Abstract
Evidence suggests children HIV‐exposed and uninfected (CHEU) experience poor growth. We analysed child anthropometrics and explored factors associated with stunting among Malawian CHEU. Mothers with HIV and their infants HIV‐exposed were enroled in a nationally representative prospective cohort within the National Evaluation of Malawi's Prevention of Mother‐to‐Child HIV Transmission Programme after Option B+ implementation (2014–2018). Anthropometry was measured at enrolment (age 1–6 months), visit 1 (approximately 12 months), and visit 2 (approximately 24 months). Weight‐for‐age (WAZ) and length‐for‐age (LAZ) z‐scores were calculated using World Health Organization Growth Standards; underweight and stunting were defined as WAZ and LAZ more than 2 standard deviations below the reference median. Multivariable logistic regression restricted to CHEU aged 24 months (±3 months) was used to identify factors associated with stunting. Among 1211 CHEU, 562/1211 attended visit 2, of which 529 were aged 24 months (±3 months) and were included. At age 24 months, 40.4% of CHEU were stunted and/or underweight, respectively. In multi‐variable analysis, adjusting for child age and sex, the odds of stunting were higher among CHEU with infectious disease diagnosis compared to those with no diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio = 3.35 [95% confidence interval: 1.82–6.17]), which was modified by co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis (p = 0.028). Infant low birthweight was associated with an increased odds of stunting; optimal feeding and maternal employment were correlated with reduced odds. This is one of the first studies examining CHEU growth since Option B+. Interventions to improve linear growth among CHEU should address their multi‐faceted health risks, alongside maternal ART prescription, and follow‐up of mother‐child pairs.
Keywords: ART, child, growth, HIV, Malawi, Option B+, stunting
Mothers with HIV and their infants HIV‐exposed were enroled in a prospective cohort within the National Evaluation of Malawi's Prevention of Mother‐to‐Child HIV Transmission Programme after Option B+ implementation (2014–2018). Weight‐for‐age (WAZ) and length‐for‐age (LAZ) z‐scores were calculated using World Health Organization Growth Standards; underweight and stunting were defined as WAZ and LAZ more than 2 standard deviations below the reference median. Multi‐variable logistic regression restricted to CHEU aged 24 months (±3 months) was used to identify factors associated with stunting. In multi‐variable analysis, adjusting for child age and sex, the odds of stunting were higher among CHEU with infectious disease diagnosis compared to those with no diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio = 3.35 [95% confidence interval: 1.82–6.17]), which was modified by receipt of co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis (p = 0.028). Infant low birthweight was associated with an increased odds of stunting; optimal feeding and maternal employment were correlated with reduced odds.

Key messages
Understanding the health risks of children HIV‐exposed and uninfected (CHEU) and the impact on their growth is of paramount importance for optimizing their health.
This is one of the first studies examining correlates of CHEU growth since the implementation of Option B+ and uses a random subsample of a nationally representative cohort of women with HIV and CHEU in Malawi.
Factors associated with stunting included infant low birthweight, optimal feeding, co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis, and maternal employment.
Interventions targeting modifiable risk factors, alongside maternal antiretroviral therapy, and improved nutritional follow‐up of CHEU will contribute to improving CHEU growth in Malawi.
1. INTRODUCTION
In 2020, an estimated 15.4 million children under the age of 14 were HIV‐exposed and uninfected (CHEU) globally, with 13.8 million living in sub‐Saharan Africa (UNAIDS, 2021). Understanding the health risks of CHEU and the impact on their growth is essential for improving child health in sub‐Saharan Africa.
Stunting is an abnormally slow rate of gain in a child's length or height, which typically begins at birth and continues through 2 years of age, and has far‐reaching consequences on the whole cycle of child growth and development (Adair et al., 2013; Black et al., 2008; Cheung & Ashorn, 2010; Olofin et al., 2013). In South Africa, two large cohort studies demonstrated breastfed ART‐exposed CHEU present with lower length‐for‐age (LAZ) z‐scores and greater prevalence of stunting than children HIV‐unexposed (Evans et al., 2021; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019), with similar findings for weight‐for‐age (WAZ) z‐scores and underweight (Evans et al., 2021). In a longitudinal analysis of ART‐exposed Malawian CHEU, median LAZ and WAZ were lower through 60 months of age compared to children HIV‐unexposed (Fowler et al., 2021).
With widespread availability of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for prevention of vertical transmission (PVT) and treat‐all policies (i.e., universal treatment of HIV), ART use among pregnant WLHIV has increased substantially. While this has improved maternal health and survival, partially mitigating disparities in morbidity and mortality between CHEU and children HIV‐unexposed (Brennan et al., 2016; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2016), available evidence suggests poor growth persists as a problem for CHEU (Aizire et al., 2020; Evans et al., 2021; Fowler et al., 2021; Jumare et al., 2019; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019; Ndiaye et al., 2021; Sudfeld et al., 2016). Although ART use during pregnancy is generally safe, specific antiretrovirals have been associated with intrauterine growth restriction and preterm birth (Uthman et al., 2017). As such, research is needed to identify which HIV‐specific exposures or universal risk factors are growth discriminatory among CHEU in the universal ART era.
Restricted linear growth in early childhood is often caused by the interplay of child undernutrition, increased exposure to infectious agents, and maternal morbidity (Black et al., 2013; Engle et al., 2011; Olofin et al., 2013; Slogrove et al., 2020; Walker et al., 2011; Wedderburn et al., 2019). Suboptimal nutrition and exposure to HIV may have downstream effects on early child growth by disrupting normal microbial succession (i.e., assembly of microbial communities within the gastrointestinal tract; D. M. Le Roux et al., 2019; Shafiq et al., 2021; Yeates et al., 2020). As infants born to women living with HIV (WLHIV) are recommended co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis (CTX) from age 6 weeks until HIV infection has been ruled out, to prevent opportunistic infections that are known risk factors for poor child growth (World Health Organization, 2021), this may reduce CHEU risk of stunting. To date, findings on the protective effects of CTX against common childhood illnesses including malaria and diarrhoea are mixed.
High levels of malnutrition are endemic in Malawi, where an estimated 37% of children under 5 are stunted and 12% are underweight (The DHS Programme, 2017). It has one of the highest HIV prevalence rates globally, with 9% of adults aged 15–49 years living with HIV (UNAIDS, 2021). As the first country to recommend Option B+, Malawi is recognised as a pioneer in PVT (World Health Organization, 2013), where HIV Care Clinics (HCCs) offer integrated services for families affected by HIV and tailored care for CHEU. Annually, ART coverage for pregnant WLHIV is estimated at 98% for those engaged in care (Malawi, 2018; UNAIDS, 2020), approximately 90% of WLHIV at 1–6 months postpartum are ART adherent (Van Lettow et al., 2021), and about 7% of the total paediatric population (aged 0–14 years) is HIV‐exposed and uninfected (UNAIDS, 2020). Together, this makes Malawi a unique and important setting to study CHEU growth outcomes.
