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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Nov 16.
Published in final edited form as: AIDS. 2019 Mar 15;33(4):701–708. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002111

Table 1.

Estimated rates of HIV diagnosis among men who have sex with men (MSM), persons who inject drugs (PWID), and heterosexuals, by selected characteristics and years (2010 and 2015)

2010
 2015
Reported HIV diagnosis Estimated Population size Estimated rate per 100,000 persons in the selected population Lower 95% Confidence Interval for Estimated Rate Upper 95% Confidence Interval for Estimated Rate Rate ratio Reported HIV diagnosis Estimated Population size Estimated rate per 100,000 persons in the selected population Lower 95% Confidence Interval for Estimated Rate Upper 95% Confidence Interval for Estimated Rate Rate ratio p-value of z-test: Rate2010 = Rate2015
MSM 26,277 4,470,442 587.8 515.7 661.8 26,459 4,604,040 574.7 503.1 648.5 0.012
Race/Ethnicity
White 8,550 3,045,320 280.8 247.2 315.0 Referent 7,447 3,063,852 243.1 213.8 272.9 Referent 0.000
Hispanica 6,285 665,698 944.1 824.7 1067.8 3.4 7,265 729,936 995.3 866.7 1,129.2 4.1 0.003
Black 9,780 446,461 2190.5 1886.1 2515.2 7.8 10,129 446,395 2269.2 1,935.4 2,632.3 9.3 0.019
Otherb 1,662 312,962 531.0 466.7 596.8 1.9 1,618 363,857 444.8 390.6 500.4 1.8 0.000
Age at diagnosis
13-24 6,932 1,018,299 680.8 602.2 760.1 Referent 7,231 1,016,031 711.7 629.2 795.1 Referent 0.009
25-34 7,748 746,909 1037.3 911.0 1166.7 1.5 9,525 777,711 1224.7 1,071.5 1,382.9 1.7 0.000
35-44 5,844 674,552 866.3 752.5 985.5 1.3 4,566 681,098 670.4 584.0 760.4 0.9 0.000
45-54 4,158 723,203 575.0 498.7 655.2 0.8 3,521 659,871 533.6 459.6 612.5 0.7 0.002
55 & above 1,595 1,307,479 122.0 107.5 136.7 0.2 1,617 1,469,330 110.0 96.6 123.8 0.2 0.006
PWID 3,421 6,532,822 52.4 41.1 76.3 2,347 6,844,304 34.3 26.9 49.9 0.000
Male PWID 1,987 4,420,771 45.0 33.6 68.1 1,343 4,640,587 28.9 21.6 43.8 0.000
Race/Ethnicity
White 409 3,129,365 13.1 10.1 18.4 Referent 492 3,173,651 15.5 12.0 21.8 Referent 0.015
Hispanic/Latinoa 501 421,476 118.7 84.1 201.8 9.1 330 476,541 69.2 49.1 117.0 4.5 0.000
Black 986 449,148 219.5 154.9 376.6 16.8 465 485,733 95.8 67.8 162.9 6.2 0.000
Otherb 92 194,694 47.4 28.5 141.4 3.6 57 228,890 24.8 14.9 73.4 1.6 0.000
Age at diagnosis
13-24 105 478,086 21.9 15.1 39.4 Referent 119 479,327 24.8 17.1 44.6 Referent 0.420
25-34 337 700,456 48.1 32.0 91.3 2.2 349 753,359 46.4 30.9 87.9 1.9 0.656
35-44 494 820,557 60.2 47.2 82.8 2.8 288 817,119 35.3 27.7 48.4 1.4 0.000
45-54 655 805,285 81.4 63.8 108.1 3.7 327 780,615 41.9 32.9 55.5 1.7 0.000
55 & above 397 1,207,532 32.8 26.0 42.8 1.5 260 1,388,544 18.7 14.8 24.5 0.8 0.000
Female PWID 1,434 2,048,831 70.0 55.7 103.0 1,004 2,142,676 46.8 37.3 68.9 0.000
Race/Ethnicity
