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International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health logoLink to International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
. 2022 Jun 17;19(12):7439. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19127439

Correlation between Population Density and COVID-19 Cases during the Third Wave in Malaysia: Effect of the Delta Variant

Nuur Hafizah Md Iderus 1,*, Sarbhan Singh Lakha Singh 1, Sumarni Mohd Ghazali 1, Cheong Yoon Ling 1, Tan Cia Vei 1, Ahmed Syahmi Syafiq Md Zamri 1, Nadhar Ahmad Jaafar 1, Qistina Ruslan 1, Nur Huda Ahmad Jaghfar 1, Balvinder Singh Gill 1
Editor: Paul B Tchounwou1
PMCID: PMC9223655  PMID: 35742687

Abstract

In this study, we describe the incidence and distribution of COVID-19 cases in Malaysia at district level and determine their correlation with absolute population and population density, before and during the period that the Delta variant was dominant in Malaysia. Methods: Data on the number of locally transmitted COVID-19 cases in each of the 145 districts in Malaysia, between 20 September 2020 and 19 September 2021, were manually extracted from official reports. The cumulative number of COVID-19 cases, population and population density of each district were described using choropleth maps. The correlation between population and population density with the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in each district in the pre-Delta dominant period (20 September 2020–29 June 2021) and during the Delta dominant period (30 June 2021–19 September 2021) were determined using Pearson’s correlation. Results: COVID-19 cases were strongly correlated with both absolute population and population density (Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) = 0.87 and r = 0.78, respectively). A majority of the districts had higher numbers of COVID-19 cases during the Delta dominant period compared to the pre-Delta period. The correlation coefficient in the pre-Delta dominant period was r = 0.79 vs. r = 0.86 during the Delta dominant period, whereas the pre-Delta dominant population density was r = 0.72, and in the Delta dominant period, r = 0.76. Conclusion: More populous and densely populated districts have a higher risk of transmission of COVID-19, especially with the Delta variant as the dominant circulating strain. Therefore, extra and more stringent control measures should be instituted in highly populated areas to control the spread of COVID-19.

Keywords: COVID-19, population density, third wave, Delta variant

1. Introduction

The World Health Organization (WHO) identified a new type of coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, early in 2020, which causes the disease COVID-19. This novel coronavirus was first discovered in Wuhan, China, after its outbreak in December 2019. Following which, COVID-19 spread rapidly across the world in a short period of time, resulting in a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) [1]. As a result of this, COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the WHO on 11 March 2020 [2]. The spread of the COVID-19 virus resulted in unprecedented outbreaks worldwide, characterized by exponential rises in new infections. As the pandemic progressed, many countries initially instituted several Public Health Social Measures (PHSM), followed by the more recent COVID-19 vaccination strategies to curb the COVID-19 outbreak. However, despite these measures, many countries are currently experiencing a resurgence in COVID-19 infections [3,4,5].

As of 28 February 2022, about 435 million COVID-19 infections and 5.95 million deaths due to COVID-19 have been reported globally, and more alarmingly, these estimates keep rising. The USA, India and Brazil are among those countries that have reported the highest numbers of COVID-19 infections globally. Moreover, in the South East Asia region, as of 28 February 2022, the incidence rates of COVID-19 infections were highest in Brunei Darussalam at 13,588.538 per 100,000 population, followed by Singapore (12,151.085 cases per 100,000 population) and Malaysia (10,565.52 cases per 100,000 population) [6]. In Malaysia, the first case of COVID-19 infection was reported on 22 January 2020, and this marked the beginning of the first wave with a total of 22 infections, which lasted until 26 February 2020. Following this, a much larger second wave began from 27 February 2020 to 19 September 2020, which resulted in 3375 infections. Currently, Malaysia is facing its third wave, which began on 20 September 2020 [7].

Since the beginning of the third wave in Malaysia, the distribution of COVID-19 infections across the country has varied, wherein several states, namely Selangor (30.2%), Johor (8.7%) and the Federal Territory of Kuala Lumpur (8.3%), have reported much larger numbers of COVID-19 infections compared to other states [8]. This observation could be attributed to the high population numbers and densities observed in these states, which could have increased the disease transmission. These findings were supported by evidence in the literature, which reports a higher distribution of COVID-19 cases in areas with larger densities [9], and significant correlations between population numbers and densities with COVID-19 cases in countries such as England, the USA and Turkey [10,11,12,13]. In addition to the above observations, a large number of COVID-19 infections were also observed in states with lesser densities, such as in Sarawak (9.3%) and Sabah (8.8%), during the third wave in Malaysia [8]. This is because despite these states having larger areas, which reduces the overall population density at the state level, they consist of multiple districts which are highly populous with large population densities. As a result of this, determining the effect of population and population density on COVID-19 cases at higher levels (i.e., state) may be inaccurate and misleading. Therefore, analysing this effect at lower levels (i.e., district level) would provide more meaningful and accurate findings.

