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Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses logoLink to Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses
. 2023 Jan 7;17(1):e13092. doi: 10.1111/irv.13092

Results from a test‐and‐treat study for influenza among residents of homeless shelters in King County, WA: A stepped‐wedge cluster‐randomized trial

Julia H Rogers 1,2,, Amanda M Casto 1,3, Gift Nwanne 3, Amy C Link 1, Miguel A Martinez 1, Callista Nackviseth 1, Caitlin R Wolf 1, James P Hughes 3,4, Janet A Englund 5, Nancy Sugg 6, Timothy M Uyeki 7, Peter D Han 8, Brian Pfau 8, Jay Shendure 9, Helen Y Chu 1
PMCID: PMC9835442  PMID: 36610058

Abstract

Background

Persons experiencing homelessness face increased risk of influenza as overcrowding in congregate shelters can facilitate influenza virus spread. Data regarding on‐site influenza testing and antiviral treatment within homeless shelters remain limited.

Methods

We conducted a cluster‐randomized stepped‐wedge trial of point‐of‐care molecular influenza testing coupled with antiviral treatment with baloxavir or oseltamivir in residents of 14 homeless shelters in Seattle, WA, USA. Residents ≥3 months with cough or ≥2 acute respiratory illness (ARI) symptoms and onset <7 days were eligible. In control periods, mid‐nasal swabs were tested for influenza by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR). The intervention period included on‐site rapid molecular influenza testing and antiviral treatment for influenza‐positives if symptom onset was <48 h. The primary endpoint was monthly influenza virus infections in the control versus intervention periods. Influenza whole genome sequencing was performed to assess transmission and antiviral resistance.

Results

During 11/15/2019–4/30/2020 and 11/2/2020–4/30/2021, 1283 ARI encounters from 668 participants were observed. Influenza virus was detected in 51 (4%) specimens using RT‐PCR (A = 14; B = 37); 21 influenza virus infections were detected from 269 (8%) intervention‐eligible encounters by rapid molecular testing and received antiviral treatment. Thirty‐seven percent of ARI‐participant encounters reported symptom onset < 48 h. The intervention had no effect on influenza virus transmission (adjusted relative risk 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50–6.00). Of 23 influenza genomes, 86% of A(H1N1)pdm09 and 81% of B/Victoria sequences were closely related.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest feasibility of influenza test‐and‐treat strategies in shelters. Additional studies would help discern an intervention effect during periods of increased influenza activity.

Keywords: antiviral treatment, homeless shelters, influenza, randomized control trial, rapid molecular influenza test

1. BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza is estimated to have caused between 9–41 million illnesses, 140,710,000 hospitalizations and 12,000–52,000 deaths annually between 2010 and 2020 in the United States. 1 People experiencing homelessness (PEH) are at risk of severe influenza‐related disease due to high prevalence of underlying conditions, poorly managed substance use disorders, and mental illnesses. 2 Higher influenza‐related hospitalization and mechanical ventilation rates among PEH compared with housed populations have been observed. 3

Nearly a third of PEH in the United States stay in emergency shelters or transitional housing programs. 4 Congregate shelter environments increase transmission risk of influenza and other viral respiratory infections due to poor ventilation, overcrowding, and resident turnover. 5 Past studies have found a high prevalence of respiratory viruses in shelters, including influenza. 6 , 7

Rapid point‐of‐care influenza molecular tests have high sensitivity and specificity. 8 Within the context of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic, rapid site‐based tests have been used in shelter settings. These have the advantage of lower cost and faster turnaround time and require less specialized training compared with laboratory‐based molecular testing. Assessments of incident influenza virus infections, the utility of rapid influenza molecular tests in a low‐resource high‐density community setting, and the impact of pharmacologic strategies in sheltered homeless populations remain limited. In this study, we assessed whether point‐of‐care molecular testing and antiviral treatment of influenza was feasible, and whether it reduced influenza transmission in shelters, as compared with no intervention.

2. METHODS

2.1. Study design overview

We conducted a cluster‐randomized stepped‐wedge trial of a point‐of‐care molecular influenza testing with antiviral treatment intervention in shelters in King County, Washington (WA). The objective of the trial was to evaluate the feasibility and impact of the intervention on the number of secondary influenza cases within homeless shelters. Ethics approval was obtained from the University of Washington Human Subjects Division. The full protocol has been previously described. 9

2.2. Setting and participants

This study was conducted initially at nine homeless shelters in King County, WA. Participants were enrolled over a cumulative 12 months, composed of two 6‐month influenza seasons, from 11/15/19 to 4/30/20 in Year 1 and from 11/2/20 to 4/30/21 in Year 2.

Study eligibility criteria included being a resident at a participating shelter; age ≥ 3 months old; and experiencing new or worsening cough alone or two or more acute respiratory illness (ARI) symptoms in the last 7 days. During the intervention period, criteria included willingness to perform a rapid influenza molecular test and take study medication if the result was positive.

