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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Jun 28.
Published in final edited form as: Eur Radiol. 2020 Sep 30;31(4):1853–1862. doi: 10.1007/s00330-020-07249-y

Comparing RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST in Advanced Melanoma Patients Treated with pembrolizumab in a Phase II Clinical Trial

Firas S Ahmed 1, Laurent Dercle 1, Gregory V Goldmacher 2, Hao Yang 1, Dana Connors 3, Ying Tang 4, Sanja Karovic 5, Binsheng Zhao 1, Richard D Carvajal 1, Caroline Robert 6, Michael L Maitland 5, Geoffrey R Oxnard 6, Lawrence H Schwartz 1
PMCID: PMC9239312  NIHMSID: NIHMS1801523  PMID: 32995974

Abstract

Objectives

To compare tumor best overall response (BOR) by RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST, to explore the incidence of pseudoprogression in melanoma treated with pembrolizumab, and to assess the impact of pseudoprogression on overall survival (OS).

Methods

221 patients with locally advanced/unresectable melanoma who received pembrolizumab as part of KEYNOTE-002 trial were included in this study. Radiological assessment of imaging was centrally reviewed to assess tumor response. Incidence of discordance in BOR between RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST as well as rate of pseudoprogression were measured. OS of patients with pseudoprogression was compared to those with uncontrolled disease.

Results

Of the 221 patients in this cohort, 136 patients developed PD as per RECIST v1.1 and 78 patients with PD continued treatment and imaging beyond initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD. Among the 78 patients who continued therapy and imaging post-progression, RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST were discordant in 10 patients (12.8%) and pseudoprogression was encountered in 14 patients (17.9%). OS of patients with pseudoprogression was longer than that of patients with uncontrolled disease/true progression (29.9 months versus 8.0 months, p-value <0.001).

Conclusions

Effectiveness of immunotherapy in clinical trials depends on the criterion used to assess tumor response (RECIST 1.1 vs iRECIST) with iRECIST being more appropriate to detect pseudoprogression and potentially prevent premature termination of effective therapy. Pseudoprogression was associated with improved OS in comparison to patient with uncontrolled disease.

Keywords: RECIST, Melanoma, Immunotherapy

INTRODUCTION:

Immune checkpoint blockers targeting CTLA-4, PD-1 and PD-L1 have revolutionized the management of these patients as well as a wide range of cancer types.1 First authorized in patients with advanced (metastatic or unresectable) melanoma who progressed after treatment with ipilimumab2, pembrolizumab rapidly became a standard of care in first line therapy for these patients and more recently as adjuvant immunotherapy in melanoma patients with lymph node involvement following complete resection.3 Clinical trials have demonstrated that 34 to 46% of melanoma patients achieve objective response with anti-PD-1 including patients achieving durable response.4,5 In fact, 90% of patients with melanoma who achieve complete response while on pembrolizumab will continue to have disease-free survival of at least 24 months, even after discontinuation of therapy.6

Pseudoprogression is defined as an atypical response of tumor lesions manifested on clinical imaging as increase in tumor burden enough to meet RECIST 1.1 criteria for progressive disease followed by stabilization or shrinkage of tumors. Melanoma was reported to have one of the highest rates of pseudoprogression, observed in up to 19% of melanoma patients receiving PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors.711

In March 2017, the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) working group introduced guidelines for assessment of treatment response among patients receiving immunotherapy (iRECIST) which allows detection of pseudoprogression.12 iRECIST was built on the principal metrics of RECIST 1.113 and is identical to RECIST 1.1 assessment at time points when there is complete response (CR), partial response (PR), and stable disease (SD). However, iRECIST allows for continuation of treatment upon first occurrence of progressive disease (PD) by considering it unconfirmed progression (iUPD, a new category introduced in iRECIST) that needs to be followed with imaging in 4–8 weeks as shown in table 1. iUPD may remain as iUPD (if the tumor burden does not increase but remains above the threshold for progression), revert back to a controlled disease (immune-related stable disease (iSD), immune-related partial response (iPR), or immune-related complete response (iCR) if the tumor burden falls below the threshold for progression), or change to confirmed progressive disease status (iCPD) if there is further worsening of any existing cause of progression, or appearance of a new cause of progression).12,14

Table 1.

