Abstract
Background
Ivermectin, an antiparasitic agent, inhibits the replication of viruses in vitro. The molecular hypothesis of ivermectin's antiviral mode of action suggests an inhibitory effect on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2) replication in early stages of infection. Currently, evidence on ivermectin for prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and COVID‐19 treatment is conflicting.
Objectives
To assess the efficacy and safety of ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo, or any other proven intervention for people with COVID‐19 receiving treatment as inpatients or outpatients, and for prevention of an infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 (postexposure prophylaxis).
Search methods
We searched the Cochrane COVID‐19 Study Register, Web of Science (Emerging Citation Index and Science Citation Index), WHO COVID‐19 Global literature on coronavirus disease, and HTA database weekly to identify completed and ongoing trials without language restrictions to 16 December 2021. Additionally, we included trials with > 1000 participants up to April 2022.
Selection criteria
We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing ivermectin to standard of care, placebo, or another proven intervention for treatment of people with confirmed COVID‐19 diagnosis, irrespective of disease severity or treatment setting, and for prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. Co‐interventions had to be the same in both study arms.
For this review update, we reappraised eligible trials for research integrity: only RCTs prospectively registered in a trial registry according to WHO guidelines for clinical trial registration were eligible for inclusion.
Data collection and analysis
We assessed RCTs for bias, using the Cochrane RoB 2 tool. We used GRADE to rate the certainty of evidence for outcomes in the following settings and populations: 1) to treat inpatients with moderate‐to‐severe COVID‐19, 2) to treat outpatients with mild COVID‐19 (outcomes: mortality, clinical worsening or improvement, (serious) adverse events, quality of life, and viral clearance), and 3) to prevent SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (outcomes: SARS‐CoV‐2 infection, development of COVID‐19 symptoms, admission to hospital, mortality, adverse events and quality of life).
Main results
We excluded seven of the 14 trials included in the previous review version; six were not prospectively registered and one was non‐randomized. This updated review includes 11 trials with 3409 participants investigating ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo. No trial investigated ivermectin for prevention of infection or compared ivermectin to an intervention with proven efficacy. Five trials treated participants with moderate COVID‐19 (inpatient settings); six treated mild COVID‐19 (outpatient settings). Eight trials were double‐blind and placebo‐controlled, and three were open‐label. We assessed around 50% of the trial results as low risk of bias.
We identified 31 ongoing trials. In addition, there are 28 potentially eligible trials without publication of results, or with disparities in the reporting of the methods and results, held in ‘awaiting classification’ until the trial authors clarify questions upon request.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate‐to‐severe disease
We are uncertain whether ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo reduces or increases all‐cause mortality at 28 days (risk ratio (RR) 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14 to 2.51; 3 trials, 230 participants; very low‐certainty evidence); or clinical worsening, assessed by participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death at day 28 (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.33 to 2.04; 2 trials, 118 participants; very low‐certainty evidence); or serious adverse events during the trial period (RR 1.55, 95% CI 0.07 to 35.89; 2 trials, 197 participants; very low‐certainty evidence). Ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus placebo may have little or no effect on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants discharged alive at day 28 (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.35; 1 trial, 73 participants; low‐certainty evidence); on any adverse events during the trial period (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.79; 3 trials, 228 participants; low‐certainty evidence); and on viral clearance at 7 days (RR 1.12, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.58; 3 trials, 231 participants; low‐certainty evidence). No trial investigated quality of life at any time point.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease
Ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo probably has little or no effect on all‐cause mortality at day 28 (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.25; 6 trials, 2860 participants; moderate‐certainty evidence) and little or no effect on quality of life, measured with the PROMIS Global‐10 scale (physical component mean difference (MD) 0.00, 95% CI ‐0.98 to 0.98; and mental component MD 0.00, 95% CI ‐1.08 to 1.08; 1358 participants; high‐certainty evidence). Ivermectin may have little or no effect on clinical worsening, assessed by admission to hospital or death within 28 days (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.20 to 6.02; 2 trials, 590 participants; low‐certainty evidence); on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants with all initial symptoms resolved up to 14 days (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.36; 2 trials, 478 participants; low‐certainty evidence); on serious adverse events (RR 2.27, 95% CI 0.62 to 8.31; 5 trials, 1502 participants; low‐certainty evidence); on any adverse events during the trial period (RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.76; 5 trials, 1502 participants; low‐certainty evidence); and on viral clearance at day 7 compared to placebo(RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.48; 2 trials, 331 participants; low‐certainty evidence). None of the trials reporting duration of symptoms were eligible for meta‐analysis.
Authors' conclusions
For outpatients, there is currently low‐ to high‐certainty evidence that ivermectin has no beneficial effect for people with COVID‐19. Based on the very low‐certainty evidence for inpatients, we are still uncertain whether ivermectin prevents death or clinical worsening or increases serious adverse events, while there is low‐certainty evidence that it has no beneficial effect regarding clinical improvement, viral clearance and adverse events. No evidence is available on ivermectin to prevent SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. In this update, certainty of evidence increased through higher quality trials including more participants. According to this review's living approach, we will continually update our search.
Keywords: Humans; COVID-19; Ivermectin; Ivermectin/adverse effects; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Respiration, Artificial; SARS-CoV-2; Severity of Illness Index
Plain language summary
Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID‐19
Is ivermectin effective for COVID‐19?
Key messages
We found no evidence to support the use of ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 or preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. The evidence base improved slightly in this update, but is still limited.
Evaluation of ivermectin is continuing in 31 ongoing trials, and we will update this review again when their results become available.
What is ivermectin?
Ivermectin is a medicine used to treat parasites, such as intestinal parasites in animals, and scabies in humans. It is inexpensive and is widely used in regions of the world where parasitic infestations are common. It has few unwanted effects.
Medical regulators have not approved ivermectin for COVID‐19.
What did we want to find out?
We wanted to update our knowledge of whether ivermectin reduces death, illness, and length of infection in people with COVID‐19, or is useful in prevention of the infection. We included trials comparing the medicine to placebo (dummy treatment), usual care, or treatments for COVID‐19 that are known to work to some extent, such as dexamethasone. We excluded trials comparing ivermectin to other medicines that do not work, like hydroxychloroquine, or whose effectiveness against COVID‐19 is uncertain.
We evaluated the effects of ivermectin in infected people on:
– people dying; – whether people's COVID‐19 got better or worse; – quality of life; – serious and non‐serious unwanted effects; – viral clearance.
For prevention, we sought the effect on preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and COVID‐19 disease.
What did we do?
We searched for randomized controlled trials that investigated ivermectin to prevent or treat COVID‐19. People treated in hospital or as outpatients had to have laboratory‐confirmed COVID‐19.
In this update, we also investigated the trustworthiness of the trials and only included them if they fulfilled clear ethical and scientific criteria.
We compared and summarized the results of the trials and rated our confidence in the evidence, based on common criteria such as trial methods and sizes.
What did we find?
We excluded seven of the 14 trials included in the previous review as these trials did not fulfil the expected ethical and scientific criteria. Together with four new trials, we included 11 trials with 3409 participants that investigated ivermectin combined with any usual care compared to the same usual care or placebo.
For treatment, there were five trials of people in hospital with moderate COVID‐19 and six trials of outpatients with mild COVID‐19. The trials used different doses of ivermectin and different durations of treatment.
No trial investigated ivermectin to prevent SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
We also found 31 ongoing trials, and an additional 28 trials still requiring clarification from the authors or not yet published.
Main results
Treating people in hospital with COVID‐19
We do not know whether ivermectin compared with placebo or usual care 28 days after treatment:
– leads to more or fewer deaths (3 trials, 230 people); – worsens or improves patients' condition, assessed by need for ventilation or death (2 trials, 118 people); – increases or reduces serious unwanted events (2 trials, 197 people).
Ivermectin compared with placebo or usual care 28 days after treatment, may make little or no difference to:
– improving patients' condition, assessed by discharge from hospital (1 trial, 73 people); – non‐serious unwanted events (3 trials, 228 participants).
Seven days after treatment, ivermectin may make little or no difference to reduction of negative COVID‐19 tests (3 trials, 231 participants) compared with placebo or usual care.
Treating outpatients with COVID‐19
Ivermectin compared with placebo or usual care 28 days after treatment, probably makes little or no difference to people dying (6 trials, 2860 people).
Ivermectin compared with placebo or usual care 28 days after treatment, makes little or no difference to quality of life (1 trial, 1358 people).
Ivermectin compared with placebo or usual care 28 days after treatment, may make little or no difference to:
– worsening patients' condition, assessed by admission to hospital or death (2 trials, 590 people); – serious unwanted events (5 trials, 1502 people); – non‐serious unwanted events (5 trials, 1502 participants); – improving people's COVID‐19 symptoms in the 14 days after treatment (2 trials, 478 people); – number of people with negative COVID‐19 tests 7 days after treatment (2 trials, 331 people).
What are the limitations of the evidence?
Our confidence in the evidence, especially for outpatients, improved since the last review version, because we could look at more participants included in high‐quality trials. Although we are quite certain regarding our results on risk of people dying and quality of life, the confidence in the evidence is still low for many other outpatient and inpatient outcomes because there were only few events measured. The methods differed between trials, and they did not report everything we were interested in, such as relevant outcomes.
How up to date is this evidence?
The systematic literature search is up to date to 16 December 2021. Additionally, we included trials with > 1000 participants up to April 2022.
Summary of findings
Summary of findings 1. Summary of findings table 1.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate to severe disease | ||||||
Patient or population: people with moderate to severe disease (WHO scale 4–9); all trials contributing results to the summary of findings table investigated people with moderate disease (WHO scale 4 or 5) only Setting: inpatients Intervention: ivermectin plus standard of care Comparison: standard of care plus/minus placebo | ||||||
Outcomes | Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | № of participants (trials) | Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) | Comments | |
Risk with standard of care plus/minus placebo | Risk with ivermectin | |||||
All‐cause mortality at day 28 | 73 per 1000 | 44 per 1000 (10 to 183) | RR 0.60 (0.14 to 2.51) | 230 (3 RCTs) | ⨁◯◯◯ Very lowa |
We are uncertain whether ivermectin reduces or increases all‐cause mortality at day 28. |
Worsening of clinical status: participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death at day 28 | 154 per 1000 | 126 per 1000 (51 to 314) | RR 0.82 (0.33 to 2.04) | 118 (2 RCTs) | ⨁◯◯◯ Very lowa |
We are uncertain whether ivermectin reduces or increases clinical worsening, assessed by the need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death at day 28. |
Improvement of clinical status: participants discharged alive at day 28 | 730 per 1000 | 752 per 1000 (569 to 986) | RR 1.03 (0.78 to 1.35) | 73 (1 RCT) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowb |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants discharged alive at day 28. |
QoL at longest follow‐up available | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | No trials reported QoL at any time point. |
Serious adverse events during the trial period | 5 per 1000 | 8 per 1000 (0 to 179) | RR 1.55 (0.07 to 35.89) | 197 (2 RCTs) | ⨁◯◯◯ Very lowa |
We are uncertain whether ivermectin increases or reduces serious adverse events during the trial period. |
Any adverse events during the trial period | 183 per 1000 | 190 per 1000 (112 to 328) | RR 1.04 (0.61 to 1.79) | 228 (3 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowb |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on any adverse events during the trial period. |
Viral clearance at day 7 | 370 per 1000 | 414 per 1000 (293 to 585) | RR 1.12 (0.80 to 1.58) | 231 (3 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowb |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on viral clearance at day 7. |
*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). CI: confidence interval; NA: not available; QoL: quality of life; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio. | ||||||
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect. Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different. Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect. Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect. |
Explanations aDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias and two levels for very serious imprecision due to few participants, very few events, and wide CI. bDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to few participants and wide CI.
Summary of findings 2. Summary of findings table 2.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease | ||||||
Patient or population: all trials contributing results to the summary of findings table included people with mild disease (WHO scale 1 to 3)§ Setting: outpatients Intervention: ivermectin plus standard of care Comparison: standard of care plus/minus placebo | ||||||
Outcomes | Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | № of participants (trials) | Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) | Comments | |
Risk with standard of care plus/minus placebo | Risk with ivermectin | |||||
All‐cause mortality at day 28 | 27 per 1000 | 21 per 1000 (13 to 34) | RR 0.77 (0.47 to 1.25) | 2860 (6 RCTs) | ⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderatea |
Ivermectin probably has little or no effect on all‐cause mortality at day 28. |
Worsening of clinical status: admission to hospital or death within 28 days | 74 per 1000 | 81 per 1000 (15 to 445) | RR 1.09 (0.20 to 6.02) | 590 (2 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowb |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on clinical admission to hospital or death within 28 days. |
Improvement of clinical status: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14 | 591 per 1000 | 532 per 1000 (355 to 804) | RR 0.90 (0.60 to 1.36) | 478 (2 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowc |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants with all initial symptoms resolved up to 14 days. |
Improvement of clinical status: time to symptom resolution | NA | NA | NA | NA | NAd | No trial reported data for time to symptom resolution suitable for meta‐analysis. |
QoL (physical component) at up to 28 days, measured on the PROMIS Global‐10 scale and normalized to values from 16.2, low QoL, to 67.2, maximum QoL | The mean score on a numerical quality of life scale was 49.6 points with a SD of 10.4 points | The mean score on a numerical quality of life scale was 49.6 points with a SD of 7.8 points | MD 0.00 (‐0.98 to 0.98) points | 1358 (1 RCT) |
⨁⨁⨁⨁ High |
Ivermectin has little or no effect on QoL (PROMIS Global‐10 physical component) at up to 28 days. |
QoL (mental component) at up to 28 days, measured on the PROMIS Global‐10 scale and normalized to values from 21.2, low QoL, to 67.6, maximum QoL | The mean score on a numerical quality of life scale was 52.5 points with a SD of 9 points | The mean score on a numerical quality of life scale was 52.5 points with a SD of 11.2 points | MD 0.00 (‐1.08 to 1.08) points | 1358 (1 RCT) | ⨁⨁⨁⨁ High |
Ivermectin has little or no effect on QoL (PROMIS Global‐10 mental component) at up to 28 days. |
Serious adverse events during the trial period | 4 per 1000 | 9 per 1000 (2 to 33) | RR 2.27 (0.62 to 8.31) | 1502 (5 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowe |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on serious adverse events during the trial period. |
Any adverse events during the trial period | 320 per 1000 | 397 per 1000 (278 to 563) | RR 1.24 (0.87 to 1.76) | 1502 (5 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowf |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on any adverse events during the trial period. |
Viral clearance at day 7 | 237 per 1000 | 240 per 1000 (164 to 351) | RR 1.01 (0.69 to 1.48) | 331 (2 RCTs) | ⨁⨁◯◯ Lowg |
Ivermectin may have little or no effect on viral clearance at day 7. |
*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). CI: confidence interval; MD: mean difference; NA: not available; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio; SD: standard deviation; QoL: quality of life; §One contributing trial included people at WHO scale 2 to 4, but was considered an outpatient trial (WHO 2 to 3) based on the trial author's statement (majority of participants were ambulatory and well during admission, hospitalization mostly for isolation and close monitoring only in case of high risk of disease progression based on public health policy at the time of trial). | ||||||
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect. Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different. Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect. Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect. |
Explanations aDowngraded one level for serious imprecision due to wide CI. bDowngraded one level for serious inconsistency (I2 = 44%) and one level for serious imprecision due to few events and wide CI. cDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious inconsistency (I2 = 57%). dTwo trials reported the median duration of symptom resolution for ivermectin versus placebo: one study reported 12 days (interquartile range (IQR) 9 to 13 days) in the placebo group versus 10 days (IQR 9 to 13 days) in the ivermectin group, the second study reported 14 days (IQR 11 to 14 days) for both groups. eDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to very few events and wide CI. fDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias (exclusion of one unblinded study with high risk of bias revealed an effect estimate of RR 1.07 (0.84 to 1.36), indicating no difference between ivermectin and placebo) and one level for serious inconsistency (I2 = 80%). gDowngraded one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to wide CI.
Background
Description of the condition
COVID‐19 is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2). On 11 March 2020 the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID‐19 a pandemic. By January 2022, over 360 million cases were confirmed, including over 5.6 million deaths (WHO 2020a; WHO 2022a).
Available data suggest that one‐third of SARS‐CoV‐2 infections remain asymptomatic (Oran 2021), but there is still uncertainty around this estimate. About 80% of symptomatic cases show mild symptoms, including cough, fever, myalgia, headache, dyspnoea, sore throat, diarrhoea, nausea and vomiting, and loss of smell and taste. Outpatient management is appropriate for most people with a mild course of COVID‐19. Moderate, severe, and critical cases (approximately 20%), with the need for oxygen supplementation, ventilatory support, or intensive medical care, cause a considerable burden for healthcare systems. Defined risk factors for severe disease include increasing age (over 60 years) and certain comorbidities (Huang 2020; WHO 2020a). Comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and other lung diseases, malignancies, chronic kidney disease, solid organ or haematopoietic stem cell transplantation, and obesity are associated with severe COVID‐19 and mortality (Deng 2020; Williamson 2020).
Data on mortality substantially differ between locations, depending on population characteristics, the case‐mix of infected and deceased individuals, other local factors, and changes during the ongoing outbreak. With > 70% in‐hospital mortality for people receiving ventilation (Karagiannidis 2020), patients who survive often have considerable consequential damage (Herrmann 2020; Prescott 2020). COVID‐19 can lead to death due to a variety of causes, such as severe respiratory failure, septic shock, and multiple organ failure (WHO 2020a). The worldwide case‐fatality ratio is estimated at 1.5%, with large statistical fluctuations (< 0.1% in Iceland up to almost 20% in Yemen; status January 2022) (Dong 2020). However, these varying rates should not be interpreted as markers for the quality of health care (Karagiannidis 2020), or the characteristics of different virus variants. Variations in case‐fatality ratios may be explained by the mean age of a population or of those infected, national vaccination rates, quality and extent of local testing strategies, and documentation and reporting systems (Kobayashi 2020). The gold standard for confirming a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection is the reverse transcription‐polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR)‐based detection of viral ribonucleic acid (RNA) from a nasopharyngeal swab test, sputum, or tracheal secretion, with sensitivity ranging from 70% to 98%, depending on pretest probability (Watson 2020). Offering lower sensitivity but greater practicality and accessibility, antigen tests are the primary instrument for COVID‐19 diagnosis, especially in point‐of‐care testing (WHO 2020b).
Transmission is typically inferred from population‐level information. Inherent properties of virus variants of concern, and individual differences in infectiousness among individuals or groups make it difficult to contain its spread in the community (WHO 2021a). The global vaccination campaign progresses, with 11.8 billion doses administered by May 2022 (Ritchie 2022), making a huge contribution in fighting the pandemic. However, global inequity ensures that not every region of the world has unlimited access to the vaccination. Therefore, the most effective, while ubiquitously available measures to control the virus spreading, are still non‐pharmaceutical interventions, including physical distancing, wearing a face mask (especially when distancing cannot be maintained), ventilating rooms, avoiding crowds and close contact, regularly cleaning hands, and coughing into a bent elbow or tissue (WHO 2022b). Research on prophylaxis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and treatment of COVID‐19 continues to be carried out globally. Evaluating the effectiveness of repurposed drugs represents one important strand of these research efforts. In this context, ivermectin — an antiparasitic intervention — has received substantial attention, especially in the Americas, parts of Asia, and Africa.
Description of the intervention
Ivermectin is an antiparasitic agent belonging to the group of avermectins, originally a fermentation metabolite produced by the bacterium Streptomyces avermitilis (Campbell 1983). Ivermectin was introduced for medical use in 1982 and is effective against endoparasites such as Onchocerca volvulus and other helminths, as well as ectoparasites such as mites causing scabies and lice. The mode of action is based on binding to specific cell membrane channels that only occur in invertebrates (Campbell 1983; Dourmishev 2005; Panahi 2015). Ivermectin is on the WHO List of Essential Medicines for its high effectiveness against human endoparasite and ectoparasite infestations (WHO 2019).
In animals and humans, ivermectin is easily absorbed by the mucosa if taken orally, or by the skin if used topically. As a lipophilic compound, it accumulates in fat and liver tissue from where it effuses and takes effect. Elimination is processed through bile and faeces (Dourmishev 2005; González‐Canga 2008; Panahi 2015). Ivermectin is widely used in veterinary medicine, and is an essential drug for treating human parasitic diseases, such as onchocerciasis, lymphatic filariasis, strongyloidiasis, and scabies globally (González‐Canga 2008). The established dosing regimen ranges from 150 µg/kg to 200 µg/kg administered orally, with a one‐ to two‐dose administration generally being effective. Dosing is generally low because of the agent's high potency (Ashour 2019).
Adhering to recommended indications and doses, ivermectin is generally well tolerated. Adverse effects include weakness, drowsiness, diarrhoea, nausea, and vomiting (Drugs.com 2023; Merck 2022). In addition, ivermectin can cause serious adverse, such as fever, rash, vision problems, neurotoxicity, and liver damage (Drugs.com 2023; Merck 2022). Those side effects seem to arise partially from ivermectin initiating the rapid death of parasites, especially when used for treatment of endoparasites, leading to hyperinflammation and anaphylactic reactions. Considering this pathomechanism, those effects should not occur in the treatment of viruses. However, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has registered those toxic side effects in people using ivermectin in high doses for the treatment of COVID‐19 (FDA 2020; González‐Canga 2008).
How the intervention might work
One in vitro study showed that ivermectin can inhibit replication of HIV‐1, via inhibition of the interaction of virus proteins and a human cargo protein complex called importin (IMPα/β1) (Wagstaff 2012). Importin is used by viruses for nuclear import in order to initiate their replication process (Wagstaff 2012). Besides HIV‐1, various other RNA viruses use importin as target protein, among them dengue virus, West Nile virus, and influenza. Several research groups have investigated ivermectin's efficiency on those pathogens (Goetz 2016; Tay 2013; Yang 2020). Although ivermectin showed some inhibitory potential for virus replication in vitro, there is no evidence of clinical effectiveness to date.
Before the COVID‐19 pandemic, only two clinical trials had been registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (clinicaltrials.gov/) using ivermectin as an intervention for treatment of viral diseases. Only one of these had published results (Yamasmith 2018). In this small, single‐centre trial published as a conference abstract, ivermectin showed a shorter viral protein clearance time compared to placebo in people infected with dengue virus (Yamasmith 2018).
Another member of the beta‐coronavirus family, SARS‐CoV‐1, which also causes respiratory failure, revealed similar dependence on the IMPα/β1 interaction (Wulan 2015). The pathogen causing COVID‐19, SARS‐CoV‐2, is also a RNA virus closely related to SARS‐CoV‐1. In 2020, ivermectin gained much interest as a promising therapeutic option against SARS‐CoV‐2, when Caly 2020 published their experimental study results showing that ivermectin inhibits the replication of SARS‐CoV‐2 in cell culture. This observation has led to ivermectin being suggested as a potential antiviral agent that could prevent infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 completely or at least the progression to severe COVID‐19. However, until showing success in human clinical trials with patient‐relevant outcomes, these findings remain suggestive.
The molecular hypothesis of ivermectin's antiviral mode of action, explained above, suggests an inhibitory effect on virus replication in the early stages of the disease, indicating a benefit especially for people with mild or moderate disease. This has also led to the idea of the possible preventive potency of ivermectin on infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 in individuals after exposure to a contagious contact, called postexposure prophylaxis. In response to the early promising in vitro studies on ivermectin, mentioned above, some COVID‐19 clinical trials were initiated to investigate the prophylactic and therapeutic effects of ivermectin.
Why it is important to do this review
Globally, the numbers of new COVID‐19 cases and deaths continue to increase with a substantial impact on healthcare systems. Vaccination remains a key response to address ongoing circulation and reduce the impact of emerging variants of concern. Despite efforts towards full vaccination uptake, pharmaceutical treatment interventions remain a mainstay in the management of COVID‐19. So far, the drug treatments shown to be effective against COVID‐19, and which are recommended in international guidelines, target SARS‐CoV‐2 itself or the immune response to the infection; for example dexamethasone, IL‐6 inhibitors, JAK‐inhibitors or monoclonal antibodies (Ghosn 2021; Kreuzberger 2021; Wagner 2021; NIH 2021; WHO 2021b).
Ivermectin is an inexpensive and widely‐used medicine in humans and animals, mainly in low‐ and middle‐income countries with a high burden of parasitic diseases. The recently published in vitro studies, especially the results of Caly 2020, have led to great interest in ivermectin in many countries with high numbers of SARS‐CoV‐2 infections, including the USA, countries of Central and South America and Asia. In South America in particular, people began liberally self‐medicating with ivermectin, and the drug has become part of public health policies without reliable scientific data; in May 2020, Bolivian health officials recommended ivermectin for the treatment of COVID‐19 without supplying evidence, and municipalities promoted the drug as a preventive measure (Rodríguez‐Mega 2020). Due to growing interest in ivermectin and increasing hospitalizations for toxic side effects, the FDA discouraged the use of ivermectin to treat or prevent COVID‐19, and warned people not to self‐medicate with formulations intended for animals (FDA 2020; Temple 2021).
The growing research interest in ivermectin has led to the registration of numerous clinical trials in registries worldwide. As of 27 January 2022, there were 83 trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (clinicaltrials.gov/) investigating ivermectin for COVID‐19 in various settings.
Several trials describe ivermectin's positive effect on resolution of mild COVID‐19 symptoms or describe a reduction of inflammatory marker levels or shorter time to viral clearance, while other trials indicate no effect or even a negative effect on disease progression. Many trials are already summarized in existing systematic reviews, meta‐analyses, and guidelines (Bryant 2021a; Izcovich 2021; NIH 2021). It should be kept in mind that several meta‐analyses and reviews have been retracted, or their updates show major methodologic inconsistencies (Hill 2021b; Kory 2021). Additionally, many of the original trials have been retracted or have not been published in peer‐reviewed journals, being only available on preprint servers without any supervising authority.
Given the pace of the pandemic, it is important and welcome to make new scientific findings immediately available. But non‐peer‐reviewed results have to be handled with care and should not be used as the sole basis for clinical decisions and recommendations. Methodological limitations in the design of original trials, data integrity, and potential conflicts of interests have to be critically appraised when judging trial results. Many reviews and meta‐analyses of ivermectin for COVID‐19 are unreliable due to methodological inaccuracies and insufficient quality (Popp 2021d).
As of January 2022, the efficacy and safety of ivermectin for COVID‐19 treatment and prophylaxis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection are still subject to debate. The most recent guideline from the Association of Scientific Medical Societies in Germany (AWMF) stands by its recommendation against the use of ivermectin as antiviral treatment (German AWMF Guideline 2021a), while the Peruvian ministry of health removed its previous positive recommendation for the use of ivermectin entirely from its guideline (The Guardian 2021b). In February 2021, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) revised its COVID‐19 treatment guidelines from a recommendation 'against the use of ivermectin' to 'cannot recommend either for or against the use of ivermectin,' giving clinicians leeway in individual case decision‐making (NIH 2021). The WHO recommends the drug should only be used within clinical trials, as current evidence on the use of ivermectin to treat people with COVID‐19 is inconclusive (WHO 2021b).
This review aimed to provide a complete evidence profile, based on current Cochrane standards, for ivermectin with regard to efficacy and safety for postexposure prophylaxis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and treatment of COVID‐19. As this review (Popp 2021b), and the other reviews of the Cochrane Living Systematic Reviews Series on different interventions for COVID‐19 (Ansems 2021; Kreuzberger 2021; Mikolajewska 2021; Popp 2021c; Stroehlein 2021; Wagner 2021) are living systematic reviews during the COVID‐19 pandemic, specific adaptions related to the research question, including participants, interventions, comparators, outcomes, and methods were necessary for this update. We have transparently reported relevant protocol changes between the review and update in the section Differences between protocol and review.
