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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol. 2022 Feb 7;77:102110. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2022.102110

Understanding gastrointestinal cancer mortality disparities in a racially and geographically diverse population

Rebecca Nash 1,*, Maria C Russell 2, Jasmine M Miller-Kleinhenz 1, Lindsay J Collin 3, Katherine Ross-Driscoll 1, Jeffrey M Switchenko 4, Lauren E McCullough 1
PMCID: PMC8923985  NIHMSID: NIHMS1776255  PMID: 35144126

Abstract

Background:

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers represent a diverse group of diseases. We assessed differences in geographic and racial disparities in cancer-specific mortality across subtypes, overall and by patient characteristics, in a geographically and racially diverse US population.

Methods:

Clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics for patients diagnosed during 2009–2014 with colorectal cancer (CRC), pancreatic cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or gastric cancer in Georgia were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database. Patients were classified by geography (rural or urban county) and race and followed for cancer-specific death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate stratified hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between geography or race and cancer-specific mortality.

Results:

Overall, 77% of the study population resided in urban counties and 33% were non-Hispanic Black (NHB). For all subtypes, NHB patients were more likely to reside in urban counties than non-Hispanic White patients. Residing in a rural county was associated with an overall increased hazard of cancer-specific mortality for HCC (HR=1.15, 95% CI=1.02–1.31), pancreatic (HR=1.11, 95% CI=1.03–1.19), and gastric cancer (HR=1.17, 95% CI=1.03–1.32) but near-null for CRC. Overall racial disparities were observed for CRC (HR=1.18, 95% CI=1.11–1.25) and HCC (HR=1.12, 95% CI=1.01–1.24). Geographic disparities were most pronounced among HCC patients receiving surgery. Racial disparities were pronounced among CRC patients receiving any treatment.

Conclusion:

Geographic disparities were observed for the rarer GI cancer subtypes, and racial disparities were pronounced for CRC. Treatment factors appear to largely drive both disparities.

Keywords: gastrointestinal cancer mortality, racial disparities, geographic disparities, cancer mortality disparities

INTRODUCTION

Cancers of the gastrointestinal (GI) system represent a diverse range of diseases with different etiologies, and overlapping, nonspecific symptomology.1,2 Colon and rectal cancer (CRC) is detectable through regular screening, preventable through removal of precancerous lesions and dietary and lifestyle changes, and has 90% 5-year survival if diagnosed early.3 In contrast, pancreatic cancer has largely unknown etiology, is often diagnosed at late stages, and has only 37% 5-year survival if diagnosed early.4,5 Following CRC and pancreatic cancer, the most commonly diagnosed GI malignancies are liver and gastric cancer.5

While geographic heterogeneity in GI cancer mortality has been previously reported,69 the operationalization of geography and the unit of spatial area have been inconsistent, making it difficult to compare findings across studies and cancer subtypes. Racial disparities in GI cancers have also been separately documented in various populations across subtypes.6,919 However, these disparities have not been examined together in the same population both across subtype and within strata of patient characteristics. Understanding how geographic and racial disparities are distributed by patient characteristics will identify patient groups in which inequities are pronounced and where interventions should therefore be targeted. Comparison of race and geographic disparities across GI subtypes, each with different screening opportunities, treatment protocols, and subspecialty requirements, may provide insight into underlying causes of disparities.

The rural underserved and racial minority groups are both recognized as populations that experience adverse health outcomes when compared with their counterparts.20 However, these factors are not modifiable and therefore reducing geographic or racial disparities requires innovative, and often complex interventions. Geographic and racial disparities may reflect differences in socioeconomic status, access to quality or timely care, presence of comorbid conditions, and even health provider training or health literacy levels.21,22 Given complexities associated with preventing, diagnosing, and treating cancer, rural communities may be particularly at risk due to lack of resources and specialized facilities and other structural barriers (e.g., transportation).2325 In addition, racial disparities result from upstream societal factors, such as persistent discrimination and inequitable housing or education opportunities.2628

The primary aims of this analysis were to assess geographic and racial disparities in cancer-specific mortality for the four most common GI cancers in a well-defined population with both geographic and racial heterogeneity, and to examine clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment factors associated with these disparities. We also investigated the interaction between geography and race among CRC patients. Georgia is an ideal place to study both geographic and racial disparities because it has a large and diverse population and setting—approximately 25% of residents live in rural areas29 and nearly one-third identify as non-Hispanic Black (NHB).30

METHODS

Data source and variable definitions

Demographic and clinical information for NHB and non-Hispanic White (NHW) men and women 18 years or older diagnosed in Georgia during 2009–2014 with a first primary cancer of the colon and rectum, pancreas, stomach or liver and intrahepatic bile duct according to the site recode ICD-O-3 variable was obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database.31 SEER is a population-based registry program of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) with about 35% coverage in the U.S. Three non-overlapping registries (Atlanta, rural Georgia, and greater Georgia) cover the entire state of Georgia.32 Death certificate or autopsy only cases (1.9% of eligible cases) and cases with incomplete follow-up dates (0.1%) were excluded. CRC, pancreatic cancer, and gastric cancer were identified by corresponding ICD-O-3 codes. Liver cancers were restricted to HCC cases (the most common subtype), identified by ICD-O-3 site code in combination with HCC histology. Liver and intrahepatic bile duct cases with alternative histologies (22%) were excluded.

Sociodemographic characteristics included race (NHB or NHW), sex (male or female), insurance (any Medicaid, insured, or uninsured), marital status (single, married/domestic partner, divorced/separated, or widowed), and county-level socioeconomic status (SES) indices for the percent of families below poverty and the percent of adults 25 years and older with less than high school education (0–<20% or 20–50%). These two SES variables, available in the SEER database, were derived from the 5-year American Community Survey33 datafile centered on year of diagnosis for each patient.

