% (112/307), 47.6% (146/307), and 16.0% (49/307) of all patients, respectively. Although the percentage of uncomplicated or complicated appendicitis was higher in the study group during the COVID-19 pandemic than that of the control group (68.5% vs. 58.9%), the difference was insignificant (P = 0.213). For comparison, the percentage of uncomplicated or complicated appendicitis over 6 months’ period between the study and control groups was 66.9% (103/163). Fecoliths in the appendix were detected in 32.9% (49/149) and 25.3% (40/158) of the patients belonging to the study and control groups, respectively (P = 0.144). The mean operation time was 67 +– 27 min (range: 20–168 min). Dirty or contaminated wounds were observed in a quarter (25.1%, 77/307) of the patients, and there was no intergroup difference. Compared with the control group, the percentage difference of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in the study group increased by more than 40% during the fifth bi-week (February 26–March 10) (88.9%, 8/9 vs. the control group 42.9%, 6/14) and eighth bi-week (April 8–April 21) (90.0%, 9/10 vs. the control group 46.7%, 7/15) (Fig 3).

Fig 3.

Fig 3

A: Temporal trend of the severity of appendicitis in patients undergoing surgery during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak (study group: Upper row; control group: Lower row). The number of mild appendicitis cases was low during the third to fifth bi-week (January 29–March10) and the eighth bi-week (April 8–April 21) of the study group. B: Percentage difference of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis between the study and control groups. The percentage of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in patients undergoing surgery increased during the COVID-19 outbreak in the fifth bi-week (February 26–March 10) and eighth bi-week (April 8–April 21) in the study group. Dates are shown for the study group; for the control group, add 1 day to each date after February 28.

Table 2 summarizes the results of the univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses of ORs for uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal and mild appendicitis). Univariate analysis of the study group showed that patients with appendicitis undergoing surgery had a higher OR for uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis during February 26–March 10 (OR = 10.00, 95% CI: 1.03–97.50, P = 0.048), April 8–April 21 (OR = 11.25, 95% CI: 1.17–108, P = 0.036), and June 3–June 16 (OR = 10.00, 95% CI: 1.76–56.93, P = 0.009). Multivariate analysis of the study group showed that patients with appendicitis undergoing surgery had a higher OR for uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis during January 15–January 28 (OR = 5.81, 95% CI: 1.18–28.59, P = 0.030), February 26–March 10 (OR = 12.63, 95% CI: 1.07–149, P = 0.044), and June 3–June 16 (OR = 13.46, 95% CI: 1.98–91.56, P = 0.008). However, such a significant increase in OR (bi-weekly) for the severity of appendicitis was not observed in the univariate or multivariate analyses of the control group. During the COVID-19 pandemic, laparoscopic appendectomy was associated with shorter hospital stay after surgery (P = 0.011) and lower medical expenditure (P = 0.035) when compared with open appendectomy; similar findings (excluding expenditure) were observed during the control period (Table 3).

Table 2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses of odds ratios for uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal and mild appendicitis).

Study group (2020) Control group (2019)
Univariate Multivariate Univariate Multivariate
OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value
Bi-week interval (Jan 1–Jan 14)* 0.389 0.379 0.616 0.660
 Jan 15–Jan 28, bi-week 2 3.25 (0.81–13.03) 0.096 5.81 (1.18–28.59) 0.030 2.81 (0.42–18.74) 0.285 6.38 (0.75–54.14) 0.090
 Jan 29–Feb 11, bi-week 3 2.50 (0.36–17.32) 0.353 3.51 (0.41–29.79) 0.250 0.75 (0.15–3.83) 0.729 1.22 (0.18–8.32) 0.838
 Feb 12–Feb 25, bi-week 4 3.75 (0.59–23.87) 0.162 7.18 (0.91–56.43) 0.061 0.75 (0.15–3.83) 0.729 1.51 (0.24–9.65) 0.665
 Feb 26–Mar 10, bi-week 5# 10.00 (1.03–97.50) 0.048 12.63 (1.07–149) 0.044 0.47 (0.10–2.18) 0.335 0.60 (0.10–3.61) 0.579
 Mar 11–Mar 24, bi-week 6# 1.67 (0.29–9.71) 0.570 1.13 (0.16–8.02) 0.906 0.87 (0.18–4.34) 0.870 1.71 (0.27–10.79) 0.569
 Mar 25–Apr 7, bi-week 7# 1.56 (0.31–7.82) 0.587 2.66 (0.43–16.29) 0.291 0.47 (0.07–3.04) 0.427 0.79 (0.09–7.26) 0.837
 Apr 8–Apr 21, bi-week 8# 11.25 (1.17–108) 0.036 9.46 (0.80–111.99) 0.075 0.55 (0.12–2.47) 0.433 1.33 (0.23–7.62) 0.747
 Apr 22–May 5, bi-week 9# 3.00 (0.74–12.13) 0.123 4.51 (0.86–23.79) 0.076 2.50 (0.37–16.89) 0.347 2.29 (0.27–19.6) 0.449
 May 6–May 19, bi-week 10# 2.92 (0.57–15.05) 0.201 5.80 (0.87–38.67) 0.069 1.13 (0.24–5.37) 0.883 2.62 (0.44–15.75) 0.293
 May 20–June 2, bi-week 11# 1.75 (0.40–7.66) 0.458 3.84 (0.72–20.43) 0.115 0.87 (0.18–4.34) 0.870 1.71 (0.27–10.95) 0.571
 June 3–June 16, bi-week 12# 10.00 (1.76–56.93) 0.009 13.46 (1.98–91.56) 0.008 1.87 (0.34–10.46) 0.474 5.02 (0.68–36.89) 0.113
 June 17–June 30, bi-week 13# 3.13 (0.47–20.58) 0.236 4.25 (0.53–34.10) 0.173 1.87 (0.38–9.20) 0.438 2.92 (0.47–18.11) 0.251

OR: Odds ratio, CI: Confidence interval;

*: Interval in the parentheses indicate reference group; estimates were derived after controlling age, sex, comorbidity and surgery type;

#: Add 1 day to each date after February 28 in the control group.

Table 3. Medical expenditure and hospital stay of patients undergoing appendectomy according to surgery type.

Study group Control group
2020/1/1-2020/6/30 2019/1/1-2019/7/1
Variables Open appendectomy Laparoscopic appendectomy Open appendectomy Laparoscopic appendectomy
N = 57 N = 90 P N = 62 N = 96 P
Medical expenditure (NT dollars) 81236 +– 47942 75361 +– 27762 0.035 80090 +– 53694 72514 +– 29598 0.256
Hospital stay (days, after surgery only) 5.1 +– 2.8 3.9 +– 2.8 0.011 5.5 +– 4.1 3.8 +– 2.7 0.002

N: Number; NT dollars: New Taiwan dollars.