Comparison between RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST

RECIST 1.1 iRECIST
Measurements
  Size measurement Unidimensional Unidimensional
  Number of target lesions 5 lesions total, 2 per organ 5 lesions total, 2 per organ
  Tumor burden Sum of the diameters of target lesions -Same at baseline
-Sum of longest diameters of new target lesions are followed separately from baseline tumor burden
Definitions
  Target lesion Non-nodal lesion ≥ 10 mm in longest axis Same
Nodal lesion ≥ 15 mm in shortest axis
  Non-target lesion Non-nodal lesion <10 mm in longest axis Same
Nodal lesion ≥10 and <15 mm in shortest axis
Non-measurable lesions
  New lesion New measurable or non-measurable lesion Same
Response categories
  Complete Response (CR) Complete disappearance of all lesions Same
No new lesion Can occur after iUPD but not after iCPD
  Partial Response (PR) Decrease in target lesion burden by ≥30% from baseline Same
Absence of new lesion or PD based on non-target lesion Can occur after iUPD but not after iCPD
  Stable Disease (SD) Residual/persistent tumor lesions Same
Neither PD nor PR has been achieved Can occur after iUPD but not after iCPD
  Progression of Disease (PD) Increase in target lesion burden by ≥20% from nadir First occurrence of PD will be considered iUPD.
New lesion or PD based on non-target lesion iCPD occurs when there is further increase in tumor burden (target, non-target, or new lesions) 4–8 weeks from time of iUPD.
Progression of Disease
  Appearance of new lesion Always means PD Need to be confirmed in 4–8 weeks to be considered as iCPD
Measurement of new measurable lesion is not included in sum of diameters Sum of diameters of new measurable lesions will be followed separately from initial tumor burden (sum of diameters at baseline)
  Confirmation of PD Not required Required after iUPD to differentiate pseudoprogression from iCPD
  Consideration of clinical status Not included in assessment Considered to continue treatment in patients with iUPD

Notes - iUPD: immune-unconfirmed PD; iCPD: Immune-confirmed PD

Since the introduction of iRECIST, there have been a few attempts to compare RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST in evaluation of patients receiving PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors.15,16 However, these comparisons were only made in lung cancer patients, limited by retrospective approach, or confined to a single institution with a small sample size. Therefore, it remains unclear if pseudoprogression occur in the same frequency in patients with melanoma.11

In the immunotherapy arm of a multi-institutional phase II clinical trial, KEYNOTE-0022 (which allowed continuing therapy beyond RECIST 1.1 defined progression) we explore the differences in best overall response (BOR) between iRECIST and RECIST 1.1 assessments, report the incidence of pseudoprogression, and compare the overall survival (OS) of patients with pseudoprogression to patients with controlled disease (BOR=iSD, iPR, iCR) and patients with uncontrolled disease (BOR=iCPD).

METHODS:

Phase II clinical trial setting:

KEYNOTE-002 was a double-blind randomized controlled clinical trial (Phase II) that enrolled adult patients with advanced (histologically/cytologically proved stage III or IV) melanoma in 73 medical institutions across 12 countries from November 30th, 2012 through November 13th, 2013.2 The clinical trial was approved by each participating IRB and patients’ informed consent was obtained before enrollment. Key elements pertinent to this study of the imaging findings were that patients: 1) had to have lesions for which local therapy would not be amenable, 2) tumor should have progressed (within the last 24 weeks) on ipilimumab and BRAF/MEK inhibitor therapy, or both, prior to enrollment, and 3) had to have measurable disease burden as per RECIST 1.1 criteria.13 Exclusion criteria included intracranial metastatic disease, HIV infection, active autoimmune disease, and other immunological disorders. Further description of the clinical trial setting was reported previously.2

Participants Included in this study:

Imaging of 427 patients (79% of the 540 patients included in the randomization) was provided by the trial’s sponsor which included 286 patients who received pembrolizumab. Of those 286 patients, 65 patients were excluded due to either lack of RECIST-defined target lesions at baseline (n=30), baseline CT date beyond 4 weeks from randomization date (n=3), or due to lack of follow-up CT (n=32). The remaining 221 patients were included in the final analysis of this study. Overview of the study cohort is shown in figure 1.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

CONSORT diagram showing treatment all enrolled patients in KEYNOTE-002.

