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Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection logoLink to Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection
. 2023 Feb 6;58(2):153–157. doi: 10.1016/j.rccl.2023.02.001

One-year outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and clinical heart failure or elevated NT-proBNP

Evolución clínica a un año en pacientes con COVID-19 asociada a insuficiencia cardiaca descompensada o elevación del NT-proBNP

Juan Caro-Codón a,⁎,1, José L Merino a, Andrea Severo Sánchez a, Borja Rivero Santana a, Antonio Buño b, Juan R Rey a,1
PMCID: PMC9899773

To the Editor,

The unique pathophysiology of COVID-19 and the complex interactions between the heart, the lungs and the inflammatory response have led some experts to propose the concept of biochemical heart failure (HF).1 To further assess this concept, we designed a dedicated substudy of the large CARD-COVID registry in order to investigate long-term clinical outcomes and quality of life among COVID-19 patients with either clinical HF or isolated elevated NT-proBNP during the index admission.

The original CARD-COVID cohort included 3080 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection attended between March 1 and April 20, 2020. Details regarding event adjudication and short-term outcomes have already been reported elsewhere.2, 3 One year after the index admission, electronic health records were reviewed, and clinical data were collected using a standardized electronic data collection form. Patients who remained alive underwent a standardized telephonic interview focused on clinical outcomes and the assessment of HF-specific health status including New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and the 12-item Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ-12).4 Incident HF episodes and all-cause mortality during follow-up were assessed using Kaplan–Meier analysis and the log-rank test. Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age and history of chronic HF as relevant covariates, was used to assess the relationship between new HF decompensations in patients surviving the index episode and relevant baseline comorbidities, complications, and biomarker results.

All patients were screened for participation. A total of 77 (mean age 78.6 ± 12.6 years, 54.6% male) developed clinical HF and 145 (mean age 73.4 ± 13.9 years, 66.2% male) showed elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) during index hospitalization and were ultimately included in the present analysis (Table 1 ). Reports of transthoracic echocardiograms were available for 108 patients (Fig. 1 ). Most clinical events concentrated during the first weeks after the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Median follow-up time for the 102 patients surviving the index episode was 440 (328–467) days, and 18 (17.6%) died during the study period. Importantly, there was a high incidence (27.5%) of new HF episodes in the year following SARS-CoV-2 infection, both in the clinical and in the NT-proBNP groups, and most episodes ultimately required hospital admission. Fourteen of the 28 patients with new HF episodes during follow-up (7 in the acute HF and 7 in the NT-proBNP group) had chronic HF before SARS-CoV-2 infection. Survival function analysis did not show significant differences in mortality or HF decompensation incidence between the acute HF and the isolated NT-proBNP groups (Fig. 1). Interestingly, multivariable Cox regression assessing the relationship between clinical and analytical characteristics during admission showed that inflammatory biomarkers and high sensitive-troponin I were not associated with incident HF during follow up. Only atrial arrhythmias and maximum NT-proBNP during the index admission independently predicted new HF decompensations in those patients surviving hospitalization for COVID-19 (P  < .001 for both covariates). At the end of the study period, 80 of the 84 surviving patients underwent a structured telephonic interview focused on the assessment of HF-associated clinical status and quality of life (Fig. 1). Most patients were in NYHA II-IV and there were no significant differences between groups (P  = .606). Interestingly, patients with either clinical HF or elevated NT-proBNP without clinical HF diagnosis showed very similar KCCQ-12 scores, both global and in each of the four clinical subdomains.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics, drug therapy, vitals, and laboratory data according to clinical diagnosis of acute heart failure or isolated NT-proBNP elevation.

