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. 2022 Nov 8;43(2):265–281. doi: 10.1007/s00296-022-05222-0

`Risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat versus allopurinol use in patients with gout: a retrospective cohort study in Korea

Hoon Jeong 1,#, Eunmi Choi 1,#, Ahyoung Suh 1, Myungsik Yoo 1, Bonggi Kim 1,
PMCID: PMC9898368  PMID: 36346443

Abstract

Febuxostat is the drug used to treat hyperuricemia in patients with gout. Recently, the usage of Febuxostat has been controversial over the side effects in cardiovascular. The study aimed to comparatively analyze the risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat and allopurinol use in Korean patients with gout. A cohort study was conducted using national insurance claim data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA). Adult patients who were diagnosed with gout and prescribed febuxostat or allopurinol more than once from July 1, 2015, to June 30, 2018 were studied. The outcome was cardiovascular disease. Analysis was performed using Cox’s proportional hazard model following 1:1 propensity score matching to estimate the hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval. In total, 90,590 patients were defined as the final study cohort who had an average follow-up of 467 days, including 28,732 and 61,858 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively. After the 1:1 propensity score matching, the risk of cardiovascular disease in the febuxostat group was significantly higher than in the allopurinol group (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.10–1.24). In the sensitivity analysis, the risk of cardiovascular disease in the febuxostat group was significantly higher than in the allopurinol group (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.04–1.15). However, further sensitivity analysis showed no statistically significant difference between the febuxostat group and allopurinol group after adjusting for cardiovascular disease history before the index date. Similarly, no statistically significant difference was found between the two drugs in the subgroup analysis. Febuxostat was not associated with a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular disease.

Keywords: Febuxostat, Allopurinol, Cardiovascular disease, Cohort study, Adverse drug reactions

Introduction

Gout is a metabolic disease in which the concentration of uric acid in the blood increases, leading to the deposition of uric acid crystals in tissues, such as joints and tendons, causing inflammation and pain. Its prevalence in Korea has increased steadily from 0.17% in 2001 to 0.4% in 2008 and 2.0% in 2015 according to the National Health Insurance Service [1]. Febuxostat is the primary drug used to treat hyperuricemia in patients with chronic gout. Febuxostat is an inhibitor of xanthine oxidase, like allopurinol, but its chemical structure differs from that of allopurinol, and hence, has no cross-reactions. Febuxostat lowers uric acid levels by selectively blocking xanthine oxidase [2]. Febuxostat was covered by national insurance as second-line therapy for cases where the efficacy of allopurinol was insufficient or there was a risk of hypersensitivity in Korea. However, since July 1, 2016, these insurance benefits were expanded to include febuxostat as first-line therapy [3].

The safety of febuxostat concerning cardiovascular disease has been a controversial issue. According to the results of phase 3 clinical trials such as FACT (2005) and APEX (2008) conducted before FDA approval, febuxostat had a higher rate of cardiovascular disease death and severe cardiovascular disease than allopurinol. However, there was no physiological mechanism to explain this, and the number of cases were small; so, it was necessary to confirm the relevance through additional clinical trials [4, 5]. In the subsequent F-153 (2008) clinical trial that added the proportion of patients with cardiovascular risk factors, it was found that febuxostat did not have more cardiovascular side effects than allopurinol. However, considering that the results were different from previous clinical trials, it received conditional approval (2009) with the risk of developing cardiovascular disease to be confirmed in a post-marketing assessment [6]. After approval by FDA, in the Cardiovascular Safety of Febuxostat and Allopurinol in Patients with Gout and Cardiovascular Morbidities (CARES) trial, the risks of cardiovascular-related and all-cause mortality were found to be 1.34 and 1.22 times higher with febuxostat than with allopurinol [7]. Thus, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) mandated that the gout drug febuxostat carries a boxed warning to alert clinicians and patients of the increased risk of cardiovascular death with the drug in February 2019 [8]. Furthermore, the American College of Rheumatology recommended allopurinol as the first-line therapy for gout treatment in the gout management guidelines in June 2020 [9]. On the other hand, the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety in Korea recommends the use of allopurinol for patients who do not have the HLA-B*5801 gene, as confirmed by genetic testing. Allopurinol has a risk of Severe Cutaneous Adverse Drug Reactions (SCAR) side effects when the HLA-B*5801 gene is present, and the retention rate of HLA-B*5801 gene in Koreans is 12.2%, which is higher than that of Westerners 1 ~ 2% [10].

Preclinical cardiovascular studies of febuxostat had shown no toxic effects related to cardiac rhythm and function [1115], and to date, the mechanism underlying the risk of cardiovascular death is unclear [7]. Therefore, additional studies are required to determine causalities. In this study, febuxostat was compared with allopurinol in terms of association with cardiovascular disease in gout patients to provide evidence of drug safety in Korea.

Methods

Data source

This study used national insurance claim data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA) in Korea. The data includes about 98% of the entire nation’s population due to the universal coverage system in Korea (97% health insurance and 3% medical aid). HIRA data contain patient information related to healthcare services such as socio-demographics, diagnoses, treatments, procedures, pharmaceuticals, medical utilization and in-hospital deaths. More than 99% of the HIRA data were collected using an electronic data interchange system and contained about 120 information lists [16].

