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[Preprint]. 2022 Jul 22:2022.04.12.22273802. Originally published 2022 Apr 13. [Version 3] doi: 10.1101/2022.04.12.22273802

Target-agnostic drug prediction integrated with medical record analysis uncovers differential associations of statins with increased survival in COVID-19 patients

Megan M Sperry, Tomiko Oskotsky, Ivana Marić, Shruti Kaushal, Takako Takeda, Viktor Horvath, Rani K Powers, Melissa Rodas, Brooke Furlong, Mercy Soong, Pranav Prabhala, Girija Goyal, Kenneth E Carlson, Ronald J Wong, Idit Kosti, Brian L Le, James Logue, Holly Hammond, Matthew Frieman, David K Stevenson, Donald E Ingber, Marina Sirota, Richard Novak
PMCID: PMC9016655  PMID: 35441166

Summary

Importance

Drug repurposing requires distinguishing established drug class targets from novel molecule-specific mechanisms and rapidly derisking their therapeutic potential in a time-critical manner, particularly in a pandemic scenario. In response to the challenge to rapidly identify treatment options for COVID-19, several studies reported that statins, as a drug class, reduce mortality in these patients. However, it is unknown if different statins exhibit consistent function or may have varying therapeutic benefit.

Objectives

To test if different statins differ in their ability to exert protective effects based on molecular computational predictions and electronic medical record analysis.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A Bayesian network tool was used to predict drugs that shift the host transcriptomic response to SARS-CoV-2 infection towards a healthy state. Drugs were predicted using 14 RNA-sequencing datasets from 72 autopsy tissues and 465 COVID-19 patient samples or from cultured human cells and organoids infected with SARS-CoV-2, with a total of 2,436 drugs investigated. Top drug predictions included statins, which were then assessed using electronic medical records containing over 4,000 COVID-19 patients on statins to determine mortality risk in patients prescribed specific statins versus untreated matched controls. The same drugs were tested in Vero E6 cells infected with SARS-CoV-2 and human endothelial cells infected with a related OC43 coronavirus.

Results

Simvastatin was among the most highly predicted compounds (14/14 datasets) and five other statins, including atorvastatin, were predicted to be active in > 50% of analyses. Analysis of the clinical database revealed that reduced mortality risk was only observed in COVID-19 patients prescribed a subset of statins, including simvastatin and atorvastatin. In vitro testing of SARS-CoV-2 infected cells revealed simvastatin to be a potent direct inhibitor whereas most other statins were less effective. Simvastatin also inhibited OC43 infection and reduced cytokine production in endothelial cells.

Conclusions and Relevance

Different statins may differ in their ability to sustain the lives of COVID-19 patients despite having a shared drug target and lipid-modifying mechanism of action. These findings highlight the value of target-agnostic drug prediction coupled with patient databases to identify and clinically evaluate non-obvious mechanisms and derisk and accelerate drug repurposing opportunities.

Full Text Availability

The license terms selected by the author(s) for this preprint version do not permit archiving in PMC. The full text is available from the preprint server.


Articles from medRxiv are provided here courtesy of Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Preprints

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