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Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection logoLink to Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection
. 2022 Jul 11;162:112427. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112427

Assessing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on the dynamics of dengue and HIV via fractional derivatives

Andrew Omame a,b,, Mujahid Abbas b,c,d, Abdel-Haleem Abdel-Aty e,⁎⁎
PMCID: PMC9271450  PMID: 35844899

Abstract

A new non-integer order mathematical model for SARS-CoV-2, Dengue and HIV co-dynamics is designed and studied. The impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on the dynamics of dengue and HIV is analyzed using the tools of fractional calculus. The existence and uniqueness of solution of the proposed model are established employing well known Banach contraction principle. The Ulam-Hyers and generalized Ulam-Hyers stability of the model is also presented. We have applied the Laplace Adomian decomposition method to investigate the model with the help of three different fractional derivatives, namely: Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives. Stability analyses of the iterative schemes are also performed. The model fitting using the three fractional derivatives was carried out using real data from Argentina. Simulations were performed with each non-integer derivative and the results thus obtained are compared. Furthermore, it was concluded that efforts to keep the spread of SARS-CoV-2 low will have a significant impact in reducing the co-infections of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue or SARS-COV-2 and HIV. We also highlighted the impact of three different fractional derivatives in analyzing complex models dealing with the co-dynamics of different diseases.

Keywords: COVID-19, Dengue, HIV, Co-infection, Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method, Stability

1. Introduction

The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has infected nearly 514,943,711 of the world's total population and caused more than 6,000,000 deaths [1]. Mutations of the original strain of the virus have emerged in recent times, and is creating more concerns in the world [2]. SARS-CoV-2 co-infections with other micro-organisms such as influenza virus, Legionella, Pneumocystis jirovecii, mycoplasma pneumoniae, cytomegalovirus and HIV have been investigated in the literature [3]. Qin et al. [4] reported that the function of the immune system is greatly reduced due to co-current infections with both HIV and SARS-COV-2. Suwanwongse and Shabarek [5], in a study, considered the co-infection of SARS-CoV-2 and Human immune deficiency virus (HIV) among some selected patients and observed that CD+ T-cell greatly suffers dysfunction in co-infected patients. The World Health Organization (WHO) has affirmed that individuals infected with both SARS-CoV-2 and HIV are prone to suffer severe illness leading to death [3]. In addition, a significant rise in cytokine production has been associated with patients co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and HIV, thereby increasing viral load and suppression of the immune system [3].

Moreover, Cardiovascular diseases and hyperlipidemia are some of the co-morbidities linked with HIV and SARS-CoV-2 co-infected individuals [6]. HIV infected persons have been reported to have an increased risk of infection, severity of symptoms, reinfection and death from COVID-19 [7], [8]. It was reported in [9] that people infected with HIV were more likely to report a positive diagnosis and were at least twice as likely to die from COVID-19, and that they were more likely to be admitted to hospital and require mechanical ventilation, due to COVID-19 infection than those who were HIV-negative. Furthermore, the increased risk of COVID-19 complications in those infected and living with HIV, has mostly been observed among those with low CD4 cell count, advanced disease, those not taking antiretroviral treatment, and those with underlying health conditions [10], [11], [12].

On the other hand, dengue virus has been a major public health problem, especially in tropical countries in Asia and South America. [13]. Due to overlapping symptoms between SARS-CoV-2 and dengue virus, there is always a high possibility of mis-diagnosis of both infections [14]. Co-infections between SARS-CoV-2 and dengue have been established in many countries [15]. Dengue patients co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 can suffer worsening illness and hospitalization [15]. It is worth pointing out that persons co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and dengue virus can have an enhanced glucose levels, which leads to proliferation of SARS-CoV-2 [16]. Increased mortality has also been linked with patients co-infected with dengue and SARS-CoV-2 infections [17]. Co-infection with HIV, SARS-CoV-2 and dengue has also been studied in [18]. Salvo et al. [18] reported the case of an untreated HIV patient who developed simultaneous infection with dengue and SARS-CoV-2.

In Argentina, the prevalence of HIV is estimated to be 0.4 % among the sexually active population. The prevalence is higher among men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women, where it is around 12–15 % and 34 %, respectively. In addition, it has been reported that about 37.5 % of men and 30 % of women receive a late HIV diagnosis [19]. In the last two decades, Argentina has experienced the re-emergence of epidemics of arboviral diseases caused by Aedes mosquitoes [20]. Cases of dengue fever, chikungunya, and Zika have been reported from northern and central provinces [21]. In 2009, there was the outbreak of dengue in central region of Argentina for the first time. Since then, dengue cases have been reported each year to date, with the largest number occurring in the year 2020 when more than 50 % of all cases in the nation occurred in this region [22].

Recently, fractional derivatives have largely been applied in modelling real life situations. Fractional differential operators which depend on a power-law kernel were first defined by Riemann-Liouville and Caputo [23]. However, these definitions involve singular kernels which have limitations to their usage in modelling biological and other physical phenomenon. To overcome these limitations, Caputo and Fabrizio (CF) [24] and Atangana and Baleanu (AB) [25] modified and improved the definitions of fractional-order derivatives, which are based on the exponential kernel and the generalized Mittag-Leffler function, respectively. A lot of models have been successfully studied using the Caputo and Caputo-Fabrizio derivatives. For instance, the authors [26] carried out a comparative study on the general fractional model of COVID-19 with isolation and quarantine effects. The model was analyzed with the help of Caputo fractional derivative. The simulations of the model showed that, a particular case of the fractional-order model fits the real data more accurately than the other classical and fractional cases. Also, Baleanu et al. [27] investigated the asymptotic behavior of immunogenic tumor dynamics using the Caputo fractional derivative. Using a modified predictor-corrector scheme, numerical simulations were carried out on the model. Results obtained showed that, a general kernel in the fractional model provides high degree of flexibility to describe the real dynamics more precisely than the pre-existent classical integer-order models.

Baleanu et al. [28] analyzed a human liver model using the CF derivative. They established the existence and uniqueness of the solution of the model using the Picard-Lindelof approach and fixed-point theory. The model was solved using the homotopy analysis transform method. Numerical simulations to compare results with the real clinical data indicates higher efficacy of the new fractional model over the classical integer-order model. Mansal and Sene [29] studied a fractional order fishery model using the CF derivative. They analyzed the stability of the model and showed the effectiveness of fractional derivative on the study of the dynamics of the model. Gao et al. [30] studied a hepatitis B virus (HBV) model with time delay using the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. They used Sumudu transform and Picard iteration to study the stability and approximate solution of the model. Rahman et al. [31] applied the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative to study a mathematical model for COVID-19. Comparing their results with the classical integer order derivatives, they observed that the simulations using the CF derivative shows better results for the model. Shaikh and Nisar [32] developed a typhoid Fever model using Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. However, there has been some concerns about the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative such as the kernel is not local; the associated integral is not a fractional operator but just an average of the function and its integral and merely acts as a filter. On the other hand, the AB derivative has found applications in several real life modelling problems. Hence, the usage of Atangana-Baleanu derivative in modelling complex real life phenomena is more preferable.

Jajarmi et al. [34] studied a model for the co-dynamics of diabetes and tuberculosis (TB) using the AB fractional derivative. They developed a new and efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the model. Simulations of the model revealed that increase in cases of diabetes mellitus could result in higher TB prevalence and incidence and could also escalate tuberculosis multi-drug resistance. Kolebaje et al. [33] modeled the dynamics of COVID-19 in some African countries using real data via the Atangana-Baleanu derivative and showed that the fractional derivative greatly influenced the dynamics of the disease. Bonyah textitet al. [35] modeled the dynamics of COVID-19 via the Atangana-Baleanu derivative. They proved the existence and uniqueness of the solution using the Banach contraction principle and Leray-Schauder alternative type theorem. Also, Omame et al. [36] considered a model for the co-interaction of tuberculosis and COVID-19, employing the Atangana-Baleanu derivative. They showed using numerical simulations, the effect of COVID-19 re-infection on the dynamics of the co-dynamics of both diseases. They established the conditions under which both diseases could co-exist or be eliminated. The authors in [37] studied a model for the co-dynamics of COVID-19 and diabetes using the AB derivative and showed that, mass COVID-19 vaccination was necessary to cut down COVID-19 and diabetes co-infections in Indonesia. Sene [38] considered a delayed SIR model and analyzed using the AB derivative. The model was solved using the Homotopy Analysis method. He equally showed how the fractional derivative could influence the disease dynamics. In a related research, the authors in [39] considered a model for the dynamics of COVID-19 using the AB derivative. They applied the q-homotopy analysis Sumudu transform method (q-HASTM) and the generalized Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method to solve the model.