Objectives
To assess the efficacy and safety of ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo, or any other proven intervention for people with COVID‐19 receiving treatment as inpatients or outpatients, and for prevention of an infection with SARS‐CoV‐2 (postexposure prophylaxis).
Methods
Criteria for considering studies for this review
Types of studies
We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) only, as this is the best trial design for evaluating the efficacy of interventions (Higgins 2020a). Non‐standard RCT designs, such as cluster‐randomized and cross‐over trials, were not eligible for the review (Higgins 2020b). These designs are not appropriate in this context, since the underlying cause of COVID‐19 is an infection with the SARS‐CoV‐2 virus and the medical condition evolves over time.
We included full‐text journal articles published in PubMed‐indexed and non‐indexed journals, preprint articles, results published in trials registers, and abstract publications. We applied no restrictions on the language of publication of the articles. All trials, especially preprint articles that have not been peer‐reviewed, must have reported robust and valid data on trial design, participants' characteristics, interventions, and outcomes, to be eligible for inclusion.
For research integrity, we further assessed all trials meeting eligibility criteria using a tool developed by our group to deal with problematic trials (see Selection of studies).
Types of participants
Treatment of COVID‐19
We included trials investigating participants with confirmed SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (RT‐PCR or antigen testing), regardless of age, gender, ethnicity, disease severity, and setting (inpatients and outpatients). If trials included participants with a confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 diagnosis, we used only the data for the patient population with confirmed COVID‐19 diagnosis. In cases, where data were not reported separately for people with confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 diagnosis, we excluded the trial.
Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
We included trials investigating participants who were not infected with SARS‐CoV‐2 at enrolment, but were at high risk of developing the infection (e.g. after high‐risk exposure), regardless of age, gender, ethnicity, disease severity, and setting (inpatient and outpatients). Participants may have been hospitalized for reasons other than COVID‐19. Eligible trials must have reported the history of previous SARS‐CoV‐2 infections or serological evidence and the vaccination status in included participants. A history of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection or vaccination was not an exclusion criterion.
We excluded trials investigating ivermectin for prevention and treatment of other viral diseases.
Types of interventions
We considered all doses and regimens of ivermectin eligible and pooled them for the analysis. We considered and categorized dosing schemes into low (≤ 0.2 mg/kg orally, single dose) and high doses (> 0.2 mg/kg orally, single dose or with higher frequency). We plan to analyse different doses in subgroup analyses, if sufficient trials are available for review updates.
We compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo. Co‐interventions (standard of care) must have been comparable between the trial arms.
We planned to compare ivermectin to any other active pharmacological comparator with proven efficacy for prevention or treatment of COVID‐19. Proven interventions were defined as those recommended by the WHO living guideline (Agarwal 2020). As of 8 December 2021, strong recommendations for dexamethasone and for IL‐6 receptor blockers (tocilizumab and sarilumab) in critically ill COVID‐19 patients, and conditional recommendations for casirivimab and imdevimab for COVID‐19 patients with high risk of severe disease and for critically‐ill patients with seronegative status were available (Agarwal 2020). For patients that qualify for a proven active intervention, it would be unethical to further conduct trials that use placebo only. In contrast, trials using comparators (e.g. azithromycin, Popp 2021c) with proven ineffectiveness may confound the assessment of the efficacy or safety of ivermectin, and therefore we excluded such trials. Although those types of interventions were possibly used at a certain point of time during the pandemic with the best intentions, their use was never supported by actual evidence, and they have potential adverse effects (Popp 2021c; Singh 2021). From those comparisons, no reliable evidence can be obtained.
Trials investigating various concomitant medications (e.g. doxycycline, hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, zinc) in addition to ivermectin or as comparator drug were not eligible for this review. Due to unproven efficacy, possible adverse effects, and drug interactions, these comparisons may confound the assessment of the efficacy or safety of ivermectin.
We created these comparisons:
ivermectin plus standard of care versus standard of care plus/minus placebo; and
ivermectin versus active pharmacological intervention with proven efficacy (no trials available for the current review version).
Types of outcome measures
We evaluated core outcomes in accordance with the Core Outcome Measures in Effectiveness Trials (COMET) Initiative for COVID‐19 patients (COMET 2020; Marshall 2020), and additional outcomes that have been prioritized by consumer representatives and the German guideline panel for inpatient therapy of people with COVID‐19 (German AWMF Guideline 2021a) and for outpatient therapy (German AWMF Guideline 2021b). The current outcome set differed between previous protocols and reviews and the current review. Changes to the outcomes were necessary due to the risk of competing events associated with the original outcome set. We added outcomes for inpatients and outpatients that aim to simultaneously capture all participants of the population with clinical worsening and all participants with clinical improvement. This was possible by using composite outcomes, e.g. combining new need for invasive mechanical ventilation and death as clinical worsening for inpatients, and combining admission to hospital and death for outpatients. This adjusted outcome set should allow evidence on ivermectin to become more unambiguous and patient‐relevant.
We analysed different outcomes for the use of ivermectin for treatment of people with COVID‐19 in inpatient and outpatient settings, and for the prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. If trials were eligible for inclusion regarding design, population, intervention, and comparator, but did not report outcomes of interest, they were not included for meta‐analysis. However, we summarized reported outcomes for all included trials in the Characteristics of included studies table.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate to severe disease
All‐cause mortality at day 28, day 60, time‐to‐event, and at hospital discharge
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Clinical status at day 28, day 60, and up to the longest follow‐up, including:
-
worsening of clinical status
participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death
participants with need for ICU admission or death
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improvement of clinical status
participants discharged alive. Participants should be discharged without clinical deterioration or death.
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Quality of life, including fatigue and neurological status, assessed with standardized scales e.g. WHOQOL‐100) at up to 7 days; up to 28 days, and longest follow‐up available
Serious adverse events during the trial period, defined as number of participants with any event
Adverse events (any grade) during the trial period, defined as number of participants with any event
Viral clearance, assessed with RT‐PCR test for SARS‐CoV‐2 at baseline, and at day 3, 7, and 14
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease
All‐cause mortality at day 28, day 60, time‐to‐event, and up to the longest follow‐up
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Worsening of clinical status within 28 days:
admission to hospital or death
participants with need for ICU admission or death
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Improvement of clinical status:
all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14, day 28, and up to the longest follow‐up
time to symptom resolution
Quality of life, including fatigue and neurological status, assessed with standardized scales (e.g. WHOQOL‐100) at up to 7 days, up to 28 days, and longest follow‐up available
Serious adverse events during the trial period, defined as number of participants with any event
Adverse events (any grade) during the trial period, defined as number of participants with any event
Viral clearance, assessed with RT‐PCR test for SARS‐CoV‐2 at baseline, and at day 3, 7, and 14
Ivermectin for preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (confirmed by RT‐PCR or antigen testing) at 14 days
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Development of clinical COVID‐19 symptoms up to 14 days; assessed in accordance with individual items of the WHO scale (Marshall 2020). If the trial did not use a standardized scale to assess the status of the participants, we categorized their status according to the WHO scale with the information provided by the trial:
uninfected (WHO scale 0)
ambulatory mild disease (WHO scale 1 to 3)
hospitalized with moderate disease (WHO scale 4 to 5)
hospitalized with severe disease (WHO scale 7 to 9)
mortality (WHO scale 10)
All‐cause mortality at day 28, day 60, time‐to‐event, and up to the longest follow‐up
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Worsening of clinical status within 28 days:
admission to hospital or death
participants with need for ICU admission or death
Quality of life, including fatigue and neurological status, assessed with standardized scales (e.g. WHOQOL‐100) at up to 14 days; up to 28 days, and longest follow‐up available
Adverse events (any grade) during the trial period, defined as number of participants with any event
Timing of outcome measurement
We collected information on outcomes from all time points reported in the publications. If only a few trials contributed data to an outcome, we pooled different time points, provided the trials had produced valid data and pooling was clinically reasonable.
In case of time‐to‐event analysis, e.g. for time to death, we included the outcome measure based on the longest follow‐up time and measured from randomization.
We reported time points of outcome measurement in the footnotes of the forest plots. We included serious adverse events and adverse events occurring during the trial period, including adverse events during active treatment and long‐term adverse events as well. If sufficient data are available for review updates, we will group the measurement time points of eligible outcomes into those measured directly after treatment (up to 7 days), medium‐term outcomes (up to 14 days), and longer‐term outcomes (28 days or more).
Secondary outcomes
This review update has no secondary outcomes. We treated all outcomes as a primary outcome set which informed the summary of findings tables.
Search methods for identification of studies
Electronic searches
Our Information Specialist (MIM) conducted systematic searches of the following sources from inception to 16 December 2021 (date of last search for all databases) with no restrictions on the language of publication.
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Cochrane COVID‐19 Study Register (CCSR) (www.covid-19.cochrane.org), comprising:
Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), monthly updates;
MEDLINE (PubMed), daily updates;
Embase.com, weekly updates;
ClinicalTrials.gov (www.clinicaltrials.gov), daily updates;
WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) (www.who.int/trialsearch), weekly updates; and
medRxiv (www.medrxiv.org), weekly updates.
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Web of Science Core Collection (Clarivate):
Science Citation Index Expanded; and
Emerging Sources Citation Index.
WHO Global literature on coronavirus disease database (search.bvsalud.org/global-literature-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov)
HTA database (database.inahta.org)
For detailed search strategies, see Appendix 1.
We did not conduct separate searches of the databases required by MECIR standards (Higgins 2021), since these databases are regularly searched in the production of the CCSR.
Since the date of last search (16 December 2021) up to and including February 2022, we used the CCSR to monitor newly published results of RCTs on ivermectin on a weekly basis. In February 2022 we closed the trial pool for this review update. From April onwards we changed our screening to a monthly monitoring schedule, which two review authors will screen. In April, we identified one trial including > 1000 participants. We included this single trial due to its large size and considered this a justifiable compromise between being as up to date as possible in the dynamic of this pandemic and reasons of practicability.
Searching other resources
We searched the reference lists of included trials, systematic reviews, and meta‐analyses to identify other potentially eligible trials or ancillary publications. We contacted the investigators of included trials to obtain additional information on the retrieved trials.
We searched for grey literature using the International HTA database (see previous section). In addition, we screened the sections regarding ivermectin on the COVID‐NMA Working Group for eligible trials.
Data collection and analysis
Selection of studies
Inclusion criteria
We performed trial selection in accordance with the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Lefebvre 2020). Two out of three review authors (MP, SR, SW) independently screened titles and abstracts of identified records. We retrieved full‐text articles and independently assessed eligibility of the remaining records against the predefined eligibility criteria. We resolved discrepancies through discussion between the review authors. We included trials irrespective of whether measured outcome data were reported in a 'usable' way. We collated multiple reports of the same trial, so that the trial, rather than the report, was the unit of interest in the review.
We documented the trial selection process in a PRISMA flow diagram with the total number of trials included, excluded, awaiting classification, and ongoing (Moher 2009). We listed the reasons for exclusion and awaiting classification in the Characteristics of excluded studies and Characteristics of studies awaiting classification tables.
Research integrity screening
During this pandemic, several trials investigating ivermectin for COVID‐19 turned out to be problematic and were either retracted or concerns were expressed due to misconduct or lack of research integrity (BBC NEWS; Elgazzar 2020; Retraction Watch Database (ivermectin); Samaha 2021). A ‘problematic study’ is defined by Cochrane as "Any published or unpublished study where there are serious questions about the trustworthiness of the data or findings, regardless of whether the study has been formally retracted; scientific misconduct will not be the only reason that a study might be problematic; problems may result from poor research practices or honest errors" (Cochrane policy ‐ managing problematic studies). To respond to these facts and developments, we changed the inclusion criteria for this review update to identify and handle problematic trials, and considered research integrity of the individual trial as an important eligibility criteria. Current standard tools for systematic reviews do not systematically consider issues of research integrity. However, there are useful tools available, such as the REAPPRAISED checklist for evaluation of publication integrity (Grey 2020), or the data extraction sheet from Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth that addresses scientific integrity and trustworthiness (Data extraction template). Additionally, there is available implementation guidance on the Cochrane policy of managing potentially problematic studies (Implementation guidance ‐ problematic studies). We used the Cochrane implementation guidance, modified the existing tools and developed a specific tool for the current review. This tool along with detailed methodological instructions and critical and important signalling questions to key aspects (domains), is available in Appendix 2 and described elsewhere (Weibel 2022). Briefly, trials were only eligible for the current review update if they met critical aspects assuring research integrity, such as retraction notices, prospective trial registration, ethics approval, plausible study authorship, sufficient reporting of methods regarding relevant eligibility criteria (e.g. randomization), and plausibility of study results. Two review authors independently re‐evaluated all trials included in the original review version and assessed all new and eligible trials for research integrity. We excluded trials if they were retracted or if they were not prospectively registered in a national or international trials' registry according to the WHO guidelines for clinical trial registration (WHO 2018). We held all potentially eligible trials with disparities between the reporting of methods and results in ‘awaiting classification’ until the trial authors can clarify certain questions upon request. We documented the process and transparently reported all decisions.
Data extraction and management
Five review authors in teams of two (MP, SR, SS, RH, SW), independently extracted data using a standardized data extraction form, including details of the trial, participants, intervention, comparator, and outcomes. If necessary, we tried to obtain missing data by contacting the authors of relevant articles. At each step of data extraction, we resolved any discrepancies through discussion between the review authors.
We extracted the following information, if reported.
General information: author, title, source, country, language, type of publication, publication date.
trial characteristics: setting and dates, inclusion/exclusion criteria, number of trial arms, comparability of groups, treatment cross‐overs, length of follow‐up, funding.
Participant characteristics: number of participants randomized/received intervention/analysed, COVID‐19 diagnostics, severity of disease, age, gender, comorbidities (e.g. diabetes, immunosuppression), concurrent interventions, time since symptom onset, vaccination status.
Intervention: dose, frequency, start of treatment since symptom onset, duration and route of administration.
Control intervention: type of control, frequency, duration and route of administration.
Outcomes: as specified under Types of outcome measures.
Assessment of risk of bias in included studies
We assessed risk of bias in the included trials using the Cochrane RoB 2 tool (Higgins 2020c; Sterne 2019). The effect of interest was the effect of assignment at baseline, regardless of whether the interventions were received as intended (the 'intention‐to‐treat effect'). We assessed the risk of bias for all results (outcomes) reported in the included trials that we specified as outcomes for the current review and that contributed to the review's summary of findings tables.
Five review authors in teams of two (MP, SR, SS, RH, SW), independently assessed the risk of bias of all results. We resolved any disagreements through discussion with an additional review author.
The RoB 2 tool considers the following domains.
Bias arising from the randomization process.
Bias due to deviations from the intended interventions.
Bias due to missing outcome data.
Bias in measurement of the outcome.
Bias in selection of the reported result.
We assessed the RoB 2 domains using the recommended signalling questions and these response options:
yes;
probably yes;
probably no;
no; or
no information.
RoB 2 algorithms map responses to signalling questions. We used the proposed algorithm after verification to reach a risk of bias judgement, and assigned one of three levels to each domain:
low risk of bias;
some concerns; or
high risk of bias.
Similarly, we reached an overall risk of bias judgement for a specific outcome by considering all domains resulting in one of the three judgement options described above. Overall low risk of bias of the trial result was assumed when all domains were at low risk; some concerns of bias was assumed when the trial result was judged to raise some concerns in at least one domain for this result, but not at high risk of bias for any domain; overall high risk of bias of the trial result was assumed when the trial was at high risk of bias in at least one domain for this result or when it was judged to have some concerns for multiple domains in a way that substantially lowered confidence in the result (Higgins 2020c).
We used the RoB 2 Excel tool to implement RoB 2 (available at www.riskofbias.info/welcome/rob-2-0-tool/current-version-of-rob-2). We stored the full RoB 2 data (e.g. completed Excel tool) in an online repository.
Measures of treatment effect
For dichotomous outcomes, we recorded the number of events and the number of analysed participants in the intervention and control groups. We used the risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) as effect measure.
For continuous outcomes, we recorded the mean, standard deviation (SD), and the number of analysed participants in the intervention and control groups. If the SD was not reported, we used standard errors, CIs, or P values to calculate the SD with the formulas described in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2020d). If trials reported data as median with interquartile range (IQR), we assumed that the median was similar to the mean when sample sizes were large and the distribution of the outcome was similar to the normal distribution. In these cases, the width of the interquartile range (IQR) is approximately 1.35 SDs (Higgins 2020d). We used the MD with 95% CI as effect measure.
If available for future review updates, we plan to extract and report hazard ratios (HRs) for time‐to‐event outcomes (e.g. time to death). If HRs are not available, we will make every effort to estimate the HR as accurately as possible from available data using the methods proposed by Parmar 1998 and Tierney 2007. If sufficient trials had provided HRs, we planned to use HRs rather than RRs or MDs in a meta‐analysis, as they provide more information.
We considered effect estimates of dichotomous outcomes with the range of the 95% CIs not crossing 1 and continuous outcomes with the range of the 95% CIs not crossing 0 as statistically significant effect estimates. A statistically significant effect does not necessarily mean that the estimated effect is clinically relevant. We assessed the clinical relevance of the effect size separately and reported it transparently.
Unit of analysis issues
The unit of analysis for this review was the randomized participant.
In trials with multiple intervention groups, we combined groups if reasonable (e.g. trial arms with different doses of ivermectin). If it had not been reasonable to pool the groups, we planned to split the 'shared' comparator group to avoid double‐counting participants. There was no need to split shared groups for the current review.
Dealing with missing data
We have taken into account a number of potential sources of missing data in a systematic review or meta‐analysis, which can affect the number of trials, outcomes, summary data, individuals, or study‐level characteristics (Deeks 2020). Incomplete data can introduce bias into the meta‐analysis, if they are not missing at random. Missing trials may be the result of reporting bias, and we addressed this as described in the Assessment of reporting biases section. Missing outcomes and summary data may be the result of selective reporting bias; missing individuals may be the result of attrition from the trial or lack of intention‐to‐treat analysis. We addressed these sources of missing data using the RoB 2 tool (Assessment of risk of bias in included studies). If data were incompletely reported, we contacted the trial authors to request additional information.
Assessment of heterogeneity
We used the descriptive statistics reported in the Characteristics of included studies table to assess whether the trials within each pairwise comparison were homogeneous enough, with respect to trial and intervention details and population baseline characteristics, that the assumption of homogeneity might be plausible. In case of excessive clinical heterogeneity, we did not pool the findings of included trials.
We measured statistical heterogeneity using the Chi2 test and the I2 statistic (Deeks 2020), and the 95% prediction interval (PI) for random‐effects meta‐analysis (IntHout 2016). The prediction interval helps in the clinical interpretation of heterogeneity by estimating what true treatment effects can be expected in future settings (IntHout 2016). We restricted calculation of a 95% PI to meta‐analyses with four or more trials (200 participants or more), since the interval would be imprecise when a summary estimate was based on only a few small trials. We used the open‐source statistical software R package meta to calculate 95% PIs (Meta). We declared statistical heterogeneity if P < 0.1 for the Chi2 statistic, or I2 statistic ≥ 40% (40% to 60%: moderate heterogeneity; 50% to 90%: substantial heterogeneity; 75% to 100%: considerable heterogeneity; Deeks 2020), or the range of the 95% PI revealed a different clinical interpretation of the effect estimate compared to the 95% CI.
Assessment of reporting biases
We sought to identify all research that met our predefined eligibility criteria. Missing trials can introduce bias to the analysis. We searched for completed non‐published trials in trials registers, contacted authors to seek assurance that the results will be made available, and classified them as 'awaiting classification' until the results are reported. We reported the number of completed non‐published trials.
When there are 10 or more relevant trials pooled in a meta‐analysis, we planned to investigate risk of reporting bias (publication bias) in pairwise meta‐analyses using contour‐enhanced funnel plots. In the current review, there were no meta‐analyses including 10 or more trials. For review updates, if funnel plot asymmetry is suggested by a visual assessment, we plan to perform exploratory analyses (e.g. Rücker's arcsine test for dichotomous data and Egger's linear regression test for continuous data) to further investigate funnel plot asymmetry. We will consider P < 0.1 as the level of statistical significance. In review updates, we will analyse reporting bias using the open‐source statistical software R package meta (Meta).
Data synthesis
In the previous review version, we excluded high risk of bias trials from the primary analysis, with the aim to eliminate biased data and untrustworthy trials. However, to be transparent, we presented all trials in a secondary analysis. With the introduction of our new research integrity assessment, differentiation between primary and secondary analyses based on RoB ratings became dispensable. All included trials were eligible for the main analyses which informed the summary of findings tables and concerns regarding risk of bias were met with respective sensitivity analysis (see Sensitivity analysis).
We analysed trials with different intentions of ivermectin use and different participant populations separately, as follows.
Treatment of COVID‐19 in an inpatient setting: participants with confirmed SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
Treatment of COVID‐19 in an outpatient setting: participants with confirmed SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
Prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (postexposure prophylaxis): participants at high risk of developing the infection (no trials available for the current review version).
We created the comparisons:
ivermectin plus standard of care versus standard of care plus/minus placebo; and
Ivermectin versus active pharmacological intervention with proven efficacy (no trials available for the current review version).
We performed meta‐analyses according to the recommendations of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Deeks 2020). We used forest plots to visualise meta‐analyses.
If clinical and methodological characteristics of individual trials were sufficiently homogeneous, we pooled the data in meta‐analyses. When meta‐analysis was feasible, we used the random‐effects model as we assumed that the intervention effects were related but were not the same for the included trials. For dichotomous outcomes, we performed meta‐analyses using the Mantel‐Haenszel method under a random‐effects model to calculate the summary (combined) intervention effect estimate as a weighted mean of the intervention effects estimated in the individual trials. For continuous outcomes, we used the inverse‐variance method.
We planned to present descriptive statistics only if we deemed meta‐analysis inappropriate for a certain outcome because of heterogeneity or because of serious trial limitations leading to considerably high risk of bias (e.g competing risk of death not taken into account in outcome measurement). This was not the case for the current review version.
We used RevMan Web software for meta‐analyses (RevMan Web 2020).
Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity
We reported details of the intervention and severity of the condition at baseline for each trial in the footnotes of the forest plot. We investigated heterogeneity by visual inspection of the forest plot. We planned to investigate heterogeneity by subgroup analysis to calculate RR or MD in conjunction with the corresponding CI for each subgroup, if sufficient trials had been available (at least 10 trials per outcome); the current review had insufficient trials. In review updates, we will perform subgroup analyses if statistical heterogeneity is present (P < 0.1 for the Chi2 test of heterogeneity, I2 ≥ 50%, or a different clinical conclusion of 95% CI versus 95% PI).
In review updates, we will perform subgroup analyses to investigate heterogeneity for the following characteristics.
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Ivermectin used as treatment (inpatients and outpatients):
dose of ivermectin (low versus high);
age (children versus adults);
severity of condition at baseline (moderate (WHO scale 4 to 5) versus severe disease (WHO scale 6 to 9)); inpatients only.
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Ivermectin used for prevention:
dose of ivermectin (low versus high);
mode of exposure (e.g. work place, nursing home) and burden of exposure (e.g. living in a high‐risk area, high‐risk medical contact) in prevention trials;
confirmation of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (RT‐PCR versus antigen testing; for the outcome 'SARS‐CoV‐2 infection').
Sensitivity analysis
We used sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of the meta‐analyses. We excluded:
trials with overall high risk of bias or some concerns;
non‐peer‐reviewed trials (including preprint articles);
trials reporting data as median instead of mean for continuous outcomes; in the current review version there were no data reported as median that were eligible for a transformation into mean;
trials that started ivermectin treatment late (more than 5 days after symptom onset based on reported mean or median value of the trial) and trials without information on time point of treatment;
participants with a history of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection/vaccination.
Summary of findings and assessment of the certainty of the evidence
We presented the main results of the review in summary of findings tables, including a rating of the certainty of evidence based on the GRADE approach. We followed current GRADE guidance as recommended in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Schünemann 2020).
Two review authors (SW, MP) assessed the certainty of evidence, considering risk of bias, inconsistency, imprecision, indirectness, and publication bias. We used the overall RoB 2 assessment and RoB sensitivity analysis to inform the risk of bias judgement underlying the assessment of the certainty of evidence.
We had planned to create separate summary of findings tables for the use of ivermectin with different intentions (e.g. treatment of people with COVID‐19 in inpatient and outpatient settings, and prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection) and for different comparisons with regard to the intervention and comparator. For the current review, we found no trials with active comparators. The summary of findings tables included the following outcomes.
For use of ivermectin investigating treatment of COVID‐19 in an inpatient setting:
all‐cause mortality; all‐cause mortality at hospital discharge preferred; if not reported, we will include all‐cause mortality at day 60, followed by day 28, or time‐to‐event estimate;
worsening of clinical status at day 28: participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death;
improvement of clinical status at day 28: participants discharged alive;
quality of life at longest follow‐up available;
serious adverse events during the trial period;
any adverse events during the trial period;
viral clearance at day 7.
For use of ivermectin investigating treatment of COVID‐19 in an outpatient setting:
all‐cause mortality; all‐cause mortality at longest follow‐up and > 60 days preferred; if not reported, we will include all‐cause mortality at day 60, followed by day 28, or time‐to‐event estimate;
worsening of clinical status within 28 days: admission to hospital or death;
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symptom resolution;
all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14
duration to symptom resolution
quality of life at longest follow‐up available;
serious adverse events during the trial period;
any adverse events during the trial period;
viral clearance at day 7.
For use of ivermectin investigating prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (no trials were available for the current review version, therefore we did not create a summary of findings table):
SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (confirmed by RT‐PCR or antigen testing) at 14 days;
development of clinical COVID‐19 symptoms up to 14 days; assessed in accordance with the WHO scale;
worsening of clinical status within 28 days ‐ admission to hospital or death;
all‐cause mortality; all‐cause mortality at longest follow‐up and > 60 days preferred; if not reported, we will include all‐cause mortality at day 60, followed by day 28, or time‐to‐event estimate;
quality of life at longest follow‐up available;
any adverse events during the trial period.
The GRADE assessment resulted in one of four levels of certainty and these express our confidence in the estimate of effect (Balshem 2011).
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate; the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.
We used the MAGICapp to create summary of findings tables (MAGICapp), and incorporated the results into RevMan Web manually (RevMan Web 2020).
Methods for future updates
Living systematic review considerations
Our information specialist (MIM) provided us with a weekly monitoring of published RCTs up to and including February 2022. From April onwards we will change this list to a monthly monitoring schedule, which two review authors will screen, extract, evaluate, and integrate following the guidance for Cochrane living systematic reviews (Cochrane LSR).
We will manually check platform trials for new treatment arms investigating ivermectin.
We will wait until the accumulating evidence changes our conclusions of the implications for research and practice before republishing the review. We will consider one or more of the following components to inform this decision.
The findings of one or more prioritized outcomes.
The credibility (e.g. GRADE rating) of one or more prioritized outcomes.
New settings, populations, interventions, comparisons, or outcomes studied.
In case of emerging policy relevance due to global controversies around the intervention, we will consider republishing an updated review even though our conclusions remain unchanged. We will review the scope and methods of the review approximately monthly, or more frequently if appropriate, in light of potential changes in COVID‐19 research (e.g. when additional comparisons, interventions, subgroups, or outcomes, or new review methods become available).
