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. 2022 Feb 28;38(3):505–519. doi: 10.1016/j.ccc.2022.02.001

COVID-19 Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

One Pathogen, Multiple Phenotypes

Susannah Empson a,, Angela J Rogers b, Jennifer G Wilson c
PMCID: PMC9671407  PMID: 35667740

Abstract

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a heterogeneous syndrome arising from multiple causes with a range of clinical severity. In recent years, the potential for prognostic and predictive enrichment of clinical trials has been increased with identification of more biologically homogeneous subgroups or phenotypes within ARDS. COVID-19 ARDS also exhibits significant clinical heterogeneity despite a single causative agent. In this review the authors summarize the existing literature on COVID-19 ARDS phenotypes, including physiologic, clinical, and biological subgroups as well as the implications for improving both prognostication and precision therapy.

Keywords: ARDS, COVID-19, Subtypes, Phenotypes

Key points

  • COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) represents a distinct subset of ARDS.

  • Significant clinical heterogeneity exists within COVID-19 ARDS despite a single causative agent.

  • Several physiologically, clinically, and biologically derived phenotypes of COVID-19 ARDS have been identified.

  • Phenotypic stratification in COVID-19 ARDS has value for both prognostic and predictive enrichment.

Introduction

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) is the novel respiratory virus responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, which in less than 2 years has caused more than 4.5 million deaths worldwide.1 In its most severe form, COVID-19 causes acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), a syndrome defined by acute onset hypoxemia (Pao 2:Fio 2 < 300) with bilateral infiltrates not otherwise explained by volume overload or cardiac failure.2

ARDS is a clinically heterogeneous syndrome arising from multiple causes (pneumonia, aspiration, trauma, sepsis, pancreatitis, and so forth) and with a range of clinical severity. Although the landmark ARDS Network trials showed a mortality benefit from lung protective ventilation, subsequent experimental therapies have failed to demonstrate consistent benefit.3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 One plausible explanation for the numerous negative trials, despite high-quality preliminary evidence, is the substantial heterogeneity within the ARDS population; this has led to an interest in identifying more homogeneous subgroups or phenotypes within ARDS for both prognostic and predictive enrichment. Prognostic enrichment enables identification of patients at highest risk for poor outcomes, thereby increasing the power to detect a therapeutic benefit with an intervention, should one exist. Predictive enrichment allows for selection of patients most likely to respond to a given therapy, thereby amplifying the effect of a particular treatment of any given sample size. Both strategies are recommended by the Food and Drug Administration and increase the efficacy of clinical trials.10 Thus far, several physiologically, clinically, and biologically derived subphenotypes have been identified (Table 1 ) with the potential to more efficiently and effectively test and tailor interventions to the unique profile of the patient.11 , 12

Table 1.

Proposed acute respiratory distress syndrome and COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome phenotypes

Phenotype ARDS COVID-19 ARDS
Physiologic Hypoxemia (Pao2:Fio2)
Lung water/weight
Dead space fraction
Ventilatory ratio
Driving pressure
Hypoxemia (level of respiratory support)
Lung compliance
Clinical Direct/indirect
Early/late (time of onset, duration)
Trauma-related/medical
Radiographic patterns (focal/diffuse)
Extrapulmonary organ involvement (AKI)
Demographic characteristics
Medical comorbidities
Radiographic characteristics
Early/late (time since symptom onset)
Worsening/recovering
Extrapulmonary organ involvement
Biological
  • Genomic (genome-wide association)

  • Transcriptomic (microRNA analysis)

  • Proteomic (biomarkers)
    • Inflammation
    • Endothelial injury
    • Epithelial injury
    • Impaired coagulation
  • Metabolomic

  • Hyper/hypoinflammatory

  • Genomic

  • Transcriptomic

  • Proteomic
    • Pathogen Factors
      • Viral variant
      • Viral kinetics (viral load at 7–14 d)
      • Viremia
    • Host Factors
      • Serostatus
      • Hypo-/hyperinflammatory
      • Coagulation profile
  • Metabolomic