Several methods have been laid down for solving fractional differential equations. Some of them are: Adomian decomposition method (ADM), homotopy analysis method (HAM), homotopy perturbation method (HPM), Laplace transformation, variational iteration method (VAM), corrected Fourier series, natural decomposition method [40], [41]. The Laplace-Adomian decomposition method (LADM) is one of the most effective techniques used in solving nonlinear FDEs. It possesses the combined behavior of the Laplace transformation and Adomian decomposition method (ADM). The method requires no predefined declaration size as in the Runge Kutta method. Also, LADM requires fewer number of parameters, no discretization and linearization as compared to other analytical techniques [42]. This is the motivation for the choice of the LADM for the solution of the proposed model, via different fractional derivatives in this study.

In this paper, we have contributed in the following ways:

  • i.

    We have analyzed a non-integer order model for SARS-CoV-2, Dengue and HIV co-dynamics to assess the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on the dynamics of dengue and HIV through fractional derivatives, which, to the best of our knowledge, has not been done before.

  • ii.

    We have considered three different fractional derivatives on this new complex model, and presented how SARS-CoV-2 could influence dengue and HIV infections.

  • iii.

    The existence and uniqueness of solution of the proposed model has been studied using the Banach fixed point theorem.

  • iv.

    We have established the stability of an iterative scheme for approximation of the solution of the developed model via some recent fixed point results.

  • v.

    We used the Laplace Adomian decomposition method to solve the model via the Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives.

  • vi.

    We have examined the impact of the three derivatives in analyzing complex disease models and we expect that our work will open some new avenues of research in this direction.

2. Preliminaries and model formulation

2.1. Preliminaries

Definition 1 ([43]). The Caputo fractional derivative of a function f of order ξ+ is defined by

CDtξft=JtnξDnft=1Γnξ0ttτnξ1fnτ,

where n is a positive integer and n1<ξ<n, and the symbol Γ stands for the Gamma function defined by

Γξ=0expττξ1,Γξ+1=ξΓξ,Reξ>0.

If 0<ξ<1, then the above Caputo fractional derivative of order ξ>0 reduces into

CDtξft=1Γ1ξ0ttτξfτ.

Definition 2 ([43]). The Caputo fractional integral of a function f of order ξ+ is defined by

CItξft=1Γξ0ttτξ1fτ,t>0,

If ft=1, the fractional integral of order ξ>0 is given by

CItξ1=1Γξ0ttτξ11=tξΓξ+1.

Definition 3 ([43]). The Laplace transform of Caputo fractional derivative is given by

CDtξft=sξfssξ1f0,0<ξ<1, (1)

where is the Laplace transform operator.

Definition 4 ([23]). The Sobolev space H1a1a2 of order 1 is defined as

H1a1a2=fL2a1a2:DfL2a1a2

Definition 5 ([24]). Let fH1a1a2,a2>a1,ξ0,1], then the Caputo-Fabrizio (CF) derivative of a function f of order ξ+ is defined by

CFDtξft=2ξξ21ξa1tf'τexpξtτ1ξ,

where ξ=1ξ+ξΓξ, denotes a normalization function satisfying 0=1=1.However, if fH1a1a2, then the derivative is defined as

CFDtξft=2ξξ21ξa1tftfτexpξtτ1ξ,

Theorem 7 ([24]). The Caputo-Fabrizio fractional integral operator of order ξ given by

CFItξft=21ξ2ξξft+2ξ2ξξ0tfτ.

Definition 6

([44]). The Laplace transform of the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative is given by

CFDtξfts=sftf0s+ξ1s.

Definition 7

([25]). The Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative for a given function of order ξ in Caputo sense is defined by

aABCDtξft=ξ1ξatdfτEξξtτξ1ξ,

where ξ, satisfying 0=1=1, is a normalization function and Eξ (.) is the Mittag-Leffler function, defined by,

Eξtξ=k=0tξΓξk+1,ξ>0.

Definition 8

([25]). Atangana-Baleanu fractional integral of order ξ is defined as

aABItξft=1ξξft+ξξΓξatfτtτξ1.

Definition 9

([25]). The Laplace transform for the Atangana-Baleanu fractional operator of order ξ, where 0<ξ<1 is given as

aABCDξfts=ξ1ξsξftssξ1fasξ+ξ1ξ.

Theorem 2

([45]). “Let X. be a Banach space and T:XX a contraction on X, that is, there exists a constant a0,1) such that TxTyaxy,forallx,yX”. Then

  • i.

    T has fixed point xX, that is, Tx=x.

  • ii.

    A sequence xnn=0 given by xn+1=Txn, for n=0,1,2,3,, converges to x.

Theorem 3

([46]). “Let X. be a Banach space and T:XX a weak contraction on X, that is, there exists a constant a0,1) and L0 such that TxTyaxy+LxTx,forallx,yX. Then

  • i.

    T has fixed point xX.

  • ii.

    A sequence xnn=0 given by xn+1=Txn, for n=0,1,2,3,, converges to x.

2.2. Model formulation

At any time t, the total human population Nδt consists of the following states: Susceptible humans Sδt, infectious humans with COVID-19 Vδt, infectious humans with dengue virus Dδt, infectious humans with HIV Vδt, humans co-infected with COVID-19 and dengue virus VDδt, humans co-infected with COVID-19 and HIV VHδt, where, Vδt,Dδt denotes humans who have recovered from COVID-19 and dengue fever, respectively. The total vector population, at any time t, Nθt consists of susceptible vectors: Sθt and infectious vectors with dengue virus, Dθt. It is to be stated here that, the superscript, δ denotes the human component, while the superscript θ represents the vector component of the model. The recruitment into the human population is denoted by Δδ. Susceptible humans, Sδ can get infected with SARS-CoV-2, dengue or HIV infection at the rates, α1δVδ, α2δDθ and α3δHδ, respectively. Natural death rate is assumed same for all humans in each epidemiological state, at the rate μδ. Upon infection, individuals in SARS-CoV-2 infected, dengue-infected and HIV-infected compartments can suffer related disease induced death at the rates ϕV,ϕD and ϕH, respectively. Individuals in SARS-CoV-2 infected class can also get co-infected with either dengue or HIV at the rates α2δDθ and α3δHδ, respectively. Due to lack of sufficient clinical data and to avoid model complexity, we have assumed only co-infection with two diseases (one of which must be SARS-CoV-2). Future work with sufficient biological reports can consider co-infection with the three diseases, which is possible [18]. Recovery rates for SARS-CoV-2 and dengue infected individuals is given by ζV and ζD, respectively. Upon recovery from dengue, an individual can loss immunity at the rate, αD. We have assumed infection acquired immunity for those who have recovered from COVID-19 due to current clinical reports. The other transitions in the model are given in the following equations, with parameters well defined in Table 1 .

cfDtξSδt=Δδα1δVδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδ+μδSδ+αDDδ,cfDtξVδt=α1δVδSδ+DδϕV+ζV+μδVδα2δDθVδα3δHδVδ+ζDVDδ,cfDtξDδt=α2δDθSδ+VδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDδ+ζVVDδ,cfDtξHδt=α3δHδSδ+Vδ+DδϕH+μδHδα1δVδHδ,cfDtξVDδt=α2δDθVδ+α1δVδDδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDδ,cfDtξVHδt=α3δHδVδ+α1δVδHδϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδVHδ,cfDtξVδt=ζVVδμδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδVδ,cfDtξDδt=ζDDδμδ+αD+α1δVδ+α3δHδDδ,cfDtξSθt=Δθα2θDδ+VDδ+μθSθ,cfDtξDθt=α2θDδ+VDδSθμθDθ, (2)

subject to the initial conditions

S0δ=Sδ0,V0δ=Vδ0,D0δ=Dδ0,VD0δ=VDδ0,VH0δ=VHδ0,V0δ=Vδ0,D0δ=Dδ0,S0θ=Sθ0,D0θ=Dθ0.

Table 1.

Description of parameters in the model (2).

Parameter Description Value Source
Πδ Recruitment rate for humans 29,289,35778.07×365 [51]
Πθ Recruitment rate for vectors 1500 Assumed
μδ Human natural death rate 178.07×365day1 [51]
μθ Vector removal rate 121day1 [52]
α1δ contact rate for transmission of COVID-19 9.58558×108day1 Fitted
α2δ Effective contact rate for vector to human transmission of dengue virus 4.3×1010 Estimated
α2θ Effective contact rate for human to vector transmission of dengue virus 5.0×105 Estimated
α3δ Contact rate for HIV transmission 8.5890×1010 Estimated
ζV COVID-19 recovery rate 0.9826day1 Fitted
ζD Dengue fever recovery rate 0.15day1 [53]
ϕV COVID-19-induced death rate 1.4948day1 Fitted
ϕD Dengue fever induced death rate 0.09day1 Assumed
ϕH HIV induced death rates 0.3425365day1 [54]
αD rate of loss of infection acquired immunity for dengue virus 0.026day1 [53]
0Vδ COVID-19 related reproduction number 1.0471 Fitted
0Dδ Dengue related reproduction number 4.8103 Fitted
0Hδ HIV related reproduction number 3.0592 Fitted

2.3. Non-negativity of the solution

Theorem 4

The closed setD=Dδ×Dθ, with

Dδ=SδVδDδHδVDδVHδVδDδ+8:Sδ+Vδ+Dδ+Hδ+VDδ+VHδ+Vδ+DδΔδμδ,
Dθ=SθDθ+2:Sθ+DθΔθμθ.

is positively invariant with respect to the model (2).