Currently, there are limited and inconsistent data on the growth of CHEU and the factors potentially driving their stunted growth in the context of maternal lifelong ART. Here we describe the growth patterns of CHEU in Malawi and identify maternal, child, and contextual factors associated with stunting among CHEU aged 24 months.
2. METHODS
2.1. Study design and participants
This study is based on a nationally representative prospective cohort within the “National Evaluation of Malawi's Prevention of Mother‐to‐Child Transmission of HIV Programme (NEMAPP)” Study which was designed to obtain data on maternal ART coverage and PVT effectiveness after Option B+ implementation. NEMAPP enroled infants HIV‐exposed aged 1–6 months and their mothers at under‐5 outpatient clinics in Malawi (2018), using a multi‐stage cluster sampling design to randomly sample 54 health facilities across rural and urban Malawi (Tippett Barr et al., 2018; Van Lettow et al., 2018). At each health facility, mothers provided written informed consent for screening; mothers with a positive rapid HIV test and a positive HIV polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test result were invited to participate in the study and provided consent for infant enrolment in the cohort. At the time of the study, pregnant and breastfeeding WLHIV were started on lifelong ART (daily fixed‐dose tenofovir [TDF] + lamivudine [3TC] + efavirenz [EFV]).
Following study enrolment at age 1–6 months, follow‐up visit 1 was at approximately age 12 months and visit 2 was at approximately age 24 months (scheduled to coincide with mothers' routine ART appointments). At study visits, mothers/guardians were interviewed using structured questionnaires by on‐site trained study staff to collect information on maternal, child, and contextual factors. For a nested subset of mother–child pairs from 13 of the 54 health facilities sampled (long‐term follow‐up cohort), weight, length, and mid‐upper arm circumference were measured and blood samples were collected at enrolment, visit 1, and visit 2. Virological markers for the long‐term follow‐up cohort (e.g., maternal HIV viral load) were obtained from laboratory testing on blood samples collected during study visits.
2.2. Inclusion criteria for analysis
Inclusion criteria for this analysis included singleton births only and children confirmed HIV‐uninfected by a negative PCR test result at each study visit.
2.3. Outcomes
Outcomes of interest were WAZ and LAZ generated using the WHO Growth Standards with child age recorded in whole months (World Health Organization, 2006). Estimates for WAZ and LAZ at 12 months were restricted to CHEU aged 12 months (±3 months) at visit 1 and estimates at 24 months were restricted to CHEU aged 24 months (±3 months) at visit 2. Underweight and stunting were respectively defined as WAZ and LAZ more than 2 standard deviations (SD) below the reference median (World Health Organization, 2006).
2.4. Investigated exposures
Exposures were selected based on the literature and hypothesised relationships. Maternal characteristics (e.g., age, timing of ART initiation and maternal HIV viral load), child characteristics (e.g., birthweight, diagnosis of an infectious disease, receipt of CTX), and contextual factors (e.g., place of birth, education and employment) were considered. Exposures were mother‐reported unless noted otherwise; markers for maternal health, birth outcomes, HIV care uptake, and mother–child pair outcomes were validated using mothers' health booklets and confirmed using Ministry of Health registers when possible.
Child feeding was assessed at all visits with 1‐week recall; mothers were asked about liquid and food intake (e.g. breast milk, non‐breast milk, sobo, soup, fruit, porridge, plumpy nut, vegetables, eggs, meat, fish, nsima and other). Exclusive breastfeeding was defined as exclusive breast milk consumption in the past 7 days at enrolment. Optimal feeding at age 24 months was defined as any mother‐reported milk feeding (e.g., breast or non‐breast milk) plus semi‐solid and/or solid foods in the past 7 days from at least three food groups (carbohydrates; fruits/vegetables; legumes and nuts; eggs; and flesh foods), based on definitions in the literature (FANTA, 2007; World Health Organization, 2008).
Markers for child morbidity included diagnosis of an infectious disease, defined as any diagnosed episode of malaria, diarrhoea, pneumonia, meningitis, and/or tuberculosis in the previous 3 months at enrolment (or birth for children aged <3 months at enrolment) or since the previous study visit; child ever hospitalised; and number of sick visits to a health facility or clinic, defined as 0 times, 1‐2 times, or ≥3 times in the previous 3 months (or birth for children aged <3 months at enrolment).
Where indicated, continuous and discrete data were categorised according to the data and standard or published boundaries, including infant birthweight (low birthweight defined as <2.5 kg), maternal age (<21, 21–34 and ≥35 years), maternal mid‐upper arm circumference (MUAC; underweight defined as a MUAC < 24 cm), and maternal antenatal care visits (<4 or ≥4 visits).
2.5. Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics were used to summarise enrolment characteristics and child anthropometry at age 1–6, 12, and 24 months. Enrolment characteristics were compared between CHEU who did and did not complete follow‐up visits to age 24 months to examine differences between those that were and were not included in the multi‐variable analysis. We hypothesised that CTX may have a protective effect against stunting (Sandison et al., 2011; World Health Organization, 2021) through effect modification on the association between child morbidity and stunting; markers for child morbidity were compared by receipt of CTX at age 24 months.
Multi‐variable logistic regression allowing for clustering by health facility was used to identify maternal, child, and/or contextual factors associated with stunting at age 24 months (±3 months), adjusted for child age and sex. As linear growth faltering is cumulative from birth to 2 years of age, multi‐variable models were restricted to CHEU aged 24 months at last follow‐up. Covariates with p < 0.3 in univariate analysis were considered for inclusion in the multi‐variable model. Where multiple markers were available for the same construct, variables were selected based on the literature and model fit indices. Backward elimination was applied and variables with p < 0.1 were retained in the model. In a stepwise fashion, covariates dropped after backward elimination were added to the final model to check for statistical significance at p < 0.1. Potential effect modification by receipt of CTX on the association between child morbidity and stunting was evaluated; hypothesised interactions were fitted in the final model using forward selection if p < 0.1. All analyses were conducted on Stata MP version 17 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX).
2.6. Sensitivity analysis
Two restricted analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of our findings. First, we described child anthropometry in CHEU with WAZ and/or LAZ available at all study visits (i.e., complete case). Second, as child age was only available in whole months, growth z‐scores were recalculated using child age minus 2 weeks to estimate minimum prevalence rates for underweight and stunting by child age.