In contrast to the general ARDS population, patients with COVID-19 ARDS have a single unifying causative agent and might therefore be expected to show less clinical heterogeneity. Nevertheless, the spectrum of disease severity observed in COVID-19 can range from asymptomatic to fulminant hypoxemic respiratory failure. The reasons for this marked variation in disease severity are incompletely understood but are hypothesized to include both host and pathogen factors.13 , 14 Even among the subset of COVID-19 patients who develop COVID-19 ARDS, there is a spectrum of physiology, biomarker expression, and outcomes, and controversy remains as to which patients should be treated with which therapies. Furthermore, we remain unable to predict, nor can we fully explain, why some patients improve and others develop persistent or fatal disease. As with ARDS in general, therefore, there is substantial interest in identifying more homogeneous subgroups of COVID-19 ARDS within the broader population. In order to be clinically meaningful, however, these subgroups must be more than mere descriptions of different clinical presentations and patterns of disease. Phenotypes of COVID-19 ARDS are valuable only if they are1 feasibly identifiable and2 improve our ability to prognosticate or predict treatment response.

In this review, the authors summarize the existing literature on clinically meaningful COVID-19 ARDS phenotypes, including the impact of the timeline of disease progression on phenotypic features, how these phenotypes are compared with known ARDS phenotypes, and how this approach may be leveraged to improve both prognostication and precision therapy.

Physiologic phenotypes in COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome

Severity of Hypoxemia

Codified within the Berlin consensus definition of ARDS, severity of hypoxemia has been used to stratify patients with ARDS both pre-COVID-19 and post-COVID-19.2 Pre-COVID-19, many major clinical trials of ARDS used severity of hypoxemia as an enrichment strategy for their study population, enrolling patients with moderate-to-severe hypoxemia (Pao 2:Fio 2 <150).4 , 5 , 15 To date, the most important clinical trials of therapies for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to COVID-19 have analyzed treatment effect based on level of respiratory support at the time of randomization. Although in theory level of respiratory support should correlate with degree of hypoxemia, because of institutional variation in timing of intubation and use of noninvasive positive pressure ventilation, this is likely an imperfect proxy. Nonetheless, multiple recent trials have shown important differences in treatment effect based on level of respiratory support at time of randomization. Most notably, the RECOVERY trial of dexamethasone showed maximal benefit in patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation, less benefit in patients receiving supplemental oxygen but not mechanically ventilated, and a trend toward harm in patients on no oxygen therapy16; this raises questions about the mechanisms by which some therapies provide benefit to patients with lower severity of illness, whereas others seem to provide greater benefit to those with more severe disease. As discussed earlier, it may be that the degree of hypoxemia is best understood as a proxy for the time course and underlying biology, providing the clinician with important data on which patient is most likely to benefit from which therapy and when.

Lung Compliance

Early in the pandemic, Marini and Gattinoni noted that severity of hypoxemia alone was not sufficient to understand the “stages” of COVID-19 ARDS. They proposed phenotyping patients with COVID-19 ARDS according to lung compliance and advocated for a ventilation strategy that departed from traditional tenets of lung protective ventilation based on compliance phenotype. It was suggested that patients with preserved compliance (termed “L phenotype”) be ventilated with lower PEEP and slightly higher tidal volumes, whereas patients with poor lung compliance (“H phenotype”) be managed with a traditional lung protective ventilation strategy.17 It has since been demonstrated, however, that patients with pre-COVID-19 ARDS also had a range of lung compliance early in disease,18 and therefore current consensus is that a low tidal volume lung protective ventilation approach is appropriate for all patients with COVID-19 ARDS regardless of their compliance profile.19 Nonetheless, Marini and Gattinoni introduced 2 fundamental concepts with which most experts now agree1: not all patients with COVID-19 ARDS have the same phenotype, and2 an individual’s phenotype may change over time.

