Table 1:
Estimated national and district-level HIV prevalence, ART coverage, and HIV incidence in Malawi in 2021 and percent changes between 2010 and 2021. Point estimates are posterior medians, and parenthetical estimates are 95% credible intervals.
| Prevalence |
ART Coverage |
Incidence |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 value | 2010-2021 decrease | 2021 value | 2010-2021 increase | 2021 value | 2010-2021 decrease | |
| National | 8% (8%-8%) | 25% (22%-29%) | 88% (86%-93%) | 3.3 (3.2-3.6) | 2.3 (1.7-2.7) | 69% (64%-76%) |
| Northern | ||||||
| Chitipa | 3% (2%-4%) | 27% (15%-40%) | 91% (75%-96%) | 3.9 (2.6-6.5) | 0.8 (0.4-1.3) | 71% (59%-80%) |
| Karonga | 7% (7%-8%) | 20% (11%-27%) | 91% (83%-97%) | 3.3 (2.8-3.8) | 2.2 (1.5-3.2) | 68% (58%-76%) |
| Likoma | 7% (6%-9%) | 29% (20%-34%) | 94% (79%-98%) | 3.1 (2.7-3.7) | 1.5 (0.9-3.0) | 73% (61%-80%) |
| Mzimba | 6% (5%-6%) | 20% (13%-29%) | 94% (85%-97%) | 2.7 (2.4-3.1) | 1.7 (1.0-2.6) | 66% (49%-75%) |
| Nkhata Bay | 6% (5%-7%) | 33% (26%-39%) | 83% (69%-94%) | 3.9 (3.1-5.3) | 1.7 (0.9-2.6) | 69% (59%-82%) |
| Rumphi | 6% (4%-7%) | 23% (14%-30%) | 89% (73%-97%) | 2.6 (2.2-3.2) | 1.8 (1.0-2.8) | 64% (46%-72%) |
| Central | ||||||
| Dedza | 4% (3%-5%) | 30% (24%-40%) | 90% (74%-96%) | 4.3 (3.5-6.3) | 0.9 (0.5-1.7) | 75% (61%-83%) |
| Dowa | 3% (2%-4%) | 31% (23%-40%) | 77% (56%-89%) | 2.1 (1.6-2.7) | 0.8 (0.5-1.5) | 62% (43%-74%) |
| Kasungu | 4% (3%-5%) | 22% (14%-33%) | 90% (76%-96%) | 3.9 (3.0-6.3) | 1.1 (0.6-1.6) | 70% (57%-81%) |
| Lilongwe | 6% (6%-7%) | 25% (17%-32%) | 92% (84%-96%) | 2.8 (2.4-3.3) | 1.6 (1.0-2.9) | 68% (48%-78%) |
| Mchinji | 5% (5%-6%) | 30% (23%-39%) | 92% (77%-97%) | 3.5 (2.5-5.0) | 1.3 (0.7-2.0) | 73% (59%-85%) |
| Nkhotakota | 5% (4%-6%) | 38% (29%-44%) | 94% (73%-97%) | 3.1 (2.3-4.2) | 0.8 (0.5-1.4) | 78% (70%-86%) |
| Ntcheu | 8% (7%-9%) | 28% (21%-34%) | 93% (73%-98%) | 3.2 (2.6-4.1) | 1.9 (1.1-3.3) | 73% (57%-85%) |
| Ntchisi | 2% (2%-3%) | 39% (32%-44%) | 89% (70%-96%) | 3.0 (2.4-4.2) | 0.4 (0.2-0.9) | 76% (63%-81%) |
| Salima | 5% (4%-6%) | 29% (21%-35%) | 93% (83%-97%) | 4.2 (3.1-6.2) | 1.3 (0.8-1.9) | 74% (62%-81%) |
| Southern | ||||||
| Balaka | 8% (7%-9%) | 31% (25%-35%) | 96% (89%-98%) | 3.0 (2.7-3.6) | 1.9 (1.4-2.5) | 74% (68%-80%) |
| Blantyre | 14% (13%-15%) | 22% (16%-26%) | 87% (80%-93%) | 2.8 (2.6-3.2) | 4.2 (3.1-5.3) | 64% (54%-73%) |
| Chikwawa | 8% (7%-9%) | 26% (18%-34%) | 93% (81%-98%) | 3.7 (2.8-5.0) | 1.8 (1.1-2.9) | 75% (64%-83%) |
| Chiradzulu | 12% (11%-14%) | 28% (24%-33%) | 93% (85%-97%) | 2.3 (2.1-2.9) | 3.1 (2.1-4.0) | 70% (62%-78%) |
| Machinga | 7% (7%-9%) | 26% (18%-32%) | 90% (77%-96%) | 4.1 (3.5-5.1) | 2.0 (1.3-3.6) | 73% (58%-81%) |
| Mangochi | 9% (8%-10%) | 23% (16%-31%) | 93% (81%-97%) | 5.6 (4.6-7.5) | 2.7 (1.6-3.6) | 73% (67%-82%) |
| Mulanje | 16% (14%-17%) | 16% (8%-24%) | 95% (86%-97%) | 4.6 (4.0-5.3) | 5.2 (3.7-7.2) | 71% (62%-77%) |
| Mwanza | 7% (5%-8%) | 21% (11%-27%) | 87% (72%-96%) | 3.7 (2.6-5.3) | 2.2 (1.4-3.4) | 66% (53%-75%) |
| Neno | 8% (7%-10%) | 29% (21%-37%) | 95% (76%-98%) | 3.1 (2.7-3.9) | 2.0 (1.1-3.3) | 74% (59%-85%) |
| Nsanje | 10% (8%-12%) | 23% (13%-30%) | 53% (43%-71%) | 4.3 (3.1-7.2) | 4.8 (2.8-7.4) | 58% (43%-74%) |
| Phalombe | 15% (13%-17%) | 17% (9%-24%) | 96% (84%-98%) | 6.0 (4.5-8.0) | 4.6 (3.1-7.3) | 76% (63%-83%) |
| Thyolo | 12% (10%-13%) | 26% (21%-34%) | 93% (86%-97%) | 3.5 (3.0-4.7) | 2.8 (1.9-3.9) | 76% (69%-83%) |
| Zomba | 12% (11%-14%) | 22% (12%-28%) | 89% (81%-94%) | 3.4 (3.0-4.0) | 3.6 (2.4-5.5) | 71% (62%-79%) |