Discussion

Many areas in Asia were less impacted by COVID-19 than other areas. Possibly due to the mandatory mask-wearing policy and social distancing norms early on in the pandemic, the impact of COVID-19 in Taiwan was relatively temporary and limited compared with other parts of the world. However, we noted that the number of surgeries for appendicitis might have decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with a similar period a year before the pandemic. This probably occurred when the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged in Taiwan. In addition, the severity of appendicitis also increased, which appeared to inversely parallel the number of surgeries for appendicitis during the pandemic. Patients with self-limiting lower abdominal pain might be reluctant to seek help from healthcare providers to avoid contracting COVID-19. Therefore, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of surgeries for mild appendicitis seemed to decrease, and the severity of appendicitis increase.

In more severely COVID-19 infected areas, researchers have observed delays in consultation, higher rates of severe peritonitis and higher rates of complicated appendicitis in the pandemic cohort [15,16]. Researchers in Colombia have demonstrated that the severity of appendicitis was higher during the pandemic (92%) than in the same period a year before the pandemic (57.1%, P = 0.003) [4]. They suggested that patients with mild abdominal pain during the pandemic might postpone visiting the emergency room until their symptoms become irreversible. A study in China reported a higher proportion of ruptured appendicitis during the pandemic when compared with that in 2019 [17]. For patients who were quarantined for COVID-19, a study reported 44.9% (48/107) of patients who presented with acute appendicitis, and 33.3% (16/48) of these patients with acute appendicitis had a ruptured appendix [18]. However, there have been different reports. In a 7-week interval study conducted in Israel, although the incidence of acute appendicitis showed a significant decrease during the COVID-19 pandemic, the percentage of complicated appendicitis did not show a significant difference between the study and control groups [7]. Additionally, another survey conducted in Turkey did not observe any increase in perforated appendicitis during the pandemic [10]. The normal appendix rate was estimated to be 3.6% (11/307) in our study, which was comparable to other reports. The average rate has been reported to be 20.6% in large, international multicenter studies and as low as 3.3% and as high as 36.8% in individual centers [19]. The lower rate of our result could be partially attributed to the high coverage of the NHI and no restrictions with respect to abdominal or pelvic CT before surgery. A high abdominal CT examination rate (91.2%) before surgery might help surgeons assess the severity and subsequently decrease the rate of normal appendices.

Abdominal CT has often been used as a useful diagnostic tool for acute appendicitis; however, it should not be advocated during the COVID-19 pandemic. It could present a logistical challenge and increase the risk of cross‐exposure of the staff and patients when we should be aiming to minimize this [20]. A reduction in the number of abdominal CT scans used to detect early or mild acute appendicitis could be expected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, those diagnosed with appendicitis by CT presented at later stages with greater disease severity [4]. When conservative treatment is considered, it is necessary to confirm the diagnosis by imaging techniques, such as abdominal CT [21]. Apart from identifying fluid accumulation or an abscess around the appendix, CT may also visualize fecoliths in the appendix. Although the presence of a fecolith in the appendix did not necessarily indicate appendicitis, approximately one-third of the patients with appendicitis presented with a fecolith [22], which was similar to our results. The presence of fecoliths increases the likelihood of appendiceal perforation.

The ability of surgical services to maintain a role depends on the peak of the pandemic, the spread of the disease, the duration of societal regulations, and the duration and temporal epidemic periods by which the disease burden will approach the threshold of maximum capacity of the critical care resources [23]. During the COVID-19 pandemic, several national surgical societies and organizations have issued guidance for surgery including the role of conservative management and concerns over laparoscopic surgery [2427]. Studies have indicated that the management of acute appendicitis has shifted to more conservative interventions during the pandemic. In the UK, the COVID-19 outbreak has changed the treatment of appendicitis with a conservative method which has proven to be effective [28,29]. Regarding uncomplicated and complicated acute appendicitis, a meta-analysis comparing appendectomy (N = 1,288) and conservative treatment (N = 1,463) found that conservative treatment with antibiotics was significantly associated with fewer complications and shorter hospitalization; however, it had a higher relapse rate [30]. Nonetheless, the surgical community frequently expresses concerns about the seemingly high rates of failure, and the risk of prolonged hospitalization [31]. Furthermore, a report showed that even in a patient with confirmed COVID-19 undergoing appendectomy, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 was not detected in the peritoneal fluid or peritoneal washings [32].

The surgical technique (laparoscopic or open appendectomy) for treating patients with appendicitis during the COVID-19 pandemic is also debatable. Although laparoscopic appendectomy comprised approximately 60% of all appendectomies in the current study, it was not advocated by some investigators [24]. The potential of aerosol-borne viruses released by laparoscopy in a COVID-19 positive patient might expose the personnel in the operating room to the risk of contamination [2]. A study conducted in the UK showed that appendectomy during the pandemic (56% open appendectomy) was significantly associated with practice before the pandemic (0.4% open appendectomy) due to guidance recommendations [28]. The route of contamination in operating rooms through aerosol is particularly important in relation to the evacuation of the pneumoperitoneum at the end of a laparoscopic surgery [33]. In the USA and elsewhere in Europe, specialty bodies did not condemn laparoscopic surgery [34]. A survey of 744 surgeons (from 66 countries) revealed that only one-third changed their approach from laparoscopic to open surgery owing to the popular (but evidence-lacking) advice from expert groups [35]. Obviously, there are discordant attitudes globally toward laparoscopic techniques in appendectomy during the pandemic.

The present study had certain limitations. First, the COVID-19 pandemic in Taiwan was relatively limited during the first half of the year compared with other countries. The spikes in confirmed COVID-19 cases lasted less than 2 months and subsequent lockdown of social activities including access to healthcare facilities persisted for less than 4 months. The condition of patients with mild abdominal pain who reluctantly sought medical help due to the COVID-19 pandemic might not resemble the condition that most countries confronted. Exhaustion of health capacity caused by COVID-19 was not seen or was mild, if any. Second, as noted by some investigators, it took about 4 weeks after the onset of COVID-19 for the change in the incidence of acute appendicitis to become apparent [7]; therefore, the magnitude of the change in the incidence in the current study might not match that of other countries. Through different study designs (bi-week) in the current study, changes in the incidence of appendicitis could still be observed. However, this scale inflated the number of regression models, leading to potentially erroneous inferences. Therefore, the results should be carefully interpreted. Third, studies investigating the incidence of surgery usually suffered from representativeness, as patients could seek any hospitals they preferred instead of considering the location. However, with the pandemic restriction, patients with acute appendicitis usually sought hospitals located in their neighborhood as people could not travel freely. Finally, the selection of the comparison period was arbitrary. We were unsure which period was the best for the control group; however, we assumed that the ideal control group might be a calendar year ahead of the pandemic, wherein the incidence, severity, and type of surgery for acute appendicitis could be assumed to be equivalent.

