Skip to main content
Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine logoLink to Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine
. 2022 Sep 16;2022:6502598. doi: 10.1155/2022/6502598

Fractional-Order Ebola-Malaria Coinfection Model with a Focus on Detection and Treatment Rate

Lingling Zhang 1,, Emmanuel Addai 1, Joseph Ackora-Prah 2, Yarhands Dissou Arthur 3, Joshua Kiddy K Asamoah 2,
PMCID: PMC9507665  PMID: 36158132

Abstract

Coinfection of Ebola virus and malaria is widespread, particularly in impoverished areas where malaria is already ubiquitous. Epidemics of Ebola virus disease arise on a sporadic basis in African nations with a high malaria burden. An observational study discovered that patients in Sierra Leone's Ebola treatment centers were routinely infected with malaria parasites, increasing the risk of death. In this paper, we study Ebola-malaria coinfections under the generalized Mittag-Leffler kernel fractional derivative. The Banach fixed point theorem and the Krasnoselskii type are used to analyse the model's existence and uniqueness. We discuss the model stability using the Hyers-Ulam functional analysis. The numerical scheme for the Ebola-malaria coinfections using Lagrange interpolation is presented. The numerical trajectories show that the prevalence of Ebola-malaria coinfections ranged from low to moderate depending on memory. This means that controlling the disease requires adequate knowledge of the past history of the dynamics of both malaria and Ebola. The graphical dynamics of the detection rate indicate that a variation in the detection rate only affects the following compartments: individuals that are latently infected with the Ebola, Ebola virus afflicted people who went unnoticed, individuals who have been infected with the Ebola virus and have been diagnosed with the disease, and persons undergoing Ebola virus therapy.

1. Introduction

Malaria is a dangerous and occasionally deadly disease that can cause altered body posture, irregular eye movements, paralysis of eye movements, and coma. The World Health Organization estimates that millions of people worldwide have contracted malaria and thousands have died as a result of it, the majority of whom are youngsters in Africa. Commuters returning from places of the world where malaria transmission occurs, such as sub-Saharan Africa, make up the great majority of cases. Malaria is a potentially fatal disease, yet it is frequently preventable. According to estimates, malaria costs sub-Saharan Africa billion of dollars every year [1, 2]. Ebola virus disease outbreaks occur on a rare basis in African countries where malaria is already a major problem. The majority of Ebola virus disease outbreaks have been minor in the past, with case counts typically under 100 people [3].

Epidemiological modeling of infectious diseases using integer-order differential equations to explore and investigate epidemic transmission dynamics has been in existence for many years. The advancement of fractional calculus has revealed important information about disease transmission patterns or dynamical behaviors. In the study of biological and engineering systems, fractional order differential equations have proved themselves as powerful and effective mathematical modeling tools. This is because most often differential operators that are found in these equations or models are associated with memory dynamics, which can be seen in biological and engineering systems [4]. The Mittag-Leffler kernel derivative has recently been utilised to mimic a variety of real-world occurrences, for example [5, 6], using the three fractional derivatives, the authors of [7] analysed the dynamics of the Q fever epidemic. From their research, they deduced that, unlike the integer order, the trajectories of some fractional orders converge to the same endemic equilibrium point. In conclusion, it was found that the Atangana-Baleanu fractional differential operator captures more susceptibilities while allowing for a smaller number of infections. Existence-uniqueness, stability, and simulated solutions to the HIV/AIDS infection model were analysed using the Mittag-Leffler kernel by the authors of [8]. Okyere et al. [9] studied an SIR model using the Caputo derivative. Using the same operator, the work in [10] studied the dynamics of COVID-19 and presented the usefulness of memory in the transmission of COVID-19. Erturk et al. [11] presented a study to describe motion of beam on nanowire. As the order of the fraction increases toward unity, their findings show that the fractional responses become increasingly similar to the classical ones. The fractional Euler-Lagrange equation also provides a flexible model with more information than the classical description, which allows for a much more accurate assessment of the system's hidden features. Jajarmi et al. [12], applied fractional-order to study capacitor microphone. Results show that, in contrast to the previous mathematical formalism, the freedom to choose the kernel allows for the discovery of new properties of the capacitor microphone under investigation. Baleanu et al. [13] studied the relative importance of memory on cholera outbreak. The work in [14] presented some applications of a regularized Ψ-Hilfer fractional derivative.

The 2014 Ebola virus epidemic in three sub-Saharan African countries, namely Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, was considered to be significant, with approximately 28,616 suspected and confirmed cases and over 11,310 deaths in these three majorally affected countries in sub-Saharan Africa. To examine the spread of Ebola virus disease transmission in Sub-Saharan African countries, Berge et al. [15] developed a vulnerable infected-recovered-death model, with natural mortality in susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) compartments, it was assumed that recovered individuals lost immunity and became susceptible again. Chowell and Nishiura [16] studied the transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease. Omeloye and Adewale [17] presented a mathematical analysis on Ebola-malaria transmission dynamics, demonstrating that if the detection rate of infected undiscovered persons is high enough, isolation can lead to Ebola eradication in the population. Furthermore, Omeloye and Adewale [18] created an optimal control in the Ebola-malaria coinfection model. They studied the disease-free equilibrium of each model. Their co-infections were shown to be locally and globally asymptotically stable whenever the basic reproduction number is less than unity or endemic otherwise. Thus, prior mathematical investigation on Ebola-malaria coinfections has not taken into account the fractional derivative. As a result, our research add up to the dynamic analysis of Ebola, malaria, and Ebola-malaria coinfections. First and foremost, we guaranteed solutions of the existence and uniqueness by the use of the Krasnoselskii type and Banach fixed point theorem. And also, Hyers-Ulam stability guaranteed the model stability. Motivated by the work in [18] the current work contributes the following:

  1. A new fractional mathematical model for the co-dynamics of Ebola and malaria is considered and studied using the Atangana-Baleanu derivative [19]

  2. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of the proposed model employing the Banach fixed point theorem and the Krasnoselskii type are shown

  3. Using the generalized Mittag-Leffler kernel, we exhibited the rich dynamics of this disease when memory of past history of the disease is taken into consideration through simulations

  4. We highlight the impact of detection rate and treatment rate on the dynamics of coinfection of Ebola and malaria when the fractional order is 0.99, unlike the integer order of 1

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: some critical concepts, basic definitions, and preliminary results are all briefly introduced in Section 2. In section 3 we restate the model formulation of the Ebola-malaria coinfection model and briefly describe all the parameters as in [18], and then impose the Mittag-Leffler kernel fractional derivative on the model. Section 4 is devoted to the mathematical analysis of the existence-uniqueness of Ebola-malaria coinfection model. The stability results of the Ebola-malaria coinfections model are presented and discussed in Section 5. The numerical scheme and simulations are discussed in Section 6 and Section 7, respectively. The paper ends with a conclusion in Section 8.

2. Preliminaries

Now, we recall some critical ideas, lemmas, and definitions to study the system (11).

Definition 1 (see [20, 21]). —

The ABC-fractional differential operator on Θ ∈ H1(a, b), for ω ∈ (0, 1) is

DABCσωΘσ=ω1ω0σΘsEωωσsω1ωds, (1)

where ∇(ω) is the normalization constant that satisfies the property ∇(1) = ∇(0) = 1. And Eω is the Mittag-Leffler function, which can be defined as

Eωy=k=0ykΓωk+1. (2)

Definition 2 (see [8]). —

For Θ ∈ H1(a, b) and for ω ∈ [0, 1], the ABC-fractional integral is given by;

IABCσωΘσ=1ωωΘσ+ωωΓω0σΘsσsω1ds, (3)

assuming that the integral on the right converges.

Lemma 1 (see [4]). —

From the ABC-fractional derivative and its integral of the function Θ, hold for the Newton-Leibniz formula:

IABCσωDABCσωΘσ=ΘσΘω. (4)

Lemma 2 (see [8]). —

Suppose that y(σ) ∈ Lp[0, η], then the solution of fractional differential equation.

DABCσωΘσ=yσ,σ0,η,Θ0=Θ0, (5)

is given by

Θσ=Θ0+1ωωΘσ+ωωΓω0σΘsσsω1ds. (6)

Now, we let B = C([0, 1]) be a Banach space with the following norm

Θ=maxσ0,ηΘ,ΘB. (7)

Lemma 3 (see [22]). —

From the Krassnoselskii's fixed point theorem if we assume that MB, be a closed convex non-empty subset of B and ∃ and two operators Ω1 and Ω2, then we will have the following:

  1. Ω1Θ + Ω2Θ ∈ B, ∀Θ ∈ B

  2. Ω1 is contraction and Ω2 is continuous and compact. Then there exist at least one solution Θ ∈ B such that

Ω1Θ+Ω2Θ=Θ. (8)

3. Model Formulation

In this section, we formulate and explain the entire epidemiological compartments related to the human population and vector population at time t. The susceptible individuals is denoted by SH(t), LE(t) is individuals that are latently infected with the Ebola virus, IU(t) is Ebola virus afflicted people who went unnoticed, ID(t) is indicated as individuals who have been infected with the Ebola virus and have been diagnosed with the disease, IT(t) is persons undergoing Ebola virus therapy, J(t) denotes isolated Ebola individuals, malaria-exposed population is denoted as EM(t), IM(t) denotes malaria infected individuals, RM(t) represents people who have recovered from malaria, EEM(t) represents individuals who are infected with the Ebola virus and at the risk of contracting malaria, and IEM(t) denotes persons infected with Ebola and Malaria. The vector population is landmarked as follows: SV(t) represents susceptible to mosquitoes, EV(t) denotes exposed to mosquitoes, and IV(t) denotes infected with mosquitoes. NH(t) is the total human population and NV is the total vector population. Considering the interrelationship with the compartments as referenced in [18] the following nonlinear ordinary differential equations represents the model formulation:

dSHdt=πHλESHλMSHλEMSHμSH+ϕ1RM+αθJ,dLEdt=ε1λESHKE+σ1+μLE+ϕ2IT+1αθJ1ρϕ3IEM,dIUdt=1ε1λESH+ω1KELEγUE+μ+δUEIU,dIDdt=1ω1KELEτ1+μ+δED+σ2ID+γUEIU+τ4EEM,dITdt=τ1IDϕ2+μIT,dJdt=σ1LE+σ2IDμ+δjJθJ,dEMdt=ε2λMSHKM+μEMτ2EM+ρϕ3IEM,dIMdt=1ε2λMSH+KMEMτ3+r+δIM+μIM,dRMdt=τ2EM+τ3IM+rIMϕ1+μRM,dEEMdt=ε3λEMSH+KEM+δIEM+μEEMτ4EEM,dIEMdt=1ε3λEMSH+KEMEEMϕ3+δIEM+μIEM,dSVdt=πVλVSVμVSV,dEVdt=λVSVσV+μVEV,dIVdt=σVEVμVIV, (9)

where λE, λEM, λM, and λV is defined as follows: λE = βE(IU + ηDID + ηjJ/NH), λEM = βEM(EEM + ηEMIEM/NH), λV = βVb(IM + η1EEM + η2IEM/NH), and λM = βM(bIV/NV).