To date, in Malaysia, there have been limited studies which examine the distribution of COVID-19 cases by districts and the relationship between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases during the third wave. This paper focuses specifically on the third wave of COVID-19, as there are several unique factors that affected the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 during the third wave, which differentiate it from the previous waves in Malaysia. These factors include, first, the presence of new and more virulent variants of the COVID-19 virus from 18 December 2020 onwards [14]. The emergence of these new variants posed an increased risk to the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, more measures were taken in the characterization of specific Variants of Interest (VOIs) and Variants of Concern (VOCs) to improve outbreak surveillance and control measures. For example, the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) designated as a VOC on 11 May 2021 was highly infectious and had affected many countries. This variant was found to be more transmissible and resulted in more severe forms of COVID-19 illness [14,15]. Malaysia recorded its first case of the Delta variant on 2 May 2021, which was detected in an Indian national screened at the Kuala Lumpur International Airport [16]. Subsequently, the first locally transmitted case of the Delta variant was detected on 17 May 2021 [17]. The presence of these VOCs, especially the Delta variant, intensified the outbreak during the third wave; therefore, when examining the relationship between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases during the third wave, it is important to account for the effects of the Delta variant.

The second factor unique to the third wave is the implementation of COVID-19 vaccination. Numerous studies have reported that vaccination had a major effect in decreasing COVID-19 infections [14,18]. The Malaysian vaccination program began on 24 February 2021 and was rolled out in phases. The first phase from February to April 2021, focused on frontliners, followed by the second phase involving senior citizens, high-risk groups and people with disabilities from April to August 2021, and from May 2021 onwards, for others aged 18 years and above. As of 19 September 2021, the last day of our study period, a total of 69.1% and 58% of the population had received one and two doses of the COVID-19 vaccine, respectively. The percentages of the total vaccine doses administered with the various vaccines are as follows, CoronaVac (inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine by Sinovac) (46.5%) and Comirnaty (mRNA vaccine by Pfizer-BioNTech) (45.4%), Oxford AstraZeneca’s SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine (7.8%) and less than 1% other vaccines. Malaysia’s vaccination program for those aged below 18 years was started on 20 September 2021, which was after our study period.

Due to the presence of these unique factors (i.e., VOCs and vaccination) during the third wave of COVID-19, it is important to determine the relationship between population and density with COVID-19 cases by accounting for demographic characteristics, vaccination status and the COVID-19 Delta variant, as it would provide a better understanding of the true unbiased relationship between population and density with COVID-19 cases. Therefore, the initial aims of this study are to describe the incidence and distribution of COVID-19 cases during the third wave in Malaysia. Subsequent to this, we determined the correlation between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases during the pre-Delta period, during Delta and in the overall period of the third wave. We believe the findings from this study would assist in the prioritization of instituting outbreak control measures based on disease distribution, to better control and manage the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Data Source

Local COVID-19 case data were sourced from the Ministry of Health’s Malaysia official website (http://www.moh.gov.my), from 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021. Local cases are defined as cases reported in 145 districts including three federal territories in Malaysia, based on the 2010 Malaysian census. An additional 13 districts which were formed after the 2010 Malaysian census were not included in the analysis, namely Pokok Sena, Bagan Datuk, Kalabakan, Telupid, Beluru, Bukit Mabong, Kabong, Pusa, Sebauh, Subis, Tanjung Manis, Tebedu and Telang Usan.

Imported cases were excluded in this study because the source of infection was outside of Malaysia and therefore did not contribute to local disease transmission. The population numbers and population density in each district were obtained from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM). The estimated population data were obtained from the DOSM, which is the authority that provides the official population statistics data for Malaysia. These yearly population estimates are generated by the DOSM using the cohort-component method, which is based on census data as well as rates of birth, death, and internal and international migration. In this study, the total populations used were projected 2020 mid-year populations, based on 2010 population census data. In addition, population density was defined as the district’s mid-year population for the year 2020 divided by its total land area (km2) [19]. Geospatial shape files were provided by the Department of Survey and Mapping Malaysia (JUPEM) in the year 2019.