Conclusions

In conclusion, COVID-19 has disrupted healthcare systems, practices, and accessibility globally. The number of patients with acute appendicitis seeking surgical treatment might decrease as confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged, even in areas where the outbreak was relatively mild. We noted that the severity of appendicitis was higher during periods with fewer appendectomies, which suggests that patients with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain) might reluctantly seek help until symptoms become aggravated. In Taipei, strategies of mask-wearing and social distancing contained the outbreak of COVID-19 during the first half of the year, therefore, the influence on the incidence and severity of appendicitis during this period was not comprehensive.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

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Decision Letter 0

Chun Chieh Yeh

18 May 2021

PONE-D-21-07736

The severity of appendicitis increases during the COVID-19 pandemic?

PLOS ONE

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Reviewer #1: Comments to the Author PONE-D-21-07736

This is an interesting article discussing the the severity of appendicitis during the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors assume that the timing of seeking medical help in patients with appendicitis may potentially procrastinate during the pandemic. They conclude that the severity of acute appendicitis might increase during pandemic, probably due to decrease attitude to seek help in patient with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain).

I have several comments,

1. Suggest that the title should have a clear, precise scientific meaning and should not be phrased as a question. Where possible, the title should be read as one concise sentence.

2. Is the severity of appendicitis based on clinical finding or on pathologic report?

3. Previous studies had already showed an increasing incidence of complicated appendicitis during pandemic, which might be due to that patients are not seeking appropriate, timely surgical care (As your references 9, 10, 11…etc.). Moreover, there were some other similar studies such as (1. Lee-Archer P, et al. J Paediatr Child Health. 2020 Aug; 56(8):1313-1314. 2. Cano-Valderrama O, et al. Int J Surg. 2020 Aug; 80:157-161.) . Therefore, the finding in this article may not be original. Additionally, the conclusion seems not be robustly deduced from the result. For a confined evidence rather than a plausible assumption, suggest to search or establish a solid indicator(s) for the association of quarantine/mask policy and the increased severity of appendicitis.

4. Why choose a “bi-week” scale rather than a “month” scale?

5. In the method section, the study period for study group is January 1, 2020 and June 30, 2020, while for control group is January 1, 2019 and July 1, 2019 (leap year for 2020). However, the study group is 2020/1/1-2020/6/30 and the control group is 2019/1/1-2019/6/30 in table 1. May amend and check the exact date among the figures and tables.

6. Need to add “minutes” to the operation time in table 1.

7. Suggest performing a comparison of study group to control group in table 2. An alternative is to perform an interaction test to ascertain the differences between two groups

8. Please add related description of figure 1 and 2 in the result section. Additionally, why there were data of 2019/7/2-2019/12/30 in figure 2, 3?

9. How to measure the “Temporal change” in figure 3B? There was no related description in the method section.

10. The section of discussion is a bit long and need concise.

11. The style of references is inconsistent and confusing.

12. Would encourage the authors to obtain assistance in English writing.

Reviewer #2: This is an interesting study that compares the grade and overall number of presentations with appendicitis at a Taiwanese hospital during two time periods – the first 6 months of 2019 and the first 6 months of 2020 (i.e. during the COVID-19 pandemic). The authors hypothesize that concern about the pandemic impacted treatment-seeking behavior in the populace, in turn leading to delay in seeking medical treatment and thus increased severity at eventual presentation.

I have several major concerns about the methodology employed in this study, as outlined below.

1. The statistical analysis section is lacking details required to fully understand how the authors obtained their results. For example, there are no details on any univariable analyses as per the results seen in Table 2 or the subgroup analyses to obtain the results in Table 3. I suggest the authors revise this section to include these details, in addition to briefly outlining how the figures were produced.

2. Patient presentation data are divided into thirteen “bi-week” periods to capture change in presentations over time using logistic regression. However, this approach inflates the number of regression models required and dilutes the sample size being examined in each of these statistical models. This can lead to potentially erroneous inferences (i.e. the multiple comparisons problem) and imprecise odds ratio estimates, as evidenced by the extremely large 95% confidence intervals in Table 2. This is a serious limitation of the current approach which is not currently discussed in the manuscript.

I recommend the authors provide major revisions to the results and discussion to address these issues. Suggested approaches to consider would include an overall analysis comparing severe appendicitis presentations in the study and control groups, broadening of the time periods considered (e.g. before, during and after the main outbreak in Taiwan), or a time-series analysis to estimate a moving average of severe appendicitis cases over time. If the authors also decide to retain the current results, they should adjust for multiple comparisons and revise the language to describe the results so as not to overstate their findings.

3. Further to point 2, Table 2 implies that the reference interval is the first two weeks of each year. The odds ratios produced for the study group describe the relative change in odds of severe appendicitis as compared to the first week of that year (i.e. bi-week 8 of 2020 compared to bi-week 1 of 2020), which is then indirectly used to compare study populations. A more intuitive approach would be directly comparing corresponding intervals between years (i.e. bi-week 8 of 2020 compared to bi-week 8 of 2019), especially as the authors describe seasonal patterns in appendicitis presentations. If the authors maintain the "bi-week" analytical approach, I advise they include further explanation of why this method was chosen to make it clear why the direct comparison was not used.

4. The language to describe severity of appendicitis is not used consistently throughout. The severity categories are “normal, mild, uncomplicated and complicated” in some places (e.g. the Dependent variables section), and “normal, mild, moderate or severe” in others (e.g. Abstract and Results section). Clarification of these categories will improve readability. I strongly suggest clarifying these terms and explicitly defining the outcome of interest for the logistic regression analysis in the Dependent variable section.

5. I suggest avoiding using the word “significant” when reporting differences, as there is evidence that the p-value significance criteria of <0.05 is too high and contributing to the reproducibility crisis in research (see Benjamin, D.J., Berger, J.O., Johannesson, M. et al. Redefine statistical significance. Nat Hum Behav 2, 6–10 (2018).

6. “Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the possibility of getting ruptured (or impending) ruptured appendicitis at different time period”. This does not clearly define the outcome of interest using the established appendicitis severity ratings, and does not describe the groups being compared, and needs to be revised for clarity

7. “Severity of acute appendicitis might increase during COVID-19 pandemic, probably due to decrease attitude to seek help in patient with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain)”. The wording is very strong and risks overstating findings. The use of “probably” should be substituted with more cautious wording, such as “potentially” or “may be”.

8. I would recommend the authors include a limitations section in their Discussion section to highlight any caveats on their conclusions.

I also have some suggestions regarding the tables and figures in the manuscript:

9. Table 1 suggestions:

- Include subheadings to indicate which characteristics relate to patients, treatments and hospitalization.

- Fecolith should have a “No” category.

- Consider reporting median and interquartile range for some continuous outcomes such as cost and length of hospital stay. This is to be consistent with the Results section (“Median hospital stay in the study group was 3 (1–16) days, vs. 3 (1–28) days in the control group (p = 0.818)”) and because these variables are often non-normally distributed, so the median and interquartile range better capture the spread of the variable.