Results
Description of studies
Results of the search
We conducted the literature search again completely without date restriction; this resulted in 567 records. We identified a further two records from a hand search of reference lists. Since the date of last search (16 December 2021) up to February 2022, we used the CCSR to monitor newly‐published results of RCTs on ivermectin on a weekly basis. In addition, we found one trial that had provided data via personal communication had been published as a journal article during conduction of the review update (I‐TECH 2022). Thus, we evaluated 570 records overall. The 22 records we had identified by hand search in the previous review, appeared in searched databases by the time of this updated search, and could be deduplicated. After removing duplicates, 382 records remained. During title and abstract screening, we judged 200 records as irrelevant as they did not meet the prespecified inclusion criteria. We proceeded to full‐text screening with 182 records, of which 39 records were newly identified in the updated search and 143 records that had already been screened in the previous review version had to be reassessed for eligibility. The re‐evaluation was necessary because the research integrity assessment was introduced as a new eligibility criteria for trials, and additionally, previously ongoing trials had to be reassessed if new information had become available in the meantime. Decisions from the original review version that were changed due to assessment of the trials’ research integrity can be found in Table 3. We considered published full texts in journals or on preprint servers or, if these were unavailable, entries in trial registers. We excluded 55 trials (84 records) with reasons after full‐text assessment. We identified 31 ongoing trials (37 records) and 28 trials (30 records) awaiting assessment. In February 2022 we set the deadline for inclusion of newly‐published trial results for this review update. Hence, after initially closing the trial pool for this review update, we identified one trial with more than 1000 participants, previously classified as ongoing, that published its results in March 2022. We included this trial in the review without an additional systematic search, resulting in 11 trials (32 records) that met our eligibility criteria and enabled us to perform qualitative syntheses and meta‐analyses (quantitative syntheses). The search process is shown in Figure 1.
1. Changed decisions in study eligibility assessment.
Study ID | Status in this review update | Status in the previous review | Reason for change of decision |
Faisal 2020 | Excluded | Awaiting classification | Study did not pass research integrity check*, due to lack of trial registration; author did not provide clarification regarding the trial design. Presumably, it is not a RCT. |
Samaha 2021 | Excluded | Awaiting classification | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to published retraction notice |
Abd‐Elsalam 2021 | Excluded | Ongoing | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to retrospective trial registration |
Biber 2021 | Excluded | Ongoing | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to retrospective trial registration |
Ahmed 2020 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to lack of trial registration |
Chachar 2020 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to retrospective trial registration |
Kishoria 2020 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to lack of trial registration |
Okumuş 2021 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to retrospective trial registration |
Podder 2020 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to lack of trial registration |
Shah Bukhari 2021 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, retrospective trial registration |
Shouman 2021 | Excluded | Included | Trial did not pass research integrity check*, due to wrong study design; direct contact with the author revealed that the study is not a RCT. |
Vallejos 2021 | Included | Ongoing | New full‐text journal publication |
Bounfrate 2021 | Included | Ongoing | New preprint and pre‐proof journal publication |
IRCT20190624043993N2 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile completed, no results published |
IRCT20200404046937N4 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile completed, no results published |
NCT04602507 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile terminated, interim results might be published in the future |
NCT04673214 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Trial did not pass research integrity check* yet, because relevant information to assure trustworthiness is missing. Trialist was contacted for clarification. Only a partial response was received which could not fully clarify the issue up until now. |
NCT04894721 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile completed, no results published |
PACTR202102588777597 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile terminated, interim might be published in the future |
IRCT20111224008507N4 | Awaiting classification | Ongoing | Meanwhile completed, no results published |
TOGETHER 2022 | Included | Ongoing | New full‐text journal publication |
*Details of the research integrity check can be found in Figure 1 and Supplementary File_Ivermectin_Research Integrity. RCT: randomized controlled trial.
Eligibility screening for research integrity
We evaluated all eligible trials for issues with research integrity:
14 included trials from the previous review (Ahmed 2020; Chachar 2020; Kishoria 2020; Okumuş 2021; Podder 2020; Shah Bukhari 2021; Shouman 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021);
three trials with results awaiting classification from the previous review (Faisal 2020; Samaha 2021; NCT04407507);
seven trials with results identified by the updated search (Bounfrate 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Vallejos 2021; Abd‐Elsalam 2021; Biber 2021; Aref 2021; NCT04673214);
one trial, previously classified as ongoing, including > 1000 participants identified after closing the trial pool for this update (TOGETHER 2022).
The research integrity assessment is described in Appendix 2 and decisions concerning this review's trial pool are transparently reported and publicly available (Supplementary File_Ivermectin_Research Integrity).
One trial awaiting classification in the previous review version was retracted in the meantime (Samaha 2021); we excluded the trial in this review update. We excluded three included trials (Ahmed 2020; Kishoria 2020; Podder 2020), and one trial awaiting classification (Faisal 2020) from the previous review as they were not registered in a national or international trials registry. Before making the final decision on this, we contacted the trial authors to make sure we had not overlooked any registration. Three included trials from the previous review (Chachar 2020; Okumuş 2021; Shah Bukhari 2021), and two trials with newly‐identified full‐text publications (Abd‐Elsalam 2021; Biber 2021) were retrospectively registered; i.e. the date of first enrolment of participants was before the date of first protocol submission to the trials register. We used the date of submission instead of the date first posted to exclude a possible delay in the registration process at this point in the pandemic. We excluded these retrospectively registered trials also. One included trial from the previous review turned out to be a non‐randomized trial (Shouman 2021). The authors described the method used for randomization via personal communication, which we then assessed as non‐randomized alternate allocation; we excluded this trial from this review update.
We held all potentially eligible trials with disparities in the reporting of the methods and results in ‘awaiting classification’ until the trial authors respond to our information requests. One trial awaiting classification in the previous review version (NCT04407507), and one trial with newly‐identified published results (NCT04673214), have not been published as full texts yet, and relevant information assuring research integrity is missing from the trials' registry record. Aref 2021 described their randomization method insufficiently in the journal publication, therefore the actual trial design remained unclear. We requested clarification regarding information on randomization methods and trial results: NCT04602507 investigators responded that they would share any data/information once the trial is published; NCT04673214 investigators could not clarify all outstanding issues in time; and Aref 2021 did not respond at all. We will re‐evaluate trials awaiting classification in the next review update.
Study designs and publication status
See Characteristics of included studies table.
We included 11 trials describing 3409 adults randomized to trial arms relevant for the review question (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). Three trials had an open‐label design (I‐TECH 2022; Krolewiecki 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021), and the other eight trials were double‐blinded and placebo‐controlled (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). Four trials were multicentre trials in Argentina (Krolewiecki 2021), Italy (Bounfrate 2021), Brazil (TOGETHER 2022), and Malaysia (I‐TECH 2022). The remaining seven trials were single‐centre trials in Argentina (Vallejos 2021), Brazil (Pott‐Junior 2021), Colombia (López‐Medina 2021), India (Mohan 2021; Kirti 2021), Mexico (Gonzalez 2021), and Spain (Chaccour 2021).
Of 11 included trials, seven comprised two trial arms (Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021), and three trials comprised three trial arms, of which two trials investigated ivermectin at two different dosages (Bounfrate 2021; Mohan 2021), that were pooled for this review, and one included an active comparator not eligible for this review (Gonzalez 2021). One trial comprised four trial arms (Pott‐Junior 2021), with three different ivermectin dosages pooled for this review.
The largest trial was TOGETHER 2022 with 1358 randomized participants. Chaccour 2021 had the smallest sample size of 24 randomized participants.
Of the included trials, 10 were available as peer‐reviewed journal articles (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021), of which three trials, included as preprint articles in the previous review have since been published as journal articles (Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021). We further included one trial that has not yet been peer‐reviewed, and is published on a preprint sever (Gonzalez 2021). In November 2021 trial investigators of I‐TECH 2022 directly contacted us and provided unpublished trial details with outcome data without a request from us; we have included the data in this review. Additionally, I‐TECH 2022 was officially published as a peer‐reviewed journal article in February 2022.
Three trials were funded by pharmaceutical companies producing ivermectin, including Laboratorio Elea Phoenix SA (Krolewiecki 2021), Windlas Biotech Ltd (Mohan 2021), and Sun Pharma Ltd (Kirti 2021). One trial was funded by Insud Pharma (Bounfrate 2021), which provided ivermectin and placebo for the trial. From the company's website it appears that Insud Pharma distributes ivermectin commercially via a subcontractor. Four trials were funded by departmental resources only (Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). Three trials were funded by their respective Ministries of Health, Italy (Bounfrate 2021), Malaysia (I‐TECH 2022), and Argentina (Vallejos 2021), and one trial by grants from non‐profit organizations (TOGETHER 2022).
Participants
All 11 trials investigated ivermectin for treatment of COVID‐19 and included participants with SARS‐CoV‐2 infection confirmed by RT‐PCR or antigen testing. This review update did not include any trials investigating ivermectin for the prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2‐infection. Of the 11 trials, five were performed in an inpatient setting (Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021), and six in an outpatient setting (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; López‐Medina 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). I‐TECH 2022 included patients hospitalized for the purpose of isolation and close monitoring due to public health policy at the time of trial. Based on that, we classified the setting as outpatient.
Participants included in Chaccour 2021 and TOGETHER 2022 had mild COVID‐19 according to a patient state of 2 to 3 on the WHO scale. In I‐TECH 2022 severity of the condition according to the WHO scale was described as 2 to 4, but we transferred this to an outpatient population with mild disease, i.e. WHO 2 to 3, based on the trialists statement described above. Participants in López‐Medina 2021 had mostly mild COVID‐19, defined as WHO 2 to 3, but < 1% of participants were hospitalized with or without supplemental oxygen. Bounfrate 2021 and Vallejos 2021 included mild and asymptomatic COVID‐19 patients, defined as WHO 1 to 3. Four of the five inpatient trials included participants with moderate COVID‐19 with or without supplemental oxygen according to WHO 4 and 5 (Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). In Gonzalez 2021, all participants received supplemental oxygen (WHO 5).
The overall mean age in the trials was 45 years. Chaccour 2021 included the youngest participants with a median age of 28 years. I‐TECH 2022 included the oldest participants with a mean age of 63 years. The mean proportion of women in all included trials was 44%. The lowest proportions of men were in López‐Medina 2021 and TOGETHER 2022 with 42% men, while Kirti 2021 included the highest proportion with 72% men.
The trials partially reported comorbidities and relevant risk factors for severe COVID‐19, such as obesity, diabetes, respiratory diseases, hypertension, and immunosuppression (see Characteristics of included studies table). I‐TECH 2022 only included patients aged 50 years and above with at least one prespecified comorbidity. TOGETHER 2022 defined age (> 50 years) or at least one prespecified comoridity as inclusion criteria. Two trials excluded existing comorbidities and specified them in the inclusion and exclusion criteria (Chaccour 2021; Krolewiecki 2021). One trial reported no data on risk factors in their publications or trial reports (Pott‐Junior 2021).
Eight trials were conducted before the global vaccination campaigns. Of the two trials including vaccinated participants, Bounfrate 2021 reported an overall vaccination rate of about 3% and I‐TECH 2022 included over 50% of participants with two doses of vaccine and about 30% of unvaccinated participants. The authors of TOGETHER 2022 stated that vaccinated, as well as unvaccinated participants, were eligible for the trial, but did not provide further details on the vaccination status of included participants.
Interventions and comparators
All trials administered ivermectin orally. The daily dosages varied between fixed doses of 12 mg to 24 mg or weight‐adjusted doses of 100 µg/kg to 400 µg/kg, two trials used higher doses with 600 µg/kg (Bounfrate 2021; Krolewiecki 2021) and 1200 µg/kg (Bounfrate 2021). Two trials used low doses (200 µg/kg orally, single dose) in at least one trial arm (Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). All other trials applied higher doses either in one single dose or multiple doses for up to 5 days. Participants received single‐dose ivermectin in two trials (Chaccour 2021; Mohan 2021), two doses in two trials (Kirti 2021; Vallejos 2021), three doses in one trial (TOGETHER 2022), and five doses in five trials (Bounfrate 2021; Gonzalez 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021). In one trial, there was insufficient detail in the journal publication and the trial registry on whether the participants received ivermectin as a single or double dose (Pott‐Junior 2021). In addition to ivermectin all trials administered some form of standard of care that was also equal between intervention and control group.
Most trials started treatment at a mean of 5 days after symptom onset. Kirti 2021 and Pott‐Junior 2021 had the longest time since symptom onset with a mean of 6.9 (SD 6.6) days and a median of 8 (IQR 7 to 10) days. Gonzalez 2021 did not report on time since symptom onset.
We found no trials comparing ivermectin to an active comparator with proven efficacy. Eight trials administered placebo tablets as the control intervention in addition to standard of care (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). The remaining three trials administered standard of care alone (I‐TECH 2022; Krolewiecki 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). Standard of care varied between trials, but was the same in all trial arms of the individual trials. Five trials did not provide details of standard of care (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Krolewiecki 2021; Vallejos 2021). Two trials used a combination of interventions including hydroxychloroquine, favipiravir, and azithromycin (Kirti 2021; Mohan 2021). Five trials administered corticosteroids such as dexamethasone (Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). López‐Medina 2021 and TOGETHER 2022 utilized antipyretic drugs for symptomatic treatment.
Outcome measures
All trials reported at least one outcome eligible for this review update, therefore, all trials contributed data to one or more meta‐analyses.
The most investigated primary outcomes, as defined by the trial, were either (time to) viral clearance or a reduction in the viral load which was reported in six trials (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). López‐Medina 2021 defined 'resolution of symptoms' as the primary outcome, while the primary outcome in Vallejos 2021, TOGETHER 2022 and I‐TECH 2022 was defined as 'progression of the disease' (measured by hospitalization or need for supplemental oxygen, respectively). The primary outcomes in Gonzalez 2021 were duration of hospitalization until discharge due to clinical improvement and duration of hospitalization. Two trials defined safety outcomes as additional primary outcomes (Bounfrate 2021; Gonzalez 2021).
For the inpatient setting, no new trials contributed data to the primary outcomes of this review update compared to the previous review version. However, meta‐analyses changed due to the adjusted primary outcome set. For each outcome, data were available from three trials at the most. We were able to pool data for mortality (measured at 28 days in Gonzalez 2021 and Kirti 2021 and 30 days in Krolewiecki 2021) with clinical reason. Data usable to assess the outcomes, clinical worsening ('participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death') and clinical improvement ('participants discharged alive') at day 28 were reported for eligible time points by two trials (Gonzalez 2021; Krolewiecki 2021‐reporting for 30 days) and one trial (Gonzalez 2021), respectively. Any adverse events during the trial period were reported by Krolewiecki 2021 at 30 days, by Mohan 2021 at 14 days, and by Pott‐Junior 2021 at 28 days. Two of those also measured serious adverse events, Krolewiecki 2021 at 30 days and Mohan 2021 at 14 days. The trials used slightly varying, though equally relevant definitions, for both outcomes. As for the time point, we decided it was clinically reasonable to pool the available data as 'during the trial period', because the intervention was not administered in any of the trials for more than 5 days.
Viral clearance was reported by three trials: Kirti 2021 reported this outcome for day 6, Pott‐Junior 2021 for day 7, and Mohan 2021 for day 5. We judged these time points as eligible and clinically reasonable for pooling the review's outcome of viral clearance at day 7. Mohan 2021 also reported eligible data for day 3, however we judged the trial's data for day 7 as unusable because no result was available for many participants.
For the outpatient setting, several primary outcomes (as defined by the new outcome set of this review) were reported by all included trials. Five trials reported mortality at 28 or 30 days (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021); López‐Medina 2021 reported this outcome at 21 days, however as those time points lie closely together, especially in respect to the patient setting, we considered pooling the data clinically reasonable. Serious adverse events and any adverse events during the trial period were reported by Bounfrate 2021 at 30 days, by Chaccour 2021 and I‐TECH 2022 at 28 days, by López‐Medina 2021 at 21 days, and by Vallejos 2021 until the participants were declared SARS‐CoV‐2 negative, which was at a median of 12 days. The trials used slightly varying, though equally relevant definitions, for both outcomes. As for the time point, we decided it was clinically reasonable to pool the available data as 'during the trial period', because the intervention was not administered in any of the trials for more than 5 days.
Viral clearance was reported by four trials (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021) for several time points as defined (3, 7 and 14 days) and we used these trials for meta‐analyses. However, for the time point of 7 days (included in the summary of findings tables), only Chaccour 2021 and TOGETHER 2022 contributed outcome data. Outcome data usable for measuring clinical worsening within 28 days (‘admission to hospital or death’ and 'participants with need for ICU admission or death') were reported by the newly‐included trials for 28 and 30 days (Bounfrate 2021; Vallejos 2021 and I‐TECH 2022, respectively). Symptom resolution was reported by Bounfrate 2021 at day 14 and 30, as well as by López‐Medina 2021 for day 15 and 21. We were able to pool both trials for the review's primary outcomes' symptom resolution at day 14 and 28, respectively, with clinical reason. López‐Medina 2021 and TOGETHER 2022 additionally reported duration to symptom resolution.
TOGETHER 2022 measured health‐related quality of life in outpatients at 28 days on a standardized scale, the PROMIS Global‐10 scale, separated in a physical and mental component. No trial measured quality of life in the inpatient setting and no trial followed up participants for more than 30 days in either setting.
Due to the new eligibility criteria for research integrity, which revealed Shouman 2021 as a non‐RCT, no trials in this update investigated prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
Excluded studies
See Characteristics of excluded studies table.
We excluded 55 trials that did not match our inclusion criteria. Twelve trials evaluated a combination of ivermectin with other treatments that were different between groups (Chahla 2021a; Chowdhury 2021; Hashim 2020; IRCT20200408046987N2; Mahmud 2021; NCT04360356; NCT04392427; NCT04447235; NCT04482686; NCT04551755; NCT04768179; Spoorthi 2020). Nine trials investigated active comparators without proven efficacy (Babalola 2021; CTRI/2020/08/027282; CTRI/2020/08/027394; CTRI/2020/10/028335; CTRI/2021/03/031665; Elgazzar 2020; Galan 2021; NCT04435587; Seet 2021). One of these trials was retracted by Research Square on 14 July 2021 due to an expression of concern (Elgazzar 2020; The Guardian 2021a). Four trials focused on an intervention other than ivermectin (NCT04345419; NCT04374279; NCT04382846; NCT04723459). Six trials analysed an ineligible trial population including RT‐PCR negative participants (IRCT20180922041089N4; NCT04530474; NCT04703608; NCT04951362; Niaee 2021; Shahbaznejad 2021). Five trials were registered retrospectively (Abd‐Elsalam 2021; Biber 2021; Chachar 2020; Okumuş 2021; Shah Bukhari 2021), and four trials were not registered at all (Ahmed 2020; Faisal 2020; Kishoria 2020; Podder 2020). Of those nine trials, six belonged to the 11 trials overall that we judged as eligible in the previous review, but that we have now excluded because they failed the research integrity check. Fourteen trials were not RCTs (Behera 2020; Cadegiani 2020; Camprubi 2020; Carvallo 2020; Chahla 2021b; Gorial 2020; Lima‐Morales 2021; Morgenstern 2020; Mustaq 2021; NCT04373824; NCT04937569; Ozer 2021; Rajter 2021; Shouman 2021). We included Shouman 2021 in the previous review, but have excluded it from this review update as the research integrity check revealed it to be a non‐RCT.
Studies awaiting classification
See Characteristics of studies awaiting classification table.
Twenty‐eight trials are awaiting classification until publication of results, a protocol update or clarification of details by the trial authors (2020‐001971‐33/ES; 2020‐002091‐12/BG; 2020‐005015‐40/SK; Aref 2021; CTRI/2020/04/024948; CTRI/2020/06/025960; Hosseini 2021; IRCT20111224008507N4; IRCT20180612040068N1; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20190624043993N2; IRCT20200329046892N3; IRCT20200404046937N4; IRCT20200408046987N3; IRCT20200422047168N2; IRCT20210213050344N1; ISRCTN90437126; NCT04351347; NCT04374019; NCT04407130; NCT04407507; NCT04602507; NCT04673214; NCT04746365; NCT04891250; NCT04894721; NCT05076253; PACTR202102588777597).
Of those, three trials were generally eligible for inclusion but did not pass the research integrity check (Aref 2021; NCT04407507; NCT04673214), as relevant information to assure trustworthiness was missing. Contact with the trialists either yielded no or only partial responses that could not fully clarify the issue at the time of completing this review update.
We identified 13 completed and potentially‐eligible RCTs from trial register entries, but no results were available or published (2020‐002091‐12/BG; Hosseini 2021; IRCT20111224008507N4; IRCT20180612040068N1; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20190624043993N2; IRCT20200329046892N3; IRCT20200404046937N4; IRCT20200422047168N2; IRCT20210213050344N1; NCT04407130; NCT04894721; NCT05076253). Of those, seven investigated ivermectin as treatment for inpatients (2020‐002091‐12/BG; IRCT20180612040068N1; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20200329046892N3; IRCT20200404046937N4; IRCT20200422047168N2; NCT04407130), three investigated the treatment for outpatients (IRCT20111224008507N4; IRCT20210213050344N1; NCT05076253), and one investigated both settings (Hosseini 2021). Only one trial investigated ivermectin as prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection in close contacts (NCT04894721), and for one trial the setting was unclear (IRCT20190624043993N2). Eight trials compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo, five compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care alone. Enrolment numbers ranged from 50 to 1000 participants. Of those 13 completed trials without results, four had a planned completion date of 2020, with the latest updates to the trial register entries between May 2020 and February 2021 (2020‐002091‐12/BG; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20200422047168N2; NCT04407130) and nine had a planned completion date of 2021, with the latest trial register entries between July 2020 and December 2021 (Hosseini 2021; IRCT20180612040068N1; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20190624043993N2; IRCT20200329046892N3; IRCT20200404046937N4; IRCT20210213050344N1; NCT04894721; NCT05076253). For almost 70% (9/13) of completed trials, the planned completion date was more than 6 months ago, without having published any results, either in the trial registry or as full text (2020‐002091‐12/BG; Hosseini 2021; IRCT20180612040068N1; IRCT20190602043787N3; IRCT20190624043993N2; IRCT20200329046892N3; IRCT20200422047168N2; IRCT20210213050344N1; NCT04407130).
Three trials have been terminated without publication of interim results so far (2020‐005015‐40/SK; NCT04602507; PACTR202102588777597). Of those, one trial took place in an inpatient setting (NCT04602507), one in an inpatient as well as prevention setting (PACTR202102588777597), and one in an outpatient setting (2020‐005015‐40/SK). One trial compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo (2020‐005015‐40/SK) and two compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care alone (NCT04602507; PACTR202102588777597).
Nine trials were not sufficiently explicit in their protocol to allow us to make a final decision on eligibility. First, none of the following seven trials reported a clear description of the type of control intervention used as comparator (2020‐001971‐33/ES; CTRI/2020/04/024948; CTRI/2020/06/025960; NCT04351347; NCT04374019; NCT04746365; NCT04891250). Additionally, for one of those trials, it was unclear if a RT‐PCR‐confirmed SARS‐CoV‐2 infection was required for inclusion (NCT04351347). Similarly, two trials investigating prevention were not well‐defined regarding the inclusion criteria of high‐risk exposure to an index patient (ISRCTN90437126; NCT04891250). Finally, for another trial, we could not evaluate the actual rationale or the considered patient population due to inconclusive PICO details (IRCT20200408046987N3).
Ongoing studies
See Characteristics of ongoing studies table.
We classified a total of 31 trials as ongoing. Twenty‐six trials investigate ivermectin for treatment of COVID‐19 (2021‐002024‐21/CZ; 2021‐000166‐15/HU; ACTRN12620000982910; Ashraf 2021; CTRI/2020/05/025068; CTRI/2020/05/025224; Garcia 2021; IRCT20111224008507N5; IRCT20190417043295N2; ISRCTN86534580; NCT04425707; NCT04445311; NCT04510194; NCT04510233; NCT04703205; NCT04712279; NCT04729140; NCT04834115; NCT04836299; NCT04885530; NCT04886362; NCT04944082; NCT05040724; NCT05041907; NCT05155527; SLCTR/2021/020), four trials for prevention of a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (ACTRN12621001535864; NCT04527211; NCT05060666; PACTR202102848675636), and one trial investigates both hypotheses (2020‐001994‐66/ES).
Nine inpatient trials investigate ivermectin plus standard of care versus standard of care plus/minus placebo for treatment of COVID‐19 (2021‐002024‐21/CZ; CTRI/2020/05/025068; CTRI/2020/05/025224; IRCT20111224008507N5; IRCT20190417043295N2; NCT04425707; NCT04836299; NCT04944082; SLCTR/2021/020), with five of those using a placebo in the comparator group (2021‐002024‐21/CZ; IRCT20111224008507N5; IRCT20190417043295N2; NCT04836299; SLCTR/2021/020). Trial sizes are small, with enrolment numbers mainly below 100. Only two trials plan to enrol more than 200 participants (IRCT20111224008507N5; SLCTR/2021/020). NCT04425707 is still recruiting, although the planned completion date is more than 6 months ago. Two other trials have not started recruitment yet, although their completion date lies in the past (NCT04836299; NCT04944082). Four trials do not indicate a planned completion date in their registry entry (2021‐002024‐21/CZ; CTRI/2020/05/025068; CTRI/2020/05/025224; SLCTR/2021/020). For two trials, the planned completion date lies in the future (IRCT20111224008507N5; IRCT20190417043295N2).
Three trials, all including less than 200 participants, were unclear whether they plan to investigate ivermectin for COVID‐19 treatment in an in‐ or outpatient setting; they are either still recruiting (Ashraf 2021; NCT04445311), or not yet recruiting (NCT04510233), although the completion date they initially stated in their registry entry was more than 6 months ago.
There are 14 outpatient trials investigating ivermectin plus standard of care versus standard of care plus/minus placebo for treatment of COVID‐19 (2021‐000166‐15/HU; ACTRN12620000982910; Garcia 2021; ISRCTN86534580; NCT04510194; NCT04703205; NCT04712279; ; NCT04729140; NCT04834115; NCT04885530; NCT04886362; NCT05040724; NCT05041907; NCT05155527), with only two of those not using a placebo in the comparator group (ISRCTN86534580; NCT05041907). Trial sizes vary, but enrolment numbers of all trials are above 100. Only three trials plan to enrol less than 200 participants (2021‐000166‐15/HU; Garcia 2021; NCT04729140), five trials plan to enrol more than 500 participants (ISRCTN86534580; NCT04510194; NCT04885530; NCT04886362; NCT05041907). Eight outpatient trials are still recruiting (Garcia 2021; ISRCTN86534580; NCT04510194; NCT04703205; NCT04729140; NCT04834115; NCT04885530; NCT05041907), five are not yet recruiting (ACTRN12620000982910; NCT04712279; NCT04886362; NCT05040724; NCT05155527), and one trial does not report its recruitment status (2021‐000166‐15/HU). Two trials are still recruiting, although the planned completion date is more than 6 months ago (Garcia 2021; NCT04834115), and one trial with a planned completion date of more than 6 months ago has not yet started recruitment (NCT04712279). Two trials do not indicate a planned completion date in their registry entry (2021‐000166‐15/HU; ACTRN12620000982910). One trial had planned to be completed in December 2021, but has not yet started recruitment (NCT04886362). Eight trials are planned to be completed in the course of 2022 (ISRCTN86534580; NCT04703205; NCT04729140; NCT05040724; NCT05155527; NCT04510194) or 2023 (NCT04885530; NCT05041907).
Trials to prevent SARS‐CoV‐2 infection compare ivermectin with placebo; in general these trials have not yet started recruiting (ACTRN12621001535864; NCT04527211; NCT05060666; PACTR202102848675636). Two of those trials should have already been completed (NCT04527211; PACTR202102848675636), with the former trial indicating a completion date of more than 6 months ago (NCT04527211). The trial investigating both treatment and prevention was planned to be completed more than 6 months ago, and has no information on recruitment status (2020‐001994‐66/ES).
In summary, 15 of the ongoing trials have passed their completion dates, i.e. up to mid‐2021, or the trial register did not contain any information on a planned completion date; about 50% (8/15) should have been completed more than 6 months ago, but none have published results, either in a trial registry or as full text.