2.3. Randomization and intervention

We used a stepped‐wedge cluster‐randomized trial, where randomization occurred at the cluster (shelter) level. The design involved monthly random and sequential crossover of clusters from control periods to intervention periods with influenza testing at kiosks until all clusters implemented the intervention. Nine shelters were randomized to the four sequences, with rerandomization at the start of each year (Figure 1) using computer‐generated randomization. Stratified randomization (youth vs. adult shelters) was performed to ensure that the family shelters (n = 3) were evenly distributed to three of the four sequences. All sites remained in the intervention condition for the remainder of the season once it had been introduced.

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

Stepped‐wedge cluster‐randomized trial design and shelter randomization assignments, Years 1 and 2. COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; RCT, randomized controlled trial

2.4. Study procedures

2.4.1. Recruitment

Participants were recruited from staffed influenza‐surveillance kiosks at each shelter and screened for eligibility. Participants were recruited 6 days per week. To encourage participation, regular staffed kiosk hours were advertised with flyers and regular announcements at shelters. Telephonic translation services were available for participants who did not speak English.

2.4.2. Control period

Eligible individuals had mid‐turbinate nasal swabs collected (self‐collected by participants from 3/6/2020 onwards) using sterile nylon flocked swabs (Copan Diagnostics) and filled surveys providing self‐reported demographic and clinical data on an electric tablet; survey variables and shelter site data have been previously described. 10 All swabs were sent to a University of Washington (UW) laboratory for reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) testing. No rapid influenza molecular testing or antiviral treatment was offered at the influenza‐surveillance kiosks during the control period.

2.4.3. Intervention period

Trained kiosk staff conducted on‐site rapid molecular influenza testing (Abbott ID NOW, Abbott Laboratories, Lake Bluff, IL, USA), which detects and distinguishes between influenza A and B, and produces a result in 12 min, using nasal specimens collected from participants. Baloxavir (XOFLUZA, Genentech, San Francisco, CA, USA) was administered to all influenza‐positive participants aged ≥12 years. Study clinicians were available by phone to respond to questions or concerns that could not be directly addressed by the kiosk staff. For individuals who tested positive aged 3 months to 11 years, pregnant or breastfeeding, or adults with active malignancy, liver disease, or immunocompromised, a 5‐day treatment course of oseltamivir (TAMIFLU, Roche, Basel, Switzerland) was dispensed. All other individuals aged ≥12 years received a single dose of baloxavir (Appendix S1).

Participants with symptom onset < 48 h were eligible for the intervention as initiation of antiviral treatment is recommended within 48 h of influenza symptom onset for greatest clinical benefits. 11 Exclusion criteria for the intervention included renal dysfunction; receipt of an antiviral in the past 7 days; and known allergies to baloxavir or oseltamivir. Eligible individuals who had symptom onset > 48 h before enrollment continued to be eligible for surveillance testing, as was available during the control period. Participants who received the intervention also provided an additional nasal swab that was transported to the UW laboratory and subsequently tested for influenza A/B utilizing RT‐PCR.

2.4.4. Follow‐up

Following antiviral receipt, influenza‐positive participants were asked to return to the kiosk for symptom surveys and nasal swab collection 2–3 and 5–7 days after diagnosis (Figure 2A). Follow‐up study visit participation was encouraged through autogenerated text‐message reminders for those with cell phones and through paper‐based appointment slips provided by kiosk study staff at time of diagnosis.

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2

(A) Study design overview including participant‐level study flow of the test‐and‐treat strategy from 11/15/19 to 4/30/21. (B) Total number of participants completing intervention study procedure steps based on eligibility screening. ARI, acute respiratory illness; RT‐PCT, reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction

2.5. Impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on study protocol

In response to SARS‐CoV‐2 community transmission in WA, study Year 1's intervention was paused on 4/1/2020. Study Year 2 recommenced on 11/2/20 but was terminated early on 4/1/2021 due to operational futility based on minimal influenza activity in King County, WA. During the second year of the study, 5 of the 9 shelters relocated their residents to new facilities to enable improved adherence to SARS‐CoV‐2 transmission mitigation measures (Table S1); in total, 14 shelters were study sites. These new facilities overall had smaller maximum capacities than those used to calculate anticipated study power and estimated sample size (Appendix S1).

Concurrent study recruitment of shelter residents that did not fit ARI criteria to improve SARS‐CoV‐2 surveillance sensitivity was initiated on 4/1/2020. For protocol details and data on non‐ARI influenza virus detection, see Appendix S1.

2.6. UW laboratory testing

For samples that were sent to the laboratory, total nucleic acids were extracted using the Magna Pure 96 kit (Roche) and tested by TaqMan OpenArray RT‐PCR (Thermo) for multiple viral pathogens, including influenza A (H3 and H1 hemagglutinin subtypes) and influenza B. OpenArray relative threshold (CRT) values were used to determine the viral load of each sample; CRT values are inversely related to the viral load. Viral genome sequencing by hybrid capture was attempted on all influenza‐positive samples with viral loads > ~50,000 genomic copies/ml using a protocol described previously. 12

2.7. Outcomes and statistical analyses

All data in this analysis are presented by participant encounter, defined as each time an eligible individual provided a nasal swab and completed a survey with study staff. We used descriptive statistics to evaluate the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics at baseline in control and intervention periods for study Years 1 and 2; these characteristics were also described by lab‐confirmed influenza result. Descriptive and statistical analyses were performed using R Statistical Software (Version 4.0.3, Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).