Clinical and treatment characteristics included age at diagnosis (18–49, 50–59, 60–69, or 70+ years), summary stage (localized/regional or distant/nodes involved), tumor size (<2, 2–<5, or 5+ cm), surgery of the primary site (yes or no), and lymph node removal/biopsy (yes or no). The summary stage variable is available for the majority of patients and allows for broad comparisons across subtypes. Surgery of the primary site was determined by site-specific surgical codes34 in combination with clinical consultation (MCR). Specifically, for patients indicated parenthetically, codes corresponding to local tumor excision (CRC, pancreatic, and regional or distant gastric), local tumor destruction (CRC and regional gastric) or surgery not otherwise specified (CRC, pancreatic, and gastric) were classified as no surgery. Additional first course treatment information was obtained from the SEER radiation/chemotherapy database, in which receipt is categorized as yes or no/unknown. Although this data is limited by inability to distinguish between patients truly not receiving treatment and those with unknown status, overall positive predictive values were >90% for GI cancers examined in a large study.35

Geographic assessment

Patients were classified as residing in an urban or rural county at diagnosis according to 2013 rural-urban continuum (RUC) codes.36 Counties with codes of 1–3 were designated as urban (metro) and counties with codes of 4–9 were designated as rural (non-metro). Codes with corresponding descriptions are available in Supplemental Table 1. A map of the distribution of RUC codes across Georgia counties is shown in Supplemental Figure 1.

Outcome assessment

Cancer-specific death was determined from the SEER cause-specific death classification variable which aims to account for misclassification by including causes of death that can probably be attributed to initial cancer diagnosis but which were not coded as such.37 Deaths from other causes were censored. Follow-up time was defined as the number of months from date of diagnosis to date of death or study cutoff date (31 December 2016). A sensitivity analysis was performed in which outcome status was alternatively determined by the cause of death (COD) recode variable that provides specific COD based on ICD codes. For this analysis, only patients with a COD corresponding to the same malignancy as initially diagnosed were considered to have the outcome. All others were censored.

Statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics were summarized by geography and race, separately for each cancer, as frequency and percent for categorical variables or median and interquartile range (IQR) for continuous variables. Median follow-up for all patients was calculated using reverse Kaplan-Meier methods, in which events (deaths) are censored.38 Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associating geography or race with cancer-specific mortality. For each characteristic, an interaction term between exposure and the characteristic were included in the models and stratum-specific effect estimates were reported. The proportional hazards assumption was assessed separately for geography and race using a graphical approach and time-dependent variables by inclusion of an interaction term between exposure and survival time. No gross violations were observed. However, in ln(-ln) plots for pancreatic cancer, the urban and rural curves converged at the end of follow-up (>50 months). All models were adjusted for continuous age at diagnosis. Multivariable models were adjusted for potential confounders, identified a priori through previous literature and graphical representation of relationships between variables.39,40 Multivariable-adjusted models for geography included race, marital status, sex, and stage, while multivariable-adjusted models for race included sex and stage. While not a component of the minimally sufficient adjustment set for either exposure, stage was included in multivariable models because it is a strong predictor of cancer-specific mortality. Observations with missing data for any of the adjustment variables (e.g., stage) were excluded. Additive interaction between geography and race among CRC only was assessed by calculating the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI),41 adjusting for continuous age at diagnosis. Analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.4 (Cary, NC).

RESULTS

A total of 29,558 patients diagnosed between 2009 and 2014 in Georgia were identified, including 18,782 CRC, 2,618 HCC, 5,455 pancreatic cancer, and 2,703 gastric cancer patients (Table 1). The number of corresponding cancer-specific deaths were 6,043, 1,829, 4,568, and 1,605, respectively. More than three-quarters of the study population resided in urban counties at diagnosis, ranging from 81% (HCC) to 76% (CRC). Overall, and for all cancer subtypes individually, NHB patients were more likely to reside in urban counties than NHW patients (82% vs 74%). Median total follow-up ranged from 52 (gastric cancer, rural) to 42 months (HCC, urban), with the greatest urban-rural difference observed among gastric cancer patients.

Table 1.

Patient clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics among non-Hispanic White and non-Hispanic Black males and females 18+ years diagnosed with colorectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, pancreatic cancer, or gastric cancer in Georgia 2009–2014 and registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program (N=29,558) by cancer site and geography of county of residence at diagnosis (urban or rural)