We found no eligible trials comparing ivermectin to an active comparator for this review.
Risk of bias in included studies
We assessed methodological quality and risk of bias for 11 RCTs contributing results to our primary outcomes using the RoB 2 tool (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). In total, the 11 trials contributed 44 trial results to 19 outcomes (7 outcomes for hospitalized COVID‐19 individuals; 12 outcomes for outpatients), that we assessed using RoB 2. The RoB 2 judgements for all trial results per outcome and for all domains are available in an interactive risk of bias table (Supplementary File_Ivermectin_Risk of Bias) and are briefly summarized below. The complete set of data is available in the Supplementary File_Ivermectin_Risk of Bias.
Overall risk of bias by outcome
Of 44 trial results, we assessed 22 (50%) at overall low risk of bias, 17 (38.6%) with some concerns, and 5 (11.4%) at overall high risk of bias.
The following section summarises the risk of bias per outcome for all primary outcomes included in the summary of findings tables (Table 1; Table 2).
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate to severe disease
We have at least some level of concern regarding risk of bias across trials for all outcomes included in the summary of findings tables. For the outcomes 'all‐cause mortality at day 28', 'improvement of clinical status at day 28: participants discharged alive' and 'serious adverse events during the trial period', we assessed all trials contributing estimable data to the meta‐analyses as having some concern for bias due to concerns across various domains.
For the outcome 'worsening of clinical status at day 28: participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death', 91.6% of weight in the meta‐analysis came from one trial (Gonzalez 2021); we were concerned with insufficient information about allocation concealment and blinding of healthcare providers, and concerned that the protocol failed to define the time point of this outcome measurement.
Key concerns across trials and per outcome were identified for the following outcomes: ‘any adverse events during the trial period’ due to lack of blinding of participants and outcome assessors for a patient‐reported outcome in two trials, 63.9% weight in the meta‐analysis (Krolewiecki 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021), and 'viral clearance at day 7' due to an inappropriate per‐protocol analysis and missing outcome data in two trials, 54.7% weight in the meta‐analysis (Kirti 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021).
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease
We have no concerns regarding risk of bias across trials for the outcomes ‘worsening of clinical status within 28 days: admission to hospital or death’, 'quality of life (physical component) at up to 28 days', and 'quality of life (mental component) at up to 28 days'; three low risk of bias trials contributed data to these results (Bounfrate 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021).
We identified some concerns across trials and per outcome for the outcomes 'symptom resolution: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14' and 'serious adverse events during the trial period', with 68.3% and 100% of weight in the meta‐analyses coming from trials with some level of concern due to lack of information on definition and measurement of the outcome (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021), not prospectively registering the outcome (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021), lack of blinding of outcome assessors (I‐TECH 2022), or inappropriate analysis (López‐Medina 2021). We had concerns for the outcome 'all‐cause mortality at day 28' due to inappropriate per‐protocol analysis in one trial with 2.3% weight in the meta‐analysis (López‐Medina 2021). We assessed the outcome 'viral clearance at day 7' as having some concerns regarding risk of bias due to insufficient explanation for missing outcome data in one trial with 98.5% weight in the meta‐analysis (TOGETHER 2022).
We identified key concerns for the outcome ‘any adverse events during the trial period’; the high risk of bias in this outcome measurement was caused by lack of blinding of the outcome assessors in one trial, contributing 13.8% weight to the meta‐analysis.
Effects of interventions
We included 11 trials in the qualitative synthesis as well as in the meta‐analyses (quantitative synthesis) of this review (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; Gonzalez 2021; I‐TECH 2022; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; López‐Medina 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). All included trials compared ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo.
Five trials investigated ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in an inpatient setting and contributed data to meta‐analyses (Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). All trials investigated participants with moderate COVID‐19, no trial investigated severe disease. Therefore, planned subgroup analyses for severity at baseline were not possible. No trial followed up participants for more than 1 month. The main findings are summarized in Table 1.
Six trials investigated ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in an outpatient setting and contributed data to meta‐analyses (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; López‐Medina 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). All trials investigated participants with asymptomatic to mild COVID‐19. No trial followed up participants for more than 1 month. The main findings are summarized in Table 2.
We planned to investigate heterogeneity for the characteristics: dose, age and severity of the condition, within the different settings by subgroup analysis, if at least 10 trials per outcome had been available; due to insufficient trials, we were unable to perform this.
We used sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of meta‐analyses by excluding trials with overall high or some risk of bias, non‐peer‐reviewed trials, and trials that started ivermectin treatment late (more than 5 days after symptom onset): only one trial was not peer‐reviewed (Gonzalez 2021 for inpatients); and we excluded three trials in the sensitivity analyses because they started treatment later than 5 days after symptom onset (Gonzalez 2021 days not reported; Kirti 2021 with mean 6.9 ± 6.6 days; Pott‐Junior 2021 with median 8 (IQR 7 to 10) days), all other trials started treatment at a mean of 5 days after symptom onset. We did not perform sensitivity analyses regarding vaccination status, since most of the trials recruited non‐vaccinated participants before vaccines became available. I‐TECH 2022 and Bounfrate 2021 included vaccinated participants, however the proportion was either insignificant (I‐TECH 2022 with 2% vaccination), or outcome data were not reported for the vaccinated subgroup (Bounfrate 2021). According to the trial protocol of TOGETHER 2022, vaccinated participants were eligible for inclusion, however there is no information whether any vaccinated people were included in the trial. History of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection was not investigated in the included trials.
In this update, no eligible trial investigated ivermectin for preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate to severe disease
All‐cause mortality at day 28
Three trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported data on mortality at day 28 for 230 participants with moderate disease (Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021). In the meta‐analysis, five participants died in the ivermectin group and nine participants in the comparator group (Analysis 1.1). We are uncertain whether ivermectin plus standard of care reduces or increases all‐cause mortality at 28 days compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (risk ratio (RR) 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14 to 2.51; 3 trials, 230 participants; very low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and two levels for very serious imprecision due to few participants, very few events, and wide CI. Two trials had some concerns regarding risk of bias (Gonzalez 2021; Kirti 2021). The sensitivity analysis including only one trial with low risk of bias was not estimable due to zero events (1 trial, 45 participants). This equals the sensitivity analysis including only one trial starting treatment at a mean of 5 days after symptom onset (Krolewiecki 2021). Again, we had to exclude Gonzalez 2021 and Kirti 2021 because they did not report time since symptom onset or started treatment late, respectively. One trial was published as a preprint article (Gonzalez 2021). The sensitivity analysis including only trials published in a journal (Kirti 2021; Krolewiecki 2021), estimated the intervention effect with even more imprecision at RR 0.15 (95% CI 0.01 to 2.80; 2 trials, 157 participants).
Mohan 2021 reported mortality for inpatients at 14 days, which was too short and not eligible for meta‐analysis. The data were not comparable with trials reporting our predefined time point of 28 days.
Worsening of clinical status
Participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death at day 28
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported data on clinical worsening, assessed by new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death at day 28 for 118 participants with moderate disease (Gonzalez 2021; Krolewiecki 2021). Seven participants in the ivermectin group and eight participants in the comparator group showed clinical worsening (Analysis 1.2). We are uncertain whether ivermectin plus standard of care reduces or increases clinical worsening, assessed by participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo at day 28 (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.33 to 2.04; 2 trials, 118 participants; very low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and two levels for very serious imprecision due to few participants, very few events, and wide CI. One trial had some concerns regarding risk of bias, was published as a preprint article, and did not report time since symptom onset (Gonzalez 2021). The sensitivity analysis including only the trial with low risk of bias, being published in a journal and started treatment early (Krolewiecki 2021), estimated the intervention effect with even more imprecision at RR 1.55 (95% CI 0.07 to 35.89; 1 trial, 45 participants).
One trial in an inpatient setting reported worsening of clinical status at 14 days (Mohan 2021), and one trial reported participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation at day 28 (Kirti 2021), but without the competing endpoint of death. Those trials were clinically not comparable with trials reporting our predefined outcome and were therefore not eligible for meta‐analysis.
Participants with need for ICU admission or death
No trial reported data for participants with need for ICU admission or death at day 28. Two trials reported ICU admission at day 28 without the endpoint of death. Those trials did not take into account the competing risk of death in outcome measurement and were therefore not eligible for meta‐analysis (Kirti 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021).
Improvement of clinical status
Participants discharged alive
One trial comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo in 73 participants with moderate disease reported participants discharged alive at day 28 (Gonzalez 2021). In both groups, 27 participants were discharged alive at 28 days (Analysis 1.3). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants discharged alive at day 28 compared to standard of care plus placebo (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.35; 1 trial, 73 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to few participants and a wide CI. Gonzalez 2021 had some concerns regarding risk of bias, was published as a preprint article, and did not state when they started treatment.
Mohan 2021 reported this outcome for inpatients at 14 days which was too short, and Kirti 2021 reported the outcome but without the time point of assessment. Those trials were clinically not comparable with trials reporting our predefined outcome and were therefore not eligible for meta‐analysis.
Quality of life at longest follow‐up available
No trial reported data for quality of life at any time point.
Serious adverse events during the trial period
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported serious adverse events during the trial period in 197 participants with moderate disease (Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021). Only one participant showed any serious adverse events in the ivermectin group (Analysis 1.4). We are uncertain whether ivermectin plus standard of care increases or reduces serious adverse events during the trial period compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (RR 1.55, 95% CI 0.07 to 35.89; 2 trials, 197 participants; very low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and two levels for very serious imprecision due to few participants, very few events, and wide CI. Sensitivity analysis was not necessary since both trials had some concerns regarding risk of bias, were published as journal articles, and started treatment no longer than an average of 5 days after symptom onset.
Adverse events (any grade) during the trial period
Three trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported any adverse events during the trial period in 228 participants with moderate disease (Krolewiecki 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). Thirty‐four participants in the ivermectin group and 13 participants in the comparator group experienced adverse events (Analysis 1.5). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on any adverse events during the trial period compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.79; 3 trials, 228 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to few participants and a wide CI. We did not judge any trial at low risk of bias, and sensitivity analysis excluding two trials with high risk of bias regarding this outcome (Krolewiecki 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021), did not change the conclusion (RR 1.21, 95% CI 0.50 to 2.97; 1 trial, 152 participants). The same accounts for excluding the trial that started treatment late after symptom onset (Pott‐Junior 2021), which resulted in an estimated effect of the intervention at RR 1.26 (95% CI 0.69 to 2.31; 2 trials, 197 participants). All trials were published as journal articles.
Viral clearance at day 3
One trial comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported viral clearance at day 3 in 125 participants with moderate disease (Mohan 2021). Ten participants in the ivermectin group and 7 participants in the placebo group reached viral clearance at day 7 (Analysis 1.6). Due to a very wide CI and few participants, the effect of ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus placebo for viral clearance at day 3 remained unclear (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.33 to 1.96; 1 trial, 125 participants). The trial had low risk of bias, was published in a journal, and started treatment early.
Viral clearance at day 7
Three trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported viral clearance at day 7 in 231 participants with moderate disease (Kirti 2021; Mohan 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021). Sixty‐three participants in the ivermectin group and 34 participants in the comparator group reached viral clearance at day 7 (Analysis 1.7). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on viral clearance at 7 days compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (RR 1.12, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.58; 3 trials, 231 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to few participants and a wide CI. Excluding two trials with high risk of bias regarding this outcome (Kirti 2021; Pott‐Junior 2021) did not change the conclusion (RR 1.33, 95% CI 0.80 to 2.20; 1 trial, 125 participants). This sensitivity analysis is the same as for analysing the only trial that started treatment early (Mohan 2021). All trials were published as journal articles.
Viral clearance at day 14
No trial reported data for viral clearance at day 14.
Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease
All‐cause mortality at day 28
Six trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported data on mortality at day 28 for 2860 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; López‐Medina 2021; TOGETHER 2022; Vallejos 2021). Sixty‐six deaths occurred overall, 28 in the ivermectin group and 38 in the comparator group (Analysis 2.1). Ivermectin plus standard of care probably has little or no effect compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo on all‐cause mortality at day 28 (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.25; 6 trials, 2860 participants; moderate‐certainty evidence). Heterogeneity was low (I2 = 0) and the 95% prediction interval (PI) (0.26 to 2.25) revealed a similar clinical interpretation of the effect estimate compared to the 95% CI. We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious imprecision due a wide CI. Sensitivity analysis, excluding one trial with some concerns regarding risk of bias (López‐Medina 2021), did not change the conclusion (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.46; 5 trials, 2462 participants). All trials started treatment no longer than an average of 5 days after symptom onset.
Worsening of clinical status
Admission to hospital or death within 28 days
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on clinical worsening, assessed by admission to hospital or death within 28 days for 590 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; Vallejos 2021). Eighteen participants in the ivermectin group and 21 participants in the comparator group showed clinical worsening (Analysis 2.2). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect compared to standard of care plus placebo on clinical worsening, assessed by admission to hospital or death within 28 days (RR 1.09, 95% CI 0.20 to 6.02; 2 trials, 590 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious inconsistency, due to moderate heterogeneity between trials (I2 = 44%) and one level for serious imprecision due to few events and a wide CI. Both trials had low risk of bias, were peer‐reviewed, and started treatment early.
Participants with need for ICU admission or death within 28 days
One trial comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care alone reported data on clinical worsening, assessed by need for ICU admission or death within 28 days for 490 participants with mild disease (I‐TECH 2022). Eight participants in the ivermectin group and 13 participants in the comparator group showed clinical worsening (Analysis 2.3). Due to a very wide CI and few events, the effect of ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care alone for ICU admission or death within 28 days remained unclear (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.27 to 1.51; 1 trial, 490 participants). The trial had low risk of bias, started treatment early, and was peer‐reviewed.
Improvement of clinical status
All initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on symptom resolution at 14 days in 478 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; López‐Medina 2021). In the ivermectin group 143 participants and in the comparator group 133 participants were asymptomatic at day 14 (Analysis 2.4). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect compared to standard of care plus placebo on clinical improvement, assessed by the number of participants with all initial symptoms resolved up to 14 days (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.36; 2 trials, 478 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious inconsistency, due to substantial heterogeneity between trials (I2 = 57%). Sensitivity analysis excluding the trial with some concerns regarding risk of bias widened the CI, but did not change the conclusion (RR 0.67, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.16; 1 trial, 80 participants). Both trials started treatment early and were peer‐reviewed.
I‐TECH 2022 reported this outcome for outpatients at day 5 which was too short, clinically not comparable with trials reporting our predefined outcome, and was therefore not eligible for meta‐analysis.
All initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 28
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on symptom resolution at 28 days in 478 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; López‐Medina 2021). In the ivermectin group 204 participants and in the comparator group 177 participants were asymptomatic at day 28 (Analysis 2.5). Ivermectin plus standard of care showed no effect compared to standard of care plus placebo for improvement of clinical status, assessed by the number of participants with all initial symptoms resolved up to 28 days (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.13; 2 trials, 478 participants). Sensitivity analysis excluding the trial with some concerns regarding risk of bias widened the CI, but did not change the conclusion (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.25; 1 trial, 80 participants). Both trials started treatment early and were peer‐reviewed.
Time to symptom resolution
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on time of symptom resolution (López‐Medina 2021; TOGETHER 2022). In both trials, data were reported as median with interquartile range (IQR) in 398 and 1358 participants with mild disease, respectively. In López‐Medina 2021 the median duration of symptom resolution in the ivermectin group was 10 days (IQR 9 to 13 days) compared to 12 days (IQR 9 to 13 days) in the placebo group; TOGETHER 2022 reported 14 days (IQR 11 to 14 days) for both groups. Neither trial was eligible for meta‐analysis due to asymmetric distribution of the data. Bounfrate 2021 narratively reported median time to symptom resolution but without IQRs.
Quality of life at longest follow‐up available
One trial comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported quality of life at up to 28 days in 1458 participants with mild disease (TOGETHER 2022). In the trial, health‐related quality of life was measured on a standardized scale using the PROMIS Global‐10 scale, separated into a physical and mental component. Normalized scores from 16.2 and 21.2 points to 67.7 and 67.6 points, indicate lowest to the highest physical and mental quality of life, respectively.
The trial reported data as median with IQR, and we transformed the data into mean with standard deviation (SD). For the physical component, the mean score in participants in the ivermectin group was 49.6 points with a SD of 7.8 points and 49.6 points with a SD of 10.4 pointsin the comparator group (Analysis 2.6). Ivermectin plus standard of care has little or no effect on quality of life at up to 28 days compared to standard of care plus placebo (mean difference (MD) 0.00, 95% CI ‐0.98 to 0.98; 1 trial, 1358 participants; high‐certainty evidence).
For the mental component, the mean score in participants in the ivermectin group was 52.5 points with a SD of 11.2 points and 52.5 points with a SD of 9 pointsin the comparator group (Analysis 2.7). Ivermectin plus standard of care has little or no effect on quality of life at up to 28 days compared to standard of care plus placebo (MD 0.00, 95% CI ‐1.08 to 1.08; 1 trial, 1358 participants; high‐certainty evidence).
TOGETHER 2022 had low risk of bias for both outcomes, was published as a journal article, and started treatment no longer than an average of 5 days after symptom onset.
Serious adverse events during the trial period
Five trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported data on serious adverse events during the trial period for 1502 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; López‐Medina 2021; Vallejos 2021). With 13 participants experiencing serious adverse events, there were very few events overall (Analysis 2.8). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on serious adverse events during the trial period compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (RR 2.27, 95% CI 0.62 to 8.31; 5 trials, 1502 participants; low‐certainty evidence). Heterogeneity was low (I2 = 0) and the 95% PI was not presented because it was not reliable as two out of five trials were not estimable due to zero events in both trial arms. We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to very few events and a wide CI. Sensitivity analysis only including trials with low risk of bias (Vallejos 2021), revealed a non‐estimable effect of the intervention due to zero events (1 trial, 501 participants). All trials started treatment no longer than an average of 5 days after symptom onset.
Adverse events (any grade) during the trial period
Five trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus/minus placebo reported data for any adverse events during the trial period for 1502 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; Chaccour 2021; I‐TECH 2022; López‐Medina 2021; Vallejos 2021). In the ivermectin group 280 participants and in the comparator group 237 participants experienced adverse events during the trial period (Analysis 2.9). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on any adverse events during the trial period compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo (RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.76; 5 trials, 1502 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias. We did not downgrade two levels for risk of bias because exclusion of one unblinded trial with high risk of bias revealed an effect estimate of RR 1.07 (0.84 to 1.36), indicating no difference between ivermectin and placebo. We downgraded the certainty of evidence another level for serious inconsistency due to substantial heterogeneity between trials (I2 = 80%, 95% PI 0.38 to 4.02). Sensitivity analysis only including trials with low risk of bias (Chaccour 2021; Vallejos 2021), estimated the effect of the intervention at RR 0.94 (95% CI 0.65 to 1.37; 2 trials, 525 participants) which did not change the conclusion. All trials started treatment no longer than an average of 5 days after symptom onset.
TOGETHER 2022 reported this outcome as adverse events separated into grade 1 to 4 for outpatients at 28 day which was not eligible for meta‐analysis of adverse events of any grade, since one patient could experience several outcomes of different grades and would therefore potentially be counted multiple times.
Viral clearance at day 3
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on viral clearance at day 3 in 819 participants with mild disease (Vallejos 2021; TOGETHER 2022). In the ivermectin group 124 participants and in the comparator group 137 participants reached viral clearance at day 3 (Analysis 2.10). Ivermectin plus standard of care showed no effect compared to standard of care plus placebo for viral clearance at day 3 (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.12; 2 trials, 819 participants). Sensitivity analysis excluding one trial with some concerns regarding risk of bias (TOGETHER 2022), did not change the conclusion (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.14; 1 trial, 501 participants). Both trials started treatment early and were peer‐reviewed.
Viral clearance at day 7
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported viral clearance at day 7 in 331 participants with mild disease (Chaccour 2021; TOGETHER 2022). Thirty‐seven participants in the ivermectin group and 42 participants in the placebo group reached viral clearance at day 7 (Analysis 2.11). Ivermectin plus standard of care may have little or no effect on viral clearance at day 7 compared to placebo (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.48; 2 trials, 331 participants; low‐certainty evidence). We downgraded the certainty of evidence one level for serious risk of bias and one level for serious imprecision due to a wide CI. One trial had some concerns regarding risk of bias (TOGETHER 2022). The sensitivity analysis, including only one trial with low risk of bias estimated the intervention effect with more imprecision at RR 3.00 (95% CI 0.13 to 67.06; 1 trial, 24 participants), supporting the decision on the certainty of the evidence. Both trials were published as a journal article and started treatment early.
Viral clearance at day 14
Two trials comparing ivermectin plus standard of care to standard of care plus placebo reported data on viral clearance at day 14 for 588 participants with mild disease (Bounfrate 2021; Vallejos 2021). In the ivermectin group 243 participants and in the comparator group 237 participants reached viral clearance at day 14 (Analysis 2.12). Ivermectin plus standard of care showed no effect compared to standard of care plus placebo for viral clearance at day 14 (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03; 2 trials, 588 participants). Both trials had low risk of bias, were peer‐reviewed, and started treatment early.
Ivermectin for preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infection
No eligible trials investigated ivermectin plus standard of care with standard of care plus/minus placebo for prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection.
Discussion
Summary of main results
For this review update, we reappraised eligible trials for research integrity. We excluded 7 of the 14 trials included in the previous review version; six were not prospectively registered and one turned out to be non‐randomized. Four trials of the updated search passed the research integrity assessment and were eligible for this review. Finally, this review included 11 trials with 3409 participants investigating ivermectin plus standard of care compared to standard of care plus/minus placebo. Investigating treatment of COVID‐19, five trials were conducted in inpatient settings with moderate COVID‐19 (WHO 4 to 5) only and six trials in outpatient settings with mild COVID‐19 (WHO 1 to 3). No trial investigated ivermectin for the prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. The included trials contributed 44 trial results to the review, about one‐half of which we assessed as having some concerns or high risk of bias. The main findings of this review are summarized in Table 1 (treatment; inpatients) and Table 2 (treatment; outpatients). The number of trials per outcome increased compared to the previous review version, especially in the outpatient setting. For the inpatient setting though, there were still no more than three trials per outcome providing useful data for our updated outcome set.
Ivermectin showed no evidence of an effect on increasing or decreasing mortality at 28 days, the most important outcome during this pandemic, neither in inpatients (3 trials) nor outpatients (6 trials). The certainty of evidence for this finding was very low and moderate, respectively. Since the last review, the certainty of evidence increased for mortality in outpatients from very low to moderate.
For all other outcomes relevant for inpatients with moderate disease, such as risk of clinical worsening, being discharged alive, adverse or serious adverse events, and viral clearance, ivermectin showed no evidence of an effect, neither for improving nor worsening the respective outcome. The certainty of evidence for those findings varied from very low to low. Compared to the previous review version, certainty of evidence for any adverse events and viral clearance at day 7 in the inpatient setting increased from very low to low in this update.
For the outpatient setting, the relevant outcome of admission to hospital or death as well as quality of life, that were not reported by any trial in the previous review version, could be evaluated in this update. Overall, for all the outcomes relevant for outpatients with mild disease, such as risk of needing hospitalization, resolving symptoms, adverse or serious adverse events and viral clearance, ivermectin showed no evidence of an effect neither for improving nor worsening the respective outcome. The certainty of evidence for all of those findings was low. With high certainty, we found that ivermectin showed no effect on quality of life for the outpatient setting.
No trial investigated ivermectin for the prevention of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. Hence, no evidence could be found for postexposure prophylaxis in this matter.
Overall completeness and applicability of evidence
First, with the new outcome set in this update, we mainly addressed the issue of competing outcome risk. We combined outcomes that represent clinical worsening with the outcome of death which would allow evidence on ivermectin to become more unambiguous and patient‐relevant.
Four newly‐included trials for the outpatient setting increased certainty of evidence on ivermectin for this purpose compared to the previous review version. Overall, the included trials investigated participants with COVID‐19 at WHO 1 to 3 and WHO 4 to 5. Therefore, findings of this review are transferable to patients with COVID‐19 at mild to moderate stages. In this update, no trials investigated ivermectin for severe COVID‐19 (WHO 6 to 9). Considering the proposed mode of action, no effect of the drug would be expected if given at such a late stage of the disease. Hence, we do not consider this to be an evidence gap that needs to be closed. Moreover, with few exceptions, most included trials reported treatment initiation within a mean of 5 days after symptom onset, which is in line with the propagated hypothesis of ivermectin's inhibitory effect on virus replication in early stages of the disease.
In contrast to the hype around ivermectin's potential to prevent a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection after high‐risk contact, no RCT investigating this purpose has been published since the previous review version. Most trials were conducted before any form of vaccination was available, leading to 93% of participants across trials knowingly not being vaccinated. Therefore, we could not assess the influence of vaccination status in this review update. Equally, we could not identify any evidence on the effect of ivermectin on the newly‐emerging Omicron variant.
Overall, most trials reported a mean age far below 60 years (overall mean age was 45 years with a mean range from 28 to 63 years). Additionally, in the inpatient setting, trials included people with few or no comorbidities. Considering age and pre‐existing conditions as the most important risk factors for developing severe COVID‐19 and complications from the disease, the current evidence for inpatients is not applicable to patients who are at most risk of suffering COVID‐19 with serious consequences such as death or need for mechanical ventilation. In the outpatient setting, applicability of the evidence improved compared to the previous review version, since three of six trials included large proportions of participants with comorbidites, such as obesity and hypertension.
COVID‐19 vaccinations provide the most reliable and safest protection against the SARS‐CoV‐2 virus and progression to severe disease, however due to global inequity, not every region of the world has unlimited access to vaccinations. Therefore, it is to be expected that countries with low and middle healthcare expenditure, focus research efforts on repurposing of drugs. Accordingly, six trials were conducted in Latin America, three in Asia, and only two in Europe. In some of these countries, uncontrolled ivermectin use is making it difficult to test the effectiveness of the antiparasite drug against SARS‐CoV‐2 (Rodríguez‐Mega 2020).
All trials administered ivermectin per mouth, but the doses and durations of administration varied. We set 200 µg/kg/day orally as the low dose based on the dosing recommendation for strongyloidiasis (WHO 2019). Five of the 11 trials used low doses in at least one trial arm. All other trials utilized higher doses, either in a single dose or over 2 to 5 days. Due to the small number of trials per outcome, we did not perform any subgroup analyses with low versus high doses, and no evidence or clinical implication can be obtained regarding a certain dosing regimen.
Overall, although we were able to increase the certainty of evidence in this review update, we are still in need of good‐quality trials in relevant populations to obtain evidence that would justify the use of ivermectin in regular patient care. During the literature search, we found two major ongoing trials soon to be completed (ISRCTN86534580; NCT04510194), which might contribute evidence for patient treatment, especially in the outpatient setting.
We found no trials that compared ivermectin to an active comparator with confirmed efficacy. Three of the 11 trials had an open‐label design and used standard of care alone as comparators. All other trials were placebo‐controlled trials. Standard of care must be the same between the individual trials' arms. There are several trials circulating that investigate various concomitant medications (e.g. doxycycline, hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, zinc) in addition to ivermectin. Due to unproven efficacy and possible adverse effects, these comparisons may confound the assessment of the efficacy or safety of ivermectin, and we considered the inclusion of such combination therapies inappropriate. The same accounts for the comparison of ivermectin with an active comparator that has no proven efficacy in COVID‐19. Although those types of interventions (e.g. hydroxychloroquine) were possibly used at a certain point of the pandemic with the best intentions, their use was never supported by actual evidence, and they have potential adverse effects (Singh 2021). As we do not know the effect of many of those experimental comparators in people with COVID‐19, consequently no reliable evidence for ivermectin can be obtained from those comparisons either.
