Abstract
Pediatric low-grade glioma (pLGG) encompasses a variety of tumor subtypes with heterogeneous treatment response and relatively long progression-free survival (PFS). Radiomics may serve as a non-invasive and in-vivo tool for early prediction of PFS as a surrogate marker for treatment response and to objectively gauge the efficacy of novel treatment strategies. Here, we present a multivariate model based on radiomic features and clinical variables for risk stratification of pLGGs in terms of PFS and seek associations of the predicted risk groups and mutations in key molecular markers using data from PedCBioportal. Pre-operative multi-parametric MRI scans (T1-pre, T1-post, T2, T2-FLAIR) of 129 patients with newly diagnosed pLGG (median age, 7.76, range, 0.35-19.58 years; median PFS, 28.5, range, 1.1-124.8 months) were collected and quantitative radiomic features (n = 881) were extracted. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard’s (Cox-PH) regression model was fitted based on clinical (age, sex, and extent of tumor resection) and radiomic variables using 4-fold cross-validation. A subset of radiomic features (n = 27) that were most predictive of PFS was selected by applying Elastic Net regularization penalty during Cox-PH model fitting. High-, medium- and low-risk groups were determined based on model predictions. Cox-PH modeling showed excellent performance for prediction of PFS as suggested by the concordance index of 0.78. Radiogenomic assessment (data available in 94/129 patients) showed more enrichment of mutations in NF1 and RB1 genes in the high-risk group, as compared to the low- and medium-risk groups. We showed the potential value of radiomics in providing upfront prediction of PFS, which may further be used as an added treatment arm for early assessment of treatment response of the pLGG patients enrolled in the clinical trials. In the next step of this work, we will expand the cohort and cross-validate these results in an external cohort.