Colorectal Cancer
(n=18782)
Hepatocellular Carcinoma
(n=2618)
Pancreatic Cancer
(n=5455)
Gastric Cancer
(n=2703)
Urban
(n=14299)
Rural
(n=4483)
Urban
(n=2133)
Rural
(n=485)
Urban
(n=4230)
Rural
(n=1225)
Urban
(n=2065)
Rural
(n=638)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Median
(IQR)
Age at Diagnosis (years) 63 (54, 73) 65 (56, 74) 60 (55, 66) 62 (56, 70) 67 (58, 76) 68 (59, 77) 65 (56, 75) 68 (59, 76)
Length of Follow-up (months)* 51 (32, 72) 50 (32, 71) 42 (27, 66) 46 (33, 63) 47 (31, 66) 43 (29, 68) 47 (30, 70) 52 (31, 73)
Time to Death (months) 13 (3, 27) 12 (3, 26) 5 (1, 13) 5 (1, 15) 4 (1, 11) 3 (1, 9) 6 (2, 14) 5 (1, 14)
N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%)
Clinical Characteristics
Age at Diagnosis
  18–49 years 2159 (15) 491 (11) 150 (7.0) 30 (6.2) 339 (8.0) 85 (6.9) 251 (12) 63 (9.9)
  50–59 years 3550 (25) 1087 (24) 853 (40) 155 (32) 853 (20) 232 (19) 449 (22) 918 (17)
  60–69 years 3881 (27) 1312 (29) 733 (34) 178 (37) 1267 (30) 371 (30) 560 (27) 184 (29)
  70+ years 4709 (33) 1593 (36) 397 (19) 122 (25) 1771 (42) 537 (44) 805 (39) 282 (44)
Year of Diagnosis
  2009–2011 6965 (49) 2188 (49) 915 (43) 223 (46) 1960 (46) 565 (46) 1016 (49) 327 (51)
  2012–2014 7334 (51) 2295 (51) 1218 (57) 262 (54) 2270 (54) 660 (54) 1049 (51) 311 (49)
Summary Stage
  Localized/regional 10463 (73) 3237 (72) 1645 (77) 354 (73) 1698 (40) 454 (37) 1117 (54) 352 (55)
  Distant sites/nodes involved 3289 (23) 1062 (24) 346 (16) 96 (20) 2255 (53) 677 (55) 771 (37) 222 (35)
  Unknown/unspecified 547 (3.8) 184 (4.1) 142 (6.7) 35 (7.2) 277 (6.6) 94 (7.7) 177 (8.6) 64 (10)
Tumor Size
  <2 cm 1818 (13) 498 (11) 229 (11) 37 (7.6) 241 (5.7) 65 (5.3) 207 (10) 79 (12)
  2–<5 cm 5038 (35) 1624 (36) 752 (35) 165 (34) 2141 (51) 569 (46) 485 (23) 145 (23)
  5+ cm 4631 (32) 1402 (31) 795 (37) 175 (36) 884 (21) 259 (21) 511 (25) 157 (25)
  Unknown 2812 (20) 959 (21) 357 (17) 108 (22) 964 (23) 332 (27) 862 (42) 257 (40)
Sociodemographic Characteristics
Race/Ethnicity
  Non-Hispanic White 9399 (66) 3341 (75) 1291 (61) 375 (77) 2828 (67) 956 (78) 1154 (56) 413 (65)
  Non-Hispanic Black 4900 (34) 1142 (25) 842 (39) 110 (23) 1402 (33) 269 (22) 911 (44) 225 (35)
 Sex
  Female 6884 (48) 2088 (47) 426 (20) 99 (20) 2133 (50) 570 (47) 807 (39) 256 (40)
  Male 7415 (52) 2395 (53) 1707 (80) 386 (80) 2097 (50) 655 (53) 1258 (61) 382 (60)
Insurance Type**
  Any Medicaid 136 (9.68) 635 (14) 435 (20) 108 (22) 415 (9.8) 170 (14) 227 (11) 106 (17)
  Other insurance 11358 (79) 3321 (74) 1419 (67) 327 (67) 3411 (81) 915 (75) 1621 (79) 471 (74)
  Uninsured 972 (6.8) 375 (8.4) 198 (9.3) 42 (8.7) 234 (5.5) 86 (7.0) 123 (6.0) 39 (6.1)
Marital Status
  Single 2405 (17) 668 (15) 485 (23) 91 (19) 627 (15) 144 (12) 355 (17) 95 (15)
  Married or domestic partner 7187 (50) 2321 (52) 950 (45) 257 (53) 2088 (49) 631 (52) 1057 (51) 314 (49)
  Divorced or separated 1788 (13) 462 (10) 400 (19) 69 (14) 568 (13) 149 (12) 219 (11) 74 (12)
  Widowed 2020 (14) 736 (16) 194 (9.1) 52 (11) 749 (18) 251 (20) 303 (15) 120 (19)
  Unknown 899 (6.3) 296 (6.6) 104 (4.9) 16 (3.3) 198 (4.7) 50 (4.1) 131 (6.3) 35 (5.5)
SES Index – families below poverty***
  0%–<20% 12927 (90) 2967 (66) 1895 (89) 329 (68) 3868 (91) 814 (66) 1852 (90) 420 (66)
  20%–50% 1372 (9.6) 1516 (34) 238 (11) 156 (32) 362 (8.6) 411 (34) 213 (10) 218 (34)
SES Index - less than high school education***
  0%–<20% 12144 (85) 1556 (35) 1808 (85) 179 (37) 3618 (86) 460 (38) 1766 (86) 228 (36)
  20%–50% 2155 (15) 2927 (65) 325 (15) 306 (63) 612 (14) 765 (62) 299 (14) 410 (64)
Treatment Characteristics
Surgery of the Primary Site**
  Yes 10702 (75) 3307 (74) 404 (19) 80 (16) 802 (19) 183 (15) 892 (43) 270 (42)
  No 3575 (25) 1164 (26) 1726 (81) 405 (84) 3419 (81) 1034 (84) 1171 (57) 366 (57)
Lymph Node Removal or Biopsy**
  Yes 10369 (73) 3201 (71) 122 (5.7) 23 (4.7) 829 (20) 194 (16) 679 (33) 213 (33)
  No 3847 (27) 1228 (27) 2008 (94) 460 (95) 3374 (80) 1020 (83) 1371 (66) 420 (66)
Radiation
  Yes 1967 (14) 702 (16) 172 (8.1) 45 (9.3) 629 (15) 165 (13) 455 (22) 149 (23)
  No/unknown 12332 (86) 3781 (84) 1961 (92) 440 (91) 3601 (85) 1060 (87) 1610 (78) 489 (77)
Chemotherapy
  Yes 6001 (42) 1882 (42) 941 (44) 203 (42) 2174 (51) 530 (43) 1028 (50) 264 (41)
  No/unknown 8298 (58) 2601 (58) 1192 (56) 282 (58) 2056 (49) 695 (57) 1037 (50) 374 (59)
*

Calculated using reverse Kaplan-Meier method, where events (deaths) are censored

**

Frequencies and percents may not sum to total due to missing data and small cell counts

***

SES index is an attribute of the county of residence at diagnosis and is coded using the American Community Survey (ACS) file centered around the year of diagnosis (e.g., 2008–2012 ACS file used for cases diagnosed in 2010)

Geographic disparities

Patient characteristics by geography are provided in Table 1. Differences between urban- and rural-residing patients were similar across cancers. Briefly, for all cancer subtypes, patients in urban counties were more likely to be younger, single, and have localized disease (except gastric cancer). Patients in rural counties were more likely to be older at diagnosis, have Medicaid, and be widowed. Across all cancer subtypes, the majority (85–91%) living in urban areas resided in counties with low poverty and high educational attainment. Overall, about 56% of both urban and rural patients received surgery, but proportions varied by cancer subtype (e.g., among HCC: 19% vs 16%).