Proof:. Adding all the equations corresponding to the human components of the system (2) gives

0cfDtξNδ=ΔδμδNδtϕVVδ+ϕDDδ+ϕHHδ+ϕV+ϕDVDδ+ϕV+ϕHVHδ. (3)

From (3), we have that

Δδμδ+7ϕNδ0cfDtζNδΔδμδNδ,

where ϕ=minϕVϕHϕD.which can be re-written as

0cfDtξNδΔδμδNδ, (4)

Without loss of generality, if we apply Laplace transform of the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative on the above inequality, and simplifying, we have that

NtΔδμδΔδ2ξα11+μδ1ξα1eα1tNδ01ξ1+μδ1ξα1α2eα1t+Nδ01ξ1+μδ1ξα1α2eα2t, (5)

where α1=μδξ1+μδ1ξ,α2=ξ1ξ

Therefore, the total human population, NδtΔδμδ as t. Following the same procedure, it can be shown that the total vector population, NθtΔθμθ. Similar conclusions can be reached via the Caputo derivative and Atangana-Baleanu derivative. Hence, the system (2) has the solution in D. Thus, the given system is positively invariant.

3. Existence and uniqueness of the solution

In this section, we shall apply some basic results from fixed point theory to the model (2), in order to establish existence and uniqueness of solution. The model (2) is re-written in the following form:

0CFDtξΦt=tΦt,Φ0=Φ0, (6)

where the vector Φt=SδtVδtDδtHδtVDδtVHδtVδtDδtSθtVDθtT10 for t0Tmax, denotes the states of the model and represents a continuous vector given below:

=12345678910=Δδα1Vδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδ+μδSδ+αDDδα1δVδSδ+DδϕV+ζV+μδVδα2δDθVδα3δHδVδ+ζDVDδα2δDθSδ+VδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDδ+ζVVDδα3δHδSδ+Vδ+DδϕH+μδHδα1δVδHδα2δDθVδ+α1δVδDδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDδα3δHδVδ+α1δVδHδϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδVHδζVVδμδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδVδζDDδμδ+αD+α1δVδ+α3δHδDδΔθα2θDδ+VDδ+μθSθα2θDδ+VDδSθμθDθ. (7)

The initial condition of the variables of the model is denoted by

Φ0=Sδ0Vδ0Dδ0Hδ0VDδ0VHδ0Vδ0Dδ0Sθ0VD0T.

In addition, :0Tmax×1010 is said to satisfy the Lipschitz condition in the second argument, if we have:

tΦ1(tΦ2)Φ1Φ2,t0Tmax,Φ1,Φ210,where>0,Tmaxis the final time. (8)

The existence of a unique solution to the model (2) is established in the following theorem:

Theorem 5

There exists a unique solution to the initial value problem(6)onC0Tmax10, provided that(8)and

21ξ2ξξ+2ξ2ξξTmax<1, (9)

are satisfied.

Proof:

If we apply the Caputo-Fabrizio fractional integral on each sides of (6), then we have

Φt=Φ0+21ξ2ξξtΦt+2ξ2ξξ0tτΦτ. (10)

Let J=0Tmax.

Let us define the operator K:CJ10CJ10 by:

KΦt=Vt,Φ,VCJ10 (11)

where,

Vt=Φ0+21ξ2ξξtΦt+2ξ2ξξ0tτΦτ,

The supremum norm on CJ10 is given by:

V=tJsupVt,VCJ10.

Clearly, CJ10 equipped with . is a Banach space.

Suppose, W is the fixed point of the operator K:CJ10CJ10, then W becomes the solution of the initial value problem (6), and

KWt=Wt,

where,

Wt=Φ0+21ξ2ξξtWt+2ξ2ξξ0tτWτ

Consider,

KVtKWt=Φ0+21ξ2ξξ(tVt)+2ξ2ξξ0t(τVτ)Φ0+21ξ2ξξ(tWt)+2ξ2ξξ0t(τWτ)21ξ2ξξ((tVt)(tWt))+2ξ2ξξ0t((τVτ)(τWτ)),21ξ2ξξ((tVt)(tWt))+2ξ2ξξ0t((τVτ)(τWτ)), (12)

Since the operator satisfies the Lipschitz condition (eq. 8), we have that

21ξ2ξξVtWt+2ξ2ξξ0tVtWt,21ξ2ξξtJsupVtWt+2ξ2ξξ0ttJsupVτWτ,=21ξ2ξξ+2ξ0t2ξξVW,21ξ2ξξ+2ξTmax2ξξVW. (13)

Thus if the condition (9) holds then,

KVKW21ξ2ξξ+2ξTmax2ξξVW.

Hence, the operator K becomes a contraction. Therefore K has a unique fixed point which is a solution to the initial value problem (6) and hence a solution to the system (2).

3.1. The basic reproduction number of the model

By setting the right-hand sides of the equations in the model (2) to zero, DFE of the model (2) is given by

H0=SδIVδIDδIHδIVDδIVHδRVδRDδSθIVDθ=Sδ0,0,0,0,0,0,0Sθ0

with,

Sδ=Δδμδ,Sθ=Δθμθ,

The stability of the DFE is established by applying the next generation operator principle [48] on the system (2). The transfer matrices are, respectively, given by

F=α1δSδ0000000000α2δSδ00α3δSδ0000000000000000α2θSθ0α2θSθ00, (14)
V=K1δ000000K2δ000000K3δ000000K4δ000000K5δ000000μθ, (15)

where,

K1δ=ϕV+ζV+μδ,K2δ=ϕD+ζD+μδ,K3δ=ϕH+μδ,K4δ=ϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδ,K5=ϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδ.

The basic reproduction number of the model (2), is given by.

0=ρFV1=max0V0D0H where 0V, 0D and 0H are the associated reproduction numbers for the COVID-19, Dengue and HIV, respectively, given by

0Vδ=α1δΔδμδϕV+ζV+μδ,0Dδ=α2δα2θΔδΔθμδμθ2ϕD+ζD+μδ,0Hδ=α3δΔδμδϕH+μδ.

3.1.1. Assessing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on dengue and HIV

Expressing the three reproduction numbers in terms of the human natural death rate, μδ, we have,

μδ=α1δΔδϕV+ζV+μδ0V=α2δα2θΔδΔθμθ2ϕD+ζD+μδ0D2=α3δΔδϕH+μδ0H (16)

Differentiating the SARS-CoV-2 related reproduction number with respect to the dengue-related reproduction number, we obtain

0Dδ0Vδ=1α2δα2θΔθϕV+ζV+μδ0Vδα1δμθ2ϕD+ζD+μδ×α2δα2θΔθϕV+ζV+μδα1δμθ2ϕD+ζD+μδ>0 (17)
0Hδ0Vδ=α1δϕH+μδα3δϕV+ζV+μδ>0 (18)

The two equations above, (17), (18) show that increase in SARS-CoV-2 cases will result in detrimental impact on dengue and HIV cases.

3.2. Local asymptotic stability of the disease free equilibrium (DFE) of the model

Theorem 6

The DFE, 0, of the model (2) is locally asymptotically stable (LAS) if 0<1, and unstable if 0>1.

Proof:

The local stability of the model (2) is analyzed by the Jacobian matrix of the system (2) evaluated at the disease-free equilibrium, 0, given by:

μδα1δSδ0α3δSδ000αD0α2δSδ0α1δSδK1δ00ζD0000000K2δ0ζV0000α2δSδ000α3δSδK3δ0000000000K4δ0000000000K5δ00000ζV0000μδ00000ζD0000μδ+ζD0000α2θSθ0α2θSθ000μθ000α2θSθ0α2θSθ0000μθ

The eigenvalues are given by:

ρ1=ϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδ,ρ2=ϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδ,ρ3=μδwith multiplicity of3,ρ4=ζ+μδ,

and the solutions of the characteristic polynomial equations

ρ+K1δ10Vδ=0, (19)
ρ+K2δ10Hδ=0, (20)
ρ2+μθ+K2δρ+μθK2δ10Dδ2=0, (21)

Following the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all the three equations. (19), (20), (21) will have roots with negative real parts if and only if the associated reproduction numbers 0Vδ<1, 0Dδ<1 and 0Hδ<1. Hence, the DFE, 0 is locally asymptotically stable if 0=max0Vδ0Dδ0Hδ<1.