-In the Statistical analysis section, include detail about method used to get the p-value comparing continuous outcomes in Table 1

10. Table 2 caption should include details about univariable analysis and what the comparator groups are.

11. Table 3 needs an appropriate caption to indicate stratification by surgery type.

12. For Figure 1, the relevance of world COVID-19 case and fatality figures is not clear. Do the authors anticipate rising cases around the world would have some impact on hospital attendance in Taiwan in the absence of local cases? E.g. Was there ongoing concern about possible imported cases?

13. For Figure 2, I suggest that the x-axis include dates ranges instead of bi-week number for easier comparison with the case numbers provided by date in Figure 1. The reason for including the “reference” line (July 2019-December 2020) is not clear, as this time period was not discussed in the manuscript at all – could the authors please justify this?

14. Figure 3 suggestions:

- The use of percentage differences should be replaced with actual raw value differences in B, as percentages can be misleadingly large when there are few appendicitis cases.

- As with Figure 2, suggest labelling each bi-week with the corresponding date range for easier comparison with the case numbers shown in Figure 1, as well as discussion of why the July 2019-December 2020 timeframe was included.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2022 Feb 10;17(2):e0263814. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263814.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


2 Jul 2021

Author’s point-by-point response to review comments (PONE-D-21-07736) :

We have carefully revised the manuscript in view of the editorial and reviewers’ comments as outlined in detail below.

Reviewer’s comments:

Reviewer #1: I have several comments,

1. Suggest that the title should have a clear, precise scientific meaning and should not be phrased as a question. Where possible, the title should be read as one concise sentence. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. The title showed the question we wanted to know whether the severity of appendicitis increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in Taiwan, where situation of COVID-19 seemed relatively milder than other countries for the first half year. After all, the results indicated the severity increased only in the short term, instead of all the half year. We had no robust result that the severity of appendicitis increased all the half year, that is why the title is rephrased as a question “Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?”. Because COVID-19 is an emerging disease, some research such as References 11, 32, 35 might use questionable titles to express this uncertainty.

2. Is the severity of appendicitis based on clinical finding or on pathologic report? Response: Yes, thanks to reviewer’s comment. The severity of appendicitis was based mainly on pathologic report except for those who had no specimen examined. Clinical finding (such as CT report) was also important to classify the severity.

3. Previous studies had already showed an increasing incidence of complicated appendicitis during pandemic, which might be due to that patients are not seeking appropriate, timely surgical care (As your references 9, 10, 11…etc.). Moreover, there were some other similar studies such as (1. Lee-Archer P, et al. J Paediatr Child Health. 2020 Aug; 56(8):1313-1314. 2. Cano-Valderrama O, et al. Int J Surg. 2020 Aug; 80:157-161.) . Therefore, the finding in this article may not be original. Additionally, the conclusion seems not be robustly deduced from the result. For a confined evidence rather than a plausible assumption, suggest to search or establish a solid indicator(s) for the association of quarantine/mask policy and the increased severity of appendicitis.

Reply: Thanks to reviewer’s comment. Indeed, there were studies using various methods to examine the increasing incidence of complicated (perforated) appendicitis during the pandemic, but not all studies drew the same conclusion. At least one research did not observe any clear increase in the diagnosis of perforated appendicitis during the pandemic period [1, ref 11 of the manuscript]. In our present study, we also did not observe the severity of appendicitis get increased for all the half year. We found the severity of appendicitis got increased only in certain period (within period of spikes of COVID-19 cases). In addition, for neither single indicator such as complicated (or perforated) nor uncomplicated (moderate or non-perforated) appendicitis, did we find significant increase of numbers during the COVID-19 pandemic. Instead, decreased percentage of mild appendicitis could be observed (as shown in Figure 3A). The reasonable explanation was that patients with self-limiting lower abdominal pain might be reluctant to seek help from healthcare providers to avoid contracting COVID-19. Therefore, we presented our results in our present study.

Reference

1. Turanli S, Kiziltan G: Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Cause a Delay in the Diagnosis of Acute Appendicitis? World J Surg 2020. 45 (1), 18–22.

4. Why choose a “bi-week” scale rather than a “month” scale? Response: We would like to thank the reviewers for thoughtful comment. A “bi-week” scale represents 14 days, but there are four types of possible lengths for a “month” (28, 29, 30, 31 days), which just all occurred during our study period. We thought a “bi-week” had stable length rather than a “month”, especially when involving a leap year. In addition, the spike and plateau of the confirmed numbers in our study exceeded no more than one month during the 6 months (refers to Figure 1). Use the scale of a “month” might not explicitly observe the change of the severity of appendicitis. So, for a country like Taiwan where the pandemic was not consistently overwhelmed for more than three months, we chose a “bi-week” scale to better inspect this change.

5. In the method section, the study period for study group is January 1, 2020 and June 30, 2020, while for control group is January 1, 2019 and July 1, 2019 (leap year for 2020). However, the study group is 2020/1/1-2020/6/30 and the control group is 2019/1/1-2019/6/30 in table 1. May amend and check the exact date among the figures and tables. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made a correction of Table 1 in the revised manuscript.

6. Need to add “minutes” to the operation time in table 1. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made a change accordingly in the revised manuscript.

7. Suggest performing a comparison of study group to control group in table 2. An alternative is to perform an interaction test to ascertain the differences between two groups. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. Although a comparison of study group to control group in table 2 was suggested, the P value of the variable “Severity of appendicitis” could be seen as 0.213 in Table 1 (using Chi-Square test). It indicated that the severity of appendicitis did not significantly increase during all the six months at Taipei City Hospital. Further investigation using this categorization in these first six months would reveal similar data. Therefore, it was needed to utilize smaller scale (such as a “bi-week” or a “month” scale) to inspect this change.

8. Please add related description of figure 1 and 2 in the result section. Additionally, why there were data of 2019/7/2-2019/12/30 in figure 2, 3? Response:

A. For Figure 1, we had related description in the result section already. “In Taiwan, Ffrom January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020, there were 447 patients who had a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and 7 patients died due to of this disease in Taiwan. Worldwide, during At the same period, there were 20,273,001 patients who had a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and 505,295 patients died due to this diagnosis disease all over the world (Figure 1) [15]. The daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan and the world surged after March 20, 2020 and March 25, 2020, respectively. However, such this increase lasted only for one 1 month in Taiwan.” (1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th sentences, 1st paragraph, Results section). B. For Figure 2, we had related description in the result section already. “Compared to with the control group, the number of surgery surgeries for appendicitis was relatively low between January 29 and March 24 April 21 in the study group (Figure 2).” (6th sentence, 1st paragraph, Results section). C. We thank the reviewer’s comment. We delete data of 2019/7/2-2019/12/30 in figures 2 and 3 in the revised manuscript according to reviewer’s suggestion.