Clinical phenotypes of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome

Baseline Demographics and Comorbidities

Accepted risk factors for severe or fatal COVID-19 include older age, male sex, obesity, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic lung, liver or kidney disease, immunocompromise, and active cancer.20 , 21 Nonwhite race is also associated with higher risk of death from COVID-19 in the Unites States and United Kingdom, a disparity that is largely attributable to underlying socioeconomic disadvantage.22 , 23 Age and comorbidities have been used as prognostic enrichment criteria for clinical trials in COVID-19, but once COVID-19 ARDS has developed, all patients are at high risk of death from hypoxemic respiratory failure and worsening extrapulmonary organ dysfunction, so these prognostic enrichment factors may be less important in terms of trial design. Beyond providing prognostic value, however, baseline patient phenotypes may help select patients for trials of more targeted therapies such as monoclonal antibodies in immunocompromised patients or SGLT2 inhibitors in diabetic or obese patients.24 As with all subgroups of patients with COVID-19 ARDS, however, these baseline phenotypes may be more precisely characterized by combining them with other physiologic, clinical, or biological variables, all of which are discussed in other sections of this review.

Radiographic Findings

As with pre-COVID ARDS, radiographic findings associated with COVID-19 have been well described and correlate with disease severity.25, 26, 27, 28, 29 Increasingly, studies have attempted to identify patterns on computed tomography (CT) that might serve as predictors of disease progression and mortality. Ruch and colleagues demonstrated that visual quantification of affected lung parenchyma on hospital admission CT was independently associated with disease severity.30 In one retrospective study, the volume of affected lung as well as the rate of progression on serial CT scans performed within 5 days of symptom onset predicted progression to severe disease in advance of clinical decompensation.31

Pellegrini and colleagues used chest CT to describe the progression of lung injury in a small cohort of critically ill patients with COVID-19 ARDS, observing initially a predominantly subpleural distribution of hypo- and nonaerated sections of lung.32 However, in those patients exposed to volutrauma, extensive centripetal progression of disease was noted. Similar radiographic findings were observed in those with a positive fluid balance and elevated ferritin and d-dimer levels and were associated with worsening gas exchange and pulmonary mechanics. Results of this study show that worsening radiographic lung injury correlates with multiple known risk factors for poor outcome, including duration of symptoms, volutrauma, positive fluid balance (and associated increase in lung weight), systemic inflammation, and hypercoagulability. Whether this subset of patients with worsening CT findings represents a distinct phenotype of COVID-19 ARDS or the end stage of disease progression remains unclear, and although radiographic phenotyping can prove prognostically useful, it is uncertain whether or how it should guide management.

Time Since Symptom Onset and Trajectory of Disease

The importance of time since symptom onset in terms of selecting COVID-19 therapies has been apparent from the beginning of the pandemic. Many patients will not develop severe illness until a week or more after onset of symptoms. In light of this, several clinical trials have limited enrollment to patients who are within a certain window from symptom onset or planned subgroup analyses based on time since symptom onset (ACTIV-3, RECOVERY).16 , 33 The rationale for this is clearly based on the temporal dynamics of peak viral load and antibody/immune response (Fig. 1 below).34 Although point-of-care tests for antibody status are in development, until such tests are available, time since symptom onset may serve as a way to categorize patients, with “earlier” patients more likely to benefit from therapies focused on inhibiting viral replication and enhancing viral clearance (such as antiviral therapy and monoclonal antibodies), and “later” patients more likely to benefit from immunomodulating therapies. In support of this idea, the RECOVERY trial of dexamethasone discussed earlier showed no benefit in patients who were less than 7 days from symptom onset.16 Of course, the exact timing of onset of symptoms, peak of viral load, and antibody production and inflammasome activation varies from patient to patient. Thus, although time since symptom onset may be a pragmatic way to classify patients, direct measurement of antibody serostatus or inflammatory markers (as discussed in detail later) or combination of time course with other clinical or physiologic markers (such as need for oxygen therapy) is likely a more precise approach to phenotyping patients with COVID-19 with worsening hypoxemic respiratory failure.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

SARS-CoV-2 clinical course, viral replication, and immune response. (Adapted with permission from https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30230-7/fulltext.)