Study cohorts

A retrospective cohort study was performed using HIRA data from January 1, 2011, to June 30, 2018. Patients aged 19 years or older who were diagnosed with gout at least once and prescribed the study drugs (febuxostat or allopurinol) more than once from July 1, 2015, to June 30, 2018 (3 years) were selected. We identified the index date by the first prescription date of febuxostat or allopurinol for each patient and classified them into two groups (febuxostat exposed group or allopurinol control group). We excluded patients who were prescribed the study drugs (febuxostat or allopurinol) from January 1, 2011, to June 30, 2015. We also excluded patients younger than 19 years and those with a history of end-stage kidney disease/dialysis, myeloproliferative disease, xanthinuria, peptic ulcer, cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, hepatitis B, hepatitis C, liver cirrhosis, and HIV positivity before the index date (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

The study cohort selection process

Exposure and outcomes

We included patients who were prescribed the drugs of interest more than once after gout diagnosis. Since July 1, 2016, the insurance benefits for febuxostat were expanded in Korea; thus, we re-classified patients who were prescribed both drugs. We excluded patients who were cross-prescribed both drugs more than twice. Those who were cross-prescribed both drugs once were included in the latest drug use group if the second drug was prescribed less than 365 days after the first drug. We excluded patients who were prescribed the second drug more than 365 days after the first drug because various other confounding factors could have affected the cross-prescription of the study drugs. For this definition of exposure, we referred to a previous study (Fig. 2) [17].

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Re-classified criteria of patients who were prescribed both the drugs

The primary outcome of the study was defined as the first diagnosis of a cardiovascular disease, such as myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease, stroke, transient ischemic attack, heart failure, coronary revascularization, and all-cause death observed during the follow-up period. Secondary outcomes were individual components of the primary outcome. Additionally, when the outcomes were observed multiple times in one patient, only the first case was included in the analysis (Appendix Table 9).

Table 9.

Definitions of outcomes (diagnoses, procedures, and treatments) based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes

ICD-10 code
Myocardial infarction I21* Acute myocardial infarction
I22* Subsequent myocardial infarction
I23* Certain current complications following acute myocardial infarction
I25.2 Old myocardial infarction
Ischemic heart disease I24* Other acute ischemic heart diseases

I25*

(I25.2 Excluded)

Chronic ischemic heart disease
Stroke I60* Subarachnoid hemorrhage
I61* Intracerebral hemorrhage
I62* Other nontraumatic intracranial hemorrhage
I63* Cerebral infarction
I64* Stroke, not specified as hemorrhage or infarction
Transient ischemic attack G45* Transient cerebral ischemic attacks and related syndromes
Heart failure I50* Heart failure
Death I46.1 Sudden cardiac death, so described
R96* Other sudden death, cause unknown
R98 Unattended death
R99 Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of mortality
EDI code
Coronary revascularization M6551 Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)
M6552
M6561
M6563
M6564
M6571
M6572
O1641 Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG)
O1642
O1647
OA641
OA642
OA647

*Include all subcodes

Covariates

The confounding variables were as follows: sex, age, medication history for 1 year before the index date (such as angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin receptor blockers, diuretics, hypoglycemic agents, anti-hyperlipidemic drugs, systemic steroids, probenecid, colchicine, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs [NSAIDs]), disease history (such as renal failure, kidney stones, angina, diabetes, peripheral artery disease, degenerative arthritis, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, smoking, and Charlson comorbidity index [CCI]), and cardiovascular history before the index date (myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease, stroke, transient ischemic attack, heart failure, and coronary revascularization).

Statistical analysis

All statistical analyses were performed using the SAS Enterprise Guide 6.1 software (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, United States), and significance was set at P < 0.05. To compare the differences in baseline characteristics between the febuxostat and allopurinol users, we examined the frequencies and percentages of the categorical variables and compared them using the chi-square test, and in some cases, Fisher’s exact test. Next, we calculated the means and standard deviations (SD) for the continuous variables. Then, we used propensity score (PS) matching (caliper 1:1 matching) to reduce the potential selection bias in observational studies and balance the distribution between the two groups by excluding confounding variables [18]. We used the Cox proportional hazard regression and estimated the hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) for the risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat and allopurinol. As a sensitivity analysis, we limited the study period (from July 1, 2016, to June 30, 2018) to consider the time when febuxostat insurance benefit was expanded as the first-line therapy for gout in Korea and analyzed the risk of cardiovascular disease with febuxostat group compared to that with allopurinol group. We also compared the risk of cardiovascular disease between the two drug groups according to cardiovascular disease history, using the same method of PS matching (Appendix Tables 4, 5, 6, 7).