9. How to measure the “Temporal change” in figure 3B? There was no related description in the method section. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have added a descrpition in the revised manuscript. “Percentage differences in uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis between the study and control groups were calculated using the following formula: ( ; ).” (5th sentence, 4th paragraph, Materials and methods section)

10. The section of discussion is a bit long and need concise. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made section of discussion a shorter change in the revised manuscript (especially in 2nd paragraph of Discussion)

11. The style of references is inconsistent and confusing. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made several changes (adding pages number) of references ([1], [9], [10], [11], [16], [19], [21], [24], [27], [28], [29], [30], [36]) in the revised manuscript.

12. Would encourage the authors to obtain assistance in English writing. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have obtained assistance in English writing in the revised manuscript.

Reviewer #2: I have several major concerns about the methodology employed in this study, as outlined below,

1. The statistical analysis section is lacking details required to fully understand how the authors obtained their results. For example, there are no details on any univariable analyses as per the results seen in Table 2 or the subgroup analyses to obtain the results in Table 3. I suggest the authors revise this section to include these details, in addition to briefly outlining how the figures were produced. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made two changes in the revised manuscript. “The numerical variables (medical expenditure and hospital stay) were compared using Student’s t-test. Percentage differences in uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis between the study and control groups were calculated using the following formula: ( ; ). Univariate and Mmultivariate logistic regression analysies was were conducted to assess the possibility of getting ruptured (or impending) ruptured uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal & mild appendicitis) at different time periods” (4th, 5th and 6th sentences, 4th paragraph, Materials and methods section).

2. Patient presentation data are divided into thirteen “bi-week” periods to capture change in presentations over time using logistic regression. However, this approach inflates the number of regression models required and dilutes the sample size being examined in each of these statistical models. This can lead to potentially erroneous inferences (i.e. the multiple comparisons problem) and imprecise odds ratio estimates, as evidenced by the extremely large 95% confidence intervals in Table 2. This is a serious limitation of the current approach which is not currently discussed in the manuscript.

I recommend the authors provide major revisions to the results and discussion to address these issues. Suggested approaches to consider would include an overall analysis comparing severe appendicitis presentations in the study and control groups, broadening of the time periods considered (e.g. before, during and after the main outbreak in Taiwan), or a time-series analysis to estimate a moving average of severe appendicitis cases over time. If the authors also decide to retain the current results, they should adjust for multiple comparisons and revise the language to describe the results so as not to overstate their findings. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have added a limitation section in the revised manuscript. “Second, as noted by some investigators, it took about 4 weeks after the onset of COVID-19 for the change in the incidence of acute appendicitis to become apparent [7]; therefore, the magnitude of the change in the incidence in the current study might not match that of other countries. Through different study designs (bi-week) in the current study, changes in the incidence of appendicitis could still be observed. However, this scale inflated the number of regression models, leading to potentially erroneous inferences. Therefore, the results should be careful interpreted.” (6th, 7th, 8th and 9th sentences, limitation paragraph, Discussion section)

3. Further to point 2, Table 2 implies that the reference interval is the first two weeks of each year. The odds ratios produced for the study group describe the relative change in odds of severe appendicitis as compared to the first week of that year (i.e. bi-week 8 of 2020 compared to bi-week 1 of 2020), which is then indirectly used to compare study populations. A more intuitive approach would be directly comparing corresponding intervals between years (i.e. bi-week 8 of 2020 compared to bi-week 8 of 2019), especially as the authors describe seasonal patterns in appendicitis presentations. If the authors maintain the "bi-week" analytical approach, I advise they include further explanation of why this method was chosen to make it clear why the direct comparison was not used. Response: Thank the reviewer’s comment. Yes, we have initially contemplated using this intuitive approach that directly comparing corresponding intervals between years (i.e. bi-week 8 of 2020 compared to bi-week 8 of 2019). But on a second thought, as Reviewer #2 raised concern in “Question 2” that bi-week scale inflates the number of regression models required and dilutes the sample size being examined in each of these statistical models, leading to potentially erroneous inferences (i.e. the multiple comparisons problem) and imprecise odds ratio estimates, this intuitive approach that directly comparing corresponding intervals then was not used. Aside from indirect comparison in Table 2, we also used Figure 3B to compare between groups whether the percentage of uncomplicated & complicated appendicitis in patients with appendicitis increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Figure 3A depicts the raw data for comparison.

4. The language to describe severity of appendicitis is not used consistently throughout. The severity categories are “normal, mild, uncomplicated and complicated” in some places (e.g. the Dependent variables section), and “normal, mild, moderate or severe” in others (e.g. Abstract and Results section). Clarification of these categories will improve readability. I strongly suggest clarifying these terms and explicitly defining the outcome of interest for the logistic regression analysis in the Dependent variable section. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made changes in the revised manuscript. “The dependent variable was uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis. The severity of appendicitis was classified as normal, mild, uncomplicated (moderate), and or complicated (severe) appendicitis [14].” (2nd sentence, 3rd paragraph, Materials and methods section) “The Ppercentage of moderate/severe uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (excluding mild appendicitis or normal appendix) in the study group increased between February 26 and March 2410, as well as between April 228 and May 5 April 21.” (last 2nd sentence, Results of Abstract). “The Nnumber of patients with moderate/severe uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis would not is unlikely be likely to decrease due to the COVID-19 outburst outbreak.” (3rd sentence, 2nd paragraph, Introduction section). “Compared to with the control group, the percentage difference of severe uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (excluding mild appendicitis/normal appendix) for in the study group (vs. the control group) increased up to by more than 40% during the fifth bi-week 5 (February 26–March 10) and eighth bi-week 8 (April 8–April 21) (Figure 3).” (last sentence, 2nd paragraph, Results section).

5. I suggest avoiding using the word “significant” when reporting differences, as there is evidence that the p-value significance criteria of <0.05 is too high and contributing to the reproducibility crisis in research (see Benjamin, D.J., Berger, J.O., Johannesson, M. et al. Redefine statistical significance. Nat Hum Behav 2, 6–10 (2018). Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment and reference relating statistical significance. We have made a change in the revised manuscript. “However, a such finding of significant increase increasing of in OR for the severity of appendicitis was shown not observed in neither the univariate nor or multivariate analysis analyses of the control group.” (last 2nd sentence, last paragraph, Results section).

6. “Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the possibility of getting ruptured (or impending) ruptured appendicitis at different time period”. This does not clearly define the outcome of interest using the established appendicitis severity ratings, and does not describe the groups being compared, and needs to be revised for clarity Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made a modification in the revised manuscript. “Univariate and Mmultivariate logistic regression analysies was were conducted to assess the possibility of getting ruptured (or impending) ruptured uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal & mild appendicitis) at different time periods. The dependent variable was uncomplicated & complicated appendicitis.” (6th, 4th paragraph, Materials and methods section).