Central Imaging Review of Tumor Burden and Response to Therapy:

Retrospectively, an independent central review of all patients’ imaging was performed by two radiologists experienced in cancer imaging (FSA is an abdominal fellowship trained radiologist with 9-year experience in radiology and 4-year experience in assessing tumor response to therapy in clinical trials. LD is a nuclear medicine trained radiologist with PhD in oncology and 9-year experience in cancer imaging). As per RECIST 1.1, the radiologists reviewed the imaging to determine target tumor lesions, measure sum of diameters, assess non-target lesions, and identify/measure new lesions.13 In addition to the RECIST unidimensional approach, all measurable tumor lesions were segmented (had their margins marked by the radiologist using dedicated oncological imaging platform)17 on every slice of the CT-scan where it was seen. This method of segmentation allowed for estimation of tumor volume (three-dimensional estimation of target tumor size) which was used in a secondary analysis to corroborate response assessments made based on conventional RECIST unidimensional approach (Supplemental material and figure 5).18 After segmentation process, both radiologists simultaneously reviewed the recorded tumor measurements/non-target lesion comments and conducted consensus read/assessment of tumor response according to RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST at each time point. Further details of imaging review are included in the supplemental material.

Statistical Analysis:

The primary outcome was to explore the discordance rate between RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST in terms of best overall response (BOR) among all patients included in this study as well as in patient with post-progression imaging. The agreement between iRECIST and RECIST 1.1 was evaluated using the Cohen’s kappa agreement.

The secondary outcome was to estimate pseudoprogression rate and to compare OS of pseudoprogression patients with uncontrolled disease patients. OS was defined as the time from randomization in the clinical trial to death from any cause. To this end, patients were classified in three response categories: controlled disease (BOR = iCR, iPR or iSD), uncontrolled disease (BOR = iCPD), and pseudoprogression. The difference in OS between those groups was assessed using log-rank testing (Kaplan-Meier analysis). Landmark analysis was performed to control for immortal time bias in which landmark analysis divided the follow-up time at a pre-specified time point (in this study it is 6-month). Groups were then defined by response categories (controlled disease, uncontrolled disease, and pseudoprogression) having occurred before the landmark, and outcome events were only considered if they occurred after the landmark. Differences in survival were analyzed using the log-rank test and a p-value less than 0.05 was considered significant.

Analyses were conducted using MatLab (v9.5, 2018), Microsoft Excel (v2019), SPSS (v25.0, 2017), and R (Version 1.2.1335).

RESULTS

Participants

In the 221 patients of the KEYNOTE-002 trial included in this study, the first CT assessment (initially intended at 12 weeks from randomization) was performed at a median time of 13.0 weeks (interquartile range: 12.1, 14.4 weeks). According to the evaluation of all available time points, 136 (61.5%) developed PD using RECIST v1.1. In these patients with radiographic progression, 58 patients (42.6%) were not imaged after initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD time point while 78 patients (57.3%) were kept on treatment and imaged beyond initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD allowing real comparison of RECIST v1.1 to iRECIST.

I. Comparison of RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST

The agreement between iRECIST and RECIST 1.1 was high; the Kappa’s Cohen agreement was 0.98 (95CI: 0.96 – 1.00, P-value <0.001). Both RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST were in agreement in ranking the BOR in 211 patients; 87 patients (39.4%) had PD/iCPD, 53 patients (24.0%) had SD/iSD, 49 patients (22.2%) had PR/iPR, and 22 patients (10.0%) had CR/iCR as shown in table 2.

Table 2.