Note that Im ρk=0, for k=0,1,2,3,,10, argρk=π>απ2,for0<α<1..

4. Ulam-Hyers stability

The Ulam-Hyers (UH) stability and generalized UH stability [49], [50] for the fractional system using the Caputo operator is discussed in this section. The same can also be studied using the Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu operator.

Let E=C0Tmax10 be the space of all continuous functions from 0Tmax to 10, endowed with the norm:

Φ=tJsupΦt where, J=0Tmax. Consider

0CDtξΦt=tΦt,Φ0=Φ0, (22)

Also, let ε>0. Consider the following inequality:

CDξΦ¯ttΦ¯tε,tJ,ε=maxεiT,i=1,2,3,10,Φ¯E (23)

Remark 4.1

“A function Φ¯E satisfies the inequality (23) if and only if there exists a function hE, having the following properties:”

htε,h=maxhjT,tJ.
  • i.

    CDξΦ¯t=tΦ¯t+ht, tJ.

Definition 10

The fractional model (2) or the transformed system (22) is UH stable if for every ε>0 there exists k>0, such that for any solution ΨE of the inequality (23), there exists a unique solution ΦE, of the fractional system (22) such that the following inequality is satisfied:

Φ¯tΦt,tJ,k=maxkjT,j=1,2,3,10.

where,

Φ¯t=S¯δt¯Vδt¯Dδt¯Hδt¯VDδt¯VHδt¯Vδt¯DδtS¯θt¯VDθtT,Φt=SδtVδtDδtHδtVDδtVHδtVδtDδtSθtVDθtT,Φ0=Sδ0Vδ0Dδ0Hδ0VDδ0VHδ0Vδ0Dδ0Sθ0VDθ0T.

Definition 11

The model system (22) is generalized UH stable if there exists a continuous function ϕ:++ satisfying ϕ0=0, such that for any solution Φ¯E of system (23), there exists a unique solution ΦE such that the following inequality is satisfied:

Φ¯tΦtϕε,tJ,ϕ=maxϕjT,j=1,2,3,10.

Theorem 7

IfΦ¯Esatisfies the system(23), then we have the following:

Φ¯tΦ¯0t1Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦ¯τ)Ωε,where,Ω=1Γξ0ttτξ1. (24)

Proof:

Using (ii) of Remark 4.1, we have CDξΦ¯t=tΦ¯t+ht, tJ,which on applying the Caputo integral gives,

Φ¯t=Φ¯0+1Γξ0ttτξ1τΦ¯τ+1Γξ0ttτξ1hτ

By re-arranging, applying norm on both sides and using (i) of Remark 4.1, it follows that

Φ¯tΦ¯01Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦ¯τ)1Γξ0ttτξ1hτΩε.

Theorem 8

Suppose :J×1010 satisfies the Lipschitz condition, with Lipschitz constant >0 and 1Ωℳ>0, then the model (22) is generalized UH stable.

Proof:

Suppose that Φ¯E satisfies the inequality in (23) and ΦE is a unique solution of (22). Then ε>0,tJ, using Lemma 1, we have

Φ¯tΦt=tJmaxΦ¯tΦ01Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦτ)tJmaxΦ¯tΦ01Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦτ)+tJmax1Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦ¯τ)(τΦτ)Φ¯tΦ01Γξ0ttτξ1(τΦτ)+Γξ0ttτξ1Φ¯ΦΩε+ΩℳΦ¯Φ.

Thus, we have

Φ¯Φ, (25)

where, k=Ω1Ωℳ.

Hence, equating ϕε=, so that ϕ0=0, we conclude that the model (22) is both UH and generalized UH stable.

5. Iterative schemes involving the three different fractional operators

This section is divided into three parts. We shall study an iterative scheme using the three different fractional derivatives, that is, Caputo-Fabrizio, Caputo and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives. We start with the following:

5.1. The Caputo-Fabrizio fractional operator

For the solution of the model, we shall adopt the Laplace Adomian Decomposition method. Applying the Laplace transform of the CF operator to both sides of the system (2), we have

cfDtξSδt=Δδα1Vδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδ+μδSδ+αDDδ,cfDtξVδt=α1δVδSδ+DδϕV+ζV+μδVδα2δDθVδα3δHδVδ+ζDVDδ,cfDtξDδt=α2δDθSδ+VδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDδ+ζVVDδ,cfDtξHδt=α3δHδSδ+Vδ+DδϕH+ζH+μδHδα1δVδHδ+ζVVHδ,cfDtξVDδt=α2δDθVδ+α1δVδDδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDδ,cfDtξVHδt=α3δHδVδ+α1δVδHδϕV+ϕH+ζV+ζH+μδVHδ,cfDtξVδt=ζVVδμδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδVδ,cfDtξDδt=ζDDδμδ+αD+α1δVδ+α3δHδDδ,cfDtξSθt=Δθα2θDδ+VDδ+μθSθ,cfDtξDθt=α2θDδ+VDδSθμθDθ. (26)

Following the definition of Laplace transform for the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative, we have that

sSθtSθ0s+ξ1s=Δδα1Vδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδ+μδSδ+αDDδ,sVδtVδ0s+ξ1s=α1δVδSδ+DδϕV+ζV+μδVδα2δDθVδα3δHδVδ+ζDVDδ,sDδtDδ0s+ξ1s=α2δDθSδ+VδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDδ+ζVVDδ,sHδtHδ0s+ξ1s=α3δHδSδ+Vδ+DδϕH+ζH+μδHδα1δVδHδ+ζVVHδ,sVDδtVDδ0s+ξ1s=α2δDθVδ+α1δVδDδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDδ,sVHδtVHδ0s+ξ1s=α3δHδVδ+α1δVδHδϕV+ϕH+ζV+ζH+μδVHδ,sRδtVδ0s+ξ1s=ζVVδμδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδVδ,sDδtDδ0s+ξ1s=ζDDδμδ+αD+α1δVδ+α3δHδDδ,sSθtSθ0s+ξ1s=Δθα2θDδ+VDδ+μθSθ,sDθtDθ0s+ξ1s=α2θDδ+VDδSθμθDθ, (27)

which can be written as

Sδt=Sδ0s+s+ξ1ssΔδα1Vδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδ+μδSδ+αDDδ,Vδt=Vδ0s+s+ξ1ssα1δVδSδ+DδϕV+ζV+μδVδα2δDθVδα3δHδVδ+ζDVDδ,Dδt=Dδ0s+s+ξ1ssα2δDθSδ+VδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDδ+ζVVDδ,Hδt=Hδ0s+s+ξ1ssα3δHδSδ+Vδ+DδϕH+ζH+μδHδα1δVδHδ+ζVVHδ,VDδt=VDδ0s+s+ξ1ssα2δDθVδ+α1δVδDδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDδ,VHδt=VHδ0s+s+ξ1ssα3δHδVδ+α1δVδHδϕV+ϕH+ζV+ζH+μδVHδ,Vδt=Vδ0s+s+ξ1ssζVVδμδ+α2δDθ+α3δHδVδ,Dδt=Dδ0s+s+ξ1ssζDDδμδ+αD+α1δVδ+α3δHδDδ,Sθt=Sθ0s+s+ξ1ssΔθα2θDδ+VDδ+μθSθ,Dθt=Dθ0s+s+ξ1ssα2θDδ+VDδSθμθDθ. (28)

According to the Adomian decomposition method, the solution will be in the following series type

Sδt=n=0Snδt,Vδt=n=0Vnδt,Dδt=n=0Dnδt,Hδt=n=0Hnδt,VDδt=n=0VDnδt,VHδt=n=0VHnδt,Vδt=n=0Vnδt,Dδt=n=0Dnδt,Snθt=n=0Snθt,Dθt=n=0Dnθt. (29)

The thirteen nonlinear terms in the model (2) can be decomposed as

n=0A1nVδSδ=VδtSδt,n=0A2nDδSδ=DδtSδt,n=0A3nHδSδ=HδtSδt,n=0A4nVδDδ=VδtDδt,n=0A5nDδVδ=DδtVδt,n=0A6nHδVδ=HδtVδt,n=0A7nDθVδ=DθtVδt,n=0A8nVδDδ=VδtDδt,n=0A9nHδVδ=HδtVδt,n=0A10nHδDδ=HδtDδt,n=0A11nVδHδ=VδtHδt,n=0A12nDδSθ=DδtSθt,n=0A13nVDδSθ=VDδtSθt.