Finally, we found 31 ongoing trials, of which around 50% (15/31) should have been completed by mid‐2021 or else no planned completion date was stated. Twenty‐eight trials are awaiting classification of which 13, that we judged as potentially eligible, have already been completed without publication of results. When conducting the previous review version, we expected many of these trials to be published by the end of 2021. By contrast, we discovered that 70% of the completed trials (9/13) and about 50% (8/15) of ongoing trials should have been completed more than 6 months ago, but their results have not been published in trial registries, preprint servers or journals. After this amount of time, it seems unlikely that trial data will become available from those trials, for whatever reasons. Given those numbers, we think it will be necessary to consider publication bias in the next review update.
Certainty of the evidence
The certainty of evidence for prioritized outcomes presented in the summary of findings tables ranged from very low to high (Table 1; Table 2). Compared to the previous review version, the certainty of evidence increased one level for any adverse events and viral clearance at day 7 for inpatients and two levels for all‐cause mortality in outpatients. New outcomes for the review update were serious adverse events (in both settings), new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death (inpatients), as well as quality of life, and admission to hospital or death (outpatients).
For the summary of findings tables and assessment of the certainty of evidence according to Schünemann 2020, we used the results from analysis of our primary outcome sets. We assessed one‐half of the trial results at overall low and one‐ninth at overall high risk of bias. This is a considerable improvement compared to the previous review version, in which one‐third of trial results were at overall high risk of bias. In the current update, after assessing trials for research integrity, we eliminated most of the trial results we had assessed at high risk of bias in the previous review version.
On the one hand, this update has resulted in four newly‐included outpatient trials, contributing 2452 new participants to the review. On the other hand, the introduction of our research integrity assessment tool served to improve quality and trustworthiness of the included trial pool. Through this tool, we excluded six of the 14 trials included in the previous review version, because they were not prospectively registered. Five out of six trials reported relevant outcomes (Ahmed 2020; Kishoria 2020; Okumuş 2021; Podder 2020; Shah Bukhari 2021); we rated four of these five trials at high risk of bias for all outcomes (Kishoria 2020; Okumuş 2021; Podder 2020; Shah Bukhari 2021). Only one trial contributed data to three outcomes in the respective summary of findings table (Ahmed 2020). In the previous review version, we excluded high risk of bias trials from the primary analysis, with the aim to remove biased data and untrustworthy trials. However, to be transparent, all trials were presented in a secondary analysis. After all, the result of the research integrity assessment – inclusion of prospectively registered RCTs only ‐ was comparable to the exclusion of high risk of bias trials from the primary analysis. Nevertheless, in this review update we downgraded the certainty of evidence one level due to serious risk of bias for all inpatient outcomes and four of nine outpatient outcomes because we assessed at least one of the results as having 'some concerns' of bias. Details of the risk of bias assessments per outcome are reported in Risk of bias in included studies.
Another limitation for the certainty of evidence was the low number of participants, events, or both leading to wide CIs and uncertainty of the estimated effects. We downgraded all outcomes included in the summary of findings tables for inpatients one or two levels for imprecision. In the outpatient setting, the number of analysed participants increased for all outcomes in this update. This improved the quality of the evidence, especially for mortality compared to the previous review update. For the newly‐available outcome of 'quality of life', results were precise, so we could grade certainty of the evidence as high. However, due to few events resulting in wide CIs, we had to downgrade one level for imprecision for several outpatient outcomes.
Heterogeneity was no reason to downgrade the certainty of evidence for treatment of inpatients. This is mainly due to the small number of trials per meta‐analysis. In the outpatient setting, we downgraded certainty of evidence one level for serious inconsistency in three outcomes with moderate to substantial heterogeneity. Those were 'admission to hospital or death within 28 days' (I2 = 44%), 'all initial symptoms resolved at day 14' (I2 = 57%), and 'any adverse events during the trial period' (I2 = 80%).
We did not downgrade any of the outcomes included in the summary of findings tables for indirectness. In all cases, the effect estimates were based on comparisons of interest, on the population of interest, and on outcomes of interest. In the current phase of the pandemic, it is still difficult to reliably assess the risk of publication bias. In this update, we still did not downgrade for publication bias for any outcome. However, as explained above this will probably change in future updates of this review.
Potential biases in the review process
This review aimed to provide a complete and updated evidence profile for ivermectin with regard to efficacy and safety for postexposure prophylaxis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and treatment of COVID‐19 based on current Cochrane standards (Higgins 2020a).
The review team was part of the German research project 'CEOsys' (COVID‐19 Evidence‐Ecosystem) until 31 December 2021. CEOsys is a consortium of clinical and methodological experts supported by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research to synthesize clinical evidence during this global pandemic. The medical information specialists of this consortium carried out a rigorous search of electronic databases, including preprint servers and clinical trial registries, to identify the complete extent of published and ongoing trials on this topic. Additionally, we screened reference lists of included trials and compared our search results with those from the living network meta‐analysis (e.g. COVID‐NMA Working Group). Considering it a justifiable compromise between being as up to date as possible in the dynamic of this pandemic and reasons of practicability, we set February 2022 the deadline for inclusion of newly published trial results for this review update. Hence, after initially closing the trial pool for this review update, we identified one trial with more than 1000 participants, previously classified as ongoing, that published its results in March 2022. Therefore, we are confident that we have identified all relevant trials, and we continue to monitor ongoing trials, as well as full publication of preprints closely, following the publication of this review update.
Members of the CEOsys group established and performed a Cochrane Living Systematic Reviews Series on different interventions for treatment of COVID‐19 (Ansems 2021; Kreuzberger 2021; Mikolajewska 2021; Popp 2021c; Stroehlein 2021; Wagner 2021). In accordance with this review series, we updated our review's outcomes to overcome competing risks. We added outcomes for inpatients and outpatients that aim to simultaneously capture all participants of the population with clinical worsening and all participants with clinical improvement. This was possible by using composite outcomes, e.g. combining 'new need for invasive mechanical ventilation' and 'death' as clinical worsening for inpatients, and combining 'admission to hospital' and 'death' for outpatients. Clinical improvement for inpatients was represented by the 'number of participants discharged alive within the same time period' used for clinical worsening, and for outpatients as 'complete resolution of initial symptoms'.
We sent data requests to trial authors if parts of the new outcome set were reflected in the respective trial outcomes. Equally, we contacted trial authors if their publication included unclear or inconclusive information or in case of missing information, especially for assessing research integrity. Unfortunately, not all attempts at gathering data were successful; details of communication with authors are provided in the Characteristics of included studies table.
Almost all the trials that were only available as preprints in the previous review version, were published as peer‐reviewed journal publications in the meantime. Compared to five preprints in the previous review, we included only one non‐peer‐reviewed article in this update (Gonzalez 2021). We are aware that preprint articles may change following peer‐review. Nevertheless, we are convinced that including all eligible data in a highly dynamic situation, such as the COVID‐19 pandemic, is crucial to be up to date and to provide timely information on potentially promising treatment options. We were unable to judge the eligibility of three trials with published results due to inconsistencies in trial descriptions (Aref 2021; NCT04407507; NCT04673214). We contacted the corresponding authors to clarify questions, but we did not receive a satisfying response at the time of review publication. We classified another 13 completed trials as 'awaiting classification' because they are eligible, but have not yet published results appropriately. Additionally, 31 potentially eligible trials are still ongoing. In the face of this immense amount of potential upcoming data, it could be considered that conclusions of a future update may differ from those of the present review. However, it should be kept in mind that a number of trials never actually publish results, as described in Overall completeness and applicability of evidence.
None of the members of the review author team has any affiliation with any stakeholder group who favours or disapproves of ivermectin or the comparators used in relevant trials.
Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews
When we conducted the previous review version, there were numerous reviews circulating that investigated the efficacy of ivermectin for treatment of COVID‐19 and prophylaxis of SARS‐CoV‐2 infection with inconsistent results in meta‐analyses and conclusions, in many cases conflicting with our findings. Conflicts were mainly due to inclusion of trials investigating active comparators with unproven efficacy (e.g. hydroxychloroquine), pooling of trials with active and inactive comparators, different definitions of outcomes or outcomes assessment times, and different interpretations of the certainty of evidence. In the meantime, some of the reviews that had received major attention and that we discussed in the previous review version, have been retracted or concerns regarding their methodology have been expressed.
In our previous review version, we highlighted the withdrawal of the large Elgazzar 2020 trial, which apparently showed signs of fraudulence and was therefore withdrawn over ethical concerns by Research Square on 14 July 2021 (Elgazzar 2020; The Guardian 2021a). The authors have yet to clarify those issues.
In August 2021, the authors of an often‐cited meta‐analysis on ivermectin (Hill 2021a), retracted their article due to it being based on the withdrawn trial (Elgazzar 2020). The authors have not yet published an updated meta‐analysis (Hill 2021b).
In the discussion concerning ivermectin, two groups are especially worth mentioning, the Front Line COVID‐19 Critical Care Alliance (FLCCC) and the British Ivermectin Recommendation Development (BIRD) group. Several of the founders and supporters are members of both groups. As described in our previous review version, both groups and individual group associates had conducted various systematic reviews and meta‐analyses, all with conclusions strongly in favour of the effectiveness of ivermectin for treatment and prevention of COVID‐19 (BIRD 2021; Bryant 2021a; Kory 2021). Additionally, there is an online and regularly‐updated analysis of published and emerging trials available (ivmmeta.com), postulating a strong beneficial effect of ivermectin for people with COVID‐19. The website does not provide authorship details, though states the FLCCC and BIRD as its resources. Main findings of the reviews, disagreements to our findings, and facts that have become public since, are briefly summarized in the following paragraphs.
A meta‐analysis from FLCCC members was published by Bryant 2021a in the American Journal of Therapeutics (same journal as Kory 2021), and updated with exclusion of Elgazzar 2020 in August 2021 (Bryant 2021b). This review estimated a beneficial effect of ivermectin on mortality (risk ratio (RR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.23 to 0.74). However, this review included several trials that were not eligible for our review due to ineligible trial design, ineligible comparator, or not having passed the research integrity assessment of RCTs for this review update. We have already discussed such aspects in a published editorial (Popp 2021d).
The Kory 2021 review published in April 2021 in The American Journal of Therapeutics, identified seven RCTs on the efficacy of ivermectin in outpatients with mild COVID‐19 and six RCTs in hospitalized people with COVID‐19. Kory 2021 concluded there was a mortality benefit based on the inclusion of six of the 13 trials (odds ratio (OR) 0.13, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.28), which was not a valid inclusion because Elgazzar 2020, Hashim 2020, Mahmud 2021, and Niaee 2021 were not eligible for the reasons described above, and Cadegiani 2020 was not a RCT. In an update in September 2021 (Marik 2021), the authors state that the review data were revised, excluding the meanwhile retracted trial of Elgazzar 2020. Taking a closer look at the revision, however, Rothrock 2021 discovered that the authors, without explanation, deleted a second trial while adding two others, one of which included participants with negative PCR results at baseline. Further, it came to our attention that the manuscript of the review by Kory 2021, had been provisionally accepted and posted as preprint by Frontiers in Pharmacology in January 2021, but was ultimately rejected and is now listed on the Retraction Watch Database (ivermectin) due to 'bias issues or lack of balance' and 'conflict of interest' (The Scientist 2021). Last but not least, results of an observational trial that had long been retracted (Patel 2020), influences the review's conclusion on mortality benefits. The cited publication was withdrawn from the SSRN preprint server in May 2020 due to concerns being expressed by one of the co‐authors themselves, regarding trustworthiness of the now‐discredited company that provided the patient database (Retraction Watch Database (ivermectin); The Scientist 2021).
The website ivmmeta.com provides several meta‐analyses of pooled effects, including up to 76 trials. This website shows pooled estimates suggesting significant benefits with ivermectin, which has resulted in confusion for clinicians, patients, and decision‐makers (Garegnani 2021). The analyses are misleading and have several limitations. As described for the other reviews, several ineligible interventions and comparators were pooled. Additionally, different outcomes were pooled and reported as percentage improvement with ivermectin studied in RCTs ranging from 23% improvement when used as late treatment to 62% improvement when used as early treatment. However, there is no full prospective protocol available describing the relevant review methodology, and there is no assessment of the risk of bias or the certainty of evidence.
The most recent systematic review on ivermectin for COVID‐19 by Izcovich 2021 including 29 RCTs, came to the conclusion that ‘ivermectin may not improve clinically important outcomes in patients with COVID‐19 and its effects as a prophylactic intervention in exposed individuals are uncertain’. Despite their conclusion being similar to ours, this review contains major discrepancies regarding the trial pool. Izcovich 2021 included trials that used combination treatments with active substances and active comparators without proven efficacy, or included participants with negative PCR results (Babalola 2021; Chahla 2021a; Galan 2021; Hashim 2020; Mahmud 2021; Niaee 2021; Seet 2021; Shahbaznejad 2021). Moreover, the review included several trials that were either not actually RCTs (Chowdhury 2021; Shouman 2021), or that were officially retracted (Elgazzar 2020; Samaha 2021). Further, in our review update we strengthened the focus on research integrity and trustworthiness in response to the apparent poor research practices associated with COVID‐19. As such, we excluded or left assessment pending until clarification from trial authors for a further nine trials included in Izcovich 2021 (Abd‐Elsalam 2021; Ahmed 2020; Biber 2021; Chachar 2020; Faisal 2020; Kishoria 2020; Okumuş 2021; Podder 2020; Shah Bukhari 2021).
Research malpractice in the field of ivermectin research for treatment and prevention of COVID‐19, has led us to develop a tool to help identify potentially‐problematic RCTs within systematic reviews. We believe the new tool will serve as a platform for urgent developments in research integrity in evidence synthesis. We plan to publish a methods paper on this subject in the next few months, with the aim of disseminating the research integrity assessment tool among systematic reviewers.
National and international guidelines regarding the use of ivermectin for the treatment or prevention of COVID‐19 have been developed over the past 18 months. Recommendations from the WHO, updated 14 January 2022 (WHO 2021b); European Medicines Agency (EMA), updated 22 March 2021 (EMA 2021); Infectious Diseases Society of America, updated 18 January 2022 (IDSA 2021); and the COVID Management Guidelines India Group, updated 15 May 2021 (COVID Guidelines India 2021), concur that ivermectin should only be used for treatment of COVID‐19 in the context of clinical trials. In the meantime, Peru's ministry of health has also withdrawn their previous recommendation for using ivermectin against COVID‐19 (The Guardian 2021b). The EMA additionally advises against the use of ivermectin for prophylaxis outside RCTs (EMA 2021). The US National Institutes of Health (NIH) guidance, updated on 19 January 2022, describes 'insufficient data' to permit a recommendation for or against the use of ivermectin for the treatment of COVID‐19 (NIH 2021), and the FDA recently published a consumer update warning people of the inefficacy and danger of toxicity when self‐medicating with ivermectin (FDA 2021). One statement in February 2021 by Merck, a manufacturer of ivermectin, describes the conclusions of their review of the evidence as providing "no meaningful evidence for clinical activity or efficacy in patients with COVID‐19" (Merck 2021).
Authors' conclusions
Implications for practice.
For the outpatient setting, there is currently moderate‐ to high‐certainty evidence that ivermectin has no beneficial effect on risk of death and quality of life for people with COVID‐19. The same accounts with low‐certainty evidence for all other outpatient outcomes and clinical improvement, viral clearance, and adverse events in the inpatient setting. Based on the current very low‐certainty evidence, we are still uncertain whether ivermectin prevents death or worsening of clinical status or increases serious adverse events in inpatients. No evidence is available on ivermectin to prevent a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection in people after having high‐risk exposure. Overall, the reliable evidence available does not support the use of ivermectin for treatment or prevention of COVID‐19 outside well‐designed randomized controlled trials (RCTs). With respect to the number of identified trials in trial registries and with accordance to the living approach of this review, we will continually update our search and include eligible trials.
Implications for research.
There remains insufficient evidence regarding the efficacy and safety of ivermectin used for the treatment of people with COVID‐19 in the inpatient and outpatient settings. Based on our review, we define the following gaps in the evidence.
High‐quality RCTs: double‐blind, placebo‐controlled, randomized trials with sufficient power and conducted in accordance with the CONSORT 2010 Statement.
Reporting of patient‐relevant outcomes with clear definition and relevant time points of outcome measurement (see Types of outcome measures).
Complete and transparent reporting of participants' characteristics and patient status according to World Health Organization (WHO) Clinical Progression Scale (Marshall 2020).
Dose‐finding trials.
Although widely discussed, there is a complete gap in the evidence investigating ivermectin for preventing a SARS‐CoV‐2 infection after high‐risk exposure.
If researchers plan future trials on ivermectin, we would suggest considering an approach of starting treatment only very early after symptom onset, within 5 days from symptom onset at the latest. Any potential antiviral and anti‐inflammatory effect could have a greater influence on the disease at that early stage of viral replication. For the same reason, we do not define the missing data on severe disease, which are considered as long‐term infections, as an evidence gap.
Regarding the large amount of trials that have been or should have been completed in the past, we appeal to trialists to indicate recruitment status of trials in their respective registry entry and share data transparently as soon as possible, e.g. via preprint servers, in order to make all findings on ivermectin available for the public and prevent publication bias. Currently, there is still an urgent need for good‐quality evidence, based on RCTs with appropriate randomization procedures, comparability of trial arms, and preferably a double‐blind design. However, the potential amount of data already, and soon to be available from completed and ongoing RCTs, may close the evidence gap without more new trials being launched. We are currently trying to contact investigators of those trials, encouraging them to make their data publicly available.
In accordance with the living approach of this review, we will continually update our search and include eligible trials.
Problematic trials may distort evidence synthesis. For this review update, we developed a tool to help us identify trials that are potentially problematic regarding aspects of research integrity. We believe that this tool, which consists of six domains to assess research integrity of RCTs included in systematic reviews, is a new transparent option to consider the concept of research integrity in evidence synthesis and will serve as a platform for urgent developments in this direction.
What's new
Date | Event | Description |
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8 March 2024 | Amended | In response to a contributor's comment, the authors corrected the references cited in the Description of the intervention section regarding adverse effects. |
History
Protocol first published: Issue 4, 2021 Review first published: Issue 7, 2021
Date | Event | Description |
---|---|---|
22 June 2022 | Amended | Corrected minor typo in Plain Language Summary section |
16 June 2022 | New citation required and conclusions have changed | The authors' confidence in the evidence, especially for outpatients, improved since the last review version, because they could look at more participants included in high‐quality trials. Although they are quite certain regarding results on risk of people dying and quality of life, the confidence in the evidence is still low for many other outpatient and inpatient outcomes because there were only a few events measured. |
16 June 2022 | New search has been performed | The review authors reappraised eligible trials for research integrity: only RCTs prospectively registered in a trial registry according to World Health Organizatin (WHO) guidelines for clinical trial registration were eligible for inclusion. |
17 August 2021 | Amended | Corrected minor typographical errors; the minor corrections have not changed the review findings |
Risk of bias
Risk of bias for analysis 1.1 All‐cause mortality at day 28.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.1.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Gonzalez 2021 | Some concerns | Computer‐generated randomization. There was no information on allocation concealment. Baseline details differed between groups. Due to small group sizes and stratification according to QT prolongation the deviations may be caused by chance. | Some concerns | Participants were not aware of the intervention received. No information on those delivering the intervention. No information reported whether there were deviations from the intended interventions or not. 2/108 participants were excluded from analysis due to transfer to another hospital (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 95%. 2/108 participants were excluded from analysis due to transfer to another hospital. | Low risk of bias | There was insufficient information on whether the outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. But knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was registered. The time point of outcome measurement was not defined. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on allocation concealment and blinding of healthcare providers. Due to lack of defining the time point of outcome measurement in the protocol. |
Kirti 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent person not part of the investigating team using a computer‐based program. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. 1/57 participants in the intervention group and 1/58 participants in the control group received ivermectin by the treating team. Both participants were excluded (per protocol analysis). The analysis was not appropriate, but it is unlikely to have an impact on the result. | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up >95%. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Krolewiecki 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The reason for withdrawals and changing treatments/ withdrawal are consistent with routine care. The analysis was appropriate (ITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered as part of the AE outcome. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.2 Worsening of clinical status at day 28: participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.2.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Gonzalez 2021 | Some concerns | Computer‐generated randomization. There was no information on allocation concealment. Baseline details differed between groups. Due to small group sizes and stratification according to QT prolongation the deviations may be caused by chance. | Some concerns | Participants were not aware of the intervention received. No information on those delivering the intervention. No information reported whether there were deviations from the intended interventions or not. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 95%. 2/108 participants were excluded from analysis due to transfer to another hospital. | Low risk of bias | There was insufficient information on whether the outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was registered. The time point of outcome measurement was not defined. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on allocation concealment and blinding of healthcare providers. Due to lack of defining the time point of outcome measurement in the protocol. |
Krolewiecki 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The reason for withdrawals and changing treatments/withdrawal are consistent with routine care. The analysis was appropriate (ITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome clincial worsening (7 days) and mortality (30 days) were reported as registered. The timepoint clinical worsening at 30 days was not registered but results were described in full detail additionally for the registered overall follow‐up of patients. Due to relevance of this outcome data in this context of this trial we did not assume that the results have been selected. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.3 Improvement of clinical status at day 28: participants discharged alive.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.3.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Gonzalez 2021 | Some concerns | Computer‐generated randomization. There was no information on allocation concealment. Baseline details differed between groups. Due to small group sizes and stratification according to QT prolongation the deviations may be caused by chance. | Some concerns | Participants were not aware of the intervention received. No information on those delivering the intervention. No information reported whether there were deviations from the intended interventions or not. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 95%. 2/108 participants were excluded from analysis due to transfer to another hospital. | Low risk of bias | There was insufficient information on whether the outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not prespecified in the study protocol. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on allocation concealment and blinding of healthcare providers. Due to lack of registering the outcome in the protocol. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.4 Serious adverse events during the study period.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.4.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Krolewiecki 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. 2/30 participants in the intervention group withdrew consent due to adverse events and 1/15 participants in the control group was withdrawn due to initiation of lopinavir. The analysis was appropriate (ITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. Judgement of severity of symptoms could have been influenced by knowledge of the intervention, regarding the results it seems not likely. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not prespecified. | Some concerns | Due to lack of information on definition and measurement of the outcome, lack of blinding of participants, healthcare providers, and outcome assessors, and lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
Mohan 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized telephone‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 95%. Five participants withdrew consent. | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on outcome definition and measurement of the outcome. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.5 Any adverse events during the study period.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.5.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Krolewiecki 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The reason for withdrawals and changing treatments/withdrawal are consistent with routine care. The analysis was appropriate (ITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | High risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | High risk of bias | Due to lack of information on definition and measurement of the outcome and lack of blinding of outcome assessors. |
Mohan 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized telephone‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 95%. Five participants withdrew consent. | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not prespecified. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on outcome definition and measurement of the outcome, and lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
Pott‐Junior 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients using sequentially‐numbered sealed opaque envelopes. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. None of the patients discontinued the assigned intervention. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 90%. One participant dropped out. | High risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on measurement of the outcome. Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not prespecified. | High risk of bias | Due to lack of information on definition and measurement of the outcome and lack of blinding of outcome assessors. Due to lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.6 Viral clearance at day 3.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.6.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Mohan 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized telephone‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Reasons for missing outcome data were described and appropriate in the context of this outcome (only RT‐PCR positive people at baseline). 11/125 participants were no longer hospitalized at day 7 and missing for analysis. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 1.7 Viral clearance at day 7.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Subgroup 1.7.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | ||||||||||||
Kirti 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent person not part of the investigating team using a computer‐based program. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. 1/57 participants in the intervention group and 1/58 participants in the control group received ivermectin by the treating team. Both participants were excluded (per protocol analysis). The analysis was not appropriate, but it is unlikely to have an impact on the result. | High risk of bias | More than 30% of participants were missing due to discharge or inconclusive results. There is no analysis to look at the effect of the missing data. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | High risk of bias | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis) and missing outcome data. |
Mohan 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized telephone‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Reasons for missing outcome data were described and appropriate in the context of this outcome (only RT‐PCR positive people at baseline). 11/125 participants were no longer hospitalized at day 7 and missing for analysis. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Pott‐Junior 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients using sequentially‐numbered sealed opaque envelopes. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | High risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. 1/4 participants in the control group was excluded due to protocol violation (per protocol analysis). Protocol violation was not described. The analysis was not appropriate and due to the small number of participants in the control group (n = 4) the excluded participant may have changed the result. | Low risk of bias | Most people were followed up > 90%. Two patients were missing (one dropout and one protocol violation). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not measured as registered. The change may have been due to varying recommendations of PCR testing during the pandemic. | High risk of bias | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.1 All‐cause mortality at day 28.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomized and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was not specifically registered, but only reported upon request. Therefore no bias was introduced. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Chaccour 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent trial statistician generating a list of random numbers. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received, there were no deviations from intended interventions and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not registered, but results were in full detail reported in the trial register. Due to relevance of this outcome data in this context of this trial we did not assume that the results have been selected. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
I‐TECH 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The majority of the patients adhered to the assigned intervention. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that meet inclusion and exclusion criteria (miTT population). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
López‐Medina 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by an independent pharmacist using a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. The primary analysis is a per‐protocol analysis. 76 (16%) participants receiving the wrong intervention due to a labelling error in the early study phase were excluded. The analysis was not appropriate, but an as‐treated sensitivity analysis was reported and results did not differ. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all participants included in the per protocol population. Reasons for missing outcome data are reported and are unrelated to the outcome (labelling error). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
TOGETHER 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐ and text message‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.2 Worsening of clinical status within 28 days: admission to hospital or death.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomised and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. It could have minimally affected the decision for need of hospitalization. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.3 Worsening of clinical status within 28 days: participants with need for ICU admission or death.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
I‐TECH 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The majority of the patients adhered to the assigned intervention. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that meet inclusion and exclusion criteria (miTT population). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.4 Symptom resolution: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomized, were symptomatic at baseline and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But patients and outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
López‐Medina 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by an independent pharmacist using a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. The primary analysis is a per‐protocol analysis. 76 (16%) participants receiving the wrong intervention due to a labelling error in the early study phase were excluded. The analysis was not appropriate, but an as‐treated sensitivity analysis was reported and results did not differ. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all participants included in the per protocol population. Reasons for missing outcome data reported an unrelated to the outcome (labelling error). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered. The primary outcome was changed 6 weeks after start of recruitment and the outcome symptom resolution was added as a new primary outcome. The originally registered outcome was time until clinical deterioriation. Since the incidence of clinical deterioration was below 3% after 6 weeks the original planned analysis was futile. Results per group were not known at that time point. Results were not selected from multiple outcome measurements or analyses of the data. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.5 Symptom resolution: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 28.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomised, were symptomatic at baseline and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But patients and outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
López‐Medina 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by an independent pharmacist using a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. The primary analysis is a per‐protocol analysis. 76 (16%) participants receiving the wrong intervention due to a labelling error in the early study phase were excluded. The analysis was not appropriate, but an as‐treated sensitivity analysis was reported and results did not differ. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all participants included in the per protocol population. Reasons for missing outcome data reported an unrelated to the outcome (labelling error). | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. By following a clinical protocol, knowledge of the intervention received could only minimally affect the outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered. The primary outcome was changed 6 weeks after start of recruitment and the outcome symptom resolution was added as a new primary outcome. The originally registered outcome was time until clinical deterioriation. Since the incidence of clinical deterioration was below 3% after 6 weeks the original planned analysis was futile. Results per group were not known at that time point. Results were not selected from multiple outcome measurements or analyses of the data. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.6 Quality of life (physical component) at up to 28 days.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
TOGETHER 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐ and text message‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.7 Quality of life (mental component) at up to 28 days.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
TOGETHER 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐ and text message‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.8 Serious adverse events during the study period.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomized and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome any serious adverse events was not registered. Prespecification in the protocol could not be judged since the protocol itself was not published. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on outcome definition and measurement of the outcome as well as lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
Chaccour 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent trial statistician generating a list of random numbers. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received, there were no deviations from intended interventions and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. There was insufficient information on definition and measurement of the outcome. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome was not prespecified. | Some concerns | Due to lack of information on definition and measurement of the outcome. Due to lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
I‐TECH 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The majority of the patients adhered to the assigned intervention. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that meet inclusion and exclusion criteria (miTT population). | Some concerns | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. There was sufficient and clear information on definition and measurement of the outcome. Judgement of severity of symptoms could have been influenced by knowledge of the intervention, assuming a protocol was followed and regarding the results it seems not likely. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was not specifically registered, but only reported upon request. Therefore no bias was introduced. | Some concerns | Due to some risk of bias in measurement of the outcome caused by lack of blinding the outcome assessors. |
López‐Medina 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by an independent pharmacist using a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. The primary analysis is a per‐protocol analysis. 76 (16%) participants receiving the wrong intervention due to a labelling error in the early study phase were excluded. The analysis was not appropriate, but an as‐treated sensitivity analysis was reported and results did not differ. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all participants included in the per protocol population. Reasons for missing outcome data are reported and are unrelated to the outcome (labelling error). | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome of the journal publication was not registered. Due to relevance of this outcome data in this context of this trial we did not assume that the results have been selected. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.9 Any adverse events during the study period.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that were randomised and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Some concerns | The protocol was prospectively registered. The outcome any adverse events was not registered. Prespecification in the protocol could not be judged since the protocol itself was not published. | Some concerns | Due to lack of prospectively registering the outcome. |
Chaccour 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent trial statistician generating a list of random numbers. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received, there were no deviations from intended interventions and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome drug‐related adverse events (7 days) in the journal publication was reported as registered. Any adverse events within 28 days was not registered but results were in full detail reported in the trial register. Due to relevance of this outcome data in this context of this trial we did not assume that the results have been selected. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
I‐TECH 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were aware of intervention received. The majority of the patients adhered to the assigned intervention. The analysis was appropriate (mITT). | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for all participants that meet inclusion and exclusion criteria (miTT population). | High risk of bias | Outcome assessors were aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome reporting by patients. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome was reported as registered. | High risk of bias | Due to high risk of bias in measurement of the outcome caused by lack of blinding the outcome assessors. |
López‐Medina 2021 | Low risk of bias | Random sequence was generated by an independent pharmacist using a computer‐based programme. Allocation assignment was concealed from investigators and patients. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Some concerns | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of intervention received. The primary analysis is a per‐protocol analysis. 76 (16%) participants receiving the wrong intervention due to a labelling error in the early study phase were excluded. The analysis was not appropriate, but an as‐treated sensitivity analysis was reported and results did not differ. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all participants included in the per protocol population. Reasons for missing outcome data are reported and are unrelated to the outcome (labelling error). | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to inappropriate analysis (per protocol analysis). |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Knowledge of intervention received could have affected outcome measurement. But outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.10 Viral clearance at day 3.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
TOGETHER 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐ and text message‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Some concerns | Data for this outcome were not available for the number of participants as prespecified in the trial protocol, however it seems unlikely that missing data depended on its true value. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on reason for missing number of participants that should have been evaluated for this outcome (according to trial protocol). |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.11 Viral clearance at day 7.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Chaccour 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an independent trial statistician generating a list of random numbers. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received, there were no deviations from intended interventions and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
TOGETHER 2022 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐ and text message‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Some concerns | Data for this outcome were not available for the number of participants as prespecified in the trial protocol and also differed from the number evaluated for this outcome at a preceding timepoint, however it seems unlikely that missing data depended on its true value. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Some concerns | Due to insufficient information on reason for missing number of participants that should have been evaluated for this outcome (according to trial protocol and preceding timepoint). |
Risk of bias for analysis 2.12 Viral clearance at day 14.