Table 4.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in the two drug groups after matching between 2015 and 2018 (with cardiovascular disease history)

Classification Febuxostat (2763 patients) Allopurinol (2763 patients) HR (95% CI)
Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years)
Primary outcome variable*
 Cardiovascular disease 1464 1401.9 1044.3 1579 2034.6 776.1 1.02 (0.95–1.10)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 89 2718.2 32.7 108 4,116.4 26.2 1.00 (0.76–1.33)
Ischemic heart disease 339 2449.9 138.4 379 3,734.5 101.5 1.05 (0.90–1.22)
Stroke 512 2313.3 221.3 567 3,419.1 165.8 0.99 (0.88–1.12)
Transient ischemic attack 76 2737.3 27.8 92 4,137.2 22.2 0.97 (0.72–1.32)
Heart failure 641 2192.4 292.4 733 3,301.7 222.0 1.00 (0.90–1.11)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 30 2770.9 10.8 43 4,198.5 10.2 0.85 (0.51–1.42)
All-cause death 2 1401.9 1.4 2 2,034.6 1.0 1.46 (0.20–10.68)

*All-cause death: includes two patients in each of the two groups

Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

Table 5.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in the two drug groups after matching between 2015 and 2018 (without cardiovascular disease history)

Classification Febuxostat (24,952 patients) Allopurinol (24,952 patients) HR (95% CI)
Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1,000 person –years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1,000 person –years)
Primary outcome variable*
Cardiovascular disease 531 22,964.2 23.1 772 37,606.7 20.5 1.11 (0.99–1.24)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 51 23,349.7 2.2 75 38,356.3 2.0 1.09 (0.76–1.57)
Ischemic heart disease 145 23,289.0 6.2 227 38,192.3 5.9 1.02 (0.83–1.27)
Stroke 131 23,286.3 5.6 209 38,229.8 5.5 1.06 (0.85–1.33)
Transient ischemic attack 56 23,338.0 2.4 85 38,342.4 2.2 1.06 (0.75–1.49)
Heart failure 247 23,190.6 10.7 326 38,106.3 8.6 1.21 (1.02–1.44)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 26 23,368.6 1.1 45 38,388.6 1.2 0.88 (0.52–1.49)
All-cause death 3 22,964.2 0.1 5 37,606.7 0.1 1.38 (0.31–6.23)

Note 1) * All-cause death: includes 3 and 5 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Note 2) Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

Table 6.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in the two drug groups after matching between 2016 and 2018 (with cardiovascular disease history)

Classification Febuxostat (5466 patients) Allopurinol (5466 patients) HR
(95% CI)
Number of patients
(n)
Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years)
Primary outcome variable*
Cardiovascular disease 2747 2566.6 1070.3 2769 2883.0 960.4 1.03 (0.98–1.09)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 164 4,683.2 35.0 184 5,274.6 34.9 0.94 (0.76–1.16)
Ischemic heart disease 641 4,274.7 150.0 663 4,853.4 136.6 1.02 (0.91–1.13)
Stroke 1,016 3,977.9 255.4 1053 4,465.3 235.8 0.99 (0.91–1.08)
Transient ischemic attack 192 4,659.6 41.2 193 5,259.0 36.7 1.04 (0.85–1.27)
Heart failure 1,115 3,944.0 282.7 1176 4,389.1 267.9 0.99 (0.91–1.07)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 51 4,775.3 10.7 50 5,399.2 9.3 1.09 (0.71–1.67)
All-cause death 4 2,566.6 1.6 4 2,883.0 1.4 1.16 (0.29–4.65)

*All-cause death: includes 4 patients in each of the two groups

Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

Table 7.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in the two drug groups after matching between 2016 and 2018 (without cardiovascular disease history)

Classification Febuxostat (21,402 patients) Allopurinol (21,402 patients) HR (95% CI)
Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person –years)
Primary outcome variable*
Cardiovascular disease 362 17,737.3 20.4 386 20,984.8 18.4 1.11 (0.96–1.28)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 33 17,952.1 1.8 31 21,226.4 1.5 1.28 (0.78–2.09)
Ischemic heart disease 102 17,913.8 5.7 105 21,180.4 5.0 1.15 (0.87–1.50)
Stroke 90 17,913.7 5.0 114 21,168.2 5.4 0.93 (0.70–1.22)
Transient ischemic attack 41 17,939.0 2.3 38 21,218.1 1.8 1.28 (0.82–2.00)
Heart failure 170 17,854.6 9.5 165 21,140.3 7.8 1.22 (0.98–1.51)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 18 17,959.0 1.0 16 21,236.4 0.8 1.46 (0.70–3.05)
All-cause death 2 17,737.3 0.1 3 20,984.8 0.1 0.87 (0.14–5.24)

*All-cause death: includes 2 and 3 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

Results

Patient characteristics

In total, 90,590 patients were defined in the final study cohort, including 28,732 (31.7%) and 61,858 (68.3%) patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively. This baseline cohort comprised 90.7% males, and the mean age of the febuxostat group was 46.6 years, which was higher than that of the allopurinol group (46.3 years). Patients in the febuxostat group had a higher prevalence of renal failure, diabetes, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia compared to the allopurinol group. After 1:1 PS matching, 27,761 patients were grouped in the febuxostat group and 27,761 in the allopurinol group. All baseline covariates (medication history, CCI, and disease history) including the cardiovascular risk factors were well balanced with a standardized difference in the prevalence of < 0.1 after PS matching (Table 1).