7. “Severity of acute appendicitis might increase during COVID-19 pandemic, probably due to decrease attitude to seek help in patient with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain)”. The wording is very strong and risks overstating findings. The use of “probably” should be substituted with more cautious wording, such as “potentially” or “may be”. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We therefore have made a change in the revised manuscript after obtaining assistance in English writing. “The Sseverity of acute appendicitis might increase during the COVID-19 pandemic, probably because due to decrease attitude to seek help in patients with mild appendicitis (or abdominal pain) may hesitate to seek help.” (Conclusion, Abstract).

8. I would recommend the authors include a limitations section in their Discussion section to highlight any caveats on their conclusions. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have added a limitation in the revised manuscript.

9. Table 1 suggestions:

- Include subheadings to indicate which characteristics relate to patients, treatments and hospitalization.

- Fecolith should have a “No” category.

- Consider reporting median and interquartile range for some continuous outcomes such as cost and length of hospital stay. This is to be consistent with the Results section (“Median hospital stay in the study group was 3 (1–16) days, vs. 3 (1–28) days in the control group (p = 0.818)”) and because these variables are often non-normally distributed, so the median and interquartile range better capture the spread of the variable.

-In the Statistical analysis section, include detail about method used to get the p-value comparing continuous outcomes in Table 1

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. A. We have made a change regarding subheadings (” Patient characteristics”,” Treatment characteristics”,” Hospitalization characteristics”) in Table 1 of the revised manuscript. B. We have added “No” category and their corresponding number in Table 1 of the revised manuscript. C. We have added median and interquartile range of cost and length of hospital stay in the revised Table 1. D. We have made a modification in the revised manuscript. “The numerical variables (medical expenditure and hospital stay) were compared using Student’s t-test.” (4th sentence, 4th paragraph, Materials and methods section).

10. Table 2 caption should include details about univariable analysis and what the comparator groups are. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made a change according to reviewer’s suggestion in the revised manuscript. “Table 2 Univariate and Mmultivariate logistic regression analyses of odds ratios for uncomplicated/ and complicated appendicitis (vs. normal/ and mild appendicitis)” (Caption, Table 2).

11. Table 3 needs an appropriate caption to indicate stratification by surgery type. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have made a change according to reviewer’s suggestion in the revised manuscript. “Table 3 Baseline characteristics Medical expenditure and hospital stay of patients undergoing appendectomy according to surgery type” (Caption, Table 3).

12. For Figure 1, the relevance of world COVID-19 case and fatality figures is not clear. Do the authors anticipate rising cases around the world would have some impact on hospital attendance in Taiwan in the absence of local cases? E.g. Was there ongoing concern about possible imported cases? Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. Figure 1 combines the COVID-19 cases and fatality figures between the world and Taiwan. This figure illustrates that the surges in Taiwan preceded the worldwide pandemic a little bit earlier but became indolent thereafter. So it probably hints that local cases of COVID-19 would have some impact on hospital attendance in Taiwan initially, but not in the last half period of time. Compared with the world in the same six months, this figure showed that the confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan did not increase in parallel with the worlds in all the six months except for one or two surges in one month. That’s why we chose a “bi-week” scale rather than a “month” scale in the timeframe. The reason why this relationship between Taiwan and the world illustrated in Figure 1 is probably due to countermeasures taken to prevent disease dissemination in Taiwan in the very beginning of the pandemic which was beyond the scope our study purpose.

13. For Figure 2, I suggest that the x-axis include dates ranges instead of bi-week number for easier comparison with the case numbers provided by date in Figure 1. The reason for including the “reference” line (July 2019-December 2020) is not clear, as this time period was not discussed in the manuscript at all – could the authors please justify this? Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. For figure 2, we have added dates ranges in the revised Figure 2, and removed the “reference line (July 2019-December 2019)” from Figure 2 according to reviewer’s recommendation.

14. Figure 3 suggestions:

- A. The use of percentage differences should be replaced with actual raw value differences in B, as percentages can be misleadingly large when there are few appendicitis cases.

- B. As with Figure 2, suggest labelling each bi-week with the corresponding date range for easier comparison with the case numbers shown in Figure 1, as well as discussion of why the July 2019-December 2020 timeframe was included. Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s kind comment. A. In Figure 3, 3A shows the actual raw value of mild (& normal), uncomplicated, and complicated appendicitis between two groups. Figure 3B supplements the information from Figure 3A by percentage difference between two groups. Figure 3B could be created by percentage difference of mild appendicitis or uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis, which we chose the latter to illustrate. Although we found percentage of mild appendicitis decreased (ie. the percentage of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis increased), we finally chose the figure of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis as Figure 3B since it shows two surges which somewhat resemble Figure 1A. Therefore, we would like to present percentage difference as original Figure 3B shows. B. For figure 3, we have added dates ranges in the revised Figure 3, and removed the data of cases between July 2, 2019 and December 30, 2019 in the revised Figure 3A according to reviewer’s recommendation to avoid misinterpretation.

Decision Letter 1

Chun Chieh Yeh

5 Nov 2021

PONE-D-21-07736R1

Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Chang,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

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 The quality of your article have been greatly improved. However, our reviewer still raised some concerns. We look for your corresponding response and revisions. 

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Chun Chieh Yeh, M.D., Ph.D.

Academic Editor

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Journal Requirements:

Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

Additional Editor Comments (if provided):

Thanks for your revisions. The quality of your article have been greatly improved. However, our reviewer still raised some concerns. We look for your corresponding response and revisions.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

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Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Partly

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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6. Review Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: Comments to the Author PONE-D-21-04326R1

The authors have completely addressed the comments, and added response to text and study limitation.

However, reference 4 and reference 10 are repeated. Need revision.

Reviewer #2: I thank the editors and authors for the chance to review the revised manuscript, “Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?”. The quality of the paper has improved significantly with revision. The authors have addressed many of the concerns from the initial review, however I have some additional concerns on the revised manuscript. There is one remaining major comment, and several minor comments:

Major comment

The authors have maintained the approach dividing the data into bi-week periods for comparing the number of moderate or severe appendicitis presentations within the study and control groups. As mentioned in the previous review, there are serious issues with this method from a statistical perspective due to the large number of regression models required. Although the authors do mention these limitations in the Discussion, there should also be a clear statement in the Methods that no adjustment was made for multiple comparisons. I would also recommend an explicit mention of the small sample size relative to the number of parameters included in the model, leading to imprecise estimates for some variables. Additionally, I believe the paper would benefit greatly by providing a comparison of the overall difference in moderate or severe appendicitis over 6 months between the study groups. This is a simple, less underpowered analysis which is important to provide context to the readers about the “overall” effect of the pandemic and to frame the results provided in the bi-week approach.

Minor comments

1. Abstract: “The mean age was 46.2 + 19.8 years; male predominance was observed was observed (52.1%, 160/307).”

‘Was observed’ is repeated twice. ‘Predominance’ is not the right word in this sentence as there are only slightly more males than females.

2. Materials and Methods, Dependent Variable: “The dependent variable was uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis.”

