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. 2023 Jan 21;9(2):e13167. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13167

Table 2.

A summary of the studies regarding the prediction of solar radiation data using time series methods.

Location Model Input Parameters Output Parameter Data Scale Statistical Benchmarks Key Findings References
Kansas, Denver, and Arizona, United States ARIMA Historical solar radiation Daily average global horizontal solar radiation January 01, 1987, to December 31, 1990 MAPE ARIMA has better results when applied to the time-varying daily solar radiation prediction. [52]
Many countries in Europe and Asia ARIMA Historical solar radiation Daily solar radiation 9436 days from November 16, 1978 N/A The time series in different climatic conditions depend on the long-range variability of solar radiation. [53]
Jeddah, Saudi Arabia AR Historical solar radiation Diffuse horizontal radiation, hourly global solar radiation, and direct normal radiation 1998–2002 RMSE and MBE The applicable model developed with the entered parameters resulted in an accurate prediction. [54]
Miami and Orlando, United States ARIMA Historical solar radiation Hourly global solar radiation January 1995 to December 2005 MBE and RMSE It was observed that cloud cover information gives more accurate results in terms of prediction. [55]
Awali, Bahrain ARIMA Historical solar radiation Daily average solar radiation May 2010 to April 2011 MAPE It was observed that the different ARIMA models used effectively predict solar radiation. [56]
Five cities in France ARMA Meteorological parameters Hourly global solar radiation October 2002 to December 2008 nRMSE The nRMSE ranges from 18.9 to 21.1% in five different cities. [57]
Ajaccio, France ARMA Meteorological parameters Hourly solar radiation 2007–2008 nRMSE ANN has better results than the ARMA model with a decrease of 1.3 points while performing error prediction. [58]
Corsica Island, France AR and ARIMA Historical global solar radiation Daily global solar radiation January 1998 to December 2007 RMSE, nRMSE, MAE and MBE An ANN with extrinsic and intrinsic data has better performance in univariate ARMA models. [59]
Seoul, South Korea ARIMA and SARIMA Historical solar radiation data Daily and monthly solar radiation 1981–2017 R2 and RMSE While the ARIMA model has good results for daily solar radiation, SARIMA has more accurate results for monthly solar radiation estimation. [60]
Oran, Algeria ARMANAR Meteorological parameters Hourly global horizontal solar radiation 2010–2012 RMSE and nRMSE nRMSE is 0.2634 and 0.3241, respectively for NAR and ARMA. [61]
Seoul, South Korea SARIMA NARX Historical global solar radiation Global solar radiation 1981–2015 RMSE and R2 R2 and RMSE are 0.95 and 0.23 MJ/m2, respectively for NARX. [62]
New Delhi, India ARIMA Meteorological parameters Monthly solar radiation July 01, 1983, to December 31, 2007 RMSE, MAPE,
MAE, and R2
MAPE, R2, RMSE, and MAE results are 6.556, 0.9293, 0.3529, and 0.2659, respectively. [63]
Las Vegas, United States ARMA Historical solar radiation Hourly solar radiation 1995–2004 MBE and nRMSE MBE and nRMSE are 0.133% and 11.76%, respectively. [64]
Morocco ARMA and ARIMA Historical solar radiation Daily global solar radiation 2018 (November to December) and 2019 (January to March) MBE
RMSE, and MAPE
ARIMA has a better performance compared to the ARMA model. [65]
Two cities (Algiers and Ghardaia) in Algeria AR and NAR Historical solar radiation Daily global solar radiation 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2006 NRMSE, S, R2, RMSE, MAE and MBE NAR has a better performance compared to the AR model. [66]
Ghardaia, Algeria ARMA, NARX, and AR Historical solar radiation Hourly global solar radiation May 2013 to October 2013 RMSE, NRMSE, MAPE, NMBE and R NARX estimated the solar radiation data more accurately than other models. [67]