where the polynomial Anxy is defined thus,

Anxy=n=0Anxy=1ndndλni=0qλixiti=0qλiyitλ=0. (30)

Particularly, we have that

A10VδSδ=Vδ0Sδ0,A11VδSδ=Vδ1Sδ0+Vδ0Sδ1,A12VδSδ=Vδ2Sδ0+Vδ1Sδ1+Vδ0Sδ2,A13VδSδ=Vδ3Sδ0+Vδ2Sδ1+Vδ1Sδ2+Vδ0Sδ3,A14VδSδ=Vδ4Sδ0+Vδ3Sδ1+Vδ2Sδ2+Vδ1Sδ3+Vδ0Sδ4 (31)

Applying Eqs. (27), (28), (29), (30), (31) into the system (2), we have

n=0Snδt=Sδ0s+s+ξ1ssΔδα1n=0A1nVnδSnδ+α2δn=0A2n(DnθSnδ)+α3δn=0A3n(HnδSnδ)+μδn=0Snδ+αDn=0Dnδ,n=0Vnδt=Vδ0s+s+ξ1ssα1δn=0A1nVnδSnδ+α1δn=0A4n(VnδDnδ)ϕV+ζV+μδn=0Vnδα2δn=0A5nDnθVnδα3n=0A6n(HnδVnδ)+ζDn=0VDnδ,n=0Dnδt=Dδ0s+s+ξ1ssα2δn=0A2nDnθSnδ+α2δn=0A7n(DnθVnδ)ϕD+ζD+μδi=1Dnδα1δn=0A8nVnθDnδ+ζVi=1VDnδ,n=0Hnδt=Hδ0s+s+ξ1ssα3δn=0A3nHnδSnδ+α3δn=0A9n(HnδVnδ)+α3δn=0A10n(HnδDnδ)ϕH+ζH+μδi=1Hnδα1δn=0A11nVnδHnδ+ζVi=1VHnδ,n=0VDnδt=VDδ0s+s+ξ1ssα2δn=0A5nDnθVnδ+α1δn=0A8n(VnδDnδ)ϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδi=1VDδ,n=0VHnδt=VHδ0s+s+ξ1ssα3δn=0A6nHnδVnδ+α1δn=0A11n(VnδHnδ)ϕV+ϕH+ζV+ζH+μδi=1VHnδ,n=0Vnδt=Vδ0s+s+ξ1ssζVi=1Vnδμδi=1Vnδα2δn=0A7nDnθVnδ,n=0Dnδt=Dδ0s+s+ξ1ssζDi=1Dnδμδ+αDi=1Dnα1δn=0A4n(VnδDnδ)α3δn=0A10nHnδDnδ,n=0Snθt=Sθ0s+s+ξ1ssΔθα2θn=0A12nDnδSnθα2θn=0A13n(VDnδSnθ)μθn=0Snθ,n=0Dnθt=Dθ0s+s+ξ1ssα2θn=0A12nDnδSnθ+α2θn=0A13n(VDnδSnθ)μθDnθ. (32)

Matching the terms on both sides of (32), and applying the inverse Laplace transform, we obtain

S0δt=Sδ0,V0δt=V0δ0,D0δt=Dδ0,H0δt=Hδ0,VD0δt=VDδ0,VH0δt=VHδ0,V0δt=Vδ0,D0δt=Dδ0,Sθt=Sθ0,D0θt=Dθ0,S1δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+μδS0δ+αDD0δ1+ξt1,V1δt=α1δV0δS0δ+D0δϕV+ζV+μδV0δα2δD0θV0δα3H0δV0δ+ζDVD0δ1+ξt1,D1δt=α2δD0θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+μδD0δα1δV0δD0δ+ζVVD0δ1+ξt1,H1δt=α3δH0δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+μδH0δα1δV0δH0δ1+ξt1,VD1δt=α2δD0θV0δ+α1δV0δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVD0δ1+ξt1,VH1δt=α3δH0δV0δ+α1δV0δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδVH0δ1+ξt1,V1δt=ζVV0δμδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV0δ1+ξt1,D1δt=ζDD0δμδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD0δ1+ξt1,S1θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δ+μθS0θ1+ξt1,D1θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS0θμθD0θ1+ξt1,
S2δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+μδS1δα1δS0δV1δα2δS0δD1δα3δS0δH1δ+αDD1δ1+ξt1,V2δt=α1δS0δ+D0δα2δD0θα3δH0δϕV+ζV+μδV1δ+α1δV0δS1δ+α1δV0δD1α2δV0δD1θα3δV0δH1δ+ζDVD1δ][1+ξt1,D2δt=α2δD0θS1δ+V1δ+α2δD1θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+μδD1δα1δV0δD1δα1δV1δD0δ+ζVVD1δ1+ξt1,H2δt=α3δH0δS1δ+V1δ+D1δ+α3δH1δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+μδH1δα1δV0δH1δα1δV1δH0δ1+ξt1,VD2δt=α2δD0θV1δ+α2δD1θV0δ+α1δV0δD1δ+α1δV1δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVD1δ1+ξt1,VH2δt=α3δH0δV1δ+α3δH1δV0δ+α1δV0δH1δ+α1δV1δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+μδVH1δ1+ξt1,V2δt=ζVV1δμδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV1δα2δD1θ+α3δH1δV0δ1+ξt1,D2δt=ζDD1δμδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD1δα1δV1δ+α3δH1δD0δ1+ξt1,S2θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δS1θα2θD1δ+VD1δS0θμθS1θ1+ξt1,D2θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS1θ+α2θD1δ+VD1δS0θμθD1θ1+ξt1. (33)

5.2. The Caputo fractional operator

Applying the Laplace transform to system (2) and solving via the Caputo derivative, we have

S0δt=Sδ0,V0δt=V0δ0,D0δt=Dδ0,H0δt=Hδ0,VD0δt=VDδ0,VH0δt=VHδ0,V0δt=Vδ0,D0δt=Dδ0,Sθt=Sθ0,D0θt=Dθ0,S1δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+ξδS0δ+αDD0δtξΓξ+1,V1δt=α1δV0δS0δ+D0δϕV+ζV+ξδV0δα2δD0θV0δα3H0δV0δ+ζDVD0δtξΓξ+1,D1δt=α2δD0θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+ξδD0δα1δV0δD0δ+ζVVD0δtξΓξ+1,H1δt=α3δH0δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+ξδH0δα1δV0δH0δtξΓξ+1,VD1δt=α2δD0θV0δ+α1δV0δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+ξδVD0δtξΓξ+1,VH1δt=α3δH0δV0δ+α1δV0δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+ξδVH0δtξΓξ+1,V1δt=ζVV0δξδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV0δtξΓξ+1,D1δt=ζDD0δξδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD0δtξΓξ+1,S1θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δ+ξθS0θtξΓξ+1,D1θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS0θξθD0θtξΓξ+1,S2δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+ξδS1δα1δS0δV1δα2δS0δD1δα3δS0δH1δ+αDD1δtξΓξ+1,V2δt=α1δS0δ+D0δα2δD0θα3δH0δϕV+ζV+ξδV1δ+α1δV0δS1δ+α1δV0δD1α2δV0δD1θα3δV0δH1δ+ζDVD1δtξΓξ+1,D2δt=α2δD0θS1δ+V1δ+α2δD1θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+ξδD1δα1δV0δD1δα1δV1δD0δ+ζVVD1δ×tξΓξ+1,H2δt=α3δH0δS1δ+V1δ+D1δ+α3δH1δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+ξδH1δα1δV0δH1δα1δV1δH0δ×tξΓξ+1,VD2δt=α2δD0θV1δ+α2δD1θV0δ+α1δV0δD1δ+α1δV1δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+ξδVD1δtξΓξ+1,VH2δt=α3δH0δV1δ+α3δH1δV0δ+α1δV0δH1δ+α1δV1δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+ξδVH1δtξΓξ+1,V2δt=ζVV1δξδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV1δα2δD1θ+α3δH1δV0δtξΓξ+1,D2δt=ζDD1δξδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD1δα1δV1δ+α3δH1δD0δtξΓξ+1,S2θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δS1θα2θD1δ+VD1δS0θξθS1θtξΓξ+1,D2θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS1θ+α2θD1δ+VD1δS0θξθD1θtξΓξ+1. (34)

5.3. The Atangana-Baleanu fractional operator

Applying the Laplace transform to system (2) and solving via the Atangana-Baleanu derivative, we have