Comparison of best overall response RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST

BOR iRECIST
CR PR SD PD Total
BOR RECIST v1.1
CR 22 22
PR 2 49 51
SD 0 1 53 54
PD 0 3 4 87 94
Total 24 53 57 87 221

However, RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST BOR was discordant in 10 patients. Thus, the rate of BOR discordance was 4.5% among the entire study cohort (n=221) while in the sub-cohort of patients with imaging beyond initial RECIST v1.1 defined PD (n=78), BOR discordance rate was 12.8%. Six patients were considered as having immune-response (2 additional CR, 4 additional PR) as per iRECIST (iPR, iCR) while their tumor was considered progressive (PD) as per RECIST v1.1. Similarly, four patients were considered as having immune-stable disease as per iRECIST (iSD) while the disease was considered progressive (PD) as per RECIST v1.1.

Secondary analysis focusing on the difference in progression free survival between the two assessment criteria (RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST) is described in details along with Kaplan-Meier’s graphs in the supplemental material.

II. Incidence of Pseudoprogression

Pseudoprogression was encountered in 14 patients representing 6.3% of the total study cohort (n=221) and 17.9% of the sub-cohort of patients with imaging beyond initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD (n=78) allowing investigators to detect pseudoprogression.

Early pseudoprogression was observed in 5 patients (36%) at the initial imaging time point of the first CT assessment 12 weeks from immunotherapy initiation. Late pseudoprogression was observed in the remaining 9 patients after 12 weeks from date of immunotherapy initiation (i.e. on the second or later response assessment imaging time point).

Patients with pseudoprogression and true progression were similar in terms of pembrolizumab dose received, organs involved, and the timing of true progression/pseudoprogression as shown in table 3. Of the 14 pseudoprogression patients, the increase in tumor burden that triggered the initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD was the appearance of new target lesions in 7 patients (50.0%), increase in target lesions sum of diameter by 20% or more in 9 patients (64.3%), and simultaneous observation of these phenomena (new lesions and increase in target lesions sum of diameter by >20%) at the time of pseudoprogression in 2 patients (14.3%) as shown in table 3. Pseudoprogression was predominantly observed in lymph nodes (57.1%) and visceral organs such as the lung (21.4%), and the liver (28.6%) but this pattern of organ involvement was not significantly different from its corresponding pattern in patients with true progression. Pseudoprogression occurred at an average time of 5.42 months (standard deviation = 3.52 months) which was not significantly different from the time of occurrence of true progression (average of 4.57 months and standard deviation of 3.94) as shown in table 3. Among the 14 patients with pseudoprogression, 71% (10/14) continued to have a controlled disease status (iSD, iPR, or iCR). The ultimate outcome and tumor assessment after initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD among patients with pseudoprogression is shown in details in the Supplemental Material - Table 3.

Table 3.

Characteristics of patients with true progression and pseudoprogression

True Progression Pseudo-Progression p-value
n = 64 n = 14
Treatment group (%) 10 mg Q3 (%) 34 (55.7) 7 ( 50.0) 0.927
2 mg Q3 (%) 27 (44.3) 7 ( 50.0) 0.927
BOR RECIST (%)* PD 45 (70.3) 6 ( 42.9) 0.016
PR 5 ( 7.8) 5 ( 35.7)
SD 14 (21.9) 3 ( 21.4)
CR 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Timing after immunotherapy initiation Delay (months) (mean (SD) 4.57 (3.94) 5.42 (3.52) 0.463
Frequency of imaging beyond initial PD mean (SD) 2.39 (2.82) 4.93 (4.07) 0.006
Number of CTs beyond initial PD 0.013
1 (%) 32 (50.0) 1 ( 7.1)
2 (%) 15 (23.4) 5 ( 35.7)
3 (%) 6 ( 9.4) 1 ( 7.1)
4 (%) 2 ( 3.1) 1 ( 7.1)
5+ (%) 9 ( 14.1) 6 ( 42.9)
Cause of progression (%) New lesion 36 (57.1) 7 ( 50.0) 0.850
Non-target 33 (52.4) 0 ( 0.0) 0.001
Target 47 (74.6) 9 ( 64.3) 0.651
New lesion & Non-target 24 (37.5) 0 ( 0.0) 0.015
New lesion & Target 23 (35.9) 2 ( 14.3) 0.209
Non target & Target 25 (39.1) 0 ( 0.0) 0.012
New lesion & Non-target & Target 17 (26.6) 0 ( 0.0) 0.068
Site of PD (%) Lymph node 40 (62.5) 8 (57.1) 0.944
Lung 18 (28.1) 3 ( 21.4) 0.858
Subcutaneous and soft tissue 14 (21.9) 2 ( 14.3) 0.786
Liver 10 (15.6) 4 ( 28.6) 0.448
Adrenal 9 (14.1) 0 ( 0.0) 0.303
Spleen 6 ( 9.4) 1 ( 7.1) 1.000
Bone 2 ( 3.1) 0 ( 0.0) 1.000
*

BOR from baseline until the time point when true progression or pseudoprogression was encountered.