Overall geographic disparities in cancer-specific mortality were observed in multivariable-adjusted models for HCC (HR=1.15, 95% CI=1.02–1.31), pancreatic cancer (HR=1.11, 95% CI=1.03–1.19), and gastric cancer (HR=1.17, 95% CI=1.03–1.32) but were near-null for CRC (HR=1.05, 95% CI=0.98–1.11) (Figure 1). Associations stratified by clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics are available in Table 2. For both pancreatic and gastric cancer, the disparity was most pronounced among the youngest age group and decreased with increasing age. Among gastric cancer only, the disparity was greater among males (HR=1.27, 95% CI=1.10–1.48) than females (HR=1.00, 95% CI=0.81–1.23). For HCC, the disparity was most pronounced among patients receiving surgery (HR=1.58, 95% CI=1.09–2.31) or lymph node removal/biopsy (HR=2.83, 95% CI=1.37–5.88). Rurality was also associated with increased mortality among CRC patients receiving radiation and HCC patients receiving chemotherapy. Age-adjusted models are available in Supplemental Table 2. Most associations were similar to multivariable-adjusted results but some gastric cancer associations were attenuated.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Overall geographic and racial disparities by gastrointestinal cancer subtype

Table 2.

Multivariable Cox proportional hazard ratios for the association between geography of county of residence at diagnosis (rural vs urban) and cause-specific mortality by patient clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics among non-Hispanic White and non-Hispanic Black males and females 18+ years diagnosed with colorectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, pancreatic cancer, or gastric cancer in Georgia 2009–2014 and registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program by cancer site

Colorectal Cancer Hepatocellular Carcinoma Pancreatic Cancer Gastric Cancer
No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI)
Urban Rural Rural vs Urban (ref) Urban Rural Rural vs Urban (ref) Urban Rural Rural vs Urban (ref) Urban Rural Rural vs Urban (ref)
Clinical Characteristics
 Age at Diagnosis
  18–49 years 602 158 1.12 (0.94, 1.33) 89 16 1.07 (0.63, 1.83) 215 63 1.51 (1.14, 2.00) 115 36 1.80 (1.24, 2.62)
  50–59 years 876 296 1.13 (0.99, 1.29) 511 102 1.09 (0.88, 1.35) 622 181 1.28 (1.08, 1.51) 233 58 1.14 (0.86, 1.52)
  60–69 years 1030 357 1.05 (0.93, 1.18) 423 118 1.27 (1.04, 1.56) 997 296 1.05 (0.92, 1.20) 294 95 1.16 (0.92, 1.47)
  70+ years 1603 522 1.00 (0.91, 1.11) 257 87 1.12 (0.88, 1.43) 1327 396 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) 419 157 1.09 (0.91, 1.31)
 Summary Stage
  Localized/Regional 1634 541 1.06 (0.96, 1.17) 987 243 1.21 (1.05, 1.40) 1195 344 1.15 (1.02, 1.30) 441 151 1.11 (0.92, 1.33)
  Distant sites/nodes involved 2477 792 1.04 (0.96, 1.12) 293 80 1.00 (0.78, 1.28) 1966 592 1.09 (0.99, 1.19) 620 195 1.22 (1.04, 1.44)
 Tumor Size (cm)
  <2 cm 124 39 1.07 (0.74, 1.53) 85 14 NR 137 42 1.07 (0.76, 1.51) 40 22 1.42 (0.84, 2.40)
  2–<5 cm 1251 411 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) 405 101 1.33 (1.07, 1.65) 1670 471 1.14 (1.02, 1.26) 233 76 1.19 (0.92, 1.54)
  5+ cm 1694 520 1.07 (0.97, 1.19) 590 136 0.97 (0.80, 1.17) 718 207 1.19 (1.02, 1.39) 266 93 1.31 (1.04, 1.66)
Sociodemographic Characteristics
 Race/Ethnicity
  Non-Hispanic White 2633 965 1.06 (0.98, 1.14) 779 240 1.12 (0.97, 1.30) 2149 737 1.09 (1.00, 1.19) 616 230 1.18 (1.02, 1.38)
  Non-Hispanic Black 1478 368 1.02 (0.91, 1.15) 501 83 1.25 (0.99, 1.58) 1012 199 1.18 (1.01, 1.37) 445 116 1.15 (0.93, 1.41)
Sex
  Female 1909 592 1.04 (0.94, 1.14) 241 71 1.20 (0.92, 1.57) 1568 434 1.12 (1.01, 1.25) 365 116 1.00 (0.81, 1.23)
  Male 2202 741 1.06 (0.97, 1.15) 1039 252 1.14 (0.99, 1.31) 1593 502 1.10 (1.00, 1.22) 696 230 1.27 (1.10, 1.48)
 Insurance Type
  Any Medicaid 534 252 1.07 (0.92, 1.24) 259 66 0.95 (0.72, 1.24) 309 133 1.08 (0.88, 1.32) 125 57 1.28 (0.93, 1.76)
  Other insurance 3141 912 1.00 (0.93, 1.07) 845 222 1.21 (1.04, 1.40) 2608 720 1.09 (1.00, 1.19) 848 258 1.11 (0.96, 1.27)
  Uninsured 353 150 1.08 (0.89, 1.30) 145 33 1.26 (0.86, 1.85) 184 69 1.09 (0.82, 1.44) 71 29 1.45 (0.94, 2.23)
 Marital Status
  Single 843 255 1.05 (0.91, 1.21) 321 63 1.06 (0.81, 1.39) 469 112 1.11 (0.90, 1.36) 199 51 1.50 (1.10, 2.04)
  Married or Domestic Partner 1918 650 1.03 (0.95, 1.13) 565 170 1.17 (0.99, 1.39) 1664 505 1.07 (0.97, 1.18) 581 189 1.13 (0.96, 1.33)
  Divorced or Separated 621 171 1.11 (0.93, 1.31) 269 46 1.12 (0.81, 1.53) 454 121 1.22 (1.00, 1.50) 118 40 1.16 (0.81, 1.67)
  Widowed 729 257 1.04 (0.90, 1.20) 125 44 1.32 (0.94, 1.87) 574 198 1.16 (0.98, 1.36) 163 66 1.08 (0.81, 1.43)
 SES Index – families bel poverty
  0%–<20% 3735 893 1.03 (0.95, 1.11) 1151 217 1.20 (1.03, 1.39) 2893 615 1.12 (1.02, 1.22) 957 228 1.14 (0.98, 1.31)
  20%–50% 376 440 1.11 (0.97, 1.27) 129 106 1.17 (0.90, 1.51) 268 321 0.99 (0.84, 1.16) 104 118 1.27 (0.97, 1.65)
 SES Index – less than high school education
  0%–<20% 3440 451 1.00 (0.91, 1.10) 1088 113 1.05 (0.86, 1.27) 2680 360 1.18 (1.05, 1.32) 899 127 1.16 (0.96, 1.40)
  20%–50% 671 882 1.02 (0.92, 1.13) 192 210 1.25 (1.03, 1.52) 481 576 0.93 (0.82, 1.05) 162 219 1.13 (0.92, 1.39)
Treatment Characteristics
 Surgery of the Primary Site
  Yes 2613 824 1.05 (0.97, 1.14) 109 36 1.58 (1.09, 2.31) 456 111 1.03 (0.84, 1.27) 293 105 1.24 (0.99, 1.55)
  No 1497 506 0.98 (0.89, 1.09) 1170 287 1.10 (0.96, 1.25) 2705 822 1.11 (1.03, 1.20) 768 240 1.14 (0.98, 1.32)
 Lymph Node Removal or Biopsy
  Yes 2541 785 1.04 (0.96, 1.13) 21 11 NR 504 125 1.07 (0.88, 1.30) 296 108 1.21 (0.97, 1.51)
  No 1541 527 0.99 (0.90, 1.09) 1258 310 1.12 (0.98, 1.27) 2647 805 1.10 (1.01, 1.19) 758 235 1.17 (1.01, 1.35)
 Radiation
  Yes 583 239 1.19 (1.02, 1.38) 123 35 1.23 (0.84, 1.79) 485 133 1.11 (0.92, 1.35) 288 95 1.03 (0.81, 1.30)
  No/unknown 3528 1094 1.02 (0.95, 1.09) 1157 288 1.15 (1.00, 1.31) 2676 803 1.11 (1.02, 1.20) 773 251 1.22 (1.06, 1.41)
 Chemotherapy
  Yes 2284 739 1.10 (1.02, 1.20) 586 147 1.23 (1.02, 1.47) 1765 449 1.05 (0.95, 1.17) 632 166 1.06 (0.89, 1.26)
  No/unknown 1827 594 0.97 (0.88, 1.06) 694 176 1.09 (0.92, 1.28) 1396 487 1.12 (1.01, 1.24) 429 180 1.27 (1.07, 1.52)