S0δt=Sδ0,V0δt=V0δ0,D0δt=Dδ0,H0δt=Hδ0,VD0δt=VDδ0,VH0δt=VHδ0,V0δt=Vδ0,D0δt=Dδ0,Sθt=Sθ0,D0θt=Dθ0,S1δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+ξδS0δ+αDD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,V1δt=α1δV0δS0δ+D0δϕV+ζV+ξδV0δα2δD0θV0δα3H0δV0δ+ζDVD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D1δt=α2δD0θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+ξδD0δα1δV0δD0δ+ζVVD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,H1δt=α3δH0δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+ξδH0δα1δV0δH0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,VD1δt=α2δD0θV0δ+α1δV0δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+ξδVD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,VH1δt=α3δH0δV0δ+α1δV0δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+ξδVH0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,V1δt=ζVV0δξδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D1δt=ζDD0δξδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,S1θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δ+ξθS0θ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D1θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS0θξθD0θ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,S2δt=Δδα1δV0δ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δ+ξδS1δα1δS0δV1δα2δS0δD1δα3δS0δH1δ+αDD1δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,V2δt=α1δS0δ+D0δα2δD0θα3δH0δϕV+ζV+ξδV1δ+α1δV0δS1δ+α1δV0δD1α2δV0δD1θα3δV0δH1δ+ζDVD1δ][1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D2δt=α2δD0θS1δ+V1δ+α2δD1θS0δ+V0δϕD+ζD+ξδD1δα1δV0δD1δα1δV1δD0δ+ζVVD1δ×1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,H2δt=α3δH0δS1δ+V1δ+D1δ+α3δH1δS0δ+V0δ+D0δϕH+ξδH1δα1δV0δH1δα1δV1δH0δ×1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,VD2δt=α2δD0θV1δ+α2δD1θV0δ+α1δV0δD1δ+α1δV1δD0δϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+ξδVD1δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,VH2δt=α3δH0δV1δ+α3δH1δV0δ+α1δV0δH1δ+α1δV1δH0δϕV+ϕH+ζV+ξδVH1δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,V2δt=ζVV1δξδ+α2δD0θ+α3δH0δV1δα2δD1θ+α3δH1δV0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D2δt=ζDD1δξδ+αD+α1δV0δ+α3δH0δD1δα1δV1δ+α3δH1δD0δ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,S2θt=Δθα2θD0δ+VD0δS1θα2θD1δ+VD1δS0θξθS1θ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ,D2θt=α2θD0δ+VD0δS1θ+α2θD1δ+VD1δS0θξθD1θ1ξ1ξ+ξtξΓξ, (35)

and so on. Hence we obtain the required solution

Sδt=S0δt+S1δt+S2δt+,Vδt=V0δt+V1δt+V2δt+,Dδt=D0δt+D1δt+D2δt+,Hδt=H0δt+H1δt+H2δt+,VDδt=VD0δt+VD1δt+VD2δt+,VHδt=VH0δt+VH1δt+VH2δt+,Vδt=V0δt+V1δt+V2δt+,Dδt=D0δt+S1δt+S2δt+,Sθt=S0θt+S1θt+S2θt+,Dθt=D0θt+D1θt+D2θt+. (36)

5.4. Stability of the iterative scheme

In this subsection, the stability of the iterative scheme is established, in the framework of Ostrowski [47]. Let δ be a Banach space endowed with a norm defined by x=maxtabxt:xδ. Assume that FG be the fixed point set of G. Let G be a self-map on δ. Let yn be a sequence in δ, and xn, denote an approximate sequence of yn. An iterative technique of the type yn+1=gGyn, for some function, say, g, where yn converges to a fixed point yFG, is said to be G-stable, provided that limnkn=0 if and only if limnxn=y, where kn=xn+1gGxn. The following theorems are now established:

Theorem 9

Assume thatGbe a self-map onδsuch that

GxδGyδC1δxδGxδ+C2δxδyδ

for all xδ,yδδ with C1δ0,C2δ01. Then, the iterative scheme yn is G-stable.

Theorem 10

LetGbe a self-map defined as

GSnδt=Sn+1δt,GVnδt=Vn+1δt,GDnδt=Dn+1δtGHδt=Hn+1δt,GVDnδt=Dn+1δtGVHnδt=VHn+1δt,GVnδt=Vn+1δtGDnδt=Dn+1δt,GSnθt=Sn+1δtGDnθt=Dn+1θt. (37)

It is G-stable in L1ab if

μδf1ξ+αDf2ξ+α1δω2f3ξ+α1δω1f4ξ+α2δω5f5ξ+α2δω1f6ξ+α3δω4f7ξ+α3δω1f8ξ<1,K1δg1ξ+ζDg2ξ+α1δω2g3ξ+α1δω1g4ξ+α1δω2g5ξ+α1δω8g6ξ+α2δω10g7ξ+α2δω2g8ξ+α3δω4g9ξ+α3δω2g10ξ<1,K2δh1ξ+ζVh2ξ+α2δω3h3ξ+α2δω1g4ξ+α2δω3h5ξ+α2δω7h6ξ+α1δω2h7ξ+α1δω3h8ξ<1,K3δj1ξ+ζVj2ξ+α3δω4j3ξ+α3δω1j4ξ+α3δω4j5ξ+α3δω7j6ξ+α3δω4j7ξ+α3δω8j8ξ+α1δω2j9ξ+α1δω4g10ξ<1,K4δl1ξ+α2δω10l2ξ+α2δω2l3ξ+α1δω2l4ξ+α1δω3l5ξ<1,K5δm1ξ+α3δω4m2ξ+α3δω2m3ξ+α1δω2m4ξ+α1δω4m5ξ<1,ζVn1ξ+μδn2ξ+α2δω10n3ξ+α2δω7n4ξ<1,ζDp1ξ+μδp2ξ+αDp3ξ+α1δω2p4ξ+α1δω8p5ξ+α3δω4p6ξ+α3δω8p7ξ<1,μθq1ξ+α2θω3q2ξ+α2θω9q3ξ+α2θω2q4ξ+α2θω9q5ξ<1,μθr1ξ+α2θω3r2ξ+α2θω9r3ξ+α2θω2r4ξ+α2θω9r5ξ<1, (38)

Proof:

Consider the recursive formula below, associated with the system (2) (obtained via taking the inverse Laplace transform of the AB derivative).

Sn+1δt=Sδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξΔδα1VnδSnδ+α2δDnθSnδ+α3δHnδSnδ+μδSnδ+αDDnδ,Vn+1δt=Vδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα1δVnδSnδ+α1δVnδDnδϕV+ζV+μδVnδα2δDnθVnδα3HnδVnδ+ζDVDnδ,Dn+1δt=Dnδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα2δDnθSnδ+VnδϕD+ζD+μδDδα1δVδDnδ+ζVVDnδ,Hn+1δt=Hδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα3δHnδSnδ+Vnδ+DnδϕH+ζH+μδHnδα1δVnδHnδ+ζVVHnδ,VDn+1δt=VDδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα2δDnθVnδ+α1δVnδDnδϕV+ϕD+ζV+ζD+μδVDnδ,VHn+1δt=VHδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα3δHnδVnδ+α1δVnδHnδϕV+ϕH+ζV+ζH+μδVHnδ,Vn+1δt=Vδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξζVVnδμδ+α2δDnθVnδ,Dn+1δt=Dδ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξζDDnδμδ+αD+α1δVnδ+α3δHnδDnδ,Sn+1θt=Sθ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξΔθα2θDnδSnθα2θVDnδSnθμθSnθ,Dn+1θt=Dθ0+1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα2θDnδSnθ+α2θVDnδSnθμθDnθ, (39)

where sξ1ξ+ξsξξ is a fractional Lagrange multiplier.

We will show that G has a fixed point. Thus, for all mnN×N, we evaluate the following:

GSnδtGSmδt=1sξ1ξ+ξsξξΔδα1VnδSnδ+α2δDnθSnδ+α3δHnδSnδ+μδSnδ+αDDnδ1sξ1ξ+ξsξξΔδα1VmδSmδ+α2δDmθSmδ+α3δHmδSmδ+μδSmδ+αDDmδ=1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα1VnδSnδ+α2δDnθSnδ+α3δHnδSnδ+μδSnδ+αDDnδ1sξ1ξ+ξsξξα1VmδSmδ+α2δDmθSmδ+α3δHmδSmδ+μδSmδ+αDDmδ. (40)

Taking the norm on both sides and applying the triangular inequality, we have that

GSnδtGSmδt=1sξ1ξ+ξsξξμδSnδSmδ+αDDnδDmδ+α1δVnδSnδSmδ+α1δSmδVnδVmδ+α2δDnθSnδSmδ+α2δSmδDnθDmθ+α3δHnδSnδSmδ+α3δSmδHnδHmδ. (41)

Now, noting that, Smδ,Vnδ,Dnδ,Hnδ,VDnδ,VHnδ,Vnδ,Dnδ,Snθ,nθ are convergent sequences, we bound them as follows:

Smδω1,Vnδω2,Dnδω3,Hnδω4,VDnδω5,VHnδω6,Vnδω7,Dnδω8,Snθω9,Dnθω10.