2.2. Data Analysis

Data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 26.0 release 2019 by International Business Machines, IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA [20]. Data were checked for missing data and abnormal values before performing any statistical analysis. There were no missing values. For the correlation analysis, the COVID-19 case data at district levels were categorized into three time periods, which were based on the detection of Delta variants in Malaysia. First was the pre-Delta variant period, which was from 20 September 2020 to 29 June 2021 (283 days). Second was the during-Delta variant period, which was from 30 June 2021 (the date the Delta variant became the predominantly circulating variant (more than 50%) among the samples tested by the Institute for Medical Research, Malaysia) to 19 September 2021 (82 days). The third time period was the one-year duration of the third wave, from 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021 (365 days; the end date of 19 September 2021 was selected as it represented the downward trajectory of the third wave). The incidence of COVID-19 cases per 1000 populations by districts was estimated by dividing the total number of cases with the absolute population for each district. Quantum Geographic Information System (QGIS) version 3.10 was used to plot the incidence and distribution of COVID-19 cases by districts across total population and population densities.

Prior to the correlation analysis, the normality of absolute population, population density, and COVID-19 cases pre-Delta, during Delta and overall, were examined using the Shapiro–Wilk test and normal probability plots. The results of the Shapiro–Wilk test for all five variables were significant suggesting the data were not normally distributed and normal probability plots showed their deviations from the normal distribution (Appendix A). As the data were not normally distributed, log transformation was performed, and Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) was used to determine the strength and direction of the correlation between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases. The classification of the strength of the relationship was determined based on the value of r which ranges from 0 to 1 where r = 0 indicates no association and r = −1 or +1 indicates perfect association with a p-value less than 0.05 indicating significant correlations. The magnitude of change for two variables is either in the same or in the opposite direction, indicated by a positive or negative value of the correlation coefficient [21]. Correlation analysis was conducted for all the three time periods to determine the effects of the Delta variant on the correlation between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases.

In addition, prior to the correlation analysis, multivariable linear regression analysis was performed with SPSS software to control for the confounding effects of sociodemographic factors (i.e., median household income and the percentage of the population aged 15 years old and above) and the percentage of the population fully vaccinated on the correlation between population density and COVID-19 cases [14,15]. All data were at district level, except for vaccination data which were available at state level only, and therefore, were used to represent each district’s vaccination percentage. Data were analyzed using a stepwise linear regression method. The cutoff probability for adding and removing variable in the stepwise method was 0.05 and 0.10 respectively. The final model was checked to ensure the assumptions of the analysis were sufficiently met [22].

3. Results

3.1. Characteristics of COVID-19 Cases in the Third Wave

The most populous and densely populated districts were Petaling, Selangor, (2,223,300 persons) and Kuala Lumpur (7863 people per square kilometer), respectively, in Malaysia (Appendix B).

For the overall time period, the highest number of cases were distributed in Petaling (n = 197,082 cases), followed by Kuala Lumpur (n = 178,406 cases) and Klang (n = 126,579 cases), as shown in Figure 1. The highest COVID-19 incidence rate was reported in Sepang (133.8 per 1000 population), followed by Klang (119.8 per 1000 population) and Kuala Langat (115.2 per 1000 population), as shown in Figure 2.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Distribution of COVID-19 cases by district, 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021, Malaysia.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Distribution of COVID-19 incidence by district, 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021, Malaysia.

During the pre-Delta period, the highest number of cases was distributed in Kuala Lumpur (n = 73,041 cases), followed by Petaling (n = 72,839 cases) and Klang (n = 50,417 cases). In addition, the highest COVID-19 incidence rate was reported in Labuan (73.7 per 1000 population), followed by Sepang (62.8 per 1000 population) and Kapit (52.3 per 1000 population). During the Delta period, the highest number of cases was distributed in Petaling (n = 124,243 cases), followed by Kuala Lumpur (n = 105,365 cases) and Klang (n = 76,162 cases). The highest COVID-19 incidence rate was reported in Serian (87.5 per 1000 population), followed by Bau (79.0 per 1000 population) and Klang (72.1 per 1000 population) (Appendix C).

From the total of 145 districts, 70% (n = 127) of the districts reported an increase in both COVID-19 cases and the incidence rate during the Delta variant period compared to the pre-Delta period. The percentage increase in COVID-19 cases and the incidence rate ranged from 0.3% to 2500% and the mean increase was 242.5%. The COVID-19 cases and incidence rate per 1000 population for all the districts (n = 145) in the pre-Delta and during Delta periods in Malaysia are shown in Appendix C.

3.2. Association between Sociodemographic Factors and Vaccination with COVID-19 Cases

In multivariable regression analysis, population density and median household income were found to be independently associated with COVID-19 cases, after controlling for sociodemographic and vaccination factors. Following this analysis, population density alone accounted for 60% of the variation in COVID-19 cases. Moreover, 64% of the variation of the COVID-19 cases was explained by both population density and household income. This was a minimal increase of 4% contributed by the median household income variable, therefore suggesting household income does not largely affect COVID-19 cases (Table 1).