2.7.1. Primary objective: Effects on reducing secondary spread of influenza virus

The primary endpoint was monthly number of influenza‐positive samples in the control versus intervention periods among ARI‐participant encounters. The predictor of interest was test‐and‐treat at the shelter/cluster‐month level (i.e., intervention vs. control periods). Shelters were analyzed with an intent‐to‐treat (ITT) analysis to preserve the advantages of randomization. Relative risk of influenza virus infection during the intervention period compared with the control period was calculated using a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) following a Poisson distribution with a log link. The model was adjusted for calendar time with an offset of shelter maximum capacity and random effect for shelter and time. Due to low influenza virus circulation in Year 2, the primary outcome analysis for this study was calculated based on data collected only from Year 1. Influenza‐like illness (ILI) was defined as fever and cough, or fever and sore throat.

2.7.2. Secondary objective A: Assess feasibility of test‐and‐treat strategy for influenza in shelters

Feasibility of implementation of point‐of‐care influenza molecular testing was measured as the time between symptom onset until diagnosis through rapid test or laboratory test. Feasibility of implementation of antiviral treatment was measured as the time between symptom onset until initiation of antiviral treatment. Additional endpoints used to characterize feasibility were proportion of participants lost‐to‐follow‐up (LTFU) and proportion of participants non‐compliant with oseltamivir therapy (self‐reported measure collected during on‐site follow‐up visits with kiosk staff).

2.7.3. Secondary objective B: Characterize influenza transmission

To better understand the relationship among the influenza cases detected by this study and between these cases and cases with a viral genomic sequence publicly available in the GISAID database, we attempted sequencing on all influenza‐positive samples from Year 1 with viral loads > ~50,000 genomic copies/ml. We were able to generate influenza genome sequences for 23 of these samples (7 influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 16 influenza B/Victoria) (Table S3). Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and influenza B phylogenetic trees including these genomes and influenza genomes in GISAID from samples collected in WA during the study period (10/2019–3/2020) were created and pairwise genetic (Hamming) distances were calculated for all influenza A/B sequence pairs. We also assessed the viral genomes generated for the study for known mutations associated with reduced susceptibility to baloxavir and oseltamivir in persons during and following antiviral treatment.

3. RESULTS

3.1. Study population and demographics

Overall, we observed 1283 ARI encounters (1159 from Year 1 and 124 from Year 2) from 668 unique participants who met eligibility criteria. Of these, 514 and 769 encounters occurred during the control and intervention periods, respectively. The median age of participants was 45 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 24), and 8.3% were children (Table 1). The study population predominantly identified as male (69.1%), White (52.0%), and non‐Hispanic/Latinx (88.9%). A majority of encounters were from current smokers (63.4%), and nearly all had health insurance (90.5%); a minority reported receiving the current season's influenza vaccine (41.1%). Most participants used shelters as their usual nighttime accommodation (73.3%).

TABLE 1.

Baseline sociodemographic and health characteristics of ARI‐participant encounters, overall and by study period, 2019–2020 and 2020–2021 influenza seasons

Study period
Control (n = 514) Intervention (n = 769) Overall participant encounters (N = 1283)
Sociodemographic variables
Age, median [IQR] 42.0 [24.0] 49.0 [24.0] 45.0 [24.0]
Age group
3 months to 4 years 25 (4.86%) 37 (4.81%) 62 (4.83%)
5–11 years 14 (2.72%) 15 (1.95%) 29 (2.26%)
12–17 years 7 (1.36%) 8 (1.04%) 15 (1.17%)
18–49 years 301 (58.6%) 330 (42.9%) 631 (49.2%)
50–64 years 145 (28.2%) 340 (44.2%) 485 (37.8%)
≥65 years 22 (4.28%) 39 (5.07%) 61 (4.75%)
Male sex 298 (58.5%) 580 (76.2%) 878 (69.1%)
Race
American Indian and Alaskan Native 13 (2.80%) 25 (3.71%) 38 (3.34%)
Asian 11 (2.37%) 12 (1.78%) 23 (2.02%)
Black/African American 127 (27.3%) 192 (28.5%) 319 (28.0%)
Multiple 65 (14.0%) 84 (12.5%) 149 (13.1%)
Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander 15 (3.23%) 2 (0.297%) 17 (1.49%)
White 234 (50.3%) 358 (53.2%) 592 (52.0%)
Hispanic/Latinx ethnicity 69 (13.6%) 71 (9.37%) 140 (11.1%)
Employed 80 (17.0%) 152 (21.4%) 232 (19.6%)
Education
Less than high school 85 (18.4%) 113 (16.1%) 198 (17.0%)
High school or GED 192 (41.6%) 291 (41.5%) 483 (41.5%)
Some college 131 (28.4%) 223 (31.8%) 354 (30.4%)
Bachelor's degree or higher 53 (11.5%) 75 (10.7%) 128 (11.0%)
Health variables
Has health insurance 481 (94.3%) 665 (88.0%) 1146 (90.5%)
Received current season's influenza vaccine (self‐report) 198 (40.9%) 305 (41.2%) 503 (41.1%)
Current smoker 345 (67.1%) 469 (61.0%) 814 (63.4%)
Pregnant 12 (6.28%) 7 (4.40%) 19 (5.43%)
Lifestyle variables
Sleeping location
Communal 395 (76.8%) 618 (80.4%) 1013 (79.0%)
Cubicles 10 (1.95%) 15 (1.95%) 25 (1.95%)
Private/family room 109 (21.2%) 136 (17.7%) 245 (19.1%)
Duration of homelessness
<6 months 177 (35.2%) 221 (29.7%) 398 (31.9%)
6–12 months 97 (19.3%) 111 (14.9%) 208 (16.7%)
13–24 months 58 (11.5%) 90 (12.1%) 148 (11.9%)
>24 months 171 (34.0%) 322 (43.3%) 493 (39.5%)
Usual nighttime accommodations a
Shelter 377 (73.3%) 563 (73.3%) 940 (73.3%)
Transitional housing 13 (2.53%) 22 (2.86%) 35 (2.73%)
Street/outside/tent/encampment 68 (13.2%) 89 (11.6%) 157 (12.2%)
Abandoned building/squat 5 (0.973%) 3 (0.391%) 8 (0.624%)
Vehicle 19 (3.70%) 37 (4.82%) 56 (4.37%)
Hotel or motel 25 (4.86%) 46 (5.99%) 71 (5.54%)
Other 4 (0.778%) 4 (0.521%) 8 (0.624%)
Unknown 3 (0.584%) 4 (0.521%) 7 (0.546%)