As a large proportion of mother–child pairs did not attend follow‐up at age 24 months, we computed inverse probability weights (IPWs) to adjust for potential selection bias. Each child who attended follow‐up at 24 months received a weight inversely proportional to the estimated probability of attending follow‐up at 24 months. Weights were computed using logistic regression and enrolment covariates; covariates were selected a priori or were predictors of follow‐up and/or stunting at 24 months. The model fitting procedure described above was then repeated using the weighted data. As a backward elimination procedure was used, variables with borderline significant p values may have been included in one model and excluded in the other. Where this occurred, odds ratios and p‐values for excluded variables were calculated by adding each variable one at a time to the final models.
2.7. Ethics statement
Ethical approval for the NEMAPP Study was obtained from Malawi National Health Sciences Research Committee (NHSRC, #1262), the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Global Health Associate Director for Science (#2014‐054‐7), and the University of Toronto Research Ethics Committee (#30448). Ethical approval for this study was obtained from University College London (UCL) Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 3715/004).
3. RESULTS
3.1. Enrolment characteristics
Overall, 1211 singleton CHEU from 13 health facilities (long‐term follow‐up cohort) were enroled; 1206 were accompanied by their mothers and the remaining (n = 5) presented with a guardian. Of 1211 mother–child pairs enroled, 566 (46.7%) mothers (or guardians) and 562 (46.7%) CHEU completed follow‐up through 24 months of age (Figure 1). Maternal, contextual, and child characteristics at enrolment are presented in Tables 1a, 1b. The maternal median age at enrolment was 29 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 24–33); approximately half of the mothers initiated ART before pregnancy and almost all mothers were on ART at the time of enrolment (Table 1a). Maternal viral load for almost a quarter of mothers was detectable (≥40 copies/ml) at enrolment and one fifth of mothers were underweight based on maternal MUAC (Table 1a). For CHEU, median age at enrolment was 2 months (IQR: 2–4), 91.4% were exclusively breastfed in the past 7 days, and about 60.0% were enroled in HCCs (Table 1b). Median birthweight was 3.0 kg (IQR: 2.7–3.4) and 11.8% had low birthweight. CHEU received nevirapine prophylaxis for a mean of 40.3 days (SD: 6.7) out of the 42 days recommended as prophylaxis for infants born to WLHIV, and among those aged ≥2 months at enrolment (n = 1199), nearly half were receiving CTX (Table 1b).
Figure 1.

Study flow diagram
Table 1a.
Enrolment maternal characteristics and contextual factors
| Cohort | MCPs without 24 months FUP | MCPs with 24 months FUP | p Value | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 1211 | N = 645 | N = 566 | 1211 | ||
| Median [IQR], mean {SD} or n (%) | |||||
| Maternal characteristics a | |||||
| Age (years) | 29.0 [24.0–33.0] | 28.0 [23.0–32.0] | 30.0 [25.0–34.0] | <0.001 | 1207 |
| Parity | 3.1 {1.5} | 2.9 {1.5} | 3.3 {1.5} | <0.001 | 1211 |
| Number of antenatal care visits | 3.5 {1.1} | 3.4 {1.1} | 3.5 {1.0} | 0.027 | 1199 |
| Ever received ARVs for PVT in previous pregnancyb | 0.820 | 1184 | |||
| No | 681 (57.5%) | 361 (57.2%) | 320 (57.9%) | ||
| Yes | 503 (42.5%) | 270 (42.8%) | 233 (42.1%) | ||
| Maternal‐reported health at study enrolment | 0.140 | 1201 | |||
| No illness | 1143 (95.2%) | 615 (96.1%) | 528 (94.1%) | ||
| A little bit sick | 50 (4.2%) | 20 (3.1%) | 30 (5.3%) | ||
| Very sick | 8 (0.7%) | 5 (0.8%) | 3 (0.5%) | ||
| HIV status at study enrolment | <0.001 | 1205 | |||
| Already known positive | 1155 (95.9%) | 603 (93.9%) | 552 (98.0%) | ||
| Newly diagnosed positive through study | 50 (4.1%) | 39 (6.1%) | 11 (2.0%) | ||
| Timing of ART initiation | <0.001 | 1185 | |||
| Pre‐conception | 570 (48.1%) | 283 (44.8%) | 287 (51.9%) | ||
| 1st/2nd trimester | 475 (40.1%) | 255 (40.3%) | 220 (39.8%) | ||
| 3rd trimester/postpartum | 140 (11.8%) | 94 (14.9%) | 46 (8.3%) | ||
| Current ART use at study enrolment | 0.140 | 1197 | |||
| No, never on ART | 3 (0.3%) | 2 (0.3%) | 1 (0.2%) | ||
| No, stopped ART | 11 (0.9%) | 9 (1.4%) | 2 (0.4%) | ||
| Yes, on ART now | 1,183 (98.8%) | 626 (98.3%) | 557 (99.5%) | ||
| HIV viral load at study enrolment | <0.001 | 1176 | |||
| VL detectable | 272 (23.1%) | 183 (29.2%) | 89 (16.2%) | ||
| VL undetectable | 904 (76.9%) | 443 (70.8%) | 461 (83.8%) | ||
| Suboptimal ART adherence in past 30 days | 0.006 | 1127 | |||
| Adherent | 987 (87.6%) | 497 (85.0%) | 490 (90.4%) | ||
| Non‐adherent (≥2 days missed) | 140 (12.4%) | 88 (15.0%) | 52 (9.6%) | ||
| Mid‐upper arm circumference | 0.270 | 882 | |||
| Normal | 706 (80.0%) | 370 (81.5%) | 336 (78.5%) | ||
| Underweight (<24 cm) | 176 (20.0%) | 84 (18.5%) | 92 (21.5%) | ||
| Contextual characteristics a | |||||
| Maternal spouse or partner | 0.950 | 1202 | |||
| No | 68 (5.7%) | 36 (5.6%) | 32 (5.7%) | ||
| Yes | 1134 (94.3%) | 605 (94.4%) | 529 (94.3%) | ||
| Maternal education | 0.94 | 1208 | |||
| None | 104 (8.6%) | 53 (8.3%) | 51 (9.0%) | ||
| Primary education | 684 (56.6%) | 368 (57.3%) | 316 (55.8%) | ||
| Secondary education | 398 (32.9%) | 209 (32.6%) | 189 (33.4%) | ||
| Postsecondary education | 22 (1.8%) | 12 (1.9%) | 10 (1.8%) | ||
| Maternal employmentc | 0.970 | 1201 | |||
| Not formally employed | 790 (65.8%) | 422 (65.8%) | 368 (65.7%) | ||
| Employed | 411 (34.2%) | 219 (34.2%) | 192 (34.3%) | ||
| Geographical region | <0.001 | 1206 | |||
| Blantyre Urban | 376 (31.2%) | 200 (31.1%) | 176 (31.3%) | ||
| Lilongwe Urban | 364 (30.2%) | 237 (36.9%) | 127 (22.6%) | ||
| North and Central rural | 317 (26.3%) | 164 (25.5%) | 153 (27.2%) | ||
| South rural | 149 (12.4%) | 42 (6.5%) | 107 (19/0%) | ||
| Travel time from home to clinic | 0.920 | 1193 | |||
| <1 h | 643 (53.9%) | 346 (54.2%) | 297 (53.5%) | ||
| 1–2 h | 451 (37.8%) | 238 (37.3%) | 213 (38.4%) | ||
| ≥2 h | 99 (8.3%) | 54 (8.5%) | 45 (8.1%) | ||
Abbreviations: ART, antiretroviral therapy; ARV, antiretroviral; FUP, follow‐up; MCP, mother–child pair; PVT, prevention of vertical transmission; VL, viral load.