Table 1.

Multivariable analysis between COVID-19 cases and sociodemographic factors.

Factor Crude Coefficients, B
(95% CI)
p-Value Adjusted Coefficients, B
(95% CI)
Std. Error p-Value
Age 15 and above 1222.87 (223.87, 2221.88) 0.017
Vaccination 674.60 (371.644, 977.555) <0.001
Median household income (RM) 11.58 (9.360, 13.788) <0.001 4.88 (2.64, 7.114) 1.132 <0.001
Population density 23.28 (20.152, 26.409) <0.001 18.10 (14.305, 21.887) 1.918 <0.001

3.3. Correlation between Population and Population Density with COVID-19 Cases

Correlation analysis showed both absolute population and population densities were significantly correlated (p-value < 0.001) with COVID-19 cases for the overall time period (r = 0.871), the pre-Delta variant period (r = 0.785) and the Delta variant period (r = 0.864), respectively, as shown in Figure 3. This corresponds to an increase in correlation of 15.9% from the pre-Delta period to the Delta period. The correlation between population density and COVID-19 cases was for the overall time period (r = 0.778), pre-Delta variant period (r = 0.723) and Delta variant period (r = 0.764) respectively as shown in Figure 4. This corresponds to an increase in correlation by 21.5% from the pre-Delta period to the Delta period.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Correlation between absolute population and COVID-19 cases, (a) Pre-Delta variant period, (b) Delta variant period, (c) Overall period.

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Correlation between population density and COVID-19 cases, (a) Pre-Delta variant period, (b) Delta variant period, (c) Overall period.

Overall, an increase in the correlations between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases was observed during the Delta variant period compared to the pre-Delta period (Table 2). In addition, the correlation coefficient was higher for the correlations between absolute population and COVID-19 cases compared to the correlations between population density and COVID-19 cases, across all the time periods.

Table 2.

Correlation analysis in relation to Delta variant during the third wave in Malaysia, 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021.

Absolute Population and COVID-19 Cases Population Density and COVID-19 Cases
Correlation (r) p-Value Correlation (r) p-Value
Pre-Delta variant period 0.785 <0.001 * 0.723 <0.001 *
Delta variant period 0.864 <0.001 * 0.764 <0.001 *
Overall period 0.871 <0.001 * 0.778 <0.001 *

Note. * Significance set at p < 0.05.

4. Discussion

In this study, we described the incidence and distribution of COVID-19 cases by districts as well as determining the correlations between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases during the third wave in Malaysia. In addition, the correlation findings of this study were analyzed and presented based on the pre-Delta variant period (20 September 2020 to 29 June 2021) and the Delta variant period (30 June 2021 to 19 September 2021) during the third wave.

The highest number of COVID-19 cases and incidence rate were observed in districts in Selangor state (i.e., Petaling and Klang) and the Federal Territory of Kuala Lumpur, during the third wave. This finding is observed primarily because these areas are highly urbanized, densely populated and populous. Similar findings have been reported in studies conducted in England and Malaysia [9,10]. In addition, this study also found high COVID-19 incidence in districts with lesser densities (i.e., Sepang). This finding could be attributed to the relatively small population numbers in these districts (i.e., Sepang = 265,600) and the higher number of COVID-19 infections (i.e., Sepang n = 35,539 cases), therefore ultimately resulting in higher incidence rates.

The findings of this study showed an increase in COVID-19 cases and the incidence rate between the pre-Delta and Delta variant periods, ranging from 0.3% to 2500%. Previous studies conducted in the countries which were affected by the Delta variant, such as England and United States, also reported a similar increase in COVID-19 cases [15,23,24]. The increment in COVID-19 cases and the incidence rate observed in this study is due to the effects of the Delta variant, and highly and densely populated areas which would increase disease transmission [15,23,24].

Furthermore, this study reports a positive significant correlation between absolute population and population densities with COVID-19 cases throughout the third wave. Our findings support the existing evidence that suggests COVID-19 cases tend to increase in areas that are highly and densely populated. Our findings were consistent with previous studies conducted in England, the United States, Turkey and Malaysia, which report higher COVID-19 cases and incidence in more densely populated areas [10,11,12]. Several reasons can be attributed to these findings. First, communities with high population numbers and population density have a higher probability of coming into contact with one another, therefore, increasing the risk of disease transmission [25,26,27,28]. In addition, individuals residing in densely populated areas tend to live in close proximities, which would result in prolonged, sustained and continuous exposure to possibly infected individuals, therefore, increasing disease transmission.