Note: All columns apart from “Total” have calculated row percentages; “Total” column percentages calculated exclude missing responses.

Abbreviations: ARI, acute respiratory illness; IQR, interquartile range.

a

Not mutually exclusive.

3.2. Clinical characteristics of ARI encounters

The most common symptoms reported were rhinorrhea (76.9%) and cough (72.3%) (Table 2). The most common comorbidities were chronic lung disease (24.9%) and diabetes (14%). The proportion of ARI encounters that met the ILI case definition was 26.3%. The majority reported symptom onset within 5–7 days (37.7%); however, only 23.9% reported having sought medical care for their illness episode (25.5% of ARI encounters that resulted in medical care‐seeking were influenza‐positive), and 14 (4.6%) of those with ARI that received care were prescribed an antiviral.

TABLE 2.

Baseline sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of ARI‐participant encounters, by laboratory multiplex assay‐confirmed influenza result and rapid influenza molecular test result, 2019–2020 and 2020–2021 influenza seasons

Variable All lab‐confirmed influenza results All rapid‐test‐confirmed influenza results
Positive (n = 51) Negative (n = 1232) Overall (N = 1283) Positive (n = 21) Negative (n = 248) Overall (N = 269)
Age, median [IQR] 28.0 [34.0] 46.0 [25.0] 45.0 [24.0] 19.0 [26.0] 45.0 [27.0] 43.0 [28.0]
Age group
3 months to 4 years 9 (17.6%) 53 (4.30%) 62 (4.83%) 8 (38.1%) 13 (5.24%) 21 (7.81%)
5–11 years 5 (9.80%) 24 (1.95%) 29 (2.26%) 1 (4.76%) 11 (4.44%) 12 (4.46%)
12–17 years 1 (1.96%) 14 (1.14%) 15 (1.17%) 1 (4.76%) 5 (2.02%) 6 (2.23%)
18–49 years 28 (54.9%) 603 (48.9%) 631 (49.2%) 7 (33.3%) 134 (54.0%) 141 (52.4%)
50–64 years 6 (11.8%) 479 (38.9%) 485 (37.8%) 4 (19.0%) 80 (32.3%) 84 (31.2%)
≥65 years 2 (3.92%) 59 (4.79%) 61 (4.75%) 0 (0%) 5 (2.02%) 5 (1.86%)
Male sex 31 (60.8%) 847 (69.5%) 878 (69.1%) 10 (47.6%) 159 (65.2%) 169 (63.8%)
Race
American Indian and Alaskan Native 1 (2.00%) 37 (3.40%) 38 (3.34%) 0 (0%) 6 (2.74%) 6 (2.50%)
Asian 0 (0%) 23 (2.11%) 23 (2.02%) 0 (0%) 4 (1.83%) 4 (1.67%)
Black/African American 19 (38.0%) 300 (27.6%) 319 (28.0%) 8 (38.1%) 56 (25.6%) 64 (26.7%)
Multiple 3 (6.00%) 146 (13.4%) 149 (13.1%) 2 (9.52%) 14 (6.39%) 16 (6.67%)
Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander 0 (0%) 17 (1.56%) 17 (1.49%) 0 0 0
White 27 (54.0%) 565 (51.9%) 592 (52.0%) 11 (52.4%) 139 (63.5%) 150 (62.5%)
Comorbidities
Blood disorders (e.g., sickle cell) 0 (0%) 26 (2.12%) 26 (2.03%) 0 (0%) 7 (2.82%) 7 (2.60%)
Chronic lung disease a 13 (23.6%) 306 (24.9%) 319 (24.9%) 2 (9.52%) 52 (21.0%) 54 (20.1%)
Cancer/immunosuppression (by medication or disease) 0 (0%) 50 (4.07%) 50 (3.90%) 0 (0%) 13 (5.24%) 13 (4.83%)
Diabetes 14 (25.5%) 165 (13.4%) 179 (14.0%) 1 (4.76%) 16 (6.45%) 17 (6.32%)
Heart disease (heart failure or heart attack) 9 (16.4%) 62 (5.05%) 71 (5.53%) 1 (4.76%) 6 (2.42%) 7 (2.60%)
Liver or kidney disease 0 (0%) 74 (6.03%) 74 (5.77%) 0 (0%) 17 (6.85%) 17 (6.32%)
Influenza‐like illness (ILI) b 23 (45.1%) 315 (25.6%) 338 (26.3%) 11 (52.4%) 65 (26.2%) 76 (28.3%)
Symptoms
Feeling feverish 27 (52.9%) 386 (31.3%) 413 (32.2%) 12 (57.1%) 92 (37.1%) 104 (38.7%)
Cough 42 (82.4%) 885 (71.8%) 927 (72.3%) 18 (85.7%) 162 (65.3%) 180 (66.9%)