5/1211 CHEU were accompanied by a guardian at study enrolment; for these MCPs, maternal data were only available on age, parity, antenatal care visits, and education.
Ever received antiretrovirals for a pregnancy before the most recent pregnancy with study child.
Not formally employed included mothers who self‐reported their employment as ‘housewife’.
Table 1b.
Enrolment child characteristics
| Cohort | MCPs without 24 months FUP | MCPs with 24 months FUP | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 1211 | N = 645 | N = 566a | p Value | 1211 | |
| Median [IQR], mean {SD}, or n (%) | |||||
| Child characteristics | |||||
| Age (months) | 2.0 [2.0–4.0] | 2.0 [2.0–4.0] | 2.0 [2.0–4.0] | 0.680 | 1211 |
| Sex | 0.320 | 1211 | |||
| Male | 611 (50.5%) | 334 (51.8%) | 277 (48.9%) | ||
| Female | 600 (49.5%) | 311 (48.2%) | 289 (51.1%) | ||
| Born in health facility or clinic | 0.630 | 1206 | |||
| No | 55 (4.6%) | 31 (4.8%) | 24 (4.3%) | ||
| Yes | 1151 (95.4%) | 611 (95.2%) | 540 (95.7%) | ||
| Low birthweight | 0.536 | 1163 | |||
| No | 1027 (88.3%) | 550 (88.8%) | 477 (87.7%) | ||
| Yes | 136 (11.7%) | 69 (11.2%) | 67 (12.3%) | ||
| Exclusive breastfeeding in past 7 days | 0.048 | 1211 | |||
| No | 104 (8.6%) | 65 (10.1%) | 39 (6.9%) | ||
| Yes | 1107 (91.4%) | 580 (89.9%) | 527 (93.1%) | ||
| Number of sick visits to health facility or clinic | 0.570 | 1203 | |||
| 0 times | 958 (79.6%) | 504 (78.5%) | 454 (80.9%) | ||
| 1 time | 189 (15.7%) | 107 (16.7%) | 82 (14.6%) | ||
| ≥2 times | 56 (4.7%) | 31 (4.8%) | 25 (4.5%) | ||
| Diagnosis of an infectious diseaseb | 0.860 | 1205 | |||
| No | 1133 (94.0%) | 602 (93.9%) | 531 (94.1%) | ||
| Yes | 72 (6.0%) | 39 (6.1%) | 33 (5.9%) | ||
| Ever been admitted to hospital | 0.919 | 1207 | |||
| No | 1,148 (95.1%) | 611 (95.2%) | 537 (95.0%) | ||
| Yes | 59 (4.9%) | 31 (4.8%) | 28 (5.0%) | ||
| Immunised for Hepatitis Bc | 0.415 | 1169 | |||
| No | 175 (15.0%) | 88 (14.2%) | 87 (15.9%) | ||
| Yes | 994 (85.0%) | 533 (85.8%) | 461 (84.1%) | ||
| Days child received nevirapine syrup | 40.3 {6.7} | 40.1 {7.2} | 40.6 {6.2} | 0.240 | 1133 |
| Enroled in HIV Care Clinic | 0.015 | 1200 | |||
| No | 511 (42.6%) | 292 (45.8%) | 219 (38.9%) | ||
| Yes | 689 (57.4%) | 345 (54.2%) | 344 (61.1%) | ||
| Received co‐trimoxazole prophylaxisc | 0.047 | 1147 | |||
| No | 588 (51.3%) | 329 (54.0%) | 259 (48.1%) | ||
| Yes | 559 (48.7%) | 280 (46.0%) | 279 (51.9%) | ||
| Anthropometry | |||||
| Weight‐for‐age z‐score | −0.70 [−1.5, 0.2] | −0.6 [−1.5, 0.2] | −0.70 [−1.5, 0.1] | 0.390 | 1189 |
| Length‐for‐age z‐score | −2.1 [−3.3, −1.0] | −2.1 [−3.5, −1.0] | −2.1 [−3.2, −1.0] | 0.250 | 1119 |
Abbreviations: FUP, follow‐up; MCP, mother–child pair.
566 mothers (or guardians) and 562 CHEU attended follow‐up at 24 months; 4/566 (0.71%) mothers reported child deaths at 24 months.
Among 1205 CHEU with data available on diagnosis of an infectious disease, 1.0%, 1.8%, 3.5%, 0.1% and 0.2% were reported to have malaria, diarrhoea, pneumonia, meningitis and/or tuberculosis in the previous 3 months (or since birth for infants aged less than 3 months at study enrolment), respectively.
Restricted to children aged ≥2 months at study enrolment.
There were some differences in enrolment characteristics between CHEU completing study visits to age 24 months and those who did not (Tables 1a, 1b). Most notably, CHEU not completing follow‐up had younger mothers, with fewer antenatal care visits, who were more likely to be newly diagnosed with HIV through the NEMAPP study, and more likely to have a detectable viral load. CHEU not completing follow‐up were less likely to be enroled in HCCs and receiving CTX; exclusive breastfeeding was similar in both groups. At age 24 months, of 1211 CHEU enroled in the long‐term follow‐up cohort, 562 (46.4%) children remained alive and HIV‐free, 7 (0.6%) died, and 642 (48.9%) did not attend follow‐up at 24 months (transferred out or loss‐to‐follow‐up). Among CHEU (n = 11) who were accompanied by a guardian at 24‐month visit, 54.5% (6/11) reported maternal deaths.
3.2. Anthropometry by child age
Among 1211 CHEU at enrolment, 98.2% had WAZ and/or LAZ available; 743/1211 (61.4%) attended visit 1, of which 667 were age 9–15 months at the visit and were included (96.4% had anthropometry available), and 562/1211 (46.7%) attended visit 2, of which 529 were age 21–27 months at the visit and were included (97.7% had anthropometry available). From enrolment to age 12 months, there was some evidence of early catch‐up in WAZ and LAZ, although this was not prolonged, as z‐scores declined by 24 months (Supporting Information: Table S1, Figure 2). Among 398 and 370 CHEU with WAZ and/or LAZ respectively available at all study visits, patterns in growth were consistent with patterns observed in the whole cohort (Supporting Information: Table S1, Figure 2).