The only significant difference between patients with pseudoprogression and those with true progression was the rate of partial response to therapy before first RECIST 1.1 defined PD; approximately 36% (5/14) of patients with pseudoprogression experienced initial RECIST 1.1 defined PR prior to the time of pseudoprogression while only 8% (5/64) of patients with true PD experienced initial RECIST 1.1 defined PR before they progressed (p-value = 0.016).

III. OS of patients with pseudoprogression

In the study cohort, 135 patients died during the follow-up and the median (95% CI) OS was 16.5 months (95% CI: 14.8–23.1). We compared the OS of patients with pseudoprogression (n=14) to the OS of patients with controlled disease (n=119 patients with iCR, iPR or iSD as per BOR) and OS of patients with uncontrolled disease (n=87 patients with iCPD as BOR) as a benchmark. As shown in table 4, the median OS was 29.9 months (95CI: 29.2-NA) in patients with pseudoprogression and was comparable to the 31.2 months (95CI: 23.54-NA) OS among patients with controlled disease. However, the OS was only 8.0 months (95CI: 6.3–11.1) among patients with uncontrolled disease, significantly shorter than patients with controlled disease or pseudoprogression (p-value <0.0001), as shown in figure 2.

Table 4.

Overall survival (non-landmark analysis) months and estimates across patients with controlled disease (CR, PR, SD as BOR), patients with true progression (PD as BOR) and patients with pseudoprogression

Median OS and 95%CI
Estimation of OS probability at 6, 12 and 18 months
Strata n events median 95%CI time (months) Number at risk Number of events Overall Survival estimate 95%CI
Overall 221 135 16.5 14.8 23.1 6 183 35 0.84 0.79 0.89
12 136 44 0.64 0.58 0.70
18 14 8 0.38 0.30 0.49
Controlled Disease 119 52 31.2 23.54 NA 6 114 5 0.96 0.92 0.99
12 96 17 0.81 0.75 0.89
18 61 13 0.60 0.52 0.70
True Progression 88 78 8.0 6.26 11.1 6 55 30 0.65 0.56 0.76
12 27 27 0.33 0.24 0.45
18 9 1 0.18 0.11 0.32
Pseudoprogression 14 5 29.9 29.21 NA 6 14 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
12 13 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
18 7 1 0.70 0.47 1.00

Notes-The strata are defined by the best overall response. Disease control is defined by patients having CR, PR or SD as best overall response. Pseudoprogression is defined by patients having a pseudoprogression per iRECIST criteria at anytime during treatment.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Kaplan-Meier curves depicting differences in overall survival between patients with pseudoprogression, uncontrolled disease (BOR=iCPD) and controlled disease (BOR=iCR, iPR, and iSD) among the entire cohort (n=221)

In the landmark analysis performed 6 months after randomization (n=180, supplemental table 2), the median OS time was not reached among patients with controlled disease (95%CI: 20.4-NA), and was 23.2 months after landmark (95%CI: 12.1-NA, n=11) in patients with pseudoprogression, significantly longer than the 6.2 months after landmark (95%CI: 5.0–9.5, n=55, p-value <0.0001) in patients with uncontrolled disease.

DISCUSSION:

In the strict setting of a double-blind randomized controlled clinical trial (Phase II) among patients with locally advanced/unresectable melanoma receiving pembrolizumab, we found: 1) The rate of discordance between RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST criteria in assessing BOR to therapy reached up to 12.8% among patients with imaging beyond initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD. 2) The rate of pseudoprogression in advanced/unresectable melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy reached up to 17.9%. 3) Patients with pseudoprogression and true progression were similar in terms of organ involvement and timing of progression but they were significantly different regarding the incidence of initial objective response (incidence of initial PR among patients with pseudoprogression was 36% versus 8% among patients with true progression). 4) Patients with pseudoprogression have similar OS time and estimates when compared patients with controlled disease (BOR = iCR, iPR, or iSD) and significantly better than OS time and estimates among patients with uncontrolled disease (BOR = iCPD).