This study also reports an increase in the correlation between absolute population (15.9% correlation increase) and population densities (21.5% correlation increase) with COVID-19 cases, during the Delta period (16 May 2021 to 19 September 2021) compared to the pre-Delta period (20 September 2020 to 15 May 2021). The mild increase in the magnitude of the correlation across these two periods could be attributed to the fact that population density itself fuels COVID-19 disease transmission (resulting in high pre-Delta correlation estimates). In addition, the modest increase in the correlation supports the low transmissibility of the Delta variant. The relevance of this finding suggests that in highly and densely populated areas, the existence of a variant of concern with low disease transmissibility would contribute to an increase in the number of infections [15,18,29].

While many countries are still working on finding curative treatments and increasing COVID-19 immunization rates, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) are still important measures to control and manage this pandemic. With limited resources and the need for timely institutions of NPI measures, many countries have adopted targeted outbreak control measures [10,27,30,31]. The findings from this study highlight the importance of implementing NPI in areas that are highly and densely populated as a priority, in order to control and manage the COVID-19 outbreak effectively. Moreover, the evidence generated from this study could be used to guide decision makers in making sound decisions regarding instituting targeted outbreak control measures. In addition, this study also provides evidence on the effects of a variant of concern (i.e., the Delta variant) on the correlation between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases, wherein such VOCs could be the driving factor in increasing disease transmissibility, especially in areas that are highly and densely populous.

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that has analyzed the correlation between absolute population and population density with COVID-19 cases, at different time frames in relation to the Delta variant during the third wave, to describe the changes in incidence rates and correlations caused by the Delta variant. This study has several strengths, which include first using districts as the smallest point for correlation analysis. By doing so, we were able to examine this correlation in more focused smaller areas, which would improve the precision and accuracy of the correlation instead of using larger areas such as states. Second, a longer study period (365 days) was used to examine the correlation, therefore improving the analysis and suggesting that the current data used are sufficient to show the impact of absolute population and population density on COVID-19 cases. Third, this study focused on local cases during the third wave of COVID-19, which contributed more than 90% of the total COVID-19 cases in Malaysia. Finally, this study ruled out the presence of potential confounders (i.e., household income, population aged 15 years and above and vaccination coverage) prior to examining the correlation between population density and COVID-19 cases.

The limitations of this study include the distribution of COVID-19 cases which may depend on a variety of other factors, which include geographical characteristics, economic growth, health infrastructure, regulatory policy and the number of tests. In addition, it would also be important to examine the correlation and relationship of other sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors with COVID-19 mortality in Malaysia. Therefore, further research may be needed to account for the aforementioned issues.

5. Conclusions

In conclusion, the present study reports that a higher incidence of COVID-19 infections was found among highly and densely populated districts, especially during the Delta variant period in the third wave in Malaysia. In addition, absolute population and population density significantly contribute to the increase in COVID-19 infections, as evident from the positive correlations reported in this study. Therefore, prioritizing the implementation of outbreak control measures in highly and densely populated areas and with the presence of VOCs could be key to containing this highly infectious disease and eventually controlling the COVID-19 pandemic.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the Director General of Health Malaysia for his permission to publish this paper and the Director of the Institute for Medical Research for his support.

Appendix A

Table A1.

Results of Shapiro–Wilk Test for normality of population, density and COVID-19 cases pre-Delta, during Delta and overall.

Shapiro–Wilk, W df p-Value
Population 0.570 145 <0.001
Density 0.427 145 <0.001
COVID-19 cases pre-Delta variant 0.422 145 <0.001
COVID-19 cases during Delta variant 0.471 145 <0.001
Overall COVID-19 cases 0.447 145 <0.001

Figure A1.

Figure A1

Normal P–P Plot, (a) Population, (b) Density, (c) COVID-19 cases during pre-Delta variant, (d) Delta variant period, (e) Overall period.

Appendix B

Figure A2.

Figure A2

Absolute population by district, Malaysia (projected year 2020).

Figure A3.

Figure A3

Population density by district, Malaysia (projected year 2020).

Appendix C

Table A2.

Incidence rate of COVID-19 per 1000 population by districts, 20 September 2020 to 19 September 2021.