Figure 2.

(a, b) Weight‐for‐age (WAZ) and length‐for‐age (LAZ) median z‐scores for whole cohort of CHEU by child age; (c, d) WAZ and LAZ median z‐scores for complete‐cases by child age. Y‐line at 0 represents median WAZ and LAZ for the reference population, and y‐line at −2 represents underweight (a–c) or stunted growth (b–d); percentages constitute estimated prevalence rates for underweight (a–c) or stunted growth (b–d) by child age.
At age 24 months, 9.7% of CHEU were underweight and 40.4% were stunted (Figure 2). In our sensitivity analysis, the difference in prevalence estimates for stunting at 24 months was negligible (less than 2%; Supporting Information: Table S2). Among CHEU with both WAZ and LAZ available at 24 months, 2.0% of CHEU were underweight only, 7.6% were underweight and stunted, 32.7% were stunted only, and 57.7% had no growth deficiencies (Figure 3).
Figure 3.

Overall prevalence of growth deficiencies among CHEU with both WAZ and LAZ available by child age.
3.3. Factors associated with stunting at 24 months of age
Overall, 474 CHEU with complete data across the exposure variables of interest contributed to the risk factor analysis in Table 2 and the multi‐variable analysis on stunting in Table 3. At age 24 months, there was no association between receipt of CTX and CHEU diagnosis of an infectious disease (39.7% vs. 32.3%, p = 0.183) or ever being hospitalised (15.3% vs. 20.8%, p = 0.195).
Table 2.
Risk analysis of stunted growth
| Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (N) | n (%) stunted | N = 474 | p Value | |
| Child characteristics | ||||
| Age (months) | 474 | 1.21 (1.06–1.38) | 0.004 | |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 232 | 104 (44.8%) | Ref | |
| Female | 242 | 87 (36.0%) | 0.69 (0.49–0.98) | 0.038 |
| Born in health facility or clinic | ||||
| No | 15 | 5 (33.3%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 457 | 186 (40.7%) | 1.37 (0.45–4.17) | 0.577 |
| Low birthweight | ||||
| No | 415 | 163 (38.8%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 59 | 30 (50.9%) | 1.63 (1.10–2.43) | 0.016 |
| Exclusive breastfeeding in the past 7 days at enrolment | ||||
| No | 32 | 18 (56.3%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 442 | 173 (39.1%) | 0.50 (0.24–1.04) | 0.063 |
| Any milk feeding in the past 7 days | ||||
| None | 214 | 96 (44.9%) | Ref | 0.133 |
| Breast milk | 29 | 9 (31.0%) | 0.55 (0.27–1.12) | |
| Non‐breast milk | 231 | 86 (37.2%) | 0.73 (0.51–1.03) | |
| Optimal feeding in the past 7 days | ||||
| No | 215 | 96 (44.7%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 259 | 95 (36.7%) | 0.72 (0.50–1.02) | 0.068 |
| Parent‐reported child health at 24 months | ||||
| Sick | 16 | 6 (37.5%) | Ref | |
| Well | 458 | 185 (40.4%) | 1.13 (0.47–2.72) | 0.786 |
| Diagnosis of an infectious diseasea | ||||
| No | 293 | 107 (36.5%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 181 | 84 (46.4%) | 1.51 (1.20–1.89) | <0.001 |
| Number of sick visits to a health facility or clinic | ||||
| 0 times | 301 | 113 (37.5%) | Ref | 0.001 |
| 1 time | 121 | 52 (43.0%) | 1.25 (0.84–1.87) | |
| ≥2 times | 52 | 26 (50.0%) | 1.66 (1.01–2.73) | |
| Ever been hospitalised | ||||
| No | 396 | 152 (38.4%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 78 | 39 (50.0%) | 1.61 (0.98–2.62) | 0.058 |
| Received co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis at 24 months | ||||
| No | 96 | 50 (52.1%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 378 | 141 (37.3%) | 0.55 (0.37–0.80) | 0.002 |
| Maternal characteristics | ||||
| Age | ||||
| <21 years | 34 | 20 (58.8%) | Ref | 0.087 |
| 21‐34 years | 332 | 128 (38.6%) | 0.44 (0.20–0.95) | |
| ≥35 years | 108 | 43 (39.8%) | 0.46 (0.18–1.20) | |
| Parity | ||||
| Primiparous | 58 | 23 (39.7%) | Ref | |
| Multiparous | 416 | 168 (40.4%) | 1.03 (0.60–1.78) | 0.913 |
| Number of antenatal care visits during pregnancy | ||||
| <4 visits | 229 | 88 (38.4%) | Ref | |
| ≥4 visits | 240 | 100 (41.7%) | 1.14 (0.82–1.59) | 0.420 |
| Timing of ART initiation | ||||
| Pre‐conception | 239 | 99 (41.4%) | 1.10 (0.65–1.88) | |
| 1st/2nd trimester | 187 | 73 (39.0%) | 1.00 (0.65–1.54) | |
| 3rd trimester/postpartum | 41 | 16 (39.0%) | Ref | 0.842 |
| Maternal‐reported health at ART initiation | ||||
| No illness | 401 | 161 (40.2%) | Ref | 0.575 |
| A little bit sick | 56 | 24 (42.9%) | 1.12 (0.90–1.40) | |
| Very sick | 17 | 6 (35.3%) | 0.81 (0.17–3.90) | |
| Current ART use at 24 months | ||||
| No, never on ART | – | – | – | |
| No, stopped ART | – | – | – | |
| Yes, on ART now | 474 | 191 (40.3%) | – | |
| HIV viral load at study enrolment | ||||
| Detectable | 73 | 32 (43.8%) | Ref | |
| Undetectable | 390 | 156 (40.0%) | 0.85 (0.51–1.42) | 0.543 |
| HIV viral load at 24 months | ||||
| Detectable | 50 | 22 (44.0%) | Ref | |
| Undetectable | 386 | 156 (40.4%) | 0.86 (0.45–1.65) | 0.658 |
| Ever used ARVs for PVT in previous pregnancyb | ||||
| No | 264 | 105 (39.8%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 203 | 84 (41.4%) | 1.07 (0.82–1.39) | 0.615 |
| Suboptimal ART adherence in the past 30 days | ||||
| Adherent | 444 | 173 (39.0%) | Ref | 0.039 |
| Non‐adherent (≥ 2 days missed) | 30 | 18 (60.0%) | 2.35 (1.04–5.30) | |
| Maternal‐reported health at 24 months | ||||
| No illness | 463 | 188 (40.6%) | Ref | |
| A little bit sick | 11 | 3 (27.3%) | 0.55 (0.12–2.42) | 0.427 |
| Mid‐upper arm circumference at 24 months | ||||
| Normal | 409 | 159 (38.9%) | Ref | |
| Underweight (<24 cm) | 65 | 32 (49.2%) | 1.52 (0.84–2.76) | 0.162 |
| Contextual factors | ||||
| Maternal spouse | ||||
| No | 62 | 30 (48.4%) | Ref | |
| Yes | 412 | 161 (39.1%) | 0.68 (0.42–1.13) | 0.136 |
| Maternal education | ||||
| None | 45 | 21 (46.7%) | Ref | 0.267 |
| Primary education | 260 | 105 (40.4%) | 0.77 (0.39–1.56) | |
| Secondary education | 160 | 64 (40.0%) | 0.76 (0.37–1.57) | |
| Postsecondary education | 9 | 1 (11.1%) | 0.14 (0.02–1.22) | |
| Maternal employmentc | ||||
| Not formally employed | 307 | 133 (43.3%) | Ref | |
| Employed | 167 | 58 (34.7%) | 0.70 (0.46–1.05) | 0.081 |
| Strata | ||||
| Blantyre urban | 157 | 67 (42.7%) | Ref | <0.001 |
| Lilongwe urban | 101 | 38 (37.6%) | 0.81 (0.74–0.89) | |
| North and central rural | 117 | 51 (43.6%) | 1.04 (0.75–1.44) | |
| South rural | 99 | 35 (35.4%) | 0.73 (0.56–0.96) | |
| Travel time | ||||
| <1 h | 217 | 89 (41.0%) | Ref | 0.469 |
| 1–2 h | 175 | 71 (40.6%) | 0.98 (0.74–1.31) | |
| >2 h | 82 | 31 (37.8%) | 0.87 (0.68–1.12) | |
Note: Risk analysis of stunted growth restricted to CHEU contributing to multi‐variable logistic regression on stunted growth at age 24 months. CHEU who were accompanied by a guardian were excluded from the risk factor analysis.