Another way to phenotype patients is based on the trajectory of their organ dysfunction. Su and colleagues describe 2 distinct phenotypes of organ failure trajectory among intubated patients with COVID-19 ARDS based on serial daily Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores over the first 7 days postintubation: worsening or recovering.35 These 2 groups were identified in all strata of illness severity, and baseline demographics, comorbidities, and organ dysfunction did not differ. Patients with the worsening phenotype in the mild and intermediate illness severity strata had worse outcomes than patients with the highest baseline severity of illness who had a recovering phenotype; this suggests that grouping patients with COVID-19 ARDS according to trajectory of extrapulmonary organ dysfunction postintubation is more prognostic than grouping them by baseline risk factors or severity of illness at time of intubation. Further, these findings reinforce the need to investigate the biological pathways driving the progressive extrapulmonary organ dysfunction seen in some but not all patients with COVID-19 ARDS.

Extrapulmonary Organ Dysfunction

Although respiratory failure is the leading cause of death for patients with COVID-19 ARDS, many patients develop multisystem organ dysfunction either before or after the onset of respiratory failure.36 , 37 As one would expect, these patients have worse outcomes, and therefore, presence of extrapulmonary organ dysfunction in patients with worsening hypoxemia may be a low-effort, high-yield strategy for prognostic enrichment. Extrapulmonary organ dysfunction attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infection may also provide important clues about the underlying pathophysiology of severe disease in patients with COVID-19 ARDS. Multiple mechanisms by which SARS-CoV-2 causes multiorgan injury have been postulated, including direct viral toxicity, endothelial inflammation and thrombosis, systemic immune response, and dysregulation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system.38 Focusing future research on the biological profile of this phenotype of patients may therefore help prioritize targets for potential therapeutic intervention.

Biological phenotypes of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome

SARS-CoV-2 Variants and Kinetics

As SARS-CoV-2 mutates over time, different variants of concern have emerged, with the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant predominant in the United States as of Fall 2021.39 Different variants may produce different disease manifestations, likely related to variation in angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 receptor binding affinity and degree of immune escape between different strains.40 Certain therapies proved beneficial during a time when previous variants predominated may work differently in patients infected with a new variant; this has already occurred with combination bamlanivimab and etesevimab monoclonal antibody therapy, which had its emergency use authorization revised based on concern about continued use in areas where resistant variants are prevalent.41 Thus rather than using a one-size-fits-all approach for COVID-19 therapies, tailoring treatments based on SARS-CoV-2 genomics, as well as targeting patients most likely to benefit (eg, seronegative patients) will be an important part of precision care for COVID-19.

Regardless of the viral variant, viral kinetics may also help us identify more homogeneous subgroups within the COVID-19 patient population. As discussed earlier, time from symptom onset to development of symptomatic disease matters in terms of treatment selection. The mechanism underlying this almost certainly relates to the temporal dynamics of infection with SARS-CoV-2 and the nature of the host response. Although nasopharyngeal viral load at admission (as measured by qualitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) is not by itself associated with worse clinical outcomes, persistence of high viral loads at 7 to 14 days postadmission is significantly associated with mortality.42 , 43 In addition, SARS-CoV-2 viremia (as measured by digital PCR in plasma samples) is associated with severe disease and worsened clinical outcomes. Taken together, this suggests that severe disease is in part driven by poor control of the SARS-CoV-2 virus by the immune response.16 Using viral kinetics and viremia may therefore be a feasible way to identify patients at highest risk for deterioration and most likely to derive benefit from antiviral therapies early in the course of disease.