Also, as a result of similar pattern in the solutions, we assume that

SmδtSnδtDnδDmδ,SmδtSnδtVnδVmδ,SmδtSnδtDnθDmθ,SmδtSnδtHnδHmδ. (42)

Thus, we have that

GSnδtGSmδtμδf1ξ+αDf2ξ+α1δω2f3ξ+α1δω1f4ξ+α2δω5f5ξ+α2δω1f6ξ+α3δω4f7ξ+α3δω1f8ξSnδSmδ, (43)

where, fiξ,i=1,...8 are functions resulting from 1sξ1ξ+ξsξξ. In a similar manner, we have that,

GVnδtGVmδtK1δg1ξ+ζDg2ξ+α1δω2g3ξ+α1δω1g4ξ+α1δω2g5ξ+α1δω8g6ξ+α2δω10g7ξ+α2δω2g8ξ+α3δω4g9ξ+α3δω2g10ξDnδDmδ,GDnδtGDmδtK2δh1ξ+ζVh2ξ+α2δω3h3ξ+α2δω1g4ξ+α2δω3h5ξ+α2δω7h6ξ+α1δω2h7ξ+α1δω3h8ξDnδDmδ,GHnδtGHmδtK3δj1ξ+ζVj2ξ+α3δω4j3ξ+α3δω1j4ξ+α3δω4j5ξ+α3δω7j6ξ+α3δω4j7ξ+α3δω8j8ξ+α1δω2j9ξ+α1δω4g10ξHnδHmδ,GVDnδtGVDmδtK4δl1ξ+α2δω10l2ξ+α2δω2l3ξ+α1δω2l4ξ+α1δω3l5ξVDnδVDmδ,GVHnδtGVHmδtK5δm1ξ+α3δω4m2ξ+α3δω2m3ξ+α1δω2m4ξ+α1δω4m5ξVHnδVHmδ,GVnδtGVmδtζVn1ξ+μδn2ξ+α2δω10n3ξ+α2δω7n4ξVnδVmδ,GDnθtGDmθtζDp1ξ+μδp2ξ+αDp3ξ+α1δω2p4ξ+α1δω8p5ξ+α3δω4p6ξ+α3δω8p7ξ×DnθDmθ,GSnθtGSmθtμθq1ξ+α2θω3q2ξ+α2θω9q3ξ+α2θω2q4ξ+α2θω9q5ξSnθSmθ,GVnθtGVmθtμθr1ξ+α2θω3r2ξ+α2θω9r3ξ+α2θω2r4ξ+α2θω9r5ξVnδVmδ. (44)

Thus, the mapping G- has a fixed point. We now show that, G is valid for all the conditions in Theorem 9. Let (43), (44) hold. If we use C1δ=0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0, and

C2δ=μδf1ξ+αDf2ξ+α1δω2f3ξ+α1δω1f4ξ+α2δω5f5ξ+α2δω1f6ξ+α3δω4f7ξ+α3δω1f8ξ<1,K1δg1ξ+ζDg2ξ+α1δω2g3ξ+α1δω1g4ξ+α1δω2g5ξ+α1δω8g6ξ+α2δω10g7ξ+α2δω2g8ξ+α3δω4g9ξ+α3δω2g10ξ<1,K2δh1ξ+ζVh2ξ+α2δω3h3ξ+α2δω1g4ξ+α2δω3h5ξ+α2δω7h6ξ+α1δω2h7ξ+α1δω3h8ξ<1,K3δj1ξ+ζVj2ξ+α3δω4j3ξ+α3δω1j4ξ+α3δω4j5ξ+α3δω7j6ξ+α3δω4j7ξ+α3δω8j8ξ+α1δω2j9ξ+α1δω4g10ξ<1,K4δl1ξ+α2δω10l2ξ+α2δω2l3ξ+α1δω2l4ξ+α1δω3l5ξ<1,K5δm1ξ+α3δω4m2ξ+α3δω2m3ξ+α1δω2m4ξ+α1δω4m5ξ<1,ζVn1ξ+μδn2ξ+α2δω10n3ξ+α2δω7n4ξ<1,ζDp1ξ+μδp2ξ+αDp3ξ+α1δω2p4ξ+α1δω8p5ξ+α3δω4p6ξ+α3δω8p7ξ<1,μθq1ξ+α2θω3q2ξ+α2θω9q3ξ+α2θω2q4ξ+α2θω9q5ξ<1,μθr1ξ+α2θω3r2ξ+α2θω9r3ξ+α2θω2r4ξ+α2θω9r5ξ<1, (45)

then all the conditions of Theorem 9 are fulfilled. Hence, the iterative scheme yn is G-stable. Thus, completing the proof.

6. Numerical simulations

6.1. Initial conditions and data fitting

The sexually active population in Argentina (aged 15-64) is estimated to be 29,289,357 [51]. Also, the life expectancy is 78.07 years [51]. Thus, we set the human natural death rate, μδ as 178.07×365 per day. The human recruitment rate, Δδ is set to be 29,289,35078.07×365. The initial total population, Nδ0=29,289,357. The initial conditions used for the fitting are: Sδ0=Nδ0=29,289,357,Vδ0=1,Dδ0=0,Hδ0=0,VDδ0=0,VHδ0=0,Vδ0=0,Dδ0=0,Sθ0=0,VDθ0=0.

We performed the fitting using fmincon function in the Optimization Toolbox of MATLAB [56]. As depicted in Fig. 1 , we fit the COVID-19 data [57] for Argentina from March 3, 2020 to June 10, 2020. The parameters estimated from the fitting are presented in Table 1. With the Caputo operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.97, as shown in Fig. 1a. With the Caputo-Fabrizio operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.88, as shown in Fig. 1b. Using the Atangana-Baleanu operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.97, as can be observed in Fig. 1c. Although using both Caputo and AB operators, the model fits well to data when the order is ξ=0.97, the Caputo operator gave a better fit as compared to the AB operator. It is also imperative to state that, these conclusions are based on the model proposed in this work. The series solutions for the best fits are also presented.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Model fittings using the three fractional derivatives. Series solution for best fit using the Caputo fractional derivative is: IVδt=1.0+0.334438t0.97+0.11195t1.94+0.0374063t2.91, with order ξ=0.97. Series solution for best fit using the CF fractional derivative is: IVδt=1.04127+0.315116t+0.0946194t2+0.0245611t3, with order ξ=0.88. Series solution for best fit using the AB fractional derivative is: IVδt=1.01019+0.336905t0.97+0.112387t1.94+0.0359822t2.91.

The following series solutions were obtained for the system (2), under an endemic scenario when all the three diseases are present in the population, using the initial conditions Sδ0=Nδ0=29,289,350,Vδ0=1,Dδ0=1,Hδ0=1,VDδ0=0,VHδ0=0,Vδ0=0,Dδ0=0,Sθ0=40,000,VDθ0=15. The values of other parameters are exactly as given in Table 1. Series solutions via the Caputo-derivative is given by eq. (46). Here all the parameter values as given in Table 1 were used.

Sδt=29289350+2078.29t0.970.716105t1.940.157525t2.91,Vδt=1.0+0.232988t0.97+0.0543842t1.94+0.0126472t2.91,Dδt=1.0+0.168962t0.97+0.0128365t1.94+0.00301015t2.91,Hδt=1.0+0.0253951t0.97+0.000645793t1.94+0.0000163699t2.91,VDδt=0.0+9.748634592703136×108t0.972.173844324613856×107t1.94+5.825026712347771×107t2.91,VHδt=0.0+9.792059369532225×108t0.972.3023365866009796×107t1.94+6.067783798771481×107t2.91,Vδt=0.994816t0.970.775467t1.94+0.0540038t2.91,Dδt=0.0+0.015187t0.97+0.00256603t1.94+0.000127204t2.91,Sθt=40000+697.061t0.97+19.4575t1.940.00694976t2.91,Vθt=15.0+1.30175t0.97+0.237782t1.94+0.00997563t2.91. (46)

Series solution via the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative is given by eq. (47). Here all the parameter values as given in Table 1 were used.