Abbreviations: ART, antiretroviral therapy; ARV, antiretroviral; CI, confidence interval; CTX, co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis; HCC, HIV Care Clinic; OR, odds ratio; VL, viral load.
Among 474 CHEU with data available on diagnosis of an infectious disease, 18.4%, 28.3%, 4.6% and 0.63% were reported to have malaria, diarrhoea, pneumonia and/or meningitis diagnosis since the previous study visit, respectively.
Ever received antiretrovirals for a pregnancy before the most recent pregnancy with study child.
Not formally employed included mothers who self‐reported their employment as ‘housewife’.
Table 3.
Factors associated with stunted growth at age 24 months by multi‐variable logistic regression
| Unweighted model | Weighted modela | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted OR (95% CI) | p Value | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | p Value | |||
| Total (N) | n (%) stunted | N = 474 | N = 464 | |||
| Child age (months) | 474 | – | 1.15 (0.99–1.35) | 0.073 | 1.16 (0.97–1.38) | 0.103 |
| Child sex | ||||||
| Male | 232 | 104 (44.8%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Female | 242 | 87 (36.0%) | 0.70 (0.46–1.07) | 0.054 | 0.70 (0.44–1.11) | 0.128 |
| Child low birthweight | ||||||
| No | 415 | 163 (38.8%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 59 | 30 (50.9%) | 1.61 (1.06–2.44) | 0.025 | 1.51 (0.81–2.83) | 0.120 |
| Child optimal feeding in the past 7 days | ||||||
| No | 215 | 96 (44.7%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 259 | 95 (36.7%) | 0.70 (0.46–1.07) | 0.098 | 0.70 (0.49–0.98) | 0.039 |
| Maternal employmentb | ||||||
| Not formally employed | 307 | 133 (43.3%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Employed | 167 | 58 (34.7%) | 0.68 (0.44–1.05) | 0.081 | 0.64 (0.44–0.95) | 0.028 |
| Child diagnosis of an infectious disease since previous study visit | ||||||
| No | 293 | 107 (36.5%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 181 | 84 (46.4%) | 3.35 (1.82–6.17) | <0.001 | 1.32 (0.85–2.04) | 0.142 |
| Received CTX at age 24 months | ||||||
| No | 96 | 50 (52.1%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 378 | 141 (37.3%) | 0.71 (0.41–1.24) | 0.230 | 0.56 (0.41–0.77) | <0.001 |
| Child diagnosis of an infectious disease * received CTX at age 24 months interaction | 0.39 (0.16–0.90) | 0.028 | – | – | ||
| Nonreceipt of CTX | ||||||
| No ID diagnosis | 65 | 28 (43.1%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| ID diagnosis | 31 | 22 (71.0%) | 3.35 (1.82, 6.17) | <0.001 | – | – |
| Receipt of CTX | ||||||
| No ID diagnosis | 228 | 79 (34.7%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| ID diagnosis | 150 | 62 (41.3%) | 1.29 (0.88–1.90) | 0.192 | – | – |
| Maternal suboptimal ART adherence in the past 30 days | ||||||
| Adherent | 444 | 173 (39.0%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Non‐adherent (missed ≥ 2 days) | 30 | 18 (60.0%) | 2.16 (0.86–5.42) | 0.100 | 2.82 (1.10–7.25) | 0.031 |
| Maternal age | ||||||
| <21 years | 34 | 20 (58.8%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| 21‐34 years | 332 | 128 (38.6%) | 0.50 (0.23–1.09) | 0.083 | 0.32 (0.15–0.65) | 0.002 |
| ≥35 years | 108 | 43 (39.8%) | 0.58 (0.23–1.47) | 0.247 | 0.40 (0.16–1.01) | 0.051 |
| Child ever hospitalised | ||||||
| No | 396 | 152 (38.4%) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 78 | 39 (50.0%) | 1.37 (0.88–2.13) | 0.162 | 1.64 (0.98–2.74) | 0.061 |
Note: Unweighted and weighted multi‐variable risk analysis restricted to CHEU with complete data across exposure variables of interest; odds ratio adjusted for child age and sex. CHEU who were accompanied by a guardian were excluded from the multi‐variable regression.
Grey boxes with italic numbers denote the estimated odds ratio (95% CI) and Wald test p‐value for each covariate when added to the unweighted or weighted model successively. Discrepancy in sample sizes (n = 10) for the unweighted (n = 474) and weighted models (n = 464) was due to missing data in enrolment predictors used to estimate the predicted probabilities of follow‐up at 24 months.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CTX: co‐trimoxazole prophylaxis; ID. infectious disease; OR, odds ratio.
Weights were computed by predicting the probability of follow‐up at 24 months using logistic regression and enrolment characteristics (maternal characteristics: age, parity, timing of HIV diagnosis, timing of ART initiation, ART adherence, HIV viral load; infant characteristics: sex, age, exclusive breastfeeding, stunting, low birthweight, mother‐reported infant health, infectious disease diagnosis, enrolment in an HIV Care Clinic; and contextual factors: maternal employment and geographical location).