Excluded patients with unknown summary stage or unknown marital status (total N excluded=3,044) because these variables were included as covariates for all models

*

Multivariable models adjusted for age at diagnosis (continuous variable), race, marital status, sex, and stage

NR=not reported; HRs with numerators <16 are suppressed

Racial disparities

The distribution of patient characteristics by race are available in Supplemental Table 3. As with geography, distributions were similar across cancer subtypes, with NHB patients more likely to be diagnosed at younger ages, have Medicaid or no insurance, and be single. NHW patients were more likely to receive surgery or lymph node biopsy for all cancer subtypes except gastric cancer. Notably, for HCC, NHW patients were approximately 50% more likely to receive surgery (21% vs 14%), despite minimal difference in stage distribution (77% vs 76% localized disease).

Age-adjusted and multivariable-adjusted associations between race and cancer-specific mortality, stratified by patient characteristics, are available in Supplemental Table 4 and Table 3, respectively. In overall multivariable-adjusted models, racial disparities were observed for CRC (HR=1.18, 95% CI=1.11–1.25) and HCC (HR=1.12, 95% CI=1.01–1.24), but not for pancreatic or gastric cancer (Figure 1). For HCC only, the association was stronger among patients with localized/regional disease (HR=1.16, 95% CI=1.03–1.30) than among those with distant disease (HR=1.00, 95% CI=0.81–1.23). Racial disparities were also observed among CRC patients receiving treatment of any modality and among HCC patients receiving chemotherapy (HR=1.20, 95% CI=1.04–1.39). Decreased mortality for NHB patients was observed among divorced/separated pancreatic (HR=0.82, 95% CI=0.69–0.97) and gastric cancer (HR=0.64, 95% CI=0.47–0.87) patients.

Table 3.