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics before and after propensity score matching in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups between 2015 and 2018

Classification Before propensity score matching After propensity score matching
Febuxostat (28,732 patients, 31.7%) Allopurinol (61,858 patients, 68.3%) STD (%) 0.2 Febuxostat (27,761 patients, 50.0%) Allopurinol (27,761 patients, 50.0%) STD (%) − 2.9
N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%)
Sex Male 26,067 90.7 56,086 90.7 25,306 91.2 25,532 92.0
Age Mean (standard deviation) 46.6 (± 15.6) 46.3 (± 15.2) 1.9 46.2 (± 15.4) 45.7 (± 15.1) 3.3
Medication history Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) 21,989 76.5 47,086 76.1 1.0 21,345 76.9 21,621 77.9 − 2.4
Systemic corticosteroids 17,152 59.7 35,352 57.2 5.2 16,665 60.0 17,058 61.5 − 2.9
Gout medication 13,974 48.6 30,846 49.9 − 2.5 13,785 49.7 14,193 51.1 − 2.9
Anti-hyperlipidemic agents 7,513 26.2 12,128 19.6 15.6 6,849 24.7 6,605 23.8 2.1
Hypoglycemic agents 2,661 9.3 4,376 7.1 8.0 2,332 8.4 2,166 7.8 2.2
Hypotensors 8,774 30.5 15,375 24.9 12.7 8,014 28.9 7,598 27.4 3.3
CCI Mean (standard deviation) 1.0 (± 1.3) 0.8 (± 1.1) 16.6 0.9 (± 1.2) 0.9 (± 1.2) 0.0
0 13,660 47.5 33,870 54.8 − 14.5 13,660 49.2 14,002 50.4 − 2.5
1 7,339 25.5 16,091 26.0 − 1.1 7,335 26.4 7,415 26.7 − 0.7
2 3,480 12.1 6,440 10.4 5.4 3,297 11.9 3,110 11.2 2.1
3 1,721 6.0 2,671 4.3 7.6 1,501 5.4 1,431 5.2 1.1
 > 3 2,532 8.8 2,786 4.5 17.3 1,968 7.1 1,803 6.5 2.4
Disease history Renal failure 2,779 9.7 1,851 3.0 27.7 1,829 6.6 1,796 6.5 0.5
Kidney stone 267 0.9 437 0.7 2.5 241 0.9 227 0.8 0.6
Angina 1,446 5.0 2,391 3.9 5.7 1,269 4.6 1,114 4.0 2.8
Diabetes mellitus 5,073 17.7 8,224 13.3 12.1 4,553 16.4 4,251 15.3 3.0
Peripheral arterial disease 16 0.1 11 0.0 2.0 15 0.1 4 0.0 2.1
Degenerative arthritis 3,130 10.9 5,380 8.7 7.4 3,033 10.9 3,049 11.0 − 0.2
Hypertension 10,402 36.2 17,725 28.7 16.2 9,525 34.3 9,063 32.7 3.5
Hyperlipidemia 11,330 39.4 19,012 30.7 18.3 10,506 37.8 10,305 37.1 1.5
Obesity 63 0.2 78 0.1 2.2 59 0.2 40 0.1 1.6
Smoking 22 0.1 43 0.1 0.3 19 0.1 21 0.1 − 0.3
History of cardiovascular disease Myocardial infarction 199 0.7 320 0.5 2.3 160 0.6 160 0.6 0.0
Ischemic heart disease 605 2.1 908 1.5 4.8 528 1.9 460 1.7 1.9
Stroke 698 2.4 1,226 2.0 3.0 616 2.2 557 2.0 1.5
Transient ischemic attack 139 0.5 298 0.5 0.0 132 0.5 105 0.4 1.5
Heart failure 1,117 3.9 1,333 2.2 10.1 942 3.4 860 3.1 1.7
Coronary revascularization 265 0.9 410 0.7 2.9 224 0.8 191 0.7 1.4

Medication history, CCI, disease history: results of use or diagnosis for 1 year before the index date

If the absolute value of the standardized difference (STD) was higher than 10, it was judged to be different between the two groups

Propensity score matching: propensity scores of the febuxostat and allopurinol groups were matched 1:1 with a caliper width of 0.005

Average follow-up of 467 days in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups between 2015 and 2018

Risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat and allopurinol groups

After PS matching, the risk of cardiovascular disease in the febuxostat group was significantly higher than that in the allopurinol group (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.10–1.24). In the secondary outcome analysis, the risks of ischemic heart disease, stroke, and heart failure in the febuxostat group were significantly higher than those in the allopurinol group; ischemic heart disease: HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.05–1.35; stroke: HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01–1.25, and heart failure: HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06–1.27, respectively (Table 2).

Table 2.

Risk of cardiovascular disease in the two drug groups after propensity score matching between 2015 and 2018

Classification Febuxostat (27,761 patients) Allopurinol (27,761 patients) Crude HR (95% CI) Adjusted HR** (95% CI)
Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1000 person-years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1,000 person-years)
Primary outcome variable*
Cardiovascular disease 2062 24,369.8 84.6 2203 39,861.9 55.3 1.17 (1.10–1.24) 1.11 (1.05–1.18)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 139 26,150.7 5.3 171 42,528.4 4.0 1.12 (0.90–1.41) 1.05 (0.83–1.32)
Ischemic heart disease 490 25,821.1 19.0 535 42,048.6 12.7 1.19 (1.05–1.35) 1.11 (0.98–1.25)
Stroke 656 25,671.7 25.6 716 41,756.2 17.1 1.12 (1.01–1.25) 1.03 (0.93–1.15)
Transient ischemic attack 133 26,155.7 5.1 164 42,531.1 3.9 1.12 (0.89–1.41) 1.05 (0.83–1.33)
Heart failure 939 25,401.6 37.0 1,033 41,496.4 24.9 1.16 (1.06–1.27) 1.08 (0.99–1.18)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 59 26,216.6 2.3 88 42,632.9 2.1 1.01 (0.70–1.44) 0.95 (0.66–1.36)
All-cause death 5 24,369.8 0.2 9 39,861.9 0.2 1.02 (0.33–3.14) 0.99 (0.32–3.07)