The total population is given as;

NHt=SHt+LEt+IUt+IDt+ITt+Jt+EMt+IMt+RMt+EEMt+IEMt, (10)

and NV(t) = SV(t) + EV(t) + IV(t).

The associated parameters considered in model (9) along with detailed descriptions are given as πH and πV are the recruitment rate of human and vectors, respectively, λM is the force of infection for malaria transmission, λE is the force of infection for the Ebola virus, λEM is the force of infection in IEM, μ is the human death rate, μV is the vector (mosquitoes) death rate, τ1 is the treatment rate for Ebola, τ2 is the malaria infected rate, τ3 denotes malaria treatment rate, τ4 is the exposed rate, and ε1 and ε2 are the Ebola and malaria low immunity rate, respectively. ε3 is the Ebola-malaria low immunity rate, γUE is the detection rate of unknown Ebola virus, δEM is the malaria induced death rate for EM, δIM is the malaria induced death rate for IM, σ1 and σ2 are the isolation rate for LH and ID, respectively. KE, KM, and KEM are the progression rate for malaria, Ebola, and Ebola-malaria, respectively, δUE and δDE are the Ebola induced death rate for IU.and ID, respectively, δj, δEM, and δIEM are the Ebola induced death rate for J, EEM, and IEM, respectively, σV is the progression rate vectors, and ϕ1 is the rate of loss of immunity. βE and βEM are the effective contact rate for Ebola virus and Ebola-malaria, r is the recovery rate of malaria, λM and λV are the force of infection from vector-human and human-mosquito, respectively, ϕ3 is the active rate of Ebola-malaria after treatment, βM is the transmission rate from mosquito to human, βV is the transmission rate from human to mosquito, ϕ2 is the progression rate from IT to the latent stage, b is the number of vector bites per unit time, ω1 is the rate at which latent infected moves to Ebola undetected class, ρ is the rate at which treated Ebola-malaria individuals move to EM, ηD is the modification parameter of ID in relation to LE. ηT is the modification parameter of IT, ηJ is the modification parameter of J, η1 and η2 are the modification parameters of EEM and IEM, respectively, ηEM is the modification parameter of IEM, and θ is the rate at which J individuals are discharged from the treatment centers.

3.1. Fractional Model

To capture the memory in the predictions of the Ebola-malaria coinfection model and also to check that both sides of the fractional equations have the exact dimensions, the coefficient 1/α1−σ , comprised with the auxiliary parameter α [23, 24] is imposed on model (9). Hence, we suggest the following fractional-order model for the Ebola-malaria coinfection model under the ABC-fractional derivative:

1α1σABCD0+σSHσ=πHλESHλMSHλEMSHμSH+ϕ1RM+αθJ,1α1σABCD0+σLEσ=ε1λESHKE+σ1+μLE+ϕ2IT+1αθJ1ρϕ3IEM,1α1σABCD0+σIUσ=1ε1λESH+ω1KELEγUE+μ+δUEIU,1α1σABCD0+σIDσ=1ω1KELEτ1+μ+δED+σ2ID+γUEIU+τ4EEM,1α1σABCD0+σITσ=τ1IDϕ2+μIT,1α1σABCD0+σJσ=σ1LE+σ2IDμ+δjJθJ,1α1σABCD0+σEMσ=ε2λMSHKM+μEMτ2EM+ρϕ3IEM,1α1σABCD0+σIMσ=1ε2λMSH+KMEMτ3+r+δIM+μIM,1α1σABCD0+σRMσ=τ2EM+τ3IM+rIMϕ1+μRM,1α1σABCD0+σEEMσ=ε3λEMSH+KEM+δIEM+μEEMτ4EEM,1α1σABCD0+σIEMσ=1ε3λEMSH+KEMEEMϕ3+δIEM+μIEM,1α1σABCD0+σSVσ=πVλVSVμVSV,1α1σABCD0+σEVσ=λVSVσV+μVEV,1α1σABCD0+σIVσ=σVEVμVIV, (11)

where 0 < σ ≤ 1, with the following initial conditions: SH(0) = SH0 ≥ 0, LE(0) = LE0 ≥ 0, IU(0) = IU0 ≥ 0, ID(0) = ID0 ≥ 0, IT(0) = IT0 ≥ 0, J(0) = J0 ≥ 0, EM(0) = EM0 ≥ 0, RM(0) = RM0 ≥ 0, EEM(0) = EEM0 ≥ 0, IEM(0) = IEM0 ≥ 0SV(0) = SV0 ≥ 0, EV(0) = EV0 ≥ 0, IV(0) = IV0 ≥ 0, and IM(0) = IM0 ≥ 0.

4. Existence and Uniqueness

It is important to determine whether or not such a dynamical problem exists before delving into any type of epidemiological simulations. Fortunately, the fixed point theory provides an ironclad guarantee for this evaluation's outcome. We attempt to apply the same idea in a perspective of the Banach and Krassnoselskii's fixed point theory to the stated model (11) to study existence and uniqueness results. In relation to the aforementioned requirement, we reformulate the considered model (11) as follows:

DABC0+σSHσ=1Δ,DABC0+σLEσ=2Δ,DABC0+σIUσ=3Δ,DABC0+σIDσ=4Δ,DABC0+σITσ=5Δ,DABC0+σJσ=6Δ,DABC0+σEMσ=7Δ,DABC0+σIMσ=8Δ,DABC0+σRMσ=9Δ,DABC0+σEEMσ=10Δ,DABC0+σIEMσ=11Δ,DABC0+σSVσ=12Δ,DABC0+σEVσ=13Δ,DABC0+σIVσ=14Δ, (12)

where Δ∗∗ = (σ, SH, LE, IU, ID, IT, J, EM, IM, RM, EEM, IEM, SV, EV, IV) and

1Δ=πHλESHλMSHλEMSHμSH+ϕ1RM+αθJ,2Δ=ε1λESHKE+σ1+μLE+ϕ2IT+1αθJ1ρϕ3IEM,3Δ=1ε1λESH+ω1KELEγUE+μ+δUEIU,4Δ=1ω1KELEτ1+μ+δED+σ2ID+γUEIU+τ4EEM,5Δ=τ1IDϕ2+μIT,6Δ=σ1LE+σ2IDμ+δjJθJ,7Δ=ε2λMSHKM+μEMτ2EM+ρϕ3IEM,8Δ=1ε2λMSH+KMEMτ3+r+δIM+μIM,9Δ=τ2EM+τ3IM+rIMϕ1+μRM,10Δ=ε3λEMSH+KEM+δIEM+μEEMτ4EEM,11Δ=1ε3λEMSH+KEMEEMϕ3+δIEM+μIEM,12Δ=πVλVSVμVSV,13Δ=λVSVσV+μVEV,14Δ=σVEVμVIV. (13)

For simplicity we write the model (11) in the form;

DABCσωWσ=Ψσ,Wσ,σ0,η,W0=W0, (14)

where

W=SH,LE,IU,ID,IT,J,EM,IM,RM,EEM,IEM,SV,EV,IVT,W0=T1,T2T,Ψσ,Wσ=iΔT,i=1,2,3,,14, (15)

where (.)T presents the transpose of the vectors, T1 = (SH(0), LE(0), IU(0), ID(0), IT(0), J(0), EM(0)), and T2 = (IM(0), RM(0), EEM(0), IEM(0), SV(0), EV(0), IV(0))T. From Lemma 2.2, the system (14) is equal to the following fractional integral equation;

Wσ=W0+1ωωΨσ,Wσ+ωωΓω0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds. (16)

Let us say B = C([0, η]) is the Banach space, supposing that the following assumptions hold;

(F1) There exist a nonnegative constant Y, Z, and a ∈ [0, 1) such that

Ψσ,WσYWa+Z. (17)

(F2) There exist a nonnegative constant Lμ > 0 for all W, WB then

Ψσ,WσΨσ,WσLμWW. (18)

Also, let us define operator Ap : BB such that

ApWσ=Ω1Wσ+Ω2Wσ, (19)

basically, we let

Ω1Wσ=W0+1ωωΨσ,Wσ,Ω2Wσ=ωωΓω0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds. (20)

From this knowledge, equation (16) can be written as;

ApWσ=W0+1ωωΨσ,Wσ+ωωΓω0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds. (21)

Theorem 1 . —

Suppose that (F1) and (F2) hold, such that, ((1 − ω)/∇(ω))Lμ < 1, then the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (14) has at least one solution.

Proof —

We divide the proof into two steps:

Step 1. We prove that operator Ω1 is contraction. Then, let WΠ, where Π = {WB : ‖W‖ ≤ ρ, ρ > 0} is a close convex set, thus

Ω1WΩ1W=1ωωmaxω0,ηΨσ,WσΨσ,Wσ,1ωωLμWW. (22)

Hence Ω1 is contraction.

Step 2. We prove that Ω2 is compact and also continuous, for all WΠ, then Ω2 will be continuous as W is continuous; thus,

Ω2W=maxω0,ηωωΓω0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds,ωωΓω0ηηsω1Ψs,Wsds.ηωωΓωYWa+Z. (23)

Hence Ω2 is boundedness. For equicontinuous, let σ1 and σ2 ∈ [0, η], such that

Ω2Wσ1Ω2Wσ2=ωωΓω0σ1Ψs,Wsσ1sω1ds0σ2Ψs,Wsσ2sω1dsYWa+ZωΓωσ1ωσ2ω. (24)

As σ1σ2, then |(Ω2W)(σ1) − (Ω2W)(σ2)|⟶0 which make operator Ω2 an equicontinuous and compact by the Arzela-Ascoli theorem. Therefore the existence for the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (11) is proved.

Theorem 2 . —

Suppose that ∃ a nonnegative integer Λ > 0 such that

Λ=1ωωLμ+ηωωΓωLμ<1, (25)

then operator Ap has a unique fixed point.

Proof —

Let W, WB, then we say

ApWApWΩ1WΩ1W+Ω2WΩ2W,1ωωmaxω0,ηΨσ,WσΨσ,Wσ+ωωΓωmaxω0,η0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds0σΨs,Wsσsω1ds,1ωωLμ+ηωωΓωLμWW,=ΛWW. (26)

Hence, by the Banach contraction principle, Ap has a unique fixed point. Consequently, the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (11) has unique solution.

5. Hyers-Ulam Stability

In the context of differential equations, stability is crucial. The Hyers-Ulam (HU) type of stability has emerged as one of the most intriguing types of stability in recent years. Here, we use HU type stability to examine a theoretical model of Ebola and malaria transmission.

Definition 3 . —

The Ebola-malaria coinfection model (11) is HU stable if for δ > 0 and letting WB be any solution of below inequality

DABCσωWσΨσ,Wσδ,σ0,η; (27)

and with a unique solution W of problem (14) with a positive constant λq > 0, such that,

WWλqδ,σ0,η. (28)

Definition 4 . —

Given a function ϕC([0, η], R), such that ϕ(0) = 0 for any solution W of (27) and W be a unique solution of (14), then

WWϕδ, (29)

then the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (14) is generalized HU stable.

Remark 1 . —

Suppose χ(σ) ∈ C([0, η], R), we say WB satisfies inequality (27) suppose that,

  1. |χ(σ)| ≤ δ, for all σ ∈ [0, η]

  2. ABCDσωW(σ) = Ψ(σ, W(σ)) + χ(σ), ∀σ ∈ [0, η].

Now, we consider the resulting perturbation equation of system (14) as follows;

DABCσωWσ=Ψσ,Wσ+χσ,W0=W0. (30)

The below Lemma is needed to help us get our results.