White 409 1,375,357 29.7 26.4 34.0 Referent 475 1,386,005 34.3 30.4 39.2 Referent 0.056
Hispanic/Latinoa 203 121,433 166.9 114.0 241.7 5.6 139 139,308 99.8 68.4 143.8 2.9 0.000
Black 726 217,026 334.7 191.1 1344.6 11.3 339 232,801 145.4 83.5 562.6 4.2 0.000
Otherb 96 120,991 79.6 60.5 116.4 2.7 51 141,976 35.9 27.3 52.4 1.0 0.000
Age at diagnosis
13-24 150 252,933 59.1 53.7 73.9 Referent 122 253,492 48.0 43.6 60.0 Referent 0.135
25-34 305 240,862 126.5 108.1 152.4 2.1 294 257,720 114.0 97.5 137.1 2.4 0.273
35-44 356 396,544 89.7 71.2 130.3 1.5 227 396,896 57.2 45.5 82.5 1.2 0.000
45-54 436 343,545 126.9 100.2 190.1 2.1 218 328,994 66.1 52.3 99.0 1.4 0.000
55 & above 188 494,885 38.0 28.4 57.6 0.6 144 556,222 25.9 19.2 39.4 0.5 0.007
Heterosexuals 12,138 222,097,551 5.5 5.3 5.6 9,588 232,249,608 4.1 4.0 4.3 0.000
Male heterosexuals 4,025 105,097,858 3.8 3.7 4.0 3,187 110,119,938 2.9 2.8 3.0 0.000
Race/Ethnicity
White 477 70,148,872 0.7 0.6 0.7 Referent 407 71,123,727 0.6 0.5 0.6 Referent 0.021
Hispanic/Latinoa 755 16,446,928 4.6 4.5 4.7 6.8 595 18,471,966 3.2 3.2 3.3 5.6 0.000
Black 2,604 11,573,257 22.5 20.8 24.4 33.1 2,048 12,361,211 16.6 15.3 18.0 28.9 0.000
Otherb 189 6,917,611 2.7 2.6 2.9 4.0 138 8,098,828 1.7 1.6 1.8 3.0 0.000
Age at diagnosis
13-24 284 18,658,588 1.5 1.4 1.6 Referent 260 18,704,146 1.4 1.3 1.5 Referent 0.321
25-34 767 18,408,479 4.2 4.1 4.2 2.7 702 19,765,031 3.6 3.5 3.6 2.6 0.003
35-44 1,105 18,152,989 6.1 5.8 6.4 4.0 770 17,933,380 4.3 4.1 4.5 3.1 0.000
45-54 1,150 19,456,641 5.9 5.7 6.1 3.9 767 18,673,426 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.0 0.000
55 & above 720 31,470,376 2.3 2.2 2.4 1.5 688 36,403,394 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.001
Female heterosexuals 8,112 117,295,434 6.9 6.7 7.1 6,401 122,425,509 5.2 5.1 5.4 0.000
Race/Ethnicity
White 1,053 77,852,474 1.4 1.3 1.4 Referent 961 78,451,182 1.2 1.2 1.3 Referent 0.034
Hispanic/Latinoa 1,315 16,669,886 7.9 7.8 8.0 5.8 1,052 18,917,114 5.6 5.5 5.6 4.5 0.000
Black 5,310 14,498,861 36.6 36.0 37.3 27.1 4,075 15,343,100 26.6 26.1 27.1 21.7 0.000
Otherb 434 8,208,715 5.3 5.1 5.5 3.9 313 9,583,524 3.3 3.1 3.4 2.7 0.000
Age at diagnosis
13-24 1,327 18,287,439 7.3 6.9 7.6 Referent 945 18,305,011 5.2 4.9 5.4 Referent 0.000
25-34 2,127 19,385,424 11.0 10.6 11.3 1.5 1,686 20,599,385 8.2 7.9 8.5 1.6 0.000
35-44 2,074 19,576,132 10.6 10.3 10.9 1.5 1,542 19,323,097 8.0 7.7 8.2 1.5 0.000
45-54 1,665 20,937,895 8.0 7.4 8.6 1.1 1,300 19,996,105 6.5 6.0 7.1 1.3 0.000
55 & above 919 39,797,564 2.3 2.2 2.4 0.3 928 45,219,313 2.1 2.0 2.2 0.4 0.016
a

Hispanic/Latino can be of any race

b

Other race/ethnicy category includes American Indian/Alaska Native, Asian, Native Hawaiian/other Pacific Islander, and multiple races

MSM = men who have sex with men

PWID = Persons who inject drugs