Suggest moving this sentence to after explanation of the different levels of appendicitis, and refining so it’s clear that this is a binary variable e.g. “The dependent variable was a binary indicator of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (0 – normal, mild; 1 – uncomplicated, complicated).”

3. Materials and Methods, Statistical Analysis: “Patient characteristics of (excluding age), treatment (excluding surgery time), and disease variables aree reported as numbers and percentages.”

There are typos in this sentence – ‘of’ should be removed before “(excluding age)” and ‘aree’ should be replaced with ‘are’.

4. Results: “Compared with the control group, the number of surgeries for appendicitis was relatively low between January 29 and April 21 in the study group (Figure 2).”

I would disagree with this statement, in my reading I see the numbers as approximately equivalent for the 25th of March to the 21st of April. Therefore, to avoid this subjectivity in the results section, I suggest reporting the actual number of surgeries in this period for either group rather than just referring to the figure.

5. Results: “Surgery was performed under general anesthesia in approximately 80% of the patients.”

Should replace ‘approximate’ with ‘approximately’.

6. Results and Table 1: “The mean operation time was 67 + 27 min (range: 20–167 min). Dirty or contaminated wounds were observed in a quarter (25.1%, 77/307)”

The upper limit of the operation time is 168 minutes in Table 1 – please fix this so the values match. Table 1 also has a value of 7/307 for dirty or contaminated wounds, which looks like a typo.

7. Results: “Compared with the control group, the percentage difference of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in the study group (vs. the control group) increased by more than 40% during the fifth bi-week (February 26–March 10) and eighth bi-week.”

Yes, but raw numbers of presentations must also be reported in this sentence to provide context to the percentage change. In both bi-week 5 and 8, the percentage change seems to be primarily driven by having fewer mild/normal cases rather than an increase in uncomplicated/complicated appendicitis. Providing the raw numbers in addition to percentage difference is necessary for transparency in the text as it was for Figure 3.

8. Results and Table 2: “April 8–April 21 (OR = 11.25, 95% CI: 1.17–>100 , P = 0.036)”

Please report the upper limit of the 95% CI as a value, not ‘>100’. This also applies to bi-week 5 in the study group multivariate analysis.

9. Results: “However, a such increase in OR for the severity of appendicitis was not observed in the univariate or multivariate analyses of the control group.”

This is not accurate for bi-week 2 as the estimated OR in the control group is 2.81 (univariate) and 6.38 (multivariate) which is quite similar to the ORs estimated in the study group (3.25 (univariate) and 5.81 (multivariate)). I believe the authors are discussing the 95% CI in this case, but the comment implies that the magnitude of the effect is small for the control group and so is inappropriate for this specific comparison.

10. Discussion and Conclusion:

I believe the authors need to further review/soften some of the language around the findings from their study considering the limitations of the statistical methods used. For example:

- “This occurred when the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged.”

- “The severity of appendicitis also increased, which inversely paralleled the number of surgeries for appendicitis during the pandemic.”

- “Therefore, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of surgeries for mild appendicitis has decreased, and the severity of appendicitis has increased.”

- “The number of patients with acute appendicitis seeking surgical treatment decreased as confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged.”

These kind of conclusions overstate the findings as a number of the ORs during the pandemic period in the study group have 95% CIs which are less than 1 (e.g. bi-week 6, 7 and 9). I recommend these sentences are amended to indicate the uncertainty evidenced in the 95% CIs.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2022 Feb 10;17(2):e0263814. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263814.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


23 Nov 2021

Author’s point-by-point response to review comments (PONE-D-21-07736R1) :

We have carefully revised the manuscript in view of the editorial and reviewers’ comments as outlined in detail below.

Reviewer’s comments:

Reviewer #1: The authors have completely addressed the comments, and added response to text and study limitation.

1. However, reference 4 and reference 10 are repeated. Need revision. Response: Thanks to reviewer’s comment. We have updated references (by deleting repeated reference 10 and updating numbering of references) in the resubmitted manuscript.

Reviewer #2: The quality of the paper has improved significantly with revision. The authors have addressed many of the concerns from the initial review, however I have some additional concerns on the revised manuscript.

Major comment

1. As mentioned in the previous review, there are serious issues with this method from a statistical perspective due to the large number of regression models required. Although the authors do mention these limitations in the Discussion, there should also be a clear statement in the Methods that no adjustment was made for multiple comparisons. I would also recommend an explicit mention of the small sample size relative to the number of parameters included in the model, leading to imprecise estimates for some variables. Additionally, I believe the paper would benefit greatly by providing a comparison of the overall difference in moderate or severe appendicitis over 6 months between the study groups. This is a simple, less underpowered analysis which is important to provide context to the readers about the “overall” effect of the pandemic and to frame the results provided in the bi-week approach.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s informative comment.

A. We have added a statement regarding no adjustment was made for multiple comparisons in the Methods resection of the revised manuscript. “No adjustment was made for multiple comparisons when the sample size relative to the number of parameters was small.” (last 3rd sentence, last paragraph, Materials and methods section)

B. We have added a statement regarding mention of the small sample size relative to the number of parameters in the Methods resection of the revised manuscript. “No adjustment was made for multiple comparisons when the sample size relative to the number of parameters was small.” (last 3rd sentence, last paragraph, Materials and methods section)

C. We have also added comparison of the overall difference in moderate or severe appendicitis over 6 months between the study groups in the Results section of the revised manuscript. “Although the percentage of uncomplicated or complicated appendicitis was lower higher in the study group during the COVID-19 pandemic than that of the control group (68.5% vs. 58.9%), the difference was insignificant (P = 0.213). For comparison, the percentage of uncomplicated or complicated appendicitis over 6 months’ period between the study and control groups was 66.9 % (103/163).” (2nd and third sentences, 2nd paragraph, Results section).

Minor comments

1. Abstract: “The mean age was 46.2 + 19.8 years; male predominance was observed was observed (52.1%, 160/307).”

‘Was observed’ is repeated twice. ‘Predominance’ is not the right word in this sentence as there are only slightly more males than females.

Response: Yes, we appreciate the reviewer’s comment. We have delete “; male predominance was observed was observed (52.1%, 160/307)” in the revised manuscript.

2. Materials and Methods, Dependent Variable: “The dependent variable was uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis.”

Suggest moving this sentence to after explanation of the different levels of appendicitis, and refining so it’s clear that this is a binary variable e.g. “The dependent variable was a binary indicator of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (0 – normal, mild; 1 – uncomplicated, complicated).”

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have deleted the 1st sentence (dependent variable paragraph, Materials and methods section) and added a sentence in the revised manuscript. “The dependent variable was a binary indicator of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis (0 – normal, mild; 1 – uncomplicated, complicated).” (5th sentence, dependent variable paragraph, Materials and methods section)

3. Materials and Methods, Statistical Analysis: “Patient characteristics of (excluding age), treatment (excluding surgery time), and disease variables aree reported as numbers and percentages.”