Lemma 4 . —

From equation (30), we say the following result hold. Thus,

WσApΨσ,Wσ1ωω+ηωωΓωδ. (31)

Proof —

Consider Lemma 2.2 relatively, solution for equation (14) is given as;

Wσ=W0+IABCσωΨσ,Wσ+IABCσωχσ. (32)

Now, with the help of equation (21), we deduce that

WσApΨσ,Wσ1ωωχσ+ηωωΓω0σσs1ωχσds1ωω+ηωωΓωδ. (33)

Theorem 3 . —

Suppose that the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (14) is Ulam-Hyers stable, if there exist Λ = [((1 − ω)/∇(ω))Lμ + (ηω/∇(ω)Γ(ω))Lμ] < 1.

Proof —

With the help from the Lemma 5.1, let WB be any solution and WB be a unique solution for considered problem (14), then

WσWσ=WσApWσWσApWσ+ApWσApWσ1ωω+ηωωΓωδ+1ωωLμ+ηωωΓωLμWW. (34)

Thus,

WσWσ1ω/ω+ηω/ωΓω11ω/ωLμ+ηω/ωΓωLμδ. (35)

Hence, we conclude that, the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (14) is HU stable. Consequently, the Ebola-malaria co-infection model (14) is HU generalized stable.

Definition 5 . —

The problem (14) is Hyers-Ulam-Rassias (HUR) stable given that the function ξ(σ) ∈ C([0, 1], R), δ > 0 and letting WB be any solution of the below inequality

DABCωσWσΨσ,Wσξσδ,σ0,η; (36)

and also ∃ unique solution W of problem (14) with a positive constant λq > 0 then,

WWλqξσδ,σ0,η. (37)

Definition 6 . —

Given a function νC([0, η], R), with λq,ν and δ > 0, for all W of equation (36) and W be a unique solution of (14), then

WWλq,ννσ,σ0,η, (38)

then system (14) is HUR generalized stable.

Remark 2 . —

Suppose μ(σ) ∈ C([0, 1], R), we say WB satisfies inequality (36), suppose that,

  1. |μ(σ)| ≤ δν(σ), ∀σ ∈ [0, η].

  2. ωABCDωσW(σ) = Ψ(σ, W(σ)) + μ(σ), ∀σ ∈ [0, η].

Now, we consider the resulting perturbation equation of system (14) as follows:

DABCσωWσ=Ψσ,Wσ+μσ,W0=W0. (39)

Lemma 5 . —

From equation (39), we say the following result hold. Thus,

WσApΨσ,Wσ1ωω+ηωωΓωμσδ. (40)

Proof —

Consider Lemma 2.2 relatively, solution for equation (39) is given as;

Wσ=W0+IABCσωΨσ,Wσ+IABCσωμσ. (41)

Now, with the help of (21), we deduce that

WσApΨσ,Wσ1ωωνσ+ηωωΓω0σσs1ωμσds1ωω+ηωωΓωμσδ. (42)

Theorem 4 . —

Suppose that the Ebola-malaria co-infection (11) is HUR stable if ∃

Λ=1ωωLμ+ηωωΓωLμ<1. (43)

Proof —

With the help from the Lemma 5.3, let WB be any solution and WB be a unique solution for considered problem (14), then

WσWσ=WσApWσWσApWσ+ApWσApWσ1ωω+ηωωΓωνσδ+1ωωLμ+ηωωΓωLμWW. (44)

Thus,

WσWσ1ω/ω+ηω/ωΓω11ω/ωLμ+ηω/ωΓωLμνσδ. (45)

Hence, we conclude that, the Ebola-malaria coinfection (11) is HUR stable. Consequently, the Ebola-malaria coinfection model (11) is generalized HUR stable.

6. Numerical Scheme

Here we provide the numerical schemes for the two-step Lagrange interpolation used in our considered ABC-fractional operator model of the Ebola-malaria coinfection. By using the initial condition and the operator ABCI0ω, we transform the Ebola-malaria co-infection (14) into a system of fractional integral equations, as shown below.

SHσSH0=IABC0ω1σ,SHσ,LEσLE0=IABC0ω2σ,LEσ,IUσIU0=IABC0ω3σ,IUσ,IDσID0=IABC0ω4σ,IDσ,ITσIT0=IABC0ω5σ,ITσ,JσJ0=IABC0ω6σ,Jσ,EMσEM0=IABC0ω7σ,EMσ,IMσIM0=IABC0ω8σ,IMσ,RMσRM0=IABC0ω9σ,RMσ,EEMσEEM0=IABC0ω10σ,EEMσ,IEMσIEM0=IABC0ω11σ,IEMσ,SVσSV0=IABC0ω12σ,SVσ,EVσEV0=IABC0ω13σ,EVσ,IVσIV0=IABC0ω14σ,IVσ, (46)

which we can easily get the following:

SHσ=SH0+1ωω1σ,SHσ+ωωΓω0σ1s,SHsσsω1ds,LEσ=LE0+1ωω2σ,LEσ+ωωΓω0σ2s,LEsσsω1ds,IUσ=IU0+1ωω3σ,IUσ+ωωΓω0σ3s,IUsσsω1ds,IDσ=ID0+1ωω4σ,IDσ+ωωΓω0σ4s,IDsσsω1ds,ITσ=IT0+1ωω5σ,ITσ+ωωΓω0σ5s,ITsσsω1ds,Jσ=J0+1ωω6σ,Jσ+ωωΓω0σ6s,Jsσsω1ds,EMσ=EM0+1ωω7σ,EMσ+ωωΓω0σ7s,EMsσsω1ds,IMσ=IM0+1ωω8σ,IMσ+ωωΓω0σ8s,IMsσsω1ds,RMσ=RM0+1ωω9σ,RMσ+ωωΓω0σ9s,RMsσsω1ds,EEMσ=EEM0+1ωω10σ,EEMσ+ωωΓω0σ11s,EEMsσsω1ds,IEMσ=IEM0+1ωω11σ,IEMσ+ωωΓω0σ11s,IEMsσsω1ds,SVσ=SV0+1ωω12σ,SVσ+ωωΓω0σ12s,SVsσsω1ds,EVσ=EV0+1ωω13σ,EVσ+ωωΓω0σ13s,EVsσsω1ds,IVσ=IV0+1ωω14σ,IVσ+ωωΓω0σ14s,IVsσsω1ds. (47)

Consider the ABC derivative under the Cauchy problem, and the ABC integral of Lemma 2.2 can be replicated using the fundamental theory of calculus.

Θσ=Θ0+1ωωσ,Θσ+ωωΓω0σσ,Θσσsω1ds. (48)

Taking the point σ(z + 1) = (z + 1)h and σz = zh, z = 0, 1, 2, ⋯, with h being the time step, we can simply deduce

Θσz+1=Θ0+1ωωσ,Θσ+ωωΓω0σs,Θsσsω1ds,=Θ0+1ωωσz,Θσz+ωωΓω0σz+1θ,Θθσz+1θω1dθ,=Θ0+1ωωσz,Θσz+ωωΓωr=0zσrσr+1θ,Θθσz+1θω1dθ. (49)

Having the interval of [σz, σ(z + 1)], the two term Lagrange polynomial is given as follows:

γrθ=θσr1σrσr1σr,Θσrθσrσrσr1σr1,Θσr1,=σr,Θσrhθσr1σr1,Θσr1hθσr,σr,Θrhθσr1σr1,Θr1hθσr. (50)

Taking the approximation solution of (50) into (49);

Θσz+1=Θ0+1ωωσz,Θσz+ωωΓω×r=0zσr,Θrhσrσr+1θσr1σz+1σω1dθσr1,Θr1hσrσr+1θσrσz+1σω1dθ. (51)

Solving the integral equations in the (51), let us take:

Yω,r,1=σrσr+1θσr1σz+1σω1dθ,Yω,r,2=σrσr+1θσrσz+1σω1dθ. (52)

Now, we can deduce from (52) as follows by applying integration by substitution:

Yω,r,1=hω+1z+1rσzr+2+σzrσzr+2+2σωω+1,Yω,r,2=hω+1n+1rσ+1zrσzr+1+σωω+1. (53)

Here, knowing Yω,r,1 and Yω,r,2, we simply substituted into (51) which then gives us the following numerical scheme:

Θσz+1=Θ0+1ωωσz,Θσz+ωω×r=0zhωσr,ΘrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhωσr1,Θr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω. (54)

Hence, we suggest the following fractional-order model for the Ebola-malaria coinfection model under the ABC-fractional derivative:

SHz+1=SH0+1ωω1σz,SHσz+ωω×r=0zhω1σr,SHrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω1σr1,SHr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,LEz+1=LE0+1ωω2σz,LEσz+ωω×r=0zhω2σr,LErΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω2σr1,LEr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,IUz+1=IU0+1ωω3σz,IUσz+ωω×r=0zhω3σr,IUrΓω+2z+1rωzk+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω3σr1,IUr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,IDz+1=ID0+1ωω4σz,IDσz+ωω×r=0zhω4σr,IDrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω4σr1,IDr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,ITz+1=IT0+1ωω5σz,ITσz+ωω×r=0zhω5σr,ITrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω5σr1,ITr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,Jz+1=J0+1ωω6σz,Jσz+ωω×r=0zhω6σr,JrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω6σr1,Jr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,EMz+1=EM0+1ωω7σz,EMσz+ωω×r=0zhω7σr,EMrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω7σr1,EMr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,IMz+1=IM0+1ωω8σz,IMσz+ωω×r=0zhω8σr,IMrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω8σr1,IMr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,RMz+1=RM0+1ωω9σz,RMσz+ωω×r=0zhω9σr,RMrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω9σr1,RMr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,EEMz+1=EEM0+1ωω10σz,EEMσz+ωω×r=0zhω10σr,EEMrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω10σr1,EEMr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,IEMz+1=IEM0+1ωω11σz,IEMσz+ωω×r=0zhω11σr,IEMrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω11σr1,IEMr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,SVz+1=SV0+1ωω12σz,SVσz+ωω×r=0zhω12σr,SVrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω12σr1,SVr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω,EVz+1=EV0+1ωω13σz,EVσn+ωω×r=0zhω13σr,EVrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω13σr1,EVr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ωIVz+1=IV0+1ωω14σz,IVσz+ωω×r=0zhω14σr,IVrΓω+2z+1rωzr+2+ωzrωzr+2+2ωωωr=0zhω14σr1,IVr1Γω+2z+1rω+1zrωzr+1+ω. (55)