No State District Population Population Density (Person per sqft/km) COVID-19 Cases Incidence per 1000 Population
Pre-Delta Variant Period Delta Variant Period Overall Pre-Delta Variant Period Delta Variant Period Overall Study Period
1 Johor Batu Pahat 488,800 249 4997 8572 13,569 10.2 17.5 27.8
2 Johor Bahru 1,621,400 1521 29,201 45,386 74,587 18.0 28.0 46.0
3 Kluang 351,700 123 3258 9901 13,159 9.3 28.2 37.4
4 Kota Tinggi 231,300 66 4062 5798 9860 17.6 25.1 42.6
5 Kulai 294,800 390 8506 12,526 21,032 28.9 42.5 71.3
6 Mersing 85,100 30 501 1701 2202 5.9 20.0 25.9
7 Muar 288,900 207 7783 9658 17,441 26.9 33.4 60.4
8 Pontian 183,100 196 3070 5051 8121 16.8 27.6 44.4
9 Segamat 221,600 77 1768 3978 5746 8.0 18.0 25.9
10 Tangkak 159,800 164 2355 4088 6443 14.7 25.6 40.3
11 Kedah Baling 158,700 104 968 8225 9193 6.1 51.8 57.9
12 Bandar Baharu 49,300 182 521 2314 2835 10.6 46.9 57.5
13 Kota Setar 423,400 1008 6477 15,779 22,256 15.3 37.3 52.6
14 Kuala Muda 527,900 578 7700 28,286 35,986 14.6 53.6 68.2
15 Kubang Pasu 257,800 273 1901 5523 7424 7.4 21.4 28.8
16 Kulim 334,100 432 2657 23,071 25,728 8.0 69.1 77.0
17 Langkawi 113,100 215 325 4307 4632 2.9 38.1 41.0
18 Padang Terap 74,100 55 275 1556 1831 3.7 21.0 24.7
19 Pendang 111,600 177 495 4034 4529 4.4 36.1 40.6
20 Sik 79,400 49 218 1999 2217 2.7 25.2 27.9
21 Yan 80,000 325 443 1736 2179 5.5 21.7 27.2
22 Kelantan Bachok 169,100 607 2417 7008 9425 14.3 41.4 55.7
23 Gua Musang 118,700 15 554 3690 4244 4.7 31.1 35.8
24 Jeli 53,000 40 701 1970 2671 13.2 37.2 50.4
25 Kota Bharu 620,500 1541 13,993 21,099 35,092 22.6 34.0 56.6
26 Kuala Krai 140,500 62 967 2545 3512 6.9 18.1 25.0
27 Machang 118,200 225 1696 2496 4192 14.3 21.1 35.5
28 Pasir Mas 241,100 423 4442 7155 11,597 18.4 29.7 48.1
29 Pasir Puteh 148,900 352 1889 6901 8790 12.7 46.3 59.0
30 Tanah Merah 155,100 176 2437 5247 7684 15.7 33.8 49.5
31 Tumpat 194,700 1083 3273 7468 10,741 16.8 38.4 55.2
32 Melaka Alor Gajah 215,100 319 4100 9164 13,264 19.1 42.6 61.7
33 Jasin 158,800 234 4103 5237 9340 25.8 33.0 58.8
34 Melaka Tengah 586,600 1634 8299 20,605 28,904 14.1 35.1 49.3
35 Negeri Sembilan Jelebu 45,700 34 1083 756 1839 23.7 16.5 40.2
36 Jempol 133,200 90 1249 3003 4252 9.4 22.5 31.9
37 Kuala Pilah 75,200 73 1949 2227 4176 25.9 29.6 55.5
38 Port Dickson 131,800 226 4032 5072 9104 30.6 38.5 69.1
39 Rembau 49,400 122 2142 2498 4640 43.4 50.6 93.9
40 Seremban 631,000 662 28,345 33,309 61,654 44.9 52.8 97.7
41 Tampin 96,400 113 754 1647 2401 7.8 17.1 24.9
42 Pahang Bentong 136,800 75 2106 4651 6757 15.4 34.0 49.4
43 Bera 113,500 51 405 1770 2175 3.6 15.6 19.2
44 Cameron Highlands 44,100 62 215 1017 1232 4.9 23.1 27.9
45 Jerantut 106,800 14 951 1979 2930 8.9 18.5 27.4
46 Kuantan 536,800 181 4367 19,542 23,909 8.1 36.4 44.5
47 Lipis 105,300 20 429 1301 1730 4.1 12.4 16.4
48 Maran 136,600 71 560 1633 2193 4.1 12.0 16.1
49 Pekan 131,300 35 398 1544 1942 3.0 11.8 14.8
50 Raub 109,100 48 534 810 1344 4.9 7.4 12.3
51 Rompin 137,100 26 329 1341 1670 2.4 9.8 12.2
52 Temerloh 192,400 85 1299 5790 7089 6.8 30.1 36.8
53 Perak Batang Padang 131,900 73 807 6368 7175 6.1 48.3 54.4