Multivariable Cox proportional hazard ratios for the association between race and cause-specific mortality by patient clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics among non-Hispanic White and non-Hispanic Black males and females 18+ years diagnosed with colorectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, pancreatic cancer, or gastric cancer in Georgia 2009–2014 and registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program by cancer site

Colorectal Cancer Hepatocellular Carcinoma Pancreatic Cancer Gastric Cancer
No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI) No. of deaths Stratified Effects* HR (95% CI)
NHW NHB NHB vs NHW (ref) NHW NHB NHB vs NHW (ref) NHW NHB NHB vs NHW (ref) NHW NHB NHB vs NHW (ref)
Clinical Characteristics
 Age at Diagnosis
  18–49 years 457 341 1.22 (1.06, 1.40) 65 43 1.16 (0.78, 1.71) 190 105 0.84 (0.66, 1.06) 71 90 1.12 (0.82, 1.53)
  50–59 years 703 537 1.26 (1.12, 1.41) 384 266 1.15 (0.99, 1.35) 540 303 0.93 (0.81, 1.07) 150 150 0.99 (0.79, 1.24)
  60–69 years 950 507 1.18 (1.06, 1.31) 334 231 1.19 (1.01, 1.41) 928 412 0.97 (0.86, 1.09) 252 148 0.96 (0.78, 1.18)
  70+ years 1651 574 1.12 (1.02, 1.23) 288 74 0.98 (0.76, 1.27) 1345 446 1.07 (0.96, 1.19) 401 205 0.96 (0.81, 1.14)
 Summary Stage
  Localized/Regional 1578 704 1.14 (1.05, 1.25) 820 473 1.16 (1.03, 1.30) 1135 464 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) 367 251 1.01 (0.86, 1.19)
  Distant sites/nodes involved 2183 1255 1.20 (1.12, 1.28) 251 141 1.00 (0.81, 1.23) 1868 802 0.96 (0.88, 1.04) 507 342 0.97 (0.84, 1.11)
 Tumor Size
  <2 cm 122 49 0.94 (0.67, 1.30) 65 40 1.08 (0.73, 1.61) 141 43 1.01 (0.72, 1.43) 46 16 0.90 (0.51, 1.60)
  2–<5 cm 1162 565 1.33 (1.20, 1.47) 361 162 1.07 (0.88, 1.28) 1587 637 1.00 (0.91, 1.10) 196 124 1.07 (0.86, 1.35)
  5+ cm 1514 800 1.09 (1.00, 1.19) 470 295 1.12 (0.96, 1.30) 665 301 0.85 (0.75, 0.98) 216 156 0.81 (0.66, 1.00)
Sociodemographic Characteristics
 Sex
  Female 1702 927 1.11 (1.03, 1.20) 195 132 0.94 (0.75, 1.17) 1408 678 0.93 (0.85, 1.02) 285 214 0.82 (0.69, 0.98)
  Male 2059 1032 1.24 (1.15, 1.34) 876 482 1.17 (1.05, 1.31) 1595 588 1.06 (0.96, 1.16) 589 379 1.09 (0.96, 1.24)
 Insurance Type
  Any Medicaid 400 425 1.04 (0.91, 1.19) 185 160 1.15 (0.93, 1.42) 241 224 0.66 (0.55, 0.79) 65 128 1.09 (0.81, 1.47)
  Other insurance 2985 1224 1.14 (1.07, 1.22) 750 356 1.11 (0.98, 1.26) 2528 914 1.04 (0.96, 1.12) 739 397 0.91 (0.80, 1.03)
  Uninsured 287 239 1.02 (0.86, 1.22) 110 75 0.75 (0.56, 1.01) 160 99 0.72 (0.56, 0.93) 50 52 0.81 (0.55, 1.20)
 Marital Status
  Single 473 625 1.11 (0.98, 1.25) 156 228 1.27 (1.04, 1.56) 280 301 0.97 (0.83, 1.14) 100 150 1.00 (0.77, 1.29)
  Married or Domestic Partner 1885 683 1.24 (1.13, 1.35) 548 187 1.00 (0.85, 1.18) 1703 466 1.00 (0.90, 1.11) 523 247 1.07 (0.91, 1.24)
  Divorced or Separated 508 284 1.04 (0.90, 1.21) 189 126 0.93 (0.74, 1.17) 365 210 0.82 (0.69, 0.97) 82 76 0.64 (0.47, 0.87)
  Widowed 732 254 0.91 (0.79, 1.05) 126 43 0.92 (0.65, 1.30) 538 234 0.98 (0.84, 1.14) 141 88 0.75 (0.57, 0.98)
 SES Index – families below poverty
  0%–<20% 3270 1585 1.22 (1.15, 1.30) 936 496 1.14 (1.02, 1.27) 2633 1021 0.96 (0.89, 1.03) 765 470 0.96 (0.85, 1.07)
  20%–50% 491 374 0.98 (0.85, 1.12) 135 118 1.06 (0.83, 1.36) 370 245 1.10 (0.94, 1.29) 109 123 1.13 (0.87, 1.46)
 SES Index – less than high school education
  0%–<20% 2582 1506 1.20 (1.13, 1.28) 747 519 1.13 (1.01, 1.26) 2138 1031 0.99 (0.92, 1.06) 606 464 0.97 (0.86, 1.10)
  20%– 50% 1179 453 1.14 (1.02, 1.27) 324 95 1.15 (0.92, 1.45) 865 235 1.06 (0.92, 1.22) 268 129 1.07 (0.87, 1.32)
 County designation
  Urban 2733 1570 1.20 (1.12, 1.27) 820 530 1.12 (1.01, 1.25) 2240 1060 0.99 (0.92, 1.06) 636 475 1.01 (0.90, 1.14)
  Rural 1028 389 1.13 (1.00, 1.27) 251 84 1.20 (0.94, 1.54) 763 206 1.05 (0.90, 1.22) 238 118 0.93 (0.74, 1.16)
Treatment Characteristics
 Surgery of the Primary Site
  Yes 2408 1173 1.22 (1.14, 1.31) 113 37 0.95 (0.65, 1.37) 425 151 0.92 (0.76, 1.11) 235 175 0.95 (0.78, 1.16)
  No 1350 785 0.98 (0.90, 1.07) 957 577 0.99 (0.89, 1.10) 2575 1115 0.97 (0.90, 1.04) 639 417 1.07 (0.95, 1.22)
 Lymph Node Removal or Biopsy
  Yes 2331 1133 1.21 (1.12, 1.30) 30 NR NR 466 174 0.95 (0.80, 1.13) 235 178 0.89 (0.73, 1.09)
  No 1391 814 1.05 (0.97, 1.15) 1038 610 1.07 (0.97, 1.18) 2523 1090 0.97 (0.90, 1.04) 632 411 1.07 (0.94, 1.21)
 Radiation
  Yes 595 265 1.31 (1.14, 1.52) 122 43 0.77 (0.54, 1.09) 453 189 1.00 (0.84, 1.18) 245 145 1.18 (0.96, 1.45)
  No/unknown 3166 1694 1.16 (1.09, 1.23) 949 571 1.16 (1.04, 1.29) 2550 1077 0.98 (0.92, 1.06) 629 448 0.94 (0.83, 1.06)
 Chemotherapy
  Yes 2064 1101 1.19 (1.10, 1.28) 460 310 1.20 (1.04, 1.39) 1641 663 1.08 (0.94, 1.24) 503 324 0.91 (0.79, 1.05)
  No/unknown 1697 858 1.13 (1.04, 1.23) 611 304 1.08 (0.94, 1.24) 1362 603 1.00 (0.91, 1.11) 371 269 1.08 (0.93, 1.27)