A recently published study19 demonstrated that implementation of another immune-related RECIST assessment (irRECIST proposed in 201420) resulted in significantly longer median progression free survival defined by irRECIST in comparison to that defined by RECIST 1.1. Concordant with that study, we found that iRECIST defined progression free survival (PFS) is significantly longer than RECIST 1.1 defined PFS among patients with post-progression imaging (supplemental material). Furthermore, our study extends these findings to the most recently published iRECIST criterion12 now adopted by the cancer imaging community for immunotherapy trials.

Although treatment and imaging beyond initial RECIST 1.1 defined PD were allowed in this study, 42.6% of patients who had PD based on RECIST 1.1 did not receive such post-PD imaging, which could potentially underestimate the prevalence of pseudoprogression. However, the prevalence of pseudoprogression estimates from this study are very close to ones recently published in a pooled analysis of clinical trials of anti-PD-1 therapy in unresectable melanoma patients submitted to the Food and Drug Administration.10

An interesting finding was that a significant proportion of pseudoprogression occurred after an objective response (5 patients [36%] achieved PR before developing pseudoprogression (i.e. progression from nadir)) while true progression tends to occur from baseline in the majority of cases (45 patients [70%] developed PD from start of the trial without any prior objective response). This finding is similar to results from a recent study21 highlighting the paradoxical disadvantage for any cancer therapy that results in initial decrease in measurable tumor burden followed by mild increase in tumor size (high enough for RECIST 1.1 defined PD from nadir but not from baseline). This initial decrease in size of tumor burden will create a nadir from which PD will later be established even if the tumor burden did not exceed baseline measurement by 20% as per RECIST 1.1 criterion. Our results suggest that patients who achieve initial objective response to immunotherapy may herald a more durable response. An objective initial response followed by RECIST 1.1-defined PD from nadir may be a sign of pseudoprogression that is worth waiting to confirm on follow up imaging, as proposed by the iRECIST guidelines.12

The landmark analysis demonstrated that patients with pseudoprogression had a similar OS to patients with controlled disease (iCR, iPR, iSD). Therefore, iRECIST is clinically relevant since it will avoid premature cessation of treatment in patients with pseudoprogression. Based on these results, iRECIST appeared to be an enhanced assessment criterion among patients who are treated with immunotherapy by allowing continuation of treatment past initial progression in order to avoid premature cessation of effective therapy among patients who appeared to have pseudoprogression.

Tazdait et al. compared assessment of response to PD-1 or PDL-1 inhibitor therapy among patients with non-small cell lung cancer.15 They found the rate of pseudoprogression to be 5% in their single center retrospective cohort study with variable immunotherapeutic agents. Our results corroborate those of Tazdait et al., however, the rate of pseudoprogression in advanced melanoma patients in our cohort ranged between being 6.3% and 17.9% and is similar to pseudoprogression in melanoma patients published before.7,10,22 We also agree with Tazdait et al. in stressing the importance of using the more flexible solid tumor assessment criteria (iRECIST) in the era of immunotherapy to allow for capturing the delayed but potentially effective response to therapy without losing the window for salvage therapy in patients who prove to have true disease progression.14

A small but prospective study by Beer et al. among patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer on PD1/PD-L1 inhibitors found that RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST were discordant in 5% (2/42), mainly due to pseudoprogression phenomenon. These reported discordance rate between RECIST 1.1 and iRECIST and pseudoprogression rate are smaller than what we found in our study, which could be related to the difference in type of cancer; higher incidence of pseudoprogression are generally reported in patients with melanoma.10

A pooled analysis of multiple clinical trials submitted to FDA focusing on use of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors among solid tumors patients was recently published.23 Mulkey et al. found that patients with objective iRECIST defined response (without matching RECIST 1.1 response), i.e. patients with pseudoprogression, have OS similar to patients with objective response based on RECIST 1.1. This finding is concordant with our results, despite the fact that this analysis included other solid tumors in addition to melanoma (non-small cell lung cancer, renal cell carcinoma, and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma) and the reliance on investigator-assessed tumor measurements rather than having a centralized radiological review of imaging.