Study | Bias | |||||||||||
Randomisation process | Deviations from intended interventions | Missing outcome data | Measurement of the outcome | Selection of the reported results | Overall | |||||||
Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | Authors' judgement | Support for judgement | |
Bounfrate 2021 | Low risk of bias | Centralized web‐based randomization. There are no baseline differences that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were reported for nearly all participants that were randomised, were symptomatic at baseline and did not withdraw consent before the study start. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Vallejos 2021 | Low risk of bias | Randomization was performed by an team member who was not part of any other part of the study using a computer‐based programme. There was no baseline imbalance that would suggest a problem with randomization. | Low risk of bias | Both participants and those delivering the intervention were not aware of the intervention received and the analysis was appropriate. | Low risk of bias | Data for this outcome were available for all randomized participants. | Low risk of bias | Outcome assessors were not aware of the intervention received. Knowledge of intervention received could not have affected outcome measurement. | Low risk of bias | The protocol was prospectively registered and the outcome in the journal publication was reported as registered. | Low risk of bias | Due to low risk of bias in all domains. |
Acknowledgements
The Academic Editor is Dr Hellen Gelband, and Sign‐off Editor is Professor Lisa Bero.
We thank Paul Garner (Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group (CIDG) Co‐ordinating Editor), Kerry Dwan (Statistical Editor), Maria Rosaria Cozzolino (Consumer Peer Reviewer), Robin Featherstone (Information Specialist), Jennifer Hilgart (Associate Editor), and clinical peer reviewers: Tom Fletcher (Senior Clinical Lecturer) (protocol stage), Paul Hine (CIDG Editor) (Department of Clinical Sciences, LSTM) (protocol and review stages), and Rachel Pringle, Pennine Acute Hospitals NHS Trust (review stage).
We thank the peer reviewers of this review update: Luis Enrique Colunga‐Lozano, MD, MSc. Critical care department, Hospital Civil de Guadalajara Dr. Juan I Menchaca, Guadalajara, México (consumer peer reviewer); Kerry Dwan, Cochrane Methods Support Unit (Statistical Editor); and clinical peer reviewers: Ram Gopal Krishnan, Senior Consultant, Institute of Infectious Diseases, Apollo Hospitals, Chennai, India; and Paul Hine (CIDG Editor) (Department of Clinical Sciences, LSTM).
We thank Cochrane Copy Editors Anne Lawson for copy editing the review (Popp 2021b), and Clare Dooley for copy editing this review update.
This review was partly developed in the framework of the CEOsys (COVID‐19 Evidence Ecosystem) project. We thank those involved at CEOsys for their support (covid-evidenz.de/). Moreover, we thank the Cochrane Haematology working group for contributing to this review.
The research was part of a project supported by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (NaFoUniMedCovid19, funding number: 01KX2021; part of the CEOsys project). The contents of this document reflect only the review authors' views and the German Ministry is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information it contains. Funding for this project ended 31 December 2021.
This work was partially funded by Grant Number R24 AT001293 from the National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health (NCCIH). The contents of this systematic review are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the NCCIH or the National Institutes of Health.
The CIDG editorial base is funded by UK aid from the UK Government for the benefit of low‐ and middle‐income countries (project number 300342‐104). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the UK Government's official policies.
We thank Susan Gould for her contribution to the first published review version (Popp 2021b).
Emma Sydenham (Coordinating Editor, Cochrane Injuries) advised on trial regulatory compliance.
Appendices
Appendix 1. Search strategies
Cochrane COVID‐19 Study Register (CCSR)
Search string: ivermectin* OR stromectol* OR mectizan* OR "MK 933" OR MK933 OR eqvalan* OR soolantra* OR sklice* OR stromectal* OR ivomec*
Study characteristics: 1) "Intervention assignment": “Randomised” OR 2) "Study design": "Parallel/Crossover" AND "Unclear" OR 3) "Study type": "Adaptive/Platform" = 160
Web of Science Core Collection (Advanced search)
#1 TI=(ivermectin* OR stromectol* OR mectizan* OR "MK 933" OR MK933 OR eqvalan* OR soolantra* OR sklice* OR stromectal* OR ivomec*) OR AB=(ivermectin* OR stromectol* OR mectizan* OR "MK 933" OR MK933 OR eqvalan* OR soolantra* OR sklice* OR stromectal* OR ivomec*)
#2 TI=(COVID OR COVID19 OR "SARS‐CoV‐2" OR "SARS‐CoV2" OR SARSCoV2 OR"SARSCoV‐2" OR "SARS coronavirus 2" OR "2019 nCoV" OR "2019nCoV" OR "2019‐novel CoV" OR "nCov 2019" OR "nCov 19" OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2" OR "novel coronavirus disease" OR "novel corona virus disease" OR "corona virus disease 2019" OR "coronavirus disease 2019" OR "novel coronavirus pneumonia" OR "novel corona virus pneumonia" OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2") OR AB=(COVID OR COVID19 OR "SARS‐CoV‐2" OR "SARS‐CoV2" OR SARSCoV2 OR"SARSCoV‐2" OR "SARS coronavirus 2" OR "2019 nCoV" OR "2019nCoV" OR "2019‐novel CoV" OR "nCov 2019" OR "nCov 19" OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2" OR "novel coronavirus disease" OR "novel corona virus disease" OR "corona virus disease 2019" OR "coronavirus disease 2019" OR "novel coronavirus pneumonia" OR "novel corona virus pneumonia" OR "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2")
#3 #1 AND #2
#4 TI=(random* OR placebo OR trial OR groups OR "phase 3" or "phase3" or p3 or "pIII") OR AB=(random* OR placebo OR trial OR groups OR "phase 3" or "phase3" or p3 or "pIII")
#5 #3 AND #4 Indexes=SCI‐EXPANDED, ESCI = 134
WHO COVID‐19 Global literature on coronavirus disease
Title, abstract, subject: (ivermectin* OR stromectol* OR mectizan* OR "MK 933" OR MK933 OR eqvalan* OR soolantra* OR sklice* OR stromectal* OR ivomec*) AND (random* OR placebo OR trial OR groups OR "phase 3" or "phase3" or p3 or "pIII") = 270
HTA database ALL: ivermectin* = 3
Selections on the CCSR used to monitor RCTs on a weekly basis: Results available: "Report Results" Study type: "Interventional" Intervention assignment: "Randomised" or "Quasi Randomised"
Appendix 2. Critical and important criteria for the research integrity assessment of RCTs investigating ivermectin
We applied the research integrity hierarchy to assess potentially‐eligible RCTs we had identified during screening. We considered the domains of: retraction, lack of prospective registration, lack of adequate ethical approval with informed written consent, implausible study authorship, lack of truthful randomization, and implausible study results to inform decisions to exclude a RCT. Concerns with a RCT in any domain put the study in ‘awaiting classification’ and led to further investigations. If we had no concerns in any domain or we could clarify concerns, e.g. in correspondence with study authors, the RCT met the inclusion criteria for the review, and we processed it further. For the next review update, we will need to reassess included RCTs and RCTs ‘awaiting classification’ for retraction notices.
Domain | Signalling questions to critical and important criteria | Assessment | Decision | |
1 | Retraction or expression of concern | Is the study retracted? | Check for post‐publication amendments in the systematic search for studies and on the Retraction Watch Database (retractiondatabase.org/RetractionSearch.aspx?) | If study is retracted, exclude the study |
Is there an expression of concern published elsewhere? | Check for expressed concerns on the journal homepage or preprint server | If expression of concerns are published: (1) send a request to the authors or the journal editors or wait until resolution of the concerns, and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification | ||
2 | Trial registration | Does the study report a trial registry number? | Check in the publication or study report | If study is not prospectively registered, exclude the study |
Is the study prospectively registered? | Check in the trials register the date of protocol submission and first posted. Prospective registration is defined as registration of a trial before enrolment of the first participant as defined by the WHO. It must be determined whether the registers registered (date first posted) without delay at this point in the pandemic. In case of doubt, check for the date first submitted or the authors must be asked for the submission date. | |||
Are there any inconsistencies in details such as dates and study methods reported in the publication and in the registration documents? | Compare study dates (enrolment, duration, completion) and methods (study type, allocation, masking) between publication and protocol. | If date of registration is unclear or if prospectively registered, but with inconclusive information: (1) send a request to the authors, and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification | ||
3 | Ethics approval | Is an ethics approval reported in the publication? | For example, the study was authorized by the ethics committee XY located in XY. | If ethics approval or participants’ consent is not adequate, exclude the study. If ethics approval or participants’ consent is unclear or incomplete: (1) send a request to the authors, and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification. |
Is an ethics approval number reported? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
Is the name and location of the ethics committee reported? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
Does a nationally‐recognized ethics committee, as defined in the country’s clinical trial regulations, give the ethics committee approval? | Check the ethics committee on the WHO list of national ethics committees (apps.who.int/ethics/nationalcommittees) and the specific regulations for the country on NIH Clinical Trials Regulation website (clinregs.niaid.nih.gov/country/mexico#_top). | |||
Does the study require written informed consent from participants? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
4 | Study authorship | Are the authors’ affiliations and countries the study is reported to have taken place in consistent? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | If study authorship is unclear: (1) send a request to the authors and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification. If study authorship is still not plausible after contacting the authors,exclude the study. |
Are countries specified in different parts of the article, or as compared to the trials registry, consistent? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
Is the number of authors plausible for the study design (e.g. a single author article reporting a RCT is impossible)? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
5 | Methods reporting | Is the study design (e.g. randomization) reported in sufficient detail? | It has to be clear that the study was truthfully randomized. The method used for randomization must be described and the process must lead to a random allocation of participants. The sole designation "randomized study" is not sufficient. | If study design is not reported in sufficient detail: (1) send a request to the authors, and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification. If study turns out to be non‐randomized following author contact, exclude the study. |
Are baseline details reported in sufficient detail to assess whether randomization worked properly? | Check whether participant characteristics, e.g. risk factors for COVID‐19 (age, gender, comorbidities) and co‐interventions, are reported | |||
6 | Results | Is the number of patients recruited within the timeframe with the condition plausible? | Check in the publication. Justify the decision based on clinical experience. The decision should be verifiable. | If study results are not plausible: (1) send a request to the authors, and (2) hold the study in awaiting classification until clarification. If, after contacting the author, it turns out that study results are not plausible or fabricated,exclude the study. |
Is there a realistic response rate or number of participants lost to follow‐up? In cases with zero losses to follow‐up, is there a plausible explanation (e.g. small number of participants, short‐term follow‐up)? | ||||
Is the study free from results that could be implausible (e.g. massive risk reduction, unexpected outlier data, unusual frequency of an outcome)? | ||||
Does the number of participants (e.g. women) in each group coincide with the reported randomization method (e.g. block randomization)? | Check in the publication, study report, and study protocol | |||
Is there no noteworthy overlap in text/data with other published articles by the same or different authors without explanation? | ||||
Is there no excessive similarity or difference in the characteristics of the study participants between groups? | ||||
Are there no discrepancies between data reported in figures, tables, and text? | ||||
Are there no calculation errors (e.g. number of participants, percentages, proportions)? |
COVID‐19: coronavirus disease 2019; NIH: National Institutes of Health; RCT: randomized controlled trial; WHO: World Health Organization.
Data and analyses
Comparison 1. Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in inpatient settings with moderate to severe disease.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
1.1 All‐cause mortality at day 28 | 3 | 230 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.60 [0.14, 2.51] |
1.1.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 3 | 230 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.60 [0.14, 2.51] |
1.2 Worsening of clinical status at day 28: participants with new need for invasive mechanical ventilation or death | 2 | 118 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.82 [0.33, 2.04] |
1.2.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 2 | 118 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.82 [0.33, 2.04] |
1.3 Improvement of clinical status at day 28: participants discharged alive | 1 | 73 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.03 [0.78, 1.35] |
1.3.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 1 | 73 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.03 [0.78, 1.35] |
1.4 Serious adverse events during the study period | 2 | 197 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.55 [0.07, 35.89] |
1.4.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 2 | 197 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.55 [0.07, 35.89] |
1.5 Any adverse events during the study period | 3 | 228 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.04 [0.61, 1.79] |
1.5.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 3 | 228 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.04 [0.61, 1.79] |
1.6 Viral clearance at day 3 | 1 | 125 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.80 [0.33, 1.96] |
1.6.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 1 | 125 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.80 [0.33, 1.96] |
1.7 Viral clearance at day 7 | 3 | 231 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.12 [0.80, 1.58] |
1.7.1 Moderate disease (WHO 4 to 5) | 3 | 231 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.12 [0.80, 1.58] |
Comparison 2. Ivermectin for treating COVID‐19 in outpatient settings with asymptomatic or mild disease.
Outcome or subgroup title | No. of studies | No. of participants | Statistical method | Effect size |
---|---|---|---|---|
2.1 All‐cause mortality at day 28 | 6 | 2860 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.77 [0.47, 1.25] |
2.2 Worsening of clinical status within 28 days: admission to hospital or death | 2 | 590 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.09 [0.20, 6.02] |
2.3 Worsening of clinical status within 28 days: participants with need for ICU admission or death | 1 | 490 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.64 [0.27, 1.51] |
2.4 Symptom resolution: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 14 | 2 | 478 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.90 [0.60, 1.36] |
2.5 Symptom resolution: all initial symptoms resolved (asymptomatic) at day 28 | 2 | 478 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.03 [0.94, 1.13] |
2.6 Quality of life (physical component) at up to 28 days | 1 | 1358 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.00 [‐0.98, 0.98] |
2.7 Quality of life (mental component) at up to 28 days | 1 | 1358 | Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI) | 0.00 [‐1.08, 1.08] |
2.8 Serious adverse events during the study period | 5 | 1502 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 2.27 [0.62, 8.31] |
2.9 Any adverse events during the study period | 5 | 1502 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.24 [0.87, 1.76] |
2.10 Viral clearance at day 3 | 2 | 819 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.93 [0.78, 1.12] |
2.11 Viral clearance at day 7 | 2 | 331 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 1.01 [0.69, 1.48] |
2.12 Viral clearance at day 14 | 2 | 588 | Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI) | 0.96 [0.90, 1.03] |
Characteristics of studies
Characteristics of included studies [ordered by study ID]
Bounfrate 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Chaccour 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Gonzalez 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
I‐TECH 2022.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Kirti 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Krolewiecki 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
López‐Medina 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Mohan 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Pott‐Junior 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
TOGETHER 2022.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Vallejos 2021.
Study characteristics | |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
ALT: alanine transaminase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; BMI: body mass index; COVID‐19: coronavirus disease 2019; CRP: C‐reactive protein; CT: computer tomography; ECG: electrocardiograph; ICU: intensive care unit; IgG: immunoglobulin G; IQR: interquartile range; LDH: lactose dehydrogenase; PaO2/FiO2: partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; n: number; NA: not available; NR: not reported; NSAID: non‐steroidal anti‐inflammatory drug; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; RAT: rapid antigen test; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RT‐PCR: reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; rRT‐PCR: real‐time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; SaO2:oxygen saturation as measured by blood analysis; SARS‐CoV‐2: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SD: standard deviation; SpO2: oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximeter; WHO: World Health Organization.
Characteristics of excluded studies [ordered by study ID]
Study | Reason for exclusion |
---|---|
Abd‐Elsalam 2021 | Retrospective trial registration |
Ahmed 2020 | No trial registration |
Babalola 2021 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to a control (lopinavir/ritonavir) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect |
Behera 2020 | Irrelevant study design: case‐control study |
Biber 2021 | Retrospective trial registration |
Cadegiani 2020 | Irrelevant study design: historical control group, i.e. not RCT |
Camprubi 2020 | Irrelevant study design: retrospective study |
Carvallo 2020 | Irrelevant study design: prospective cohort study; additionally ivermectin was administered in combination with other active drugs with unknown influence on COVID‐19 |
Chachar 2020 | Retrospective trial registration |
Chahla 2021a | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active substance (iota‐carrageenan) with unknown influence on prevention of COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Chahla 2021b | Irrelevant study design: cluster‐randomized trial |
Chowdhury 2021 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. Additionally, the study used an active comparator with unproven efficacy (hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin). |
CTRI/2020/08/027282 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to a control (vitamin supplements) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
CTRI/2020/08/027394 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to a control (chloroquine/azithromycin/vitamin supplements) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
CTRI/2020/10/028335 | Active comparator: ivermectin was compared to a control (tinefcon) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. Additionally,ivermectin was administered in combination with another active drug (hydroxychloroquine) with unknown influence on COVID‐19. |
CTRI/2021/03/031665 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to a control (vitamin C) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Elgazzar 2020 |
Active comparator (treatment arm): ivermectin was compared to a control (hydroxychloroquine) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. Irrelevant population (prevention arm): participants investigated formed a distinguishable group with both pre‐exposure and postexposure risk. No examination on possible infection that had already taken place at randomization. Study retracted due to ethical concerns on 14 July 2021 |
Faisal 2020 | No trial registration; further author request sent (unclear study design, the term "cross‐sectional study" is used, which indicates that it is not a RCT); no clarifying response received from the author |
Galan 2021 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to control arms (hydroxychloroquine/chloroquine) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Gorial 2020 | Irrelevant study design: historical control group, i.e. not RCT |
Hashim 2020 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
IRCT20180922041089N4 | Irrelevant population: study plans to also include participants with diagnosis of COVID‐19 based on suspect CT scan without PCR or antigen test confirmation. |
IRCT20200408046987N2 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (sofosbuvir/daclatasvir) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Kishoria 2020 | No trial registration |
Lima‐Morales 2021 | Irrelevant study design: prospective cohort study; additionallyivermectin was administered in combination with other active drugs (azithromycin, montelukast, aspirin) with unknown influence on COVID‐19. |
Mahmud 2021 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Morgenstern 2020 | Irrelevant study design: retrospective study |
Mustaq 2021 | Irrelevant study design: quasi‐experimental study |
NCT04345419 | Irrelevant intervention: registry entry changed investigated intervention from ivermectin to remdesivir. |
NCT04360356 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (nitazoxanide) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04373824 | Irrelevant study design: non‐randomized study |
NCT04374279 | Irrelevant intervention: registry entry changed investigated intervention from ivermectin to only bicalutamide. |
NCT04382846 | Irrelevant intervention: registry entry changed investigated intervention from ivermectin to only nitazoxanide. |
NCT04392427 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (nitazoxanide/ribavirin) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04435587 | Active comparator: ivermectin was compared to a control (darunavir/ritonavir/hydroxychloroquine) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04447235 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (losartan) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04482686 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04530474 | Irrelevant population: study plans to include participants with diagnosis of COVID‐19 only based on suspected symptoms without PCR or antigen test confirmation. |
NCT04551755 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04703608 | Irrelevant population: study plans to also include participants with diagnosis of COVID‐19 based on suspect clinical or radiological symptoms without PCR or antigen test confirmation. |
NCT04723459 | Irrelevant intervention: study plans to investigate ivermectin in impregnated masks, not its systemic effect in the human body. |
NCT04768179 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (aspirin) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
NCT04937569 | Irrelevant study design: prospective cohort study |
NCT04951362 | Irrelevant population: participants investigated are in a post‐infection state. No examination on effect on acute COVID‐19. |
Niaee 2021 |
Irrelevant population: study included around 30% of SARS‐CoV‐2‐negative participants, which we did not consider appropriate to include into evidence regarding treatment of COVID‐19. Furhter expressions of concerns regarding the study's design were published. |
Okumuş 2021 | Retrospective trial registration |
Ozer 2021 | Irrelevant study design: observational study |
Podder 2020 | No trial registration |
Rajter 2021 | Irrelevant study design: retrospective study. |
Samaha 2021 | Retraction notice |
Seet 2021 | Active comparator: ivermectin compared to control arms (hydroxychloroquine/povidone‐iodine/vitamin supplements) with unknown influence on prevention of COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
Shah Bukhari 2021 | Retrospective trial registration |
Shahbaznejad 2021 | Irrelevant population: study included 76.8% participants with unknown or negative SARS‐CoV‐2 status, which we did not consider appropriate to include in evidence regarding treatment of COVID‐19. |
Shouman 2021 | Irrelevant study design: author request sent (even though the register entry and study protocol use the term "randomization", the method of assignment described in the study protocol does not seem to fulfil randomization criteria); response received from the author revealed that the study was not a RCT |
Spoorthi 2020 | Combined intervention: ivermectin administered in combination with another active drug (doxycycline) with unknown influence on COVID‐19, which we did not consider eligible to determine ivermectin's true effect. |
COVID‐19: coronavirus disease 2019; CT: computer tomography; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; RCT: randomized controlled trial.
Characteristics of studies awaiting classification [ordered by study ID]
2020‐001971‐33/ES.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
2020‐002091‐12/BG.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
2020‐005015‐40/SK.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Aref 2021.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
CTRI/2020/04/024948.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
CTRI/2020/06/025960.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
Hosseini 2021.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20111224008507N4.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20180612040068N1.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20190602043787N3.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20190624043993N2.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20200329046892N3.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20200404046937N4.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20200408046987N3.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20200422047168N2.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
IRCT20210213050344N1.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
ISRCTN90437126.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
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NCT04351347.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04374019.
Methods |
|
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|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04407130.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04407507.
Methods | Trial design: clinical study of unclear design with 2 parallel arms
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04602507.
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04673214.
Methods |
|
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|
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|
Outcomes |
|
Notes |
|
NCT04746365.
Methods |
|
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|
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|
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|
Notes |
|
NCT04891250.
Methods |
|
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|
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|
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|
Notes |
|
NCT04894721.
Methods |
|
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|
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|
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|
Notes |
|
NCT05076253.
Methods |
|
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|
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|
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|
Notes |
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PACTR202102588777597.
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|
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|
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|
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|
Notes |
|
ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID‐19: coronavirus disease 2019; CRP: C‐reactive protein; CT: computer tomography; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate; GFR: glomeruler filtration rate; GGT: gamma glutamyl transferase; ICU: intensive care unit; IgA: immunoglobulin A; IgG: immunoglobulin G; IgM: immunoglobulin M; NR: not reported; PaO2: partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; PO2:partial pressure of oxygen; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RT‐PCR: reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; rRT‐PCR: real‐time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; SARS‐CoV‐2: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SpO2: oxygen saturation by pulse oximetry; ULN: upper limit of normal; WHO: World Health Organization.
Characteristics of ongoing studies [ordered by study ID]
2020‐001994‐66/ES.
Study name | Randomised clinical trial of ivermectin for treatment and prophylaxis of COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 6 May 2020 |
Contact information | Fundació Assistencial Mútua Terrassa Passeig Olabarria s/n Valldoreix 08197 Spain tomas.perez.porcuna@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
2021‐000166‐15/HU.
Study name | A randomized, double‐blind, placebo‐controlled study to assess the safety and efficacy of ivermectin in asymptomatic and mild severity COVID‐19 patients |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 3 March 2021 |
Contact information | Cortex Pharma Services CRO Jozsef nador ter 5‐6 1051 Budapest Hungary info@cortexps.hu |
Notes |
|
2021‐002024‐21/CZ.
Study name | Randomized placebo controlled clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of ivermectin in hospitalized patients with Covid‐19 disease |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 9 June 2021 |
Contact information | Pekarska 53 65691 Brno Czechia trials.icrc@fnusa.cz |
Notes |
|
ACTRN12620000982910.
Study name | A randomized double‐blind placebo‐controlled trial of oral ivermectin for outpatient treatment of those at high risk for hospitalization due to COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 15 February 2021 |
Contact information | Dr Mark Stein Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology Royal Melbourne Hospital 300 Grattan Street Victoria, 3050 Australia msteintpep1@florey.edu.au |
Notes |
|
ACTRN12621001535864.
Study name | Ivermectin to prevent coronavirus |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 10 January 2022 |
Contact information | Dr Kylie Wagstaff Monash University Wellington Road Clayton, Vic 3800 Australia kylie.wagstaff@monash.edu |
Notes |
|
Ashraf 2021.