*All-cause death: includes 5 and 9 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

**Covariate correction: the history of cardiovascular disease before the index date

Average follow-up of 321 and 524 days in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Sensitivity analysis

In total, 68,317 patients (29,412 and 38,905 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively) received febuxostat and allopurinol between 2016 and 2018. After 1:1 PS matching, 26,962 patients in the febuxostat group and 26,962 in the allopurinol group were identified. After PS matching, the risk of cardiovascular disease in the febuxostat group was significantly higher than that in the allopurinol group (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.04–1.15). However, after adjusting for cardiovascular disease history before the index date, the risk of cardiovascular disease was not different between the two groups (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.99–1.10) (Table 3).

Table 3.

Risk of cardiovascular disease in the two drug groups after propensity score matching between 2016 and 2018

Classification Febuxostat (26,962 patients) Allopurinol (26,962 patients) Crude HR (95% CI) Adjusted HR** (95% CI)
Number of patients
(n)
Person–years Incidence rate (1,000 person–years) Number of patients (n) Person–years Incidence rate (1,000 person–years)
Primary outcome variable*
Cardiovascular disease 3127 20,343.7 153.7 3,039 24,108.4 126.1 1.09 (1.04–1.15) 1.04 (0.99–1.10)
Secondary outcome variable
Myocardial infarction 197 22,689.9 8.7 219 26,634.7 8.2 0.98 (0.81–1.18) 0.88 (0.71–1.08)
Ischemic heart disease 727 22,251.4 32.7 745 26,190.9 28.4 1.05 (0.95–1.17) 0.98 (0.88–1.10)
Stroke 1100 21,951.6 50.1 1,098 25,811.0 42.5 1.06 (0.97–1.15) 1.01 (0.92–1.10)
Transient ischemic attack 235 22,657.8 10.4 219 26,630.7 8.2 1.16 (0.97–1.40) 1.10 (0.90–1.35)
Heart failure 1303 21,839.4 59.7 1,315 25,698.2 51.2 1.07 (0.99–1.15) 0.99 (0.91–1.08)
Coronary revascularization (treatment) 70 22,792.1 3.1 73 26,766.1 2.7 1.09 (0.76–1.56) 0.98 (0.64–1.49)
All-cause death 7 20,343.7 0.3 8 24,108.4 0.3 1.07 (0.39–2.96) 1.38 (0.37–5.16)

*All-cause death: includes 7 and 8 patients in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Coronary revascularization is a treatment code that has secondary outcome variables and overlapping values

**Covariate correction: the history of cardiovascular disease before the index date

Average follow-up of 276 and 327 days in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups, respectively

Subgroup analysis

In the subgroup analysis considering those with and without a cardiovascular disease history before the index date, there was no statistically significant difference in the risk of cardiovascular disease between the febuxostat and allopurinol groups (Appendix Tables 4, 5, 6, 7). For the primary outcome, cardiovascular disease, the HR for the febuxostat group compared to the allopurinol group were 1.02 (95% CI: 0.95–1.10) in those with a cardiovascular disease history and 1.11 (95% CI: 0.99–1.24) in those without a cardiovascular disease history. The sensitivity analysis results were also similar between the two groups.

Discussion

Based on our results, the risk of cardiovascular disease in the febuxostat group was significantly higher than that in the allopurinol group. However, in the sensitivity analysis, after adjusting for cardiovascular disease history before the index date, there was no statistically significant difference in the risk of cardiovascular disease between the febuxostat and allopurinol groups. Besides, in the subgroup analysis including those with and without a cardiovascular disease history, there was no statistically significant difference. From the combined results of the analyses, we concluded that febuxostat was not associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease than allopurinol. In addition, we have also performed subgroup analysis by sex and age. The subgroup analysis result showed a trend similar to the main analysis result. In our study, the rates of medication history, CCI, disease history, and cardiovascular disease history were significantly higher in the febuxostat group than in the allopurinol group from 2015 to 2018. In contrast, the differences in the rates between the two groups decreased after the expansion of the insurance benefits to febuxostat used as the first-line therapy. The difference in patient characteristics and drug use patterns according to the expansion of the insurance benefits may have affected the results (Appendix Table 8). Moreover, no statistically significant difference was observed between the two groups in the secondary outcomes after PS matching and adjusted for the cardiovascular disease history. Thus, there was no association between the incidence of cardiovascular disease and febuxostat.

Table 8.