Limitations of our study include incomplete utilization of the treatment/experimental arm (only 79% of the experimental arm patients were included in this study) as this is what was provided to the study team by the sponsor.24 However, the 79% of the experimental arm included in our study was randomly selected and we therefore propose that the rate of pseudoprogression in the remaining 21% of the data would not be significantly different. The controlled nature of a clinical trial with pre-specified imaging modalities and time intervals afforded an excellent environment for exploring differences in these response criteria.

In conclusion, assessment of solid tumor’s BOR to immunotherapy is better performed with iRECIST allowing to detect pseudoprogression in patients with advanced melanoma. Our findings also suggest that iRECIST may help to avoid premature termination of immunotherapy given the improved OS in patients with pseudoprogression. We also found that, unlike true progression, pseudoprogression tend to occur after initial objective response; future studies should attempt to verify this phenomenon which may potentially help earlier discrimination between patients with pseudoprogression and those with true progression.

Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material, Tables, and Figures

Key Points:

  • Discordance between iRECIST and RECIST 1.1 was found in 12.8% of unresectable melanoma patients on pembrolizumab who continued therapy beyond initial RECIST 1.1-defined progression.

  • Pseudoprogression, captured with iRECIST, occurred in 17.9% and was significantly associated with improved overall survival in comparison with uncontrolled disease.

1. [Acknowledgements]

Authors would like to thank other members of the Vol-PACT team (especially Mithat Gonen, PhD and Chaya Moskowitz, PhD) for their feedback and suggestions during the preparation of the manuscript.

2. Funding

This study has (through multi-institutional collaboration as a project of the Foundation for the National Institute of Health (FNIH) Biomarkers Consortium, Advanced Metrics and Modeling with Volumetric CT for Precision Analysis of Clinical Trial Results (Vol-PACT)) received funding support provided to the FNIH by: Amgen, Inc.; Boehringer Ingelheim; Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany; Genentech, Inc.; Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp.; Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and Takeda Pharmaceuticals International, Inc.

Abbreviations:

RECIST 1.1

Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, updated in 2009

iRECIST

immune-Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, proposed in 2017

CR

complete response

iCR

immune-complete response

PR

partial response

iPR

immune-partial response

SD

stable disease

iSD

immune-stable disease

PD

progressive disease

iUPD

immune-unconfirmed progressive disease

iCPD

immune-confirmed progressive disease

PD-1

programmed cell death protein 1

PD-L1

programmed cell death protein 1 ligand

PFS

progression free survival

OS

overall survival

BOR

best overall response

Footnotes

3.

Guarantor:

The scientific guarantor of this publication:

Lawrence H. Schwartz, MD

James Picker Professor of Radiology

Chair, Department of Radiology, Columbia University

Service Chief and Attending Physician, New York-Presbyterian Hospital-Columbia Campus

Email: lhs2120@cumc.columbia.edu

4

Conflict of Interest:

The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies, whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.

5.

Statistics and Biometry:

One of the authors, Laurent Dercle, MD, PhD, has significant statistical expertise.

No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.

6.

Informed Consent:

Written informed consent was not required for this study because the study is a retrospective analysis of imaging that had already been collected during Keynote 002 clinical trial.

7.

Ethical Approval:

Institutional Review Board approval was obtained for the keynote 002 clinical trial.

Institutional Review Board approval was not required for this retrospective study of the de-identified imaging data which was collected during keynote 002 clinical trial.

8.

Study subjects or cohorts overlap:

Some study subjects or cohorts have been previously reported in the original publication of Keynote 002 clinical trial manuscript in Lancet Oncology: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanonc/article/PIIS1470-2045(15)00083-2/fulltext

9.

Methodology

Methodology:

• Retrospective

• Randomised controlled trial (only the immunotherapy arm)

• Multicenter study

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