Host Response: Serostatus

Although monoclonal antibody therapies (largely agents directed at various epitopes on the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) have demonstrated benefit in high-risk outpatient populations, previous trials of monoclonal antibody therapies in hospitalized patients had failed to show benefit, even when enrollment was limited to patients with less than 12 days of symptoms.44 , 45 The more recently released results from the RECOVERY trial of combination casirivimab and imdevimab for hospitalized COVID-19 suggests that the failure of monoclonal antibodies in previous inpatient trials may be explained by the serostatus of the patients enrolled: in this large randomized trial, although there was no benefit of therapy observed in the combined trial population (both seronegative and seropositive at baseline), there was a 20% reduction in mortality rate among patients who were seronegative at baseline.46 Thus serostatus has already been shown to be a phenotypic feature by which treatment effect of antiviral therapies will differ and is more precise than using time since symptom onset as a surrogate marker. Because rapid turnaround antibody tests may not be available in all settings, time since symptom onset and severe immunocompromise may be important clinical features to consider when antibody testing is not feasible.

Host Response: Overview

The cascade of the immune and inflammatory response to SARS-CoV-2 infection is complex and incompletely understood. However, the proposed pathogenesis of COVID-19 ARDS is characterized by a dysregulated host response, leading to local and systemic inflammatory and thrombotic derangements. More specifically, infection triggers an immune response characterized by both T- and B-cell activation, leading to inflammatory cytokine release, activation of the complement and coagulation cascades, and resulting endothelial injury.47 Autopsies of deceased patients demonstrate diffuse alveolar damage with leukocyte infiltration, microangiopathy, and thrombosis of the pulmonary capillaries.48 The terms “endotheliitis” and “thromboinflammation” have been used to describe the pathogenesis of severe disease.49 , 50 There has therefore been sustained interest in phenotyping patients according to their cytokine or coagulation profile, each of which is discussed later.

Host Response: Inflammatory Profile

Multiple studies have demonstrated high levels of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with COVID-19, and higher levels correlate with disease severity and clinical outcomes.26 , 51, 52, 53 These data have therefore sparked an interest in “cytokine storm,” as central to the pathogenesis of severe COVID-19.54 Hypo- and hyperinflammatory phenotypes have been well described in the general ARDS population, and Sinha and colleagues were able to identify similar phenotypes in patients with COVID-19 ARDS.55, 56, 57, 58, 59 As with general ARDS, the hyperinflammatory phenotype was associated with a higher mortality rate but was observed at a much lower prevalence than in the matched non-COVID-19 cohort. Furthermore, although proinflammatory cytokine/cytokine receptor (interleukin-6 [IL-6], soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor) levels were elevated, supporting a state of systemic inflammation, they were similar to or lower than those observed in the matched non–COVID-19-associated ARDS cohort.60 , 61 Finally, mortality among both the hypo- and hyperinflammatory COVID-19 cohorts was higher than their matched counterparts. It is therefore hypothesized that COVID-19 ARDS has distinct pathophysiologic features compared with non–COVID-19 ARDS and that severity of disease is incompletely understood and not explained by “cytokine storm.”

Nonetheless, multiple clinical trials have now demonstrated benefit to using antiinflammatory therapies in subgroups of patients with COVID-19 ARDS. Dexamethasone is recommended in all patients with COVID-19 who require supplemental oxygen and shows the greatest benefit in patients requiring mechanical ventilation at the time of randomization. In addition, tocilizumab (an anti-IL-6 therapy) and baricitinib (a JAK inhibitor) have now been proved beneficial in patients with markers of systemic inflammation.62 , 63 Trials of these therapies used elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) (in the case of tocilizumab) and elevated D-dimer, lactate dehydrogenase, or ferritin (in the case of baricitinib) as enrollment criteria, thereby enriching the trial population for patients at higher risk for poor outcomes and most likely to benefit based on mechanism of these antiinflammatory therapies. Taken together, these studies add to the growing body of evidence that there is a subset of patients with COVID-19 with an inflammatory phenotype amenable to targeted therapy within a distinct time frame of clinical disease progression.