Not formally employed included mothers who self‐reported their employment as ‘housewife’.
In our multi‐variable analysis, being female was associated with a 30% (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.70 [0.46–1.07]) reduced odds of stunting than being male. Adjusting for child age and sex, CHEU optimal feeding in the past 7 days (aOR: 0.70 [0.46–1.07]) and maternal employment (aOR: 0.68 [0.44–1.05]) were weakly associated with reduced odds of stunting at age 24 months. Low birthweight was moderately associated with a 61% increased odds of stunted growth (aOR: 1.61 [1.06–2.44]) at 24 months. Child diagnosis of an infectious disease since the previous study visit was strongly associated with increased odds of stunting; however, this relationship was significantly modified by receipt of (p = 0.028). Among CHEU receiving CTX, diagnosis of an infectious disease was associated with a 29% increased odds of stunting than CHEU with no diagnosis (aOR: 1.29 [0.88–1.90]), whereas odds of stunting were 3.35 times increased in CHEU not receiving CTX (aOR: 3.35 [1.82–6.17]).
In our IPW multi‐variable analysis, which accounted for mother–child pairs who did not attend follow‐up at 24 months, results were similar (Table 3). In contrast to the unweighted analysis, maternal age, suboptimal ART adherence, and child ever hospitalised were retained and infant low birthweight and child infectious disease diagnosis were removed as their significance was above the pre‐defined threshold (p > 0.1). In the weighted model, child ever hospitalised was retained as a marker of morbidity but there was no evidence of an interaction between hospitalisations and CTX (p = 0.118), as observed in the unweighted model where the effect of CTX differed in those with and without infections. Where there were discrepancies between the covariates retained in the unweighted and weighted models, excluded variables were added to the models one at a time and coefficient estimates were consistent.
4. DISCUSSION
Using data from a prospective cohort study conducted in the context of high antenatal ART coverage and breastfeeding, we found that, even when HIV acquisition was successfully prevented, around 42% of CHEU were growth deficient at 24 months of age. We also identified various factors associated with stunting at 24 months, most notably low birthweight, infectious disease diagnosis, receipt of CTX, and optimal feeding.
Stunting typically begins in early infancy and continues throughout the first 2 years of life (Hoddinott et al., 2013; Victora et al., 2010). Our data highlight that linear growth faltering occurred early, with rates increasing between age 12 and 24 months, similar to findings from other Eastern and Southern African studies (Aizire et al., 2020; Evans et al., 2021; Fowler et al., 2021; Jumare et al., 2019; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019; Ndiaye et al., 2021; Sudfeld et al., 2016). These rates are congruous with that reported in 2015–2016 in the general Malawian population, where stunting peaked at 42%–45% between the ages of 18 and 47 months (The DHS Programme, 2017). Compared to some sub‐Saharan African studies of CHEU, our prevalence estimates of underweight and stunting were higher (Aizire et al., 2020; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019; Ndiaye et al., 2021; Sudfeld et al., 2016), but lower than others (Evans et al., 2021; Jumare et al., 2019), including the Zimbabwean SHINE trial where more than half of CHEU were stunted by age 18 months (Evans et al., 2021). Some studies have also reported a greater risk of stunting in CHEU than in children HIV‐unexposed (Aizire et al., 2020; Evans et al., 2021; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019), although the relative contribution of HIV‐specific exposures remains unclear (Evans et al., 2021; S. M. Le Roux et al., 2019) and was not assessed in our analysis.
HIV‐specific exposures which may influence child growth and development include exposure to HIV proteins and glycoproteins, maternal immune compromise, and antiretroviral drugs in utero and via breastfeeding. In our study, 88% of CHEU were exposed to ART antenatally and 91% through breast milk. Although previous studies have observed an association between HIV/ART exposure and stunting (Ejigu et al., 2020; Evans et al., 2021; D. M. Le Roux et al., 2019), timing of exposure to maternal ART and maternal HIV viral load were not associated with stunting at age 24 months in our analysis, which found the strongest predictors of stunting to be universal risk factors, such as child optimal feeding.
In family settings, food insecurity often co‐exists with HIV (Wedderburn et al., 2019), and we found that 20% of mothers overall had MUAC measurements suggestive of being underweight, compared to 7% of women (aged 15–49 years) in Malawi (The DHS Programme, 2017). In a Malawian study, mothers with stunted children had lower levels of human oligosaccharides in breast milk at age 6 months, possibly due to lower quality breast milk resulting from maternal undernutrition (Charbonneau et al., 2016; D. M. Le Roux et al., 2019). Data on CHEU feeding practices and subsequent growth are limited, although inadequate complementary feeding increased the risk of low WAZ and LAZ among CHEU aged 12 and 18 months in Côte d'Ivoire (Becquet et al., 2006). In the SHINE trial, improved complementary feeding practices increased CHEU mean LAZ scores and reduced stunting prevalence (Prendergast et al., 2019), demonstrating that nutritional interventions have the potential in reversing early linear growth faltering. Our data showed higher rates of optimal feeding (55% in the past week) than overall in Malawi (where only 8% of children aged 6–23 months receive appropriate complementary feeding (The DHS Programme, 2017), but only 7% of CHEU were breastfed at age 24 months. In our risk analysis, non‐breast milk and exclusive breast milk feeding at study enrolment were associated with 30%–50% reduced odds of stunting at age 24 months. Optimal feeding at 24 months correlated with 30% reduced odds of stunting in our multi‐variable analysis, which together highlight the importance of adequate nutrition during infancy and early childhood for later growth. Despite this, we found stunting rates increased between 12 and 24 months, which may have been partially driven by poor weaning practices and subsequent nutritional deficiencies (Black et al., 2008). This underscores an ongoing need for prolonged breastfeeding promotion, nutrition education, and early nutritional intervention.