Baseline characteristics before and after matching in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups between 2016 and 2018

Classification Before propensity score matching After propensity score matching
Febuxostat (29,412 patients, 43.1%) Allopurinol (38,905 patients, 57.0%) STD (%) Febuxostat (26,962 patients, 50.0%) Allopurinol (26,962 patients, 50.0%) STD (%)
N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%)
Sex Men 25,856 87.9 34,524 88.7  − 2.6 24,067 89.3 24,302 90.1  − 2.9
Age Mean (standard deviation) 49.3 (± 17.0) 48.1 (± 16.4) 4.2 48.1 (± 16.4) 47.6 (± 16.2) 3.1

Medication

history

Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) 22,880 77.8 30,104 77.4 1.0 21,109 78.3 21,335 79.1  − 2.0
Systemic corticosteroids 17,830 60.6 22,759 58.5 4.3 16,486 61.2 16,676 61.9  − 1.4
Gout medication 13,535 46.0 19,089 49.1  − 6.1 13,020 48.3 13,288 49.3  − 2.0
Anti-hyperlipidemic agents 9152 31.1 9013 23.2 17.9 7488 27.8 7265 27.0 1.9
Hypoglycemic agents 3650 12.4 3492 9.0 11.1 2722 10.1 2628 9.8 1.2
Hypotensors 10,717 36.4 11,179 28.7 16.5 8,702 32.3 8504 31.5 1.6
CCI Mean (standard deviation) 1.3 (± 1.5) 1.0 (± 1.3) 21.4 1.1 (± 1.4) 1.1 (± 1.3) 0.0
0 12,261 41.7 19,245 49.5  − 15.7 12,254 45.5 12,655 46.9  − 3.0
1 6734 22.9 9660 24.8  − 4.5 6707 24.9 6757 25.1  − 0.4
2 3577 12.2 4265 11.0 3.8 3270 12.1 3107 11.5 1.9
3 2,076 7.1 2152 5.5 6.3 1697 6.3 1608 6.0 1.4
 > 3 4764 16.2 3583 9.2 21.1 3034 11.3 2835 10.5 2.4
Disease history Renal failure 3912 13.3 1571 4.0 33.4 1585 5.9 1570 5.8 0.2
Kidney stone 302 1.0 312 0.8 2.4 229 0.9 229 0.9 0.0
Angina 2689 9.1 2563 6.6 9.5 2006 7.4 1921 7.1 1.2
Diabetes mellitus 6623 22.5 6375 16.4 15.5 5162 19.2 4983 18.5 1.7
Peripheral arterial disease 22 0.1 14 0.0 1.6 19 0.1 12 0.0 1.1
Degenerative arthritis 3431 11.7 3675 9.5 7.2 3,123 11.6 3066 11.4 0.7
Hypertension 12,641 43.0 13,232 34.0 18.5 10,349 38.4 10,087 37.4 2.0
Hyperlipidemia 13,095 44.5 13,547 34.8 19.9 11,081 41.1 10,830 40.2 1.9
Obesity 56 0.2 53 0.1 1.3 54 0.2 39 0.1 1.3
Smoking 29 0.1 34 0.1 0.4 22 0.1 23 0.1  − 0.1
History of cardiovascular disease Myocardial infarction 438 1.5 416 1.1 3.7 327 1.2 304 1.1 0.8
Ischemic heart disease 1377 4.7 1287 3.3 7.0 1001 3.7 966 3.6 0.7
Stroke 1668 5.7 1694 4.4 6.0 1266 4.7 1186 4.4 1.4
Transient ischemic attack 332 1.1 386 1.0 1.3 264 1.0 263 1.0 0.0
Heart failure 2268 7.7 1819 4.7 12.6 1,589 5.9 1,509 5.6 1.3
Coronary revascularization 594 2.0 538 1.4 4.9 438 1.6 392 1.5 1.4

Medication history, CCI, disease history: results of use or diagnosis for 1 year prior to the index date

If the absolute value of the standardized difference (STD) was higher than 10, it was judged to be different between the two groups

Propensity score matching: propensity scores of the febuxostat and allopurinol groups were matched 1:1 with a caliper width of 0.005

Average follow-up of 305 days in the febuxostat and allopurinol groups between 2016 and 2018

According to a study by Zhang et al. [17], there was no statistically significant difference in the association of hospitalization for myocardial infarction or stroke between the febuxostat and allopurinol groups. Besides, the subgroup analysis stratifying those with and without baseline cardiovascular disease (including myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, and all-cause death) showed no statistically significant difference between the febuxostat and allopurinol groups. This finding was consistent with that of our study. Moreover, in a retrospective cohort study by Kang et al. [19], the risk of cardiovascular disease (including myocardial infarction, stroke, transient ischemic attack, and coronary revascularization) was not different between the two groups. Kang et al. [19] used claim data from 2002 to 2015 in Korea, and only analyzed the period in which febuxostat was covered by insurance as a second-line therapy. However, our study used recent claim data (July 1, 2015, to June 30, 2018) including data from the period in which the insurance coverage benefit was expanded to febuxostat as first-line therapy in Korea (July 1, 2016); we analyzed the data using sensitivity analysis. In other words, this study observed the effects of febuxostat and allopurinol on the risk of cardiovascular disease under a condition in which both drugs were equally considered as first-line therapy in clinical settings. A recent meta-analysis study found that febuxostat use was not associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and death, all-cause mortalities [20, 21]. In addition, febuxostat was found not to be associated with an increased risk of death or serious adverse events compared to allopurinol in a recent FAST (2020) study [22]. Nevertheless, in the CARES trial [7], the risks of cardiovascular-related and all-cause mortality were 1.34 and 1.22 times higher with febuxostat than with allopurinol. The CARES trial is a randomly assigned clinical trial, which was conducted using a study method that minimized selection bias by ensuring that the study cohort had an equal probability of being assigned to each group and by normalizing all factors other than the drugs administered. However, 56.6% of patients discontinued the trial regimen prematurely, and 45.0% of patients discontinued follow-up, making it difficult to judge if the selection bias was minimized [23]. Moreover, in the CARES trial, the risk of cardiovascular-related mortality was different when a subgroup analysis was performed including the combination of the study drugs with low-dose aspirin or NSAIDs. In this study, PS matching was performed including aspirin and NSAIDs, as well as diseases and medication use that may affect cardiovascular diseases and hyperuricemia risk, thereby, minimizing potential selection bias. However, the rates of medication history (anti-hyperlipidemic agents, hypoglycemic agents, and hypotensors) and history of diseases such as kidney failure, angina, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and cardiovascular disease, especially heart failure, were higher in the febuxostat group than in the allopurinol group. These characteristics may have affected the risk for cardiovascular disease [24]. Furthermore, the incidences of ischemic heart disease and heart failure were higher in the febuxostat group than in the allopurinol group. Therefore, febuxostat use in patients with related conditions would need to be carefully monitored.