There are typos in this sentence – ‘of’ should be removed before “(excluding age)” and ‘aree’ should be replaced with ‘are’.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have corrected these typos in the revised manuscript.

4. Results: “Compared with the control group, the number of surgeries for appendicitis was relatively low between January 29 and April 21 in the study group (Figure 2).”

I would disagree with this statement, in my reading I see the numbers as approximately equivalent for the 25th of March to the 21st of April. Therefore, to avoid this subjectivity in the results section, I suggest reporting the actual number of surgeries in this period for either group rather than just referring to the figure.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have added the actual number of surgeries in this period for either group in the revised manuscript. “Compared with the control group (70/158, 44.3%), the number of surgeries for appendicitis was relatively low between January 29 and April 21 (49/149, 32.9%) in the study group (Figure 2).” (6th sentence, 1st paragraph, Results section)

5. Results: “Surgery was performed under general anesthesia in approximately 80% of the patients.”

Should replace ‘approximate’ with ‘approximately’.

Response: We appreciate the reviewer’s comment. We have made a correction in the revised manuscript.

6. Results and Table 1: “The mean operation time was 67 + 27 min (range: 20–167 min). Dirty or contaminated wounds were observed in a quarter (25.1%, 77/307)”

The upper limit of the operation time is 168 minutes in Table 1 – please fix this so the values match. Table 1 also has a value of 7/307 for dirty or contaminated wounds, which looks like a typo.

Response: Yes, we appreciate the reviewer’s comment. We have made corrections for these typos in the revised manuscript.

7. Results: “Compared with the control group, the percentage difference of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in the study group (vs. the control group) increased by more than 40% during the fifth bi-week (February 26–March 10) and eighth bi-week.”

Yes, but raw numbers of presentations must also be reported in this sentence to provide context to the percentage change. In both bi-week 5 and 8, the percentage change seems to be primarily driven by having fewer mild/normal cases rather than an increase in uncomplicated/complicated appendicitis. Providing the raw numbers in addition to percentage difference is necessary for transparency in the text as it was for Figure 3.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have provided the raw numbers in addition to percentage difference in the revised manuscript. “Compared with the control group, the percentage difference of uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis in the study group (88.9%, 8/9 vs. the control group 42.9%, 6/14) increased by more than 40% during the fifth bi-week (February 26–March 10) (88.9%, 8/9 vs. the control group 42.9%, 6/14) and eighth bi-week (April 8–April 21) (90.0%, 9/10 vs. the control group 46.7%, 7/15) (Figure 3)” (last sentence, 2nd paragraph, Results section)

8. Results and Table 2: “April 8–April 21 (OR = 11.25, 95% CI: 1.17–>100 , P = 0.036)”

Please report the upper limit of the 95% CI as a value, not ‘>100’. This also applies to bi-week 5 in the study group multivariate analysis.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have reported these values in the Results and Table 2 of the revised manuscript.

9. Results: “However, a such increase in OR for the severity of appendicitis was not observed in the univariate or multivariate analyses of the control group.”

This is not accurate for bi-week 2 as the estimated OR in the control group is 2.81 (univariate) and 6.38 (multivariate) which is quite similar to the ORs estimated in the study group (3.25 (univariate) and 5.81 (multivariate)). I believe the authors are discussing the 95% CI in this case, but the comment implies that the magnitude of the effect is small for the control group and so is inappropriate for this specific comparison.

Response: Yes, we appreciate the reviewer’s comment. From Table 2, we never found the ORs (for the uncomplicated/complicated appendicitis) over 7 in the right two columns of the control group (neither univariate nor multivariate), which P values all insignificant. However, we noted that many ORs (for the uncomplicated/complicated appendicitis) overpass 7 in the left two columns of the study group (univariate & multivariate) and many of them were significant. Still, we have rephrased this sentence to minimize misunderstanding in the revised manuscript. “However, such a significant increase in OR (bi-weekly) for the severity of appendicitis was not observed in the univariate or multivariate analyses of the control group.” (last 2nd sentence, last paragraph, Results section)

10. Discussion and Conclusion:

I believe the authors need to further review/soften some of the language around the findings from their study considering the limitations of the statistical methods used. For example:

- “This occurred when the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged.”

- “The severity of appendicitis also increased, which inversely paralleled the number of surgeries for appendicitis during the pandemic.”

- “Therefore, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of surgeries for mild appendicitis has decreased, and the severity of appendicitis has increased.”

- “The number of patients with acute appendicitis seeking surgical treatment decreased as confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged.”

These kind of conclusions overstate the findings as a number of the ORs during the pandemic period in the study group have 95% CIs which are less than 1 (e.g. bi-week 6, 7 and 9). I recommend these sentences are amended to indicate the uncertainty evidenced in the 95% CIs.

Response: Yes, we thank the reviewer’s comment. We have modified these sentences in the revised manuscript.

“This probably occurred when the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged in Taiwan. In addition, the severity of appendicitis also increased, which appeared to inversely paralleled the number of surgeries for appendicitis during the pandemic.” (4th and 5th sentences, 1st paragraph, Discussion section)

“Therefore, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of surgeries for mild appendicitis has seemed to decreased, and the severity of appendicitis has increased.” (last sentence, 1st paragraph, Discussion section)

“The number of patients with acute appendicitis seeking surgical treatment might decreased as confirmed cases of COVID-19 surged,…….”(2nd sentence, Conclusions section)

Response to editors:

We also have updated references and reference type in the revised manuscript to conform the requirement of the journal.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Revised cover letter.doc

Decision Letter 2

Chun Chieh Yeh

28 Jan 2022

Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?

PONE-D-21-07736R2

Dear Dr. Chang,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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Kind regards,

Chun Chieh Yeh, M.D., Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Thanks for your specific responses to our referees' comments and we are glad to accept this article for publication.

However, only one minor revision was suggested and we wish you could revise it at the final draft.

Our referee had one very minor remaining comment on one sentence:

Results: “The median hospital stay in the study group was 3 (1–16) days and in the control group 3 (1–28) days (P = 0.818).”

Please amend to indicate that the value in brackets is the range.

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

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The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: The authors have completely addressed the comments and added responses to text and study limitation.

The references are updated.

Reviewer #2: All comments from the previous review have been addressed by the authors and I would recommend accepting the manuscript for publication. I have one very minor remaining comment on one sentence:

Results: “The median hospital stay in the study group was 3 (1–16) days and in the control group 3 (1–28) days (P = 0.818).”

Please amend to indicate that the value in brackets is the range.

**********

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Reviewer #2: No

Acceptance letter

Chun Chieh Yeh

2 Feb 2022

PONE-D-21-07736R2

Did the severity of appendicitis increase during the COVID-19 pandemic?

Dear Dr. Chang:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Chun Chieh Yeh

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Revised cover letter.doc

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript.


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