Low birthweight was reported in 12% of CHEU in our risk factor analyses, similar to population‐level estimates (The DHS Programme, 2017; United Nations Children's Fund, & WHO, 2019), and was moderately associated with a 63% increased odds of stunting at 24 months. These findings are consistent with it being a well‐established predictor of stunting (Black et al., 2013), and associated with lower WAZ and LAZ scores among CHEU elsewhere (Moseholm et al., 2019; Ramokolo et al., 2013). Several sub‐Saharan African studies have also demonstrated that CHEU have an increased risk of low birthweight (Bulterys et al., 1994; Ladner et al., 1998) and other adverse birth outcomes (e.g., preterm birth; Bulterys et al., 1994; Friis et al., 2007; Ndirangu et al., 2012) compared to children HIV‐unexposed, with some suggesting this risk persists in the context of lifelong ART and is higher with exposure to specific antiretroviral drugs (Fowler et al., 2016; Kourtis & Fowler, 2011; Malaba et al., 2017; Stringer et al., 2018; Zash et al., 2017). In Botswana, a mediation analysis of stunting attributed a 67% excess risk of stunting to low birthweight among CHEU aged 2+ years, (Sudfeld et al., 2016) highlighting that CHEU's greater risk of adverse birth outcomes compounds later risk for poor growth. We also found child diagnosis of infectious disease since the previous study visit was associated with an increased stunting risk, congruous with previous findings (Black et al., 2008; Dewey & Begum, 2011). Expanding evidence from high‐income and low‐ and middle‐income countries suggests CHEU have a higher risk of infectious diseases (Adler et al., 2015; Evans et al., 2016; Koyanagi et al., 2011; Slogrove et al., 2016) and hospitalisation compared to children HIV‐unexposed (Labuda et al., 2019; Powis et al., 2019; Slogrove et al., 2017), especially early life viral and bacterial respiratory infections (Cohen et al., 2016; D. M. Le Roux et al., 2015, 2019).
In our study, among CHEU with growth measured at 24 months, approximately 80% received CTX at that time point. Our data present strong evidence that CTX may be protective against stunting, contradictory to other findings (Daniels et al., 2019; Lockman et al., 2017; Pavlinac et al., 2021). In malaria‐endemic regions, CTX reduces the incidence of malaria among CHEU (Sandison et al., 2011), although its benefits in non‐malaria regions remain unclear. In a recent South African randomised control trial, a non‐malaria region, growth faltering did not differ by CTX at 12 months (Daniels et al., 2019). However, given its high malaria burden (The DHS Programme, 2017), the effect of CTX on growth may differ in Malawi. In our study, we observed no difference in child diagnosis of an infectious disease or ever being hospitalised by CTX, although CTX may have treated other unknown or incompletely treated infections in the first year of life (Pavlinac et al., 2021), potentially reducing the severity of infections and subsequent risk of stunting.
In Malawi, guidelines recommend that CHEU are registered with HCCs following delivery and attend monthly visits, where anthropometry, clinical monitoring, and HIV testing are provided alongside CTX prescription. Our data showed that HCC registration combined with receipt of CTX was associated with reduced odds of stunting by approximately 45% at age 24 months (p = 0.002). Additionally, our multi‐variable analysis revealed significant effect modification by receipt of CTX on the association between infectious disease diagnosis and stunting. This suggests that regular clinical care provided by the HCCs in combination with the provision of CTX may play an important role in optimising child growth, supporting current guidelines for CHEU follow‐up care in Malawi.
Our study has several limitations: since enrolment took place at under‐5 clinics, we may have missed women with serious pregnancy complications, acutely ill neonates, or higher‐risk infants not attending routine visits. Most measures were self‐reported by mothers with varying recall periods, which may carry a risk of bias. A substantial proportion of CHEU did not complete follow‐up to 24 months and differences in enrolment characteristics between those with incomplete and complete follow‐up were noted. Non‐attendance at 24 months was addressed using IPW in the multi‐variable model; estimates from weighted models were consistent and reassuring. However, weights were computed using enrolment characteristics which may not be the best predictors of follow‐up at 24 months and we cannot rule out the possibility the follow‐up data were missing not at random. Children who did not complete 24‐month follow‐up were less likely to attend HCCs and receive CTX, which was associated with reduced odds of stunting. As such, the prevalence estimate for stunting at 24 months should be interpreted as a minimum estimate for the subgroup of CHEU engaged in HIV care and who completed follow‐up. Although prevalence of stunting among CHEU at age 24 months was similar to national rates in Malawi, these estimates likely include children HIV‐exposed and HIV‐unexposed and may not be a true comparison population. Growth z‐scores were generated using a reference population of children from different ethnic and cultural backgrounds (World Health Organization, 2006), which may not be the most accurate representation of child growth in Malawi. Additionally, data on child age were only available in whole months which may have influenced prevalence estimates, although sensitivity analyses suggested the margin of error was negligible. As linear growth faltering is characterised by a progressive decline during the first 2 years of life, multi‐variable models at age 24 months were sufficient and captured cumulative stunting. Finally, without a control group of children HIV‐unexposed, we were unable to explore the effect of HIV exposure on stunting. Although our analysis identified the strongest predictors of stunting to be universal risk factors, this study was conducted in the context of high national malnutrition rates and may not have detected small differences by HIV‐specific exposures.
5. CONCLUSIONS
This is one of the first studies examining long‐term CHEU growth outcomes since the implementation of Option B+. Our findings demonstrate that over a third of CHEU were growth deficient at 24 months and identified various factors associated with stunting, which likely impact growth via distinct mechanisms. Interventions to improve linear growth among CHEU should address the multi‐faceted nature of their health environment, including prevention of infections and improved nutrition, alongside maternal ART prescription and follow‐up of mother–child pairs, to reduce any lasting impacts of early growth failure on long‐term health.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Study design and methods were developed by Gabriela Toledo, Claire Thorne, Heather Bailey, and Siobhan Crichton. Gabriela Toledo conducted the analysis and wrote the manuscript. Claire Thorne, Heather Bailey, Siobhan Crichton, and Megan Landes supervised the work of Gabriela Toledo and Siobhan Crichton provided statistical support. Claire Thorne, Heather Bailey, Siobhan Crichton, Megan Landes, Monique van Lettow, Wezi Msungama, and Beth A. Tippett Barr reviewed and approved the manuscript for submission.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Supporting information
Supporting information.
Supporting information.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to acknowledge and thank all mother–child pairs for their willingness to enrol in the NEMAPP study and for all of their contributions. NEMAPP was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) through the CDC under the terms of cooperative agreement U2GGH000721. GT is funded by the UCL Child Health Research Charitable Incorporated Organisation. The MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL is supported by the Medical Research Council (programme number MC_UU_12023/26). This study is supported by the NIHR GOSH BRC. The opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the institutions with which the authors are affiliated. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health.
Toledo, G. , Landes, M. , Lettow, M. , Tippett Barr, B. A. , Bailey, H. , Crichton, S. , Msungama, W. , & Thorne, C. (2023). Risk factors for stunting in children who are HIV‐exposed and uninfected after Option B+ implementation in Malawi. Maternal & Child Nutrition, 19, e13451. 10.1111/mcn.13451
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the Malawi Ministry of Health. Restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under license for this study. Data are available from Beth Tippett Barr with the permission of the Malawi Ministry of Health.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Supporting information.
Supporting information.
Data Availability Statement
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the Malawi Ministry of Health. Restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under license for this study. Data are available from Beth Tippett Barr with the permission of the Malawi Ministry of Health.