7. Numerical Results and Discussion

We illustrate the analytical results of this study by carrying out numerical simulations of the models using parameter values in Table 1 with initial values SH(0) = 1000, LE(0) = 270, IU(0) = 210, ID(0) = 300, ID(0) = 300, IT(0) = 320, J(0) = 200, EM(0) = 150, IM(0) = 800, RM(0) = 500, EEM(0) = 800, IEM(0) = 200, SV(0) = 650, EV(0) = 420, and IV(0) = 350. For the given sets of parameters in Table 1, we show the approximate solutions obtained using the considered iterative approaches against different fractional orders for each compartment, as seen in Figures 13. The illustrative graphs in Figures 1(a), 1(c), 1(d), 1(f), 2(b), 2(d), 2(e), 2(f), and 3(b) show no crossover effect but Figures 1(b), 1(e), 2(a), 2(c), and 3(a) show a crossover effect when the fractional order is changed. Figure 4 shows the fractional dynamics when one varies the malaria treatment rate with a fractional order of σ = 0.90. It shows that an increasing treatment rate reduces the number of infected individuals with malaria but does not affect the number of infected individuals with Ebola. Figure 5 shows the dynamics of the disease when one increases the rate of treatment of individuals infected with Ebola. Figure 6 shows the fractional dynamics when one varies the Ebola detection rate with a fractional order of 0.9. In a nutshell, we notice that the variation in the treatment rate for malaria does not affect susceptible individuals. SH, individuals that are latently infected with the Ebola virus LE(t), Ebola virus afflicted people who went unnoticed IU, individuals who have been infected with the Ebola virus and have been diagnosed with the disease ID, persons undergoing Ebola virus therapy IT, isolated Ebola individuals J, malaria-exposed population EM, individuals who are infected with the Ebola virus and at the risk of contracting malaria EEM, persons infected with Ebola and malaria IEM, and the vector population NV = SV + EV + IV. Similarly, when one varies the treatment rate for Ebola, we notice that the following compartment is not affected; thus, susceptible individuals SH, Ebola virus afflicted people who went unnoticed IU, malaria-exposed population EM, individuals who are infected with the Ebola virus and at the risk of contracting malaria EEM, individuals infected with Ebola and malaria IEM, individuals affected with malaria only IM, recovered individuals from malaria RM and the vector population NV = SV + EV + IV. The graphical dynamics of the variation in the detection rate indicate that the variation in the detection rate only affects the following compartments: individuals that are latently infected with the Ebola virus LE(t), Ebola virus afflicted people who went unnoticed IU, individuals who have been infected with the Ebola virus and have been diagnosed with the disease ID, and people undergoing Ebola virus therapy IT.

Table 1.

Parameter values in the model.

Parameters Values Sources Parameters Values Sources
π H 800 Assumed r, γUE 0.05, 0.003 Assumed
π V 500 Assumed θ 0.028 Assumed
μ 1/65 × 365 Forecasted η EM 0.08 Assumed
τ 1 0.009 Assumed η D 0.01 Assumed
τ 3 0.013 Assumed ρ 0.0095 Assumed
ε 1, ε2 0.0001, 0.001 Assumed σ 1, σ2 0.001, 0.001 [16]
δ IM 0.003 Assumed b 0.0031 Assumed
K E 0.0008 Assumed β V 0.008 Assumed
δ UE , δDE 0.0027, 0.008 [17, 18] ϕ 1 0.018 Assumed
σ V 0.1 [17] ϕ 3 0.0012 [16]
β E , βEM 0.080, 0.080 Assumed K M , KEM 0.008, 0.008 Assumed
η 1, η2 0.034, 0.067 Assumed δ j , δEM, δIEM 0.008, 0.003,0.008 Assumed
β M 0.04 Assumed ε 3 0.082 Assumed
ϕ 2 0.028 Assumed τ 4 0.0069 [18]
ω 1 0.021 Assumed τ 2 0.0018 Assumed
η T 0.0018 Assumed μ V 0.004 Assumed
η J 0.01 Assume

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Fractional dynamics of different classes at different fractional order σ.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Fractional dynamics of different classes at different fractional order σ.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Fractional dynamics of different classes at different fractional order σ.

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Fractional dynamics when one varies malaria treatment rate with fractional order σ = 0.90.

Figure 5.

Figure 5

Fractional dynamics when one varies Ebola treatment rate with fractional order σ = 0.90.

Figure 6.

Figure 6

Fractional dynamics when one varies Ebola detection rate with fractional order σ = 0.90.

8. Conclusion

This paper considers Ebola-malaria coinfection under the Mittag-Leffler kernel fractional derivative. We have determined epidemiological, computational, and theoretical inferences to understand better how to prevent the Ebola, malaria, and Ebola-malaria coinfections simultaneously in the human population. In a prior mathematical investigation into Ebola-malaria coinfections, the fractional derivative was not taken into account. As a result, our research adds up to the dynamic analysis of Ebola, malaria, and Ebola-malaria coinfections. First and foremost, we guaranteed solutions' existence and uniqueness by using the Krasnoselskii's type and the Banach fixed point theorem. HU stability ensured the model's stability. The simulation has been given with the help of the Lagrange interpolation to solve the considered problem analytically. Our results reveal that the prevalence of the Ebola, malaria and Ebola-malaria coinfections varied from low to moderate depending on the fractional operators. In addition, we observed from our solutions that there was no significant difference in the Ebola-malaria coinfections of the immune response. Moreover, Ebola-malaria coinfection-related mortality varied from moderate to high depending on the fractional operators. Hence, we conclude that the global nature of ABC-fractional order dynamics excellently explains the coinfection model characteristics. Thus, the concept in this paper has crucial implications for biological models and their problems, and it is helpful for Ebola-malaria coinfection analysis and control strategy. In future work, different fractional order derivatives and their theoretical and numerical stability can be investigated with other control measures.

Acknowledgments

This work was funded by the Key R&D program of Shanxi Province (International Cooperation, 201903D421042) and the Research Project supported by the Shanxi Scholarship Council of China (2021-030). The second author appreciates the cooperation of the Chinese government and the Shanxi Provincial government.