Variable All patients (N = 222) NT-proBNP without clinical HF (n = 145) Clinical diagnosis of AHF (n = 77) P
Baseline characteristics and coexisting disorder
 Age (years) 75.2 ± 13.6 73.4 ± 13.9 78.6 ± 12.6 .007
 Sex (male) 138 (62.2) 96 (66.2) 42 (54.6) .088
 Hypertension 152 (68.5) 90 (62.1) 62 (80.5) .005
 Diabetes 61 (27.5) 34 (23.5) 27 (35.1) .049
 Dyslipidemia 124 (55.9) 77 (53.1) 47 (61.0) .279
 Smoking habit 28 (12.6) 20 (13.8) 8 (10.4) .467
 Obesity 36 (16.2) 19 (13.1) 17 (22.1) .084
 Peripheral artery disease 36 (16.2) 24 (16.6) 12 (15.6) .882
 Ischemic stroke 36 (16.2) 19 (13.1) 17 (22.1) .069
 Coronary artery disease 33 (14.9) 24 (16.6) 9 (11.7) .349
 Chronic heart failure 40 (18.0) 23 (15.9) 17 (22.1) .251
 Atrial fibrillation/flutter 59 (26.6) 36 (24.8) 23 (29.9) .418
 PM/ICD 10 (4.5) 6 (4.1) 4 (5.2) .741
 COPD 33 (14.9) 14 (9.7) 19 (24.7) .003
 Chronic kidney disease 40 (18.0) 25 (17.2) 15 (19.5) .679
 Cancer 34 (15.3) 22 (15.2) 12 (15.6) .935



Baseline cardiovascular drug therapy
 Therapeutic anticoagulation 69 (31.1) 44 (30.3) 25 (32.5) .750
 Antiplatelet 50 (22.5) 30 (20.7) 20 (26.0) .370
 ACE inhibitor or ARB 98 (44.1) 56 (38.6) 42 (54.6) .023
 MRA 24 (10.8) 14 (9.7) 10 (13.0) .447
 Sacubitril/valsartan 5 (2.3) 3 (2.1) 2 (2.6) 1.000
 Beta-blocker 79 (35.6) 48 (33.1) 31 (40.3) .289
 Diuretics 94 (42.3) 54 (37.2) 40 (52.0) .035
 SGLT2 inhibitors 7 (3.2) 5 (3.5) 2 (2.6) 1.000
 Digoxin 3 (1.4) 2 (1.4) 1 (1.3) 1.000
 Statin 109 (49.1) 68 (46.9) 41 (53.3) .368
 Antiarrhythmics 5 (2.3) 2 (1.4) 3 (3.9) .344



First chest radiography
 Without infiltrates 27 (12.2) 15 (10.3) 12 (15.6) .420
 Unilateral infiltrates 43 (19.4) 27 (18.6) 16 (20.8)
 Bilateral infiltrates 150 (67.6) 102 (70.3) 48 (62.3)



Laboratory data
 Median GFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) 60.0 ± 26.8 59.8 ± 27.8 60.4 ± 24.9 .859
 Median hemoglobin (g/dL) 12.0 ± 2.1 11.7 ± 1.9 12.7 ± 2.1 .001
 Highest ferritin (ng/dL) 1320 (692–2265) 1491 (874–2622) 1093 (401–1734) .018
 Highest D-dimer (ng/mL) 4591 (1417–27160) 8298 (2280–35380) 1912 (979–6103) <.001
 Highest troponin I (ng/L) 83.1 (24.3–267.6) 103.1 (32.6–465.0) 30.8 (13.9–139.4) .009
 Highest NT-proBNP (pg/mL) 4831 (2346–11151) 5056 (2475–11984) 3973 (1968–8245) .200
 Highest fibrinogen (mg/dL) 1088 (738–1200) 1168 (809–1200) 843 (659–1200) .002
 Highest C reactive protein (mg/L) 221.7 (113.6–301.3) 251.6 (134.0–317.2) 148.2 (80.1–245) <.001
 Highest IL-6 (pg/mL) 164 (43–1000) 193 (53–1000) 134 (29–809) .246



Clinical outcomes during index admission
 Hospital admission 217 (99.5) 141 (100.0) 76 (98.7) .175
 Pulmonary embolism 22 (9.9) 18 (12.4) 4 (5.2) .102
 Thrombotic event 32 (14.4) 27 (18.6) 5 (6.5) .016
 Mayor bleeding 12 (5.4) 11 (7.6) 1 (1.3) .061
 Non-major bleeding 20 (9.0) 15 (10.3) 5 (6.5) .462
 Atrial fibrillation/flutter 33 (14.9) 22 (15.2) 11 (14.3) .868
 Ventricular arrhythmia 7 (3.2) 6 (4.1) 1 (1.3) .426
 Critical care admission 66 (30.0) 60 (41.4) 6 (7.8) <.001
 Mechanical ventilation 62 (27.9) 57 (39.3) 5 (6.5) <.001
 Death 120 (54.1) 84 (57.9) 36 (46.8) .112