Excluded patients with missing stage (total N excluded = 1,520)

*

Multivariable models adjusted for age at diagnosis (continuous), sex, and stage

NR=not reported; cells with counts <5 and HRs with numerators <16 are suppressed

Geography-race interaction

In a post-hoc analysis of the interaction between geography and race among CRC patients overall, we did not observe a departure from multiplicative or additive interaction (RERI=0.018, 95% CI=-0.14–0.18).

Outcome sensitivity analysis

Using the SEER COD recode variable resulted in fewer events and more censored observations. The overall proportion of patients whose outcome status changed varied by cancer subtype from 3.3% (CRC) to 16% (gastric cancer). Proportions did not vary by stage for any subtype except pancreatic cancer. Multivariable results (data not shown) for the association between geography and cancer-specific mortality showed a majority of stratified effects did not meaningfully change. A few results were stronger for HCC (e.g., among NHB HR=1.35, 95% CI=1.04–1.75) and attenuated for gastric cancer (e.g., among never married HR=1.26, 95% CI=0.85–1.85). However, point estimates were contained within the 95% CIs of primary results. Multivariable associations between race and cancer-specific mortality were similar for all sites, except gastric cancer, which were stronger and suggestive of racial disparities among several strata. The overall association suggested a 22% increase in mortality among NHB patients (HR=1.22, 95% CI=1.07–1.37) and a more pronounced disparity among males (HR=1.51, 95% CI=1.29–1.76), patients 18–49 years (HR=1.57, 95% CI=1.08–2.28), and patients receiving treatment. The proportion reclassified varied by race for gastric cancer only (NHW: 20% vs NHB: 11%).

DISCUSSION

This population-based study among patients diagnosed with the four most common GI cancers in Georgia provides a comprehensive comparison of geographic and racial disparities in mortality, suggesting disparities vary by cancer subtype and by patient characteristics within subtype. Stratification by patient characteristics highlighted certain groups for whom disparities are most pronounced, identifying possible targets for intervention or increased surveillance. We found geographic disparities exist overall for less prevalent cancers but not CRC. We found overall racial disparities for CRC and HCC patients.

Geographic disparities were strongest for HCC patients receiving surgery, pancreatic and gastric cancer patients younger than 50 years, and uninsured gastric cancer patients. Racial disparities were pronounced among CRC patients who were younger than 60 years or who received treatment of any modality, and HCC patients living in rural counties or who were diagnosed with localized or regional stage disease. Notably, cancer-specific mortality was lower for NHB than NHW patients among pancreatic cancer patients with Medicaid or no insurance and among divorced/separated gastric cancer patients.

Previous studies have provided some evidence of geographic heterogeneity in cancer outcomes; however, comparisons of the magnitude of the disparity and contributions of patient factors have been limited by differences in study populations and geographic specification. In one large study conducted by the CDC covering 97% of the US population and categorizing geography by RUC codes, more pronounced geographic disparities in death rates were observed for CRC than other GI subtypes,42 conflicting with our findings. However, this study calculated overall death rates in the total population, while our study examined mortality rates among cancer patients. Another large study used the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries database, a nationwide population-based registry, to show geographic heterogeneity in incidence rates—with higher incidence in urban areas for gastric, liver, and pancreatic cancers and higher incidence in rural areas for CRC.43

One explanation for overall higher cause-specific mortality in rural compared to urban counties for rarer GI cancers, but not for CRC, may be that rural areas lack specialized expertise in the diagnosis and treatment of rare cancers. There is only one NCI-designated cancer center in Georgia. This center, along with several other large healthcare systems, are located in urban areas, and thus, access to specialized care could contribute to rural-urban disparities for the rarer GI cancers. Lack of specialized care may not be as important for CRC because it is a common cancer (third most commonly diagnosed cancer for both men and women5) and therefore diagnosis and treatment requires less specialized care that is more widely available. Receipt of guideline cancer care has also been posited as a major driver of geographic disparities for many cancer types, and increasing access may reduce observed disparities.44 For example, we observed among the strongest geographic disparities for HCC and gastric cancer patients who received surgery. Even among CRC patients, for whom we did not observe overall geographic disparities, there were disparities among patients receiving either radiation or chemotherapy. These findings suggest that quality of care or treatment adherence may be poor among rural patients. Interventions that ensure equity of care across regions and that increase adherence may reduce observed geographic disparities. In contrast, among patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, geographic differences were minimal for those receiving surgery but were pronounced among those who were younger and those who were separated or widowed. Rurality may impact pancreatic cancer patients’ ability to access treatments, but not the efficacy of such treatments that are received. Pancreatic cancer is aggressive, often diagnosed late, and has few treatment options. Younger and non-partnered patients in rural areas may lack social supports that patients in urban areas have through living in more densely populated areas.