Rhinorrhea 41 (80.4%) 945 (76.7%) 986 (76.9%) 19 (90.5%) 198 (79.8%) 217 (80.7%)
Chills 17 (33.3%) 362 (29.4%) 379 (29.5%) 6 (28.6%) 72 (29.0%) 78 (29.0%)
Sweats 15 (29.4%) 346 (28.1%) 361 (28.1%) 7 (33.3%) 65 (26.2%) 72 (26.8%)
Sore throat 17 (33.3%) 502 (40.7%) 519 (40.5%) 8 (38.1%) 109 (44.0%) 117 (43.5%)
Nausea or vomiting 20 (39.2%) 330 (26.8%) 350 (27.3%) 5 (23.8%) 67 (27.0%) 72 (26.8%)
Headache 18 (35.3%) 507 (41.2%) 525 (40.9%) 6 (28.6%) 117 (47.2%) 123 (45.7%)
Fatigue 23 (45.1%) 551 (44.7%) 574 (44.7%) 12 (57.1%) 122 (49.2%) 134 (49.8%)
Myalgia 21 (41.2%) 550 (44.6%) 571 (44.5%) 8 (38.1%) 114 (46.0%) 122 (45.4%)
Increased trouble breathing 11 (21.6%) 278 (22.6%) 289 (22.5%) 4 (19.0%) 66 (26.6%) 70 (26.0%)
Diarrhea c 13 (25.5%) 210 (17.0%) 223 (17.4%) 3 (14.3%) 40 (16.1%) 43 (16.0%)
Ear pain or ear discharge c 3 (5.88%) 130 (10.6%) 133 (10.4%) 1 (4.76%) 19 (7.66%) 20 (7.43%)
Symptom onset < 48 h 32 (64.7%) 447 (36.3%) 480 (37.4%) 21 (100%) 148 (100%) 169 (100%)
Sought clinical care for illness episode 13 (25.5%) 293 (23.8%) 306 (23.9%) 1 (4.76%) 25 (10.1%) 26 (9.67%)
Received an antiviral from a clinical provider for illness episode (n = 306) d
Yes 4 (30.8) 10 (3.41%) 14 (4.58%) NA NA NA
No 8 (61.5%) 273 (93.2%) 281 (91.8%) NA NA NA
Do not know 1 (7.69%) 10 (3.41%) 11 (3.59%) NA NA NA

Abbreviations: ARI, acute respiratory illness; IQR, interquartile range; NA, not applicable.

a

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder, emphysema, asthma, or reactive airway disease.

b

Fever and cough or fever and sore throat.

c

Only eligible trigger symptoms for participants < 18 years.

d

Not applicable to participants who had a rapid test conducted as prior antiviral treatment was an exclusion criterion for receipt of the intervention.

3.3. Influenza detection and intervention effect on reducing secondary spread of influenza virus

Among all ARI‐participant encounters, 51 (4.0%) influenza virus infections (A = 15; B = 37) were identified through RT‐PCR. Of the influenza A subtypes, A(H1N1)pdm09 predominated (93.3%). Most infections were identified among participants 18–59 years (54.9%; Table 2); 17.6% were among children 3 months to 5 years. No influenza virus infections were detected by RT‐PCR in study Year 2; one was detected by rapid influenza molecular test.

Among the 269 ARI encounters that were eligible for the intervention, 21 (7.8%; Table 2) were influenza‐positive by rapid influenza molecular test. Most infections detected by rapid molecular test were identified among participants aged 3 months to 5 years (38.1%). See Appendix S1 for RT‐PCR and rapid molecular test concordance results.

Overall, more infections were identified during intervention periods (n = 32) compared with control periods (n = 19). Restricting analysis to Year 1 of the study, the relative risk of infection during the intervention periods compared with control periods, adjusted for calendar time, was 1.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50–6.00, p‐value = 0.386; Table 3). Although these results were not statistically significant, we did observe that family shelters had significantly higher test positivity compared with adult‐only shelters (11% vs. 2%; p < 0.001) across both study years.