Study name | Efficacy of subcutaneous ivermectin with or without zinc in COVID‐19 patients (SIZI‐COVID‐PK) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 14 November 2020, postponed from 14 Juli 2020 |
Contact information | Shoaib Ashraf, PhD Harvard University Boston USA sashraf@mgh.harvard.edu |
Notes |
|
CTRI/2020/05/025068.
Study name | A phase IIB open label randomized controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Ivermectin in reducing viral loads in patients with hematological disorders who are admitted with COVID 19 infection |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 27 May 2020 |
Contact information | Biju George, Professor Christian Medical College Vellore Department of Haematology Vellore Tamil Nadu 632004 India biju@cmcvellore.ac.in |
Notes |
|
CTRI/2020/05/025224.
Study name | Study to efficacy of Ivermectin in patients of COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 24 May 2020 |
Contact information | Dr Ashish Pathak R. D. Gardi Medical College Department of Pediatrics Agar Road, Surasa Ujjain MADHYA PRADESH 456006 India drashish.jpathak@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
Garcia 2021.
Study name | Randomized clinical trial to compare the efficacy of ivermectin versus placebo to negativize nasopharyngeal PCR in patients with early COVID‐19 in Peru (SAINT‐Peru): a structured summary of a study protocol for randomized controlled trial |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 29 August 2020 |
Contact information | Hansel Mundaca, MD Hospital Nacional Cayetano Heredia Lima, Peru hansel.mundaca@upch.pe |
Notes |
|
IRCT20111224008507N5.
Study name | Double‐blind placebo‐controlled clinical trial evaluating the effectiveness of Ivermectin in treatment of patients admitted with COVID‐19 in 2021 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 19 February 2021 |
Contact information | Dr Mohammad Sadegh Rezai Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences Boali Hospital, Pasdaran Blv. 485838477 Sari, Mazandaran Iran drmsrezaii@yahoo.com |
Notes |
|
IRCT20190417043295N2.
Study name | Evaluation of the effect of ivermectin in intubated COVID‐19 patients |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 23 September 2021 |
Contact information | Reza Baghbanian Assistant professor at Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences 24 metery street, east sahely highway, Ahvaz Khouzestan baghbanian.r@ajums.ac.ir shouman66@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
ISRCTN86534580.
Study name | PRINCIPLE: A clinical trial evaluating treatments for suspected and confirmed COVID‐19 for recovery at home |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 12 March 2020 |
Contact information | Prof. Christopher Butler Chief Investigator principle@phc.ox.ac.uk |
Notes |
|
NCT04425707.
Study name | Ivermectin In treatment of COVID 19 patients |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 9 June 2020 |
Contact information | Dr Ehab Kamal General Director of Fever Hospitals Ministry of Health and Population Cairo Egypt |
Notes |
|
NCT04445311.
Study name | Ivermectin in treatment of COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 31 May 2020 |
Contact information | Waheed Shouman, MD Zagazig University Sharkia 44519 Egypt shouman66@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
NCT04510194.
Study name | COVID‐OUT: Early outpatient treatment for SARS‐CoV‐2 infection (COVID‐19) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 1 January 2021, postponed fromSeptember 2020 |
Contact information | University of Minnesota 3 Morrill Hall 100 Church St. SE Minneapolis MN 55455 United States |
Notes |
|
NCT04510233.
Study name | Ivermectin nasal spray for COVID‐19 patients |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | September 2020 |
Contact information | Kamal Okasha, PhD Tanta University Tanta 35111 Egypt okasha70@yahoo.com |
Notes |
|
NCT04527211.
Study name | Effectiveness and safety of ivermectin for the prevention of COVID‐19 infection in Colombian health personnel (IveprofCovid19) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 7 September 2020 |
Contact information | Dr Eduar D Echeverri Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Valle Del Cauca 760501 Cali Colombia dr.echeverri@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
NCT04703205.
Study name | Study in COvid‐19 Patients With iveRmectin (CORVETTE‐01) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 16 September 2020 |
Contact information | Kunihiro K Yamaoka, PhD Kitasato University Sagamihara Kanagawa Japan yamaoka@med.kitasato‐u.ac.jp |
Notes |
|
NCT04712279.
Study name | The (HD)IVACOV Trial (The High‐Dose IVermectin Against COVID‐19 Trial) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 25 January 2021 |
Contact information | Flavio A Cadegiani, MD, PhD Corpometria Institute +55 61 99650.6111 flavio.cadegiani@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
NCT04729140.
Study name | An outpatient clinical trial using ivermectin and doxycycline in COVID‐19 positive patients at high risk to prevent COVID‐19 related hospitalization |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 28 December 2020 |
Contact information | Werther Marciales, MD MAX HEALTH, Subsero Health 2055 Wood Street, Suite 100 Sarasota, Florida, 34237 US werther40@msn.com |
Notes |
|
NCT04834115.
Study name | Efficacy of ivermectin in outpatients with non‐severe COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 17 November 2020 |
Contact information | Gabriela Avila, MD, MSc, PhD Facultad de Ciencias Médicas ‐ Universidad Nacional de Asunción Asunción 111421 Paraguay mavila@med.una.py |
Notes |
|
NCT04836299.
Study name | Clinical trial to "Study the Efficacy and Therapeutic Safety of Ivermectin: (SAINTBO)" |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 8 May 2021 |
Contact information | Jorge L Aviles, MPH Universidad Mayor de San Simón Cochabamba Bolivia |
Notes |
|
NCT04885530.
Study name | ACTIV‐6: COVID‐19 study of repurposed medications |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 8 June 2021 |
Contact information | Allison DeLong Duke Clinical Research Institute Durham 27701 North Carolina USA allison.hayes@duke.edu |
Notes |
|
NCT04886362.
Study name | Ivermectina Colombia (IVERCOL) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | July 2021 |
Contact information | Juan Carlos Chacón Jimenez, MD ceivercol@suramericana.com.co |
Notes |
|
NCT04944082.
Study name | Remdesivir‐ivermectin combination therapy in severe Covid‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 1 July 2021 |
Contact information | Maiada K. Hashem Lecturer Assiut University, Department of Chest Diseases Assiut Egypt |
Notes |
|
NCT05040724.
Study name | Evaluation of the impact of the administration of single dose of ivermectin in the early phase of COVID‐19 (IVERCoV) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 28 May 2021, postponed from 9 June 2021 |
Contact information | GHI Le Raincy Montfermeil Montfermeil France |
Notes |
|
NCT05041907.
Study name | Finding treatments for COVID‐19: a trial of antiviral pharmacodynamics in early symptomatic COVID‐19 (PLATCOV) (PLATCOV) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 30 September 2021 |
Contact information | Nicholas White Professor of Tropical Medicine at Mahidol University Phutthamonthon Thailand |
Notes |
|
NCT05060666.
Study name | Prophylaxis of COVID‐19 disease with ivermectin in COVID‐19 contact persons |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | November 2021, postponed from September 2021 |
Contact information | InfectoPharm Arzneimittel und Consilium GmbH Von‐Humboldt‐Str. 1 64646 Heppenheim Deutschland |
Notes |
|
NCT05155527.
Study name | A double‐blind randomized controlled trial of ivermectin with favipiravir in mild‐to‐moderate COVID‐19 patients (IFCOV) |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | December 2021 |
Contact information | Mahidol University Phuttamonthon 4 Road 73170 Phutthamonthon Thailand |
Notes |
|
PACTR202102848675636.
Study name | Double blind, community‐based, randomized controlled trial on the use of ivermectin as post exposure chemo‐prophylaxis for COVID‐19 among high risk individuals in Lagos (IVERPEPCOV) COVID‐19 |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 8 March 2021 |
Contact information | Olufemi Babalola Department of Surgery Bingham University Karu Lagos Nigeria bablo57@gmail.com |
Notes |
|
SLCTR/2021/020.
Study name | A randomized control trial to assess the efficacy and safety of ivermectin in the treatment of mild to moderate COVID 19 patients |
Methods |
|
Participants |
|
Interventions |
|
Outcomes |
|
Starting date | 26 July 2021 |
Contact information | Dr Ananda Wijewickrama Consultant Physician National Institute of Infectious Diseases Mandawila road, Angoda, Sri Lanka |
Notes |
|
ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; BMI: body mass index; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID‐19: coronavirus disease 2019; CRP: C‐reactive protein; CT: computer tomography; ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate;GFR: glomerular filtration rate; ICU: intensive care unit; IgA: immunoglobulin A; IgG: immunoglobulin G; IgM: immunoglobulin M; NA: not available; NAAT: nucleic acid amplification test; NR: not reported; PaO2/FIO2: partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; RAT: rapid antigen test; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RNA: ribonucleic acid; RT‐PCR: reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; RT‐qPCR: reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction; SaO2: oxygen saturation; SARS‐CoV‐2: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SD: standard deviation; ULN: upper limit of normal; WHO: World Health Organization.
Differences between protocol and review
Differences between protocol and review1, and between review and first review update2 are transparently shown in the following overview table.
Study design | Participants (inclusion and exclusion) | Intervention | Comparator | Outcomes | Method changes | Results | Authors' conclusion | |
Protocol (20 April 2021; Popp 2021a) | ||||||||
Differences1 | None | None | None | None | 1. We added a new outcome: 'patients discharged without respiratory deterioration or death at 28 days' 2. We changed the timing of outcome measurement for serious adverse events and adverse events ('within 14 days' to 'within 28 days') |
New added a new methods section: 'methods for future updates' | Not applicable | Not applicable |
Review (28 July 2021; Popp 2021b) | ||||||||
Differences2 | New exclusion criteria ‐ we excluded trials if they were: 1. not prospectively registered; or 2. had concerns regarding research integrity |
Trials investigating prevention of infection have to report on the vaccination status of included participants. | For clarity, we named the intervention group ‘ivermectin plus standard of care’. | For clarity, we named the comparator group ‘standard of care plus/minus placebo’. | New outcome sets for: 1. inpatients; 2. outpatients; 3. prevention of an infection. Core outcomes are in accordance with the Core Outcome Measures in Effectiveness Trials (COMET) Initiative for COVID‐19 patients (COMET 2020; Marshall 2020). Additional outcomes have been prioritized by consumer representatives and the German guideline panel for inpatient therapy of people with COVID‐19 (German AWMF Guideline 2021a) and for outpatient therapy (German AWMF Guideline 2021b). Changes to the outcomes were necessary due to the risk of competing events associated with the original outcome set. This review update no longer has secondary outcomes. We treated all outcomes as primary outcome sets which informed the summary of findings tables. |
1. Research integrity check of trials as part of the eligibility screening 2. No differentiation between primary and secondary analyses based on risk of bias ratings; all included trials were eligible for the main analyses which informed the summary of findings tables 3. New data extraction items ('vaccination status', 'start of treatment since symptom onset') 4. Data synthesis methods added for time‐to‐event outcomes 5. We no longer performed the subgroup analysis ‘severity of condition at baseline’ independent of heterogeneity. In case of heterogeneity, we planned different subgroup analyses. 6. We added new sensitivity analyses considering risk of bias, vaccination status, and starting time point of treatment. 7. The summary of findings tables included the new outcome sets. |
1. Six trials included in the original review were not prospectively registered, and one additional trial was found to be non‐randomized; we had to exclude all 7 trials. The remaining 7 trials from the original review plus 4 newly‐identified trials resulted in a new pool of 11 trials. 2. Direction of effect moved closer to 1 (no effect) for 1 inpatient and 1 outpatient outcome. 3. Certainty of evidence increased from very low to low for 2 inpatient outcomes and 1 outpatient outcome. We could evaluate certainty of evidence for the first time for 1 inpatient outcome and 2 outpatient outcomes. Overall, we included more participants for outpatient outcomes. |
The conclusion did not change, however gained some strength regarding certainty of the evidence: "Overall, the reliable evidence available not support the use of ivermectin for treatment or prevention of COVID‐19 outside of well‐designed randomized controlled trials (RCTs). " |
First review update (June 2022) |
Contributions of authors
MP: conception of the review; design of the review; search and selection of trials for inclusion in the review; collection of data for the review; assessment of risk of bias in included trials; analysis of data; assessment of certainty in the body of evidence; interpretation of data; and writing of the review.
SR: search and selection of trials for inclusion in the review; collection of data for the review; assessment of risk of bias in included trials; analysis of data; and assessment of certainty in the body of evidence.
SS: collection of data for the review; assessment of risk of bias in included trials; analysis of data; and assessment of certainty in the body of evidence.
RIH: collection of data for the review; assessment of risk of bias in included trials; analysis of data; and assessment of certainty in the body of evidence.
MS: conception of the review; design of the review; interpretation of data; and writing and proofreading of the review.
MIM: search strategy design; conduct of search; and writing of the review.
PK: conception of the review; design of the review; interpretation of data; and proofreading of the review.
PM: conception of the review; design of the review; interpretation of data; and proofreading of the review.
NS: conception of the review; design of the review; interpretation of data; and proofreading of the review.
SW: conception of the review; design of the review; co‐ordination of the review; search and selection of trials for inclusion in the review; collection of data for the review; assessment of risk of bias in included trials; analysis of data; assessment of certainty in the body of evidence; interpretation of data; and writing of the review.
Sources of support
Internal sources
-
University Hospital Wuerzburg, Germany
Department of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care, Emergency and Pain Medicine, University Hospital Wuerzburg
Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, UK
External sources
-
Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Germany
NaFoUniMedCovid19 (funding number: 01KX2021); part of the project "CEOsys" (funding ended 31 December 2021)
-
National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health (NCCIH), USA
Grant Number R24 AT001293; Cochrane Complementary Medicine Field 2021 Bursary for updating this review
-
Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Office (FCDO), UK
Project number 300342‐104
Declarations of interest
MP: is partly funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Germany (NaFoUniMedCovid19, funding number: 01KX2021; part of the CEOsys project, which was paid to the institution).
SR: none
SS: none
RIH: none
MS: none
MIM: none
PK: none
PM: none
NS: none
SW: is partly funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Germany (NaFoUniMedCovid19, funding number: 01KX2021; part of the CEOsys project, which was paid to the institution).
Edited (no change to conclusions)
References
References to studies included in this review
Bounfrate 2021 {published data only}
- 2020-002283-32/IT. Randomized, double-blind, multi centre phase II, proof of concept, dose finding clinical trial on ivermectin for the early treatment of COVID-19. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2020-002283-32/IT (first received 10 August 2020).
- Buonfrate D, Chesini F, Martini D, Roncaglioni MC, Ojeda Fernandez ML, Alvisi MF, et al. High dose ivermectin for the early treatment of COVID-19 (COVER Study): a randomised, bouble-blind, multicentre, phase II, dose-finding, proof of concept clinical trial. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3918289 (first received 6 September 2021). [DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3918289] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- Buonfrate D, Chesini F, Martini D, Roncaglioni MC, Ojeda Fernandez ML, Alvisi MF, et al. High dose ivermectin for the early treatment of COVID-19 (COVER study): a randomised, double-blind, multicentre, phase II, dose-finding, proof of concept clinical trial. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 2022 Jan 6 [Epub ahead of print]:106516. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2021.106516] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- NCT04438850. COVidIVERmectin: ivermectin for treatment of Covid-19 (COVER). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04438850 (first received 19 June 2020).
Chaccour 2021 {published data only}
- Chaccour C, Casellas A, Blanco-Di Matteo A, Pineda I, Fernandez-Montero A, Ruiz-Castillo P, et al. The effect of early treatment with ivermectin on viral load, symptoms and humoral response in patients with mild COVID-19: a pilot, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial. researchsquare.com/article/rs-116547/v1 (first received 7 December 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-116547/v1] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- Chaccour C, Casellas A, Blanco-Di Matteo A, Pineda I, Fernandez-Montero A, Ruiz-Castillo P, et al. The effect of early treatment with ivermectin on viral load, symptoms and humoral response in patients with non-severe COVID-19: a pilot, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial. EClinicalMedicine 2021;32:100720. [PMID: ] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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- NCT04390022. Sars-CoV-2/COVID-19 ivermectin Navarra-ISGlobal Trial (SAINT). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04390022 (first received 17 December 2020).
Gonzalez 2021 {published data only}
- Gonzalez BJ, González Gámez M, Enciso EA, Maldonado RJ, Palacios HP, Dueñas Campos S, et al. Efficacy and safety of ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine in patients with severe COVID-19. A randomized controlled trial. medrxiv.org/content/early/2021/02/23/2021.02.18.21252037 (first received 23 February 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.18.21252037] [DOI]
- NCT04391127. Hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19 infection. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04391127 (first received 18 May 2020).
I‐TECH 2022 {published and unpublished data}
- Lim 2021 [pers comm]. Forwarding the results from our recently completed RCT on Ivermectin. Email to: S Weibel, M Popp 29 November 2021.
- Lim SC, Hor CP, Tay KH, Mat Jelani A, Tan WH, Ker HB, et al. Efficacy of ivermectin treatment on disease progression among adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and comorbidities: the I-TECH randomized clinical trial. JAMA Internal Medicine 2022 Feb 18 [Epub ahead of print]. [DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.0189] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- NCT04920942. Ivermectin treatment efficacy in Covid-19 high risk patients (I-TECH). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04920942 (first received 10 June 2021).
Kirti 2021 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/08/027225. Ivermectin as a possible treatment for COVID-19. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pdf_generate.php?trialid=46660&EncHid=&modid=&compid=','46660det' (first received 18 August 2020).
- Kirti R, Roy R, Pattadar C, Raj R, Agarwal N, Biswas B, et al. Evaluation of ivermectin as a potential treatment for mild to moderate COVID-19 – a double blind randomized placebo-controlled trial in Eastern India. Journal of Pharmacy & Pharmaceutical Sciences 2021;24:343-50. [DOI: 10.18433/jpps32105] [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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Krolewiecki 2021 {published data only}
- Krolewiecki A, Lifschitz A, Moragas M, Travacio M, Valentini R, Alonso D, et al. Antiviral effect of high-dose ivermectin in adults with COVID-19: a pilot randomised, controlled, open label, multicentre trial. ssrn.com/abstract=3714649 (first received 11 November 2020). [DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3714649] [DOI]
- Krolewiecki A, Lifschitz A, Moragas M, Travacio, M, Valentini R, Alonso DF, et al. Antiviral effect of high-dose ivermectin in adults with COVID-19: a proof-of-concept randomized trial. EClinicalMedicine 2021;37:100959. [DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100959] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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- NCT04381884. Ivermectin effect on SARS-CoV-2 replication in patients with COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04381884 (first received 11 May 2020).
López‐Medina 2021 {published data only}
- López-Medina E, López P, Hurtado IC, Dávalos DM, Ramirez O, Martínez E, et al. Effect of ivermectin on time to resolution of symptoms among adults with mild COVID-19: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA 2021;325(14):1426-35. [DOI: 10.1001/jama.2021.3071] [PMID: ] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- NCT04405843. Efficacy of ivermectin in adult patients with early stages of COVID-19 (EPIC Trial) (EPIC). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04405843 (first received 28 May 2020).
Mohan 2021 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/06/026001. Ivermectin in COVID. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pdf_generate.php?trialid=44196&EncHid=&modid=&compid=%27,%2744196det%27 (first received 21 June 2020).
- Mohan A, Tiwari P, Suri T, Mittal S, Patel A, Jain A, et al. Ivermectin in mild and moderate COVID-19 (RIVET-COV): a randomized, placebo-controlled trial. researchsquare.com/article/rs-191648/v1 (first received 2 February 2021). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-191648/v1] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- Mohan A, Tiwari P, Suri T, Mittal S, Patel A, Jain A, et al. Single-dose oral ivermectin in mild and moderate COVID-19 (RIVET-COV): a single-centre randomized, placebo-controlled trial. Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2021;27(12):1743-9. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jiac.2021.08.021] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Pott‐Junior 2021 {published data only}
- NCT04431466. A study to compare the efficacy and safety of different doses of ivermectin for COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04431466 (first received 16 June 2020).
- Pott-Junior H, Bastos Paoliello MM, Miguel AQ, da Cunha AF, Melo Freire CC, Neves FF, et al. Use of ivermectin in the treatment of Covid-19: a pilot trial. Toxicology Reports 2021;8:505-10. [DOI: 10.1016/j.toxrep.2021.03.003] [PMID: ] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar] [Retracted]
TOGETHER 2022 {published data only}
- NCT04727424. Repurposed approved therapies for outpatient treatment of patients with early-onset COVID-19 and mild symptoms. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04727424 (first received 27 January 2021).
- Reis G, Silva E, Silva D, Thabane L, Milagres A, Ferreira T, et al. Effect of early treatment with ivermectin among patients with Covid-19. New England Journal of Medicine 2022 March 30 [Epub ahead of print]. [DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2115869] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
Vallejos 2021 {published and unpublished data}
- NCT04529525. Ivermectin to prevent hospitalizations in COVID-19 (IVERCORCOVID19). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04529525 (first received 27 August 2020).
- Vallejos J, Zoni R, Bangher M, Villamandos S, Bobadilla A, Plano F, et al. Ivermectin to prevent hospitalizations in patients with COVID-19 (IVERCOR-COVID19) a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. BMC Infectious Diseases 2021;1:635. [DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06348-5] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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References to studies excluded from this review
Abd‐Elsalam 2021 {published data only}
- Abd-Elsalam S, Noor RA, Badawi R, Khalaf M, Esmail ES, Soliman S, et al. Clinical study evaluating the efficacy of ivermectin in COVID-19 treatment: a randomized controlled study. Journal of Medical Virology 2021;93(10):5833-8. [DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27122] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- NCT04403555. Ivermectin as a novel therapy in COVID-19 treatment. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04403555 (first received 27 May 2020).
Ahmed 2020 {published data only}
- Ahmed S, Karim MM, Ross AG, Hossain MS, Clemens JD, Sumiya MK, et al. A five-day course of ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19 may reduce the duration of illness. International Journal of Infectious Diseases 2020;103:214-6. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.11.191] [PMID: ] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Babalola 2021 {published data only}
- Babalola OE, Bode CO, Ajayi AA, Alakaloko FM, Akase IE, Otrofanowei E, et al. Ivermectin shows clinical benefits in mild to moderate COVID19: a randomised controlled double blind dose response study in Lagos. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.05.21249131v1 (first received 6 January 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.01.05.21249131] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- Babalola OE, Bode CO, Ajayi AA, Alakaloko FM, Akase IE, Otrofanowei E, et al. Ivermectin shows clinical benefits in mild to moderate COVID19: a randomised controlled double-blind, dose-response study in Lagos. Quarterly Journal of Medicine 2021 Feb 18 [Epub ahead of print]. [DOI: 10.1093/qjmed/hcab035] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- ISRCTN40302986. Does ivermectin cure and/or prevent COVID-19? isrctn.com/ISRCTN40302986 (first received 23 April 2020). [DOI: 10.1186/ISRCTN40302986] [DOI]
Behera 2020 {published data only}
- Behera P, Patro BK, Singh AK, Chandanshive PD, Ravi K, Pradhan SK, et al. Role of ivermectin in the prevention of COVID-19 infection among healthcare workers in India: a matched case-control study. 10.1101/2020.10.29.20222661 (first received 3 November 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.29.20222661] [DOI]
Biber 2021 {published data only}
- Biber A, Mandelboim M, Harmelin G, Lev D, Ram L, Shaham A, et al. Favorable outcome on viral load and culture viability using ivermectin in early treatment of non-hospitalized patients with mild COVID-19 – a double-blind, randomized placebo-controlled trial. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.31.21258081v1 (first received 31 May 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.05.31.21258081] [DOI]
- NCT04429711. Ivermectin vs placebo for the treatment of patients with mild to moderate COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04429711 (first received 12 June 2020).
Cadegiani 2020 {published data only}
- Cadegiani F, Goren A, McCoy J, Wambier CG. Hydroxychloroquine, nitazoxanide and ivermectin have similar effects in early COVID-19: a head-to-head comparison of the Pre-AndroCoV Trial. researchsquare.com/article/rs-98106/v1 (first received 29 October 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-98106/v1] [DOI]
- Cadegiani F, Goren A, Wambier CG, McCoy J. An open-label prospective observational study of antiandrogen and non-antiandrogen early pharmacological approaches in females with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. The Pre-AndroCoV Female Trial. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.05.20206870v1 (first received 6 October 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.05.20206870] [DOI]
- Cadegiani F, Wambier CG, Goren A, McCoy J. Early COVID-19 therapy with azithromycin plus nitazoxanide, ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine in outpatient settings significantly reduced symptoms compared to known outcomes in untreated patients. researchsquare.com/article/rs-100994/v1 (first received 3 November 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-100994/v1] [DOI]
- Cadegiani F, Goren A, Wambier CG, McCoy J. Early COVID-19 therapy with azithromycin plus nitazoxanide, ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine in outpatient settings significantly reduced symptoms compared to known outcomes in untreated patients. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.31.20223883v1 (first received 4 November 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.31.20223883] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
Camprubi 2020 {published data only}
- Camprubi D, Almuedo-Riera A, Marti-Soler H, Soriano A, Hurtado JC, Subira C, et al. Lack of efficacy of standard doses of ivermectin in severe COVID-19 patients. PloS One 2020;15(11):e024218. [DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242184] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Carvallo 2020 {published data only}
- Carvallo H, Hirsch R, Farinella EM. Safety and efficacy of the combined use of ivermectin, dexamethasone, enoxaparin and aspirin against COVID 19. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.10.20191619v1 (first received 15 September 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.09.10.20191619] [DOI]
- NCT04425863. Ivermectin, aspirin, dexamethasone and enoxaparin as treatment of Covid 19 (IDEA). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04425863 (first received 11 June 2020).
Chachar 2020 {published data only}
- Chachar AZ, Khan KA, Asif M, Tanveer K, Khaqan A, Basri R. Effectiveness of ivermectin in SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 patients. International Journal of Sciences 2020;9:31-5. [DOI: 10.18483/ijSci.2378] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- NCT04739410. Effectiveness of ivermectin in SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04739410 (first received 4 February 2021).
Chahla 2021a {published data only}
- Chahla RE, Medina Ruiz L, Mena T, Brepe Y, Terranova P, Ortega ES, et al. A randomized trial – intensive treatment based in ivermectin and iota-carrageenan as pre-exposure prophylaxis for COVID-19 in healthcare agents. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.26.21254398v1 (first received 30 March 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.03.26.21254398v1] [DOI]
- NCT04701710. Prophylaxis Covid-19 in healthcare agents by intensive treatment with ivermectin and Iota-carrageenan (Ivercar-Tuc). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04701710 (first received 8 January 2021).
Chahla 2021b {published data only}
- Chahla RE, Medina Ruiz L, Mena T, Brepe Y, Terranova P, Ortega ES, et al. Cluster randomised trials – ivermectin repurposing for COVID-19 treatment of outpatients with mild disease In primary health care centers. researchsquare.com/article/rs-495945/v1 (first received 6 May 2021). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-495945/v1] [DOI]
- Chahla RE, Medina Ruiz L, Mena T, Brepe Y, Terranova P, Ortega ES, et al. Ivermectin reproposing for COVID-19 treatment outpatients in mild stage in primary health care centers. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.29.21254554v1 (first received 20 March 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.03.29.21254554v1] [DOI]
Chowdhury 2021 {published data only}
- Chowdhury AT, Shahbaz M, Karim R, Islam J, Dan G, Shuixiang H. A comparative study on ivermectin-doxycycline and hydroxychloroquine-azithromycin therapy on COVID-19 patients. Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology 2021;5(1):63-70. [DOI: 10.14744/ejmo.2021.16263] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- Chowdhury AT, Shahbaz M, Karim R, Islam J, Dan G, Shuixiang H. A randomized trial of ivermectin-doxycycline and hydroxychloroquine-azithromycin therapy on COVID19 patients. researchsquare.com/article/rs-38896/v1 (first received 14 July 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-38896/v1] [DOI]
- NCT04434144. A comparative study on ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine on the COVID19 patients in Bangladesh. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04434144 (first received 16 June 2020).