The key strength of this study is that it represents a large population using national claims data. The HIRA data includes about 98% of the entire nation’s population due to the universal coverage system of Korea (97% health insurance and 3% medical aid). Moreover, we included all patients aged 19 years and above in the study cohort, and the results of this study are applicable to all adult patients with gout. In particular, the results of this study are meaningful in that they differ from previous studies that analyzed the risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat in specific age groups. We also sought to minimize the effect of confounding factors, such as underlying diseases and medication use, which are known to be related to cardiovascular disease and hyperuricemia risk, by applying statistical methods such as PS matching.

Despite these strengths, this study has some limitations. First, as is inherent to any observational study, socioeconomic and clinical confounding factors that were unmeasured or unpredicted may have affected the results. Therefore, clinical characteristics such as cardiovascular complications, disease severity, and serum uric acid levels should be considered comprehensively when using febuxostat in patients with gout. Second, we obtained the maximum study period considering the approval date of febuxostat (June 2009) and the date of expansion of insurance coverage to febuxostat as first-line therapy (July 1, 2016). However, it was insufficient to assess the association between cardiovascular disease and long-term febuxostat use. Therefore, the long-term safety of febuxostat and follow-up studies should be continuously monitored. Third, we compared the risk of cardiovascular disease associated with febuxostat to that related to allopurinol and therefore, cannot conclude on the absolute impact of febuxostat use on the risk of cardiovascular disease. Therefore, it would be unreasonable to consider the risk of cardiovascular disease as a decisive factor in choosing between febuxostat and allopurinol. Finally, the association between febuxostat and cardiovascular death, which has been a controversial safety issue in other countries, could not be defined because of the nature of the insurance claim data.

In conclusion, there was a significant difference in the risk of cardiovascular disease between gout patients who were treated with febuxostat and those with allopurinol. However, after adjusting for the history of cardiovascular disease, and considering the period during which the insurance benefits of febuxostat were expanded to its use as a first-line therapy (July 1, 2016), a causal link between febuxostat and febuxostat-associated cardiovascular disease events was not established. However, the FDA has restricted the use of febuxostat to those patients who experience side effects and show no treatment effects of allopurinol, based on the results of the CARES trial, and the American College of Rheumatology has recommended allopurinol as the first-line therapy for gout treatment in the gout management guidelines in June 2020. In addition, in Korea, instructions specify that febuxostat should be carefully administered in patients with ischemic heart disease or congestive heart failure. Therefore, long-term follow-up is required when febuxostat is prescribed for patients with cardiovascular disease.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the Big Data Department of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA) for its support.

Appendix

See Tables 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.

Table 10.

Definitions of covariate drugs based on Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) codes