TABLE 3.

Relative risk of infection during the intervention period compared with the control period using a generalized linear mixed model following a Poisson distribution with a log link and robust variance, adjusted for calendar time and an exposure time variable based on shelter capacity. This model includes ARI‐participant encounters from Year 1 of the study (11/15/2019–4/31/2020).

Shelter names Randomized waves
Nov‐19 Dec‐19 Jan‐20 Feb‐20 Mar‐20 Apr‐20
O, M, and F Influenza cases 6 1 5 1 0 0
Persons at risk a 372 372 372 372 372 372
B and E Influenza cases 1 14 1 0 0 0
Persons at risk 170 170 170 170 170 170
A and C Influenza cases 1 0 2 0 0 0
Persons at risk 105 105 105 105 105 105
D and L Influenza cases 1 3 13 2 0 0
Persons at risk 385 385 385 385 385 385
Risk ratio 95% confidence interval p‐value
Influenza virus infection determined by RT‐PCR 1.73 0.50–6.00 0.386

Note: Inline graphic, Standard surveillance; Inline graphic, standard surveillance + test‐and‐treat protocol.

Abbreviations: ARI, acute respiratory illness; RT‐PCR, reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction.

a

Persons at risk determined by static measure of maximum nightly shelter capacity.

3.4. Feasibility of influenza test‐and‐treat strategy

Of all ARI‐participant encounters, 37.4% reported symptom onset < 48 h (Table 2; Figure 2B). Among the 769 ARI encounters observed at shelters during intervention periods, 312 were eligible for, and 269 (86.2%) completed, rapid influenza molecular testing; 21 (7.8%) of these were influenza‐positive (A = 3; B = 18).

All 21 positives were treated with an antiviral, including 12 with oseltamivir and 9 with baloxavir; 38% of those treated were <5 years old. Of the 51 symptomatic infections identified through RT‐PCR, 64.7% had symptom onset < 48 h of specimen collection. Of the 32 symptomatic infections identified through RT‐PCR during intervention periods, 19 (59.4%) also were detected <48 h of symptom onset by the rapid molecular test and received immediate antiviral treatment. Of the 6 oseltamivir recipients with follow‐up data, 4 (66%) were fully treatment adherent with no missed doses. Of the 21 participants who received either antiviral, 14 (66.7%) returned for their first follow‐up study visit; only 1 (4.8%) returned for both study visits in the week following treatment. No severe adverse events were identified over the study period.

3.5. Genomics

All seven full genome sequences generated for the influenza A‐positive samples from three different shelters were identified as A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses. We generated a maximum likelihood phylogenetic tree containing these seven samples along with all A(H1N1)pdm09 genomes deposited in GISAID that were collected in WA from 10/2019 to 3/2020 (N = 158) (Figure 3A). Two clusters of multiple shelter samples were identified. All four sequenced A(H1N1)pdm09 samples from shelter L grouped together in the tree with 99% bootstrap support; two of these samples had identical sequences. The two sequenced A(H1N1)pdm09 samples from shelter D were also identical in sequence. We estimated that at least four out of seven sequenced influenza A samples represented a case resulting from intra‐shelter transmission.

FIGURE 3.

FIGURE 3

Maximum likelihood phylogenetic trees for (A) influenza A and (B) influenza B. Trees include all sequenced study samples and all genomes for samples collected in Washington (WA) during the study timeframe that have been deposited in GISAID.

All 16 full genome sequences generated for the influenza B‐positive samples from five different shelters were identified as Victoria lineage viruses. A phylogenetic tree containing these samples along with all Victoria genomes deposited in WA GISAID collected from 10/2019 to 3/2020 (N = 189) was generated (Figure 3B). Genetic diversity was observed in several clusters of multiple shelter samples. Four out of eight sequenced samples from family shelter E grouped together (two of these were identical) with bootstrap support of 100%; two of the remaining shelter E sequences were also identical to each other. In addition, two out of four samples from family shelter O clustered together (100% bootstrap support) as did two out of two samples from shelter L (100% bootstrap support). We estimated that at least 5 out of 16 sequenced influenza B samples represented a case resulting from intra‐shelter transmission.

A total of 86% (6 of 7) of sequenced A(H1N1)pdm09 and 81% (13 of 16) of B/Victoria lineage viruses were most closely related to another sequence from the same shelter when analyzed with WA GISAID sequences. There were cases where inter‐shelter transmission was a possibility, most notably the close relationship between the influenza B shelter D sample and two shelter E samples (pairwise distance of two). The average pairwise distances between influenza A genomes and influenza B genomes from the same shelter were 2.0 and 7.0, respectively, versus average pairwise distances of 53.4 and 16.8 for genomes from different shelters.

The NA and PA genic regions of the 23 shelter genomes were reviewed at the consensus level for known mutations associated with reduced susceptibility to oseltamivir or baloxavir, respectively, and no evidence of reduced antiviral susceptibility was identified.