Sδt=2.92894×107+1991.07t0.670143t20.138522t3,Vδt=1.00695+0.226335t+0.0509495t2+0.0111216t3,Dδt=1.00502+0.162611t+0.0120278t2+0.00264702t3,Hδt=1.00075+0.0243666t+0.000594089t2+0.0000143951t3,VDδt=2.712870748778392×109+8.252505019668144×108t1.5200340503322315×107t2+5.122340890403097×107t3,VHδt=2.7150880462399953×109+8.227282176372782×108t1.6181662730296436×107t2+5.335813653985×107t3,Vδt=0.0287975+0.909197t0.707371t2+0.0474892t3,Dδt=0.000452256+0.014696t+0.00236565t2+0.000111859t3,Sθt=40020.7+668.927t+17.8588t20.00611139t3,Vθt=15.0388+1.26067t+0.219067t2+0.00877225t3. (47)

Series solution via the Atangana-Baleanu derivative is given by (48). Here all the parameter values as given in Table 1 were used.

Sδt=2.92894×107+2051.53t0.970.711698t1.940.151527t2.91,Vδt=1.00708+0.233265t0.97+0.0541099t1.94+0.0121657t2.91,Dδt=1.00511+0.167562t0.97+0.0127739t1.94+0.00289555t2.91,Hδt=1.00077+0.0251072t0.97+0.00063074t1.94+0.0000157467t2.91,VDδt=2.7579384914179242×109+8.486010185015×108t0.971.604826527624194×107t1.94+5.603260923141627×107t2.91,VHδt=2.7600149768101183×109+8.458917964913127×108t0.971.70863697964998×107t1.94+5.836775954633293×107t2.91,Vδt=0.0292943+0.936007t0.970.750898t1.94+0.0519478t2.91,Dδt=0.000460291+0.0151449t0.97+0.00251169t1.94+0.000122362t2.91,Sθt=40021.+689.258t0.97+18.9598t1.940.00668517t2.91,Vθt=15.0395+1.29919t0.97+0.232588t1.94+0.00959585t2.91. (48)

6.2. Simulating the different classes using different fractional derivatives

Here, we simulate the different classes in the model via Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivatives to see how each derivative impact the dynamics of the model (2). Unless, otherwise stated in the plots description, the parameter values used are obtained from Table 1. In Figs. 2a – 4b, we present the various states of the model for different fractional operators. In Fig. 2a, the Simulations of the susceptible individuals for different fractional derivatives are presented. It is observed that, over time, the susceptible population decreases, under an endemic setting, with higher reduction recorded using the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative than with the Atangana-Baleanu and Caputo derivatives. Simulations of the individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2, dengue and HIV for different derivatives are presented in Fig. 2b, c and d, respectively. It is observed that, over time, lower number of infectious individuals are recorded using the Atangana-Baleanu derivative, followed by the Caputo-derivative derivative and then the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. Our aim is to reduce the infection cases, using this model. Also, simulating the co-infected individuals with dual infections, for different fractional derivatives are shown by Fig. 3a and b. It is also observed that the Atangana-Baleanu derivative, records the lowest infections over time, in comparison with other fractional derivatives applied. The Atangana-Baleanu derivative gave us reduced number of infections over time, relative to Caputo and Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. Asamoah et al. [55] also recorded similar trend in the behavior of the AB derivative, when comparing simulations using the three fractional derivatives for a Q fever disease. Similar trend is observed for the classes of individuals who have recovered from SARS-CoV-2 and dengue as well as the population of susceptible vectors, as depicted by Figs. 3c, d and 4a. As for the total vector population with dengue (Fig. 4b), the Atangana-Baleanu derivative gave the least number as compared to simulations via Caputo and CF derivatives.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Solution profiles for Sδt,Vδt,Dδt and Hδt via the different fractional derivatives. Parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Solution profiles for Sθt and Vθtvia the different fractional derivatives. Parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Solution profiles for VDδt,VHδt,Vδt and Dδt via the different fractional derivatives. Parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

Simulations of the co-infected cases for different SARS-CoV-2 contact rates using the three fractional derivatives are presented in Figs. 5a-7b. It is observed in Fig. 5a, that as SARS-CoV-2 infection rate α1δ decreases from 9.58558×108 to 9.58558×1011, there is a significant reduction in the co-infected cases (number of persons having both SARS-CoV-2 and Dengue). Similar trend is also observed for individuals co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and HIV (shown in Fig. 5b). In the introduction section, we have reported that patients co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and dengue can suffer worsening illness, hospitalization and deaths [15], [17]. So reducing the co-infection of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue can cut down these worse cases in co-infected individuals. Also, we reported earlier, that individuals co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and HIV are most likely to suffer severe illness and death [2]. Also, persons co-infected with HIV and SARS-CoV-2 infection can suffer great increase in cytokine production which could lead to increased viral load and subsequent immune suppression [2]. If co-infection cases are greatly reduced due to reduction in SARS-CoV-2 cases, then we shall equally have great reduction in cases of immune suppression and deaths which are direct consequences of the co-infection of both diseases. Similar reduction in co-infected cases are observed when the simulations are done via the Caputo-Fabrizio (presented in Fig. 6a and b) and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives (shown in Fig. 7a and b). The emphasis in these simulations is not to compare the results via the different derivatives, as done for the previous simulations, but to show that with any of the fractional derivatives, SARS-CoV-2 prevention can reduce worse co-infection cases with either Dengue or HIV.

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Solution profiles for VDδt and VHδt via the Caputo fractional derivative. Here, ξ=0.97, while SARS-CoV-2 contact rate, α1δ is varied. Other parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

Fig. 7.

Fig. 7

Solution profiles for VDδt and VHδt via the Atangana-Baleanu fractional derivative. Here, ξ=0.97, while SARS-CoV-2 contact rate, α1δ is varied. Other parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

Fig. 6.

Fig. 6

Solution profiles for VDδt and VHδt via the Caputo Fabrizio fractional derivative. Here, ξ=0.97, while SARS-CoV-2 contact rate, α1δ is varied. Other parameters are exactly as given in Table 1.

7. Conclusion

In this work, we have studied a new mathematical model for SARS-CoV-2, dengue and HIV co-dynamics, to assess the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on the dynamics of dengue and HIV via fractional derivatives. Some of the novelties of the current study are as follows: For the first time, we have considered a model for the co-dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, dengue and HIV. We have also considered three different fractional derivatives on this new complex model, and presented how SARS-CoV-2 could influence dengue and HIV. This has not been done before. The existence and uniqueness of solution is carried out using the Banach fixed point theorem. The stability analysis of the model is discussed in the context of Ulam-Hyers and generalized Ulam-Hyers criteria. We have applied the Laplace Adomian decomposition method, to investigate the model's approximate solutions, with the help of three different fractional derivatives, namely: Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives. We have equally established the stability of the iterative schemes for the solution of the developed model, applying some recent fixed point theorems. The model fittings, using the three fractional derivatives, were done using real data from Argentina. With the Caputo operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.97. With the Caputo-Fabrizio operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.88. Using the Atangana-Baleanu operator, the model fits well to data when the fractional order ξ=0.97. Although using both Caputo and AB operators, the model fits well to data when the order is ξ=0.97, the Caputo operator gave a better fit as compared to the AB operator. Simulations were also carried out with each non-integer derivative and the results thus obtained are compared. Furthermore, it was concluded that efforts to keep the spread of SARS-CoV-2 low, have a significant impact to reduce the co-infections of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue or SARS-COV-2 and HIV. We also highlighted the impact of the three fractional derivatives in analyzing complex models such as this novel co-infection model for the dynamics of three different diseases.

The current research has some limitations. In this study, so as to avoid model complexity, asymptomatic classes for SARS-CoV-2 and dengue were not considered. We also considered HIV infected compartment only without considering full blown AIDS class. These can be incorporated in a further study. In addition, Nothing is known about infection acquired or vaccine-derived cross-immunity between SARS-CoV-2, HIV and dengue. No detailed information yet, whether the current SARS-CoV-2 or dengue vaccines could have any impact on the dynamics of HIV. Thus, with more reliable data and detailed information about the interactions of the diseases, further study in this direction is much anticipated. Mutations of viral infections, including SARS-CoV-2 and dengue calls for further studies on their co-infections with other diseases. We could thus, consider a model for the co-dynamics of multi-strains of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue with HIV. Also, the proposed model in this current work did not consider triple co-infection. Future work with sufficient biological reports can also consider co-infection with the three diseases, which is possible [18]. For the data fitting, only SARS-CoV-2 daily reported data was used, as it was readily available. There was difficulty obtaining daily recorded cases for dengue and HIV. For a future study, we hope to fit the model to all the three data sets, as this will give better and more accurate estimates for the parameters, especially dengue and HIV associated parameters.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Andrew Omame: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Mujahid Abbas: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Abdel-Haleem Abdel-Aty: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.

Declaration of competing interest

The authors show no conflict of interest to submit this paper.

Acknowledgments

All authors are grateful to the handling editor and anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and queries which greatly helped to improve the quality of the manuscript.

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