CTRI/2020/08/027282 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/08/027282. Prophylactic ivermectin in COVID 19 contacts. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pdf_generate.php?trialid=46676&EncHid=&modid=&compid=%27,%2746676det%27 (first received 20 August 2020).
CTRI/2020/08/027394 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/08/027394. Assessment of response of ivermectin on virological clearance in COVID-19 patients. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pdf_generate.php?trialid=46873&EncHid=&modid=&compid=%27,%2746873det%27 (first received 26 August 2020).
CTRI/2020/10/028335 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/10/028335. A clinical study to assess the efficacy and safety of Tinefcon in patients with moderate COVID-19 infection. cochranelibrary.com/es/central/doi/10.1002/central/CN-02186249/full (first received 30 November 2020).
CTRI/2021/03/031665 {published data only}
- CTRI/2021/03/031665. Ivermectin prophylaxis for Covid-19 infection in health care personnel. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pmaindet2.php?trialid=53325&EncHid=&userName=31665 (first received 1 March 2021).
Elgazzar 2020 {published data only}
- Elgazzar A, Eltaweel A, Youssef SA, Hany B, Hafez M, Moussa H. Efficacy and safety of ivermectin for treatment and prophylaxis of COVID-19 pandemic (preprint). researchsquare.com/article/rs-100956/v3 (first received 28 December 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-100956/v3] [DOI]
- NCT04668469. Efficacy and safety of ivermectin for treatment and prophylaxis of COVID-19 pandemic. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04668469 (first received 16 December 2020).
Faisal 2020 {published data only}
- Faisal R, Ali Shah SF, Hussain M. Potential use of azithromycin alone and in combination with ivermectin in fighting against the symptoms of COVID-19. Professional Medical Journal 2020;28(5):737-41. [DOI: 10.29309/TPMJ/2021.28.05.5867] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
Galan 2021 {published data only}
- Galan LE, Melo dos Santos N, Asato MS, Araújo JV, Moreira A, Marques-Araújo AM. Phase 2 randomized study on chloroquine, hydroxychloroquine or ivermectin in hospitalized patients with severe manifestations of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Pathology Global Health 2021;115(4):235-42. [DOI: 10.1080/20477724.2021.1890887] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- RBR-8h7q82. The effect of chloroquine, hydroxychloroquine or ivermectin in patients with severe manifestations of coronavirus. ensaiosclinicos.gov.br/rg/RBR-8h7q82/ (first received 2 October 2020).
Gorial 2020 {published data only}
- Gorial FI, Mashhadani S, Sayaly HM, Dakhil BD, AlMashhadani MM, Aljabory AM, et al. Effectiveness of ivermectin as add-on therapy in COVID-19 management (pilot trial). medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.07.20145979v1 (first received 8 July 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.07.07.20145979] [DOI]
- NCT04343092. Ivermectin adjuvant to hydroxychloroquin in COVID19 patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04343092 (first received 4 November 2020).
Hashim 2020 {published data only}
- Hashim HA, Maulood MF, Rasheed AM, Fatak DF, Kabah KK, Abdulamir AS. Controlled randomized clinical trial on using Ivermectin with doxycycline for treating COVID-19 patients in Baghdad, Iraq. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.26.20219345v1 (first received 27 October 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.26.20219345] [DOI]
- NCT04591600. Effectiveness of ivermectin and doxycycline on COVID-19 patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04591600 (first received 19 October 2020).
IRCT20180922041089N4 {published data only}
- IRCT20180922041089N4. Evaluation of the effect of oral Ivermectin on the outcome of patients with COVID-19 and compare it with the effect of conjunctional therapies in patients admitted to Ziaeian, Baharloo, Imam Khomeini in the spring and summer 2020. en.irct.ir/trial/50305 (first received 23 August 2020).
IRCT20200408046987N2 {published data only}
- IRCT20200408046987N2. Determination the therapeutic effect of Ivermectin and Sovodak on patients infected with COVID-19: a clinical trial. en.irct.ir/trial/51007 (first received 7 November 2020).
Kishoria 2020 {published data only}
- Kishoria N, Mathur SL, Parmar V, Kaur RJ, Agarwal H, Verma S. Ivermectin as adjuvant to hydroxychlorquine in patients resistant to standard treatment for SARS-CoV-2: results of an open-label randomized clinical study. Paripex — Indian Journal of Research 2020;9(8):4801859. [DOI: 10.36106/paripex/4801859] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
Lima‐Morales 2021 {published data only}
- Lima-Morales R, Méndez-Hernández P, Flores YN, Osorno-Romero P, Sancho-Hernándezk CR, Cuecuecha-Rugerio E. Effectiveness of a multidrug therapy consisting of ivermectin, azithromycin, montelukast, and acetylsalicylic acid to prevent hospitalization and death among ambulatory COVID-19 cases in Tlaxcala, Mexico. International Journal of Infectious Diseases 2021;105:598-605. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.02.014] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Mahmud 2021 {published data only}
- Mahmud R, Rahman M, Alam I, Ahmed KG, Humayon Kabir AK, Jakaria Been Sayeed SK, et al. Ivermectin in combination with doxycycline for treating COVID-19 symptoms: a randomized trial. Journal of International Medical Research 2021;49(5):1-14. [DOI: 10.1177/03000605211013550] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- NCT04523831. Clinical trial of ivermectin plus doxycycline for the treatment of confirmed Covid-19 infection. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/results/NCT04523831 (first received 24 August 2020).
Morgenstern 2020 {published data only}
- Morgenstern J, Redondo JN, De León A, Canela JM, Torres N, Tavares J, et al. The use of compassionate Ivermectin in the management of symptomatic outpatients and hospitalized patients with clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 at the Medical Center Bournigal and the Medical Center Punta Cana, Rescue Group, Dominican Republic, from May 1 to August 10, 2020. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.29.20222505v1 (first received 3 November 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.10.29.20222505] [DOI]
Mustaq 2021 {published data only}
- Mushtaq A, Zartash S, Javed M, Rana MA, Qayyum MA, Bibi T, et al. Ivermectin may not be a miraculous drug to improve PF ratio and virus clearance in COVID-19 patient. Pakistan Journal of Medical and Health Sciences 2021;15(5):999-1001. [DOI: 10.53350/pjmhs21155999] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
NCT04345419 {published data only}
- NCT04345419. Remdesivir efficacy in coronavirus disease. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04345419 (first received 14 April 2020).
NCT04360356 {published data only}
- NCT04360356. Ivermectin and nitazoxanide combination therapy for COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04360356 (first received 24 April 2020).
NCT04373824 {published data only}
- NCT04373824. Max ivermectin-COVID-19 study versus standard of care treatment for COVID-19 cases. A pilot study. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04373824 (first received 4 May 2020).
NCT04374279 {published data only}
- NCT04374279. Trial to promote recovery from COVID-19 with ivermectin or endocrine therapy. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04374279 (first received 5 May 2020).
NCT04382846 {published data only}
- NCT04382846. Novel regimens in COVID-19 treatment. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04382846 (first received 11 May 2020).
NCT04392427 {published data only}
- NCT04392427. New antiviral drugs for treatment of COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04392427 (first received 18 May 2020).
NCT04435587 {published data only}
- NCT04435587. Ivermectin vs combined hydroxychloroquine and antiretroviral drugs (ART) among asymptomatic COVID-19 infection (IDRA-COVID19). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04435587 (first received 17 June 2020).
NCT04447235 {published data only}
- NCT04447235. Early treatment with ivermectin and losartan for cancer patients with COVID-19 Infection. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04447235 (first received 25 June 2020).
NCT04482686 {published data only}
- NCT04482686. Trial of combination therapy to treat COVID-19 infection. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04482686 (first received 22 July 2020).
NCT04530474 {published data only}
- NCT04530474. Outpatient use of ivermectin in COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04530474 (first received 28 August 2020).
NCT04551755 {published data only}
- NCT04551755. Safety and efficacy of ivermectin and doxycycline in treatment of Covid-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04551755 (first received 16 September 2020).
NCT04703608 {published data only}
- NCT04703608. Prevention and treatment for COVID -19 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 SARS-CoV-2) associated severe pneumonia in the Gambia (PaTS-COVID). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04703608 (first received 11 January 2021).
NCT04723459 {published data only}
- NCT04723459. Efficacy of nano-ivermectin impregnated masks in prevention of Covid-19 among healthy contacts and medical staff. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04723459 (first received 25 January 2021).
NCT04768179 {published data only}
- NCT04768179. Safety & efficacy of low dose aspirin/ivermectin combination therapy for treatment of Covid-19 patients (IVCOM). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04768179 (first received 24 February 2021).
NCT04937569 {published data only}
- NCT04937569. Ivermectin versus standard treatment in mild COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04937569 (first received 24 June 2021).
NCT04951362 {published data only}
- NCT04951362. Role of ivermectin nanosuspension as nasal spray in treatment of persistant post covid19 anosmia. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04951362 (first received 6 July 2021).
Niaee 2021 {published data only}
- IRCT20200408046987N1. Dose-finding study of Ivermectin treatment on patients infected with Covid-19: a clinical trial. en.irct.ir/trial/47012 (first received 27 April 2020).
- Niaee MS, Gheibi N, Namdar P, Allami A, Zolghadr L, Javadi A, et al. Ivermectin as an adjunct treatment for hospitalized adult COVID-19 patients: a randomized multi-center clinical trial (preprint). researchsquare.com/article/rs-109670/v1 (first received 24 November 2020). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-109670/v1] [DOI]
- Niaee MS, Namdar P, Allami A, Zolghadr L, Javadi A, Karampour A, et al. Ivermectin as an adjunct treatment for hospitalized adult COVID-19 patients: a randomized multi-center clinical trial. Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine 2021;14:66-73. [DOI: 10.4103/1995-7645.318304] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
Okumuş 2021 {published data only}
- NCT04646109. Ivermectin for severe COVID-19 management. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04646109 (first received 27 November 2020).
- Okumuş N, Demirtürk N, Çetinkaya RA, Güner R, Avcı IY, Orhan S, et al. Evaluation of the effectiveness and safety of adding ivermectin to treatment in severe COVID-19 patients. BMC Infectious Diseases 2021;21:411. [DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06104-9] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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Ozer 2021 {published data only}
- Ozer M, Goksu SY, Conception R, Ulker E, Balderas RM, Mahdi M, et al. Effectiveness and safety of Ivermectin in COVID-19 patients: a prospective study at a safety-net hospital. Journal of Medical Virology 2021 Nov 23 [Epub ahead of print]. [DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27469] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
Podder 2020 {published data only}
- Podder CS, Chowdhury N, Sina MI, Haque WM. Outcome of ivermectin treated mild to moderate COVID-19 cases: a single-centre, open-label, randomised controlled study. IMC Journal of Medical Science 2020;14(2):11-8. [DOI: ] [Google Scholar]
Rajter 2021 {published data only}
- Rajter JC, Sherman MS, Fatteh N, Vogel F, Sacks J, Rajter JJ. ICON (Ivermectin in COvid Nineteen) study: use of ivermectin is associated with lower mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID19. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.06.20124461v2 (first received 10 June 2020). [DOI: 10.1101/2020.06.06.20124461] [DOI]
- Rajter JC, Sherman MS, Fatteh N, Vogel F, Sacks J, Rajter JJ. Use of ivermectin is associated with lower mortality in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019: the ivermectin in COVID nineteen study. Chest 2021;159(1):85-92. [DOI: 10.1016/j.chest.2020.10.009] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Samaha 2021 {published data only}
- ChiCTR2000033627. In vivo use of ivermectin (IVR) for treatment for corona virus infected patients: a randomized controlled trial. chictr.org.cn/showprojen.aspx?proj=54707 (first received 7 June 2020).
- Samaha AA, Mouawia H, Fawaz M, Hassan H, Salami A, Bazzal AA, et al. Effects of a single dose of ivermectin on viral and clinical outcomes in asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infected subjects: a pilot clinical trial in Lebanon. Viruses 2021;13(6):989. [DOI: 10.3390/v13060989] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar] [Retracted]
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Seet 2021 {published data only}
- NCT04446104. A preventive treatment for migrant workers at high-risk of COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04446104 (first received 24 June 2020).
- Seet RC, Lin Quek AM, Qin Ooi DS, Sengupta S, Lashminarasappa SR, Yang Koo C. Positive impact of oral hydroxychloroquine and povidone-iodine throat spray for COVID-19 prophylaxis: an open-label randomized trial. International Journal of Infectious Diseases 2021;106:314-22. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.04.035] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Shahbaznejad 2021 {published data only}
- IRCT20111224008507N3. Effectiveness of ivermectin in the treatment of coronavirus infection in patients admitted to educational hospitals of Mazandaran in 2020. en.irct.ir/trial/49174 (first received 27 June 2020).
- Shahbaznejad L, Davoudi A, Eslami G, Markowitz JS, Navaeifar MR, Hosseinzadeh F, et al. Effects of ivermectin in patients with COVID-19: a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, controlled clinical trial. Clinical Therapeutics 6 May 2021 [Epub ahead of print]. [DOI: 10.1016/j.clinthera.2021.04.007] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
Shah Bukhari 2021 {published data only}
- NCT04392713. Efficacy of ivermectin in COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04392713 (first received 19 May 2020).
- Shah Bukhari KH, Asghar A, Perveen N, Hayat A, Mangat SA, Butt KR, et al. Efficacy of ivermectin in COVID-19 patients with mild to moderate disease. medrxiv.org/content/early/2021/02/05/2021.02.02.21250840 (first received 5 February 2021). [DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.02.21250840] [DOI]
Shouman 2021 {published data only}
- NCT04422561. Prophylactic ivermectin in COVID-19 contacts. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04422561 (first received 9 June 2020).
- Shoumann WM, Hegazy AA, Nafae RM, Ragab MI, Samra SR, Ibrahim DA, et al. Use of ivermectin as a potential chemoprophylaxis for COVID-19 in Egypt: a randomized clinical trial. Journal of Clinical and Diagnostic Research 2021;15(2):27-32. [DOI: 10.7860/JCDR/2021/46795.14529] [DOI] [Google Scholar]
Spoorthi 2020 {published data only}
- Spoorthi V, Sasank S. Utility of ivermectin and doxycycline combination for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2. International Archives of Integrated Medicine 2020;7(10):177-82. [iaimjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/iaim_2020_0710_23.pdf] [Google Scholar]
References to studies awaiting assessment
2020‐001971‐33/ES {published data only}
- 2020-001971-33/ES. Pragmatic study "CORIVER": ivermectin as antiviral treatment for patients infected by SARS-COV2 (COVID19). clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2020-001971-33/ES (first received 22 July 2020).
2020‐002091‐12/BG {published data only}
- 2020-002091-12/BG. Multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study investigating efficacy, safety and tolerability of ivermectin HUVE-19 in patients with proven SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) and manifested clinical symptoms. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2020-002091-12/BG (first received 5 May 2020).
2020‐005015‐40/SK {published data only}
- 2020-005015-40/SK. Ivermectin to prevent SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) hospitalisation in subjects over 50. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2020-005015-40/SK (first received 25 March 2021).
Aref 2021 {published data only}
- Aref ZF, Bazeed SEES, Hassan MH, Hassan AS, Rashad A, Hassan RG, et al. Clinical, biochemical and molecular evaluations of ivermectin mucoadhesive nanosuspension nasal spray in reducing upper respiratory symptoms of mild COVID-19. International Journal of Nanomedicine 2021;16:4063—4072. [DOI: 10.2147/IJN.S313093] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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CTRI/2020/04/024948 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/04/024948. A clinical trial to study the effects of hydroxychloroquine, ciclesonide and ivermectin in treatment of moderate COVID-19 illness. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pmaindet2.php?trialid=43364 (first received 30 April 2020).
CTRI/2020/06/025960 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/06/025960. To study effect of ivermectin drug in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 virus. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/showallp.php?mid1=44373&EncHid=&userName=CTRI/2020/06/025960 (first received 18 June 2020).
Hosseini 2021 {published data only}
- Hosseini FS, Malektojari A, Ghazizadeh S, Hassaniazad M, Davoodian P, Dadvand H, et al. The efficacy and safety of ivermectin in patients with mild and moderate COVID-19: a structured summary of a study protocol for a randomized controlled trial. Trials 2021;22(1):4. [DOI: 10.1186/s13063-020-04988-7] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
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IRCT20111224008507N4 {published data only}
- IRCT20111224008507N4. Double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial of evaluating the effectiveness of ivermectin in treatment of outpatients with COVID-19 in 2021. irct.ir/trial/53949 (first received 31 January 2021).
IRCT20180612040068N1 {published data only}
- IRCT20180612040068N1. To study the effect of Metronidazole and Ivermectin in the recovery of the infected patients with COVID-19 compared with protocol treatment: triple-blind randomized clinical trial. irct.ir/trial/54625 (first received 19 April 2021).
IRCT20190602043787N3 {published data only}
- IRCT20190602043787N3. Evaluation of the effect of ivermectin in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Imam Reza Hospital in Mashhad. en.irct.ir/trial/49180 (first received 20 July 2020).
IRCT20190624043993N2 {published data only}
- IRCT20190624043993N2. Evaluation effects of the standard regimen along with ivermectin on treatment of corona virus type 2 pneumonia. irct.ir/trial/49280 (first received 12 July 2020).
IRCT20200329046892N3 {published data only}
- IRCT20200329046892N3. Study of ivermectin effectiveness in treatment process, survival and cure rate of COVID-19 patients: a randomized clinical trial. irct.ir/trial/55216 (first received 29 March 2021) .
IRCT20200404046937N4 {published data only}
- IRCT20200404046937N4. Evaluating the efficacy and safety of Ivermectin in the treatment of COVID-19 patients: a double-blind randomized controlled trial, phase II. en.irct.ir/trial/49935 (first received 6 August 2020).
IRCT20200408046987N3 {published data only}
- IRCT20200408046987N3. Evaluation of prophylaxis induced by ivermectin in populations exposed to COVID-19 patients. www.irct.ir/trial/51999 (first received 6 December 2020).
IRCT20200422047168N2 {published data only}
- IRCT20200422047168N2. Clinical trial study of the therapeutic effect of ivermectin, besides kaletra and chloroquine in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). en.irct.ir/trial/48444 (first received 30 May 2020).
IRCT20210213050344N1 {published data only}
- IRCT20210213050344N1. Investigation of the effectiveness of ivermectin on outpatient treatment of Covid-19 patients, Shiraz City, Southern Iran, 2020: A Randomized Controlled Trial Study (RCT). irct.ir/trial/54710 (first received 4 June 2021).
ISRCTN90437126 {published data only}
- ISRCTN90437126. Study on the effects of using ivermectin to prevent COVID-19 in an adult population in Brazil. www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN90437126 (first received 11 November 2020).
NCT04351347 {published data only}
- NCT04351347. The efficacy of ivermectin in larger doses in COVID-19 treatment. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04351347 (first received 17 April 2020).
NCT04374019 {published data only}
- NCT04374019. Novel agents for treatment of high-risk COVID-19 positive patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04374019 (first received 5 May 2020).
NCT04407130 {published data only}
- NCT04407130. Efficacy and safety of ivermectin and doxycycline in combination or IVE alone in patients with COVID-19 infection. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04407130 (first received 29 May 2020).
NCT04407507 {published data only}
- NCT04407507. Efficacy, safety and tolerability of ivermectin in subjects infected with SARS-CoV-2 with or without symptoms. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04407507 (first received 29 May 2020).
NCT04602507 {published data only}
- NCT04602507. Ivermectin in adults with severe COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04602507 (first received 26 October 2020).
NCT04673214 {published data only}
- NCT04673214. Evaluation of prognostic modification in COVID-19 patients in early intervention treatment, a randomized clinical trial. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04673214 (first received 17 December 2020).
NCT04746365 {published data only}
- NCT04746365. Ivermectin Role In Covid-19 Clinical Trial (IRICT). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04746365 (first received 9 February 2021).
NCT04891250 {published data only}
- NCT04891250. The Zambia Ivermectin Trial for the treatment and prevention of COVID-19 (ZIT). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04891250 (first received 18 May 2021).
NCT04894721 {published data only}
- NCT04894721. Prophylaxis for COVID-19: ivermectin in close contacts of COVID-19 cases (IVERNEX-TUC). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04894721 (first received 20 May 2021).
NCT05076253 {published data only}
- NCT05076253. Efficacy of Ivermectin in COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05076253 (first received 13 Octoboer 2021).
PACTR202102588777597 {published data only}
- PACTR202102588777597. Ivermectin Treatment Trial (ITT). pesquisa.bvsalud.org/global-literature-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/resource/en/ictrp-PACTR202102588777597 (first received 12 February 2021).
References to ongoing studies
2020‐001994‐66/ES {published data only}
- 2020-001994-66/ES. Study of the efficacy of ivermectin in the treatment and prevention of COVID-19. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2020-001994-66/ES (first received 7 May 2020).
2021‐000166‐15/HU {published data only}
- 2021-000166-15/HU. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study to assess the safety and efficacy of ivermectin in asymptomatic and mild severity COVID-19 patients. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2021-000166-15/HU (first received 25 January 2021).
2021‐002024‐21/CZ {published data only}
- 2021-002024-21/CZ. Randomized placebo controlled clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of ivermectin in hospitalized patients with Covid-19 disease. clinicaltrialsregister.eu/ctr-search/trial/2021-002024-21/CZ (first received 28 April 2021).
ACTRN12620000982910 {published data only}
- ACTRN12620000982910. A randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial of oral ivermectin for outpatient treatment of those at high risk for hospitalization due to COVID-19. anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?ACTRN=12620000982910 (first received 14 September 2020).
ACTRN12621001535864 {published data only}
- ACTRN12621001535864. Ivermectin to prevent Coronavirus. anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=382688&isReview=true (first received 20 October 2021).
Ashraf 2021 {published data only}
- Ashraf S, Ashraf S, Farooq I, Ashraf S, Ashraf M, Imran MA, et al. Anti-COVID property of subcutaneous ivermectin in synergy with zinc among midlife moderately symptomatic patients: a structured summary of a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial. Trials 2021;22:591. [DOI: 10.1186/s13063-021-05487-z] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- NCT04472585. Efficacy of subcutaneous ivermectin with or without zinc in COVID-19 patients (SIZI-COVID-PK). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04472585 (first received 15 July 2020).
CTRI/2020/05/025068 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/05/025068. A phase IIB open label randomized controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ivermectin in reducing viral loads in patients with hematological disorders who are admitted with COVID 19 infection. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pmaindet2.php?trialid=43449 (first received 7 May 2020).
CTRI/2020/05/025224 {published data only}
- CTRI/2020/05/025224. Study to efficacy of ivermectin in patients of COVID-19. ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/pdf_generate.php?trialid=43728&EncHid=&modid=&compid=%27,%2743728det%27 (first received 18 May 2020).
Garcia 2021 {published data only}
- Garcia PJ, Hurtado HM, Ugarte-Gil C, Leon P, Malaga G, Chaccour C, et al. Randomized clinical trial to compare the efficacy of ivermectin versus placebo to negativize nasopharyngeal PCR in patients with early COVID-19 in Peru (SAINT-Peru): a structured summary of a study protocol for randomized controlled trial. Trials 2021;22(1):262. [DOI: 10.1186/s13063-021-05236-2] [PMID: ] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Garica PJ, Huratdo HM, Urgae-Gil C, Leon P, Malaga G, Chaccour C, et al. Randomized clinical trial to compare the efficacy of ivermectin versus placebo to negativize nasopharyngeal PCR in patients with early COVID-19 in Peru (SAINT-Peru): a structured summary of a study protocol for randomized controlled trial. researchsquare.com/article/rs-345747/v1 (first received 23 May 2021). [DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-345747/v1] [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
- NCT04635943. Randomized phase IIA clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy of ivermectin to obtain negative PCR results in patients with early phase COVID-19 (SAINT-PERU). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04635943 (first received 19 November 2020).
- PER-034-20. Randomized phase IIa clinical trial to compare the efficacy of ivermectin versus placebo to obtain negative PCR results in patients with early phase Covid-19. www.ins.gob.pe/ensayosclinicos/rpec/recuperarECPBNuevoEN.asp?numec=034-20 (first received 17 July 2020).
IRCT20111224008507N5 {published data only}
- IRCT20111224008507N5. Double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial of evaluating the effectiveness of ivermectin in treatment of patients admitted with COVID-19 in 2021. en.irct.ir/trial/54402 (first received 22 February 2021).
IRCT20190417043295N2 {published data only}
- IRCT20190417043295N2. Evaluation of the effect of adding ivermectin to standard therapies on the outcome of intubated Covid-19 patients under ventilator. en.irct.ir/trial/57603 (first received 20 September 2021).
ISRCTN86534580 {published data only}
- ISRCTN86534580. PRINCIPLE: A clinical trial evaluating treatments for suspected and confirmed COVID-19 for recovery at home. isrctn.com/ISRCTN86534580 (first received 12 May 2021). [DOI: 10.1186/ISRCTN86534580] [DOI]
NCT04425707 {published data only}
- NCT04425707. Ivermectin in treatment of COVID 19 patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04425707 (first received 11 June 2020).
NCT04445311 {published data only}
- NCT04445311. Ivermectin in treatment of COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04445311 (first received 24 June 2020).
NCT04510194 {published data only}
- NCT04510194. COVID-OUT: Early Outpatient Treatment for SARS-CoV-2 Infection (COVID-19). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04510194 (first received 12 August 2020).
NCT04510233 {published data only}
- NCT04510233. Ivermectin nasal spray for COVID19 patients. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04510233 (first received 12 August 2020).
NCT04527211 {published data only}
- NCT04527211. Effectiveness and safety of ivermectin for the prevention of Covid-19 infection in Colombian health personnel (IveprofCovid19). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04527211 (first received 26 August 2020).
NCT04703205 {published data only}
- NCT04703205. Study in Covid-19 patients with ivermectin (CORVETTE-01). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04703205 (first received 11 January 2021).
- jRCT2031200120. Double-blind study in Covid-19 patients with ivermectin. jrct.niph.go.jp/en-latest-detail/jRCT2031200120 (first received 16 September 2020).
NCT04712279 {published data only}
- NCT04712279. The (HD)IVACOV Trial (The High-Dose IVermectin Against COVID-19 Trial). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04712279 (first received 15 January 2021).
NCT04729140 {published data only}
- NCT04729140. An outpatient clinical trial using ivermectin and doxycycline in COVID-19 positive patients at high risk to prevent COVID-19 related hospitalization. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04729140 (first received 28 January 2021).
NCT04834115 {published data only}
- NCT04834115. Efficacy of ivermectin in outpatients with non-severe COVID-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04834115 (first received 6 April 2021).
NCT04836299 {published data only}
- NCT04836299. Clinical trial to "study the efficacy and therapeutic safety of ivermectin (SAINTBO). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04836299 (first received 8 April 2021).
NCT04885530 {published data only}
- NCT04885530. ACTIV-6: COVID-19 study of repurposed medications. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04885530 (first received 13 May 2021).
NCT04886362 {published data only}
- NCT04886362. Ivermectina Colombia (IVERCOL). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04886362 (first received 14 May 2021).
NCT04944082 {published data only}
- NCT04944082. Remdesivir-Ivermectin Combination Therapy in Severe Covid-19. clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04944082.
NCT05040724 {published data only}
- NCT05040724. Evaluation of the Impact of the Administration of Single Dose of Ivermectin in the Early Phase of COVID-19 (IVERCoV). clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05040724 (first received 10 September 2021).
NCT05041907 {published data only}
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NCT05060666 {published data only}
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