Clinical outcomes during the whole follow-up
 HF episodes after index hospitalization 28 (27.5) 13 (21.3) 15 (36.6) .090
 HF admissions after index hospitalization 20 (19.6) 9 (14.8) 11 (26.8) .132
 Pulmonary embolism 30 (15.5) 24 (16.6) 6 (7.8) .069
 Thrombotic event 43 (19.4) 34 (23.5) 9 (11.7) .035
 Mayor bleeding 17 (7.7) 16 (11.0) 1 (1.3) .008
 Non-mayor bleeding 28 (12.6) 22 (15.2) 6 (7.8) .115
 Atrial fibrillation/flutter 37 (16.7) 24 (16.6) 13 (16.9) .950
 Ventricular arrhythmia 9 (4.1) 7 (4.8) 2 (2.6) .722
 Death 138 (62.2) 97 (66.9) 41 (53.3) .046

ACE, angiotensin-converting enzyme; ARB, angiotensin-receptor blocker; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; HF, heart failure; ICD, implantable cardioverter defibrillator; MRA, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; PM, pacemaker; SGLT2, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2.

Data are expressed as no. (%) for categorical data or mean ± standard deviation for continuous data.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

(A) Bar plot showing the distribution of echocardiographic findings among the study patients. Valvular disease refers to moderate or severe regurgitation or stenosis according to standard definitions. Regarding RV dilation/dysfunction, pericardial effusion, RV hypertrophy and pulmonary hypertension, even mild degrees according to European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging quantification guidelines were considered. (B) Kaplan–Meier survival curves regarding freedom from HF episodes after hospital discharge. (C) Kaplan–Meier survival curves regarding all-cause mortality during the whole follow-up. (D) Proportion of patients in each New York Heart Association category in both study groups. (E) Global and domain-specific KCCQ-12 scores in both study groups. HF, heart failure; HTN, hypertension; KCCQ-12, 12-item Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire; LV, left ventricle; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; RV, right ventricle.

Even though a significant proportion of patients with clinical HF or elevated NT-proBNP died during the index hospitalization for COVID-19, our study shows that survivors still face a great burden of cardiac events, mortality, and impaired quality of life. Cardiac involvement in COVID-19 may be mediated by multiple pathways, but some researchers have focused on the identification of cardiac inflammation and myocardial injury. There is a rationale that these changes may lead to cardiac fibrosis and subsequent HF.5 However, we did not find any significant relationship between inflammatory biomarkers and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin during index hospitalization and recurrent HF episodes after hospital discharge. Elevated natriuretic peptides, despite being a reasonable surrogate of intracardiac pressures and volumes, are not 100% specific of HF, however, their plasma concentration is associated both with the likelihood of HF diagnosis and the incidence of HF episodes.6 Thus, it is interesting that we did not find significant differences between patients with a diagnosis of clinical HF and those with isolated NT-proBNP elevation during the index COVID-19 episode regarding long-term hard clinical endpoints and quality of life as assessed by the KCCQ-12.

Several limitations should be noted. The relatively small sample size may have resulted in a reduced sensitivity to detect relevant associations regarding clinical outcomes. Moreover, medical treatment at hospital discharge was not included in the original database and was not considered in the analysis. On the other hand, the incidence of thromboembolic events and development of pulmonary hypertension during follow-up was not prospectively assessed in the study cohort.

In conclusion, it may be somehow preliminary to support the concept of biochemical HF in this context,1 but our findings indeed suggest that this definition warrants further study. Besides, we hypothesize that the assessment of NT-proBNP during hospitalizations for COVID-19 may improve long-term risk stratification to guide the selection of those patients that would benefit from extended cardiovascular monitoring during follow-up.

Funding

None.

Authors’ contributions

All the authors have made a significant contribution to the preparation of this manuscript, both in its writing (J. Caro-Codón, J.R. Rey) and in its design (J. Caro-Codón, J.R. Rey, J.L. Merino), execution (J. Caro-Codón, A. Severo Sánchez, B. Rivero Santana), data collection (J. Caro-Codón, A. Severo Sánchez, B. Rivero Santana, A. Buño) or data analysis (J. Caro-Codón, J.R. Rey, A. Buño, J.L. Merino).

Conflicts of interest

None declared.

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