54 Hilir Perak 157,700 199 3835 2990 6825 24.3 19.0 43.3
55 Hulu Perak 105,200 16 751 1541 2292 7.1 14.6 21.8
56 Kampar 109,400 163 365 2300 2665 3.3 21.0 24.4
57 Kerian 199,300 221 1112 4153 5265 5.6 20.8 26.4
58 Kinta 841,700 645 5926 19,322 25,248 7.0 23.0 30.0
59 Kuala Kangsar 177,900 70 730 3701 4431 4.1 20.8 24.9
60 Larut Matang & Selama 367,900 180 3780 11,225 15,005 10.3 30.5 40.8
61 Manjung 258,400 221 3022 3983 7005 11.7 15.4 27.1
62 Muallim 73,200 78 474 1664 2138 6.5 22.7 29.2
63 Perak Tengah 114,300 89 340 1340 1680 3.0 11.7 14.7
64 Perlis Kangar 264,700 323 286 1803 2089 1.1 6.8 7.9
65 Pulau Pinang Barat Daya 237,000 1356 7463 11,507 18,970 31.5 48.6 80.0
66 Seberang Perai Selatan 198,000 817 6052 14,223 20,275 30.6 71.8 102.4
67 Seberang Perai Tengah 438,400 1844 7503 25,119 32,622 17.1 57.3 74.4
68 Seberang Perai Utara 344,900 1288 4198 16,125 20,323 12.2 46.8 58.9
69 Timur Laut 588,200 4653 8645 15,933 24,578 14.7 27.1 41.8
70 Sabah Beaufort 85,100 49 754 3098 3852 8.9 36.4 45.3
71 Beluran 135,300 25 285 1932 2217 2.1 14.3 16.4
72 Keningau 222,700 63 2391 5170 7561 10.7 23.2 34.0
73 Kinabatangan 200,600 30 1279 3079 4358 6.4 15.3 21.7
74 Kota Belud 113,700 82 1576 3802 5378 13.9 33.4 47.3
75 Kota Kinabalu 581,700 1659 14,174 23,651 37,825 24.4 40.7 65.0
76 Kota Marudu 82,600 43 627 2882 3509 7.6 34.9 42.5
77 Kuala Penyu 25,000 55 235 443 678 9.4 17.7 27.1
78 Kudat 103,200 79 2016 2096 4112 19.5 20.3 39.8
79 Kunak 81,500 72 1538 1243 2781 18.9 15.3 34.1
80 Lahad Datu 263,100 35 6295 4081 10,376 23.9 15.5 39.4
81 Nabawan 40,600 7 613 1091 1704 15.1 26.9 42.0
82 Papar 171,000 135 2478 6085 8563 14.5 35.6 50.1
83 Penampang 155,300 366 3706 9571 13,277 23.9 61.6 85.5
84 Pitas 46,000 32 349 1810 2159 7.6 39.3 46.9
85 Putatan 73,100 1808 2154 3461 5615 29.5 47.3 76.8
86 Ranau 115,900 32 532 2259 2791 4.6 19.5 24.1
87 Sandakan 518,200 229 7511 10,324 17,835 14.5 19.9 34.4
88 Semporna 175,800 154 2656 653 3309 15.1 3.7 18.8
89 Sipitang 46,000 17 359 2301 2660 7.8 50.0 57.8
90 Tambunan 44,100 32 343 630 973 7.8 14.3 22.1
91 Tawau 521,000 233 10,690 9118 19,808 20.5 17.5 38.0
92 Tenom 70,000 29 245 1658 1903 3.5 23.7 27.2
93 Tongod 44,900 4 81 1355 1436 1.8 30.2 32.0
94 Tuaran 130,500 110 3176 8660 11,836 24.3 66.4 90.7
95 Sarawak Asajaya 37,900 125 272 1703 1975 7.2 44.9 52.1
96 Bau 62,200 70 556 4914 5470 8.9 79.0 87.9
97 Belaga 44,500 2 357 1182 1539 8.0 26.6 34.6
98 Betong 73,600 48 792 2129 2921 10.8 28.9 39.7
99 Bintulu 229,300 115 7850 5867 13,717 34.2 25.6 59.8
100 Dalat 23,300 26 391 337 728 16.8 14.5 31.2
101 Daro 37,900 31 43 51 94 1.1 1.3 2.5
102 Julau 18,700 11 691 302 993 37.0 16.1 53.1
103 Kanowit 34,300 15 1526 590 2116 44.5 17.2 61.7
104 Kapit 65,800 17 3440 1067 4507 52.3 16.2 68.5
105 Kuching 711,500 475 7915 44,407 52,322 11.1 62.4 73.5
106 Lawas 46,200 12 48 258 306 1.0 5.6 6.6
107 Limbang 56,900 14 47 600 647 0.8 10.5 11.4
108 Lubok Antu 33,100 11 207 794 1001 6.3 24.0 30.2
109 Lundu 39,200 22 326 2825 3151 8.3 72.1 80.4
110 Maradong 34,800 48 1422 2386 3808 40.9 68.6 109.4
111 Marudi 76,900 25 158 101 259 2.1 1.3 3.4
112 Matu 21,400 13 233 166 399 10.9 7.8 18.6