Overall racial disparities were observed for CRC and HCC mortality only. Racial disparities likely have more complex and distal drivers operating beyond the individual level, such as neighborhood factors and long-standing policies. Racial disparities among CRC patients were observed regardless of age, stage, and geography of county at diagnosis. Interestingly, CRC disparities were not observed for patients with Medicaid, those with no insurance, and for those living in high poverty counties. Thus, interventions aimed at these groups typically thought of as underserved may have reduced some CRC disparities, however, racial disparities persist for those with private insurance and those living in low poverty areas. Disparities were also observed for CRC patients receiving surgery, potentially indicating differences in treatment factors such as quality or timing of care. In contrast, among HCC patients, disparities were not pronounced among patients receiving surgery but were pronounced among those with Medicaid. For HCC patients, curative treatment includes liver transplantation and NHB patients were less likely to receive surgery. Among NHB patients who did receive surgery, only 29% received a liver transplant, compared to 52% of NHW patients. Racial disparities in liver transplantation are well documented and are an important area for intervention.45 Ensuring equal access to life-saving treatment can reduce mortality disparities. The lack of racial disparities among pancreatic and gastric cancer patients is noteworthy and may be limited to our population, as other studies have reported racial disparities for these cancer subtypes. This further demonstrates the importance of identifying and targeting limited public health resources to patient groups with most pronounced disparities.

One additional and important difference between GI cancers is the availability of an effective screening tool for CRC but not for the rarer cancers. CRC screening reduces mortality through two mechanisms. Detection and removal of pre-cancerous lesions reduces incidence and early detection of malignancies is associated with better survival.46 Greater adherence to screening could result in earlier age and stage at diagnosis. While we did not observe differences in either age or stage at diagnosis by geography, we did observe differences by race; Black patients were more likely to have distant stage disease, however, Black patients were also more likely to be younger at diagnosis. Further, race disparities in CRC mortality persisted for patients who were younger than the recommended screening age (50 years during our study period) and for patients diagnosed with localized or regional disease, suggesting other factors largely account for observed disparities.

The disparate findings for the association between race and mortality among gastric cancer patients when using different outcome variables are noteworthy. In analyses using the cause-specific death classification variable, we found no racial disparities, whereas in analyses using the COD recode variable, we found pronounced racial disparities. The difference in presence of racial disparity was due to differential outcome classification by race. Among gastric cancer patients only, NHW patients were nearly twice as likely to be censored as NHB patients when using the COD variable. Investigating specific CODs revealed nearly 70% of reclassified NHW patients had a COD corresponding to esophageal cancer. In contrast, only about one-third of reclassified NHB patients listed esophageal cancer as COD. In an earlier study of these variables, esophageal cancer was found to be a commonly coded COD for patients initially diagnosed with gastric cancer.47

Strengths of this study include a well-defined source population derived from a population-based cancer registry in a large, diverse state with the same catchment area for all cancers, the inclusion of a breadth of patient characteristics, and operationalization of geography in a manner which can be applied to other settings. RUC codes were developed by the US Department of Agriculture to classify all US counties.36 The lack of information on individual-level socioeconomic characteristics, such as household income, educational attainment, and current employment status is an important limitation. We were able to account for county-level SES, which is likely valid in areas of wide spread; these indices could be mis-specified for densely populated counties surrounding metropolitan areas where large socioeconomic gaps exist. We were also limited to treatment data available in the SEER database and did not have access to more detailed information, including facility type or treatment adherence, which could be indicative of healthcare access especially for recurring chemotherapy or radiation treatments. Last, it is possible that defining geography at the county level was not granular enough. An analysis of CRC-specific mortality using population-based data in Utah found rural-urban differences when classifying geography based on zip code.48 However, it is worth noting that Utah has a larger area but far fewer counties than Georgia (29 vs. 159).

In conclusion, this study provides a comparison of geographic and racial disparities by patient clinical, sociodemographic, and treatment characteristics across the four most common GI cancers. We identified specific cancer subtypes and patient groups for which disparities are more pronounced. Interventions aimed at reducing racial and geographic disparities in GI cancers, such as ensuring equal access to specialized care, should be targeted to groups experiencing a disproportionate burden of cancer-related mortality.

Supplementary Material

1

Highlights:

  • Disparities in gastrointestinal (GI) cancer mortality vary by cancer type

  • Geographic disparities are more pronounced for rarer cancer types

  • Racial disparities are greatest for colorectal cancer (CRC), the most common GI cancer

  • Patient factors associated with mortality disparities vary by cancer type and disparity

  • Racial disparities in CRC mortality persist even among patients receiving treatment

Acknowledgements:

Data for this study was provided by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program (www.seer.cancer.gov) Database: Incidence - SEER 18 Regs Research Data + Hurricane Katrina Impacted Louisiana Cases, Nov 2018 Sub (1975-2016 varying) - Linked To County Attributes - Total U.S., 1969-2017 Counties, National Cancer Institute, DCCPS, Surveillance Research Program, released April 2019, based on the November 2018 submission.

Financial Support:

L Collin was funded, in part, by the National Cancer Institute (F31CA239566) and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (TL1TR002540) of the National Institutes of Health.

Footnotes

Publisher's Disclaimer: This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

Conflict of interest statement: The authors declare no potential conflicts of interest.

Ethics approval statement: This study utilizes only secondary, previously collected, data available through the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and adheres to the SEER Research Data Use Agreement.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Manuscript title: Understanding gastrointestinal cancer mortality disparities in a racially and geographically diverse population

Rebecca Nash: Analysis, Writing-drafting, reviewing, and editing; Maria C. Russell: Conceptualization, Writing-reviewing and editing; Jasmine M. Miller-Kleinhenz: Writing-reviewing and editing; Lindsay J. Collin: Conceptualization, Analysis, Writing-reviewing and editing; Katherine Ross-Driscoll: Conceptualization, Writing-reviewing and editing; Jeffrey M. Switchenko: Methodology, Writing-reviewing and editing; Lauren E. McCullough: Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing-reviewing and editing

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