4. DISCUSSION

This study assessed the feasibility and impact of an on‐site test‐and‐treat intervention for influenza among persons experiencing homelessness in a congregate setting. Although the study was limited by operational futility from a near absence of influenza virus circulation in WA in Year 2, 13 we found that use of a rapid molecular point‐of‐care test‐and‐treat strategy for influenza at shelters was feasible, whereas the intervention had no significant effect on influenza incidence.

Using on‐site surveillance, we observed a substantial proportion of overall ARI encounters (37.4%) within 48 h, a group that would be eligible to receive antiviral treatment if influenza‐positive. The COVID‐19 pandemic has also shown that rapid viral testing at shelters is feasible and effective when combined with mitigation measures; however, the impact of using antivirals for influenza treatment and chemoprophylaxis to reduce intra‐shelter transmission has not yet been explored. 14

A majority of RT‐PCR influenza‐positive participants identified during intervention periods received antiviral treatment (59.4%), suggesting that immediate treatment is feasible. Use of single‐dose baloxavir treatment in this study was an advantage as it was compliance independent and has shown to be effective as both a prophylactic and means of reducing secondary influenza transmission in households. 15 , 16 However, we also found high acceptability of antiviral treatment among non‐baloxavir eligible participants, despite oseltamivir's more complex 5‐day regimen.

We found that less than half of symptomatic influenza virus infections met ILI criteria. This suggests that the ILI definition is less valuable as a diagnostic criterion than a means of surveilling community‐level influenza virus circulation and that viral diagnostic testing is needed to distinguish signs and symptoms caused by specific viral infections. Based on the World Health Organization (WHO) global influenza update from June 2022, countries are recommended to prepare for the co‐circulation of influenza and SARS‐CoV‐2 viruses and to enhance integrated surveillance to monitor influenza and SARS‐CoV‐2 simultaneously. 17 Considering the renewed global circulation of influenza A viruses, this study provides a framework to further assess the integration of rapid influenza diagnostic test (RIDT) and access to recommended therapeutics for improved surveillance and response in congregate settings.

In this study, rapid influenza molecular testing had high concordance with RT‐PCR results, supporting use in shelters (see Appendix S1). In clinical settings, RIDT utilization, despite being less sensitive than rapid molecular influenza testing, 18 has been found to reduce overall influenza‐related health care costs and improve proper utilization of influenza antivirals. 19 PEH, however, are disproportionately dependent on hospital and emergency services compared with the general population and for influenza‐related illnesses, PEH patients have been found to experience substantially higher rates of hospitalization than non‐homeless patients. 3 , 20 During the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, observed hospitalization rates were up to 29 times higher among PEH. 3 Accessible shelter‐based rapid molecular tests have the potential to significantly improve influenza diagnostic accuracy over less sensitive rapid influenza antigen tests to facilitate prompt antiviral treatment and control measures in a variety of congregate facilities with high risk of influenza outbreaks. This approach also has the potential to save hospital resources and reduce overall costs on the health care system during seasonal influenza epidemics and pandemics. 3

We found that sequenced influenza viruses from the same shelter were frequently closely related, likely reflective of intra‐shelter transmission. However, there were two examples of genetic diversity among samples collected from a single shelter over a short time period, both from family shelters, raising the possibility of multiple influenza viral introductions. 21 Although our sample size was small, this raises the question of whether transmission of influenza and other respiratory viruses differs between adult‐only versus family shelters. We also observed that sequenced samples from different shelters were not closely related, which would argue against transmission of influenza between the study shelters.

Individuals frequently sought clinical care for their ARI in this study, yet few were prescribed an antiviral prior to study enrollment. This may be due to lack of provider awareness regarding antiviral treatment, or delays in seeking clinical care outside of the shelter setting making outside the recommended 48‐h window for antiviral treatment since symptom onset. 22 This is supported by studies reporting that PEH are likely to delay seeking care for acute infections due to multiple barriers (including transportation, provider discrimination, and inaccessibility). 23 , 24 Studies have found key enablers to any vaccine uptake among PEH are convenient locations and times, and incorporation of vaccination into routine health and social care. 25 Acute respiratory illness testing and treatment uptake among sheltered PEH likely require similar enabling environments (e.g., rapid antiviral delivery on‐site).

This study was subject to several limitations. First, the COVID‐19 pandemic and subsequent reduction of influenza virus circulation led to low study power and limited ability to assess the effect of the intervention. We therefore view these results as inconclusive rather than negative. Second, the use of shelter capacity to determine persons at risk in the GLMM calculation does not account for resident transiency and may have over‐estimated the population if shelters were not at maximum capacity during study Year 1. Third, selection biases may have occurred as the nature of the stepped‐wedge cluster‐randomized trial design does not allow for blinding of the intervention. Study participation may have been perceived as more desirable during intervention periods when immediate testing results and actionable intervention for illness episodes were made available. Fourth, our study design may have under‐estimated influenza virus transmission in shelters as we did not assess transmission from residents with asymptomatic infection or capture secondary asymptomatic infections. Finally, survey data were based on self‐report, which may be subjective particularly for variables such as symptoms experienced and illness duration.