Unfortunately, with the exception of dexamethasone, little evidence exists to guide the use of antiinflammatory therapies in COVID-19 ARDS requiring intubation beyond the choice of initial therapy before or within 24 hours of intubation. The COV-BARRIER study of JAK inhibition excluded patients on mechanical ventilation at time of study entry.63 The REMAP-CAP trial of anti-IL-6 therapy in the critically ill required randomization within 24 hours of initiating organ support in the intensive care unit, and the RECOVERY trial of anti-IL-6 therapy showed no benefit in patients who were already mechanically ventilated at the time of study entry.62 , 64 Thus, an incredibly important question remains of how to manage patients with COVID-19 ARDS who have persistent organ dysfunction or elevated inflammatory markers despite initial treatment with dexamethasone or IL-6/JAK inhibition.

The multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children is a hyperinflammatory syndrome triggered by recent SARS-CoV-2 infection that has recognized diagnostic criteria and guidelines for suggested therapy.65 There is now a working definition for a multisystem inflammatory syndrome in adults (MIS-A) as well, and glucocorticoids, anakinra (an IL-1 receptor antagonist), and intravenous immunoglobulin have been suggested as therapies for patients with this phenotype.65, 66, 67 Indeed, although several studies have found that inflammatory cytokine levels in patients with COVID-19 ARDS are not markedly different from critically ill patients with sepsis or ARDS from other causes and are lower than those observed in cytokine release syndrome, noncytokine inflammatory biomarkers (D-dimer, CRP, ferritin) are elevated to a greater degree in COVID-19 than in other critical illnesses.60 , 68 In addition to identifying patients with COVID-19 ARDS with potential MIS-A, several investigators have suggested that there is a subset of severely ill patients with a “macrophage activation syndrome” phenotype (identified by marked hyperferritinemia or a clinical score known as the H-score) in which IL-1 blockade should be considered.69, 70, 71

In summary, there are numerous approaches to identifying patients with COVID-19 ARDS who are showing signs of maladaptive inflammation and who may benefit from antiinflammatory therapies. The question of which approach should be used, and how signs of hyperinflammation should be interpreted and treated at different timepoints in the disease course will be a central focus for researchers going forward.13

Host Response: Coagulation Profile

As discussed earlier, the interaction between inflammation and hypercoagulability is a notable feature of severe COVID-19, and presence of both micro- and macrovascular thrombosis in patients with severe disease and ARDS has been well documented.72, 73, 74, 75 In addition, serum biomarkers of systemic coagulation have been independently associated with more severe forms of disease and poorer outcomes.53 , 76, 77, 78 Clinically, coagulopathy most commonly manifests as high rates of venous thromboembolic disease, but microthrombosis of the pulmonary vasculature has also been posited as a mechanism for the increased dead space observed in COVID-19 ARDS.79 Histopathologically, autopsies of deceased patients with COVID-19 demonstrate widespread platelet-fibrin activation and microthrombi in the alveolar capillaries.80 , 81 Although the exact mechanism of coagulopathy is incompletely understood, it is hypothesized that virus-induced endothelial injury leads to inflammation and thrombosis. Furthermore, microthrombosis, coagulopathy, and subsequent endotheliitis have been theorized to play a central role in the development of extrapulmonary complications and multisystem organ failure.47

Despite the recognized role of micro- and macrovascular thrombosis in the pathogenesis of COVID-19, a large multiplatform randomized controlled trial of empirical therapeutic anticoagulation in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 yielded different results in critically and noncritically ill cohorts. In the noncritically ill cohort, therapeutic anticoagulation increased the probability of survival to hospital discharge and reduced the need for organ support, regardless of baseline D-dimer (although the effect was slightly greater in those with D-dimer levels >2x ULN).82 In contrast, no benefit was observed among patients who were critically ill at the time of enrollment, and there was a trend toward harm.83 One explanation posited for this discrepancy in treatment effect is that by the time patients have progressed to critical illness, the cascade of inflammation, thrombosis, and organ dysfunction has progressed to a degree where anticoagulation can no longer make a meaningful difference on outcomes. In this sense, the choice of anticoagulation dose in COVID-19 may depend not only on selecting patients most likely to benefit based on their coagulation profile but also on identifying the time point at which those patients are most likely to derive that benefit.