ATC code
Hypotensive agents ACEI Captopril C09AA01, C09BA01
Cilazapril C09AA08
Enalapril C09AA02, C09BA02
Fosinopril C09AA09
Imidapril C09AA16
Lisinopril C09AA03, C09BA03
Perindopril C09AA04, C09AA04, C09BA04
Quinapril C09AA06
Ramipril C09AA05, C09BA05, C09BB05
Temocapril C09AA14
Alacepril C09AA
Zofenopril C09AA15
CCB Amlodipine C08CA01, C09DB01, C09DB02, C09DB04, C09DB06, C09DB07, C09DX03, C10BX03, C10BX09, C09DX, C10BX
Felodipine C08CA02, C08CA02, C09BB05, C07FB02
Isradipine C08CA03
Nicardipine C08CA04, C08CA04
Nifedipine C08CA05
Nimodipine C08CA06
Nitredipine C08CA08, C09AA02
Lacidipine C08CA09
Nilvadipine C08CA10
Manidipine C08CA11
Barnidipine C08CA12
Lercanidipine C08CA13, C09DB08
Cilnidipine C08CA14
Benidipine C08CA15
Verapamil C08DA01
Nisoldipine C08CA07
Diltiazem C08DB01
ARB Losartan C09CA01, C09DA01, C09DB06, C09DX, C10BX
Eprosartan C09CA02, C09DA02
Valsartan C09DX04, C09CA03, C09DA03, C10BX10, C09DB01, C09DB08
Irbesartan C09CA04, C09DA04, C10BX
Candesartan C09DB07, C10BX
Telmisartan C09DB04, C10BX, C09DX
Olmesartan C09DB02, C09DX03, C10BX
Fimasartan C09CA10
Diuretics Chlorthalidone C03BA04, C07CB03
Indapamide C03BA11, C03BA11, C09BA04
Hydrochlorothiazide C03AA03, C07BB07, C09DX03, C09DX, C03EA01
Hypoglycemic agent Sodium glucose contransporter-2 inhibitor Dapagliflozin A10BX09, A10BD15
Empagliflozin A10BX12, A10BD20
Ipragliflozin A10BX
Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor Sitagliptin A10BH01, A10BD07
Saxagliptin A10BH03, A10BD10
Linagliptin A10BH05, A10BD11
Alogliptin A10BH04, A10BD13, A10BD09
Vildagliptin A10BH02, A10BD08
Gemigliptin A10BH06, A10BH52, A10BD18
Sulfonylureas Glimepiride A10BB12, A10BD02, A10BD04, A10BD06
Glibenclamide A10BB01, A10BB02, A10BD02
Gliclazide A10BB09
Glipizide A10BB07
Gliquidone A10BB08
Tolazamide A10BB05
Chlorpropamide A10BB02
Meglitinides Mitiglinide A10BX08
Nateglinide A10BX03
Repaglinide A10BX02, A10BD14
Thiazolidinedione Pioglitazone A10BG03, A10BD09, A10BD06, A10BD05
Rosiglitazone A10BG02, A10BD04, A10BD03
Lobeglitazone A10BG
α-Glucosidase inhibitors Acarbose A10BF01
Miglitol A10BF02
Voglibose A10BF03, A10BD
Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonist Albiglutide A10BX13
Dulaglutide A10BX14
Exenatide A10BX04, A10BJ01
Lixisenatide A10BX10, A10BJ03
Metformin A10BA02, A10BH, A10BD, A10BD15, A10BD22, A10BD18, A10BD02, A10BD11, A10BD03, A10BX03, A10BD14, A10BD10, A10BD07, A10BD08, A10BH, A10BD05
Corticosteroid Hydrocortisone H02AB09
Betamethasone H02AB01
Dexamethasone H02AB02
Methylprednisolone H02AB04
Prednisolone H02AB06, H02AB04, S02BA03
Triamcinolone H02AB08
Deflazacort H02AB13
Antigout preparations Probenecid M04AB01
Colchicine M04AC01
Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs NSAIDs Aspirin N02BA01, B01AC06, B01AC30, M03BA53, N02BA01, N02BA51, R06AA57
Ethenzamide N02BE51, R05FA02, R05X
Salsalate N02BA06
Flufenamic Acid M01AG03
Mefenamic Acid M01AG01
Tolfenamic Acid M01AG02
Aceclofenac M01AB16
Felbinac M02AA08
Acemetacin M01AB11
Etodolac M01AB08
Indometacin C01EB03, M01AB01
Ketorolac M01AB15
Lonazolac M01AB09
Proglumetacin M01AB14
Sulindac M01AB02
Nabumetone M01AX01
Alminoprofen M01AE16
Dexibuprofen M01AE14
Dexketoprofen M01AE17, N02AJ14
Fenoprofen M01AE04
Flurbiprofen M01AE09
Ibuprofen M01AE01, M01AE51, N02AJ09, R01BA52
Ibuproxam M01AE13
Ketoprofen M01AE03
Naproxen M01AE02, M01AE52
Oxaprozin M01AE12
Pranoprofen M01AE
Tiaprofenic Acid M01AE11
Lornoxicam M01AC05
Meloxicam M01AC01, M01AC06
Piroxicam M01AC01
Tenoxicam M01AC02
Dichloralphenazone N02CX
Nimesulide M01AX17
Celecoxib M01AH01
Etoricoxib M01AH05
Benzydamine M01AX
Imidazole Salicylate N02BA16
Morniflumate M01AX22
Nefopam N02BG06
Antihyperlipidemic agents Statins Atorvastatin C10AA05, C10BX03, A10BD, C10BX, C10BA05
Fluvastatin C10AA04
Lovastatin C10AA02
Pitavastatin C10AA08, C10BX
Pravastatin C10AA03, C10BA03
Rosuvastatin C10AA07, C10BX, C10BX09, C10BA06, A10BH52, A10BD, C10BA07, C10BX10
Simvastatin C10AA01, C10BA02, C10BA04
Fibrates Gemfibrozil C10AB04
Fenofibrate C10AB05, C10BA04, C10BA03
Choline fenofibrate C10AB11
Bezafibrate C10AB02
Cholesterol absorption inhibitor Ezetimibe C10BA05, C10BA06, C10BA02
Other lipid modifying agents Omega-3-triglyceride C10AX06, C10BA07

Author contributions

HJ and EC are co-first authors and contributed equally. HJ and EC contributed to the conceptualization, methodology, software, statistical analysis, and writing of the original draft. MY contributed to supervision. BK contributed to the supervision, project administration, writing, reviewing, and editing of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Funding

No funding was received for this study.

Declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.

Ethical approval

This study protocol was approved by the institutional review board (IRB) of the Korea Institute of Drug Safety and Risk Management (KIDS; KIDS-2019–4). Informed consent was waived by the IRB.

Consent to participate

Since only anonymized data were used, informed consent by the insured individuals was not required.

Consent to publish

Not applicable.

Footnotes

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Hoon Jeong and Eunmi Choi contributed equally to this work as first authors.

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