5. CONCLUSION

Our findings establish the feasibility of an on‐site influenza test‐and‐treat strategy in shelters that has the potential to be applied during influenza epidemics and pandemics. Our genomic data suggest that intra‐shelter spread of influenza viruses is common and is responsible for a large proportion of symptomatic influenza virus infections in shelters. Possible distinct transmission dynamics within family and adult shelters suggests that interventions tailored to shelters serving children should be explored (e.g., on‐site antiviral treatment for symptomatic residents and chemoprophylaxis for exposed residents, baloxavir‐only treatment for children ≥ 5 years old, 26 or improved ventilation systems and other non‐pharmaceutical interventions). The effect of shelter‐level interventions on mitigating influenza transmission, morbidity, and mortality among PEH should be assessed through additional studies.

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

Dr. Chu reported consulting with Ellume, Pfizer, The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, GlaxoSmithKline, and Merck. She has received research funding from Sanofi Pasteur, and support and reagents from Ellume and Cepheid outside of the submitted work. Dr. Englund reported research support from Merck, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and GlaxoSmithKline. She is a consultant for Meissa Vaccines, Sanofi Pasteur, and AstraZeneca.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Julia H. Rogers: Conceptualization; data curation; formal analysis; methodology; project administration; writing‐original draft; writing‐review and editing. Amanda M. Casto: Conceptualization; formal analysis; visualization; writing‐original draft. Gift Nwanne: Conceptualization; formal analysis; project administration; writing‐original draft; writing‐review and editing. Amy C. Link: Project administration; resources; writing‐review and editing. Miguel A. Martinez: Formal analysis; project administration; resources; writing‐review and editing. Callista Nackviseth: Investigation; project administration; resources; writing‐review and editing. Caitlin R. Wolf: Investigation; resources; software; writing‐review and editing. James P. Hughes: Conceptualization; formal analysis; investigation; methodology; supervision; writing‐review and editing. Janet A. Englund: Conceptualization; formal analysis; investigation; methodology; supervision; writing‐review and editing. Nancy Sugg: Conceptualization; methodology; supervision; writing‐review and editing. Timothy M. Uyeki: Formal analysis; investigation; methodology; supervision; writing‐review and editing. Peter D. Han: Data curation; project administration; resources; software; validation; writing‐review and editing. Brian Pfau: Data curation; investigation; project administration; resources; software; writing‐review and editing. Jay Shendure: Conceptualization; investigation; methodology; resources; validation; writing‐review and editing. Helen Y. Chu: Conceptualization; funding acquisition; investigation; methodology; project administration; resources; supervision; validation; writing‐review and editing.

ETHICS STATEMENT

The University of Washington Institutional Review Board approved this study. All participants provided informed consent and/or assent.

PEER REVIEW

The peer review history for this article is available at https://publons.com/publon/10.1111/irv.13092.

Supporting information

Table S1. Shelter‐specific characteristics and ARI participant encounter numbers, 2019–2020 and 2020–2021 influenza seasons

Table S2. Rapid on‐site molecular test results in comparison with RT‐PCR‐confirmed influenza test results

Table S3. Influenza‐positive specimens with full genome sequences collected from shelter residents with <50% missing data.

Figure S1. Weekly influenza virus detection by RT‐PCR, October 2019 – May 2021; includes nasal specimens collected from non‐ARI surveillance concurrently conducted at study site shelters

Figure S2. Within‐subject change in viral load of specimen with detectable influenza RNA virus by RT‐PCR at study days 0, 2/3 and days 5/6/7 among those treated with an antiviral

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We would like to acknowledge the homeless shelter staff, program managers, and all the participants who made this work possible. We would also like to acknowledge the Seattle Flu Study co‐investigators and the BAT‐Lab Pathogen Detection Lab Team for their contributions to this project.

Rogers JH, Casto AM, Nwanne G, et al. Results from a test‐and‐treat study for influenza among residents of homeless shelters in King County, WA: A stepped‐wedge cluster‐randomized trial. Influenza Other Respi Viruses. 2023;17(1):e13092. doi: 10.1111/irv.13092

Registered at: clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04141917).

Funding information This study was funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (75D30120C09322) and Gates Ventures. The funders were not involved in study design and do not have any ownership over the conduct of the study, data, or rights to publish. The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

Patient‐level data and statistical code are available upon request from the corresponding author at jr66@uw.edu.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Table S1. Shelter‐specific characteristics and ARI participant encounter numbers, 2019–2020 and 2020–2021 influenza seasons

Table S2. Rapid on‐site molecular test results in comparison with RT‐PCR‐confirmed influenza test results

Table S3. Influenza‐positive specimens with full genome sequences collected from shelter residents with <50% missing data.

Figure S1. Weekly influenza virus detection by RT‐PCR, October 2019 – May 2021; includes nasal specimens collected from non‐ARI surveillance concurrently conducted at study site shelters

Figure S2. Within‐subject change in viral load of specimen with detectable influenza RNA virus by RT‐PCR at study days 0, 2/3 and days 5/6/7 among those treated with an antiviral

Data Availability Statement

Patient‐level data and statistical code are available upon request from the corresponding author at jr66@uw.edu.


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