113 Miri 356,900 69 6954 2883 9837 19.5 8.1 27.6
114 Mukah 52,300 21 1656 1923 3579 31.7 36.8 68.4
115 Pakan 18,500 20 759 761 1520 41.0 41.1 82.2
116 Samarahan 102,700 252 1185 6443 7628 11.5 62.7 74.3
117 Saratok 54,400 61 376 1504 1880 6.9 27.6 34.6
118 Sarikei 67,400 68 1319 999 2318 19.6 14.8 34.4
119 Selangau 27,400 7 1258 933 2191 45.9 34.1 80.0
120 Serian 105,800 60 999 9253 10,252 9.4 87.5 96.9
121 Sibu 288,000 129 12,107 7796 19,903 42.0 27.1 69.1
122 Simunjan 46,900 21 112 2341 2453 2.4 49.9 52.3
123 Song 24,500 6 1089 1216 2305 44.4 49.6 94.1
124 Sri Aman 78,300 34 1446 2212 3658 18.5 28.3 46.7
125 Tatau 36,900 7 947 1150 2097 25.7 31.2 56.8
126 Selangor Gombak 842,200 1290 24,411 47,832 72,243 29.0 56.8 85.8
127 Hulu Langat 1,413,100 1697 47,840 75,478 123,318 33.9 53.4 87.3
128 Hulu Selangor 245,700 140 5566 11,592 17,158 22.7 47.2 69.8
129 Klang 1,056,200 1672 50,417 76,162 126,579 47.7 72.1 119.8
130 Kuala Langat 279,100 326 13,069 19,078 32,147 46.8 68.4 115.2
131 Kuala Selangor 259,900 219 7791 11,624 19,415 30.0 44.7 74.7
132 Petaling 2,223,300 4565 72,839 124,243 197,082 32.8 55.9 88.6
133 Sabak Bernam 130,500 130 1285 2204 3489 9.8 16.9 26.7
134 Sepang 265,600 482 16,667 18,872 35,539 62.8 71.1 133.8
135 Terengganu Besut 175,800 143 2745 3910 6655 15.6 22.2 37.9
136 Dungun 193,300 71 1049 6157 7206 5.4 31.9 37.3
137 Hulu Terengganu 90,700 23 807 1550 2357 8.9 17.1 26.0
138 Kemaman 216,100 85 202 5252 5454 0.9 24.3 25.2
139 Kuala Nerus 157,900 397 928 3676 4604 5.9 23.3 29.2
140 Kuala Terengganu 268,600 1278 1698 8905 10,603 6.3 33.2 39.5
141 Marang 121,700 183 629 2804 3433 5.2 23.0 28.2
142 Setiu 69,900 54 1060 2245 3305 15.2 32.1 47.3
143 Federal Territory Kuala Lumpur 1,910,700 7863 73,041 105,365 178,406 38.2 55.1 93.4
144 Putrajaya 94,600 2090 2147 3572 5719 22.7 37.8 60.5
145 Labuan 103,100 1028 7601 1856 9457 73.7 18.0 91.7

Note: Pre-Delta variant period = 20 September 2020–15 May 2021; Delta variant period = 16 May 2021–19 September 2021; Overall study period = 20 September 2020–19 September 2021.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, N.H.M.I., S.S.L.S. and B.S.G.; formal analysis, N.H.M.I., C.Y.L., T.C.V., A.S.S.M.Z. and N.A.J.; resources, Q.R. and N.H.A.J.; software, C.Y.L.; supervision, S.S.L.S.; writing—original draft, N.H.M.I.; writing—review and editing, S.S.L.S., S.M.G. and B.S.G. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Institutional Review Board Statement

The study was registered with the National Medical Research Register (NMRR-21-1085-60190 and approved on 13 August 2021). Ethical approval was not required as the data that were used in this study are freely available and open-source.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the Ministry of Health Malaysia website and provided by the Department of Statistics Malaysia.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Funding Statement

This research received no external funding.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the Ministry of Health Malaysia website and provided by the Department of Statistics Malaysia.


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