Aspirin has also been studied by the RECOVERY platform trial and unfortunately did not reduce 28-day mortality.84 Studies of P2Y12 inhibitors are ongoing at the time of this review, and other trials of treatments with antithrombotic properties (eg crizanlizumab) are planned. Regardless of the outcomes of these trials, it is clear that endothelial dysfunction and platelet activation are prominent features of severe COVID-19, and future work focuses on identifying subsets of patients with COVID-19 most likely to benefit from antiplatelet and antithrombotic therapies.

Host Response: Genomics and Transcriptomics

The heterogeneity of COVID-19 ARDS has provoked interest in identifying biologically distinct phenotypes, and research has therefore increasingly focused on genomic and transcriptomic signatures with the hope of identifying host factors that predict poor outcomes and pathways for targeted therapies.85, 86, 87, 88, 89 Preliminary work has focused predominantly on the host immune response, inflammatory, and coagulation cascade and has suggested an association between a cluster of genes encoding chemokine receptors and severe disease, as well as upregulation of genes involving inflammation, immunity, coagulation, and interferon signaling. 90, 91, 92 Furthermore, several multi-omics studies have identified distinct shifts in immunologic and inflammatory profiles between mild, moderate, and severe disease.93, 94, 95 In addition to identifying targeted pathways for therapeutic intervention, transcriptomics in particular may shed light on the optimal timing of specific interventions. There is, however, significant work to be done to confirm associations between candidate genes, transcriptomic signatures, and clinically meaningful subphenotypes of COVID-19 ARDS. At this point, genomic and transcriptomic phenotyping of COVID-19 ARDS patients remains exploratory and unavailable outside of the research setting.

Summary

Despite a unifying causative agent, the spectrum of disease observed in COVID-19 ARDS is broad, and although research is progressing at a rapid pace, the underlying reasons for this clinical heterogeneity remain incompletely understood. It is becoming increasingly accepted that COVID-19 ARDS is a distinct subset of ARDS with its own subphenotypes that bear some similarities to but also distinct differences from the broader syndrome. As DeMerle and colleagues remind us, however, phenotypic categorization is meaningful only to the extent that it offers plausible, easily identifiable, and reproducible frameworks to prognosticate and tailor treatment.96 Although many recent and ongoing clinical trials have used combined physiologic, clinical, and biological phenotypes to identify and target patients most likely to benefit from a particular therapy, precision medicine for COVID-19 ARDS is still in its infancy. Years of work have led to identification of biological subphenotypes of sepsis and ARDS, but the clinical importance of these phenotypes has yet to be rigorously established in prospective clinical trials. For the clinician practicing in the midst of a dynamic global pandemic, therefore, keeping current with the outcomes of high-quality clinical trials for COVID-19 ARDS—and adhering to established evidence-based therapies for ARDS in the interim—remains best practice. The clinical relevance of many of the proposed phenotypes discussed in this review require ongoing prospective validation with the ultimate goal of bringing precision therapies for COVID-19 ARDS to the bedside.

Clinics care points

  • Patients with COVID-19 ARDS have a similar range of lung compliance as patients with general ARDS, and adherence to classic ARDS strategies, including low tidal volume ventilation, remains the mainstay of care for COVID-19 ARDS.

  • Oxygen requirement, markers of systemic inflammation, and timing since symptom onset can help guide treatment.

  • Steroids (dexamethasone), anti-IL-6 therapy, and JAK1/2 inhibition have demonstrated therapeutic benefit in subsets of patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

  • The clinical applicability of biological phenotypes in COVID-19 ARDS requires ongoing prospective validation.

Acknowledgments

Disclosure

S. Empson has no conflict of interest to declare. A.J. Rogers is a pulmonary clinical trials advisor for Merck, not relevant to this work. J.G. Wilson has no conflict of interest to declare.

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