Contributor Information

Lingling Zhang, Email: tyutzll@126.com.

Joshua Kiddy K. Asamoah, Email: jkkasamoah@knust.edu.gh.

Data Availability

No data is used for this study.

Conflicts of Interest

The writers state that they do not have any competing interests.

Authors' Contributions

All authors contributed and supported the writing of this manuscript equally, and the final paper was read and approved.

References

  • 1.Mensah J., Dontwi J., Bonyah E. Stability analysis of Zika–malaria co-infection model for malaria endemic region. Journal of advances in Mathematics and computer science . 2018;26(1):1–22. doi: 10.9734/JAMCS/2018/37229. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.World Malaria Report. World Health Organization. 2020. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240015791 .
  • 3.European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. Outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa . Stockholm: ECDC; 2014. [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Chen Y., Liu F., Yu Q., Li T. Review of fractional epidemic models. Applied mathematical modelling. . 2021;97(97):281–307. doi: 10.1016/j.apm.2021.03.044. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Atangana A., Gómez-Aguilar J. F. Fractional derivatives with no-index law property: application to chaos and statistics. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals . 2018;114(114):516–535. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2018.07.033. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Saad K. M., Gómez-Aguilar J. F. Analysis of reaction-diffusion system via a new fractional derivative with non-singular kernel. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications . 2018;509(509):703–716. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.05.137. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Asamoah J. K., Okyere E., Yankson E., et al. Non-fractional and fractional mathematical analysis and simulations for Q fever. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals . 2022;156(156, article 111821) doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.111821. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Aslam M., Murtaza R., Abdeljawad T., Khan A., Khan H., Gulzar H. A fractional order HIV/AIDS epidemic model with Mittag-Leffler kernel. Advances in Difference Equations . 2021;2021(1):5. doi: 10.1186/s13662-021-03264-5. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Okyere E., Oduro F. T., Amponsah S. K., Dontwi I. K., Frempong N. K. Fractional order SIR model with constant population. British Journal of Mathematics & Computer Science . 2016;14(2):1–2. doi: 10.9734/BJMCS/2016/23017. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Akindeinde S. O., Okyere E., Adewumi A. O., Lebelo R. S., Fabelurin O. O., Moore S. E. Caputo fractional-order SEIRP model for COVID-19 pandemic. Alexandria Engineering Journal . 2022;61(1):829–845. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2021.04.097. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Erturk V. S., Godwe E., Baleanu D., Kumar P., Asad J., Jajarmi A. Novel fractional-order Lagrangian to describe motion of beam on nanowire. Acta Physica Polonica A . 2021;140(3):265–272. doi: 10.12693/APhysPolA.140.265. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Jajarmi A., Baleanu D., Vahid K. Z., Pirouz H. M., Asad J. H. A new and general fractional Lagrangian approach: a capacitor microphone case study. Results in Physics . 2021;31(31, article 104950) doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104950. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Baleanu D., Ghassabzade F. A., Nieto J. J., Jajarmi A. On a new and generalized fractional model for a real cholera outbreak. Alexandria Engineering Journal . 2022;61(11):9175–9186. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2022.02.054. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Jajarmi A., Baleanu D., Sajjadi S. S., Nieto J. J. Analysis and some applications of a regularized Ψ-Hilfer fractional derivative. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics . 2022;415, article 114476 doi: 10.1016/j.cam.2022.114476. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Berge T., Lubuma J. S., Moremedi G. M., Morris N., Kondera-Shava R. A simple mathematical model for Ebola in Africa. Journal of biological dynamics . 2017;11(1):42–74. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2016.1229817. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Chowell G., Nishiura H. Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review. BMC medicine . 2014;12(1):1–7. doi: 10.1186/s12916-014-0196-0. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Omoloye M. A., Adewale S. O. Mathematical analysis of sensitive parameters on the dynamical transmission of Ebola-malaria co-infections. International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security (IJCSIS) . 2021;19(7):21–45. [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Omoloye M. A., Adewale S. O. Optimal Control Analysis on Mathematical Model of Dynamical Transmission of Ebola-Malaria Co-infections. Journal of Information and Computational Science . 2021;11(9):174–195. [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Omame A., Isah M. E., Abbas M., Abdel-Aty A. H., Onyenegecha C. P. A fractional order model for dual variants of COVID-19 and HIV co-infection via Atangana-Baleanu derivative. Alexandria Engineering Journal . 2022;61(12):9715–9731. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2022.03.013. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.Atangana A., Gómez-Aguilar J. F. A new derivative with normal distribution kernel: theory, methods and applications. Physica A: Statistical mechanics and its applications . 2017;476(476):1–4. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.02.016. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Atangana A., Baleanu D. New fractional derivatives with nonlocal and non-singular kernel: theory and application to heat transfer model. 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.03408 .
  • 22.Sher M., Shah K., Khan Z. A., Khan H., Khan A. Computational and theoretical modeling of the transmission dynamics of novel COVID-19 under Mittag-Leffler power law. Alexandria Engineering Journal . 2020;59(5):3133–3147. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2020.07.014. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Gómez-Aguilar J. F., Rosales-García J. J., Bernal-Alvarado J. J., Córdova-Fraga T., Guzmán-Cabrera R. Fractional mechanical oscillators. Revista mexicana de física . 2012;58(4):348–352. [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Baleanu D., Abadi M. H., Jajarmi A., Vahid K. Z., Nieto J. J. A new comparative study on the general fractional model of COVID-19 with isolation and quarantine effects. Alexandria Engineering Journal . 2022;61(6):4779–4791. doi: 10.1016/j.aej.2021.10.030. [DOI] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

No data is used for this study.


Articles from Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine are provided here courtesy of Wiley

RESOURCES